Erosion worksheets

can someone help me with this?

2023.04.22 18:22 Pitiful_Storage_8069 can someone help me with this?

im doing this worksheet for coasts and its asking me to explain each of the coastal erosion processes in detail, i wasnt really the best when i did the topic for coasts in geography, i just need some help with it and would appreciate it.
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2022.04.03 06:05 JoshSnipes A look at a Big Footwear Player $FL Foot Locker Stock Analysis

Introduction:
I had mentioned this company in a recent post (link) and in a recent video I did (link) as I know a lot of people have been talking about this. Also, this seems to be a fan favorite on the valueinvesting subreddit. This company sells mostly footwear, but the possibility of buybacks may make this favorable for some.
TLDR: In true retail fashion, I am going to wait a couple of quarters/year to see if this business is truly worth investing in. I would feel more comfortable seeing how the suppliers' DTC strategy will hurt Foot Locker's overall business model. Currently, I think the business has more downside instead of upside.
If you would like to watch my Youtube video explanation click here.
If you would like the article with pictures click the Substack link here.
FL - FootLocker:
“Foot Locker, Inc. leads the celebration of sneaker and youth culture around the globe through a portfolio of brands including Foot Locker, Lady Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, Eastbay, atmos, WSS, Footaction, and Sidestep. As of January 29, 2022, we operated 2,858 primarily mall-based stores, as well as stores in high-traffic urban retail areas and high streets, in 28 countries across the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and Asia, as well as websites and mobile apps. Our purpose is to inspire and empower youth culture around the world, by fueling a shared passion for self-expression and creating unrivaled experiences at the heart of the global sneaker community. Foot Locker, Inc. uses its omni-channel capabilities to bridge the digital world and physical stores, including order-instore, buy online and pickup-in-store, and buy online and ship-from-store, as well as e-commerce. We operate websites and mobile apps aligned with the brand names of our store banners including footlocker.com, kidsfootlocker.com, champssports.com, atmosusa.com, shopwss.com, and related e-commerce sites in the various international countries that we operate. These sites offer some of the largest online product selections and provide a seamless link between e-commerce and physical stores. We also operate the websites for eastbay.com and eastbayteamsales.com. ” 2021 10K Filing
Foot Locker operates across various branded stores that focus primarily on footwear, but they usually have a selection of other apparel or accessories to go along with the brands that they sell (Nike, Adidas, Reebok, Jordan, Puma, etc.). Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, and Lady Foot Locker are all part of the primary banner store and have seen some slight growth in store openings through their footwear sales. Champs Sports focuses on selling athletic footwear and apparel within North American malls. Footaction was another footwear store owned by Foot Locker that is now converting the remaining stores to the banner company and will close 41 of the unconverted stores. Sidestep is more focused on athletic fashion footwear and they have stores in Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Belgium, Luxembourg, and Switzerland. Eastbay is a sporting goods direct-to-consumer business that provides high schools and other athletes with sporting attire including footwear, apparel, equipment, and team-licensed merch. WSS was a recent acquisition made by Footlocker in 2021 and the focus primarily on the Hispanic consumer demographic by operating off-mall stores in California, Texas, Arizona, and Nevada. Lastly, they acquired atmos which is a Japanese-based boutique for premium footwear and has a large digital-based brand.
Foot Locker breaks itself down into the following segments:
Revenue Segment Breakout Screenshot
Financials:
Revenue TTM Screenshot
Gross Margin, Operating Margin, and Profit Margin screenshot
Current Debt Screenshot
FCF Vs. Dividend & Share Repurchases Screenshot
One of the interesting items I found on their 10K was the FCF versus the money being spent on dividends and stock repurchases. From the looks of it they are spending nearly all of the FCF on trying to give back to the shareholders which is nice and all, but they took out a loan due in 2029. I think that FL is beginning to use the debt in order to cover the cash being spent on the dividends and buybacks. While this may be beneficial I would definitely watch out for this.
​
Industry
Strengths:
Risks:
Sales Change Down 4% to 6%
Comparable Sales Growth Down 8% to 10%
Square Footage Growth Down 1% to 2%
Gross Margin 30.1% to 30.3%
SG&A Rate 20.2% to 20.4%
D&A ~$210 million
Interest ~$22 million
Tax Rate ~28.7%
Non-GAAP EPS $4.25-$4.60
Capital Expendiures Up to $275 million
Discounted Free Cashflow Model
If you would like to see my worksheet the link is here.
DCF1 Screenshot
DCF2 Screenshot
Closing Thoughts:
The valuation may be looking favorable based on the assumption listed in the DCF above, but I do not think the business risks outweigh the valuation currently. I think that the stock price is probably leaning more towards fairly valued due to the erosion of sales as Nike slows down. I am going to wait to see a couple of quarterly reports to grasp what the true impact is. This year’s comps will look really bad due to the euphoric buying in 2021, but as long as they can stay within the management’s outlook we may see some favorable times ahead. As of right now, I am going to sit on the sideline and wait out the changes.
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2016.05.29 04:19 ckfinite [META] Declaiming Australia: All Good Things Must Come to an End

