Joanna gosling legs
Top 500 Songs Ever (Subjective)
2024.05.15 05:30 delibirdguy Top 500 Songs Ever (Subjective)
Over the course of the past few months I have been working on compiling a list of my 500 favorite songs. It was sort of challenge that I gave myself and I'm super pumped with how it turned out. There were a few rules (only 5 songs per artist being the big rule, among a few others), and here's the list I came up with. Thought it was fun, so wanted to share here and see if it might spark any discussion about song placement, lack of songs/artists, or see if anyone had any similar lists. All thoughts are welcome! (and if you don't care to comb through all 500 songs for your favorite song or artist I'm more than happy to help you track 'em down)
submitted by delibirdguy to Music [link] [comments]
- Trash Panda - Aging out of the 20th Century
- Djo - Roddy
- The Beatles - Don't Let Me Down
- Snail Mail - Heat Wave
- Phoebe Bridgers - Savior Complex
- Joji - SLOW DANCING IN THE DARK
- The Shins - The Fear
- Talking Heads - This Must Be the Place (Naive Melody)
- The Cranberries - Linger
- Post Animal - Ralphie
- Hop Along - Not Abel
- The Beach Boys - Heroes And Villains
- Electric Light Orchestra - Livin' Thing
- The Monkees - As We Go Along
- Blondie - Heart Of Glass
- The Strokes - Oblivius
- Chet Baker - It's Always You
- The Beatles - Rain
- Electric Light Orchestra - Telephone Line
- Husbands - Must Be a Cop
- Faces - Ooh La La
- The Flaming Lips - Do You Realize??
- Frank Ocean - Nights
- Harry James - It's Been a Long, Long Time
- The Turtles - Happy Together
- Etta James - At Last
- The Zombies - The Way I Feel Inside
- The Beatles - Here, There And Everywhere
- The Beach Boys - God Only Knows
- Kanye West - Father Stretch My Hands Pt. 1
- Briston Maroney - Sinkin'
- John Lennon - Oh My Love
- Herb Alpert & The Tijuana Brass - Ladyfingers
- Squirrel Flower - Headlights
- The Backseat Lovers - Maple Syrup
- The B-52's - Rock Lobster
- George Harrison - All Things Must Pass
- Snail Mail - Ben Franklin
- Laura Elliott - Grass Stains
- Djo - Chateau (Feel Alright)
- Tame Impala - Eventually
- The Backseat Lovers - Snowbank Blues
- Claude Debussy - Clair de Lune
- The Weeknd - Save Your Tears
- Talking Heads - Thank You for Sending Me an Angel
- The Zombies - Time of the Season
- The War On Drugs - Nothing to Find
- Queen - Brighton Rock
- The Dream Academy - Please, Please, Please Let Me Get What I Want
- The B-52's - Strobe Light
- The Cranberries - Dreams
- Fugees - Killing Me Softly With His Song
- Molchat Doma - Тоска
- Tyler, The Creator - ARE WE STILL FRIENDS?
- The Mamas & The Papas - Dream A Little Dream Of Me
- The Chords - Sh-Boom
- The Beatles - The Abbey Road Medley
- The Ronettes - Be My Baby
- The Who - Baba O'Riley
- Dr. Dog - Where'd All the Time Go?
- M83 - My Tears Are Becoming A Sea
- Billie Eilish - everything i wanted
- Outkast - Hey Ya!
