A conversation with a few friends of mine some skins have certain audiences to them and certain people will pick them more than others that's just the nature of people, and sometimes these people can be fit into certain groups, and certain stereotypes which is also nature of people. So I will be talking about these stereotypes, with 4-8 champs at a time depending on how many skins they have, starting with- Not androxus- but some general skin types etc.
Let me start off by saying that stereotypes are broad, and over generalized by nature, and not everyone is the same we're not Buzz Lightyear here, at the very least these are meant for fun.

Basic Recolours

The recolours you can buy for gold often attract semi-new players those that got the champions they like and often will spend "extra" gold on recolours.
They're most likely new at the game, or at the very least their champion.
Certain recolours will be brought up again per champion if they add anything different or have a different stereotype.

System Recolours/Promotional Recolours

So these guys probably are more likely to be even newer than the basic recolours since they got them from linking accounts or following/subscribing to different social media and all that.

Mastery/Gold Skins

Assuming it's gold they're probably confident in their skill with a champion and want to display that, but with the obsidian and cosmic ones they tend to be the same as basic and promotional recolours.

Invitational/Event Recolours

Okay so we're done with recolours after this I promise but often these are old school players, often ignoring the actual quality of skins to more say that's when they were around.

Hats

Hats are kinda the same as the event/invitation recolours but they can also be found on new players who got the hat from a chest, in general if they have a proper skin they'll dump these for the skin so at the very least that leaves semi experienced players who finds the frog hat more funny than they do the cowboy cool.

Androxus

It's fair to say that Android is the poster boy of paladins and since he's relatively old he's got a lot of skins over the years and he's got quite the audience, I mean really he's the guy they show on the splash art of the game like imagine little Timmy seeing his older brother playing Androgenous "Who's the cool guy with the revolver and horns?" And his brother is like "That's my main Abolitionist" and then next game Timmy is playing Angrosist.
And they're very against nerfs every time pretending it'll kill Ambrosia and every time he's just fine maybe the fact he's got a solid baseline kit means he's not struggling when nerfs come knocking. Either way it doesn't stop the complaints.
Often Anglo (Okay the bits running thin) players take themselves seriously, whether you should depends, and depends alot. But he does inevitably attract edgelords, assholes, and blowhards.

Exalted

Exalted Andros tend to hold themselves in high regard but at the same time tend to suck, they bought this skin since it was cheap and with it are often not that great.

Imperator

So imperator is basically the same as exalted in looks but it does have the caveat that it's actually not as readily available which means someone has to make a active choice to run this, these guys are pretty much more for simplicity and class over complexity and fancy stuff, this means you'll see them play pretty good Andro where they'll stick to the stuff that works rather than flashy montage worthy stuff, they can do these but they more prefer understated competency over flashy nonsense.

Screech

This is a hat that actually has a stereotype since it's not apart of a chest it's from the deal of the day that makes a difference to who is using it. These guys are mostly raging blowhards, they think they're gods at the game but they're not as good as they believe, like antlers they say crap but not enough to get banned. This changes to just normal tryhards when they get their hands on shattermaw, almost every Andro with this skin and shattermaw are more interested in shitting on you and moving on to the next, they really only do really good in casuals without comms, but they can get work done in ranked.

Cangaceiro

Okay so this guy either uses the Shatter Maw and same deal as Screech Andro's or they run they Huntsman's gun and if you get to talk to them in a party or something they'll cry about how the pirate skins in Paladins Strike aren't ported over to paladins. It's weird and it's specific. They do tend to be nicer and less serious than Screech Andros.

Huntsman

These are the most average Andro's in existence, they certainly exist but they're not too interesting all considering. They're not bad or good, or particularly toxic or nice or anything like that, they just exist.

Steam Demon

I mean there's a Young Frankenstein joke to be made here. But Andro's running the steam demon skin tend to be uptight and expect people to carry their own weight... Of course the chance they tend to mess up they go silent, they're not rude perse but they sure do expect a lot.

Fallen

These are the guys who listened to Nightcore- Angel with a shotgun too much and will be very melodramatic, and tend to be almost always a downer for the team, they do clutch up though so something to be said.

Battlesuit Godslayer

No one really uses this skin if they have others, really this skin doesn't sell the gundam vibes the others do maybe it's because of his waistcost flowing back there but really he just looks like a guy in a robot suit

Steelforged/Dragonforged

These Andros are just as dramatic as Fallen Andros but they seem to be in on the joke and often will more be self aware, they will be playing like some viking bagpipe metal music so it's not all good with them.

Avatar

These guys probably blame their support and will unironically quots the skin, not realizing it's making fun of them. They also probably are tickled by the fact it looks likr a Xbox 360

Modded

Now often with battlepass skins their recolours are basically the same stereotype normally but for Modded these guys have basically brain rotten themselves down to the same level with their obsession with RGB lights.

