What's up regards?!

You don't remember me since I haven't posted here since the July 2023 boycott (when I deleted my entire post history).

Many of you are looking for an answer as to what's happening right now and I'll be honest, as much as I love seeing the memes.... it's time an OG like myself schools you all on market mechanics.

Let's get some admin stuff out the way real quick.
My credentials: my first buy order was Jan 18th, 2021 when I saw the hype on the Betz sub and used TA to check out GME. I saw the ascending triangle on the chart and invested $1000 expecting GME to go bankrupt. Imagine my surprise when a week later my account hit $80k before they shut off the buy button. You think TA doesn't work? Cool. Who cares. I'm here to make money, not argue over tea leaves. I now own xxxx shares and attempted to DRS my calls like a true regard. I've written 3 DD on Options and Market Mechanics which wound up at the top of the sub and all ~fall of 2022. How do you think I have all that karma without any posts?

Moving On.

The market is insanely complex, so forgive me for trying to simplify these complex mechanics into an easy to read social media post. People who understand, PLEASE... help me in the comments. All of this stuff can be found on Investopedia or a quick ChatGPT prompt.
There are four main mechanics at play right now driving the stock price: 1. options, 2. Direct Registration, 3. social media, 4. DFV.

Part 1. Options

Look, I get it. This sub hates options because 99% of us lose money on them. Fun fact, you aren't supposed to hold options to close. They are meant for quick plays where you get in and out, but don't want to tie up all of your capital waiting a week for the stock to settle. Here's the rub: Options drive the vast majority of the market. Considering the ENTIRE GLOBAL GDP is $109 trillion, from every country on earth. The estimated options only market: $12.4 trillion actual value, with a notional value of $600 trillion!!! Options alone are 6x the entire global GDP. If you don't think a handful of calls move the price.... well. Go back to school I guess and learn how to math.
Call contracts are worth 100 shares each, so options are like 100x leverage over shares for like 10% of the cost. So when the price swings drastically, options pay back way more money than shares, but unlike shares, they expire and go to zero. The way options were created, they also affect the share price 10x+ more than shares. Most retail (I.e. plebs like me and you) don't know this. Options (calls specifically) give the option to buy 100 shares of a stock at an agreed price, the strike price. The formula to calculate the price of an options contract is very complicated but consist of variables called the Greeks.
The two main Greeks are the delta and gamma. The delta says how much a contract will affect the share price, I.e. acceleration (up or down), and the gamma sets the impact on market makers who wrote the contract. Remember, someone has to sell stocks if a contract gets executed. So gamma is the rate of change for the delta (i.e. the higher the gamma, the faster the delta increases.) Since market makers have special privileges, they don't have to own the shares before they write (sell) the options contract to buyers. This is (one method) of naked shorting a stock. Most call strikes are out of the money (above the share price) so market makers don't own 100% of the stock to sell if a contract goes in the money. I.e. the share price goes above the strike price. So what happens? This is where delta becomes important. The market maker has to go onto the open market and buy the shares that they don't have. This is called delta hedging. Well, if the options delta is high when the MM go to the market to buy the naked shares, the price becomes volatile and starts to skyrocket. Now, since the gamma affects the delta, as a ton of people start buying options, each options gamma begins to grow, exponentially increasing the delta effect on the stock price.
In GMEs case, the stock has been extremely flat, with no volatility for months. This dropped the delta significantly over time and most options contracts were nearly worthless if they were more than $5 above GME's share price. Last week the price started moving up into low delta strike prices (which were un-hedged by MMs). As the price continues going up, more call strikes go in the money leaving the naked MM's at very high risk. Now the market makers have to hedge those calls since they are either in the money, or about to be in the money. Since each call is 100 shares, for every call bought, the MM has to buy 100 shares (oversimplifying). So if there's 16,000 calls that means 1.6M shares have to be purchased on the open market.
Joe schmoe isn't moving the share price with his $5,000 stock purchase. But if a MM has to buy $54.4m of shares at once (1.6m shares times $34), guess where the price goes? UP.
https://preview.redd.it/wfk4as7lhd0d1.jpg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e682d09b140f856b385d359a1ef6f6f06541a31c
So now the price skyrockets due to the MM massive purchases, putting even more calls in the money. Requiring more hedging. Requiring more purchases, requiring more hedging. This ramp is called the Gamma ramp. Eventually the loop stops and the price stabilizes at the top of the gamma ramp. Right now, the max strike yesterday was $34 for GME so the ramp can't go higher (which is why after market close the price moved up to $33). But today, when the new strikes are released (max strike is $57), if there's enough hedging required, the ramp continues until either 1. No more hedging is required, or 2. the stock hits max strike price again ($57, and the stock price is currently at $45 at 6am). Wait a day, rinse repeat. (FYI, MM have two days to hedge, so just because the price drops down to $28, does not mean the hedging is complete for today). Low supply + high demand = recipe for insane share prices as MMs fight to close out their naked shorts.
Check out this chart from 2021:
https://preview.redd.it/bv329dpnhd0d1.jpg?width=624&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=069dfc38cdaf33cff6c514614ad999730b610799
This has happened so many times in the market and this is a GAMMA squeeze. GME is not being short squeezed right now. It's being gamma squeezed. However, if too many contracts are sold short, they still require a share to close the position. Too many shorts equals not enough shares. It becomes the hunger games on crack. A gamma squeeze is the predecessor to a short squeeze. If the gamma squeeze keeps going through this week, next week will be a blood bath as the short squeeze kicks off and Market Makers begin liquidating real companies like Apple and NVDA and TSLA to pay for the GME squeeze.

