Vocabulary workshop new edition level d

Hearthstone

2013.01.17 19:33 xerph Hearthstone

For fans of Blizzard Entertainment's digital card game, Hearthstone
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2011.06.03 22:55 Howlinghound What's The Word: For when you can't think of the word you need

Welcome to whatstheword, a community where users help each other to come up with the [perfect, best, ideal, most suitable] word or phrase. Earn community karma by submitting a comment that OP indicates solves their post.
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2009.11.24 18:41 jceez /r/OrangeCounty - Orange County, CA Subreddit

Welcome to /orangecounty, the Reddit community for all things related to Orange County, California. This is your one-stop-shop for discussions, news, events, and local happenings in this sunny Southern California region. Share your experiences, ask questions, and connect with both locals and visitors alike. Whether you're looking for the best surfing spots, seeking recommendations for restaurants, or interested in the latest updates in local politics, /orangecounty is your community forum.
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2024.05.14 03:59 Yu_cki Looking for Guild

Looking for Guild
I love my old guild, and I've been in it for around 2ish years now, but it's not very active anymore and I need a new one šŸ˜­
Kingdom level is 52, I have all of the cookies and decent teams for both RVD and AoD, and I'm active every day. My last guild was level 52 as well, so I'm trying to join one that's around the same level or higher. Not sure what other info is needed, so feel free to ask!
submitted by Yu_cki to CookieRunKingdoms [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:58 maxcreeper360 Failed to prove Blackjack game Vegas Infinite rigged. Any suggestions?

I'm very new to statistical analysis, and I failed to prove this game rigged. My friends and I have believed for a while that higher bets correspond to a greater loss rate, but we haven't been able to prove it. Here's my evidence:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ZV0t6Li7npWLovBGas9oLoymSKO7IKF4OICyFiBTk5g/edit?usp=sharing
submitted by maxcreeper360 to blackjack [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:56 BoomRP [Online][5e][21+]7PM PST Monday Recruiting for Danteā€™s Inferno.

Hello, looking to recruit an additional player or two for a premade module titled ā€œVirgiliosā€™ Untold Talesā€. Published by Acheron Games. Based on the divine comedy. Currently have three. looking to play weekly until completion. Session 1 being May 20th and weekly from there.
If you messaged me before try sending a PM.
The adventure is based on the Danteā€™s Inferno of the Divine Comedy and has the party follow along Danteā€™s trek through hell.
The module is designed to take the party through the 9 circles of hell and levels 1-12, leveling is milestone.
The system is utalizing 5e, there are 12 archetypes(classes) and the players character takes that form when they enter hell. These are special classes and limited spells available to those classes. Special options for class advancement also. Character creation will be only what is available in this book.
https://acheronstore.com/inferno/ for more details.
Looking for new or experienced dnd 5e players who are interested in exploring the divine comedy as a table top rpg. LGBTQ+ friendly.
Open to new players. The game deals with redemption and virtues and vices so some references to heavy topics. Safety tools will be used to understand everyoneā€™s comfort levels.
Day:Monday Time:7PM PST Session: 3-4 hours Played through Foundry and Discord for voice. (mic is required for this)
About me, I am 30 he/him and been playing dnd 5e for a while now. DMā€™d through lost mines, some tales of the yawning portal, tomb of annihilation, Heroes of Baldurā€™s gate and two home brews. So I am comfortable with modulePlayed in multiple games as well. But by no means an expert. Hobbies are of course dnd but also reading and anime.
If interested in playing or finding out more please send me a message on here about your experience with dnd, your interests/hobbies and anything of yourself youā€™d like to share. Having read the divine comedy is not required but itā€™s a good story nonetheless. Thanks.
submitted by BoomRP to lfg [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:54 glockpuppet By the time I cracked the dating code, I found I was no longer interested

Isn't that usually how life goes? When you get what you want, you realize you don't want it.
I realized it wasn't about money. No genuine insight derived from theorizing about abstracts like sexual marketplace value. I started by asking the question, "If charisma and wisdom are 99% of the population's dump stats, then what are they actually doing to attract partners?"
And the answer, from my perspective, seems to be: they're not doing shit. They're the wrong person in the right place at the right time. And the more social these people are, the more opportune moments occur.
Then I realized that being social doesn't just mean going to parties and drinking and clubbing and such. It can be a book club or a workshop or a hiking group or whatever. It can mean pursuing your passions in a context where you meet others who pursue the same passion. And if you're competent at that passion, there's a good chance someone in that sphere is going to find you much more appealing than in contexts where you're not an enthusiastic participant.
If this doesn't sound actionable to you, due to social anxiety, then I would say to seek out the lowest forms of socializing and work your way up. Like small talk. I'm sure many of us hate it, but maybe that has a lot to do with our expectations. When someone small talks with you, they're looking to see if you're safe to talk to on bigger subjects. Which is an invitation to talk in general. I promise you they won't downvote you for a grammatical error and pedantically parse through every word you say like people do on the internet. There is no rule that says you have to meet them on small subjects. Bring up a quick witted observation about the immediate environment. Make a joke about how you're glad you didn't get stuck in a "good, how are you" loop (again). Use your strength of creativity to your advantage
Anyway, the point I'm making is we can be social creatures in a way that doesn't take chunks out of our flesh. And when you realize the art of attraction is not all that mysterious and obscure, and fomo no longer takes up 50% of your daily emotional bandwidth, you'll realize that you've found things of value other than sex and romantic relationships: friendship, new creative outlets, new intellectual outlets, and possibly cure your chronic vitamin D deficiency
submitted by glockpuppet to INTP [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:51 Technotacos17 [FOR HIRE] Experienced product review, travel, and fitness writer

Hi, there!
My name is Shay, and Iā€™m going to be honest: Iā€™ve been a freelance writer for the past 7 years trying to fund my dreams of a music career. Iā€™m finally touring across the continent, but my main writing client of 5 years just decided they were retiring.
Iā€™m now unexpectedly struggling, just when I could taste my musical success. Iā€™m determined to not let this be the reason I give up.
Iā€™m looking for a new client (either long-term or short-term) looking for an experienced writer who really cares about their goals.
A bit about me:
Here are a few of my articles:
1. Best Beach Wheelchairs
2. 18 Best Dutch Bros Drinks
3. Best Mario Kart Tours in Tokyo
Please feel free to DM me with any questions you may have!
Thank you so much for your time, and I hope to chat with you soon! Shay
submitted by Technotacos17 to writersforhire [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:50 HimboPhantasmal [Offline][D&D 5E][LGBT][Weekends] Looking to DM for some fellow queer people.

My name is Nathaniel, 32, gay, he/him and I am looking to DM some Dungeons & Dragons. I have DMed one campaign before which lasted about 10 months and I ended it because I wanted to focus on other endeavors. I have caught the DM itch again and am hoping to play with some fellow queer people as I feel I am very cut off from the community. I emphasize roleplay, strong character choices, rule of cool, and adore interesting mechanics in combat. The world is homebrew and based around fairy tales/folklore/mythology and it is a world I am trying to flesh out more using D&D so I can write novels in it. My goal is for it to be a Fairy Tale-esque One Piece, if that makes sense. I am not a super experienced dm yet eagerly welcome players of all experience levels to my table as long as they have a good attitude. The campaign will probably start mid-July as I have no idea what I am doing and I am moving in the beginning of that month to a new place. So, hit me up and we can talk and maybe get something going.
submitted by HimboPhantasmal to lfg [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:31 MaintenanceLarge9221 Where to start

I'm new to the whole pc scene a d honestly looks a fun(yet possibly expensive) hobby. Just wondering seeing where to start and how to learn about the best products to build one. I want a PC that is great for video editing, but also is capable of playing games. Don't care if it's 4k, and would be ok if 1080p, but I kind of want 1440p. Budget is probably gonna be around $500-$600. Let me know what y'all think:)
submitted by MaintenanceLarge9221 to PcBuild [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:29 TheLukeSkywaIker MCU Cap is lame.