Exterminate

Yeah another skin no one uses really, unless they're really interested in the cat in his backpack otherwise it's just not really a great skin since it's just a guy in a dragon ball z kai uniform without the cool ass powers and literal royalty free music.

Grave Danger

This is Kinda like omen it's not as self aware but it's hard to take this skin more seriously than default and these guys tend to be chill but it's a newer skin so it's not exactly like there's room to have a stereotype yet, which is fair but still other skins still have stereotypes that formed same day as their release.

Golden

Now it's rare that a gold skin that doesn't change something about a character shows up but this is widespread since every Andro on earth who runs this will almost always have a bloated ego, whether it's 50 or 550 these guys are super quick to be offended and will tunnel the shit out of you for just about anything.

Ash

Ash is weirdly uncommon despite being free, probably because everyone is running at point with her and she basically loses that engagement to every proper point tank, she is a offtank first and foremost after all.
As for stereotypes there is a few thing that I've noticed with Ash's (Ashes? Ashs? Ash players) First is if they're running the default voice pack even with other skins they're definitely offtanking.
And another oddity is the Ash mains that have more than one skin tend to never properly match their weapons and skins up, it's weird but every other Ash main I see runs a different weapon and skin.

Heirloom Crest

So I bring this hat up because unlike anyone else with a hat skin no one wears this, honestly it should just come with a different version of Ronin but really this is the exception to the hatskin rule, these guys are just new players who got it from a chest and felt justified in using it because they spent crystals on a chest.

Ronin

Ronin Ash players kinda just suck, it can be a matter of many different things as to why these guys struggle, they could suck at shooting people, they could be bad at positioning, trying to point tank, they're using their abilities at shit times, they could be great with all of that and still they'll have a terrible deck and talents.
These guys just suck

Xenobuster

Xenobuster Ash players tend to run into fights they shouldn't and lose, this more or less comes from the overuse of shoulder bash, otherwise they're probably running knock back spam, they're most likely to be found on TDM Throne or Abyss trying to wait around corners to throw you off. They will go spastic if you buy sentinel.

Street Style

These guys are meatheats, they're less interested in actually capturing the point and more just want teamfights, the objective and space are biproducts, as such you'll see these guys with really selfish buys, and decks, and they'll steal kills with slugshot, they're not doing it intentionally but they are rude.

Ska'Drin

Ska'Drin Ash players often properly play Ash as offtank and for the most part are good sports, it's nice enough at least when these guys are working with you, they will probably ask for someone to point tank while they do their thing.

Scorned

Another recolour with a different stereotype, these guys are also playing Ash as offtanks but their also raging assholes, and will bitch and moan from just about anything, whether it's their fault or not they'll yell at their team, though at the same time they are probably making space, and do their job well enough

Draconian Huntress

As mentioned earlier Ash mains tend to be rather rare, and the amount of people who'd go out of their way for this skin is rarer, these guys pretty much are guaranteed to be Ash mains or at the very least skin collectors. As for gameplay it's hard to say since I've seen like 4 people use this skin

Atlas

Atlas mains are pretty much obsessed with telling you they're Atlas mains it's like telling people you don't play fortnite or something. Like good on you mate, but I and I'm pretty sure most of the world don't really care. Skill ranges wildly and skins for the most part don't really change that.

Chronomancer

So uh this skin no one uses, you'll more likely find a Atlas running default with this Skin's gun, it's weird it's specific and I have no idea why it's like this... Oh yeah because Atlas looks awful without a beard.

Legionnaire

So Legionnaire Atlas is kinda a situation like Grave Danger Andro mostly because the skin again looks kind of goofy, though for the effort put into it, it's at least nice. Still these guys take themselves just as seriously as the skin does.

Corrupt/Vile

Most of these guys just suck like sure there's bound to be a good Corrupt or Vile Atlas out there but every one I've seen just sucks. It's a bloody shame since they're nice skins.

Azaan

Azaan doesn't really have too many skins to talk about but at the same time most people aren't exactly Azaan mains he's kind of a back pocket kind of champion.

Forgemaster

These guys actually main Azaan, and they're quick to get defensive on why they pick the shirtless Azaan skin

Dark Drake

I don't get how anyone understands this skin, it's so garbled and just nonsense, there's no real stereotype but I did find out that this skin has the same voice actor as Freddy Fazbear...

Barik

Again Barik mains are a rarity and, nost of the time I only really see last/bottom picks grabbing Barik and doing really nothing all game but cry about their team not carrying them.

Hi-Tek/Stonecut

If a champion has access to their pre-reworks skins and in general just older skins they're often on the cheaper side and really are just bought by newbies due to this, that's really it outside of the odd end nastolgia tripper.

