Occ 2nd lawsuit with joe
Over My Dead Body
2019.05.12 08:06 Ms_Putin Over My Dead Body
Joe "Exotic" Shreibvogel is a self-described gay, gun-carrying redneck with a mullet. He loves big cats and has devoted his life to raising and breeding lions, tigers and other exotic animals. But throughout his career, he’s made a lot of enemies. And the biggest of all is the owner of a big cat sanctuary in Florida named Carole Baskin. The feud between Joe and Carole gets messy, vicious, and outrageous until both of them are pushed far beyond their limits.
2015.07.25 23:17 RexInvictus Frostgrave
A place to talk about Frostgrave, a tabletop skirmish miniatures game by Joseph McCullough.
2018.04.13 21:31 YouAllAreDisgraceful Law & Crime
LawandCrime.com is the only site for live court video, high-profile criminal trials, crazy crime, celebrity justice, and smart legal analysis. Created by TV’s top legal commentator and attorney, Dan Abrams, Law & Crime brings common sense written and video analysis to the often confusing and always intriguing world of the law. The site’s team of journalists and lawyers provide real-time news updates along with live courtroom coverage of the most fascinating trials and legal stories.
2024.05.18 23:20 JoshuaSingh11 The truth about Robert F Kennedy Jr and his candidacy: an overview, countering common smears, citing evidence, and short-form content
Overview
- Kennedy on the state of our union (9 min)
- 2024 candidate comparison chart
- Overview of Kennedy (3 min)
- Fixing huge issues Biden & Trump don't fix (1 min)
- Policies on Kennedy's website
- Who is Bobby Kennedy? (30 min)
- Kennedy's Record vs Biden's Record vs Trump's Record
- A Hero Of The Planet
- Kennedy's podcasts
- Kennedy's books
Countering common smears
- Kennedy isn't a grifter, or a plant to help Trump or Biden; Kennedy is a legitimate candidate who can win
- Kennedy isn't anti-vax
- Kennedy isn't a conspiracy theorist
- Kennedy fully recovered from the brain worm incident over a decade ago and doesn't have cognitive issues
- Kennedy isn't a spoiler
- Kennedy isn't antisemitic and didn't claim covid-19 was an ethnically targeted bioweapon
- Kennedy didn't claim atrazine causes transgenderism
- Kennedy respects the 2nd amendment and isn't going to take people's guns away
- Kennedy isn't authoritarian and didn't say climate change deniers should be jailed
- Kennedy isn't responsible for the measles outbreak in Samoa
- Kennedy has a solid stance on abortion that most Americans would agree with
- Kennedy wants the right kind of environmentalism that both sides can agree on, not authoritarian scams
- Kennedy cares about both Israelis and Palestinians and wants peace
Evidence supporting counter-narrative claims
- Science supports Kennedy's claims about Big Pharma corrupting our scientific system
- Science supports Kennedy's claims on Covid, vaccines, EMFs, glyphosate, microplastics, and more
- Science supports Kennedy's mercury-related claims
- Science supports Kennedy's fluoride-related claims
- Science supports Kennedy's Ivermectin-related claims
- Science supports Kennedy's frog-related claims
- Science supports Kennedy's claims about Wifi, 5G, and radiofrequency radiation
- Science supports Kennedy's claims about syringe-injectable electronics
- Science supports Kennedy's claims regarding different populations potentially having different levels of susceptibility to Covid
- Kennedy's claims about NATO and Ukraine are supported by strong evidence
- Kennedy stands up to the corrupt establishment
Short-form content
- The truth about Ukraine (3 min)
- Inflation, war, and banks (2 min)
- Rising above partisanship and the duopoly (4 min)
- Making housing affordable (3 min)
- Not a conspiracy theorist 1 (5 min)
- Not a conspiracy theorist 2 (3 min)
- Calling out Fed, MIC, Oil, Pharma, CIA (2 min)
- Persuasive memes
- Truth to power and fighting for freedom (3 min)
- Chronic disease (3 min)
- Fighting factory farming corruption (3 min)
- Making our government tell the truth (3 min)
- Making our farms and food healthy (1 min)
- The right kind of environmentalism (4 min)
- Kennedy vs Biden for democracy comparison
- Kennedy can win 1 (1 min)
- Kennedy can win 2 (3 min)
- Draining the swamp (2 min)
- The truth about Trump's swamp record (2 min)
- Fighting the great reset (2 min)
- Mercury in vaccines (15 min)
- Fighting against totalitarianism (13 min)
- History lesson on Ukraine (4 min)
- Vaccines: science vs orthodoxy (10 min)
- Kennedy's covid record vs the duopoly's (4 min)
- Kennedy can beat Donald Trump in 2024, Biden can't
- Kennedy vs Trump on draining the swamp
- Looking at vaccine science vs trusting Bill Gates (2 min)
- Pro vaccine safety testing, not anti-vax (13 min)
- Neither right nor left: what we stand for (2 min)
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2024.05.18 21:26 Financial_Zone_7122 Leveled up a bookcase today!
| Hi this is my first post here! Very exciting delivery today. Upgraded the small case in the first pic to a bigger one today. This holds my special editions/signed/collectible books along with all my Thomas Ligotti editions. Top shelf: Most of my John Irving books (a few are in storage waiting for my reading room to be done) including a signed “Last Night in Twisted River” and my foreign Stephen King books 2nd shelf: assorted Stephen king signed/special editions/miscellaneous books about him etc 3rd shelf: Signed Joe Hill and Owen King Books. Thomas Ligotti collection 4th: just miscellaneous books that are important to me. Signed copy of Nick Cave’s The Sick Bag Song. A lot of Henry Rollins (a few signed). 1st edition hardcover of The Road. Etc etc. I have a lot more books all over my house and in storage all waiting for me to convert the upstairs of my garage into a library but these are the books that wouldn’t be so easily replaced in the event of a floor or fire and I’d like to keep them in my house and close by. submitted by Financial_Zone_7122 to bookshelf [link] [comments] |
2024.05.18 20:36 janjinx Everything about this seems more like a Trump rally than a debate.
2024.05.18 19:07 kingalexander Any hockey people weigh in on this betting result?
2024.05.18 17:56 Uncle_Freddy ACRA 2024 Day 2 Reactions
Live Results Live Stream Unfortunately I’m stuck at NE Regionals today so observations won’t be quite as thorough as they were yesterday, but an exciting day of racing ahead! We’ve already had most of the small boat semi-finals as well as several of the lower finals. The regatta’s currently on a lunch break and will be resuming at 12:20 pm EDT with the Novice 4+ semis. For races I’ll try to be watching:
MN8+ A/B Semis (1:16-1:30)
Purdue again with an absolute walk-away. Keep an eye on these guys, just an absolute powerhouse of a boat. UC Davis and Minnesota with an absolute brawl behind them, Davis more or less held a minor edge all the way down the course but Minnesota sure made them work for it. Tough beat for UVA to narrowly miss out on that third qualifying spot, about half a boat length down on those two. UCLA and Ohio State round out the back of the field to race in the B Final tomorrow.
OCC looking strong in the N8+ once again, but to my eye Purdue is the boat to beat going into the A Final. Coast faced a hot challenge out of USC in Lane 5, and the fellow SoCal rival earned their spot in the A final as well. Overall the race for third is looking like it'll be an awesome one, with UC Davis, Minnesota, USC and Bucknell separated by a total of 1.5s across their two semis. Decent amount of familiarity between (separate halves) of this final so it should be an exciting one to watch tomorrow! Michigan, Washington State and UMass round out the B Final.
WV4+ A/B Semis (1:41-1:55)
First race was pretty fun! Lafayette grabbed an early lead and held it, with VaTech comfortably behind them but comfortably ahead of everyone else. The real drama came in the race for third though, with Penn State and Washington State fighting all the way down the line for that last A final qualifying spot. It was hard to see how that race was developing with the camera angles available but it was hard charge across the line, with Penn State narrowly claiming their A Final berth with a ~2 seat advantage.
Relatively low drama second semi, FIT continues to look extremely strong with a dominant performance over the field (and over the entire WV4+ semifinal field). Texas was 14 seconds off of them and looks primed to medal in the event, and Pittsburgh was able to stiffarm UGA to hold on to that last qualifying spot in the event. The race for 2nd/3rd between Lafayette and Texas looks like it'll be a fun one tomorrow!
MV4+ A/B Semis (2:17-2:30)
Bonus C/D Final thoughts, I haven’t watched this race yet but what a photo finish! This is why I love ACRA MV4+s so much
Washington State WashU St Louis jumped out to a massive lead early on (stream turned over a little late) and looked confident and smooth through the line, unchallenged. Florida kept the closest to them and were comfortably ahead of the rest of the field, but still about a boat length of open water behind WashU, while Michigan State was half a length of open behind them to round out the A Final qualifiers. A late race push by UCLA brought them into fourth, and Texas and URI round out this semi's B Final qualifiers.
Defending champ Bowdoin looked strong in their semi, comfortably leading and never quite challenged. They were trailed by Lafayette and Vermont, the latter of which made a nice charge into Lafayette in the last 250 to trim their deficit to ~2 seats across the line. WashU looks very strong in this event, but it's hard to count out the defending champs until the race is run, and Florida looks to be making strong arguments for a medal as well. We'll see how it all shakes out tomorrow!
M2V8+ A/B Semis (2:30-2:42)
UVA was the cream of the crop in this first semi, they had a six-seat lead on the field at the 1min mark, open water by the 2min mark, and comfortably held control of the race down the course. The qualifying race, on the other hand, was anything but comfortable for the crews involved. Notre Dame was off the pace at the start, and Delaware, Bucknell, GW and Minnesota were fighting tight for those last two A Final spots. Around the 1000m mark, Minnesota began to fade while ND surged, with Bucknell, GW and Delaware still jockeying for position. Around the 1250, the dogfight in lanes 1-3 between GW, ND and Delaware really began taking off and even started cutting into UVA's open water lead, while Bucknell started to fall off from the rest of the field. Crossing the 1500m, Delaware had 2 seats on ND who now had 4 seats on GW, and then GW began to take its signature (for this weekend anyway) late race surge. Absolutely tight margins to cross the line, but GW
just ran out of track space--final results UVA (0.0) > Delaware (+4.1) > ND (+4.9) > GW (+5.0). Bucknell and Minnesota round out the B Finalists.
This looked to be a 2-boat race for first off the line with Michigan and UCLA fighting hard. Crossing the 1k, Michigan held a 3 seat lead on UCLA, who was bow-to-stern on Purdue with the rest of the field back open water on Purdue. UCLA uncorked a killer move around 1250m in to surge from 3 seats down to eventually reach a cox-to-bow lead on Michigan heading into that final 500m. Purdue remained comfortably behind the leaders but comfortably ahead of challenges from Washington State, UNC and OCC. Final finish order was UCLA (0.0) > Michigan (+2.5) > Purdue (+7.5), with WSU, UNC and OCC filling out the B Final in order. UVA v UCLA looks to be the race for gold, with Michigan v Delaware looking to be the race for bronze, though there is still plenty of room for any of these crews (and ND and Purdue) to assert themselves and throw the order into disarray.
MV8+ A/B Semis (2:42-2:54)
Camera angle made this a little tough to see the early action, but early results seemed to show ND with a ~6 seat lead on Michigan who had a 2 seat lead on OCC and then the rest of the field trailing closely behind them. Catching up with a better angle around 750m into the race, ND had clear water over the field with Purdue, OCC and Michigan in a dead heat for the last two A Final spots. Crossing the 1000m, ND maintained their assertive lead, with Purdue four seats ahead of OCC and Michigan 2 seats back of Coast. Michigan ripped off a massive move at the 1250 to close their gap with Coast but Coast managed to weather the storm and hold things even from there before unleashing a move of their own to retake their 2 seat lead to cross the 1500m. Michigan began falling off the pace in the last 500m and entering the red buoys saw Purdue and OCC trading haymakers while Michigan was a full length back of them. Notre Dame crossed the line looking comfortable while Purdue managed to hold off OCC's late charge to win by roughly one seat, finish order looking like ND (0.0) > Purdue (+4.8s) > OCC (+5.1s). Michigan, Delaware and WSU rounded out the B Final entrants.
Great race at the top in this semifinal though minimal drama for who would be the qualifiers. UVA and UCLA charged out to the lead the pack at the start of the race, and crossed the thousand roughly even, with Rutgers in third by ~6 seats over Minnesota and 6 seats behind the leaders. UVA called a great move at the 1000m mark to take a 4 seat lead, but UCLA countered to draw back even at the 1250m. From there, it was the UVA show, and UVA slowly walked their way through UCLA and ended up winning the race with their coxswain on UCLA's bow deck. Rutgers was open water behind UCLA, and Minnesota was bow-to-stern behind them. Final order was UVA (+0.0) > UCLA (+2.7) > Rutgers (+5.3) > Minnesota (+7.7), with GW and Bucknell joining Minnesota in the B Final. UVA and ND look to be the gold medal favorites this year with UCLA rounding out the podium, though I have my clear biases and hope that my fellas in the blue and gold can uncork a monster race to end their season and make those two sweat.