On a beach in Papua New Guinea, an old man sat in a wicker chair, heavily cocooned in blankets. He was sipping a mug of the local coffee, watching the sun draw low over the Pacific horizon. “It’s beautiful, isn’t it?” a feminine voice asked, and he blinked his wizened eyes.
“Ah, Willow,” Malcolm Turnbull said. “I was just about to see our boy Ziggy off to Moonbase Britannia. Care to join me?” The former Prime Minister of Australia gestured to an adjacent chair.
“I’d be delighted,” Willow White said, taking a seat. The blonde was older now, having recently been promoted to Minister for Foreign Affairs. “He seemed rather… excited,” she managed, glancing at the launch site.
“That’s Ziggy for you,” the former Prime Minister replied. “Always eager for the next great adventure.”
Willow pursed her ruby lips together and smiled. “He always was like that, yes,” she said. “I’ve wished him the best of luck with his operations there.”
“Speaking of which,” Turnbull said, blinking his tired old eyes, “I believe Skylon departs soon.” He managed a small smile. “You’re in for a treat.”
Willow pulled on her augmented reality sunglasses, paused for a few moments to search up the launch window, then smiled. “He should be launching… now.”
Hi - ckfinite here. Despite me posting this, this is actually a declaim post for King_of_Anything, because the latter is currently banned and can’t post it himself (he’s contributed some art, so that you know that this is authorized), for reasons that we’ll describe later. We wanted to give the next Australian claimant an idea of what we’ve done over our tenure, with KoA talking about our economic plans and the political situation, and me discussing the current technological initiatives that we’re working on. Now, for the next Australian claimant, here’s some background reading.

Foreign Relations King_of_Anything

For my successor, please be aware that the United Kingdom and New Zealand are your closest friends, and you have technical and economic collaboration on multiple levels with these countries to the point you’re not only allies, you’re practically family. I highly suggest retaining Papua New Guinea and the 60,000 PNG Auxiliary Infantry for defensive purposes since they’re trained to the Australian standard, but please use them gently as they’re not designed for overseas deployments (though they do make up the bulk of your infantry on the cheap). The UK, NZ, and PNG make up the trifecta which is the cornerstone of your global prestige, and you should keep them close.
You likewise have the International Oceanic Union (IOU), which is an economic and monetary union (like the EU) with New Zealand, Fiji (and whatever Fiji’s annex is, I think it’s Vanautu), and PNG as members, and the Southwest Pacific Association of Nations (SPAN), which is an expanded ASEAN-styled approach to economic cooperation which currently includes Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, New Zealand, Samoa, and Kiribati.
The United States and Indonesia are your two most important military allies. The USA provides you with tech, Indonesia serves as a bulwark to uncertainty in the North. Other key regional allies are Thailand, Brunei and the Philippines, who are your favourite economic collaborators and have been allied with Australia since early S3. You likewise have basing rights for RAAF jets in the Philippines and Brunei.
Chile is your sole South American ally, though Chile has recently attempted to steal your technology so you should probably be wary of them. Hilariously, you have basing rights for aircraft in Chile as well (though we don’t have any planes stationed there at the moment.)
Finally, whatever happens, be friendly to India. You’re allied with India under a pact called the Four Powers, and cooperation with India is paramount in Australian strategic thinking, serving as the furthest western reach of your foreign policy.
Sigmund Ward couldn’t help but grin. The former Minister for Defence Development felt like an elephant was sitting on his chest, the G forces keeping him firmly locked into his seat as the Skylon craft raced skyward. He’d looked up at the moon when he was a boy, his mother humming the notes of Moonage Daydream to the young Ziggy… and now he was going there.
”Moonbase Britannia, here I come!” he whooped.