Team Fortress 2

So you get this skin in a way that's similar to promotional recolours, and it's more or less exclusive to steam, it's a safe bet that a TF2 Barik is new at the game and on steam, that's it.

Swashbuckler

Pirate skins often invite people into running teams of pirates skins, outside of that Swashbuckler Bariks tend to more or less the point jockey they live on the point they die on the point.

Steel/Dragon Forged Barik

This guy listens to diggy diggy hole and probably runs some stupid deck that relies on a gimmick these guys are here for fun and will probably do something cool, maybe?

Betty

Betty is new-ish and so she only has the one skin, Betty kinda is the easy version of both Willo and Dredge without the impact of either, this means Betty attracts bad players.

Dragonette

Bowsette meme aside this is Betty's only real skin and so it's kinda broad to say anything but I assume once she gets something else it'll attract... A certain audience.
So yeah 5 champs, feel free to suggest anything for future champions I'll probably see or agree with them.

Im not sure if this is more a discussion or debate about the differences in mentality that shapes the issue of abortion. I welcome whatever opinions people have on this topic.
We teach men and women fundamentally different things about their own bodies and their personal protection.
For example, self defense.
Men are taught to fight and if two guys get in a fight then one may overpower the other or scares one off. They are taught to beat each other and inflict damage but not permanent damage to stop the other. They are also more likely to be cleared when it comes to killing in self defense.
Women are taught to fight but self defense is considered a separate type of learning, because the chances a women holds her own against a man in a regular fight according to rules isn't great. Adding a weapon may give her an advantage but can lead to her being charged with murder over self defense.
So self defense for a woman includes fighting with the intention to incapacitate or kill your attacker. You attack areas that could blind or cripple someone. You are also taught that you claw, bite, leave marks across them or get their blood on you so if you lose, they can find the person that attacked or killed you. It's better to die at the sight of the attack vs being taken to another location.
If a woman doesnt think that she can cause that level of harm without a good change of success or isn't comfortabled thinking she might kill someone, then she is told to do whatever she needs to to survive. That usually leads to, well you must have wanted it, you didn't fight back or hard enough.
Men are taught that people, police or healthcare, will listen to them, take them seriously, and help them.
Women are taught that people, police, and healthcare, won't and that what happens. Rapes aren't investigated, kits go untested, womens fear is seen as being emotional, or that health issues arent that bad she just complaining.
So bringing that over to abortion, women see another situation where they will have to go it alone. Where help is dependent on if people believe you vs need. Where help might not exist because women are suppose to give birth so it doesn't matter what they go through, theyre built to deal with that, and whatever other nonsense people believe about women and pregnancy.
We just had an entire debate about a strange man and a bear where it was made clear death isn't the part most women fear. That there are worse things than death to them. Is it a surprise then that death of the unborn is seen as a lesser evil than giving birth into abusive or other less than ideal circumstances or for cases where the child will likely die before birth/shortly after and have a life of pain?
Do you think that the differences in how we teach men and women about protecting themselves along with the way we are obviously treating each other is leading to this vast divide in beliefs?

I help established service-based businesses with over 100 employees/collaborators build software solutions that make them more efficient and profitable—without breaking the bank.
The purpose of my post is:
I would like to help 3 such businesses automate a process, almost for free.
Examples of processes:

• Onboarding new clients
• Billing
• Complex data processing
• Sales process automation
• Connecting apps (Project management, CRM, Scheduling, etc.)
• Proposal creation
• Etc.

What does “almost for free” mean?
Automating a single process costs at least $500-$1000 and can go up to $10,000s, depending on complexity.
In exchange for this process, I will not ask for any money, but only for a 30-minute discussion at the end + a testimonial, if you are satisfied with the result.
I will build automations and systems for your business using a mix of different automation methods:

• Custom software
• No-code (Zapier, Make)
• Artificial intelligence where appropriate
• The internal tools you use

If you are interested, book a call here: https://grownected.com/
*If you can’t find a proper time slot, leave me a DM

Hello! I’ve been doing lots of research for USJ for our trip in October and just want to check here that I understand everything and see if anyone has any other tips!

1. It’s unknown exactly when tickets go on sale for each period but I should start checking around 2.5 months before? I really don’t want to miss the date so it’s a bit stressful not having a specific date to check!
   
2. I’d like the buy all the available fast passes. It looks like you can buy one fast pass per person but there isn’t actually one that will get you on all rides, so you have to just choose the best combo for you? We’re keen on big rides plus Nintendo World plus Harry Potter. It looks like perhaps the USJ express pass 7 variety may give the most big rides and timed entry for both of these. Is that right or is there an even better option? Are they released at the same time as the entrance tickets?
   
