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Blackjack subreddit

2009.01.20 17:08 Blackjack subreddit

All the information about blackjack you want, both for serious advantage players and for casual players.
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2008.08.26 20:25 /r/Rowing

A place to discuss all things rowing!
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2011.01.17 00:28 The Open University

An unofficial subreddit for students, staff and anyone interested in the UK's Open University to discuss matters relating to the OU.
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2024.05.21 23:12 Short_Algo $HII Awaiting Short Signal based off 5 signals $1,562 net profit 6.23 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$HII Awaiting Short Signal based off 5 signals $1,562 net profit 6.23 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:12 Jaded-Meet I asked GPT4o to estimate the REAL inflation based on FED public data.

I asked GPT4o to estimate the REAL inflation based on FED public data.
Hey everyone,
I recently had GPT-4 estimate the real inflation rate using publicly available data from the Federal Reserve. The goal was to understand the actual inflationary pressures in the economy, beyond what official measures might indicate. Here’s a breakdown of the methodology and the results:

Data Used

The analysis included the following economic indicators:
  1. Federal Debt as Percent of GDP (GFDEGDQ188S)
  2. Federal Debt (GFDEBTN)
  3. Reserve Bank Credit (BOGMBBM)
  4. Demand Deposits at Commercial Banks (DEMDEPSL)
  5. Currency in Circulation (CURRSL)
  6. Velocity of M2 Money Stock (M2V)
  7. Velocity of M1 Money Stock (M1V)
  8. Total Credit Market Debt Owed by Domestic Nonfinancial Sectors (STDSL)
  9. M1 Money Stock (M1SL)
  10. Monetary Base (BOGMBASE)

Methodology

  1. Annual Growth Rates: Calculated the annual growth rates for each indicator.
https://preview.redd.it/0p8xzi40iu1d1.png?width=654&format=png&auto=webp&s=0b5c01d3e943d0bf4645abe4cf76b2abe97526ee
  1. Weight Assignment: Assigned weights to each indicator based on their relevance to inflationary pressures:
    • Federal Debt to GDP: 15%
    • Federal Debt: 10%
    • Reserve Bank Credit: 5%
    • Demand Deposits: 5%
    • Currency in Circulation: 5%
    • Velocity of M2: 10%
    • Velocity of M1: 10%
    • Credit Market Debt: 10%
    • M1 Money Stock: 15%
    • Monetary Base: 5%
  2. Weighted Average Growth Rate: Combined the growth rates into a single metric using the assigned weights.
https://preview.redd.it/idhufnd1iu1d1.png?width=728&format=png&auto=webp&s=8dacd8ac6fb2d98cf247cdf2fa860c1682606c05
  1. Real Inflation Estimate: Subtracted the GDP growth rate (assumed to be 3%) from the weighted average growth rate to estimate real inflation.
https://preview.redd.it/i8f75zj2iu1d1.png?width=738&format=png&auto=webp&s=c3242e2c598708580542ae5c0ad560012b18d536

Results

Here are the weighted average growth rates and the estimated real inflation rates:
  • 2015: -1.01%
  • 2016: -0.56%
  • 2017: 4.35%
  • 2018: 3.35%
  • 2019: 2.73%
  • 2020: 54.14% (significant due to pandemic-related monetary expansion)
  • 2021: 0.89%
  • 2022: 32.97%
  • 2023: 21.22%

Example Calculation for 2023

  • Weighted Average Growth (2023): 21.22%
  • Assumed GDP Growth Rate: 3%
Estimated Real Inflation: 21.22% - 3% = 18.22%

Conclusion

The analysis suggests that real inflation, especially post-2020, could be significantly higher than official measures. This reflects the impact of substantial monetary expansion and slower economic recovery. If such high inflation persists, it could severely impact real returns on investments.

Final Thoughts

This detailed analysis provides a more nuanced view of inflationary pressures in the US economy. It’s essential to monitor these indicators and adjust economic policies accordingly to manage inflation effectively.
What are your thoughts on these findings? Do you think this approach gives a better insight into real inflation? Let’s discuss!
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights!
submitted by Jaded-Meet to economy [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:11 Short_Algo $WRK Awaiting Buy Signal based off 9 signals $2,977 net profit 5.78 profit factor 77% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$WRK Awaiting Buy Signal based off 9 signals $2,977 net profit 5.78 profit factor 77% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:10 Short_Algo $WYNN Awaiting Short Signal based off 8 signals $3,844 net profit 3.40 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$WYNN Awaiting Short Signal based off 8 signals $3,844 net profit 3.40 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:10 Virgo936ATL Accepted

Got a call from the director of my nursing program today to let me know I was offered a seat in the ASN program. I’m excited, nervous, and scared. They offered an optional dosage calculation class over the summer before the program starts this fall. How hard is dosage? I’m debating whether or not to take it or enjoy a last worry stress free vacation this summer. What do you all think?!
submitted by Virgo936ATL to StudentNurse [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:09 Short_Algo $RGA Awaiting Buy Signal based off 4 signals $7,788 net profit 7.67 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$RGA Awaiting Buy Signal based off 4 signals $7,788 net profit 7.67 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:09 Short_Algo $JBL Awaiting Short Signal based off 8 signals $5,710 net profit 4.09 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$JBL Awaiting Short Signal based off 8 signals $5,710 net profit 4.09 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:08 Short_Algo $SNX Awaiting Short Signal based off 9 signals $5,243 net profit 3.37 profit factor 77% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$SNX Awaiting Short Signal based off 9 signals $5,243 net profit 3.37 profit factor 77% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:07 Short_Algo $EWBC Awaiting Buy Signal based off 6 signals $2,788 net profit 4.92 profit factor 83% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$EWBC Awaiting Buy Signal based off 6 signals $2,788 net profit 4.92 profit factor 83% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:06 BENZEMAzzz Proving FFIE’s True Worth: A $10 Valuation Through USA Tariff Strategy