Military Matters ckfinite

The clearinghouse for everything Australian military related is this sheet. It’s up to date as of the start of 2031 - ongoing procurement programs are on the last section.
Key projects include:
  • The AIR 1145 air superiority fighter program. I’ve written a Gantt chart of the way it’s supposed to proceed linked in the last worksheet - it’s important you keep the schedule up. The RAAF is planning to buy about 100 of them, and this is a 5th generation Air Superiority Fighter with capabilities exceeding the F-22 Raptor.
  • The SEA 6000/Battle-class destroyer program. A Gantt chart of the delivery schedule is included from the last worksheet. This is a gigantic destroyer and actually falls under the “cruiser” tier of the CONFLICT sheet.
  • Darling-class procurement. It runs at 1 ship, then 2 ships a year alternating until you get 16 of them. 2030 was a 2 ship year, so 2031 will be a 1 ship year.
  • Crace-class procurement. 1 a year, we’ve already gotten the 2030 one, stopping at 12 submarines
  • SEA 8000/Clarkson class procurement. The first “real” class of nuclear submarines. 1 delivered a year, up to 18 submarines. Again, 2030 unit has been delivered.
  • There’s a AI research program - see here - but you’ll have to push it harder to finish. Do some more events iterating on it.
What I didn’t get around to:
  • Extending the LAND 250 battlefield connectivity program. It’s been sold to the US, but the original R&D period is over, and we need a successor program.
  • Look at the DEEP XXXX series AUVs, extend them further. The idea is to have a Clarkson-class submarine fighting using them from about 100 miles away, kind of like a combat minisub on a long leash.
  • A naval AIR 1145 ASF program, for the HMAS Australia.This is the carrier-capable variant of the Air superiority fighter mentioned above.
There are a few major Australian defence contractors:
  • BAE Australia, who has their fingers in a little of everything except shipbuilding.
  • BBD Defence, a spinoff of Bombardier (long story), who makes fighters, tankers, and AEW aircraft.
  • Thales Australia, who makes mostly radar components and battle management systems.
  • Sagem Australia, who makes a lot of infrared/UV systems.
  • Rolls Royce (now jointly-owned between the UK and Australia), who makes jet engines. A lot of jet engines.
  • CEA Technologies, who makes radars (look up the CEAFAR III and Aluminum Nitride).
  • Laserex Technologies, who has been dilligently working on building bigger lasers for the last 14 years
“Godspeed, you ‘appy cunts,” Joker said, offering a mock salute inside the cockpit of the Phar Lap. The Australian 5th Generation Air Superiority Fighter had been in escort pattern around the launch site for some time now, and Lieutenant Christopher Kehoe had watched the plume of smoke grow from high altitude. He wagged the wingtips of the red and white tailless fighter as the spacecraft roared by, carrying its precious cargo beyond the stratosphere.