WV8+ A/B Semis (2:54-3:06)
Some excitement in these semis! Vanderbilt jumped out to an early lead that they never gave up, but Northwestern sure made them work for it every step of the way down the course. UCSB held a 2 seat lead on Bowdoin through the 1000, but Bowdoin took a hard charge into the third 500m to take a small lead over the Gauchos. Entering the red buoys, Bowdoin continued to maintain a small margin and crossed the line first by roughly one seat. Final finish was Vandy (0.0) > Northwestern (+1.6) > Bowdoin (+3.1) > UCSB (+3.7), with Middlebury and Grand Valley joining UCSB in tomorrow's B Final.
Slight drama here, OCC jumped out to an early lead and held that lead well into the third 500, with UC Irvine and Purdue fighting it out in lane 2 and 3 and URI staying in the picture a bit in lane 4 but well off those main 3. Crossing the 1500m, Purdue started a move to walk on OCC to draw things make it through OCC and take a 2 seat lead, with Irvine keeping contact with them but Purdue taking full control. Entering the red buoys, Purdue had its coxswain clear of both UCI and OCC's bow seats, with those two in a dead heat going into their final sprints. Coast found just a bit more across the line to defeat their Newport-based rival with a final margin of Purdue (0.0) > OCC (+1.9) > UCI (+3.1). URI, Florida and Vermont closed out the Semi in order to fill in the other three slots in the B Final. The three lead boats in the second semi posted such faster times than Semi 1 that I have to think conditions shifted things somewhat, but we'll have to see how the racing goes tomorrow.
There are also a few grand finals going off today (MAM1x, M4x, LMN4+, M2N8+, M3V8+) that’ll I’ll probably sneak some viewing time on as well. Best of luck to everyone racing today!
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2024.05.18 11:30 Ihlita 240518 Weekly Discussion Thread and Activity Recap
Welcome to the
LOONA Weekly Discussion Thread and Activity Recap!
This is a free-for-all thread so post whatever you want to ask, share, or discuss with fellow Orbits. LOONA merch posts about buying, selling, or trading merch should also be directed here. Occasionally mods will use this thread to post updates and announcements. Feel free to send a
modmail if you have any questions.
Here are some useful links:
Check out
LOONAmemes and the individual members' subreddits listed in the sidebar for content that falls outside of our submission guidelines. We have also included the new sub unit and solo subreddits to the list.
PLAYLISTS:
ARTMS:
LOOSSEMBLE:
YVES:
CHUU:
UPCOMING SCHEDULE:
- 📆 Artms Debut Album Dall releases May 31st
- 📆 Loossemble 2nd Mini Album One of a Kind releases April 15th
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2024.05.18 04:55 Crippled2 Put my career on hold when my wife died now I'm being passed over
I've been in my industry 12 years, Ive held senior positions but never had direct reports. After Covid hit both myself and my spouse got a layoff in the same month. I spent 6 months looking and took a junior position at a competitor to get employed again.
90 days into my new job my spouse who was pregnant got diagnosed with cancer, over the course of 200 days cancer ate her alive and she gave birth and passed away. I was 36 when that happened, I spent the next 2 and a half years of my life fighting the doctor that killed her and I won her wrongful death lawsuit Christmas in 2023. I took everyone i knew leadership, anyone that would listen that now was my time, i took the hard road for my daughter but now I can put my career on track again.
I applied for a job and interviewed for a manager role with a director I've known for 8 years. I was selected for that position but due to a company re-org that job went away before I could move roles. I get told bad luck but just keep going.
Applied and interviewed for another role a manager role for another department - the director says she loves me, says her team is new to the org and that I would be the 2nd person on her team. That the way i talk about the role and the vision of it and how her first hire works today. She says "Crippled2 I would love to have you on my team" I say great when can I start? She replies the only problem is she offered that position to someone yesterday. I asked her why she interviewed me and her response was "I see someone with your experience and I know that if we don't grow you that you will leave.
Dejected I interview for another Manager role - make it final selection dont get selected.
Again interview for another operations manager role - make it the final selection dont get selected - the director tells me "Crippled2 your so close and your amazing just keep going"
The lead on my client goes out on leave for 6 weeks - fun fact before i left my old company that was my job. So rather than having the person in the Manager role above me cover for the Senior manager while he was on leave. My director comes to me and says "Crippled2 - can you fill in while he is out?" I lead meetings, talk through priorities, i run the entire team, my peers in my associate role tell me how great i am as a senior manager and how much smoother things were. I tell them very matter of fact that I've done this job for over 3 years at my old employer this isnt new"
So the senior manager comes back every thanks me for covering, my VP is thankful, and a new manager role comes up. So i interview and wouldnt you know its with the director for which I covered for the senior manager. I interview they both recommend me for the role but its for another Director's group.
I dont get selected for the role - I get pulled into a meeting with that Director and I simply say "did you see my resume?" He says "Crippled2 - honestly I'm shocked your not already a manager or senior manager, i dont even know what to say." He proceeds to tell me they promoted someone to Manager that was already aligned to his book of business and that rather than move me to his book they promoted that person instead" He said ever director and even my VP all recommended me for the role and said I was perfect for it, but they didnt want to mess with client alignment. He also tells me I was the preferred choice in every single job i applied for in the last 4 months. He said i literally have no feedback for you, you should have this job and if i had another opening i would give it to you"
I told him i feel like I'm being penalized for putting my career on hold when my wife died of cancer, he said as a father he had no idea that happened to me and really didnt know what to say he could tell i was pissed".
I have a bi-weekly meeting with a leader of my company - who befriended me, this leader has tried his hand to push positions for me and he genuinely cares. I told him I believe i made a mistake putting my career on hold for all that, and he said "No Crippled2, you did the right thing and this will come back to you, you will see" I believe I'm going to just lay it out for him that if this is how his company is going to treat seasoned talent that is a huge red flag for sustainability. The fact that i can be recommend by everyone that knows me and i dont get selected just fucking pisses me off.
The worst of it is this manager role is a position i held in 2015 with my old company, this is a role I've done before. I found out in a team meeting today when they announced the promotion that the person i lost my promotion to graduated highschool in 2017 (I was already a senior manager by that time), and he has been in his role for a year, the role I've been in for 3 years because i put my life on hold" - fuck em
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2024.05.17 18:03 Adventurous6962 Oklahoma Extends BlackRock Investment Contracts Amid Anti-ESG Law Suspension 🌟🏛️
Article:
https://www.useyourbrainforex.com/post/oklahoma-pension-system-opers-extends-blackrock-contracts-amid-anti-esg-law-suspension In a notable development, the Oklahoma Public Employees Retirement System (OPERS) has decided to extend its investment contracts with BlackRock Inc. This comes on the heels of a state district court judge’s decision to temporarily halt the enforcement of Oklahoma’s anti-Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) law, which specifically targets BlackRock.
During a recent meeting, the pension board members unanimously agreed to extend the contracts with BlackRock, entrusting the firm with the management of investments worth $7.3 billion. Joe Fox, the executive director of OPERS, confirmed this decision via email.
BlackRock was included on a list compiled by Oklahoma’s Republican Treasurer, Todd Ross, of companies that allegedly "boycott" the fossil fuel industry. This list was created as part of the Energy Discrimination Elimination Act, a state law designed to counteract what is seen as discriminatory practices against the fossil fuel sector.
The Energy Discrimination Elimination Act requires state agencies and political subdivisions, such as cities, to avoid contracting with firms unless they verify non-participation in energy boycotts. It also mandates that state pensions must divest from companies on this restricted list.
Earlier this month, enforcement of this law was paused by a judge in response to a lawsuit filed by a retired public employee aiming to temporarily block the legislation. Consequently, the extensions of BlackRock's contracts, which were initially deferred from an April pension board meeting due to the company’s inclusion on the restricted list, were reconsidered and approved.
BlackRock has not provided an immediate comment on the extension of its contracts. The ongoing anti-ESG legislation in Republican-led states has impacted BlackRock’s business with public pension clients, who typically manage large sums on behalf of retirees.
According to its 2023 financial report, OPERS manages over $11 billion in assets and serves more than 72,000 members. The pension’s investments include fixed-income assets and international and domestic equity index funds managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust Company.
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2024.05.17 13:38 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 17/05 including positioning analysis and updates
ANALYSIS: - CPI update:
- Core CPI came in line with survey, at 0.3%, heading slightly lower in MOM terms vs last month (0.3% vs 0.4% before).
- We can see its a similar scenario as before, with service inflation there, but goods in deflation.
- https://imgur.com/a/3hAiquW
- Significantly, shelter inflation MOM is finally below 0.4%, which was the main headline of the print.
- https://imgur.com/a/GYHD12y
- Following the print, Inflation swaps now price in lower CPI for next month, so traders are more optimistic on inflation to continue lower than they were before, especially as we see oil prices come down this month.
- Market continues to move on the number of rate cuts being priced in for this year. Right now markets continue to price 1 or 2 rate cuts.
- So what does this mean for positioning, as we saw equities push higher?
- Well, as was the case before CPI, we continue to see very bearish positioning on VIX. Traders expect VIX to continue lower, which will increase the liquidity that market makers add. This should support the market higher. nOt much anxiety and fear in the markets.
- Volatility should therefore remain suppressed, for this opex.
- 5300 is the wall to get above, but We see traders buying calls on 5400 now so traders are optimistic in medium term.
- Probably when we look at today, skew is flat, but positioning bullish. We can see choppy day as VIX delta ITM puts are still elevated.
- Sentiment v bullish over next month or more.
- When we look at FX, we see That EURUSD has pared gains, because DXY moved higher. This was mostly because EURUSD had got overbought, and DXY was starting to get short term oversold. When we look at positioning, we see traders still buying calls on 1.09. 1.08 will act as support now.
- GOLD and Silver still see strong positioning, 2400 is wall on Gold. Skew on both gold and silver point higher but seeing low volumes.
- On Oil, traders are looking bullish. The skew points higher, whilst price consolidates. Traders are expecting a bullish breakout soon as seasonal demand tends to pick up in summer. Oil is just currently stuck below 79 on WTI.
- On German market, we see traders still buying calls on 19k but low volumes. Needs v high volume to get to this 19k level. 19k is a massive wall. Today and yesterday, it comes down, but soon it will try to test again. Euro strength will help GER40 go higher.
DATA LEDE:
- China Industrial production YOY came 6.7% up, vs 5.5% expected
- China Retail sales came 2.3% YOY vs 3.8% expected
- So retail sales came weak, industrial production was strong
- Unemployment rate in China fell to 5% from 5.2%, back to lowest level since November.
- NOTE: China also announced measures from PBOC to support housing market.
- Final revision to inflation rate in Eurozone came in in line with preliminary readings. No change.
- US leading index comes out later, after market opens. Expected to show deteriorating leading economic indicators
MARKETS:
- SPX: Following CPI, we saw markets push from 5246, to close above 5300. Yesterday, we aw market reach 5325, partly as result of softer jobless numbers, which points to more rate cuts, before sell off lower below 5300. Now at 5295. 5300 will be resistance again that it will try to break above.
- Nasdaq: Before CPI was at 18,310 just below resistance, pushed higher to reach 18,650, before coming lower again to 18,555. 18600 is a resistance, before 19k as the key resistance.
- Dow: was trading at 39600 before CPI, pushed higher to 40k. Got rejected below 40k. 40k is key resistance to get above.
- GER40: Pushed higher with US markets to 18,910, close to the key 19k resistance which is v strong, before paring gains back to 18,662.
- UK100 just been flat amongst the highs at 8400-8450
- China50 higher with lower unemployment rate and higher industrial production, trading up by 1.5% to 12,850. Main resistance now is going to be 13k. China also announced measures to support housing market.
- HKG50: Trading at 19,500. Key resistance is 20k.
- OIL: still trading flat, skew pointing higher.
- GOLD trading higher after CPI, bounced close to 2400.
- Price of Copper surges to new highs.
FX:
- EURUSD hit 1.09 yesterday, before coming down back to 1.084 now. 1.09 was the wall.
- GBPUSD hit 1.27, before coming down to 1.265 now.
- USDJPY fell from 156 to 153.5, before recovering higher to 156 again now.
- AUDUSD moved higher above 0.67 before paring the gains.
- The paring of gains came as DXY fell to almost 104, before pushing higher from there to 104.8.
MAG7:
- NVDA lower in premarket as Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA. Theyre offering their cloud customers AMD AI processors as an alternative to NVDA.
- TSLA - raised price of Model 3 performance for 2nd time in US by $1k, bringing it to $54,990. Increased price fo white interior for model 3 by $500, now priced at $2000.
- META - starting to test a Tweetdeck like experience for threads.
- NFLX - adds more buy side partners to its budding advertising business. Includes TTD, which had been MSFT’s role exclusively up until this point. GOOGL also added to programmatic partners for advertisers.
- MSFT - EU demands clarity from Microsoft on AI risks in bing.
- MSFT - As mentioned, Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA.