Part 2: DRS

Okay, so now we established that GME is undergoing a Gamma Squeeze, pushing the price high, very very quickly. Well, for literal years, this sub has DRS'd over 75 million shares, removing approximately 50% of the float, that we know of. This means that HALF the available shares on the market are locked away from MMs, who can no longer use them to hedge with. DRS was never going to cause the MOASS, but DRS is like pouring a thousand gallons of gas on a camp fire. It's going to go BOOM and there's nothing can stop it. Take the limited supply due to the gamma ramp, and get rid of HALF the remaining supply. It's making the gamma ramp problem exponentially worse.
https://preview.redd.it/bfcturw8id0d1.png?width=726&format=png&auto=webp&s=c6d2622586ac9a9bf40e00386a716b5616974dd1
It's possible that the DTCC failed to properly account for real shares, and let Market Makers use their liquidity fairy powers to create fake shares by naked selling them through brokers. If this is the case, then there are no actual shares for market makers to buy off the open market to fulfill their obligations during the gamma squeeze. Just like the old punch buggy squeeze in 2008, no shares alone will cause the price to skyrocket. This means that we are about to see Institutions blow up as their obligations exceed their assets with no way to purchase real shares off the market. When these banks, hedge funds, and market makers blow up, it's going to ripple across the market. Expect a lot of drama from everywhere including many unexpected places.

Part 3: Social Media

How does social media play in this? The spread of information. Remember the old bets sub, where people yolo'd tens of thousands of dollars into options contracts in order to make a fortune? Yeah, for every one person on that sub YOLOing their entire 401k into 0DTE calls, there are probably 10 more who dump theirs into the exact same stock options. Suddenly, those $10k YOLO posts are the equivalent of $100k+ for each one posted. $10k in share prices won't affect the price much, but $10k in high delta calls? Yeah, RIP to the Market Makers trying to buy and hedge shares.
Additionally, the 2021 squeeze spread massive awareness of these types of events. Add in GME's synonymy with meme stock, make me rich, and the non-stop reminded for the last three years by this sub, no one is going to miss this opportunity to invest again. Remember bitcoin and Apple Computer, and Amazon? Who wouldn't go back and invest everything in those stocks. Social media is driving people to invest in GME, not wanting to miss the rocket this time around. And that bring me to my last point....

Part 4: DFV, the man himself, returns.

Remember this guy?
He made like... ALL the money... Off of only $50k initial invest in 2019! Insane!
He's Back...
https://preview.redd.it/108r9cm4md0d1.png?width=987&format=png&auto=webp&s=2faeaec294fb2a86a763f294822c42a962b31c33
Time to get serious. All the OG's like myself are back, and we have 3 years of savings to pour into this thing. This is our (un?)intentional catalyst. And MOASS is about to start.
BUCKLE UP. The fasten seat-belt sign is on. We are number one for departure....
TO THE MOON.

https://preview.redd.it/p94gmf5jbd0d1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=c46cb17b87dbca0da690eb4fb1e31af33a82523b
Hey everyone, MuscialMagical-1 here. I’ve been noticing a lot of debunks recently, so that must mean that they’re really popular and that I should make one as well. And luckily for me, there’s some idiot named MagicalMusical1 who just so happened to make what I consider the WORST matchup ever, so I’m going to absolutely debunk it now.

I’ve wanted to do this for a while, since my original post on the matchup was when I was just starting out writing connections. It’s still my number one favorite matchup of all time, and I’m not going to stop pushing for it, so let’s run this back again.

Didn’t ask. Moving on.