1) Captain America is very political. He is a New Deal democrat, who is hurt to see how his government has been infiltrated. This is not something we see in the movies, other than some vague references to WW2. He is for the common people and the American dream. His motivation is carrying on the spirit of the founders. This is a clear, well-defined motivation in the comics. In the movies, all we know is that he hates how SHEILD is evil. Thatā€™s it? No commentary on how big billionaires are running the country and how poverty is ruling the states? No commentary on how there are basically no more truly patriotic citizens left in America? This is bare minimum.
2) Captain America realistically shouldā€™ve served as a father figure to Spider-Man, in the same way as Tony. Spider-Man has the highest level of respect for Cap, and he thinks of Tony as kinda a douchebag billionaire. They based their entire MCU relationship on the Civil War arc, which is such a weird decision to make.
3) Nomad was so underwhelming. In the comics, Nixon was so bad a president that Cap decided to abandon his identity and become Nomad. He mirrored the same sentiments of the vast majority of Americans. Itā€™s truly one of the most heartbreaking moments in comicbook history. And his return to Cap was so satisfying.
In the MCU, why exactly is he wearing the Stars and Stripes again? Did Thanosā€™s snap suddenly make Steve regain patriotism in his country?
4) Thereā€™s no scene of Cap admiring how far America has come. No scene of his learning about MLK, no scene of him learning about Apollo 11, no scene of him giving remarks on how his old pal General Eisenhower built the highway ststemā€¦Oh, but they instead show that he has a list of movies to watch. Yeah, I guess itā€™s really important that the audience knows that he watched Star Wars.
5) Steve is never shown interacting with plain people, as Captain America. I think this is really unfortunate. The closest we get are those super duper funny gym videos in Homecoming, where Cap obviously doesnā€™t want to be there. How about a scene of him giving a genuine lesson on American History? How about a scene of him simply being a good person and talking to a firefighter?
Steve is the kind of person to visit a senior home for veterans and talk for hours and share stories. Thatā€™s what I consider cool. But sure, a super duper badass Commando scene of him being James Bond and doing karate is what the average audience wants to see. They donā€™t want a movie that inspires patriotism, they want to see a Rambo flick
Edit: The exception to #5 is Sam Wilson, but I forgot to mention that doesnā€™t count. He is only there because heā€™s relevant to the plot later on
submitted by TheLukeSkywaIker to CharacterRant [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:25 squidwardsdicksucker Newbie here

Hi everyone,
Not sure if this is the best place for something like this, but I recently moved to the Bennington area from New Hampshire and frankly I just need to get out and meet some people here since all of my friends are either back home or live down in CT where I went to college.
Iā€™m aware that Vermont generally isnā€™t the easiest place to meet new people (kind of like New Hampshire haha) and ik that clubs/volunteering is typically the best route to take here for that, but Iā€™m not exactly the most extroverted around strangers in a setting like that which is why I guess Iā€™m reaching out on here.
If anyone is in the Bennington area or nearby in New York or Mass and in their 20s and would be interested in stuff like hiking, going to bars, etcā€¦ please feel free to pm me or whatever, just figured it wouldnā€™t hurt to reach out on this sub!
Edit: Iā€™m also a real nerd about Volkswagens so if there is a VW-Audi club or enthusiasts in the area, Iā€™d definitely love to hear about that!
submitted by squidwardsdicksucker to vermont [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:24 MysteryCrabMeat TN came wrapped in plastic?

Hey guys, Iā€™ve got a bit of a head scratcher here. I picked up a camel TN from Amazon (I know, I know), and the TN was wrapped in plastic inside the little fabric sleeve. Has Midori ever packaged TNs like this? Itā€™s been so long since I bought a new TN that I donā€™t remember anymore, but it seems wrong to me.
Iā€™m returning it, but Iā€™d like to know just for future reference. Thanks!
Edit: returned and bought straight from Travelerā€™s Company. Never buying a TN from Amazon again. Still curious to know if they ever packaged them like this or not.
submitted by MysteryCrabMeat to midori [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:09 CalyWitsune The Games That Scared Me Away