EARNINGS:
AMAT:
- EPS of 2.09 was up 5% YOY, beat estimates of 1.99
- Revenue of 6.65B was flat YOY, beat estimates of 6.52B
- Semiconductor systems revenue, their main segment was 4.9B, beating estimates of 4.8B
- Q3 Guidance:
- Sees adjusted EPS of 1.83-2.19 (vs estimate of 1.83). So ahead of expectations
- Revenue of 6.65+400M, beat estimates of 6.57B. So strong guidance
- Strong results. Said their technologies for chips underpin the major secular shifts we are seeing in AI, IOT, EV and Clean energy
COMPANY SPECIFIC:
- Crypto stocks slightly higher as BTC up 1.5% to 66,500.
- BABA continues higher. Was up a lot as Michael Burry increased his stake in the company
- UAL - Wolfe Research raises to outperform from peer perform
- ARRY - Wells Fargo cuts price target to 14 from 16, still way above current price of 11.34, buy rating maintained
- Nio - China FAW to join Nio battery swap alliance
- SNOW - in talks to acquire AI startup Reka AI for over $1B. Was valued at 300M last June.
- RDDT - OPenAI will integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT and other products. OpenAI will become a reddit advertiser too.
- AMD - Wolfe Research replaced NVDA with AMD on its Wolfe Alpha List.
- AMD - Mcirsofot offers cloud cusomters amd alternative to NVDA AI processors.
- AVGO - say they expect AI chips to account for 35% of semiconductor evneues in 2024, up from 15% in 2023.
- XPEV - aims to deliver their first flying car in 2026, will start taking pre orders this year.
- HSBC down 3% amid reports that shareholder Ping An is looking to trim its stake.
- AMGN - FDA approves Amgen’s treatment for the most deadly form of lung cancer.
- Canada goose - jumps 16% after they reported growth surge in China.
- GS - looks to expand private equity credit lines as dealmaking picks up.
- DXC down on earnings after issuing weak outlook, forecasting revenue to decelerate and is forecasting financial challenges
- TTWO down on earnigns after cutting bookings forecast for Fy 2025. announced a fall 2025 release date for its highly anticipated GTA VI video game
- Li down as is hit with class lawsuit over Li Mega debacle
- STLA - gets buy rating from Piper Sandler
OTHER NEWS:
- CHINA PROPERTY RESCUE PACKAGE.
- China announced multiple measures from PBOC to support Housing market: set up 300B Yuan resending scheme for public housing. Removed mortgage rate floor for individual home buyers. Minimum down payment reduced to 15% for first time.
- THEY ARE TRYING TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR PEOPLE TO BUY HOUSES.
- Bostic yesterday said that he is pleased with inflation progress in April, but the Fed isn’t there yet. Said he doesnt see a recession, and said that lower shelter inflation in recent print was the most significant development for him. Said it will be appropriate for rate cuts later this year, but nothing locked in.
- DOJ yesterday, planned to issue notice of proposed rule making, to reclassify marijuana into a less restrictive category, from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.
- Luxury brand Richemont, which owns Cartier, posts record full year sales and new CEO
- ECB’s Schnabel says that there is little chance of back to back rate cuts from ECB, even if the first rate cut comes in June.
- Uk’s Jeremy Hunt says that he will cut national insurance in Autumnn if he is able to. Says conservatives will cut taxes if they win the election.
submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
WallStreetbetsELITE [link] [comments]
2024.05.17 13:36 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 17/05, including positioning updates for SPX, Gold, Oil, VIX, GER40 etc
ANALYSIS: - CPI update:
- Core CPI came in line with survey, at 0.3%, heading slightly lower in MOM terms vs last month (0.3% vs 0.4% before).
- We can see its a similar scenario as before, with service inflation there, but goods in deflation.
- https://imgur.com/a/3hAiquW
- Significantly, shelter inflation MOM is finally below 0.4%, which was the main headline of the print.
- https://imgur.com/a/GYHD12y
- Following the print, Inflation swaps now price in lower CPI for next month, so traders are more optimistic on inflation to continue lower than they were before, especially as we see oil prices come down this month.
- Market continues to move on the number of rate cuts being priced in for this year. Right now markets continue to price 1 or 2 rate cuts.
- So what does this mean for positioning, as we saw equities push higher?
- Well, as was the case before CPI, we continue to see very bearish positioning on VIX. Traders expect VIX to continue lower, which will increase the liquidity that market makers add. This should support the market higher. nOt much anxiety and fear in the markets.
- Volatility should therefore remain suppressed, for this opex.
- 5300 is the wall to get above, but We see traders buying calls on 5400 now so traders are optimistic in medium term.
- Probably when we look at today, skew is flat, but positioning bullish. We can see choppy day as VIX delta ITM puts are still elevated.
- Sentiment v bullish over next month or more.
- When we look at FX, we see That EURUSD has pared gains, because DXY moved higher. This was mostly because EURUSD had got overbought, and DXY was starting to get short term oversold. When we look at positioning, we see traders still buying calls on 1.09. 1.08 will act as support now.
- GOLD and Silver still see strong positioning, 2400 is wall on Gold. Skew on both gold and silver point higher but seeing low volumes.
- On Oil, traders are looking bullish. The skew points higher, whilst price consolidates. Traders are expecting a bullish breakout soon as seasonal demand tends to pick up in summer. Oil is just currently stuck below 79 on WTI.
- On German market, we see traders still buying calls on 19k but low volumes. Needs v high volume to get to this 19k level. 19k is a massive wall. Today and yesterday, it comes down, but soon it will try to test again. Euro strength will help GER40 go higher.
DATA LEDE:
- China Industrial production YOY came 6.7% up, vs 5.5% expected
- China Retail sales came 2.3% YOY vs 3.8% expected
- So retail sales came weak, industrial production was strong
- Unemployment rate in China fell to 5% from 5.2%, back to lowest level since November.
- NOTE: China also announced measures from PBOC to support housing market.
- Final revision to inflation rate in Eurozone came in in line with preliminary readings. No change.
- US leading index comes out later, after market opens. Expected to show deteriorating leading economic indicators
MARKETS:
- SPX: Following CPI, we saw markets push from 5246, to close above 5300. Yesterday, we aw market reach 5325, partly as result of softer jobless numbers, which points to more rate cuts, before sell off lower below 5300. Now at 5295. 5300 will be resistance again that it will try to break above.
- Nasdaq: Before CPI was at 18,310 just below resistance, pushed higher to reach 18,650, before coming lower again to 18,555. 18600 is a resistance, before 19k as the key resistance.
- Dow: was trading at 39600 before CPI, pushed higher to 40k. Got rejected below 40k. 40k is key resistance to get above.
- GER40: Pushed higher with US markets to 18,910, close to the key 19k resistance which is v strong, before paring gains back to 18,662.
- UK100 just been flat amongst the highs at 8400-8450
- China50 higher with lower unemployment rate and higher industrial production, trading up by 1.5% to 12,850. Main resistance now is going to be 13k. China also announced measures to support housing market.
- HKG50: Trading at 19,500. Key resistance is 20k.
- OIL: still trading flat, skew pointing higher.
- GOLD trading higher after CPI, bounced close to 2400.
- Price of Copper surges to new highs.
FX:
- EURUSD hit 1.09 yesterday, before coming down back to 1.084 now. 1.09 was the wall.
- GBPUSD hit 1.27, before coming down to 1.265 now.
- USDJPY fell from 156 to 153.5, before recovering higher to 156 again now.
- AUDUSD moved higher above 0.67 before paring the gains.
- The paring of gains came as DXY fell to almost 104, before pushing higher from there to 104.8.
MAG7:
- NVDA lower in premarket as Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA. Theyre offering their cloud customers AMD AI processors as an alternative to NVDA.
- TSLA - raised price of Model 3 performance for 2nd time in US by $1k, bringing it to $54,990. Increased price fo white interior for model 3 by $500, now priced at $2000.
- META - starting to test a Tweetdeck like experience for threads.
- NFLX - adds more buy side partners to its budding advertising business. Includes TTD, which had been MSFT’s role exclusively up until this point. GOOGL also added to programmatic partners for advertisers.
- MSFT - EU demands clarity from Microsoft on AI risks in bing.
- MSFT - As mentioned, Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA.
EARNINGS:
AMAT:
- EPS of 2.09 was up 5% YOY, beat estimates of 1.99
- Revenue of 6.65B was flat YOY, beat estimates of 6.52B
- Semiconductor systems revenue, their main segment was 4.9B, beating estimates of 4.8B
- Q3 Guidance:
- Sees adjusted EPS of 1.83-2.19 (vs estimate of 1.83). So ahead of expectations
- Revenue of 6.65+400M, beat estimates of 6.57B. So strong guidance
- Strong results. Said their technologies for chips underpin the major secular shifts we are seeing in AI, IOT, EV and Clean energy
COMPANY SPECIFIC:
- Crypto stocks slightly higher as BTC up 1.5% to 66,500.
- COIN -price target raised to 217 from 110 by BoA
- BABA continues higher. Was up a lot as Michael Burry increased his stake in the company
- UAL - Wolfe Research raises to outperform from peer perform
- ARRY - Wells Fargo cuts price target to 14 from 16, still way above current price of 11.34, buy rating maintained
- Nio - China FAW to join Nio battery swap alliance
- SNOW - in talks to acquire AI startup Reka AI for over $1B. Was valued at 300M last June.
- RDDT - OPenAI will integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT and other products. OpenAI will become a reddit advertiser too.
- AMD - Wolfe Research replaced NVDA with AMD on its Wolfe Alpha List.
- AMD - Mcirsofot offers cloud cusomters amd alternative to NVDA AI processors.
- AVGO - say they expect AI chips to account for 35% of semiconductor evneues in 2024, up from 15% in 2023.
- XPEV - aims to deliver their first flying car in 2026, will start taking pre orders this year.
- HSBC down 3% amid reports that shareholder Ping An is looking to trim its stake.
- AMGN - FDA approves Amgen’s treatment for the most deadly form of lung cancer.
- Canada goose - jumps 16% after they reported growth surge in China.
- GS - looks to expand private equity credit lines as dealmaking picks up.
- DXC down on earnings after issuing weak outlook, forecasting revenue to decelerate and is forecasting financial challenges
- TTWO down on earnigns after cutting bookings forecast for Fy 2025. announced a fall 2025 release date for its highly anticipated GTA VI video game
- Li down as is hit with class lawsuit over Li Mega debacle
- STLA - gets buy rating from Piper Sandler
OTHER NEWS:
- CHINA PROPERTY RESCUE PACKAGE.
- China announced multiple measures from PBOC to support Housing market: set up 300B Yuan resending scheme for public housing. Removed mortgage rate floor for individual home buyers. Minimum down payment reduced to 15% for first time.
- THEY ARE TRYING TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR PEOPLE TO BUY HOUSES.
- Bostic yesterday said that he is pleased with inflation progress in April, but the Fed isn’t there yet. Said he doesnt see a recession, and said that lower shelter inflation in recent print was the most significant development for him. Said it will be appropriate for rate cuts later this year, but nothing locked in.
- DOJ yesterday, planned to issue notice of proposed rule making, to reclassify marijuana into a less restrictive category, from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.
- Luxury brand Richemont, which owns Cartier, posts record full year sales and new CEO
- ECB’s Schnabel says that there is little chance of back to back rate cuts from ECB, even if the first rate cut comes in June.
- Uk’s Jeremy Hunt says that he will cut national insurance in Autumn if he is able to. Says conservatives will cut taxes if they win the election.
submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
Daytrading [link] [comments]
2024.05.17 13:34 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 17/05, including positioning analysis and updates post CPI as SPX trades just below 5300
For more of my daily content, please join
Tradingedge and
swingtrading ANALYSIS:
- CPI update:
- Core CPI came in line with survey, at 0.3%, heading slightly lower in MOM terms vs last month (0.3% vs 0.4% before).
- We can see its a similar scenario as before, with service inflation there, but goods in deflation.
- https://imgur.com/a/3hAiquW
- Significantly, shelter inflation MOM is finally below 0.4%, which was the main headline of the print.
- https://imgur.com/a/GYHD12y
- Following the print, Inflation swaps now price in lower CPI for next month, so traders are more optimistic on inflation to continue lower than they were before, especially as we see oil prices come down this month.
- Market continues to move on the number of rate cuts being priced in for this year. Right now markets continue to price 1 or 2 rate cuts.
- So what does this mean for positioning, as we saw equities push higher?
- Well, as was the case before CPI, we continue to see very bearish positioning on VIX. Traders expect VIX to continue lower, which will increase the liquidity that market makers add. This should support the market higher. nOt much anxiety and fear in the markets.
- Volatility should therefore remain suppressed, for this opex.
- 5300 is the wall to get above, but We see traders buying calls on 5400 now so traders are optimistic in medium term.
- Probably when we look at today, skew is flat, but positioning bullish. We can see choppy day as VIX delta ITM puts are still elevated.
- Sentiment v bullish over next month or more.
- When we look at FX, we see That EURUSD has pared gains, because DXY moved higher. This was mostly because EURUSD had got overbought, and DXY was starting to get short term oversold. When we look at positioning, we see traders still buying calls on 1.09. 1.08 will act as support now.
- GOLD and Silver still see strong positioning, 2400 is wall on Gold. Skew on both gold and silver point higher but seeing low volumes.