- Nat King Cole - Orange Colored Sky
- The Notorious B.I.G. - Hypnotize
- Four Tops - Reach Out I'll Be There
- Foreign Air - Shut Up and Show Me
- Leonard Cohen - So Long, Marianne
- dodie - If I'm Being Honest
- Briston Maroney - June
- Post Malone - Sunflower
- John Lennon - Isolation
- Buddy Holly & The Crickets - Not Fade Away
- Phoebe Bridgers - I Know The End
- Kanye West - All Falls Down
- Alvvays - Adult Diversion
- John Lennon - Beautiful Boy (Darling Boy)
- Clairo - Amoeba
- The Beach Boys - I Know There's An Answer
- Paul McCartney - Let Me Roll It
- Frank Ocean - Ivy
- Radiohead - Motion Picture Soundtrack
- Djo - Mutual Future (Repeat)
- Phoebe Bridgers - Scott Street
- Childish Gambino - Me and Your Mama
- Pink Floyd - Astronomy Domine
- The Pied Pipers - Dream
- The Beach Boys - All I Wanna Do
- Djo - Change
- Второй этаж поражает - Крайности
- Little Richard - Lucille
- King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard - Shanghai
- Chet Baker - Deep In A Dream
- The Beatles - It's All Too Much
- Post Animal - Dirtpicker
- The B-52's - Love Shack
- EDEN - foreve/over
- Kanye West - Ultralight Beam
- The Zombies - Going Out Of My Head
- Talking Heads - Found a Job
- Snail Mail - Pristine
- Tom Tom Club - Genius of Love
- Tears For Fears - Everybody Wants To Rule The World
- WILLIS - I Think I Like When It Rains
- Chet Baker - But Not For Me
- Naked Eyes - Always Something There to Remind Me
- Tyler, The Creator - GONE, GONE / THANK YOU
- Djo - Half Life
- Trash Panda - Check Please
- Briston Maroney - Deep Sea Diver
- Beach Fossils - This Year
- Momma - Medicine
- Hop Along - Prior Things
- Talking Heads - Road to Nowhere
- Electric Light Orchestra - Turn to Stone
- Briston Maroney - It's Not My Fault
- Tyler, The Creator - NEW MAGIC WAND
- Snail Mail - Headlock
- Phil Collins - Take Me Home
- Gotye - Somebody That I Used To Know
- The Beach Boys - Do It Again
- Tame Impala - Breathe Deeper
- Ella Fitzgerald - Misty
- Phoebe Bridgers - Waiting Room
- Kanye West - Runaway
- Daft Punk - Get Lucky (feat. Pharrell Williams and Nile Rodgers)
- Dire Straits - Money for Nothing
- Kendrick Lamar - Alright
- Black Country, New Road - Concorde
- George Harrison - If Not for You
- Harry Styles - Cherry
- Ms. Lauryn Hill - Doo Wop (That Thing)
- Paul McCartney - Junk
- Wings - Maybe I'm Amazed [Live]
- Talking Heads - Houses in Motion
- Del Water Gap - Ode to a Conversation Stuck in Your Throat
- Pixies - Where Is My Mind?
- Queen - Seven Seas Of Rhye
- Paul McCartney - Jet
- Sufjan Stevens - Death with Dignity
- A Flock Of Seagulls - I Ran (So Far Away)
- Tame Impala - Let It Happen
- Led Zeppelin - Whole Lotta Love
- Clairo - Management
- Tommy James & The Shondells - I Think We're Alone Now
- Fergie - Clumsy
- Childish Gambino - This Is America
- Prefab Sprout - The King of Rock 'N' Roll
- Joy Again - Looking Out for You
- Beach House - Space Song
- John Lennon - Mind Games
- The Weeknd - Gasoline
- Weezer - Buddy Holly
- Phoebe Bridgers - Sidelines
- Tame Impala - New Person, Same Old Mistakes
- Lana Del Rey - A&W
- The Dillards - I've Just Seen a Face
- The Doors - Break on Through (To the Other Side)
- Julie London - I'm Glad There Is You
- 2Pac - California Love
- Dean Martin - Everybody Loves Somebody
- Snail Mail - Anytime
- The Strokes - The Adults Are Talking
- Jordana, TV Girl - Better in the Dark
- Juice WRLD - Hide (feat. Seezyn)
- The Wild Reeds - Get Better
- Finom - Mine
- Hop Along - One That Suits Me
- The Killers - Mr. Brightside
- Michael Cera - Clay Pigeons
- Clairo - Bags
- Prince - Let's Go Crazy
- The Zombies - She's Not There
- Blackstreet - No Diggity
- Frank Sinatra - I've Got You Under My Skin
- John Denver - Take Me Home, Country Roads
- Harry James - I'm Beginning to See The Light
- The Clash - London Calling
- Charles Bradley - Changes
- Buddy Holly - (Ummmm, Oh Yeah) Dearest
- Eagles - Seven Bridges Road [Live]
- Moxie - Honey
- Faces - Stay with Me
- Post Animal - How Do You Feel
- New Order - Age of Consent
- Natalie Imbruglia - Torn
- Lana Del Rey - Doin' Time
- Twin Peaks - Blue Coupe
- Kanye West - Gold Digger
- Fruit Bats - The Bottom of It