Long time lurker, first time redditoposter. I've been listening and reading a lot of these horror stories and figured it might be fun to share mine.
I haven't actually played a game of DnD or DnD adjacent since about 2020/2021, mostly because of what transpired during the games I actually did play before that. I love the concept, I love creating characters and stories and worlds, but I get a pit in my stomach when I actually try to play again.
I had my first opportunity to play DnD my freshman year of college. I dropped in on the campus tabletop club and I was quite anxious. I was the only girl in the room, everyone seemed to have known each other or clicked well, but I wanted to branch out of my comfort zone. The first night went well! We played a very quick heist one shot where we made a character with one flaw and one interesting trait. Through unfortunate rolls and circumstances, we had a TPK, but it was a fun time. I was invited afterwards to join a Pathfinder campaign that a few of the members were going to start up for the new semester, and so I scheduled a time to meet with the DM and create my first full fledged character.
Now, the DM was kind of eccentric, a little whack if you will but very excited to help me make my first character. I thought he was just goofy and really into the game. God I wish I picked up on all the red flags that would come.
He first asked me what kind of race I'd like to play as. I had always been drawn to tiefling characters because I liked the aesthetic. His eyes lit up at that for some reason. Then he asked what class I'd like; if I'd like to be primarily a support or tank or what have you. I didn't want to get overwhelmed in my first game and thought support might be nice. I could watch how combat worked while just keeping everyone going and buffed. I said let's try bard! The grin that crept up on his face...
He immediately started talking about how saucy that would be, how my character would be so flirty and fun. I expressed some discomfort in having my character immediately fall into the "h*rny bard" category I had seen meme'd on so much, but he laughed and waved it off by saying he "was a theater kid in high school! Everyone was super h*orny and making out backstage all the time. It just comes with the environment!" Being a new player, and wanting to fit in, I pushed down my discomfort and thought okay, I'll play her as a joke character I guess.
For awhile it was fine, I got to play her as a dancelyre player who was part of a traveling circus. Nothing weird was coming up the first few sessions. Most of the other PCs either joined together by taking quests from the town job board, or had ties built in to their backstory. My first red flag should have been that the DM, despite constantly raving about all his planning, was frequently skipping around the story. He would suddenly decide the plot point we were on wasn't interesting enough for some reason, and just throw us into another scenario. We left so many lose ends because he just didn't feel like finishing them, regardless of if we were engaging in it or not. But hey, he's the DM right? That's what I thought, he had the right to change it. I had no prior experience to see this was just bad DMing.
We ended up joining an archery competition as we were tempted by a mystery grand prize. At the sign up table, out of nowhere, the DMPC attending to registration suddenly starts flirting with my character. I got flustered in a negative way because this DM got very into character (giving me looks, leaning in as he spoke to me, the whole shebang). I panicked, all of a sudden being the focus of a room full of men seeing how I'd react to it. I again, stupidly, went along with it. I had her (nervously) flirt back lightly, and I was relieved it didn't go much further at that point. Skipping to the end of the archery competition, my bard ended up in the final two and sabotaged an assassination on the town's mayor mid competition. The party was invited to a celebratory dinner at the mayor's house afterwards, where we once again ran into the NPC that flirted with my character at registration. He invited her to bed, and again I got extremely uncomfortable and flustered. None of this was discussed beforehand, nor was I even asked if I was comfortable with such topics before joining the campaign. The guys at the table were egging me on, and I felt pressured to accept. With a few hoots and hollers, we had a fade to black scene (thank god). I went home feeling very icky, but convinced myself I was being a wimp. And the table had enjoyed my antics that night, so I should be grateful.
I had the thought between sessions to write in a childhood friends to lovers interest for my bard to try and avoid any more unexpected encounters like that again, thinking if the DM had another character to play as with some personal tie to my bard, that would make be feel better about the interactions. He was brought up once, where I milked the f*ck out of my character's attachment to him, hoping to drive home that this was juicy potential relationship to build over the campaign. He never came up again during that campaign. The DM also completely disregarded many of the notes I gave him detailing this love interest's personality, and took many 'creative liberties' with him, but not enough where I would decide to say something.
Another few sessions happened where we struggled through the DMs inconsistent storytelling and jumping around to whatever plot point had his interest at the moment. He was constantly putting us in fights we could not hope to win, way too challenging for our lvl. 1-3 party. We often sat around the table in disappointment and defeat as we got absolutely destroyed by monsters (no one being able to land hits for sometimes 3-4 rounds at a time because of how high the AC or CR was), while the DM laughed and basked in the dreary nature of the table. He would usually eventually fudge rolls to give us an out when we were close to TPKs. He even gave us a deck of many things and insisted our PCs "felt compelled" to pull cards despite the players disagreeing they that wanted to. He attempted to force my character to drastically change her alignment to an evil one for shits and giggles because of one card pull (later allowed me to ignore it because I didn't even WANT to use the deck), and got three of us killed by having them pull a card that summoned the highest CR monster you could use.
One night he texts the group chat that he decided he's done running that story, and wants to run another one shot instead. We had one last session to "close" that first campaign and discuss the one shot options. During our meeting, he gleefully admitted to me that he had planned for my bard to get PREGNANT in that one night stand with the NPC from the archery competition. Not only did he plan to do that without my consent or knowledge, he had planned for it to be a HAG baby that would have entirely f*cked my PC up (he explained it as the man having been a witch in disguise or something?? And said that's how hags are made? Which to my knowledge is entirely incorrect. Maybe it was a homebrew rule, but regardless, I was mortified. And now very grateful he lost interest in that campaign).
Moving on to the one shot, another player decided to try DMing, and so the Problem DM had a chance to be a PC, yay! He privately messaged me and asked if I'd be interested in connecting our characters and their backstories. I said yes and we got to work. We spent a few nights discussing their dynamic and I was really excited to go into this game. Well, come the night of the session, we were going around the table introducing our characters. The Problem DM went before me, and introduced an entirely different character than the one we discussed, and one that would often almost kill us during the one shot (to which the guy would cackle and mock us for getting upset each time). I asked him what happened to our plan, and he said earlier that day he decided he wanted to do something different. I sighed and let it go, because at least it was just a one shot and my character could still function without his connection to the other PC. Another one shot where the Problem DM got to be a PC, he seemed to make it his goal to be the biggest asshole to everyone else's character. My PC was an archaeologist, and when she excitedly discovered some old pottery in a dungeon, he had his PC run up and smash everything and laugh in her face.
The next campaign we tried that had issues was a Starfinder campaign. Our party was considered its own crew for a space ship, plus one DMPC that was placed into the mix supposedly to help us if we fell short, since we were all unfamiliar with Starfinder and spaceship battle mechanics. She was honestly a really cool character! And we had one or two sessions to establish the story and how the crew interacted. Now, this was my mistake, not taking any of the other creepy habits of the DM into consideration, but I offhandedly mentioned to the table at large that my PC (a woman) might be developing a crush on this DMPC (also a woman). They had gone through a lot together in-game at that point and it felt natural. The next session, you'll never guess, the DMPC started flirting hard core with my character. I was confused and asked the DM what that was about, as we had never had any interactions between those two that would be read as romantic. Even if I mentioned my character was crushing, she had never let it on, and the DMPC had never indicated she felt a similar pull as well. The DM didn't really have an explanation, just that apparently in-universe, the DMPC had been flirting more and more with my character since their last adventure together alone. I thought, okay, I guess...
Honestly? What transpired would have been an insanely cool plot twist if we had had the time to actually roleplay and develop the relationship between my character and the DMPC, as well as the crew at large and the DMPC. She ended up being part of a cult that wanted to steal an artifact we had acquired. She was apparently trying to 'romance' my PC because my PC was the one who often guarded the artifact, and needed her to let her guard down. It would have been a super impactful betrayal, but it was literally only a handful of sessions between the first meeting, and the plot twist. We just had to trust the DMs word that we had all gotten super attached to her between actual session meetings and we all should feel like we were stabbed in the back by this trusted individual. And I especially should feel heartbroken because she never really was interested in me anyway.
Later on down the line, despite some very interesting story points, it got creepy again. Our PCs ended up being sucked into a death game show, and isolated from the outside world while being broadcast to universal TV stations. At some point we were all given access to the internet after a few weeks in isolation to search up anything we wanted. Everyone searched up their names among other things. The DM described us finding our newly formed fanbases. He described the other PCs fanbases (men played by men) as having hot debates on their intelligence and decisions during the show, or bets on if they'd be the last ones standing; that sort of stuff. He described my fanbase as leering creeps saying the most unhinged things about what they wanted my PC to do to them s*xually, as well as some spreading photos of my PC without her face covering (she was a Kasatha, which canonically keep their mouths covered. But she had been forced to remove it briefly when it almost waterboarded her after she fell into a river).
Eventually, we weren't able to meet consistently enough to warrant running campaigns anymore, and I fell out of touch with all involved. Oh, we also lost a player at some point right after he confessed to me and I declined his interest.
I went another year not playing before another friend group of mine invited me to play as a guest character. I thought this would be a nice way to ease back into the game slowly after my horrid experiences before. Rather than make an entirely new character for one or two sessions, I brought back my tiefling bard because I still really liked her character, and had started to reshape her personality without being pressured to have her be a s*xual chess piece. The new DM dropped my character in a labyrinth their current party had been trapped in for awhile. I was made to be a level or two higher and be an ally they encountered to help them escape. We did, it was fun! But I was only there as a guest, and had only planned my character to be in one to two sessions before leaving. I was consistently mentioning to the party that my PC would be leaving as soon as they get to her major city, but either they didn't think I was serious or didn't remember. I may have been convinced to come on full time, but unfortunately, history repeats itself. We got to a session where the party got to a tavern and drowned their sorrows and nursed their labyrinth bruises with beer, and the idea of a threesome was thrown in the air between my PC and two others. Now, half of this group were dating someone else in the group, and seemed very comfortable roleplaying casual s*x between their PCs because of it. They started a damn chant pressuring me to say yes, already trying to roleplay it, and I felt sick. I was too anxious at the idea of saying no with how aggressive everyone was for me to agree, so I tried to "roll for yes or no" as an out; the dice failed me, and it rolled a number assigned to yes. I was very quiet the rest of the session, and afterwards messaged the DM that I want my character to leave at the beginning of the next session.
The DM then tried to convince me to stay, despite me saying a clear no multiple times within the same conversation. They begged me to stay saying the party loved my PC a lot, and they would hate to lose me. When they finally relented, they then tried to smoothly transition to talk of making me a new character so I could permanently stay with the party, without compromising my bards story and decision. I kind of got on their case about that, and told them to stop pressuring me and I did not want to play with that group anymore. Eventually, they gave up, but not without some low key guilt tripping.
I tried playing with one more group after this, and while it didn't get creepy, it was also a disappointment as none of the players seemed to care besides me and the DM, despite everyone having encouraged starting the game because they wanted to learn how to play for the first time. Players slowly started ghosting us, drama happened between two players that joined just to have an excuse to talk and try and date (which ended up very messy and they both left), and the new players would get angry at me or the DM if they got confused with the rules or combat dynamics (the wizard rushed ahead of me, the tank barbarian, and then acted like it was my fault when they nearly got killed in the first round because "the tank is supposed to protect the damage dealers").
The DM and I stayed in contact after all the other players ghosted the chat, and ended up bringing over some other new players who had also played before, and re hauled the campaign. This one had so much promise...then quarantine hit, and we couldn't keep up with regular meetings.
At this point, with all my games ending with creeps, messy player dynamics or falling through, I decided maybe these kinds of games weren't for me.
I have new friends now inviting me to play, who have very functional groups (experienced professional DMs, closeknit friend groups, long-running campaigns), but I am too wary to accept any more offers for games, despite deep down really wanting to try again and be part of something I know can be amazing. Maybe I will one day, but until then, I just have these horror stories to think about.
submitted by CalyWitsune to dndhorrorstories [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:04 Neurogence Gary Marcus: OpenAI likely pivoted to new features because they couldn't achieve the expected exponential improvement in capability.