Space Matters ckfinite

The Australian space program is more or less contained in two customers and three prime contractors, who provide the systems to the customers.
The contractors are:
  • Space Systems Australia, which is a joint space launch company between Reaction Engines and Safran Australia.
  • Reaction Engines operates the Skylon D1, which provides extremely low cost access to orbit but without a lot of volume or high mass capabilities. I’ve posted a price sheet here. They are currently planning on expanding with the Skylon E1, which increases the payload substantially.
  • Safran Australia operates the Helios space launch vehicle, which is now avaliable in heavy configuration. It costs more to launch (circa $40 million for single-stick, $70 million in heavy), but can lift twice what the Skylon E1 can and a much wider array of shapes.
  • Rolls Royce now makes rocket engines. Their Polaris engine is key to lunar exploitation, will get to that later.
  • BAE Systems is now in the satellite and space systems business. They make a lot of the things that actually go into space - though a competitor would be a good idea.
The customers are both IRL giant-mega-super Anglo-Australian mining multinational companies:
  • BHP Billiton: Lunar exploitation. BHP Billiton’s plan is at first to mine and reprocess water ice at the south pole of the Moon, then ship the hydrogen and oxygen fuel back to low earth orbit for sale to both other space programs and Rio Tinto (the other customer). Over the next 3 years, they plan on expanding into other raw resources.
    Key to this plan is the Lunar Orbital Connector. It’s a Rolls Royce Polaris powered way to get 200 tons from the lunar surface to the Earth Moon Lagrange point 1. This will eventually be superseded by the mass driver, which when built (you’ll have to start its construction, that post is just R&D), which will push about 2000 tons at a time into lunar orbit, which will then use a new Polaris periapsis kick engine to stabilize at the Earth Moon Lagrange point 1. The plan is to end up with the moon totally self sufficient and shipping billions of dollars worth of stuff to LEO a week. The reason why is because it’s MUCH cheaper to ship stuff from the moon to low earth orbit than it is to ship it up from the ground to low earth orbit - like about 8 times cheaper cheaper. Their plan is to use the Deep Space Transfer Vehicle to shift loads from the EML1 point back to Earth, using electric propulsion and aerobraking (which, though I forgot to mention, the DSTV is a joint Rio/BHP program for this reason). It should cost about $5-10 per kg in the end to get stuff from the Moon with this plan.
    For a little (older) background reading, see this post that sketches out the "early years" of lunar exploitation. BHP has moved beyond this somewhat by now, though.
  • Rio Tinto is interested in asteroid belt exploitation. Read this post for their plans - it revolves around using the DSTV to get to an asteroid, mining it, then shipping what’s there back. Heavy metals are the perfect targets for this, because most of them sunk to the Earth’s core and are thus rather rare on the surface - but they’re still around in space. An asteroid like this is a perfect target for them.
The Australian government has two key programs to support BHP and Rio’s efforts:
  • The Oceanic Space Station is designed in large part to build the DSTVs in low earth orbit. Skylon and Helios will ship payloads up to it (and BHP will send heavy parts from the moon to it), and then astronauts there starting in 2033 will build the DSTVs under contract to BHP and Rio.
  • The Local Space Defensive System is a railgun designed for space use. The idea is that what Rio and BHP are doing is going to likely cause issues surrounding property rights to come up (since they will have substantive impacts on Earth), and other countries might want to stop them. The LSDS is intended to let Australia (and the US) be the firstest with the mostest in terms of orbital weapons, letting a push for space property rights potentially work through de jure control. We also have some ballistic missile defence programs that are working on developing kinetic kill vehicles (fired out of railguns and from missiles), as well as a robust laser program that would be usefully applied to space.
The general idea is “make money from space.” We’re not doing Mars because it’s hard to make money from Mars until someone else starts trying to colonize it, at which point it makes sense to start shipping them supplies and mining equipment to start supporting those colonies… for a fee, of course. Try to save EVERYONE INVOLVED a lot of money, while making a tidy profit at the same time.
The other general space point I'd like to make is don't think "launch it into space," but instead think "make it in space." With the Moon resources in play, you can build things without ever having to fit them into a space launch vehicle, so leverage that as hard as you can. Remember: big things in space are no longer expensive, since only the electronics have to be shipped from the ground.
On that note, that’s the way that I like to play Australian companies. They’re aiming at good corporate citizenship: if everyone’s happy (read: saved money), then it’s better business than raping them for cash, because they’ll keep coming back to you for more help. Offer discount access to space, help other countries with their programs, and in general save money and be a responsible actor in space.
If you need any clarification on what to do next, please contact me (ckfinite).