3. It sounds like it can be difficult to buy the tickets / fast passes on the USJ website outside of Japan and that Klook was a bit of a gamble as you couldn’t pick the timed entry, but looking at some recent posts, it seems Klook now also provides timed entry of your choosing. Has anyone tried this and would you say this is now the best way to buy tickets in advance from the UK? I assume the timings are the same as in #1?
   
4. As it’s October, we expect it will be Halloween Horror Nights, which looks awesome. I couldn’t find much out about this yet so I assume I just need to keep checking until it is announced. But it sounds like perhaps there’s nothing special I need to do - I can just buy the tickets as a package once they’re released? Can you also get these on Klook?
   
5. Anything else we should think about or be aware of??
   

Thanks in advance!

I dropped my kit off at the post office this morning. Got it in the sale. A big f you to my parents. Maybe I’m not related to either. Fingers crossed as they both belong in jail for crimes against children. I heard it takes longer to process during sales. So just waiting 👍😁❤️

Hi, I’ve recently started looking at houses for sale in my area and the prices are through the roof 200-300k ! So then I’ve started thinking about maybe getting a derelict house or maybe consider getting a site and building ? I was wondering if someone could advise as to what would financially be the best way to do in the long run, I’d like to avoid getting a 30 year mortgage at over 5% interest if possible and I’m in no panic to move. I know that there is a 70k derelict house grant and various energy improvements grants. Ideally would want to keep the costs of everything below 200k, 2/3 bed house/bungalow is that doable tho ?
Are building materials still as expensive as they were during Covid ? Will these grants go away? Anyone in a similar situation ?

Welcome to the CompetitiveTFT community!

This thread is for any general discussion regarding Competitive TFT. Feel free to ask simple questions, discuss meta or not-so-meta comps and how they're performing, solicit advice regarding climbing the ladder, and more.
Any complaints without room for discussion (aka Malding) should go in the weekly rant thread which can be located in the sidebar or here: Weekly Rant Thread
Users found ranting in this thread will be given a 1 day ban with no warning.
For more live discussions check out our affiliated discord here: Discord Link
You can also find Double-up partners in the #looking-for-duo channel
If you are interested in giving or receiving (un)paid coaching, visit the: Monthly Coaching Megathread
Please send any bug reports to the Bug megathread and/or this channel in Mort's Discord.
If you're looking for collections of meta comps, here are some options:

• Robinsongz (US)
• Bunnymuffins/VoidSins (US)
• LeDuck (EUW)
• Sologesang (EUW)
• Reunic (OCE)
• Mobalytics.gg
• MetaTFT.com
• tactics.tools

Mods will be removing any posts that we feel belong in this thread and redirecting users here.

#EURUSD #60m #Forex───────────
Ensemble model * Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals -17 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests the market will tend to be bearish in the nearest future.
Optimal past * Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 160 candles. The market is currently bullish, appreciating by 0.0% during the latest phase.
Elliot Waves * Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

• Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 13.

Price Bound Modelling * HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 0.0642% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.

• BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.
  
• Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.
  
• Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 1.07 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.07 or above 1.1.
  
• Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 1.08 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 1.08 at the level of 76.4%.
  
• Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 1.08 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 1.09 at the level of 100.0%.
  
• Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 1.08 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 1.09 at the level of 100.0%.
  
• MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.
  

Forecast * MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of 0.0003% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.

• AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of 0.0003% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 1.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 1.08 or above 1.08.

Stability Indicators * Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the market is stable

• Power law: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  
• Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  
• Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  

Seasonality test * Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.
Distribution analysis * Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Power
───────────
Not investment advice.
#EURUSD #60m #trading #Distribution analysis

#BTCUSD #60m #Crypto───────────
Ensemble model * Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals 55 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble is confident the market will be strongly bullish in the nearest future.
Optimal past * Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 595 candles. The market is currently bearish, depreciating by 4.0% during the latest phase.
Elliot Waves * Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

• Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 3.

Price Bound Modelling * HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 0.4723% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 62005.05 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61523.45 or above 62486.64.

• BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 61993.76 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61537.89 or above 62402.79.
  
• Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 61996.27 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61539.02 or above 62403.53.
  
• Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 62426.21 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 51215.38 or above 72243.16.
  
• Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 61774.38 at the level of 50.0%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 63050.81 at the level of 61.8%.
  
• Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 61774.38 at the level of 50.0%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 63050.81 at the level of 61.8%.
  
• Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 63050.81 at the level of 61.8%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 60497.95 at the level of 38.2%.
  
• MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 62016.59 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61514.13 or above 62456.58.
  

Forecast * MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of 0.0083% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 61999.27 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61261.55 or above 62730.79.

• AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of 0.0083% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 61999.27 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 61478.53 or above 62520.01.