- On Oil, traders are looking bullish. The skew points higher, whilst price consolidates. Traders are expecting a bullish breakout soon as seasonal demand tends to pick up in summer. Oil is just currently stuck below 79 on WTI.
- On German market, we see traders still buying calls on 19k but low volumes. Needs v high volume to get to this 19k level. 19k is a massive wall. Today and yesterday, it comes down, but soon it will try to test again. Euro strength will help GER40 go higher.
DATA LEDE:
- China Industrial production YOY came 6.7% up, vs 5.5% expected
- China Retail sales came 2.3% YOY vs 3.8% expected
- So retail sales came weak, industrial production was strong
- Unemployment rate in China fell to 5% from 5.2%, back to lowest level since November.
- NOTE: China also announced measures from PBOC to support housing market.
- Final revision to inflation rate in Eurozone came in in line with preliminary readings. No change.
- US leading index comes out later, after market opens. Expected to show deteriorating leading economic indicators
MARKETS:
- SPX: Following CPI, we saw markets push from 5246, to close above 5300. Yesterday, we aw market reach 5325, partly as result of softer jobless numbers, which points to more rate cuts, before sell off lower below 5300. Now at 5295. 5300 will be resistance again that it will try to break above.
- Nasdaq: Before CPI was at 18,310 just below resistance, pushed higher to reach 18,650, before coming lower again to 18,555. 18600 is a resistance, before 19k as the key resistance.
- Dow: was trading at 39600 before CPI, pushed higher to 40k. Got rejected below 40k. 40k is key resistance to get above.
- GER40: Pushed higher with US markets to 18,910, close to the key 19k resistance which is v strong, before paring gains back to 18,662.
- UK100 just been flat amongst the highs at 8400-8450
- China50 higher with lower unemployment rate and higher industrial production, trading up by 1.5% to 12,850. Main resistance now is going to be 13k. China also announced measures to support housing market.
- HKG50: Trading at 19,500. Key resistance is 20k.
- OIL: still trading flat, skew pointing higher.
- GOLD trading higher after CPI, bounced close to 2400.
- Price of Copper surges to new highs.
FX:
- EURUSD hit 1.09 yesterday, before coming down back to 1.084 now. 1.09 was the wall.
- GBPUSD hit 1.27, before coming down to 1.265 now.
- USDJPY fell from 156 to 153.5, before recovering higher to 156 again now.
- AUDUSD moved higher above 0.67 before paring the gains.
- The paring of gains came as DXY fell to almost 104, before pushing higher from there to 104.8.
MAG7:
- NVDA lower in premarket as Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA. Theyre offering their cloud customers AMD AI processors as an alternative to NVDA.
- TSLA - raised price of Model 3 performance for 2nd time in US by $1k, bringing it to $54,990. Increased price fo white interior for model 3 by $500, now priced at $2000.
- META - starting to test a Tweetdeck like experience for threads.
- NFLX - adds more buy side partners to its budding advertising business. Includes TTD, which had been MSFT’s role exclusively up until this point. GOOGL also added to programmatic partners for advertisers.
- MSFT - EU demands clarity from Microsoft on AI risks in bing.
- MSFT - As mentioned, Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA.
EARNINGS:
AMAT:
- EPS of 2.09 was up 5% YOY, beat estimates of 1.99
- Revenue of 6.65B was flat YOY, beat estimates of 6.52B
- Semiconductor systems revenue, their main segment was 4.9B, beating estimates of 4.8B
- Q3 Guidance:
- Sees adjusted EPS of 1.83-2.19 (vs estimate of 1.83). So ahead of expectations
- Revenue of 6.65+400M, beat estimates of 6.57B. So strong guidance
- Strong results. Said their technologies for chips underpin the major secular shifts we are seeing in AI, IOT, EV and Clean energy
COMPANY SPECIFIC:
- Crypto stocks slightly higher as BTC up 1.5% to 66,500.
- COIN -price target raised to 217 from 110 by BoA
- BABA continues higher. Was up a lot as Michael Burry increased his stake in the company
- UAL - Wolfe Research raises to outperform from peer perform
- ARRY - Wells Fargo cuts price target to 14 from 16, still way above current price of 11.34, buy rating maintained
- Nio - China FAW to join Nio battery swap alliance
- SNOW - in talks to acquire AI startup Reka AI for over $1B. Was valued at 300M last June.
- RDDT - OPenAI will integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT and other products. OpenAI will become a reddit advertiser too.
- AMD - Wolfe Research replaced NVDA with AMD on its Wolfe Alpha List.
- AMD - Mcirsofot offers cloud cusomters amd alternative to NVDA AI processors.
- AVGO - say they expect AI chips to account for 35% of semiconductor evneues in 2024, up from 15% in 2023.
- XPEV - aims to deliver their first flying car in 2026, will start taking pre orders this year.
- HSBC down 3% amid reports that shareholder Ping An is looking to trim its stake.
- AMGN - FDA approves Amgen’s treatment for the most deadly form of lung cancer.
- Canada goose - jumps 16% after they reported growth surge in China.
- GS - looks to expand private equity credit lines as dealmaking picks up.
- DXC down on earnings after issuing weak outlook, forecasting revenue to decelerate and is forecasting financial challenges
- TTWO down on earnigns after cutting bookings forecast for Fy 2025. announced a fall 2025 release date for its highly anticipated GTA VI video game
- Li down as is hit with class lawsuit over Li Mega debacle
- STLA - gets buy rating from Piper Sandler
OTHER NEWS:
- CHINA PROPERTY RESCUE PACKAGE.
- China announced multiple measures from PBOC to support Housing market: set up 300B Yuan resending scheme for public housing. Removed mortgage rate floor for individual home buyers. Minimum down payment reduced to 15% for first time.
- THEY ARE TRYING TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR PEOPLE TO BUY HOUSES.
- Bostic yesterday said that he is pleased with inflation progress in April, but the Fed isn’t there yet. Said he doesnt see a recession, and said that lower shelter inflation in recent print was the most significant development for him. Said it will be appropriate for rate cuts later this year, but nothing locked in.
- DOJ yesterday, planned to issue notice of proposed rule making, to reclassify marijuana into a less restrictive category, from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.
- Luxury brand Richemont, which owns Cartier, posts record full year sales and new CEO
- ECB’s Schnabel says that there is little chance of back to back rate cuts from ECB, even if the first rate cut comes in June.
- Uk’s Jeremy Hunt says that he will cut national insurance in Autumnn if he is able to. Says conservatives will cut taxes if they win the election.
For more of my daily content, please join
Tradingedge submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
swingtrading [link] [comments]
2024.05.17 13:33 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 17/05 including full positioning update post CPI and jobless Data.
For more of my daily content, please join
Tradingedge ANALYSIS: - CPI update:
- Core CPI came in line with survey, at 0.3%, heading slightly lower in MOM terms vs last month (0.3% vs 0.4% before).
- We can see its a similar scenario as before, with service inflation there, but goods in deflation.
- https://imgur.com/a/3hAiquW
- Significantly, shelter inflation MOM is finally below 0.4%, which was the main headline of the print.
- https://imgur.com/a/GYHD12y
- Following the print, Inflation swaps now price in lower CPI for next month, so traders are more optimistic on inflation to continue lower than they were before, especially as we see oil prices come down this month.
- Market continues to move on the number of rate cuts being priced in for this year. Right now markets continue to price 1 or 2 rate cuts.
- So what does this mean for positioning, as we saw equities push higher?
- Well, as was the case before CPI, we continue to see very bearish positioning on VIX. Traders expect VIX to continue lower, which will increase the liquidity that market makers add. This should support the market higher. nOt much anxiety and fear in the markets.
- Volatility should therefore remain suppressed, for this opex.
- 5300 is the wall to get above, but We see traders buying calls on 5400 now so traders are optimistic in medium term.
- Probably when we look at today, skew is flat, but positioning bullish. We can see choppy day as VIX delta ITM puts are still elevated.
- Sentiment v bullish over next month or more.
- When we look at FX, we see That EURUSD has pared gains, because DXY moved higher. This was mostly because EURUSD had got overbought, and DXY was starting to get short term oversold. When we look at positioning, we see traders still buying calls on 1.09. 1.08 will act as support now.
- GOLD and Silver still see strong positioning, 2400 is wall on Gold. Skew on both gold and silver point higher but seeing low volumes.
- On Oil, traders are looking bullish. The skew points higher, whilst price consolidates. Traders are expecting a bullish breakout soon as seasonal demand tends to pick up in summer. Oil is just currently stuck below 79 on WTI.
- On German market, we see traders still buying calls on 19k but low volumes. Needs v high volume to get to this 19k level. 19k is a massive wall. Today and yesterday, it comes down, but soon it will try to test again. Euro strength will help GER40 go higher.
DATA LEDE:
- China Industrial production YOY came 6.7% up, vs 5.5% expected
- China Retail sales came 2.3% YOY vs 3.8% expected
- So retail sales came weak, industrial production was strong
- Unemployment rate in China fell to 5% from 5.2%, back to lowest level since November.
- NOTE: China also announced measures from PBOC to support housing market.
- Final revision to inflation rate in Eurozone came in in line with preliminary readings. No change.
- US leading index comes out later, after market opens. Expected to show deteriorating leading economic indicators
MARKETS:
- SPX: Following CPI, we saw markets push from 5246, to close above 5300. Yesterday, we aw market reach 5325, partly as result of softer jobless numbers, which points to more rate cuts, before sell off lower below 5300. Now at 5295. 5300 will be resistance again that it will try to break above.
- Nasdaq: Before CPI was at 18,310 just below resistance, pushed higher to reach 18,650, before coming lower again to 18,555. 18600 is a resistance, before 19k as the key resistance.
- Dow: was trading at 39600 before CPI, pushed higher to 40k. Got rejected below 40k. 40k is key resistance to get above.
- GER40: Pushed higher with US markets to 18,910, close to the key 19k resistance which is v strong, before paring gains back to 18,662.
- UK100 just been flat amongst the highs at 8400-8450
- China50 higher with lower unemployment rate and higher industrial production, trading up by 1.5% to 12,850. Main resistance now is going to be 13k. China also announced measures to support housing market.
- HKG50: Trading at 19,500. Key resistance is 20k.
- OIL: still trading flat, skew pointing higher.
- GOLD trading higher after CPI, bounced close to 2400.
- Price of Copper surges to new highs.
FX:
- EURUSD hit 1.09 yesterday, before coming down back to 1.084 now. 1.09 was the wall.
- GBPUSD hit 1.27, before coming down to 1.265 now.
- USDJPY fell from 156 to 153.5, before recovering higher to 156 again now.
- AUDUSD moved higher above 0.67 before paring the gains.
- The paring of gains came as DXY fell to almost 104, before pushing higher from there to 104.8.
MAG7:
- NVDA lower in premarket as Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA. Theyre offering their cloud customers AMD AI processors as an alternative to NVDA.
- TSLA - raised price of Model 3 performance for 2nd time in US by $1k, bringing it to $54,990. Increased price fo white interior for model 3 by $500, now priced at $2000.
- META - starting to test a Tweetdeck like experience for threads.
- NFLX - adds more buy side partners to its budding advertising business. Includes TTD, which had been MSFT’s role exclusively up until this point. GOOGL also added to programmatic partners for advertisers.
- MSFT - EU demands clarity from Microsoft on AI risks in bing.
- MSFT - As mentioned, Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA.
EARNINGS:
AMAT:
- EPS of 2.09 was up 5% YOY, beat estimates of 1.99
- Revenue of 6.65B was flat YOY, beat estimates of 6.52B
- Semiconductor systems revenue, their main segment was 4.9B, beating estimates of 4.8B
- Q3 Guidance:
- Sees adjusted EPS of 1.83-2.19 (vs estimate of 1.83). So ahead of expectations
- Revenue of 6.65+400M, beat estimates of 6.57B. So strong guidance
- Strong results. Said their technologies for chips underpin the major secular shifts we are seeing in AI, IOT, EV and Clean energy
COMPANY SPECIFIC:
- Crypto stocks slightly higher as BTC up 1.5% to 66,500.
- COIN -price target raised to 217 from 110 by BoA
- BABA continues higher. Was up a lot as Michael Burry increased his stake in the company
- UAL - Wolfe Research raises to outperform from peer perform
- ARRY - Wells Fargo cuts price target to 14 from 16, still way above current price of 11.34, buy rating maintained
- Nio - China FAW to join Nio battery swap alliance
- SNOW - in talks to acquire AI startup Reka AI for over $1B. Was valued at 300M last June.
- RDDT - OPenAI will integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT and other products. OpenAI will become a reddit advertiser too.
- AMD - Wolfe Research replaced NVDA with AMD on its Wolfe Alpha List.
- AMD - Mcirsofot offers cloud cusomters amd alternative to NVDA AI processors.
- AVGO - say they expect AI chips to account for 35% of semiconductor evneues in 2024, up from 15% in 2023.
- XPEV - aims to deliver their first flying car in 2026, will start taking pre orders this year.
- HSBC down 3% amid reports that shareholder Ping An is looking to trim its stake.