https://twitter.com/GaryMarcus/status/1790122337058119725
Perhaps the most fundamental question in AI right now is whether ā€œscaling lawsā€ will hold indefinitely or whether they might be petering out.
All the massive hopes and valuations are based on the assumption that those laws will continue to hold for several more years.
All of the evidence for the last 14 months suggests instead that (for reasons not fully known) we have reached a period of diminishing returns.
If you had predicted where we would be now based on the deltas between GPT to GPT-2 to GPT-3 to GPT-4, youā€™d think that we would have made more progress than we have.
Itā€™s not ā€œshitting onā€ LLMs to note that fact. Itā€™s good science to investigate assumptions.
(I defy anyone who thinks we are still in exponential regime to actually present a plot of the data, below, and to address the plots I presented in my essay ā€œEvidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns ā€” and what that might meanā€, which distinctly show otherwise.)
I want AGI to happen as soon as possible more than any of you but I'm still open minded as to what the critics have to say.
His takes specifically on GPT4o:
The speech synthesis is terrific, reminds me of Google Duplex (which never took off). but ā€¢ If OpenAI had GPT-5, they have would shown it. ā€¢ They donā€™t have GPT-5 after 14 months of trying. ā€¢ The most important figure in the blogpost is attached below. And the most important thing about the figure is that 4o is not a lot different from Turbo, which is not hugely different from 4. ā€¢ Lots of quirky errors are already being reported, same as ever. (See e.g., examples from @RosenzweigJane and @benjaminjriley .) ā€¢ OpenAI has presumably pivoted to new features precisely because they donā€™t know how produce the kind of capability advance that the ā€œexponential improvementā€ would have predicted. ā€¢ Most importantly, each day in which there is no GPT-5 level modelā€“from OpenAI or any of their well-financed, well-motivated competitorsā€”is evidence that we may have reached a phase of diminishing returns.
submitted by Neurogence to singularity [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:00 thebeanshadow Current list of Australian TRT Clinics + Where to get bloodwork + Things to consider before starting + Types of TRT

This was created as a place to feel welcome, and to discuss and talk about all things TRT in Australia.
We have an influx of clinics opening up here, with an influx of new people to TRT, and it's only growing
(did you know GP prescribed testosterone has risen over 500% in the last 10yrs worldwide...)
Below is a breakdown of TRT, clinics and bloodwork.
TYPES OF TRT
There are a few methods of TRT in Australia and the world.
Injectable testosterone -- this is the standard type of TRT method with the most amount of research and usage to date. Typically injected Intra-Muscularly, but with more data showing that SubQ injections are just as effective and could potentially have lower side effects due to the slower release
Testosterone Cream & Gel -- Topical ointments can be great due to not having to inject weekly, daily etc, just apply and carry on, but, with topicals, especially Gel - the risk of transfer to other people is very high, you also don't know how much is actually getting absorbed into your skin, and generally you aren't allowed to swim for 6hrs post application
Enclomiphene & Clomid -- This tablet form of TRT has some popularity as it doesn't shut down your natural production and helps to raise it instead, it is also one step even easier than topicals but the overall effectiveness and long term use aren't fully understood and anecdotally seem to be less effective over time and may stop working.
HCG (Human Chorionic Gonadotropin) - another injectable form of TRT but instead of replacing the bodies natural production with an exogenous source, HCG will instead stimulate LH production, almost "forcing" the body to produce naturally -- HCG is often used alongside injectable testosterone to maintain testicular function and natural production
** Some people have success with all forms of TRT, but anecdotally, injectable TRT is still the king of testosterone.
CLINICS
If you are looking for a reputable clinic, below are some clinics that are recommended by Aussies;
PHC - Performance Health Clinic * No yearly or ongoing fees, a pay as you go service, with a more hands off approach + bloodwork every 3mths + cost of medication
EMC - Enhanced Mens Clinic *$1000 yearly fee + bloodwork every 3mths + cost of medication
Primal Zone *$350 initial consult, $100 bloodwork review + cost of medication
The Functional Doctors - over 40s clinic * Bloodwork every 3mths ($300 panel must be done) + $300 consults every 3mths + cost of medication
XY Theraputics - Over 40s clinic * Byo bloodwork or $210 in-house panel. Start up; $299=consult and blood tests $150=consult plus BYO bloodwork - ongoing costs $92 consult and review
TRT Australia * Yearly $860, Quarterly $240, Semi-Annualy $480 - Includes medication, bloodwork review (BYO blood), check-ins
PRIVATE BLOODWORK If you have a good GP that will do bloodwork, that can be a lifesaver, but if not, these companies are trusted and can usually have results within 24hrs.
iMedical * Recommended tests to get before starting your journey are Sports BB2 $172, BB3 $186, BB4 $248
RoidSafe * A smaller set of testing compared to iMedical, but for $50, you can get a snapshot of your bloodwork. This is perfect for patients who know how to read bloodwork and just want to monitor.
Things recommended to check before starting TRT or the journey to TRT;
Semen analysis - It's important to check your sperm health and count before starting as testosterone, sex hormones and your sperm all work closely together - and if you want to have children in the future; you absolutely need a baseline
Sleep study - A very large portion of men have sleep apnea that is directly linked to low testosterone levels, it's important to rule this out as it could be a large contributing factor to how you feel and what your levels show
Full blood panel - You're not just checking testosterone levels, you're checking everything, Vitamin D, Thyroid, Testosterone, Prostate. You need a full panel to be able to tell a full story. And even then, your lifestyle can tell an even bigger part of the story to what's on the paper in front of you.
It's important to remember that TRT can be life changing for a lot of men, but changing your life even the smallest bit can help just as much, as low T symptoms can be caused by a plethora of other illnesses or issues and you need to rule out everything you can;
TRT is generally a "for life" dependant medication; meaning if you have low T and you want normal testosterone levels, you will need to be on TRT for life. You can come off at any time, but you will go back to the original baseline levels you had before starting, and in some cases, go back lower than baseline.
submitted by thebeanshadow to AusTRT [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 03:00 AutoModerator May 14, 2024 - Weekly AIO Discussion Megathread (Questions, Pulls, Progress, Friend UID)

This is the Weekly AIO Megathread for Questions, Pulls, Game Progress and sharing Friend UIDs.
For pulls and game progress, you can use an external image hosting site such as Imgur and share a link to your images.
For questions, all basic gameplay and help questions should be asked in this Megathread. This includes questions such as: "Which card should I evolve/work on next?", "How does X work?", "How do I get X item?", or other questions that can be answered with a simple response.
Questions that require or garner more discussion can still be posted as separate posts. It is up to mod discretion as to whether it should be removed or not and posted in the Megathread.

