2021.09.16 12:31 TheNeys AutoCrypto
2024.06.08 18:22 subfla Insurance broker (auto/home/flood/umbrella)
2024.06.08 17:20 manuce94 Do you buy Auto+Tenant insurace from same company or Separately which method one saves you money ?
2024.06.08 00:33 Common_Positive9160 How to use auto-breakeven Tradingveiw/Tradovate
2024.06.07 22:38 Kalsifur Lost registration for old car (1982) that has been sitting at our cabin for years. ICBC tried to tell us VIN numbers were shorter than 17 digits in 1982 so they "have to check" the car in-person. How could they get this so wrong?
2024.06.07 12:36 -einfachman- The Game Will Stop
TL;DR: For the past 3 years, Citadel has allowed artificial runs in the GME price, hyped by MSM, only for the price to be tanked and options premiums scooped up by Citadel and friends. Keith Gill [AKA Roaring Kitty/DFV] played SHFs by taking advantage of this, not only helping introduce FOMO, bringing the GME price to more vulnerable levels for SHFs, but making enough money to turn the tables against shorts. RC’s strategy is also significantly helping close the walls on shorts. SHFs have been playing a game on retail for years, perpetually delaying FTDs and short closing obligations. We’ve reached a focal point in our journey. The game will stop. MOASS is inevitable. submitted by -einfachman- to Superstonk [link] [comments] § 0: Preface §1: Citadel’s Fake Run Was Disrupted § 2: Keith Gill’s Power Play § 3: RC is Closing the Walls I would like to thank the community for helping get my account unsuspended by Reddit. It means a lot to me. After my last post, Reddit suspended by account (without any warning or notification), and I had thought that was it. But Reddit unsuspended my account shortly after that highly upvoted post about my account being suspended, so I imagine they backtracked from the backlash. It wasn’t just me that got banned, though. There were apparently others. The Ape that was tracking Kenny’s plane got suspended around the same time as I did. Also, the Ape that posted about me being suspended even received a warning from Reddit a day later (he told me it was the first time he ever got a warning from Reddit). I think Reddit was planning to target certain Apes from the community to control the flow of information here. I don’t think that it’s a coincidence that restrictions on Superstonk and Apes in general have gotten stronger after Reddit’s IPO. It's prudent to know that Fidelity and Sequoia Capital have a stake in Reddit now. Sequoia Capital, mind you, invested $1.15 Billion in Citadel Securities in January 2022. Thinking about the future of the community, it would be smart to have some contingency plan if anything were to ever happen to SuperStonk. I know that we have Gangnam Style (it’s been our go-to since 2021), but the problem is that there’s no moderation there, and the flood of comments could inadvertently cause forum sliding, to say the least. Nobody would be able to post DD there without it being buried by thousands of comments flooding the page. Food for thought. Figured I should put that out there. With that being said, there’s a lot to discuss. The recent developments surrounding GME have completely changed the game, regardless of what happens to the price in the near future. There’s a pattern that I’ve noticed during these GME run ups these past years. Citadel & Co. will load up on calls, then you have some TA indicators lighting up, TA bros and the media start hyping it up as the stock price goes up. Everyone gets excited, then when euphoria is at its peak and everyone is jumping in on calls when the IV is crazy high, SHFs sell calls, buy puts, pull the rug and scoop up options premiums. Rinse and repeat. It seemed like that was going to happen again in May. If you look at Citadel’s recent 13-F, on March 31, their call-to-put ratio was 1.536:1. In other words, they had a significantly higher number of calls as opposed to puts. Now, I should note that these quarterly 13-F’s that get reported to the SEC only show a snapshot of SHF’s calls/puts, not to mention that this is 'only' what’s being reported. There could be options in offshore accounts that we don’t know about. Furthermore, SHFs could significantly increase call or put positions multiple times between their quarterly 13-F’s, and