- AMGN - FDA approves Amgen’s treatment for the most deadly form of lung cancer.
- Canada goose - jumps 16% after they reported growth surge in China.
- GS - looks to expand private equity credit lines as dealmaking picks up.
- DXC down on earnings after issuing weak outlook, forecasting revenue to decelerate and is forecasting financial challenges
- TTWO down on earnigns after cutting bookings forecast for Fy 2025. announced a fall 2025 release date for its highly anticipated GTA VI video game
- Li down as is hit with class lawsuit over Li Mega debacle
- STLA - gets buy rating from Piper Sandler
OTHER NEWS:
- CHINA PROPERTY RESCUE PACKAGE.
- China announced multiple measures from PBOC to support Housing market: set up 300B Yuan resending scheme for public housing. Removed mortgage rate floor for individual home buyers. Minimum down payment reduced to 15% for first time.
- THEY ARE TRYING TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR PEOPLE TO BUY HOUSES.
- Bostic yesterday said that he is pleased with inflation progress in April, but the Fed isn’t there yet. Said he doesnt see a recession, and said that lower shelter inflation in recent print was the most significant development for him. Said it will be appropriate for rate cuts later this year, but nothing locked in.
- DOJ yesterday, planned to issue notice of proposed rule making, to reclassify marijuana into a less restrictive category, from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.
- Luxury brand Richemont, which owns Cartier, posts record full year sales and new CEO
- ECB’s Schnabel says that there is little chance of back to back rate cuts from ECB, even if the first rate cut comes in June.
- Uk’s Jeremy Hunt says that he will cut national insurance in Autumnn if he is able to. Says conservatives will cut taxes if they win the election.
For more of my daily content, please join
Tradingedge submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
u/TearRepresentative56 [link] [comments]
2024.05.17 13:32 TearRepresentative56 Everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 17/05, including full positioning update post CPI. What you need to know. Sorry for no post yday, i explained the situation before. Not resolved, but got to push on. Hope the post today helps your trading! markets are looking good.
For more of my daily content, please join
Tradingedge ANALYSIS: - CPI update:
- Core CPI came in line with survey, at 0.3%, heading slightly lower in MOM terms vs last month (0.3% vs 0.4% before).
- We can see its a similar scenario as before, with service inflation there, but goods in deflation.
- https://imgur.com/a/3hAiquW
- Significantly, shelter inflation MOM is finally below 0.4%, which was the main headline of the print.
- https://imgur.com/a/GYHD12y
- Following the print, Inflation swaps now price in lower CPI for next month, so traders are more optimistic on inflation to continue lower than they were before, especially as we see oil prices come down this month.
- Market continues to move on the number of rate cuts being priced in for this year. Right now markets continue to price 1 or 2 rate cuts.
- So what does this mean for positioning, as we saw equities push higher?
- Well, as was the case before CPI, we continue to see very bearish positioning on VIX. Traders expect VIX to continue lower, which will increase the liquidity that market makers add. This should support the market higher. nOt much anxiety and fear in the markets.
- Volatility should therefore remain suppressed, for this opex.
- 5300 is the wall to get above, but We see traders buying calls on 5400 now so traders are optimistic in medium term.
- Probably when we look at today, skew is flat, but positioning bullish. We can see choppy day as VIX delta ITM puts are still elevated.
- Sentiment v bullish over next month or more.
- When we look at FX, we see That EURUSD has pared gains, because DXY moved higher. This was mostly because EURUSD had got overbought, and DXY was starting to get short term oversold. When we look at positioning, we see traders still buying calls on 1.09. 1.08 will act as support now.
- GOLD and Silver still see strong positioning, 2400 is wall on Gold. Skew on both gold and silver point higher but seeing low volumes.
- On Oil, traders are looking bullish. The skew points higher, whilst price consolidates. Traders are expecting a bullish breakout soon as seasonal demand tends to pick up in summer. Oil is just currently stuck below 79 on WTI.
- On German market, we see traders still buying calls on 19k but low volumes. Needs v high volume to get to this 19k level. 19k is a massive wall. Today and yesterday, it comes down, but soon it will try to test again. Euro strength will help GER40 go higher.
DATA LEDE:
- China Industrial production YOY came 6.7% up, vs 5.5% expected
- China Retail sales came 2.3% YOY vs 3.8% expected
- So retail sales came weak, industrial production was strong
- Unemployment rate in China fell to 5% from 5.2%, back to lowest level since November.
- NOTE: China also announced measures from PBOC to support housing market.
- Final revision to inflation rate in Eurozone came in in line with preliminary readings. No change.
- US leading index comes out later, after market opens. Expected to show deteriorating leading economic indicators
MARKETS:
- SPX: Following CPI, we saw markets push from 5246, to close above 5300. Yesterday, we aw market reach 5325, partly as result of softer jobless numbers, which points to more rate cuts, before sell off lower below 5300. Now at 5295. 5300 will be resistance again that it will try to break above.
- Nasdaq: Before CPI was at 18,310 just below resistance, pushed higher to reach 18,650, before coming lower again to 18,555. 18600 is a resistance, before 19k as the key resistance.
- Dow: was trading at 39600 before CPI, pushed higher to 40k. Got rejected below 40k. 40k is key resistance to get above.
- GER40: Pushed higher with US markets to 18,910, close to the key 19k resistance which is v strong, before paring gains back to 18,662.
- UK100 just been flat amongst the highs at 8400-8450
- China50 higher with lower unemployment rate and higher industrial production, trading up by 1.5% to 12,850. Main resistance now is going to be 13k. China also announced measures to support housing market.
- HKG50: Trading at 19,500. Key resistance is 20k.
- OIL: still trading flat, skew pointing higher.
- GOLD trading higher after CPI, bounced close to 2400.
- Price of Copper surges to new highs.
FX:
- EURUSD hit 1.09 yesterday, before coming down back to 1.084 now. 1.09 was the wall.
- GBPUSD hit 1.27, before coming down to 1.265 now.
- USDJPY fell from 156 to 153.5, before recovering higher to 156 again now.
- AUDUSD moved higher above 0.67 before paring the gains.
- The paring of gains came as DXY fell to almost 104, before pushing higher from there to 104.8.
MAG7:
- NVDA lower in premarket as Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA. Theyre offering their cloud customers AMD AI processors as an alternative to NVDA.
- TSLA - raised price of Model 3 performance for 2nd time in US by $1k, bringing it to $54,990. Increased price fo white interior for model 3 by $500, now priced at $2000.
- META - starting to test a Tweetdeck like experience for threads.
- NFLX - adds more buy side partners to its budding advertising business. Includes TTD, which had been MSFT’s role exclusively up until this point. GOOGL also added to programmatic partners for advertisers.
- MSFT - EU demands clarity from Microsoft on AI risks in bing.
- MSFT - As mentioned, Microsoft unveils AMD powered AI chips to rival NVDA.
EARNINGS:
AMAT:
- EPS of 2.09 was up 5% YOY, beat estimates of 1.99
- Revenue of 6.65B was flat YOY, beat estimates of 6.52B
- Semiconductor systems revenue, their main segment was 4.9B, beating estimates of 4.8B
- Q3 Guidance:
- Sees adjusted EPS of 1.83-2.19 (vs estimate of 1.83). So ahead of expectations
- Revenue of 6.65+400M, beat estimates of 6.57B. So strong guidance
- Strong results. Said their technologies for chips underpin the major secular shifts we are seeing in AI, IOT, EV and Clean energy
COMPANY SPECIFIC:
- Crypto stocks slightly higher as BTC up 1.5% to 66,500.
- COIN -price target raised to 217 from 110 by BoA
- BABA continues higher. Was up a lot as Michael Burry increased his stake in the company
- UAL - Wolfe Research raises to outperform from peer perform
- ARRY - Wells Fargo cuts price target to 14 from 16, still way above current price of 11.34, buy rating maintained
- Nio - China FAW to join Nio battery swap alliance
- SNOW - in talks to acquire AI startup Reka AI for over $1B. Was valued at 300M last June.
- RDDT - OPenAI will integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT and other products. OpenAI will become a reddit advertiser too.
- AMD - Wolfe Research replaced NVDA with AMD on its Wolfe Alpha List.
- AMD - Mcirsofot offers cloud cusomters amd alternative to NVDA AI processors.
- AVGO - say they expect AI chips to account for 35% of semiconductor evneues in 2024, up from 15% in 2023.
- XPEV - aims to deliver their first flying car in 2026, will start taking pre orders this year.
- HSBC down 3% amid reports that shareholder Ping An is looking to trim its stake.
- AMGN - FDA approves Amgen’s treatment for the most deadly form of lung cancer.
- Canada goose - jumps 16% after they reported growth surge in China.
- GS - looks to expand private equity credit lines as dealmaking picks up.
- DXC down on earnings after issuing weak outlook, forecasting revenue to decelerate and is forecasting financial challenges
- TTWO down on earnigns after cutting bookings forecast for Fy 2025. announced a fall 2025 release date for its highly anticipated GTA VI video game
- Li down as is hit with class lawsuit over Li Mega debacle
- STLA - gets buy rating from Piper Sandler
OTHER NEWS:
- CHINA PROPERTY RESCUE PACKAGE.
- China announced multiple measures from PBOC to support Housing market: set up 300B Yuan resending scheme for public housing. Removed mortgage rate floor for individual home buyers. Minimum down payment reduced to 15% for first time.
- THEY ARE TRYING TO MAKE IT EASIER FOR PEOPLE TO BUY HOUSES.
- Bostic yesterday said that he is pleased with inflation progress in April, but the Fed isn’t there yet. Said he doesnt see a recession, and said that lower shelter inflation in recent print was the most significant development for him. Said it will be appropriate for rate cuts later this year, but nothing locked in.
- DOJ yesterday, planned to issue notice of proposed rule making, to reclassify marijuana into a less restrictive category, from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3.
- Luxury brand Richemont, which owns Cartier, posts record full year sales and new CEO
- ECB’s Schnabel says that there is little chance of back to back rate cuts from ECB, even if the first rate cut comes in June.
- Uk’s Jeremy Hunt says that he will cut national insurance in Autumnn if he is able to. Says conservatives will cut taxes if they win the election.
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2024.05.17 13:13 Lipat97 Talking Points, Rhetorical Strategies and some Content Suggestions
Tiny mentioned on stream the other day that we need to start cooking up some strategies for tearing apart common talking points we might run into. Figured I'd kick it off with this thread - dont care about I/P or anti lefty stuff so going to focus on election rhetoric
Talking Points for the Election - What has Biden done?
We cant use this much at home but if someone whips this out in a talk with Destiny this is probably one of the biggest slam dunks he can get. A professional political commentator openly admitting they haven't kept up with the latest legislation is damning, and it gets a followup - "If you actually followed what was happening you might've known that the policy you said you loved so much with Trump was actually put into practice by Biden" (China tariffs are a huge win for Joe)
- Senility
The first response to this is always to call it theater. If they push, you pivot this into "If he's senile then why is everything going right?". This is a big point for destiny - you *have* to stop pivoting away from "do you even like biden?" to "wait but trump is worse." Biden has genuine positives you should be leaning on, and at this point people are good at people picking up on that particular pivot so it often ends up looking very political and potentially dishonest. Its especially important to bring up the wins that are bipartisan or that have appealed to any of the versions of the republican party over the last 20 years
- Immigration
I notice Destiny generally avoids asking questions in arguments because he thinks it can lose for rhetorical reasons, but this is a spot I think it works really well - you lead in with "What issue do you have with Biden's immigration policy?" and when they follow up with one of their halfbaked answers you cut them off with "no no no, whats your issue with *Biden*'s immigration policy?". The point is you want to direct the conversation to the bill thats currently on the floor of congress and either A) fuck them for not knowing about the bill or B) win the back and forth on what you like or dont like about the bill
- Wokeness
Tiny's been doing great on this topic lately, downplaying the role of college students and throwing a few zingers to show how stupid it is to base political discourse off some suped up 18 year old. The broader followup to make here is you want to make it clear to the audience that you think the democratic party is moving away from immigration and woke. Having this observation aired is so insanely strong among neutral / conservative audiences its almost criminal not slip it in somehow. Destiny's already has it is in arsenal to mention how the far left hasn't seemed to infiltrate the actual democratic party very far, however I think he can be much stronger on this point and you can use the recent immigration bill to group that in here as well
- "Trump came up with it first!"
Yea but you need an adult to put it into practice. Easy shot. Using rhetoric to consistently frame trump as juvenile or incompetent is super important, and it works x10 if you slip it in on a separate point (because they cant respond to both your point and your insinuation)
- "But people clearly like the guy!"
The most piers morgan take you can get, takes some tact but you should be able to turn this into your favor by slipping in a "well people like a lot of dumb shit" and then go into a longer point either about celebrity worship or about how the dont focus on policy. Potential TMZ zinger here? Also, when you do this dont say republicans, say "The trump movement" or something similar. Simple word change to make it appeal to tradcons
- You're just saying that to be a contrarian!