Resources And Guides

General Tips & Guides
Gameplay Help
Card Resources
Other
Discords
Have an additional resource to add? Feel free to message the moderators with your suggestion!
submitted by AutoModerator to TearsOfThemis [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:58 redditwastesmyday Wendy's NYC Penthouse sold at loss

I MISS WENDY!!! I Hope she is OK.
Wendy Williams' guardian sold her NYC penthouse for a loss (nypost.com)
The transaction, which closed on May 10, occurred only several years after Williams acquired the Financial District property. Itā€™s also the latest chapter in Williamsā€™ ongoing legal and personal challenges after being diagnosed in 2023 with primary progressive aphasia and frontotemporal dementia.
Records accessed by The Post indicate that Williams, 59, was deemed ā€œincapacitated,ā€ thus necessitating the involvement of a guardian in the decision-making process regarding the sale of her residence.
The three-bedroom, three-bathroom penthouse traded hands for $3.75 million, marking a considerable decrease of $822,000 from its purchase price in July 2021.
An insider close to Williams lamented her circumstances, telling The Post, ā€œWendyā€™s dream has always been to live in Manhattan in a dream apartment but never got a chance to d
Prior to the sale, Williams divested herself of all personal belongings housed within the property, including her iconic purple chair, a fixture synonymous with her provocative ā€œHot Topicsā€ segment that captivated audiences for years.
Meanwhile, at the same time that Williams was selling off her belongings, she was also dealing with a hefty tax problem.
She owed more than half a million dollars in unpaid taxes, which resulted in a federal tax lien. Legal documents revealed that her New York City condo, purchased for $4.5 million in 2021, was affected by this lien.o so. It is a very unfortunate situation.ā€
Speculation had arisen regarding Williamsā€™ potential relocation to sunny Los Angeles.
But a separate source speaking to Page Six did not know if she would actually go through with it.
ā€œShe was asking how to sell her stuff with ā€˜The Real Real,ā€™ but I donā€™t think sheā€™s actually moving to Los Angeles. She seems so unwell.ā€
Spanning more than 2,400 square feet, Williamsā€™ former FiDi residence boasts luxurious amenities characteristic of Manhattanā€™s elite living spaces.
The main level has a spacious living/dining room area, an open kitchen replete with custom stained walnut cabinetry, granite countertops, and top-of-the-line Miele and Sub-Zero appliances.
The upper level has the primary suite, adorned with an ensuite five-fixture bath boasting opulent marble accents and state-of-the-art fixtures.
In addition to its lavish interiors, the building has an array of amenities, including a fitness center and a Water Club featuring a 60-foot lap pool, a sauna, a steam room and a Jacuzzi.
Williamsā€™ personal and professional struggles have been well-documented over the past year, culminating in her absence from public view following the conclusion of her talk show in 2022.
A series of health issues ā€” also including Gravesā€™ Disease and lymphedema ā€” prompted the appointment of a financial guardian to oversee her affairs, with Williams also seeking treatment for ā€œsevere alcohol useā€ at a rehabilitation facility in Malibu.
submitted by redditwastesmyday to WendyWilliams [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:56 askvo Number crunch for Modern Horizons 3 main set and Commander

Hey all - like most of you I've been really itching to see the new spoilers and to keep myself busy I've been running the number crunch to see what's left to reveal and what we could expect to see. Figured I'd share - please let me know if you know any cards I've missed or if there's any suggestions of what we can expect to see
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-MU6b1R-BhxwgvpRoNMbGWIeR-2WHjKE07ScfQGu2so/edit#gid=486398469
submitted by askvo to magicTCG [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:56 Capital-Increase-573 Some ideas to buff underpowered exotics!