we’d never know. So, do take it with a grain of salt. Citadel’s last 13-F showed it bet on an increase in GME’s price, but they could’ve gotten loaded up on more calls before the positive media sentiment on GME as well as the run up. Regardless, here’s a chart to illustrate Citadel’s significant call option report, which was a month before the positive media sentiment on a “possible GME rally” right after: https://preview.redd.it/qvwqfm2rm45d1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=27205d00829676265b67fc1d2bd1d5326b6ed203 The media was hyping it up, before and after DFV came into the picture: https://preview.redd.it/j1curiasm45d1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=d150b8a36a464424d3cf94a393291475b098b2b4 There were several TA posts on SuperStonk hyping up the rally before DFV joined in. I imagine DFV saw indicators as well and he could turn this run up against the SHFs by joining in and getting in “competitive mode”. I doubt SHFs were anticipating the price going up ‘this’ high. Probably, they were going to have it go to $20-$30 max, but the emergence of DFV certainly did challenge their algorithm. I took the GME short volume data from the OCC and turned it into a graph to better illustrate why SHFs weren’t anticipating this dramatic swing in price. Here’s reported GME short volume from May 6-May 24: https://preview.redd.it/zcfpxghtm45d1.png?width=665&format=png&auto=webp&s=b478c217b3aa98aea192a7b89705470e3818f395 Went up nearly 6x from May 6. This tells us a couple other things (many OGs know this already). Shorts never closed, and they will keep doubling down until there is no recourse, putting the entire system at risk of collapse. For those that weren't aware, the SEC Report on October 2021 stated that there was no gamma/short squeeze on January 2021 [pg. 29 of the SEC Report]: https://preview.redd.it/j1plp8zum45d1.png?width=805&format=png&auto=webp&s=9aefdcb77d7919ce55c71988fe3cd665478ede06 That was all FOMO. Nobody closed their positions. Sure, a SHF might say they “covered” their position, but that’s very different from closing a position [see my Burning Cash DD for elaboration]. So, even when the GME price is at a high level [past crit. margin levels] like $50 or $60, it just means that SHFs are having a tougher time controlling the stock, but they will work very hard to regain algorithmic control. Trading halts help a lot ["Why SHFs Love Trading Halts"]. Here's an analogy: Imagine you’re in a football game, and your team’s losing, so you have the referee halt the game. In the meantime, you call your buddies for some favors. They give you and your team steroids,, then you unhalt the game and start winning. That’s basically what’s happening. SHFs can halt the stock countless times, make some calls, get tens of millions of shares here and there, then unhalt and tank the price. That’s why I find it hard to count on FOMO alone to start MOASS. DFV returning is an extraordinary event, and it certainly brought FOMO, but just look at the price. Before DFV posted on Twitter in May, we were already around $20. We’ve recently had the most upvoted post on SuperStonk (of all time), more upvotes than any post 3 years ago when we casually had 50,000+ online users on SuperStonk. Side note: Reddit is definitely not telling us the accurate number of online users on SuperStonk. I believe it is much higher than what’s being displayed, simply based on the exponential increase in engagement/upvoted posts compared to months ago. Simply put, the price is still currently under SHF control. We’re still not in MOASS yet, so try to keep a cool head. CNBC recently reported on the GME price, saying that there could be a gamma squeeze: https://reddit.com/link/1da7hpe/video/kl201kh0n45d1/player This makes me a bit suspicious. I have no idea if SHFs still have tons of call options on GME or not, and if they’re planning a rugpull (again), because this volatility can be used as an advantage for them to try to make money via options to keep dragging on MOASS. What I do know for certain is that we’re not in MOASS territory yet. My last DD, I mentioned another stock that began to squeeze. That stock went from $3 to brokers/SHFs buying them at a price of thousands of dollars per share within minutes, until FINRA/SEC