This goes for any point where they try to come up with a background reason for what you're saying. I remember this specifically happening in the candace debate, but it comes up all the time. This is an opportunity because it actually gives you a chance to frame your position in your own words. I'll get into this more in the optics section but pivoting this into "No, I believe this because I've always believed in [good thing]" or "No I believe it because I've read [relevant document] and I found the evidence compelling / hard to deny".
- Ukraine - Isolationism / The libertarian position
"Just ignore the world until its on your doorstep". Easy zingers here
Content / "Optics" Analysis for Mr. Tiny - Clips & Breakdowns
We just had a post this week asking for Destiny to do video essays - that shit's stupid, but its the right energy and a good litmus test for what people are looking for. The way Destiny makes this work is by taking the explanations he already does on stream - you know, when someone asks him a good question in chat and he does the little drawings - and [aieifndc] that into a machine. First step is to approach it correctly - dont wait for the good question to be asked. Come in to the stream ready to launch into an explanation on immigration, I/P, trump lawsuits, vaccine conspiracies, etc. When you find what you want, clip it and edit it either into 8 minutes for youtube or 15s for tiktok and let the algo gods do their thing. You make high quality content because you're generally knowledgeable on the topics at hand - lean on that, the higher quality your explanation the more likely someone's going to share it to their friends
- Topic Selection
We have a number of opinions we believe, which of those opinions do we lean on to serve me best in this conversation? This is the main game you play if you're ever trying to be smart *and& honest about talking politics. For Destiny this means - younger audiences you lean on anti-conspiracies and avoid I/P, for boomers you focus on bipartisan issues and interest rates, for rightwingers and libertarians mention the guns you have and talk about how much you love america.
- Positive Optics - Research Streams and dunking on Conspiracy Theorists
Tuning into a destiny stream to see that he brought two lawyers on to read through the latest trump case earned an unbelievable amount of respect for him in my head, I bring it up every time he comes and people are rightfully impressed - this is positive optics. Many aspects of Destiny's day to day work are incredibly impressive and a breath of fresh air to the average joe learning about his work, nearly every American is going to have respect for the guy who actually reads the bills and court cases he's talking about. So yeah, mention that shit more.
Destiny completely underestimates how crucial his takes on conspiracies are right now. When my uncle brings up voting machines or bats in China, I have no idea what to say - Destiny does. You see that big write up I did for talking points about the election? *Nobody* has the anti-conspiracy version of that talking point list - except Destiny. Voters under 26 dont give a fuck about the economy or healthcare, give them ammo to fire at the nutjob on the other end of the dinner table and they'll be willing to look past whatever stupid slur crusade you're on this week.
- Chummy Buddies :)
"I dont see any possible argument for trump so Im really curious what Ben comes up with here" is possibly the only time I've seen Destiny tip into the most powerful rhetorical tactic of all time - camaraderie. When you kick off with some mildmannered joshing around, you give the impression you're just a couple of reasonable guys who happen to disagree on key topics. Americans splurge at even the idea of that scenario. The Trump supporter guy on the piers morgan appearances tries this approach a lot, and he's a good example of it - often makes concessions to Destiny's points in an effort to seem palatable & visibly laughs at a lot of oneliners from Destiny and Piers. It also throws the opponents off sometimes, because they feel like they cant get as combative when you're being friendly. Its also a good tactic in 2v2 debates, if it looks like you're super friendly with one of the two the other one comes off poorly
- Hedging on I/P
"Hey listen I know its a contentious topic, I understand why people feel the way they do but from digging more into the topic its just really a lot more complicated from how it looks on the surface"
- The Next Research
Pretty clear to me that Tiny was a bit disappointed by how shallow the immigration topic was, but this was the wrong perspective on it. Turns out, most of the crucial election topics are this simple. The only hard ones (I/P and the lawsuits) have already been covered. So if you make a big lineup of election topics there's good odds you're done with it by August - Economy, geopolitics, climate change, CHIPS act. I've noticed economics is something especially Destiny tries to toe around, interest rate stuff really isnt that complicated but hey maybe worth bringing Noah Smith on Bridges to help out (he's literally just written a piece on the economic arguments for Biden)
- Bridges
Milking guests for followup guests. Sometimes you can just directly ask them who'd be a good fit, but its also just a generally good question to ask "Who are the prominent figures in the field right now?" "What books should be people be reading up on if they want to dive deeper?" (And then contact the author). For science and art features its always good to ask about recent work - "Is there any cool research you've seen in the past year or so that the public should be excited about?"
- Commit to a position! State it clearly!
David Pakman's really good about this - he has a firm stance and he'll keep reiterating it throughout a conversation. Destiny OTOH tends to continuously circle around a conversation by adding evidence and making points - this is important, but if you dont state your point as well then it looks like you're avoiding giving an answer and people become confused on what your position is. The other thing is if people dont have a clear answer on what you believe, they'll start inferring it from the rest of the conversation - they have to guess, and that guess will never be favorable to you. A lot of conservative commentators *have* to circle the point because they dont have a position to stick to, there's no reason for Destiny to be doing it (and should be nailing the conservatives who rely on this tactic)
Thats all I got for now. Sorry in advance if there's any typos
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2024.05.17 07:29 Far-Yak-9808 Ok, just gonna get out ahead of everybody else... "this is the GOAT draft." P.S. Keep reading
GOAT draft.
Caitlyn Clark's hype died for this draft. CC is busting enough for the next FIVE NBA drafts. She makes Jimmer Fredette look like Pistol Pete Maravich.
Zach Edey is the best sports entertainment prospect since Andre The Giant.
If Edey gets double teamed by King Kong and Godzilla, then I am taking Zach Edey.
Edey COMP: The guy we all wanted Darko to be. Edey is built like a (late) prime Lakers version of Wilt Chamberlain. He could be the Memphis Grizzlies' Tim Duncan. Or, maybe even the most consequential pick since Larry Bird. Edey's upside is INFINITE -- and this dude can touch the ceiling.
Tidjane Salaun: LeBron LITE.
Bronny: Video Game Maurice Cheeks. Joe Dumars-ish. ANT LITE.
Clingan is that Luc Longley/Will Perdue hybrid that we have always wanted.
I think the guards are good, overall, but it is gonna depend on where they end up. With Rob Dillingham having a floor of ISAIAH Thomas and a ceiling of ISIAH Thomas (ironically).
Jared McCain is a fluid shooter. He has more Steph-tential than Reed Sheppard does.
Some other good ones like Dalton Knecht, who could be like Mitch Richmond.
Not the biggest Stephon Castle fan. Especially for the Grizzlies, since he reminds me of Lamar Stevens (who is on a 2 way deal for us, I think), although I liked Stevens in his draft. Castle also reminds me of Vincent Askew a guard-everybody wing years ago for the Seattle Supersonics (and, before that, a member of the '85 Memphis Tigers Final Four team). Still, an outside shot that Stephon Castle turns into a Ron Artest type. I think you take that guy in the 12-18 range, maybe no higher. All those UConn guys would probably be good fits with the Knicks (UConn bench mob to back up the Villanova guys).
Not really sure what to make of Nikola Topic. Would probably be a player I would need to see in private workouts.
I think the draft will shake itself out pretty well. Internal boards will probably have a similar top 5 (but maybe in a different order).
Alex Sarr looks like a replacement level top pick. Reminds me of Kwame Brown, but with lots more upside. Should be a good pick for the Atlanta Hawks; that team needs some buzz.
Enrique Freeman gives off vibes of a guy who kinda comes out of nowhere, has a great combine then works his way onto an All Rookie 2nd team. Although this draft might be a bit too deep.
DEEP SLEEPER options: London Johnson and Thierry Darlan. I like Yannick Kraag and Roko Prkacin as late late second round picks -- if they ever declare for the draft.
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2024.05.17 05:35 Aurora-0599 Advice From my 3 Years at UIUC
Created this initially for my brother (who recently committed to UIUC for computer science) and had an MS friend look over. Hope it helps others too!
Buses / Transportation
- The 12, 13, and 22 are most likely the ones you’ll use if you end up at Ike or PAR
- The 22 has a route that I still haven’t figured out, would recommend other buses over it if possible
- Google Maps is good for getting a general direction but is not at all accurate for timing
- Most bus stations have a code that you can text to 35890 and get the most accurate arrival times
- Other apps that are good accuracy wise are Transit and UIUC Bus App
- Buses get very delayed in the winter time as everyone is trying to catch it and not walk in the cold, make sure to plan accordingly for going to classes and try to get on an earlier one than needed if possible
- Having a bike seems helpful from what my friends have said, invest in a good lock though
Electives
- Prioritize interest in electives over an easy A, you might learn something completely different from them compared to CS / CE courses
- On the same vein, don’t try to double or triple up on requirements if it means taking a boring classes, you have the time to take more interesting things if you want to
- Recommended electives
- Writing a Web Presence (was BTW 263, got moved to BTW 285) with John Dudek (he was an AMAZING professor)
- only fulfills Advanced Composition but provided a very different perspective to online material than CS courses
- helped me get started on my portfolio
- World Religions (REL 110)
- was one of the ones i took to double up (Humanities - Hist & Phil, Cultural Studies - Non-West)
- turned out to be a lot more interesting than I thought esp the units on Hinduism and Jainism
- was a pretty easy workload, i did a lot of the essays the day before or the morning of
- had some in-class essays which you did on paper when i took it, not sure if that’s still a thing
- Intro to Asian American Studies (AAS 100)
- was another course i took to double up (Social & Beh Sci - Soc Sci, Cultural Studies - US Minority)
- also turned out to be quite interesting
- very easy workload wise
Restaurants
- Signature Grill -- good dosas, heard biryanis are good too (+1)
- Dubai Grill -- good falafel
- Shawarma Joint – good falafel, 2 meals for one
- Mia Za’s – classic fast food Italian place
- Manolos – great novelty pizza, fairly good prices, brownie empanada is too good
- Basil Thai -- as the name implies, good Thai food
- Jip Bap -- only had the ramen but liked it when i went
- Dominos -- don't know if you’d do this but i would order a medium / large pizza and breadsticks to last me a few days
- Fast food -- Chipotle, Noodles and Co, Panda Express, Subway (prefer the Subway not on Green Street cuz there’s a nice Indian auntie and uncle)
- Off campus -- Himalayan Kitchen
Cafes
- Cafe Bene -- both locations are nice to study at if that’s your scene
- Kung Fu Tea -- lots of boba and non-boba options, i liked their strawberry smoothie but was a bit on the expensive end
- Yummy Future -- good for a one-time visit, their coffees and drinks are expensive but it’s cool to watch the robot making it
- I’ve heard a Yummy Future is going to replace Einstein Bagels in Siebel CS
- Heard good things about Daily Byte in the ECE building (+1!!!)
- Gotten good croissants from the cafe in Grainger Library but don't know how anything else is there (don't go here, they have a bad rep for hygiene!)
- If you’re ever in Bevier Hall, they have good lunch stuff on the 2nd / 3rd floor (there’s signs pointing you to it)
- Off campus there’s this nice cafe in Urbana with samosas called Strawberry Fields
Groceries
- Amazon Prime came quite in handy!!
- Target on campus and ISR market are what i mainly used for getting food
- County Market is kinda like Trader Joes and has good vegetables from what i’ve heard
Medical [assumes an insurance we already have which OSF Healthcare is covered under]
- Make sure to opt out of the campus health insurance as soon as you can
- If you need to be seen relatively urgently, the McKinley doctors are pretty nice
- Call to make an appointment and you could get same-day or within the next few days
- If it’s less urgent, go for OSF as that is covered by our insurance
- If you’re ever in a position where you need to get taken to the ER (hopefully never), go with OSF over Carle for the hospital for insurance reasons
- They’ll ask you if you’re in the ambulance which you prefer
- Have your insurance card on you or get parents on hold (having a friend there is ideal to do the parent stuff for you, can get quite overwhelming in the ER)
- Keep medicines in stock (Ibuprofen, Tylenol, etc)
- Also highly recommend purchasing a cold pack that can be made into a heat pack, I got mine from Walmart off campus in the beginning of sophomore year
- Homemade hot pack -- use lentils or rice in a ziploc and heat as needed
- Homemade cold pack -- freeze some water in a ziploc and add about ¼ or less of sanitizer to the water to keep it from being one piece
- Keep a first aid kit with you in your room and make sure it’s stocked just in case
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2024.05.17 02:53 valhalla2611 help regarding email spoofing-fishing
I have a question, maybe someone has some input. This may be long winded. I am a middleman between 2 companies doing a project. One company is called, say cloudint.com. They were doing a job for another company and wanted to get paid the 2nd installment. The other company received an email from
joe@cloundlnt.com. Notice the i is now an l and in some fonts, the i does not have the dot on top. So the second company received this false email, saying the banking info has changed for wire transfer. This poor girl on the other end took it as a valid email and wired 72k to a fake address. Both sides are blaming each other. I kinda blame cloudint.com but what is strange, the other company got a few emails that I sent and were slightly reworded and it showed coming from
joe@cloudlnt.com. This girl at the second company apparently was getting emails every day from
Joe@cloudint.com, some of it not even relevant to her and she never clued in something was off. cloudlnt.com even has a registered domain effective feb 1, which is around the time this started happening. the second company even got a few emails from
joe@cloudint.com, with the correct spelling but he did not send it. It was giving banking info, which he never does plus it has good grammar, which he never does. Is it more cloudint.com that was hacked or was the second company hacked and targeted one person in particular. Both sides say it's not them and I stressed to them to change all the passwords and scan all computers for malware and ditch
joe@cloudint.com as that was the address sending all the fake emails. What else can be done?