- Frank Sinatra - Somethin' Stupid
- Lorde - Perfect Places
- Martha Tilton - Exactly Like You
- King Crimson - 21st Century Schizoid Man
- Glen Campbell - Southern Nights
- Claire Rosinkranz - Frankenstein
- Guillemots - Made-Up Lovesong #43
- Fleetwood Mac - Say You Love Me
- Frankie Valli - Can't Take My Eyes off You
- The Crickets - Don't Ever Change
- Paul Anka - Put Your Head On My Shoulder
- George Harrison - Isn't It a Pity
- Trash Panda - Off
- Super Besse - Holod
- Beyoncé - Hold Up
- Charlie Burg - I Don't Wanna Be Okay Without You
- Eagles - Peaceful Easy Feeling
- Ella Fitzgerald - It's A Lovely Day Today
- PERMSKY KRAY - Дорогой Человек
- The Little Dippers - Forever
- The B-52's - There's a Moon in the Sky (Called the Moon)
- Patti Page - Old Cape Cod
- Daft Punk - Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger
- The Soggy Bottom Boys - I Am A Man Of Constant Sorrow
- Trash Panda - Things Will Never Change
- Hop Along - Well-dressed
- Sixpence None The Richer - Kiss Me
- TV Girl - Daughter of a Cop
- LAUNDRY DAY - Jane
- Tyler, The Creator - EARFQUAKE
- Sigue Sigue Sputnik - Love Missile F1-11
- Joji - Gimme Love
- The Backseat Lovers - Pool House
- The Weeknd - Take My Breath
- Mild High Club - Homage
- Doc Watson - Am I Born to Die?
- Daniel Caesar - Streetcar
- The Kinks - Sunny Afternoon
- John Lennon - #9 Dream
- Tame Impala - Elephant
- Chuck Berry - You Never Can Tell
- Pink Floyd - Wish You Were Here
- KIDS SEE GHOSTS - 4th Dimension
- Soft Cell - Tainted Love
- The B-52's - Song for a Future Generation
- Gnarls Barkley - Crazy
- Lana Del Rey - Blue Jeans
- Billie Eilish - Halley's Comet
- Glenn Miller - In the Mood
- Kid Bloom - Control
- The Cinematic Orchestra - To Build A Home
- Marvin Gaye - I Heard It Through The Grapevine
- Brenda Lee - If You Love Me (Really Love Me)
- TV Girl - Lovers Rock
- Art Lown - Knew You Well
- Dean Martin - Ain't That A Kick In The Head
- Miniature Tigers - Like or Like Like
- Electric Light Orchestra - Sweet Talkin' Woman
- The Hunts - Ages
- The Cars - Good Times Roll
- Bill Withers - Lovely Day
- Drake - God's Plan
- Kansas - Point of Know Return
- The Neighbourhood - Stargazing
- The Clash - Rock the Casbah
- Hop Along - What the Writer Meant
- Briston Maroney - Under My Skin
- Jack Stauber - Buttercup
- King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard - Ya Love
- Ginger Root - Loretta
- Thompson Twins - Hold Me Now
- Frank Ocean - Pyramids
- Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God)
- Destroy Boys - I Threw Glass at My Friend's Eyes and Now I'm on Probation
- Mild High Club - Dionysian State
- Franz Ferdinand - Take Me Out
- Kevin Abstract - Empty
- The Frights - Crust Bucket
- Stealers Wheel - Stuck In The Middle With You
- The Shins - Fighting in a Sack
- fun. - We Are Young (feat. Janelle Monáe)
- Lil Uzi Vert - Money Longer
- Miniature Tigers - Cannibal Queen
- The Doors - Touch Me
- Jean Dawson - Clear Bones
- King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard - Catching Smoke
- Molchat Doma - Люди Надоели
- The Go-Go's - Our Lips Are Sealed
- Billie Eilish - ocean eyes
- BOYO - Crown
- The 1975 - Somebody Else
- Husbands - She's a Betty
- Syd Barrett - If It's In You
- Trash Panda - Atlanta Girls
- Frank Ocean - Godspeed
- Alice Phoebe Lou - Glow
- Childish Gambino - Redbone
- New Order - Blue Monday
- Post Animal - Schedule
- Harry Styles - Fine Line
- Harry James - I'll Get By (As Long As I Have You)
- Depeche Mode - Never Let Me Down Again
- Chet Baker - I Fall In Love Too Easily
- The Cranberries - Put Me Down
- John Mayer - Edge of Desire
- George Harrison - All Those Years Ago
- Electric Light Orchestra - The Diary of Horace Wimp
- Alex Clare - Too Close
- Eric B. & Rakim - Know The Ledge
- Peter Frampton - Show Me The Way [Live]
- Simon & Garfunkel - Mrs. Robinson
- Black Eyes - Deformative
- The Righteous Brothers - Unchained Melody
- Bonny Light Horseman - Deep In Love
- The Walker Brothers - The Sun Ain't Gonna Shine Anymore
- Cage The Elephant - Cigarette Daydreams
- Hot Flash Heat Wave - Raindrop
- Clairo - Sofia
- Kendrick Lamar - PRIDE.