Hi all! With TFS looming over the horizon, I wanted to take a look at some Exotic weapons we have in that grand olā€™ arsenal of ours that havenā€™t been doing too hot in a whileā€¦ or ever. We have a lot of strong choices nowadays, and even some fun niche ones too, but there are a lot of picks that just donā€™t make sense, have better legendary variants, or are outdated asf (looking at you specifically, DARCI). In this post, I want to share some fun ideas I had for how to rebalance these exotics, adding new functionality in both their intrinsic abilities and catalysts. I donā€™t even think all these exotics necessarily need a huge intrinsic buff: sometimes a catalyst is all it takes; just look at how nice Trinity Ghoul is with its catalyst, and thatā€™s just a teeny tiny change.
What I count as an underpowered exotic is a weapon that doesnā€™t really have a place both in regular play, endgame activities, or as a niche weapon with certain uses. So something like Tractor Cannon, although not a DPS/adclear option, is super super useful against certain bosses like Crota or in certain situations, therefore, in my mind it is not underpowered as it has its place. Something like Hard Light, thoughā€¦ yeah.
Iā€™m swinging the hammer kinda heavy with the buffs because itā€™s more fun that way. I hope you all enjoy, and please share your ideas too! Bonus if you make a bingo card to see how many of these exotics Bungo actually changes in TFS. Weā€™ll find out soon enough, Iā€™d imagine.
Oh, yeah, and this is just my opinion. I know some or a lot of these weapons are usable. But alas, this is what I think.
KINETIC WEAPONS:
Sweet Business: Adds intrinsic Overload capabilities. Once this weapon is spun up, it will remain spinning until reloaded. This assures that once you enter combat, you wonā€™t be stuck having to get ā€˜er goin every time a new enemy jumps you. Catalyst now adds Killing Tally. This perk would make the weapon much stronger (duh) but also it has good synergy with Sweet Business, as the playstyle opts for keeping the weapon out, in use, and continuously fed from ammo pickups or actium war rig.
MIDA Multi-Tool: Adds the ability to change the rate and mode of fire, so that the weapon can behave like a pulse rifle and an auto rifle by changing perk options in the gunā€™s menu. Scoping in now highlights information about enemies and distance, just like DARCI does.
Crimson: Perhaps this sounds repetitive, but for weapons that sustain fire, Killing Tally is really solid. This would reward the user for continuous precision kills to maintain Killing Tally, a strong bonus on top of Exotics have a 40% buff against red bars.
Cerberus+1: Damage againts elite (orange bar) and major (yellow bar, non capitalized names) also increased by 40% to match the minor (red bar) enemy increase. New intrinstic perk: Interial Quakes: sustained damage on one target causes shockwaves to summon at the location of the target, disorienting them and dealing high damage. This offers Cerberus+1 a variant of Kinetic Tremors that has increased functionality, as itā€™s an exotic, as well as the ability to activate off of non-precision hits since.. yeah hitting crits with Cerberus is ass.
Bad Juju: Catalyst increases super energy gained from a kill closer to D1 levels, to make it more of a super battery. We get our super back so quickly in PvE with the amount of orbs we generate; letā€™s ratchet Bad Juju up to make it a competitive super generating option. The catalyst also gives Desperado.
Bastion: I wish I knew what to do to make it better. But it needs help.
Travelerā€™s Chosen: This weapon was designed back when Bungo was like ā€œlol we hate damage perksā€. Gathering Light now grants an escalating damage bonus in addition to its previuos effects. Consuming Gathering Light increases this weaponā€™s RoF for 10 seconds to compensate for being reset to its baseline.
Cryosthesia 77K: Hereā€™s a dousey. Every third precision shot applies x25 slow to enemies. The special ā€œreload after killā€ show now loads the gun with a projectile that is akin to a coldsnap grenade, seeking out and freezing a target. Catalyst grants headstone so you can make more stasis crystals with this bad boy.
Wicked Implement: Make this thing a 260rpm scout. That is all.
ENERGY:
Coldheart: Catalyst adds voltshot. Increase the damage ramp-up for sustained fire.
Borealis: Why does this thing not have anti barrier. Half of its gimmick is breaking barriers. Give it anti barrier lmao and itā€™ll be top tier in GMs. Thatā€™s literally all you need to do?
Skyburnerā€™s Oath: Increase rate of fire for Scout Rifle mode. Make it unstop intrinsically.
Merciless: Catalyst gives Controlled Burst, further decreasing charge time and increasing damage.
Hard Light: Add incandescent, voltshot, and destabilizing rounds depending on the elemental mode that is selected. Catalyst allows it to swap between Stasis and Strand, giving Headstone and Hatchling respectively.
Fighting Lion: Just revert some of the nerfs on this poor guy for crying out loud. Life was more fun when he was still kickinā€™.
Prometheus Lens: Sustained damage will this weapon can cause enemies to ignite prematurely.
Tommyā€™s Matchbook: Buff the scorch this weapon deals against enemies. Increase hipfire accuracy further to make sure you can hit your shots. Allow for kills on scorched enemies to trigger brief health regeneration.
POWER:
D.A.R.C.I.: Ammo type switched to special, damage is decreased to compensate. Deals further increased precision damage after hitting 3 shots in a row. Catalyst adds Reconstruction and High-Impact Reserves.
Legend of Acrius: Add one-two punch, as well as the ability for Acrius to add a solar centurion shield if you are within close proximity (melee range) of an enemy.
The Wardcliff Coil: Buff the damage! This weapon and EoT deal less damage against bosses since they fire a salvo but itā€™s too weakkkk. Also, catalyst jolts targets if 5 or more rockets hit the target.
The Prospector: Grant this weapon a GL variant of bipodā€ grenades deal decreased damage, but this weapon can carry double the amount of grenades. Grenades chain lightning between themselves and targets when exploded, and the catalyst now adds auto-loading holster.
Worldline Zero: Uhhhā€¦.
Sleeper Simulant: Buff that damage Bungie. Make it a powerhouse again.
Black Talon: Iā€™m not gonna lie I have no idea what to do to make this thing better.
One Thousand Voices: Make this thing hurt, Bungie. Buff itā€™s fuckin damage. And make it guarantee ignite enemies if the entire beam hits a target. Chain reaction is added as well to chain explosions from target to target.
Truth: Rockets have a larger blast radius than normal, and debuff nearby enemies with Volatile. Bipod is added to the roster of perks. Rocket tracking becomes closer to its D1 level of aggresiveness. Catalyst reloads this weapon whenever a void debuff is cast to double capacity.
Deathbringer: Too much setup, too little payoff. Void orbs now weaken targets. The void orbs now take less airtime to reach max damage increase.
Eyes of Tomorrow: Make it do more damage against bosses. Stop being a pussy. We have Gjallarhorn, Dragonā€™s Breath, and whatever the fuck else. Make. Them. Fear. It.
Deterministic Chaos: Removes the sustained fire requirement for triggering weakening and volatile rounds. Enemies are made volatile AND weak at the same time (every 4 shots), and every 16th shot is now a quadruple damage bullet.
submitted by Capital-Increase-573 to DestinyTheGame [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:55 CroninChris Red Lobster Closing List as of Monday, May 13th, 2024

ALABAMA:
Huntsville, AL
Decatur, AL
Mobile, AL
ARIZONA:
Oro Valley, AZ
CALIFORNIA:
Sacramento, CA
Fremont, CA
COLORADO:
Lakewood, CO
Lone Tree, CO
Wheat Ridge, CO
Denver, CO
FLORIDA:
Hialeah, FL
Tampa, FL
Tampa, FL
Largo, FL
Kissimmee, FL
Leesburg, FL
Orlando, FL
Orlando, FL
Orlando, FL (Golden Sky Lane)
Altamonte Springs, FL
Gainesville, FL
Jacksonville, FL (Commerce Center Drive)
Jacksonville, FL (Baymeadows Road)
Jacksonville, FL (City Station Drive)
Sanford, FL
Daytona Beach Shores, FL
GEORGIA:
Roswell, GA
Athens, GA
Dublin, GA
IDAHO:
Lewiston, ID
ILLINOIS:
Bloomingdale, IL
Danville, IL
INDIANA:
Indianapolis, IN
Elkhart, IN
IOWA:
Waterloo, IA
KANSAS:
Olathe, KS
Kansas City, KS
LOUISIANA:
Bossier City, LA
MARYLAND:
Columbia, MD
Laurel, MD
Silver Spring, MD
Gaithersburg, MD
MISSISSIPPI:
Jackson, MS
MISSOURI:
Jefferson City, MO
NEW JERSEY:
Ledgewood, NJ
Lawrenceville, NJ
East Brunswick, NJ
Bridgewater, NJ
NEW YORK:
Lakewood, NY
Buffalo, NY
Amherst, NY
Williamsville, NY
Rochester, NY
Poughkeepsie, NY
Stony Brook, NY
Kingston, NY
Scarsdale, NY
Nanuet, NY
NORTH CAROLINA:
Rocky Mount, NC
Cary, NC
Durham, NC
Burlington, NC
NORTH DAKOTA:
Grand Forks, ND
OKLAHOMA:
Oklahoma City, OK
Stillwater, OK
Lawton, OK
PENNSYLVANIA:
Erie, PA
SOUTH CAROLINA:
Myrtle Beach, SC
TENNESSEE:
Memphis, TN
TEXAS:
Dallas, TX
Dallas, TX
Lake Jackson, TX
Houston, TX
Pasadena, TX
Tyler, TX
Longview, TX
Lufkin, TX
VIRGINIA:
Newport News, VA
Williamsburg, VA
Colonial Heights, VA
WASHINGTON:
Silverdale, WA
WISCONSIN:
La Crosse, WI
Wauwatosa, WI
Link to the List: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1pguGU2ZlWSgoX8y5mItBDM2ZFL-Z7r03TlzuvLqkvk8/edit
Link to the video: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1pguGU2ZlWSgoX8y5mItBDM2ZFL-Z7r03TlzuvLqkvk8/edit
submitted by CroninChris to redlobster [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:53 Prince_Hastur High Elves really need a DLC too.