Stability Indicators * Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the market is stable

• Power law: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  
• Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  
• Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  

Seasonality test * Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.
Distribution analysis * Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Laplace
───────────
Not investment advice.
#BTCUSD #60m #trading #Distribution analysis

#BRENT #60m #Commodities───────────
Ensemble model * Overview: The synthetic investment attractiveness indicator equals -16 (out of +/-100). The model ensemble suggests the market will tend to be bearish in the nearest future.
Optimal past * Optimal past: The optimal lookback period for modelling is currently 186 candles. The market is currently bullish, appreciating by -0.0% during the latest phase.
Elliot Waves * Elliot Waves: The market's trend has changed and currently goes down.

• Elliot Waves Settings: Elliot Waves were updated. The current wavelength is 21.

Price Bound Modelling * HAR model at confidence level 95.0%: the HAR model forecasts volatility of 0.247% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.15 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.81 or above 83.48.

• BRW VaR at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.16 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.82 or above 83.52.
  
• Historical simulation at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.16 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.82 or above 83.52.
  
• Multifractal range at confidence level 95.0%: in the next 256 candles, the price will fluctuate around 84.08 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 73.56 or above 88.09.
  
• Fibonacci with seven retracements: the price is likely to rebound downward from the nearest Fibonacci resistance of 84.14 at the level of 23.6%. The nearest Fibonacci support is 81.54 at the level of 0.0%.
  
• Fibonacci with five retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 81.54 at the level of 0.0%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 85.75 at the level of 38.2%.
  
• Fibonacci with four retracements: the price is likely to rebound upward from the nearest Fibonacci support of 81.54 at the level of 0.0%. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is 85.75 at the level of 38.2%.
  
• MVaR bounds at confidence level 95.0%: in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.2 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.7 or above 83.39.
  

Forecast * MA model at confidence level 95.0%: the MA model forecasts a return of -0.0304% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.15 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.59 or above 83.7.

• AR model at confidence level 95.0%: the AR model forecasts a return of -0.0304% in the next candle, the price will fluctuate around 83.15 and with 95.0% probability will not go below 82.75 or above 83.54.

Stability Indicators * Generalised extreme value: According to the indicator, the market is stable

• Power law: According to the indicator, the market is unstable
  
• Student degrees of freedom: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  
• Tukey lambda: According to the indicator, the stability of the market is uncertain
  

Seasonality test * Seasonality test: According to the generalised seasonality test, there are no seasonal effects on the market.
Distribution analysis * Best-fit distribution: Best-fit distribution has changed, and now it is Hyperbolic secant
───────────
Not investment advice.
#BRENT #60m #trading #Distribution analysis

I've built 5 Shopify and maybe around 10 Wordpress sites with woocommerce and more - I'm about to start a new website, and I was wondering, what is the cheapest way to build a *GOOD LOOKING* website. I'm inclined to just go with a Shopify store, but their fees are quite large over time, especially if sales are kinda slow at first. Please point me in the right direction, since I feel like a wordpress site will have low conversion. Would also really help if someone had a good Theme package for a normal wordpress site, which they are willing to share with me
All in all, what is the cheapest way for me to achieve high conversion rate?
Thanks in advance, fellow entrepreneurs! :)

So I'm doing a 5e one piece DnD, as a female bard merfolk starting with a disguise kit and 2 costumes. I convinced my DM to have 1 costume as the top half of a fish (I'm a shark merfolk btw if your curious), and the second costume a wheelchair. (When I talked to them I convinced them to make it a weight of 15lb, close to a standard chair in DnD, I feel it's a fair compromise). The reason why a wheelchair costume, it's a good costume to hide the mermaid tail. Also issue merfolks move 10 feet.
Anyways I have a few questions about DnD and wheelchairs.
How is it mechanically, and what speed would a wheelchair go, like will it make go 5 or 30? (Honestly a question more so for my DM). Should I consider the wheelchairs weight as I sit on it, or is it only when I carry it?
How is it pushable mechanically, specifically with spells like mage hand, gust, unseen servant?
Also any spell ideas to aid in movement? I know theres a long strider spell and a mobile feat to increase speed by 10 each.
And since I'm asking questions if an encumberd character loses 10 movement speed, does an encumberd merfolk just hit 0 on land?
And final question, thoughts about wheelchairs in DnD in general?