- Camille Saint-Saëns - The Swan
- Weezer - Say It Ain't So
- C418 - Sweden
- Lana Del Rey - Let The Light In (feat. Father John Misty)
- The Postal Service - Such Great Heights
- Pickin' On Series - Those to Come
- Lana Del Rey - Grandfather please stand on the shoulders of my father while he's deep-sea fishing (feat. RIOPY)
- John Mayer - Moving On and Getting Over
- Field Medic - POWERFUL LOVE
- Cage The Elephant - Flow
- Joji - Run
- The Who - Won't Get Fooled Again
- Boston - Peace of Mind
- Ben E. King - This Magic Moment
- David Bowie - Starman
- Beastie Boys - Sabotage
- Harry Belafonte - Banana Boat (Day-O)
- Gene Krupa & His Orchestra - Rhumboogie
- The Cardigans - Lovefool
- The Kinks - You Really Got Me
- The Zombies - She's Coming Home
- Michael Jackson - Thriller
- Moxie - Blue Skies
- The Mamas & The Papas - Straight Shooter
- Peter, Paul and Mary - Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
- Green Day - Brain Stew
- Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby)
- The Police - Roxanne
- Britney Spears - Toxic
- Tears For Fears - Head Over Heels
- Rex Orange County - Pluto Projector
- The Strokes - Call It Fate, Call It Karma
- Portugal. The Man - Feel It Still
- The Black Crowes - Twice As Hard
- Ted Nugent - Stranglehold
- fun. - Some Nights
- Wings - Silly Love Songs
- Paramore - Still into You
- Peter Frampton - Baby, I Love Your Way [Live]
- The Monkees - Last Train to Clarksville
- Royel Otis - Oysters In My Pocket
- The Backseat Lovers - Growing/Dying
- Nelly Furtado - Say It Right
- Post Animal - Goggles
- Erik Satie - Gymnopédie No. 1
- Childish Gambino - IV. Sweatpants
- Steely Dan - Dirty Work
- ABBA - Lay All Your Love On Me
- Still Woozy - Goodie Bag
- Arlo Parks - Black Dog
- Goth Babe - Weekend Friend
- George & the Handsomes - Sleepy Beats
- boygenius - 20
- The Mills Brothers - You Always Hurt The One You Love
- Travis Scott - SICKO MODE
- Pinegrove - Need 2
- The Backseat Lovers - Sinking Ship
- Franz Schubert - Ave Maria
- Zac Brown Band - Knee Deep (feat. Jimmy Buffett)
- Justin Timberlake - Mirrors
- Simon & Garfunkel - Cecilia
- The Cranberries - Zombie
- Daniel Caesar - Japanese Denim
- Billie Holiday - Easy Living
- ISLAND - By Your Side
- Phil Collins - Tomorrow Never Knows
- Bob Dylan - The Times They Are A-Changin'
- The Four Freshmen - Day By Day
- Fleetwood Mac - The Chain
- Billy Joel - Big Shot
- Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever
- Yot Club - down bad
- Rihanna - Stay
- Fleetwood Mac - Landslide
- Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky - Swan Lake, Op. 20, Act 2: No. 10, Scene. Moderato
- The White Stripes - Fell In Love With a Girl
- Alvvays - Easy On Your Own?