freaked out and issued a U3 Halt, reversing the trades, and now Congress and other entities are working on a resolution and a large settlement this year, but that’s another story. I have not seen those drastic moves with GME yet. For me to consider that we’re in MOASS, I want to see the S&P 500 tanking at least 20% in a day while GME is going up thousands of dollars per day every minute. The price right now is nothing. Hedge funds were documented buying GME shares at this price back in January 2021: https://i.redd.it/bn1b3ntzn45d1.gif $5,124.5 per share in 2021, adjusted for inflation, comes out to $6,149.4 per share. That’s $1,537.35 per share post-split. There was no 25% of the float locked in January 2021, the company turnaround hadn’t started yet. We should be waaaaaaay higher than the price we have now. Way higher. Again, this is still NOT MOASS yet. Reverting back to my main point here, Citadel’s fake run up was disrupted. There is FOMO, but no doubt SHFs are working extra hard to regain algorithmic control, and they may possibly try to make more money with options manipulation. Despite that, Keith Gill took advantage of this fake run up and made a significant power play that will change the course of GameStop no matter what happens to the price in the short term. https://preview.redd.it/p5y1wuhan45d1.png?width=3092&format=png&auto=webp&s=7bf6314594e9eb5a15acaa0defd7283a7813c0c3 If you know me, you know I’m personally against options. I choose DRS over options any day of the week. This shit gets manipulated so much, and SHFs make bank from options premiums. DFV is an exception. Because DFV has accumulated so much wealth, by him turning the tables on SHFs and taking advantage of their fake runs like in May, he can quite literally now make hundreds of millions on his call options every future fake run. Even if MOASS doesn’t happen now, if another run up happens in September or next March, even if its small, because of the massive amount of capital he can leverage, he can literally keep adding hundreds of millions to his net worth ad infinitum, and ‘theoretically’ buy enough GME shares to lock the float himself https://i.redd.it/q48oavg2o45d1.gif There are some hurdles there, though, that I should note. If he owns 5% of GameStop, he has to file a Schedule 13D/13G, and although he technically won’t be considered an insider yet, he will be subject to several regulations. If he owns 10% of GameStop, he has to file more forms [Form 3, 4, or 5], and he will officially be considered an insider. At that point, he will face a wide range of regulations as well as heavy scrutiny from the SEC. It would be difficult to accumulate more GameStop shares after 10% because of this. Even making livestreams about GameStop may not be possible anymore. If you notice why RC and other insiders are so quiet, there’s a reason for it. Even without being an insider, he’s already under an SEC probe and being investigated by the Massachusetts securities regulator (no doubt they’re afraid of the massive amount of capital he’s garnered which can expedite the float lock process). Insider status would add to the regulatory scrutiny. Not to mention, he might need board approval depending on how many shares he wants to acquire after 10%. Unless he wants to give his brother money to scoop up another 10% of GameStop haha. In any case, the way he can leverage his ownership through options can allow him to help us lock the float. A conservative estimate would be that he can secure 5-10% of GameStop. That becomes public record through the SEC forms, and the total insider ownership percentage adds up another 5-10%, helping us significantly towards locking the float. Right now, we have about 65% of all GME shares accounted for. If DFV were to secure 10% of GameStop and add to the total insider ownership percentage, it would bump us up to 75% of all shares accounted for, while also helping keep shares away from SHFs for rehypothecation/shorting. DFV is a very powerful player in this, and I’m glad he likes the stock. https://i.redd.it/ixmazc6xn45d1.gif In addition to DFV’s power play, there was a recent share offering from GameStop. GameStop issued and sold 45 million GME shares, raising $933.4 million: https://preview.redd.it/chvlrybhn45d1.png?width=1242&format=png&auto=webp&s=b7cf85058eb1abe026fefad611834e329029d12a I know there was some discord between Apes on SuperStonk about whether or not this share offering was a wise decision, but to me, it was a strong decision by RC. If this company had billions in debt or something, I’d see this as debt spiraling, but GameStop has virtually no debt. They cannot go bankrupt; this share offering significantly strengthens their position in the long term. It helps us out tremendously in the long-term as shareholders. Allow me to elaborate with some math. Prior to the share offering, GameStop had 305,873,200 GME shares outstanding: https://preview.redd.it/3zridgiin45d1.png?width=774&format=png&auto=webp&s=d4dc46adc4e96e65395901fc68739398ad24f646 And prior to the share offering, the company had around$1.08 B in cash: https://preview.redd.it/s8r2nz5kn45d1.png?width=766&format=png&auto=webp&s=91c4aa0b69744775deae2c65b7cbbd330f1b989e If you do the math, prior to the share offering, GameStop's worth, on it’s cash alone, was at around $3.6 per share. That means that SHFs could never take GME under $3.6 per share, it would be technicality impossible. That’s like if someone has a $100 bill, and someone says, “no you have $90, not $100. It’s illogical. The company, on it’s cash/cash equivalents alone, put it at a $3.6 per share minimum limit at that time. That was the lowest price the price could theoretically reach at that time. If SHFs took the GME price under $10, they’d have a problem already. Under $3.6, and GameStop could theoretically lock the float themselves and start MOASS. The share offering added a significant amount of capital [over $900 million worth], that put GameStop’s cash at hand at $2 B. Yes, there were an extra 45 million shares that got released, and it will slightly hamper progress of locking the float, but in the long-term, this is still good news, because GameStop’s new cash/cash equivalents alone put it at around $5.7 per share minimum, meaning that it would be virtually impossible for SHFs to take the GME price under $5.7 now. The walls really are closing in on SHFs. Below I have a chart that illustrates the dilemma SHFs are facing: https://preview.redd.it/gw4is7pmn45d1.png?width=1296&format=png&auto=webp&s=6d8c618134c63fdb9988672d60b96f12aa63e1aa I still believe that there’s a critical margin level that SHFs like to keep the price under. I don’t know precisely what that level is [I just have a general model for you guys], but I know that as SHFs keep doubling down on shorts, with the borrow rates, increased liabilities, can-kicking, etc., they are ultimately burning through their cash to keep the GME price down, meaning that their margin also decreases. With the profits from the S&P 500, as well as call options to hedge the increase of the GME price, I’m sure SHFs can mitigate the damage of the GME price going up like this, but the price being at these levels likely takes it above critical margin levels (SHFs are struggling more with algorithmic control). To avoid MOASS, they’re going to have to bring the price back down to more manageable levels and back to a downwards trend. On the other hand, they can’t take the price too low. Anything below $10 makes locking the float incredibly easy (only $800 M required to lock the float at $10): https://preview.redd.it/ic1nl35on45d1.png?width=1366&format=png&auto=webp&s=7565b3d345fbe86f493b8f468931c50a0fbd667b I should note that there has been suspicious activity from the DTCC, which leads me to believe the DTCC has been hiding the real number of DRS’ed shares. But regardless, at critical float lock territory ($10), it’s blood in the water for any higher net worth individuals ($100M+) to snatch up large chunks of GME shares which can potentially increase the total insider ownership percentage, not to mention retail taking locates away from brokers. At $5.7 we now have a hard limit where, it’s virtually impossible to bring GME under now because of how much cash GameStop has. GameStop can lock up the float themselves at that price. I personally believe RC foresaw fake runs, like in June 2021. Citadel accumulated tons of call options in a basket stock around April in 2021, a stock that later went up around 900% within a few months. That basket stock helped lift GME up as well