I'd like to move/consolidate a large amount of cards so I am going to see how offering discounts goes. I will prioritize deals in the order of largest $ sale, high priority trade, high $ consolidation trade, smaller $ sales/low priority trades/binders. I may wait to finalize lower priority deals in case a larger one comes in.
I am open to realistic offers on everything including offers that break up lots
Values based on TCGPlayer Market/Lowest Gold Star Listing for English and Ebay BIN sold for everything else. No values over $100. $1 for PWE or $5 for BMWT. 4 cards max in PWE, and $20 max value for PWE. Shipping cost and arrangements for larger deals will be determined when finalizing.
Shipping is not included in discounts/listed prices. I did my best to factor conditions into pricing. Offers are welcome
Binder - $540 $475
Bulk Singles - $50 $40
S&M Theme Decks - $20
^^^ Buy/Trade for the three links above for $610 $510 OBO ^^^
151 RHs - FS/FT preferably moving as a lot. i don't want to ship low value rhs as individuals
Misc Items - FS/FT
***If trading link your post/pictures & let me know what your interest is. I won't search your profile for recent posts**\*
Trade Wants - I'll look at everything! Raw is preffered, but I'm open to consolidate on slabbed cards I like or something liquid. Don't be shy to send me a trade link to look through. It may take some time for me to look through so please be patient :)
Wantlist - Priority varies. SWSH is my focus at the moment, and SM era & older cards on the list are always interesting in the right circumstance. Scarlet & Violet era is low priority. I'm open to varying conditions
Dupe Wishlist - This list is lowest priority (except the first five cards are middling priority). For illustration rares my interest will vary a bit based on if I'm trying to swap one of my japanese cards out for English or if I'm trying to get a better condition/centering. Feel free to ask what I'm look for when it comes to specific cards

Purchase: I contributed ~1000$ for the White 16gb/512gb model on 6th Jan, 2023, received it on 24th Apr, 2024 via FedEx in India. Amazingly, given their experience I suppose, they used an India specific import code that made the duty near zero! I can't tell you how glad I was to save some money as these devices are pretty expensive & a bit of a gamble.
First Impression: OH MY GOD! The White body, the bezel less gorgeous screen! My first even handheld! 😍🥰💝💘🎮
Support: (too many in 1 year!)
#1 - 1 month in: The first support issue was actually Aya being proactive and sending out the Heat Dissipation Upgrade Kit to everyone as the original design had a flaw. Got it on 27th Apr 23.
#2 - 6 months in: The back shell developed a spontaneous crack at the top. After seeing all the bad reviews about support I was very sad BUT once I email aya support email, a ticket got created. I was patient and I had provided concise info + photos + translation and it all went smoothly. Emailed 24th Nov 23, they sent out a replacement on 16 Dec 23.
#3 - 10 months in: I started hearing noise from the fan. Again, I was a bit apprehensive but created a ticket on 22 Feb 24 with concise info, photo and videos and viola, pretty soon had a replacement sent out on 1st March 24! The package mysteriously for returned before it left the seller for some reason and I notified support and the send out a another one on 5th march 24. Sadly they did not send the O Ring that goes between the fan and the back shell to channel air more efficiently.
#4 - 10 months in: The battery started dying down. The battery would be above 60% suddenly system would restart, showing 3% after booting. This time I confidently created a ticket on 28 Feb 24, was told they had to wait for restock and they sent it out on 27 March 24.
Ayaneo and AN2 Long Term Review:
#1: Ayaneo: These manufacturers are not for newbies. You need to know the depths of Windows OS, emu settings, TDPs etc. You will probably also need to know how to service the device. You need to be extremely patient as every communication is painfully slow given the time & culture difference + small overworked teams.
#2 Build quality: Not great. There are heat issues, fitting tolerances are obviously not at par. Very very delicate. Software was very poor but has come a long way. Anyone who owns these devices will need to replace the battery + fan every year.
#3 Competitor: Enter the Steam deck. I got gifted the OLED version by my Boss (yes lol). And I almost stopped using the AN2 as the deck is decidedly better at everything. I posted about it here (AN2 won switch emulation back for me)! Now that there are Allys and Legions and Claws in the world, it is that much harder to recommend buying from Aya and similar sellers unless you get passionate about some upcoming device like Ayaneo Flip. They also promised a 7840U upgrade kit a while back but alas that never happened and I really don't like that at all as it would have given this amazing device more power to fight the competition and shown Aya products have 2nd lives!
#4 Post 1 year: The 6800U is still good for low power gaming. The bezel less 1080p 60fps ultra vivid screen is so great. The grip shape is called "baby sleeping position" and while that is the ultimate cross culture unintentional humour, I have grown to agree. I never push the device past 22w as I know that is just asking for failure in the long run and given that I get amazing switch emu experience between 11w-18w. I have replaced the Fan, the Battery and upgraded the Thermal Paste to PTM 7950, I am pretty sure it can last for another year.🤞
TL;DR: Great device, still going strong after a year even after I have a Steamdeck OLED. Had a bunch of problems under warranty and got stellar support albite the snail's pace. Build quality is lower then big manufacturers but as long as you are a tinkerer, patient and have good luck then Ayaneo is great.