INTRO

This article is to demonstrate why, under the current U.S. electric vehicle tariff policies, FFIE’s stock price is significantly undervalued and is poised to rise to at least $10. This analysis will explore the impact of tariffs on the market, FFIE’s competitive positioning, and the economic factors that support a substantial increase in its valuation.

HOW MUCH DOES FFIE CAN MAKE?

To calculate the cost savings for Faraday Future (FFIE) when assembling vehicles in the U.S. compared to directly importing them from China, we need to compare the total costs of both scenarios:

Scenario 1: Directly Importing the Complete Vehicle from China

Assuming the cost of the complete vehicle is $40,000, and with 100% tariff on imported electric vehicles:
Total cost for importing the complete vehicle: $80,000

Scenario 2: Importing Parts from China and Assembling in the U.S.

Assuming the cost of major parts (e.g., battery, motor, body frame) is $20,000, with an assembly cost in the U.S. of $5,000. Import tariffs on these parts are also assumed to be 25%.
Total cost for importing parts and assembling in the U.S.: [ 20,000 \, \text{USD} + 5,000 \, \text{USD} + 5,000 \, \text{USD} = 30,000 \, \text{USD} ]

Cost Comparison

Cost Savings with FFIE

Cost savings by assembling in the U.S. = $50,000

Conclusion

By assembling vehicles in the U.S. instead of directly importing complete vehicles from China, Faraday Future could save approximately $80,000 per vehicle. This significant cost reduction is primarily due to avoiding the high tariffs on complete vehicles and benefiting from lower tariffs on parts, along with local assembly costs.

HOW MUCH MONEY CAN FFIE MAKE?

China and US Passenger Car Sales and EV Market Share in 2023

China

In 2023, China's new energy vehicle (NEV) market saw remarkable growth. The total sales of NEVs, including battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), reached approximately 8 million units. This represented a 37% market share of the total passenger car market in China. BEVs alone accounted for about 25% of the total new car registrations oai_citation:1,26% BEV Share In China! — China EV Sales Report - CleanTechnica oai_citation:2,China EV Sales Defy Subsidy Cuts, Maintain Strong Growth in Q1 2023 - Counterpoint.

United States

In the United States, electric vehicle sales also experienced significant growth in 2023. Over the year, approximately 1.5 million electric cars were sold, making up around 12% of the total passenger car market oai_citation:3,Trends in electric light-duty vehicles – Global EV Outlook 2023 – Analysis - IEA.

Summary

Based on the latest forecasts, U.S. passenger car sales in 2024 are expected to reach approximately 15.7 million units oai_citation:1,S&P Global Mobility forecasts 88.3M auto sales in 2024 S&P Global oai_citation:2,Forecast: 2024 - Cox Automotive Inc.. If we assume that the share of electric vehicles (EVs) in the U.S. market reaches 37%, similar to China's EV market share in 2023, we can estimate the potential number of EVs sold in the U.S. in 2024.

Calculation

[ 15.7 \, \text{million} \times 0.37 = 5.809 \, \text{million} ]
Therefore, if the U.S. achieves an EV market share similar to China's current level, approximately 5.81 million electric vehicles could be sold in the U.S. in 2024. This projection highlights the potential for significant growth in the U.S. EV market if trends similar to those in China are followed.
In 2023, Tesla held a notable position in China's new energy vehicle (NEV) market. Throughout the year, Tesla's market share in China's NEV sector was around 7.5% overall oai_citation:1,BYD took control of the 2023 Chinese EV market. Specifically, in September 2023, Tesla's market share was reported to be 5.8% oai_citation:2,China NEV market share in Sept: BYD 34.5%, Tesla 5.8%, Nio 2.1% - CnEVPost. Despite facing intense competition from local manufacturers like BYD, Tesla has managed to maintain a strong presence, reflecting its significant role in the Chinese electric vehicle market oai_citation:3,BYD took control of the 2023 Chinese EV market oai_citation:4,China NEV market share in Sept: BYD 34.5%, Tesla 5.8%, Nio 2.1% - CnEVPost.

SUMMARY

To calculate the potential savings for Faraday Future (FFIE) assuming that all the additional electric vehicles (EVs) sold in the U.S. in 2024 are Chinese-made EVs, we can follow these steps:

1. Determine the number of additional EVs sold in the U.S. in 2024

Based on previous calculations, if the U.S. follows China’s EV market share of 37%, the projected EV sales in 2024 would be:
[ 15.7 \, \text{million} \times 0.37 = 5.81 \, \text{million EVs} ]

2. Calculate the cost savings per vehicle

Assuming each vehicle assembled in the U.S. instead of imported directly from China saves $50,000 in tariffs and associated costs.