in June, and RC took the opportunity to issue and sell GME shares at a higher price, which helped GameStop's turnaround. If MOASS doesn’t happen this month, later down the line, if RC sees an artificial run orchestrated by Citadel and Co. in the future, and if he decides to issue and sell more shares at a higher price in the future, it would raise the hard minimum limit of $5.7 again, just like what RC did recently with the share offering: https://preview.redd.it/eohm28tpn45d1.png?width=1304&format=png&auto=webp&s=56bdaae3bbc7f85416ca5bc7da8a97422ebf4ddb Again, the share offering was good for GameStop, and I trust RCEO that he’s making the best decisions for the longevity of the company. All in all, SHFs are unequivocally trapped in a cycle where they have no choice but to continue to short a company that indisputably cannot go bankrupt. If the price goes up too high, they’ll get margin called and auto liquidated. If the price goes to low, the float gets auto locked and MOASS initiates. The only thing they can do is keep postponing as much as they can until the walls fully close in and we reach the inevitable, because MOASS is and has always been inevitable. “GameStop Completes At-The-Market Equity Offering Program.” Gamestop Corp., 24 May. 2024, https://news.gamestop.com/news-releases/news-release-details/gamestop-completes-market-equity-offering-program-1 "SEC Filing: Citadel Form 13-F-HR.” Edgar Filing Documents for 0000950123-24-005615, SEC, 15 May. 2024, www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1423053/000095012324005615/0000950123-24-005615-index.html “SEC Filing: Gamestop Corp..” SEC Filing Gamestop Corp., SEC, 26 Mar. 2024 https://news.gamestop.com/static-files/94ea835e-3253-4e6f-aaac-cdd7c1057f90 “SEC Filing: Gamestop Corp..” SEC Filing Gamestop Corp., SEC, 17 May. 2024 news.gamestop.com/static-files/f6d2bbd2-9283-42d1-b55b-28af5128faf9 Sec.gov. 2021. Staff Report on Equity and Options Market Structure Conditions in Early 2021, 14 Oct. 2021, https://www.sec.gov/files/staff-report-equity-options-market-struction-conditions-early-2021.pdf |
2024.06.07 08:38 belltestchamber Humidity Chambers: The Blueprint Guide
2024.06.06 20:11 Markquts Rexassicura.it - ATTENZIONE
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2024.06.06 17:38 8lackmatt3r Auto Insurance rate hack
2024.06.06 12:42 Lifz_ RouterOS version 7.16beta has been released on the "v7 testing" channel!
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2024.06.06 12:12 D0gefather69420 PSA: I was finally able to vote as a French shareholder
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2024.06.06 02:21 Robmo-MOII Patch Notes 2.0.5.29 (Hotfix)
2024.06.05 22:38 cmeorn Finally found a reputable broker
As many have pointed out it is a headache trying to find a reputable broker who will follow through on their quote and timeline. After a bad experience with Sherpa and countless other brokers we finally went with Auto Move America and it was seamless from start to finish. Liza was great to work with and had our car shipped front NC to CO in two days. Highly recommend this company-they’re completely worth the extra money. Save yourself the stress and book with them already! submitted by cmeorn to AutoTransport [link] [comments] |
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2024.06.05 19:07 porox_guy Warum ich wegen Scalable in eine Liquiditätskrise gekommen bin.
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2024.06.05 08:26 wtsui Unraveling Legal Jargon: How AI Legalese Decoder Can Benefit LINK Business Brokers' Expansion to North Queensland
submitted by wtsui to legalselfserve [link] [comments]2024.06.05 04:55 xfwib 2.8% fees on bonds
I was previewing (US Corporate) bond buys in IBKR and looks like I am being charged 2.8% fees, as compared to 0.1% mentioned in the fees structure. submitted by xfwib to ibkr [link] [comments] 2.8 = 100*(1031.27 - 1003)/1003 I am getting something wrong? https://preview.redd.it/7dh75v564o4d1.png?width=1660&format=png&auto=webp&s=488fa26281ab4e5d65555e3b841be4c0c6b27488 |
2024.06.05 04:51 xfwib 2.8% fees on bonds
2024.06.05 03:42 Texaspoontappah1 Geico wont tell me how a ticket will effect my premium?
2024.06.05 01:29 Due_Lengthiness_2457 'Dwelling Coverage' and bloated insurance premiums