Now I am not sure if this is an unpopular opinion or not, but I noticed that most predictions for the next DLC usually focus on factions such as Ogres, Cathay, Norsca, Bretonnia (in addition to obvious Slaanesh/Khorne that are most likely coming). However, I believe High Elves really need some love as well.
Yes, HEs are a very strong faction, they have capable units, powerful economy and many Legendary Lords. But they are really outdated and could definitely use a refresher. Some examples include:
I do not say that there are no factions that need reworks more than HEs do, and I may be a bit biased because they are my favourite faction, but I really think they need some of these issues addressed - even without getting any new content (such as units or LLs).
submitted by Prince_Hastur to totalwar [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:46 That_penguin_930 19 [m4f] US/michigan Calling everyone who likes games, podcasts, art, books, or movies :)

Hello! My name is Isaac and I have EST time zones (Michigan)! I thought Iā€™d look and see if I could find any cool people on here and see where things went and worst case scenario we end up being best friends :D
My main hobbies are playing games, watching anime/tv shows/movies, listening to music and podcasts, video editing, and learning more about psychology and other topics that interest me such as psychology!!!
I mainly play pc games even tho I also have a switch. Recently Iā€™ve been playing a good bit of baldurā€™s gate 3 and league of legends but I also have games like Minecraft, terraria, r6, phasmophobia, valorant, and stardew valley so I donā€™t mind playing anything!
I love almost all sorts of music, anime, movies, and shows and have an open mind to trying out new things! So hit me up with your recommendations and maybe we can watch/listen together!! (Trying out new hobbies like drawing and whatever seems like fun!)
I hope to meet some cool people! Idm messages or comments if you want to ask something or get to hangout! Hope you have a wonderful day/evening!
submitted by That_penguin_930 to ForeverAloneDating [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:45 That_penguin_930 19 [m4a] US/michigan Calling everyone who likes games, podcasts, art, books, or movies :)

Hello! My name is Isaac and I have EST time zones (Michigan)! I thought Iā€™d look and see if I could find any cool people on here and see where things went and worst case scenario we end up being best friends :D
My main hobbies are playing games, watching anime/tv shows/movies, listening to music and podcasts, video editing, and learning more about psychology and other topics that interest me such as psychology!!!
I mainly play pc games even tho I also have a switch. Recently Iā€™ve been playing a good bit of baldurā€™s gate 3 and league of legends but I also have games like Minecraft, terraria, phasmophobia, valorant, and stardew valley so I donā€™t mind playing anything!
I love almost all sorts of music, anime, movies, and shows and have an open mind to trying out new things! So hit me up with your recommendations and maybe we can watch/listen together!!
I hope to meet some cool people! Idm messages or comments if you want to ask something or get to hangout! Hope you have a wonderful day/evening!
submitted by That_penguin_930 to r4r [link] [comments]


2024.05.14 02:43 NerdyOutdoors Exeter City Season 7: 3 Pressing Questions as Exeter Prepare for Season 2 in the Premier Leauge