3. Compute total savings for FFIE

Total savings = Number of vehicles (\times) Savings per vehicle
[ 5.81 \, \text{million EVs} \times 50,000 \, \text{USD/vehicle} = 290.5 \, \text{billion USD} ]

Conclusion

By assembling the vehicles in the U.S., Faraday Future (FFIE) could potentially save approximately $290.5 billion in 2024 if all the additional EVs sold in the U.S. are Chinese-made and each vehicle saves $50,000.
This calculation is based on the assumption that all additional EV sales are handled by FFIE, which represents a hypothetical scenario. In reality, the savings would depend on FFIE's actual market share and the proportion of vehicles they manage to produce and sell in the U.S.

WHY FFIE $10

To estimate the market capitalization of Faraday Future (FFIE) based on the potential savings from assembling electric vehicles in the U.S., we need to make several assumptions and calculations.
Assumptions and Calculations:
1. Potential Savings: • Total potential savings: $290.5 billion (from the previous calculation) 2. Impact on Market Capitalization: 
Market capitalization is influenced by many factors, including current revenue, profit margins, growth prospects, and investor sentiment. For a direct calculation, we can assume that the market might value these savings as additional potential revenue or profit. 3. Current Market Capitalization: • As of the latest available data, let’s assume FFIE’s current market capitalization is around $1 billion (this value should be checked for the most accurate and recent data). 4. Valuation Multiplier: Typically, market capitalization is a multiple of annual revenue or profit. For simplicity, let’s assume the market values the company at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2. This is a conservative estimate for a high-growth tech company but provides a reasonable basis for our calculation.
Calculation:
• New Revenue from Savings: $290.5 billion • Total Projected Revenue: Current revenue (assumed negligible for simplicity) + Savings = $290.5 billion • Market Capitalization: Total projected revenue \times P/S ratio 
290.5 \, \text{billion USD} \times 2 = 581 \, \text{billion USD}
Conclusion:
If Faraday Future (FFIE) could achieve the hypothetical scenario of saving $290.5 billion by assembling all additional EVs sold in the U.S. in 2024 domestically, and the market values this new revenue with a price-to-sales ratio of 2, the company’s market capitalization could potentially be around $581 billion(NOW FFIE is $59 billion).

CHINESE E-CAR MARKET

What is happening now?

China's electric vehicle (EV) market is highly competitive, with leading new energy vehicle (NEV) companies vying for dominance across various price segments. Currently, major players are fiercely competing in three key categories:
  1. Sedans around 200,000 RMB (approximately 30,000 USD): For example, Xiaomi's SU7, which has quickly gained significant market share, offers high driving range and advanced features at competitive prices, forcing other manufacturers to adjust their pricing strategies to remain competitive oai_citation:1,Xiaomi’s maiden EV, selling at a loss, turbocharges price war forcing China’s small players out of business South China Morning Post.
  2. Family SUVs priced at around 300,000 RMB (approximately 40,000 USD): Companies like Li Auto and Xpeng are prominent in this segment. Li Auto's models, such as the Li L9 and Li L8, are known for their high-tech features, extended range capabilities, and strong sales growth oai_citation:2,Investors Overview Li Auto Inc. oai_citation:3,Li Auto’s NEV Sales Jump Over Six-Fold in April to Surpass Nio, Xpeng; BYD Remains Top Seller.
  3. MPVs around 450,000 RMB (approximately 65,000 USD): The battle in this segment includes models like the Li Auto MEGA and the Xpeng X9. These vehicles offer impressive real-world range and advanced charging capabilities, demonstrating the technological advancements and competitive edge of Chinese automakers in the NEV market oai_citation:4,Battle of the electric MPVs in Hainan: Li Auto MEGA and XPeng X9.
These vehicles are not only characterized by superior driving experiences and intelligent in-car systems but also by high safety standards and long-range batteries. The intense competition and continuous innovation in the Chinese EV market are driving the development of increasingly advanced and consumer-friendly electric vehicles.
Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) hold a significant advantage in both pricing and user experience compared to all other EVs worldwide. The competitive pricing is due to robust manufacturing capabilities, government subsidies, and economies of scale. Additionally, Chinese EVs are known for their advanced technology, superior battery life, and comprehensive in-car intelligence systems. As a result, Chinese EV manufacturers are eagerly looking to expand into international markets, ready to offer their competitive products globally and meet the rising demand for high-quality, affordable electric vehicles.
submitted by BENZEMAzzz to FFIE [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:06 dom242324 Why the Gap Between Death and Life Isn't Close

I was looking for a solo school to play PVE after recently coming back to the game after a long hiatus. It is fairly common knowledge that survivability is an important factor in the ability to solo this game. Making schools like ice, balance, life, and death my top choices. (Of course you can also solo hitting schools like storm, myth, and fire, but I feel those would be much harder). However, balance and ice have a significantly harder time healing. Leaving life and death as the remaining two reliable options for me.
Aside from the obvious facts that life can heal and death can hit AND heal simultaneously, I wanted to look further and what made death better.
What I realized was, the heals of life and death are, comparatively, additive vs multiplicative. Take Satyr from the life school as example, it heals for 860 health. But that's the problem, it's a flat 860 no matter if you are low level or max level. After all, a Satyr at level 26 can heal 50% of your health whereas that same Satyr at max level heals a mere 5-10%. (And yes I know you can critical or have incoming stats or whatever. It will only help you so much.) Now you might say, "Just use higher-level healing spells", however, the "best" life heals hover around the same 1,500 flat HP area, aside from dryad. The higher level heals don't seem to be able to catch up as the game progresses through the later arcs.
Death on the other hand, has drains proportional to the amount of damage they output. So if, for example, your scarecrow does 10,000, you get a 5,000 heal back. If it does 1,000,000 you can get 500,000 heal back. Seems ridiculous right? This ability for death's heals to "scale" over time at a 0.5x multiplier, no matter what, allows them to adapt and become even stronger as their stats get better and better. Their smaller drain spells such as ghoul will never fall irrelevant because of this proportion.
The way these drains are calculated combined with the fact that death receives these drains WHILE hitting makes them infinitely better than life. Either life needs to receive stronger higher-level healing spells that seem adequate to their ever growing health, OR the heals need to relate to a % of the health of the wizard's health or something similar. Such as a Satyr healing for 25% of total health. It is merely the difference between these additive and multiplicative rates that creates this ever-growing gap between the life and death school.
So for now, if you prioritize functionality over aesthetic, there is no reason to choose the life school over death.
Just wanted to ramble for a bit. Am I missing something? I'm curious anyone else's thoughts.
submitted by dom242324 to Wizard101 [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:06 awjdmd Passed This Morning!!!