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2024.05.17 02:36 Calm_Ocelot_269 Mandamus Lawsuit Filed Successfully
| I submitted my I-485 & I-130, marriage base, on 12/08/2020. After the interview (08/03/2021) at the Charlotte FO, the case has been stuck at “Interview was scheduled” for almost 3 years. I tried to seek help from my Congressman, the Ombudsman, and made numerous phone calls to USCIS, but the response was always to wait for the background check. I contacted @JoeGentileESQ through Reddit for consultation on my case, and he was very professional. I decided to file a Mandamus lawsuit. After more than a week since they received my writ of Mandamus, my I-130 was approved. They requested a new medical examination, and I assumed they would approve my I-485 after I submitted it. However, they sent me another interview notice. At the interview, they asked some questions about my asylum case, which was filed when I came to the US, and then they approved my case on the spot. They didn’t even allow my husband to attend the interview with me. Thank you again, @JoeGentileESQ, for your help. If anyone has a case that has exceeded the processing time and wants to file a Mandamus, please contact @JoeGentileESQ. submitted by Calm_Ocelot_269 to USCIS [link] [comments] |
2024.05.17 02:01 chidorixyz BKFC Fight Night Omaha Card Overview
It is time for Friday night fights as we have BKFC Fight Night Omaha coming to us from the Liberty First Arena in Omaha, NE. Free pre-lims begin at 7:00 pm EDT with the main card starting at 8:00 pm EDT.
In the main event we have a electrifying Welterweight matchup that is sure to have title implications behind it as the undefeated #2 Welterweight Carlos Trinidad-Snake (4-0, 2 KOs) takes on #4 Welterweight Dustin Pague (3-1, 2 KOs), who's coming off a strong decision victory over Joe Elmore. Our co-main event is a Middleweight bout featuring a true day-one and veteran of the sport #5 Middleweight Dakota Cochrane (5-2, 4 KOs) as he knuckles up against a game opponent looking to insert himself in to the Middleweight rankings in Jeremie Holloway (1-0-1). Rounding out the top three fights is another Middleweight matchup where the undefeated Alonzo Martinez (3-0, 2 KOs) hopes to continue his winning streak in front of the hometown crowd against the always dangerous KO artist Stanislav Grosu (3-3, 3 KOs).
As many others have been saying, I'm also of the opinion that this card has the chance to be the dark horse for the best BKFC event of the year. A lot of exciting fighters make their first appearance of the year on this card: Sarah Shell (1-0, 1 KO), Bobby Taylor (5-2, 4 KOs), Ryan Braun (2-0, 2 KOs), and Tommy Strydom (2-0, 2 KOs) are some that really stand out. One matchup that I'm excited for is the Welterweight bout between Imeka Ifekandu (1-0, 1 KO) and Sean Wilson (3-2, 1 KO); does Ifekandu get his 2nd win after a 2 year absence or is Wilson going to be able to bounce straight back with a win?
Each matchup on this card has quality and excitement written all over it. Without a doubt we should be in for an excellent night of fights!
Weight Class | Name | Age | Weight | Height | Reach | Last BK Fight | Overall BK Record | BKFC Rank | BKFC Profile Link | BoxRec Link |
Welterweight | Carlos Trinidad-Snake | 28 | 164.8 | 6' | 78" | 5-19-2023 | 4-0 (2 KOs) | #2 Welterweight | Link | Link |
| Dustin Pague | 36 | 165.4 | 5' 9" | 73.5" | 9-29-2023 | 3-1 (2 KOs) | #4 Welterweight | Link | Link |
Middleweight | Dakota Cochrane | 38 | 175.8 | 5' 7" | 71" | 5-19-2023 | 5-2 (4 KOs) | #5 Middleweight | Link | Link |
| Jeremie Holloway | 39 | 174.4 | 5' 11" | 71" | 10-20-2023 | 1-0-1 | N/a | Link | Link |
Middleweight | Alonzo Martinez | 40 | 175.4 | 5' 10" | 70" | 5-19-2023 | 3-0 (2 KOs) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Stanislav Grosu | 31 | 173.6 | 6' 2" | 76" | 2-16-2024 | 3-3 (3 KOs) | N/a | Link | Link |
Women Strawweight | Sarah Shell | 36 | 115.6 | 5' 7" | 66" | 11-18-2022 | 1-0 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Crystal Van Wyk | 36 | 115.6 | 5' 2" | 63" | 2-16-2024 | 1-0 | N/a | Link | Link |
Lightweight | Ryan Roberts | 45 | 155 | 5' 6" | ~66" | 9-10-2021 | 1-0 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Bobby Taylor | 46 | 155.2 | 5' 8" | 69" | 2-24-2023 | 5-2 (4 KOs) | N/a | Link | Link |
Cruiserweight | Ryan Braun | 36 | 202.8 | 5' 11" | 73.5" | 5-19-2023 | 2-0 (2 KOs) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Corey McIntosh | 39 | 205.6 | 5' 10" | ~70" | Debut | Debut | N/a | Link | Link |
Lightweight | Sean Wilson | 41 | 155.6 | 5' 8" | 67" | 3-15-2024 | 3-2 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Imeka Ifekandu | 37 | 153.4 | 5' 8" | 76" | 5-16-2022 | 1-0 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
Featherweight | Tommy Strydom | 38 | 145.6 | 5' 7" | 70" | 5-19-2023 | 2-0 (2 KOs) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Corey Roberts | 42 | 146 | 5' 6" | 68" | 5-19-2023 | 1-0 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
Undercard: | | | | | | | | | | |
Featherweight | Josh Krejci | 36 | 145.6 | 5' 7" | 71" | 5-19-2023 | 1-1 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Nate Morrow | N/a | 145 | 5' 8" | ~68" | Debut | Debut | N/a | Link | Link |
Welterweight | Kassius Kayne | 37 | 164.6 | 6' 1" | 76" | Debut | Debut | N/a | Link | Link |
| Dionisio Ramirez | N/a | 164.8 | N/a | N/a | Debut | Debut | N/a | Link | Link |
Lightweight | Brandon Meyer | 40 | 153.6 | 5' 10" | 72" | 3-15-2024 | 2-1 (1 KO) | N/a | Link | Link |
| Eduardo Peralta | 30 | 162.8 | 5' 6" | 68" | 6-23-2023 | 0-2 | N/a | Link | Link |
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2024.05.17 02:01 CazOnReddit A Speedrunner's Guide to Bruce Brown - And What Can Be Done on Draft Night (Part 2)
| Welcome to part 2 of the pre-draft deadline Bruce Brown breakdown. For part 1, we went over a trio of trade partners in the Bulls, the Hawks and Jazz so if that interests you, give it a read. In part 2, and going forward, we'll be taking a look at a single team for the sake of what can be charitably described as me being "brief". Now that we have finally learned which teams have jumped or dropped in the lottery, let's talk about a team that also officially lost a pick in this year's draft. Golden State Warriors https://preview.redd.it/pxlx2hbw8v0d1.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=05ea876ddd04751d409dbc81c846eecfa30894db Most likely player(s) : Chris Paul, Andrew Wiggins, Moses Moody, Trayce Jackson-Davis Incoming salary: Varies depending on the combination of players coming back/sent out; 26.2 million incoming at minimum, 30 million at maximum. $10.2 million exception from the Siakam trade may be used depending on the structure of a deal Pick(s) available: 52nd, 2025\ or 2026 1st* Note: Assets listed above are not a proposed trade package, they are simply a list of players & picks that can be combined in a potential trade worth consideration. Who here likes multiple choice? Yeah i'm not listing all of their stats for the year, there's too many players for that this time around. Golden State is interesting as far as trade partners go. As they lost their 2024 1st round pick post-lottery to the Blazers, they have menial draft capital to include in a trade for this year and as far as salary relief goes, the potential loss of Klay Thompson and the declining of Chris Paul's option seem both very real and deserved given the Warriors were perhaps the most expensive 10 seed in NBA history, not to mention their respective play regressing. To put this into perspective, the Warriors luxury tax bill - for a team that needed to win 2 games to make the playoffs I might add - is estimated to cost Joe Lacob $176 million, more than the entire Raptors roster at $161.9 million post-trade deadline. Changes should be on the horizon no matter what direction they go in the offseason and with Lacob talking about wanting to avoid the luxury tax earlier this year, there's a fairly straight line to connect one dot (no tax) to the other (Klay walks or is signed & traded for a lesser return, Paul's team option declined & either he walks or signs a significantly cheaper deal). We'll ignore that Johnathan Kuminga has likely played himself into an expensive extension and how that could put them close to or over the line the year afterwards for a moment but the point stands: The Warriors don't technically need salary relief when doing nothing can accomplish that... ...but on the other hand, the Warriors still have Steph Curry and that's reason enough to ride out the remnants of the dynasty unless/until the most important/best player in franchise history decides to ask out. Plus, while they did miss on their highest pick since the dynasty formed by selecting James Wiseman over LaMelo Ball or Tyrese Haliburton (Admittedly, Haliburton would have been a stretch for 2 but the Warriors could have traded down), they have managed to land on a few of their lottery picks with the ever productive Johnathan Kuminga and the underutilized Moses Moody in 2021, not to mention they nabbed All-Rookie candidate Brandin Podziemski and the respectable Trayce Jackson-Davis in 2023 with relatively late picks in the 1st and 2nd round. While none of them scream All-Star upside aside from the Kum Bucket, it goes to show that Golden State has found hidden gems late in the draft to add depth to a top-heavy and typically expensive team that hasn't been afforded free agent signings or access to certain exceptions, let alone the ability to keep together the supporting cast that helped them win a championship in Gary Payton II (They got him back via a controversial 3-team trade involving Wiseman) and Raptors Legend™ Otto Porter Jr. With the Raptors prioritizing players over picks in their trade of O.G. Anunoby and them turning the worst of the 2024 picks received in the Siakam trade into two rotational players via Ochai and Olynyk, you can see where this is going: Golden State makes sense as a Bruce Brown destination if the Warriors want to kick the luxury tax down the road by deferring a particular player's extension in favor of a new rookie contract while still getting someone who is all but assured to contribute to a playoff rotation, and if the Raptors want to trade out of this draft while still getting a young player on the roster or potentially move in to a stronger draft class such as 2025 or 2026. Fittingly for the former option, there's one player that makes sense for Toronto in light of Trent's uncertainty as their starting/bench shooting guard as a pending unrestricted free agent, and the Raptors already traded out of this draft twice so it would not be surprising if they did it a third time. It'd be funny, but not a surprise. The Player(s) https://preview.redd.it/ee8vv1rd9v0d1.png?width=1280&format=png&auto=webp&s=576dff2e70308c2379ed9586cc10285e8c9bc6a5 Of the Warriors youngest players, Moses Moody stands out and not for the reason that someone has likely mentioned in the comments i.e. Scottie and Moody were teammates in high school. For the past three seasons, Moses has been the most consistently disrespected player by head coach Steve Kerr despite quiet improvements to his overall game, frequently benching him to close games in favor of the wildly inconsistent veteran Klay Thompson and in general limiting his minutes compared to the other young Warriors. This sentiment was perfectly encapsulated in that play-in loss, where Moses played a mere 15 minutes for the Dubs despite arguably being the best player amongst the supporting cast, if not the best player on the floor for Golden State; he scored 16 points on 5/8 shooting (2/4 from 3), grabbed 3 boards and had one dime without not a turnover to his name. In a game where Klay shot 0/10 and may very well have played his last game as a Warrior with a +/- of -12, Moody managed a respectable +/- of +3 in a blowout loss to the Kings. Both Moody and Kuminga have called out Kerr's questionable granting of playtime - Moody has a stretch this year where he was racking up DNPs - but while Johnathan was given more playtime and even started for a time due to Draymond's jackassery leading to multiple suspensions this season in conjunction with a notable leap in his offensive game, Moody's role on the team has been inconsistent and his playtime equally so. With him and Kuminga up for extensions this offseason, Golden State moving Moses to kick the can down the road by picking up another rookie who can contribute now, Moody's time in a Warriors jersey may be over. It also bears mention that Moody is the one young player on the Warriors roster whose name has most frequently come up in trade rumors or failed trades. This very season saw Golden State try to trade for Alex Caruso, a deal which is believed to have been centered around Moody but which fell through due to the Bulls wanting Kuminga instead. Moody is a good player. We'll get into the bad contract that he'd come with in a moment but it cannot be understated the level of frustration that comes from seeing a clearly capable player be sidelined due to favoritism of a past-their-prime veteran. He might not be as good of a shooter as Klay; he's a career 36% from behind the arc and though his volume remains low, on the occasions where he's shot 6 or more more threes, he's around 44% across the 14 games he's been given the greenlight to take that many shots. It's a limited sample size of an already limited sample despite having 3 seasons under his belt, but you can understand why he isn't feeling that he's been given much of any opportunity when his hands are this hot on increased volume. Of course, any player on the Warriors' outside shooting has to come with the obligatory asterisk that they are shooting the shots that they've got & thus the 3-point percentage they're shooting at due to Steph Curry's inescapable gravity. A team playing worse without their best player is so obvious a statement that should go without saying, and the sample size of Curry-less Moody games is once again limited but across 44 Curry-less games in his career, Moses Moody only saw a minor dip in 3-point percentage from his career 36% to 33.6% though again, this is on relatively low volume; his attempts have stayed around the same as his career average with 3 per game in those Curry-less games. The quality of competition is another factor that does need to taken in to consideration along with whomever else was absent but considering that the dip is relatively small and a sizeable amount of teams faced in said sample includes playoff seeds from the 2022/23 season, that's a surprisingly encouraging stat. If there's anything about his overall range that stands out in a negative light, it's that his overall catch and shoot numbers aren't anything to write home about at roughly 