Other Technology/Industrial Concerns: ckfinite

Rolls Royce now makes a popular line of basically completely bulletproof nuclear reactors, called the GCHTFR (gas cooled high temperature fast reactor). In combination with a massive nuclear reprocessing plant in Australia, these reactors produce virtually no waste, need basically no fuel, and can survive anything up to and including a direct hit with a nuke. Moreover, they can desalinate a massive amount of water ( 9.2x107 L/hr per plant, if you want the actual amount of water ) while still producing 1.5 to 1.7 gigawatts. Each unit costs about $4 billion with a desalination plant. Here’s some copypasta that’s been effective at getting sales. There’s a big fusion program going on too, with an expansion. There’s also a solar power plant, search “Towers of the Sun”.
BBD makes the CSeries, the WSeries (a widebody airliner), and is working on making the W2Series and the DSeries, which are world-leading commercial airliners. Keep pushing them in terms of sales, they do need them rather badly.
Australia is a world leader in automated car technology - for example the hydrogen powered autonomous Holden Commodore 2030. We’ve also sold a billion dollars in automated buses.
Emerald Goggles is a world leader in VAR technology, making both civilian and military devices. In addition, there’s brain-computer interface technology development going on right now for medical reasons that might be interesting to capitalize on.
Another thing to focus on is biotech. Australia is IG a manufacturer of several key vaccines, including ones for Malaria, E. Coli, AIDS, Tuberculosis, and several others, in addition to a large and growing biotech sector. Viral engineering is the new norm, allowing us to curb the problem of Australian invasive rabbits and treat the high rates of Australian cancer simultaneously.

Recommendations to the next Australia King_of_Anything

I highly suggest being fully aware of getting into. Australia is a hyper-capitalist economy with a banking focus shifting slowly towards moderate Swiss-style policies in response to rising wage gaps and inequality. Communism and its variations are an extreme anathema to Australian policy, so avoid those.
Be advised that you should handle the following with Australia, in order of magnitude:
  • Deal with your rising inequality by implementing more of the Scandinavian-styled policies. You have grown to the point you’re similar to a giant Norway, I suggest duplicating whatever they do to handle poverty and unemployment. I also strongly recommend implementing basic income at this stage. I’ve partially tackled the housing bubble with cheap real estate developments and diversified complex asset investments for your lenders, but you can further leverage your inclusive banking system for economic gain.
  • Figure out how to smoothly transition your economy into automation without putting a lot of folks into unemployment. Australia is global leader of practical robotics and has fully-automated manufacturing in development, but as more jobs are automated, naturally it will be more difficult for people to find jobs. The key is to transition your population away from employment in primary (mining/agriculture) and secondary (manufacturing) economic sectors, and into service industries and R&D.
  • Explore the limits of VAR. Under the “Marvelous Land of Oz” system, you’re a world leader in VAR integration, and use a slimmed down version of the Oculus Rift headset which looks like a pair of normal sunglasses/eyeglasses. Your businesses use VAR, your military uses it, your consumers use it. Australian hyper-reality has military, commercial, advertising, research, and entertainment applications. It also has societal negative traits, so be aware that you will need to deal with people being overly-connected in virtual space and not intimate at all in the physical realm.
  • Figure out how to handle the sea rise. You have islands which will be underwater if things continue. I’ve already dealt with coastal erosion, but rising sea levels are a problem you should tackle. (You may want to give up on the great barrier reef, there’s no way you can handle coral bleaching on your own, though because you’re a leader in genetics research as well, I suggest gathering as many samples as you can, mapping them, and propagating them where you can.)
  • Explore the problems with AI. You have a fledging AI program but it needs work and a lot of love to transition past “DeepDream” to “Halo Cortana”. Message ckfinite if you want to know how to expand it further.