For Context:
32F Current Role: Senior Analyst in Risk Mgt in big 4
Formal Education: High School (don’t let a single person that you need to have x,y,z in order to be able to move up the corporate ladder. It's such BS)
Study time: Jan-May (started strong, got lazy, casually got back into it early May and booked the exam when I was getting 60% in mock tests and that got me through the last 3 week slump)
First:
Before you buy anything, look up discounts on this page or online for Pocket Prep, Courses and the actual exam, they exist.
Check what resources are available by your employer and what you can get reimbursed for. Don's assume. Specifically go to the learning team if you have one in your job as they will know more than your manager or co-workers.
150 Q's Mock exam results on the 4 days leading up to my exam:
16th: 77% via Peter Landini 17th: 70% via Peter Landini 17th: 78% via AR exam at the end of his course 18th: 78% via Peter Landini 19th: 65% via Joseph Phillips 20th: 77% via Peter Landini 21st: Exam Day , Pass (T/AT/T/AT)
Recourses I used in the order in which I recommend they be used:
Ricardo Vargas's YouTube : I watched numerous times as different stages but should be your 1st step. (10/10) Pocket Prep: I bought 3 months but I recommend just utilizing the free version. Good to grasp the contents. This link gets you 20% off if you wish to purchase. (7/10) AR's course here : The best of a bad bunch of very dry, dull and boring course content that simply has to be covered. Overall, I recommend. (8/10) Peter Landini Quiz Book: I bought the book BUT, go to pg 152 which gives you a link to online mock exams. This one is a must in my opinion. (10/10) David McLachlan's YouTube: for any areas you are unsure of with logical explanations. (10/10)
And last but not least, for anyone that struggles with the EVM related Q's I highly recommend the below:
To remember the formula, watch this and write it out every other day: Earned Value Management Formulas in 5 Minutes! (youtube.com) (10/10) To remember the logic of the EVM's : Earned Value Analysis with no math for the PMP Exam (youtube.com) (10/10)
Closing Comments:
Review the exam content outline doc from the PMI website , specifically pages 6 then 8-11. It outlines exactly what to expect in the exam, don’t waste time trying to spot the themes on this sub. This is the shortcut your looking for.
submitted by awjdmd to capm [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:06 Short_Algo $LSCC Awaiting Buy Signal based off 5 signals $2,910 net profit 5.15 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$LSCC Awaiting Buy Signal based off 5 signals $2,910 net profit 5.15 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:05 halfkeck Lemons aren't always bitter, a 24 Hours of Lemons story. Race 11 Part 1