Note: SINoALICE lore is confusing and there’s just straight up multiple different versions of Snow White. I’m getting all my information from what I believe is the main incarnation of the character (Character Descriptions of the original classes, and the Main Story of SINoALICE Though even in the main story there’s like three different versions of Snow White in the lore but shhhhh) Also, there’s going to be a lot of yapping, so take caution

Why are you debunking yourself not even a minute into your connections list. Are you stupid? Also, I am absolutely prepared to yap back, so you’re the one who should be taking caution

Core Theme: Two similarly named characters who fight for justice by taking down those who are evil after the loss of those close to them. As their journeys progress, both will struggle with being their ideal selves, and be filled with self-doubt. However, there’s a very notable contrast with their paths of justice and how they handle their flaws.

You’re already putting these connections on your connections list anyways, so I don’t have to debunk this part at all

Two major characters in series that are darker takes of their respective genres (Magical Girls/Fairy Tales) with the two taking direct inspiration from those older media (MGRP Snow White’s design is based on classic magical girl outfits/SoA Snow White is literally a stand in for the Snow White in the original fairy tale)

First connection in and there’s already so much wrong here. First of all, Magical Girls and Fairy Tales are not similar in the slightest. Second of all, bro have you seen magical girl and fairy tale shit dude. This weird girl named Minky Mono literally gets hit by a truck and in the original Snow White, The Prince literally orders the Queen to wear a pair of red-hot iron slippers and to dance in them until she drops dead. Those both are so much darker than whatever you’re trying to say here. And lastly (Yes I’m still not done yet), comparing clothing to in your words “literally a stand in for the Snow White in the original fairy tale” What an absolutely comparable connection

They were initially naive, believing in the good in others despite the many times they’ve been proven wrong (MGRP Snow White believed that magical girls were pure, righteous champions of justice, even as the death game was ongoing and after she’d been attacked multiple times by other magical girls/SoA Snow White didn’t recognize the seven dwarves treating her like a slave, and even after her mother tried to kill her, she still wanted to forgive her)

This one isn’t too bad, since at the very least you’re comparing people that tried to kill both, but then you decided to put slavery into this one, really?

However, their breaking point would come after the deaths of those they were close to (La Pucelle and Hardgore Alice/The Prince). Both would blame themselves for these incidents (MGRP Snow White would believe that she was useless as she didn’t take any action that could’ve prevented these incidents/SoA Snow White would blame herself for letting the death of her prince occur, exclaiming that she’ll never forgive what happened)

Okay and now we’re back to the bad stuff. See, MagicalMusical1 uses “those they were close to” to hide how incomparable these people are. The Prince is literally her lover and husband, while La Pucelle and Hardgore Alice are just her friends.

From there, both would swear to use their strong senses of justice to never let these events happen ever again, deciding to go out and defeat those who are evil to make the world a better place (MGRP Snow White taking it upon herself to capture rogue magical girls/SoA Snow White swearing to punish all evil and enforce justice).

Erm, actually one is only fighting a certain type of person while the other is punishing all evil. This isn’t comparable in the slightest

Their personalities shift into stoic fighters who are ruthless to their enemies, yet still kind to those they consider allies.

Generic as fuck.

While we would never directly see these characters administer their justice (It is only stated that MGRP Snow White was able to capture around 30 rogue magical girls/It’s implied that SoA Snow White ruled over her nation as an good enforcer of justice and changed some endings of stories for the better), we will see their paths changing as they go on a journey for another person important to them. (MGRP Snow White goes around trying to look for any clues regarding the whereabouts of Ripple/SoA Snow White goes around killing nightmares in order to revive her authors, The Grimm Brothers)

Firstly, MagicalMusical I know that you don’t actually have the evidence that SoA Snow White ruled her nation as a good enforcer of justice and only are getting that from her TV Tropes page. Secondly, bro why are you doing the “person important to them” shit again. The Grimm Brothers are literally SoA Snow Whites’ creators while Ripple is just MGRP Snow White’s friend.

On these new paths, they try to hold on to their ideals, but over time, their flaws become apparent, and they begin to doubt themselves. (MGRP Snow White continues to get roped up into deadly situations but unable to save everyone like she wants to, causing her to not believe herself to be deserving of her title of Magical Girl HunteSoA Snow White begins to doubt her justice as she continues the immoral path of killing sentient and potentially innocent beings in order to achieve her goal, with the voices of those she killed haunting her)

Ah yes, one is regretting not saving enough people while the other is regretting killing. I can absolutely see the connection there (Breaking character for a moment, holy shit that’s actually another badass contrast this matchup has now that I think about it.)

Extra connections that aren’t really about major story beats/are kinda a stretch thanks to the aforementioned multiple different versions of SoA Snow White in the main story, but still interesting to note the coincidental similarities these two share:

Again, please stop debunking yourself in your own connections list please. And these aren’t even safe either.