Play is a fundamental aspect of childhood development, fostering creativity, social skills, and cognitive growth. For children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), however, engaging in play activities can present unique challenges. In this article, we'll explore 10 autism-inclusive play ideas designed to promote development and provide enjoyable experiences for children on the autism spectrum.
Sensory Play
Sensory play engages the senses and can be particularly beneficial for children with autism who may have sensory processing differences. Consider setting up sensory bins filled with materials like rice, sand, water beads, or textured fabrics. Encourage exploration and experimentation with different textures, smells, and tactile sensations to stimulate the senses and promote sensory integration.
Pretend Play
Pretend play offers opportunities for imaginative expression and social interaction. Create a dress-up corner with costumes and props, or set up a pretend kitchen with play food and utensils. Encourage children to role-play different scenarios, such as cooking a meal, going on a pretend adventure, or acting out everyday activities. Pretend play can help develop language skills, creativity, and social understanding.
Visual Supports
Many children with autism benefit from visual supports to enhance communication and understanding. Incorporate visual supports into play activities by using picture schedules, visual timers, or visual cue cards to provide structure and predictability. Visual supports can help children navigate transitions, follow routines, and comprehend expectations, promoting independence and reducing anxiety.
Structured Games
Structured games with clear rules and expectations can provide opportunities for learning and social interaction. Choose games that are simple, repetitive, and easy to understand, such as matching games, board games with visual cues, or turn-taking activities. Structured games can help children develop important skills like turn-taking, sharing, and following directions, while also providing opportunities for fun and enjoyment.
Movement Activities
Physical activity is essential for promoting gross motor skills, coordination, and body awareness. Plan movement activities that cater to the interests and preferences of children with autism, such as yoga, dancing, or obstacle courses. Provide sensory-friendly spaces with options for proprioceptive input, such as crash pads, trampolines, or therapy swings. Movement activities not only support physical development but also help regulate sensory processing and promote emotional well-being.
Nature Exploration
Nature offers a rich sensory environment filled with opportunities for exploration and discovery. Take children on nature walks to observe plants, animals, and natural landscapes. Encourage hands-on exploration by collecting leaves, rocks, or shells, and incorporating them into sensory activities or crafts. Nature exploration fosters curiosity, appreciation for the environment, and connections with the natural world.
Art and Creativity
Art activities provide a creative outlet for self-expression and can be adapted to accommodate the needs of children with autism. Offer a variety of art materials and techniques, such as painting, drawing, collage, or sculpting. Focus on process-oriented art rather than product-focused outcomes, allowing children to explore materials freely and express themselves without pressure. Art activities support fine motor skills, creativity, and sensory exploration.
Social Stories
Social stories are short narratives that describe social situations, concepts, or expectations in a structured and visual format. Create social stories related to play activities, such as going to a playground, attending a birthday party, or participating in group games. Use simple language, clear visuals, and personalized details to help children understand what to expect and how to navigate social interactions. Social stories can reduce anxiety, improve social skills, and enhance participation in play activities.
Technology-Based Play
Technology can be a valuable tool for engaging children with autism and supporting their development. Explore interactive apps, educational games, or virtual reality experiences that cater to the interests and learning styles of children with autism. Use technology-based play activities to target specific skills, such as communication, academic concepts, or social skills, while also providing engaging and motivating experiences.
Joint Attention Activities
Joint attention refers to the ability to share attention with others and coordinate attention between objects, people, and events. Plan activities that promote joint attention, such as building with blocks, playing with toys that require turn-taking, or engaging in interactive games like peek-a-boo or pat-a-cake. Use prompts, modeling, and reinforcement to encourage children to attend to and interact with others, fostering social engagement and communication skills.
If you're seeking aba therapy for autism virginia beach,va, look no further! Our dedicated team offers comprehensive Applied Behavior Analysis services tailored to meet the individual needs of children and adults on the autism spectrum. With a focus on evidence-based interventions and personalized treatment plans, we are committed to helping individuals with autism reach their full potential and thrive in all aspects of life. Contact us today to learn more about how we can support you and your family on the journey towards growth and success.
Conclusion
Play is a powerful vehicle for promoting development, fostering social connections, and enriching the lives of children with autism. By incorporating autism-inclusive play ideas into everyday activities, we can create meaningful opportunities for learning, growth, and enjoyment. Whether through sensory exploration, imaginative play, structured games, or nature adventures, every play experience has the potential to unlock new possibilities and support the unique strengths and needs of children on the autism spectrum. Let's continue to explore, create, and play together, building a more inclusive and enriching world for all children.