"You should go to Hallett. We went last year and it was fun. A good track for Miata's"
My friend Gerry the Texan who along with his team brings several Miata's to races all over from Road America to Houston to Seibring. It's a great bunch of people who are having a blast racing Lemons. He told me that and it got me to thinking. We wanted to go to a new track this year and after the disappointment at Barber going somewhere and having some fun sounded good. Also Hallett is noted for having a smaller field so we could be competitive. I always say that Barber is more like a pro level Lemons race in that it attracts the faster and better prepped teams. Road America was like that too.
But first we have to fix the car. As typical, we wait until the race is almost upon us to start. There's the matter of how bad the car is bent from the last race where Manny hit the wall. They thought it was good but we need to check this.
After pulling the rear sub frame in hopes of replacing it we learn that a 90 is a bit different than a 91 subframe or a 2001 subframe. Supposedly it all interchanges but after looking over the differences, Youngest adds a few reinforcements at places the internet gurus say are the weak points and we put the rear end together and put it back in the car. Then we check the alignment. To my great surprise the rear camber and caster is spot on. I was shocked, but the crew did a great job that night fixing the car while it was up on jack stands. Using just a tape measure they got the car really close. Toe was out but the borrowed porta powers got the bent subframe where it needed to be.
We changed the oil and brake fluid, bled the system where we took the rear apart to drop the subframe.
Another project we attempted was to swap in a larger fuel tank. Manny who has been helping with the repairs found a article on the internet that said you could bolt in a NB fuel tank out of a 2001 or so Miata and gain a gallon of fuel capacity. Yeah, that is not possible. The tank has a hump where the car does not and would involve cutting a hole in the car which would be a bit noticeable. Not worth it for such a little gain. Good news is I now have two extra NB tanks if anyone needs one. A gallon would not seem to be that much but we are still dreaming of two stopping the car at certain tracks, stretching our mileage to only stop every two hours and 25 minutes and make a seven hour day with one less stop. It's not all about raw speed, strategy can make a difference. One less stop per day could potentially add ten laps in a weekend of racing at certain tracks.
After we got the subframe in and the car aligned Youngest pulled it all apart again. He was not happy with the bushings holding the rear differential in place. The rear has to move a bit so it is not solid mounted, it actually can pivot a slight bit. He felt the bushings holding it were letting it move too freely.
Once again we put the car back together.
All during this time Manny and FabGuy have been working hard on a new car. Manny got a little crazy on Co-part. First one Miata shows up at our shop. Then another. Then another. I started joking with the guys "Hi I'm Manny, I might have a Miata addiction". Yeah. So after a lot of looking we have three wrecked cars, one being a automatic that was absolutely destroyed. It had zero good body panels and even the front subframe was pushed back where it had got up on something in a wreck. I think the only things we saved off that car was a rear axle, engine, transmission and the hard top which was cracked but usable.
We then robbed enough body parts off of one to put on the other so we ended up with a mostly maroon car with a drivers side red fender, red door and silver hardtop. I say we but all we did at the shop was to take the cars apart, everything else went to Manny's garage where he and FabGuy installed the cage and built the car. They did bring it over a time or two to put in the air to install a few parts or when we aligned it. The build and fitment were top notch on the car, lots of nice parts went in, like a better seat and belts than we use on our Miata. Like most builds they were literally bolting parts to it the night before we loaded the car to head west.
Finally both cars are prepped and it's time to get on the road. Manny has a business where he uses two rollbacks and moves cars mostly to and from car lots and auction lots. So he gets the newer one of the two trucks and shows up at the shop Thursday morning. RacerGuy and I are already there and have hooked our camper to RacerGuys truck. I am leaving my trucks at home, but taking our race trailer and our camper. The plan is to hook the camper to RacerGuys diesel F250 and hook the race trailer to Manny's newish Chevy 4500.
The plan nearly goes off the rails when Manny shows up and I get to looking at his truck. Being in the business I can't not help but look at tires. His drives are terrible, two are bald, one is soft and one showing wire. I go to air up one of the bald ones and it's not having it. Air is leaking out as fast as it was going in. In Manny's defense his employee was driving this truck and Manny had not seen it in weeks. I had already loaded tire tools and extra spare tires for every truck and trailer in the caravan except RacerGuy's truck and I would have got a spare for it too if I had thought about it. With nothing else to do, we all jump in and start busting tires. Forty five minutes later we have four new drives on the truck and we are in a much better spot to make the long drive. I hadn't done any big truck tires for a long time, sold that part of the business. Still got it, just like riding a bike.
We find I40 and start clicking off miles. Manny has already told us the limiting factor which is that GM put a really tiny fuel tank in his truck so we are forced to stop every 160-180 miles for fuel. It slows us down but it's not all bad, we find a roadside BBQ joint that looks like a camper up on blocks that has a huge parking lot and a ton of customers lining up. Of course we try it out, the best BBQ comes from little places like that, not the ones with massive buildings.
We cross Arkansas and I think it was the first time I ever went that way westbound on 40. Came back the other side when we brought the box truck back where we bought it in California. We finally make Oklahoma and bent north to go to Tulsa. Did not see the Tulsa King anywhere, stopped in a Super Walmart and stocked up on groceries for the weekend. Hallett is in the middle of nowhere, so we are planning on eating at the track.
We get there and make our way into the paddock. This will be the first time we have every camped inside the track. They have a cross over with gates that close during when the track is hot and a tunnel for access when the gates are closed. The tunnel looks kind of tight, I'm happy to not test the posted height limits. It says our trailers should fit. Yeah we will wait.
We hustle to get the camper leveled and the generator cranked up. For the next three days it will run non-stop to keep the fridge cold and our lights on. We run the a/c but for the most part temps are very nice.
The next morning we are up and on the road after the drivers meeting. We go to Pawnee, take in some sights then hit Stillwater for some parts and pieces at a hardware store. We also gas up all our empty gas cans so we are ready for race day.
Back at the track Manny and Fabguy are unloading their car off the back of the rollback. It was nice carrying one and towing one car. They go out and practice a bit, come in and make some changes then go out again. It's a new build and everyone has realistic expectations about the car. We are all expecting issues as it takes a while to find the weak spots and fix them.