36% but I digress. Beyond his shooting upside, there's a lot to like about Moody. For intangibles, he's highly competitive. For fit as a potential starter, he's a 6'6 shooting guard with a lengthy 7'1 wingspan that's shown flashes of his defensive upside and consistently improved on that end of the floor. He's great at moving off-ball and while he's never going to rack up assists, he's willing to pass up a good shot to let a teammate take a better one. Jackson-Davis is also worth mentioning as a potential "young" player though one who is less likely to see the Dubs part ways with. The 24 year-old rookie was a productive member of the team's bench with limited playtime and considering he's making the equivalent of a minimum contract, there's little incentive to move him when he won't need to be extended for at least another season. While Moody for the 19th pick could be an option on its own, we're talking Bruce Brown-centered "salary dump" trades and thus there's two main candidates to consider since it's very hard to see Golden State moving Draymond Green even if a paradigm shift is on the horizon. Andrew Wiggins is hard to currently evaluate whether he's a truly awful contract or just temporarily undervalued. The Mavericks and Pacers were apparently interested in him at this year's deadline but whether that was serious interest or part of negotiations with the Hornets and Raptors respectively for PJ or Pascal to lower their asking prices is up for debate since Andrew stayed a Warrior after the deadline. What can be said is that after being a key contributor to the Warriors Final Dance-esque championship run, Wiggins has had a rough duo of seasons; his 2022/23 encore was more of the same for the regular season if he played, though the key word is "if". Owed to an injury in December and personal matters from February onwards, Wiggins only played 37 games for Golden State & while he was generally decent on both ends in the regular season, his return to the playoffs marked a notable shrinking of Wiggins. Going from a terrific 39.6% from 3 on 6 attempts to 29.7% on less than 5 per game and playing with far less intensity on defense, this version of Wiggins would carry on into the 2023/24 regular season where Andrew had arguably his worst season relative to expectations. He did pick things up in the later games of the season, but said second half has done little to repair his current reputation. Like I said, it's hard to really say if Wiggins contract is viewed as an albatross like former teammate Jordan Poole or the now-expiring Ben Simmons - Andrew is getting paid an AAV of $28 million for the next 3 years - and I don't care to speculate about what was going on in his personal life or if it's still affecting him. What I can say is that while his name does bear consideration, if the Warriors really are determined to run things back, they'll likely hold on to Wiggins and hope whatever personal issues have hindered him for the past two seasons are behind him. When healthy/locked in, he is one of the best wing defenders in the league and as mentioned before, his 3 ball has been terrific in his best seasons with Golden State. With that in mind, Chris Paul could be considered the option for the main salary ballast. At this stage of his career, "Point God" Paul cannot be asked to be a team's starting PG due to a combination of age and injuries but he's shown some effectiveness as a bench in Golden State and despite a poor reputation around the league, he's been a notable mentor to a slew of younger star players like Shai and Booker and has been noted as a culture setter in their respective organizations. He's absolutely not worth paying $30 million for that role - there's a reason why his contract isn't guaranteed whatsoever for the season - but for a season? More than likely 2/3 of a single season? One can stomach the price tag to make such a deal work, especially if Toronto somehow manages to flip his expiring contract at the deadline. If nothing else, having Paul on the last legs of his career as a Raptor (potentially passing Jason Kidd for 2nd on the all-time assist leaderboard in a Raptors jersey at that) would make for an interesting playmaking mentor to Quickley and Scottie. While a straight up swap that includes Jackson-Davis or Moody works financially, owed to the trade exception that the Raptors generated from the Siakam trade which in of itself utilized an exception made via the Anunoby trade, and a 1:1 trade for Brown also works (Moody and Paul on the move would save the Warriors around $7 million in payroll before factoring in the tax), trading Paul for depth in Brown and, say, Chris Boucher - who it should be noted is also expiring and was originally signed as an undrafted free agent by the Warriors - doesn't offer the Dubs long-term salary relief in the same way that moving off of Wiggins would, at least not for the upcoming season. A deal like this would be an expiring for expiring deal where they would shed a minor amount of salary after going for a "final run" with this current core before having the same issue of needing to re-sign some of their supporting pieces. Not having to worry about paying Moody might help the season after but those pending UFAs and Kuminga would need to get paid or be lost for nothing, meaning they would still be deep in the second apron for the 2024/25 season, barring Klay being re-signed to a very team-friendly deal. It would be a move that screams "delaying the inevitably" but again: They have Steph Curry and considering how bad the Warriors were in the post-Barry, pre-Steph years, it's understandable they'd want to cling on to the current dynasty. As for draft capital, Golden State doesn't have the largest pool of assets but they do have some to spare. They have a very late 2nd in this draft - 52nd overall - and now that their 2024 pick has conveyed to the Blazers, they do have the option to trade a future 1st in 2025 or 2026. Admittedly, it's hard to see the Warriors parting with their remaining draft capital when they just gave up a late lottery pick to the Blazers and they owe the Wizards a 2030 1st, not without a notable protection on said pick as their team continues to age. For reference, that Washington pick they gave up is Top 20-protected. A draft pick, young player(s), a vet (albeit one whose significantly overpaid), like I said, Golden State has a fair amount of options in regards to what combination they can put together for a trade on or after draft night without the Raptors trading down in the 2024 draft but I do want to state that - speaking purely as an outsider to Golden State - the Warriors really should not be doing this. They aren't a Brown + Boucher swap away from being a contender even if Steph is still a consensus Top 3-5 player going in to next season. But they also can't trade an aging Steph Curry to begin rebuild without him being the one to ask out and their overall asset pool is not enough to land a star outside of Kuminga (who, based on the Caruso trade talks, is not available), not to mention the Jordan Poole salary dump saw them ship out a 2030 1st that restricts their draft capital just as much as the new CBA rules do for second apron teams regarding trading out distant draft capital. Doing some kind of move like this may be a more dignified end to the dynasty but it is the end of their status as a championship-caliber team even if Wiggins bounces back and Klay finally accepts a lesser role on offense (If he returns). Maybe they make it as a Top 6 seed in the playoffs given how close the 6th thru 10th seed were in the West with a touch more depth. Maybe they win a playoff series, but they're not making the Conference Finals, let alone another Finals so long as the Nuggets, Thunder and Timberwolves are going to be in contention, and this is without considering teams like the Spurs or Rockets being on the rise; the Rockets in particular made a noteworthy run for the final play-in spot that the Warriors ultimately were locked in to. The current Warriors are in a spot similar to the post-championship Mavericks where they're stuck in a lower seed as their aging superstar stays around for the twilight years of their career, along with all the bumps they'll experience along the road. They'll win enough games to qualify for the playoffs or at the very least the play-in now that the 9th/10th seed make it to the postseason, but they're wholly lacking in options to internally improve or make moves to truly return to contender status. The big difference is the Mavericks failures were self-inflicted i.e. letting core members of that run like Tyson Chandler walk for nothing while trying - but failing (I know they technically signed DeAndre Jordan but that ordeal ended with him returning to L.A., ergo a failure for Dallas) - to sign free agents whereas the Warriors are simply an old team that's only getting older, which is what makes their only shot to their former status being the youthful Kuminga making a massive leap in a short amount of time a touch ironic. Conclusion Here's our TL;DR so far: Team | Player(s) | Years left on contract | Pick(s) [Assuming position stays if in the lottery] | Incoming salary (2024) | Net salary added to the Raptors (2024) | Chicago Bulls | Lonzo Ball | 1; player option in 2024/25 | 11th, 2025 Blazers 1st | $21.3 million | -1.6$ million | Atlanta Hawks | De'Andre Hunter | 3 | 10th, 2025 Kings 1st | $21.7 million | -$1.3 million | Utah Jazz | John Collins | 2; player option in 2025/26 | 8th (Only an option if we keep our 1st), 2025 Timberwolves/Cavaliers 1st | $26.6 million | +$3.6 million | Golden State Warriors | Chris Paul OR Andrew Wiggins; Moses Moody OR Trayce Jackson-Davis | 1 (team option - Paul, Moody), 3 (Wiggins, Jackson-Davis) | 52nd, 2025 or 2026 1st | $26.2-$30 million | +$3.2 to +$7 million (Trade exception to absorb Moody, TJD if included in the trade) | submitted by CazOnReddit to torontoraptors [link] [comments] |
2024.05.16 23:23 Loose_Ad3854 AITA? Would I be the AH if I didn't attend my boyfriend's step sisters wedding on Saturday?
Before you jump to conclusions hear me out. I (19F) and my boyfriend (22M) were invited to his step sisters wedding (not sure exactly how old she is but she's in her early 20s). Who we'll call Amy. Amy is already married, and has been married for quite some time. Her husband is in his mid to late 40s. And to be honest I find their age gap a little strange but that is none of my business. We'll call her husband Joe.
Amy decided sometime last year that she wanted to have a wedding. When she decided this, I wasn't working at the time. She invited my boyfriend, who we'll call Ethan, and I to her wedding. Which was originally supposed to be a surprise for her husband but he eventually found out. I'm still unsure if she was the one who told him or not.
I've had this new job since February and kept forgetting to save the very little PTO I got to ask off for her wedding. Her wedding is this Saturday, and I unfortunately have to work a full 8 hour shift. And won't be off work until 3-3:30 est (they are an hour ahead of us, and live about 45 minutes to an hour away.) and her wedding would be at 5 our time. Now I don't particularly like Ethan's step sister Amy. It's not that she's ever been rude or terrible to me in any way, we just have very different views and opinions and I don't like her attitude or the way she acts. But I'm polite and cordial with her nonetheless.
Any way by the time I get off work and get home it will be closer to 4 and that gives me 30 minutes to shower, change, do hair and makeup, and pack my daughter's diaper bag (she's 1). I can pack the diaper bag the night before and my boyfriend can get her ready that afternoon.
My issue is while my job isn't super physically demanding, it is still exhausting. I work in a factory so it gets really hot and I'm on my feet all day. Not to mention it is mentally taxing and I have to deal with people expecting me to do there work as well as my own. I also do not have a dress for the occasion and it's not I my budget to purchase one. My boyfriend said we could miss the wedding and still make it to the reception but I don't want to keep our daughter out that late, she gets cranky if she doesn't get to bed at a certain time.
And I don't want to spend my Saturday celebrating some one I don't spend any time with and particularly don't like.
So AITA?
Edit: I've been with my boyfriend a little over two years and have seen this sister a handful of times. So we don't really have a relationship
Me and his other sister, "Clara" get along really well though.
Also, I don't like Amy's husband I don't think he treats her or his kids right. He's quick to anger and gets irritated with his two youngest kids very easily. One is around the age of my daughter and the other one is preschool age. He has one kid from a previous marriage who just graduated. I think he arguably treats him the worst.
Edit 2: Where I work it's split into three set shifts, 1st, 2nd and 3rd. I work the first shift and if I wanted to "swap" it would be permanent. And I'm not willing to switch shifts indefinitely to go to a wedding I don't want to be at.
I already RSVPed that I would not be in attendance due to the fact I had to work, however if my boyfriend was able to attend he would. When I told Amy this she got a little pushy and told me I might be able to make it in time and she'll put me down as a maybe.
We don't always work on Saturday, but lately we haven't been able to make our quotas and have been working every weekend. Which has been mandatory, as well as mandatory 10 hour days. So I have to be at work regardless.
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2024.05.16 21:29 TwinsGameday Twins Lost: Yankees 5 @ Twins 0 - May 16, 2024
Line Score - Game Over
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | LOB |
NYY | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Box Score
MIN | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P-S | ERA |
Ryan | 5.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 93-60 | 3.57 |
Thielbar | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9-8 | 5.79 |
Sands | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18-10 | 4.82 |
Okert | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-5 | 3.29 |
Jackson, J | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8-7 | 5.91 |
NYY | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | P-S | ERA |
Schmidt | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 103-69 | 2.49 |
González, V | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 2.63 |
Scoring Plays
Highlights
Decisions
Winning Pitcher | Losing Pitcher | Save |
Schmidt (5-1, 2.49 ERA) | Ryan (2-3, 3.57 ERA) | |
Game ended at 2:29 PM. submitted by
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