Exeter City Season 7: 3 Pressing Questions as Exeter Prepare for Season 2 in the Premier Leauge
After Exeter City secured safety in their first-ever Premier League season, with four matches remaining, the fans' hearts, and the backroom staff's minds, all turned toward the upcoming season. Exeter's season was marked by thrilling highs (a 6-1 thrashing of West Ham, a convincing victory over Tottenham) and shocking lows (a 1-6 loss to LUTON TOWN of all teams, a pasting 1-5 by an ascendant Arsenal), but manager Andy Maher remained steady at the controls.
With the summer 2029 transfer window slammed shut and the new-look teams having played a few matches, we run the rule over the teams in the 2029-2030 Premier League. Up today, the south coast side Exeter City, the only fan-owned team in the Premier League. With the Supporter's Trust helping contribute to financial operations and the canny Julian Tagg still directing the football side of things, Exeter look to consolidate their precarious position and craft a long-term place in the top flight.
Exeter finished their season in a commendable 13th place, with an impressive attacking line that was able, sometimes, to overcome the worst defense outside of the relegation zone. Known usually for a solid backline, Exeter's players were generally exposed by the pace and attacking verve of the Premier League. Only Sonny Cox and the rest of the attack, who posted the league's 8th best scoring record, kept Exeter afloat.
https://preview.redd.it/1u8kinxnfa0d1.png?width=616&format=png&auto=webp&s=ae29e48269936f51392d1e89c08201b630a33d35
Cox, in partnership with assists co-leader Idrissa Camara, led the Premier League with a stunning 27 goal tally in 38 appearances, topping Chelsea's Nkunku by 3 goals.
As Exeter turn to the new season, we ask three pressing questions of the team and examine the answers to find out if Exeter can repeat the trick, or if their security in the top flight is merely an illusion.
Question 1: Will the defense improve?
Whether down to tactics or formation, or players themselves, Exeter's defense in the 2028-29 season was lacklustre at best. Many point to the relatively thrifty spend in 2028-29, with only Jordan Storey and Etienne Kinkoue coming through the door to bolster the ranks last season.
This season looks already off to a different start. While Exeter continue to parsimoniously clutch the purse strings, they sold some excess players and finally made a significant, record-smashing, splash in the transfer pool, this time bolstering the backline.
Exeter splashed Ā£22.5m to sign Czech Republic international star Martin Vitik away from Salernita, who escaped relegation by just a few points in Serie A. Able to offer improved wages and a competitive environment, Exeter had clearly committed to improving the defense here.
https://preview.redd.it/h7kuk06rfa0d1.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=6404ef1fdc28f0f63a70fec072fd675b08da639b
"We saw a number of transfers out early in this window, where players had not quite fit in, or even where we decided, as much as we wanted to keep the man, we needed to fund improvements across the squad," said Tagg. "Last year we saw a net spend for the first time ever, and while we are very far from the spending limits imposed by the EFL, we need to make sure we balance the books. So this was a very involved, drawn out, patient process that we were only able to conclude in late August."
In keeping with Exeter's thrifty ways, they added another option to the midfield as well. "We really felt that if we could possess the ball better, maybe use David's skill set to break up plays more, and add another player there, we might see improvements across the whole defense," said Maher in an interview. "So we managed to convince Mateusz that we were the best option for him."
https://preview.redd.it/42qm1upufa0d1.png?width=621&format=png&auto=webp&s=aa1023b98c02609d700604365462115fed2e8a45
With Kowalczyk now roving the middle of the pitch, Exeter truly have competition at the central midfield position, and have the flexibility to move some of their talented pieces around the board. "Mateusz really freed up and gave us some interesting lineup choices, and you saw that in some of these early matches where we came out and surprised people," said Maher.
The new look for Exeter's base 4-2-3-1 looks like this, with Kowalczyk pushing forward into a CAM role, while Camara plays just slightly forward of Watson, who remains in a true defensive midfielder role. Hlynsson moves wide to the left, while Clark has the right touchline to himself. The new partnership of Storey and Vitik protects the center, while young starlet Maguire has impressed at right back, and former Exeter Academy man Ben Chrisene slots into the left wingback position.
Time will tell, but early results are promising. A rocky 3-2 win over Brighton was followed with a much more competent series of performances. Pundits are optimistic that Exeter can improve last season's defensive performance, and fans can only hope that the starting line avoids serious injury.
Question 2: Can Exeter keep their stars?
A smashing season from Cox, the silky smooth midfielder Camara, wide man Bobby Clark, the revelation of young fullback Rory Maguire-- these are the main men around whom Exeter has built its team. With Cox and Camara both having played with the squad since their League One days, there's an intuitive chemistry and connection built over hundred and thousands of hours on the training ground. Meanwhile. Clark has impressed on the wing, as the former central midfielder enjoys the space to threaten opposing fullbacks with his craft.
"We had one major bid for Sonny [Cox]," revealed Tagg recently, "but it was miles still from our valuation, and this is about more than just money anyway; Sonny has told us he will stay with us as long as he can, as long as our trajectory for success matches his. We go where Sonny takes us." The bid, which remains undisclosed, was regarded by some as an attempt to pry away a future world-class leader, at a cut-rate price. One indignant fan noted, "Just because we're Exeter and a small club doesn't mean they can offer rubbish fees." With goal scoring on par with elite teams like Chelsea, some were surprised by the rumors of the fee offer. Still, a handful of commentators, looking at Exeter's profit margins and football operations, noted that Exeter take a risk in declining a major fee--even a low offer. "Ā£40, 50, 60 million? That would be huge for Exeter to take in, and then to reinvest across multiple positions of the squad," one said.
"What good is that reinvestment if you can't score in the Prem," replied Gibbons in her analysis of Exeter's roster. "Cox proved last season he could score here, that's invaluable to the team. We've seen too many failed major purchases-- even Exeter signed a player who was a bust at this level."
Exeter did lose a handful of significant players in the transfer window. Published estimates from football bloggers show that Exeter currently enjoy a small profit on sales, although this is subject to official confirmation.
Much of Exeter's reputed profit came from three sales. Moving on from failed striker Erik Botheim, Exeter unload the player and his contract to Bristol City for Ā£9.9m. Kinkoue, who never really broke through into the first team with any consistency, accepted terms with Middlesbrough.
But the shock move was relegated Crystal Palace, desperate to shore up its bid for immediate promotion, buying Ngoma for Ā£17.1m. The promising American winger showed great potential last season and was 2nd in assists for Exeter. His touch and crossing acumen helped Exeter through a challenging spring season and some thing that his departure is a significant dent in Exeter's futures.
https://preview.redd.it/u3dtrri3ga0d1.png?width=1256&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ade1c2f9d7f11b2f808252150e630f9fb2791dd
Ultimately, Exeter made few moves to bring in players, counting on a smaller number of hopefully shrewd choices to lead the way. As Gibbons notes, "There was some roster bloat last season; even with many players out on loan, Exeter carried more players than they could really find time for. This was a smart offseason to make a profit on academy graduates, while still identifying the core players who will help the team.
The season looks promising, with star man Cox already notching 4 goals in 6 appearances, while Camara and Clark both have tallied 2 goals and 1 assist each.
Gyokeres hasn't lost much of step, with 2 assists and a goal to his name.
Meanwhile, young star in the making Rory Maguire continues his run of excellent form. The young fullback had a bad day at the Carabao Cup, but has put in stellar shifts in the Premier League, and is quickly becoming one of Exeter's top choices in the back line. With his work, Exeter already have two clean sheets in the league.
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A new star is rising in the defense also, with another academy product impressing in duty. Sebastian Benson, another 20-year-old defender, has been earning minutes in the starting XI and as one of the first off the bench. The centre-back is explosive in short areas and a dominating aerial talent to win headers away from even the fiercest attackers.
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Question 3: What tactics will Exeter adopt to maximize their players?
With Gyokeres and Cox both on the field, Exeter found themselves in a surprising bind: The two forwards would either force Exeter into something like a 4-4-2, and thus push either defensive midfielder Medon Berisha or attacking midfielder Kristian Hlynsson to the substitute's bench, OR, Exeter could drop into a 5-man back line, and sacrifice the talented winger Bobby Clark to the exigencies of the formation.
Exeter usually chose the 4-4-2, and the gamble SOMETIMES worked in Exeter's favor. Analyst Beth Gibbons explains: "When Gyokeres is on the pitch with Cox, this is a dangerous and pacey attack. Gyokeres has proven adept at both holdup play where he links Cox to the midfield, and at running onto balls from the wings or from Camara, who's incredibly talented as a passer. But if Camara and [midfielder David] Watson get forward, there's nothing in front of that back four to protect against the counter, and Exeter were exposed frequently there.
But if Watson stays back to shield that line, or if Maguire doesn't track forward, Exeter were too one-dimensional, and really strong defenses absolutely stymied the attack.
Exeter have adopted a more flexible approach this year, including a surprise 5-4-1 that absolutely gobsmacked Manchester City in the early running this season.
Gibbons on the new look: "This was a real surprise, as it put Camara deeper than usual. But it was incredibly effective as it provided two defenders to cover Haaland, and freed the wing backs to come inside to help against the centre-mids, or to cover those wide wingers. Maguire's work against Foden was absolutely stellar, as he stymied the England international all match."
The lineup for the shock win over Man City
Exeter put on a defensive clinic against the champions, winning 2-0 in style, with a Cox brace to lead the team. Camara was incisive as usual, but the real hero was Watson in the middle to cut off the Manchester transition, and Maguire wide, who posted 6 successful tackles against Foden and won almost every battle on that side.
Exeter shifted onto the attack for its match against Brighton and revealed a swashbuckling 4-3-3 with a fascinating double-pivot in the midfield. "The one defensive midfielder was often over-run," said Maher in a podcast interview after the match. "So we took the usual midfield triangle and inverted it, giving us two men to break up attacks. Idrissa's so good at launching after an interception or a tackle, so we let him sit deep and orchestrate, but he has free roam of that side of the pitch, to work into space more or push forward. So he and Matty [Kowalczyk] act almost like 2 attacking mids when we had the ball, but then he comes back to defense really quickly."
Wide, Gyokeres and Clark pushed up field and menaced the fullbacks. Brighton struggled with this positioning and gave up goals to both of the wide men, while Cox facilitated with an assist and a number of key passes.
The positional flexibility has been impressive from the Grecians, and Exeter now sit 5th in the table after six matches. The most impressive stretch has come in September, with matches against Manchester City, Tottenham, and Arsenal. Most fans would have been ecstatic to come away with one draw in those 3 matches, and maybe add one point to the total from those three. Instead, Exeter took points in every one of the matches, including the clean sheets against Manchester City and Arsenal.
Recent Results
"If you told us, draws against two teams there, any fan would have taken it, right?" said Maher in the post-game press conference after the Arsenal match. "A clean sheet against Arsenal? Absolutely, you take that. But the fans have been excellent in their support, and the lads stepped up and executed against Manchester, and all of a sudden, they have this confidence to go out like they did. We fell behind against Tottenham but got the 82nd-minute equalizer because they never quit, they feel like they can go against any team."
With the 5-game unbeaten streak, Exeter have laid down a marker that they wager they'll improve on last season's finish, and they're a danger to take points from any of the usual Big Six. "We're not scared," said Idrissa Camara. "We're hungry. Everyone else should be scared."
The Verdict:
Exeter look to have improved the defense and kept the most important cogs in the attack, although there are rumors that some elite Champions League sides are eying up winger Clark. The lineups will be a man-management challenge for the coaching staff, as there are simply a few too many great midfielders to balance out--someone has to drop to the substitute's bench. If Maher and the staff can manage playing time and player expectations, this will be an exciting team to watch this season. Our prediction: 10th place.
Player notes: PC, mods include gameplay mods (Anth James), Career Realism Mod (PaulV) and homemade loan/transfecontract mods to improve free agency.
Full ruleset can be found here. Sheet 1 details general rules and principles; subsequent sheets track transfers and finances.
Finances are paramount for a small club. The first season in the Prem, we operated with a net spend in the transfer window, to bring in important players that bolster the squad. Last season was the first season (out of 6) to see this spending. Maybe I'll do a finances post soon because I find that stuff fascinating.
Randomizer for transfers; transfer targets are limited to +1 over position average, with 1 player per year allowed to be significantly beyond that. This season, we targeted a CB to improve the defense and lucked into the signing of Vitik. He was actually our 3rd choice-- there was a top-notch free agent but we lost him to Chelsea and thus we had to wait for some player sales before we could afford a move.
For transferring players at or below the team average, I use a very simple weighted randomizer that's built into my google sheets. For the players that are +2 or more beyond the team average, I use https://5ungc6-joseph-boyd.shinyapps.io/FifaDiceRoll/ crafted by another excellent member of this subreddit. It changes the probability of signings depending on how far above the average your intended signing is.
If you read this far, you're fabulous, good-looking, and intellectually gifted. Happy gaming!
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