We get our car out and practice. We send three of the four drivers out and have them run a few laps. I'm about to get ready and go out when RacerGuy comes in and says he felt something pop. We get to looking and the adjuster is gone off the alternator. Look a little more and the bolt has broken off in the alternator. So we have a spare motor in the trailer but it is missing the adjuster. Looks like we need the adjuster, the bolt and the alternator. We make a few visits around the paddock to look for parts but none of the other Miata teams have what we need. Youngest goes into the trailer and in a small miracle finds the adjuster laying under the spare motor loose. He and Coach head into Tulsa on a parts run while Manny agrees to put me into their car for a few laps so I can get a feel for the track. I've watched a hundred laps on Youtube but nothing is like actually driving the track. I go out and don't push things too hard. It is a very worn surface with some patches, particularly in the groove of turn two. Manny's car drives a lot different than ours, you can really tell you have more power and grip. Their tires are a lot wider as well as having 30-40 more hp. They have been working on the car all day and just finished taking off the lines where they installed a remote oil filter, they were not Lemons grade and were leaking.
Just before dark Youngest gets the parts on the car. We also install a helmet blower, we are going to try to use the air to defrost the windshield. All reports indicate rain is coming Sunday.
Then it's dinner time. Our friends from Minnesota have brought pure Lemons art down in the form of a Chrysler Magnum wagon powered by a slant 6 that is mid mounted. It is a engineering feat and runs out nicely. Adam the team leader and I have been planning and they are cooking for us for tonight and we are cooking for them Saturday night. They show us up by putting on a feed with steaks and salad. I'm feeling bad about the fact we are serving hamburgers, coleslaw and potato salad the next night. It was great.
Saturday morning dawns and we are up and moving around. I give up waiting on a shower as the line is too long inside and try the outdoor shower. It has no roof, just walls. It was ok. The next morning I tried it again and it was freezing, no hot water!
I skip breakfast and get ready to get in the car. I want to get on the grid early as I still am not feeling great about the track. The laps in Manny's car did not give me much to make me feel really attuned to the track as I was learning both the car and the track at the same time. I want all the practice laps I can get in our car. The line up is me, Youngest, Coach and then RacerGuy bringing up the finish for the day. FabGuy is gridded about ten cars behind us and he is under team orders to take it easy to start the race.
We get out and start doing pace laps. Soon enough it's green and the race is on. A few laps in Fabguy blasts by me. So much for taking it easy. Going into turn 2 I see a car off track. I mean he's not a little off the racing surface, he's 150 feet off the corner and just about in the tree line. I wonder what happened there. I am starting to get the hang of the track and pick up some speed. Then I mess up early on and miss the line completely going into turn 9 from 8 and run off the track. I fire the car back up and quickly exit and head to the penalty box.
"what happened?'
"I missed the line and ran out of asphalt and talent all about the same time"
The judge kind of laughs, "keep it on the track" and sends me back out. Youngest has made it to penalty and looks the car over from my adventure in the dirt and grass and gives the go ahead. If you are going to mess up do it right at the entrance to pit road, it really cuts down your time off track!
I run clean the rest of the stint. I tiptoe around the corner I went off but run hard the rest of the track without pushing so hard I get off again. Then Youngest, then Coach. We are having one of the best days we have ever had at the track. Besides my adventure off track no one else has messed up. Our stops are clean and quick. Our times top to bottom are very similar and consistent. Something strange is happening. We are in the top 15 overall and since we managed to get put in B class we are doing very well. Only 50 cars at Hallett this weekend, the smallest Lemons field we have ever competed against.
Fabguy pulls off to go to the gas pumps. We are fueling on pit road but they are going to just fuel at the pumps this race. They aren't planning on winning anything so why go to all the trouble of getting all your gear on and doing hot pit stops? Fabguy comes off a little hot and the officials come over to tell them they were over the ten mph paddock limit. Manyy drives the car up to the penalty and Fabguy comes up and they are told they are good to go. Later Manny gets off the track and goes to penalty. They start in on him not serving the penalty for going too fast in the pits. "we served that penalty" The judge goes off "do you really want to argue about this" Later when they realize the team was right and the previous judge had not marked it off the offenders list before going on break. In a first the judge apologizes to them.
With about two hours left in the day their Miata is towed off. The engine is super hot and will not crank. All signs look bad. Later it cools off and will crank, but cranks with ease, signs of a engine that has lost all compression. Their weekend is done and Fabguy heads out to get a headstart on getting to work early Monday. The rest of us will pull an all nighter after the race Sunday.
I start doing the math and realize it's going to be very tight. We make our calcuations based on a normal 7 hour race day. Today is a 7.5 hour day which is a bit longer than normal when racing Lemons. I figured out the stints and got it wrong. We realize our mistake and run Coach a bit longer before we put in RacerGuy. It's going to come right down to the limit of our fuel mileage. We start planning dinner and cleaning up the paddock with about ten minutes to go when all the sudden we realize the car is not out there. We run to the pumps and find Racerguy there. He ran out and limped the car to the pumps but could not get all the way there. By the time we get the car pushed around to get fuel the race is over for the day. I feel like a total idiot, I could have ran another five minutes easily in the car in the morning and not had this problem.
But the good news is that somehow even after I went off the track and and then we ran out of gas was that we were still very good on the day. We had enough of a lead on the car behind us in Class B that we still had a 7 lap lead even after running out of gas. Even better our paddock mates in the Chrysler are putting a shellacking on Class C as well. Their Magnum wagon is running a Richard Petty scheme, they all have uniforms and the requisite trademark Petty cowboy hat and STP logos, only this time it means "Slow Through Paddock" signs and all. They actually shouted this out when doing the morning driving meeting when they were going over the rules. "STP, Slow through Paddock!" every time the officials discussed that rule in the drivers meeting.
We put everything away, rain is moving in. We are in shock about how well everything is going. Surely we will find a way to loose this race tomorrow. Will other cars be faster in the rain? Will we shoot ourselves in the foot and have poor driving and get multiple black flags? Will something break on the car which has been running great all day long? And who the heck is this Coach guy? All that and more when we wrap up this in the next part of this story. Stay tuned!
submitted by halfkeck to TalesFromAutoRepair [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:05 Short_Algo $BRKR Awaiting Buy Signal based off 4 signals $4,632 net profit 9.34 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$BRKR Awaiting Buy Signal based off 4 signals $4,632 net profit 9.34 profit factor 75% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:05 Comfortable_Dot_5906 [SELL] Multi-brand destash!