Why We’re Declaiming joint

So, for the bit that you’ve probably been waiting for: why both me and King_of_Anything are declaiming. Effectively, we ran into a problem with how metagaming is defined. On the IRC, a mod pointed out that we may still have a housing bubble, and we made a few posts to fix the issue. Even though the in-game justification was fine, this was construed as metagaming, because of the fact that some out-of-game interaction occurred. King_of_Anything is currently banned from the subreddit (which is why I’m posting this) because of this difference in definitions, with the condition for unbanning being that we must say that taking action with in-game justification but with an out-of-game idea is metagaming.
Because we don’t want to exacerbate the conflict surrounding this issue any further, we thought we’d save you the trouble and declaim ourselves. That said, this interpretation of metagaming means that a number of things are now metagaming:
  • If I’ve ever given you technical advice in a comment or in IRC and you corrected or changed what you were doing, that’s metagaming.
  • If you’ve ever reacted to a mod comment on one of your posts by posting something else, that’s also metagaming.
  • If someone has pointed out that you have a resource, or some company that you didn’t previously know about it, and then you leverage that in game, also metagaming now.
Effectively, this broadened definition includes anything that whose justification started out-of-game. In a sense, this also includes every post ever made, because our brains are out-of-game and since the idea to do something came from them, then that’s metagaming, but it hasn’t been pushed that far yet.
In the future, what we would suggest is that a clear, easy to understand definition of metagaming be adopted and stuck to as a clear line in the sand. The cause of this current falafel is that we use the definition of metagaming that’s in the code of ethics, namely,
It is any decision taken in game, where the primary justification for the decision comes from an out of game, or meta, reasoning, where the decision has an effect on other players. It is not metagaming where there is significant justification in game that the action is reasonable.
In this case, the primary justification for our actions came from in game (since we’d be able to see a housing bubble growing, in this case, which would be sufficient in-game justification for reinforcing actions we’d already taken in a preventative measure), even if the actual idea that kicked it off originated from outside of the game. IRL, economists inside the government and outside it watch the economy carefully, and would note that a bubble existed, and (with the US housing crisis in mind), the government would react.
We would suggest clarifying this definition in the commandments to reflect the rule that’s enforced. Our objective was to avoid metagaming, and to do so we needed a clear definition of metagaming to enable us to not metagame without knowing about it. If the definition of metagaming is changed (or broadened) arbitrarily without announcement, then it’s impossible to avoid “metagaming” - the only time you would find out that you’ve broken the rules on metagaming is when you’re penalized and attacked for doing so.

Final Thoughts King_of_Anything

I’d like to thank S01780 and Cardbird for being great partners-in-crime in S2, and beanbagtraveler for my hilarious introduction to South America. I also want to thank Darian66 for putting up with my shenanigans in S3 and Luthtar for not eating Australia (kek). UnitedStatesof_Asia and GwenKatten, you two have been fantastic allies and I’ve enjoyed my time in the International Oceanic Union with you.
To ZaphodBrox42, I enjoyed cooperating with you tremendously and apologise I was unable to carry Prince Harry and the Sons of Empire RP further. And to Azailon, I’m only sorry I haven’t been able to completely absorb Brazil into an Australian empire yet, though you’ve been a pleasure to work with. Perhaps one day all of South America’s coast will be Chile.
Further shoutouts go to Comrad__Conrad, pansitkanton, justsosquishy, meltedchocolate, jakp25, and Cmoorebutz for making my S3 experience a blast. Special mention goes to fmonge01 for long hours of conversation on economics and UN policy, I really learned a ton and enjoyed thinking up creative approaches to Australian economic issues.
Finally, I would like to thank ckfinite for making all of this possible. Best 2IC I could have ever asked for.
This is King_of_Anything, signing off from Australia. o7

Final Thoughts ckfinite

_irk helped me get into this game in the first place, and helped me a lot back in S2, and I have to thank S01780 and Delta_Sigma for their invaluable help back in S2 when I was still learning the ropes in Rome and the MAR. From S2, I also want to thank RenderUntoMeep, who I had a lot of fun with in the later game.
Darian66 thanks for letting me propose so many joint programs with the US, and luthtar thanks for being a great Indonesia and not eating us. I also want to thank wpintheshower for playing a very good PRC.
I have to echo his comments - king_of_anything has been a great 1ic, and is everything I could have wanted but didn’t know to ask for when I wanted to sign up as 2ic in Australia. I’m really happy with where we went with the country, and while there’s a long road ahead for the country, I think it’s going to be a bright one.
High above the Outback, an eagle soared.
Bunjil, now older and past his prime, rode the air currents as he circled over the vast expanse of the continental interior. With his keen eyesight, he could see a pinprick of light rising on a glowing plume of flame, rising like a spear into the heavens.
His attention was distracted for a moment. Someone was calling his name.
The eagle whirled in the winds, flapping his powerful wings as he spiraled towards the source of the voice, a lone Aboriginal on walkabout in the very heartland of Australia. The falconer seemed oddly familiar, though older and greyer, but Bunjil didn’t mind the fact so much.
As he swept down towards Yarran Yarrow, Bunjil let off a keening screech, in greeting to his old friend.
Don't worry about the world coming to an end today. It is already tomorrow in Australia. ~ Charles M. Schulz
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