Both deal with manipulative mascot-type characters that try to drive both, and other characters like them to kill each other. (Fav, manipulating the events of Unmarked to turn it into a magical girl death exam/Parrah and Noya, who force the cast kill each other, most notably in Act of Elimination)

Parrah and Noya are puppets, please tell me where the “mascot-type” comes from.

While initially put off by these characters at first, both would eventually have a friendship with an Alice in Wonderland inspired character with a darker color scheme and a theme of obsession (Hardgore Alice, who is very focused on being with Snow White and protecting heAlice, who has a theme of bondage and feels heavily attached to her author)

Okay, not only are these characters obsessed with two different people, but one’s named Alice and the other is named Hardgore Alice. Completely incomparable.

Both are noted to be very beautiful (Magical Girls in MGRP are described to be “too beautiful to be human”/SoA Snow White, similarly to the story she’s based on, has incredible beauty that mesmerized everyone in her country)

Bro this connection is so generic that I literally cannot find anything to debunk about it.

Both would eventually be reunited with the person they were looking for, only for an unforeseen event to occur that caused them to lose said important person once again and cause the two to be broken once again (MGRP Snow White would be able to find Ripple, but in her mind control we state, Ripple would kill someone and run away once the mind control wore off, leaving MGRP Snow White to feel helpless and lose hope for a moment/SoA Snow White eventually revives her author in Act of Authors, only for Henrietta Dorothea Wild to be revived instead, and after Snow White killed her, her justice was put into question, leading to herself falling into despair)

Okay, I already said how the important people here aren’t comparable so I'll just say that MGRP Snow White’s friend is killing someone while SoA Snow White is the one doing the killing.

In different points in their stories, both get involved with deadly mobile games with the same name as their series. (The death exam that MGRP Snow White would be involved with would begin due to the Magical Girl Raising Project mobile game/Act of SINoALICE takes place in the real world, with the characters having to deal with nightmares that spawned due to the in-universe SINoALICE mobile game)

The death exam happens in the beginning of MGRP Snow White’s story while Act of SINoALICE happens near the end of SoA Snow White’s story.

Unsure about this one yet as MGRP: Red isn’t translated yet, but from what I’ve heard, both would battle, and lose, to another version of themselves who has less qualms with killing (Homunculus Snow White/Reality Snow White)

I’m skipping this one too as I haven’t read MGRP: Red either. It’s probably wrong tho.

Both have a connection to Batman of all characters (MGRP Snow White has been called the Batman of Magical Girls by the fanbase due to her backstory and the fact that she has a supercomputer assistant mascot/SINoALICE did a collab with DC Comics, with Snow White getting a class where she dressed as Batman) (Yeah this is a huge stretch, but the fact that you can make this stretch at all is the funniest thing ever)
Both are the fan-favorite characters of their respective series, even placing first on official popularity polls.
Oh yeah they have the same name.

Damn all three of these connections are actually solid (especially the Batman one) I have nothing to say here

Contrasts:

What? These aren’t connections. I don’t have anything to say here because the only thing that really matters are connections.
So that’s all for the connections, but the potential is bad as well. There’s literally no reason why MGRP Snow White wouldn’t just ignore SoA Snow White, and I don’t see why SoA Snow White would care about MGRP Snow White since she didn’t really care about Reality Snow White in Act of Elimination.
And the fight potential reeks as well, you’re taking SoA Snow White, a character with swords, bows, polearms, hammers, orbs, instruments, books, staffs, literal nightmares, against someone with only one weapon and then MagicalMusical1 then tries to say that Half-Nightmare Snow White will be used in the fight when that’s never happened in the main story of SINoALICE.

Debate:

I’m skipping this. I literally do now know what MagicalMusical1 is yapping about here.

So in conclusion, aside from debatability this matchup literally appeals to me on all fronts. A combination of good and funny connections, coupled with an amazing contrast. Interesting dynamics in both the fight and interactions. The potential for a very emotional story. And it uses obscure series and characters, one of whom is my favorite fictional character of all time and the other is also a strong contender. Yeah in my opinion this matchup is peak.

Nah bro, in conclusion this matchup sucks. It has bad connections, bad potential, and I forgot to say anything about the story but that probably sucks as well. And you’re using two obscure characters that will never be on Death Battle in the first place, so why even bother? So no, this matchup isn’t peak at all.
Besides, both have better anyways with Snow White vs Madoka Kaname and Snow White vs Kafka Hibano
…What the fuck did I just write?

I really really miss you, Mommy says you went to the store to get milk, anyways I'm failing all my classes and Mommy hits me very frequently and she changed my name to Tickle Tipson, anyways Daddy I forgive you for abusing me Please come back…😭