Multi-brand destash! Polishes are either $5 or $2, unless marked differently. Assume all polishes are swatched. Paypal payment only. Shipping for 2 polishes is $6 and $0.25 for every additional polish. Can also ship to Canada, but shipping would have to be calculated
$5 polishes:
LynB Designs: It's Only Forever Feb 24 Fandom Flakies
Dimension Nails: Red Muntjac
Virgon Moon: Vieux Carré LboH September 2022
Noodles Nail Polish: Dunkie Junkie PPU 5/23
Cuticula: Stroke of Venus Galaxy Macaron Collection
Glam Polish: Can't Stop The Feeling!
Stella Chroma: You Have No Idea Buddy
JM: Jordache
Cirque: Fata Morgana ($7)
Victorian Varnish: Pyrope
2$ Polishes (choose one for free with the purchase of 2 polishes)
Zoya: Avi, Lotus, Andrea, Koley
H&M: Mustard
Sally Hansen: Leaf me be
Orly: Below Zero ($1)
Pictures
submitted by Comfortable_Dot_5906 to RedditLaqueristaSwap [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:04 porky11 Game idea: The mangod

Idea

Since I've heard about the abilities and the goals of the mangod I've been thinking about a game where one person plays as the mangod.
It might make sense to use the world of MT, but it's not neccessary for this game.

Thoughts

I wasn't sure how it would work. I thought it would have to be a narrative game. Every character and their stories would have to be set up manually. That's a lot of effort, and it the end you would just finish the game once. Or maybe reach all endings once, and that's it. In the end you would just click all paths. It wouldn't really be strategic.
I thought it would be nice if it was more strategic. Similar to Sudoku, or even more like Minesweeper. You have limited knowledge of the world. There are simple rules. Sometimes you might have to guess. And if you make a mistake it's over.
While reading I always thought of it as huge decision trees. Multiple lines going out from each character, depending on their decisions. And most of them lead to the mangod dying. The mangod would always look at all the paths and try to find one which doesn't lead to his death.
So I thought, it would make sense if for each (important) character a huge decision tree will be generated. And all the decision trees will be connected (so a decision of person A might influence the decisions of person B later).
Depending on the setting it might be possible to see the future of all charactres. But I guess being able to track the future of multiple hundreds of characters would be overkill.
It's was never clear to me why the mangod wasn't able to switch desciples all the time. Maybe I missed it somehow. But if it's possible to look at the future of somebody, he would know his future, and so he wouldn't even have to switch back. So in the end he could just see the future of all characters. And that might be overpowerd. So if his restriction is explained somewhere, I would like to know.
However, I think in a game it would make sense if the mangod never sees all possible paths of the furture of some person. And besides that, it's only possible to switch desciples once per step. An step could be a day, month, year...
I have these basic ideas: - see all possible paths of the person, but only the paths which don't require any interference by other persons - see all paths of the person, but only the paths which can be reached by influencing - only see a few steps in advance, and the likelyhood of important outcomes (especially the death of the mangod, maybe also the death of other characters)
So these huge decision trees for each character might be generated in advance. But they might also be only generated partially.
Generating a decision tree for a single character, who only has two options every year, which would lead to more than one quadrillion (1,000,000,000,000,000) paths. That might be difficult to program, and even more difficult to keep track of when playing as the mangod. So it would be more reasonable if there are only around 10 important events a character might take part in, which also influence the lives of other characters. Most other things are likely rather unimportant.
But there might be different paths to reach one of these important points. For example you want to avoid some characters to get children, there are different paths they could end up together. So you would just have to avoid these if most of your deaths rely in this event. So these unimportant decisions usually add up to become important. But in the end, many decisions don't change a lot and just lead to the same or the same few paths (strong fate).
It would be nice if these trees could be generated automatically. It would still be neccessary to fill them with story I guess. It wouldn't need to be complicated story. Just simple events like "Person A dies", "Person A impregnates person B", "Person A becomes king", "Person A moves from place X to Y", etc. So maybe generating these automatically should work, too. Maybe somehow generating mini stories, which could be used to generate huge stories. I guess using modern AI wouldn't make much sense, though.

Gameplay

The basic game loop might look like this: - you play as the mangod - each step (day, month, year) you select your three deciples - you can look through their possible futures (trees containing around 10 important possible events, and maybe hundreds of unimportant events; not everything might be visible from the beginning) - you can tell each charactre some information you know - then the next step begins - the game ends when the mangod dies - the goal of the mangod might be one of these: - survive for a fixed time - kill some enemy (like Orsted) - ensure there are only paths which don't lead to death (maybe by killing Orsted)
It's probably easier as a single player game where all the characters are NPCs. The NPCs might just always go the same path if the mangod doesn't interfere. But there might also be some randomness instead. Maybe the only "randoness" might come from special characters, which cannot be seen (basically Orsted).
But it might also make sense as a multiplayer game. Either online, or if possible even some kind of table top. But since the mangod would always have three deciples, there should be way more other players (but the rules could also be tweaked so the mangod can only have one desciple at a time). So as a realtime online game it would probably make more sense.
If it's a multiplayer game, the main problem is, that the players already know that the mangod doesn't care about them. So it might be difficult to make them trust the mangod. There would have to be some gameplay mechanic, which makes it reasonable for the mangod to tell the truth. Building trust doesn't work. In the end, the players already know that the mangod would only build trust to betray them one day. Maybe the mangod could explain to somebody that they have the same goals, and the other player might believe it, so they would gladly work together.