Hi! My boyfriend and I are currently living together during college and for the first time ever over the summer as well. I work year-round whereas he only works in the summer so that he can focus on school during school times which I can understand, I just sadly do not have that luxury due to my situation. So, when he needs help with buying things I help him out under the understanding that I do it because I love him/ he does not owe me and that he will need to help out in other ways such as around the room, making food, etc. (all of which I still also help out with as well). He is half black in a predominately white area so whenever we go out to get his hair cut the hair people always give him a hack job, and yet it costs a decent bit every time for something that he feels embarrassed about for the next 3ish weeks.
He is very proud of his hair and views it and its upkeep as a part of his culture/ a deeper part of him. He for the longest time refused to let me touch it (in a hair cutting sense), but now he feels that I cannot do worse than the stylists which is a vote of faith if I ever heard one. (Nervous) I would love any advice that can be given to me on how to go about cutting his hair. The curls are looser but still make beautiful ringlets. They are tighter when his hair is shorter but looser when long. I think that it would be considered either 3c or 3b. I bought a kit from Walmart with a bunch of different tops, and an odd-looking ruler thing as well that is meant to help with angling.
(I don't think / know if it matters but I am a white woman whose own hair is about 2c I think. This part matters I have never worked with hair before, but I grew up watching my mom take care of my whole family's hair and I would like to be able to do the same to a certain extent and have even offered to go take a few classes before I touched my bf's hair but, in the case, where I can't do that any advice for how I should go about it would be appreciated.

Why does every sales / vendor sales review or demo of a product suck ass.
I’m at a vendor event, and I’ve sat here for 2 hours listening to 6 different vendors get up and tell us why their product is best.
And all of the points suck and are weak points IMO.
And people wonder why MSPs struggle to sell products.
The vendors are selling shit with the most generic bland sales pitch - mate if I’m bored, how the hell is my customer going to care or be invested in what your product is💀💀💀
Don’t get me started on vendor sales guys telling me how to talk to my customers as well 😂😂 the most out of touch shit ever.
Also - PSA - SPEAK UP WE CANT HEAR YOU. My God.
Anyway - that concludes my hot take.
Don’t forget your free swag on the way out 🤮🤢

hi everyone i’m just asking for opinions and advice for how to go about my situation regarding work.
since i recently returned to working about 2 months ago as my POTS was stable enough for me to be able to attend uni and i was struggling financially and needed money to help my family and afford my doctors appointments.
i scored a job at a chemist/pharmacy in retail sales, doing stock and also cashier stuff. in my interview i told them about my health issues and they were very accommodating; they put chairs around the store/at the register, they gave me an extra afternoon break and even gave me an exemption from doing stock with the ladder. so for the first few weeks i was able to handle it.
but recently my health has unexpectedly declined so much, i am practically back to where i was when i was in and out of hospital last year and i think i have about another 2 weeks left in me before i will not be able to even get out of bed (and i am seeing my doctor about this and he is more than aware). i am inevitably going to have to stop working honestly in the next few weeks, because i am also mentally exhausted as well and i have been coming home and crying because i am so upset that i couldn’t even manage to handle this.
i do not know how to approach this with my boss as i am so afraid i will seem like i have been wasting their time or that im just a failure and not a hard worker when i have been working so hard at this job. if anyone here has quit their job because of their health and could offer me advice please do share!
currently i planned that i am going to talk to one of my co workers that i have become friends with tonight, and then i am thinking i will message my manager and asking to speak to him next week.

Hi! My boyfriend and I are currently living together during college and for the first time ever over the summer as well. I work year-round whereas he only works in the summer so that he can focus on school during school times which I can understand, I just sadly do not have that luxury due to my situation. So, when he needs help with buying things I help him out under the understanding that I do it because I love him/ he does not owe me and that he will need to help out in other ways such as around the room, making food, etc (all of which I still also help out with as well). He is half black in a predominately white area so whenever we go out to get his hair cut the hair people always give him a hack job, and yet it costs a decent bit every time for something that he feels embarrassed about for the next 3ish weeks.
He is very proud of his hair and views it and its upkeep as a part of his culture/ a deeper part of him. He for the longest time refused to let me touch it (in a hair cutting sense), but now he feels that I cannot do worse than the stylists which is a vote of faith if I ever heard one. (Nervous) I would love any advice that can be given to me on how to go about cutting his hair. The curls are looser but still make beautiful ringlets. They are tighter when his hair is shorter but looser when long. I think that it would be considered either 3c or 3b. I bought a kit from Walmart with a bunch of different tops, and an odd-looking ruler thing as well that is meant to help with angling.
(I don't think / know if it matters but I am a white woman whose own hair is about 2c I think. This part matters I have never worked with hair before, but I grew up watching my mom take care of my whole family's hair and I would like to be able to do the same to a certain extent and have even offered to go take a few classes before I touched my bf's hair.