Similar game ideas

I already had ideas for similar games before. A game about the mangod would be a mix between the two.

Strategy game

A strategy game, where you follow the stories of multiple charactres (similar to Samurai Warriors 3). Each character has their own story, but depending on which battles you win and lose with each character, or which paths you choose, you might have different paths for other characters.

Demon possesion

You are a demon and always posses one character. You can just live inside them and do nothing, but you can also influence them in various ways. You can communicate to them directly, or you can just give them ideas and feelings. You can be honest or you can lie. You can control their bodies by force or you can make them consent to controlling their bodies.
There might be three ways to switch the person you posses: - you are locked into a magic artifact, like a ring, so the possessed person have to give the ring to the other person - just be close enough - be close and the other person needs to be in a vulnerable state of mind (maybe sad, maybe in love, maybe while being intimate)
It would likely be an episodic game. You would probably start on a small island with only 5 people and have to leave this island at first. And in the end you might get your body back or kill the person who banned you.

Implementation

I doubt I'll actually try to program it for real, but it might be helpful that I've already written a performant perti net simulator in C. Perti nets can be used to represent connected decision trees.

End

So now I've written it down somewhere. Any thoughts?
submitted by porky11 to sixfacedworld [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:04 Short_Algo $FLEX Awaiting Buy Signal based off 7 signals $1,799 net profit 6.4 profit factor 85% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$FLEX Awaiting Buy Signal based off 7 signals $1,799 net profit 6.4 profit factor 85% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:04 Ghost00074 [36m] Looking for friends and looking for my bestie!

Hello! My name is Ralph and I am 36. I am looking for friends and also my future bestie.
I am 36, and I am flight crew so I get paid to travel the world. I live in Florida but since I travel for work I am not on any specific sleep schedule and time zone, and I am naturally nomadic since I travel full time. I am married, I have been with my wife for almost 13 years. But I still need friends!
I am a nerd and I also produce electronic music, such as house, drum and bass, trance, etc. I love gaming and I am a huge gamer.
I am looking for friends who are like me. People who get my level of sarcasm and can vibe with me from the beginning and laugh with me, etc. I am extremely picky with the friends I choose.
If you think you can become friends with me or one day my bestie, message me! The bestie thing takes time, it just has to happen. But message me and let’s vibe!!! I am eventually though looking for my best friend. Someone who I can be friends with and get along with, someone who actually gets along with my wife which isn’t hard. Being friends with her isn’t a requirement though. Someone who gets me, and I get them, and we laugh, hang out one day and in general, and overall just an awesome best friend.
If you are fellow airline flight crew, feel free to message me too! It would be cool to talk!
US only! I am looking for real life friends not just online. Let’s talk! :)
submitted by Ghost00074 to MeetNewPeopleHere [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:03 Ghost00074 Looking for friends and looking for my bestie! [36/M]

Hello! My name is Ralph and I am 36. I am looking for friends and also my future bestie.
I am 36, and I am flight crew so I get paid to travel the world. I live in Florida but since I travel for work I am not on any specific sleep schedule and time zone, and I am naturally nomadic since I travel full time. I am married, I have been with my wife for almost 13 years. But I still need friends!
I am a nerd and I also produce electronic music, such as house, drum and bass, trance, etc. I love gaming and I am a huge gamer.
I am looking for friends who are like me. People who get my level of sarcasm and can vibe with me from the beginning and laugh with me, etc. I am extremely picky with the friends I choose.
If you think you can become friends with me or one day my bestie, message me! The bestie thing takes time, it just has to happen. But message me and let’s vibe!!! I am eventually though looking for my best friend. Someone who I can be friends with and get along with, someone who actually gets along with my wife which isn’t hard. Being friends with her isn’t a requirement though. Someone who gets me, and I get them, and we laugh, hang out one day and in general, and overall just an awesome best friend.
If you are fellow airline flight crew, feel free to message me too! It would be cool to talk!
US only! I am looking for real life friends not just online. Let’s talk! :)
submitted by Ghost00074 to MakeNewFriendsHere [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:03 GetOutTheWayBanana [HELP] a poem about Icarus. Not the one you’re thinking of

I read a poem in some online medium, which I know because the online medium was itself part of it. I feel like it was multiple images maybe and swiping through it went through the poem. It’s in the first-person perspective of Icarus, free verse, maybe seems like it’s going to be funny at first (like along the lines of “my dad just got me these wings, says we’re gonna escape, dope”) and then gets heartbreaking as you go, ending with something like “I’m not afraid I’m not afraid I’m not-“
It is not “Rewriting Icarus” by Fiona. It may or may not have been from tumblr or Instagram or another online medium.
submitted by GetOutTheWayBanana to Poetry [link] [comments]


2024.05.21 23:03 Short_Algo $QRVO Awaiting Short Signal based off 10 signals $14,509 net profit 6.06 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money

$QRVO Awaiting Short Signal based off 10 signals $14,509 net profit 6.06 profit factor 80% win rate on a 15-min chart. Free trial at https://www.ultraalgo.com/?afmc=46 #trading #stocks #investing #money submitted by Short_Algo to StockTradingIdeas [link] [comments]


http://rodzice.org/