- Jason Isbell and the 400 Unit - If We Were Vampires
- Blackway - What's Up Danger (with Black Caviar)
- Albert Hammond - It Never Rains in Southern California
- Matt Maltese - Jupiter
- John Denver - Mother Nature's Son
- Childish Gambino - Sober
- Claire Rosinkranz - Pools and Palm Trees
- The Cars - Just What I Needed
- The Doors - Light My Fire
- Blondie - Tomorrow Never Knows
- King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard - Hell's Itch
- The Japanese House - Saw You In A Dream
- Franz Schubert - String Quartet No. 13 in A Minor, Op. 29 No. 1, D. 804
- The Drifters - White Christmas
- The 1975 - Robbers
- George Harrison - Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
- The Frights - Tongues
- Paramore - Ain't It Fun
- Billy Joel - Pressure
- Frank Sinatra - My Way
- Art Lown - Going Back to Carolina
- Bruno Mars - Just the Way You Are
- Under The Rug - Lonesome & Mad
- The Mamas & The Papas - Dedicated To The One I Love
- Foster The People - Sit Next to Me
- Weezer - Undone - The Sweater Song
- Michael Jackson - Wanna Be Startin' Somethin'
- Tia Blake - Plastic Jesus
- Los Bravos - Bring a Little Lovin'
- Lady Gaga - Bad Romance
- Minnie Riperton - Les Fleurs
- Billy Idol - Dancing with Myself
- Cody Fry - I Hear a Symphony
- Gringo Sapiens - Driver's Licence
- Vacations - Relax
- Glitter Party - time waits
- Steve Lacy - Bad Habit
- The Crystals - Then He Kissed Me
- The Pied Pipers - Mairzy Doats
- Mitski - Bug Like an Angel
- James Ray - I've Got My Mind Set On You
- Clairo - Bubble Gum
- Masayoshi Takanaka - SEXY DANCE
- Nat King Cole - (I Love You) For Sentimental Reasons
- Sleigh Bells - Crown On the Ground
- Olivia Rodrigo - favorite crime
- No Doubt - Just A Girl
- Foreigner - Long, Long Way from Home
- Heart - Crazy On You
- The Hunts - Darlin'
- David Bowie - Heroes
- Alice Phoebe Lou - Hammer
- Thee Oh Sees - Toe Cutter - Thumb Buster
- Roar - I Can't Handle Change
- TV Girl - Birds Dont Sing
- Laufey - From The Start
- Chas McDevitt Skiffle Group - Freight Train (feat. Nancy Whiskey)
- Metro Boomin - Am I Dreaming
- Liana Flores - rises the moon
- POP ETC - Speak Up
- Jean Knight - Mr. Big Stuff
- The Platters - Twilight Time
- Derek & The Dominos - Layla
- King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard - Homeless Man in Adidas
- Charlie Burg - Lovesong (The Way)
- Hot Flash Heat Wave - Gutter Girl
- ABBA - Fernando
- Mitski - My Love Mine All Mine
- Savannah Conley - More Than Fine
- Young the Giant - Mind Over Matter
- Future Crib - Yer Movin'
- Bob Dylan - Like a Rolling Stone
- benches - Violent
- Musical Youth - Pass The Dutchie
- Olivia Rodrigo - vampire
- Ryan Gosling, Emma Stone - City Of Stars
- Maya Hawke - Thérèse
- Current Joys - A Different Age
- Wayne Newton - Danke Schoen
- La Roux - Bulletproof
- Jason Segel, Walter - Man Or Muppet
- U2 - I Still Haven't Found What I'm Looking For
- The Raconteurs - Steady, As She Goes
- The Ink Spots - Into Each Life Some Rain Must Fall
- Ace of Base - The Sign
- Vulfpeck - 1612
- Nordista Freeze - Hey GiGi
- The Chainsmokers - New York City
- Suki Waterhouse - Johanna
- Pete Rodriguez - I Like It Like That
- Calvin Harris - Summer
- The Rare Occasions - Notion
- a-ha - Take on Me
- Rush - Working Man
- Traffic - Dear Mr. Fantasy
- Starbuck - Moonlight Feels Right
- Van Halen - Drop Dead Legs
- The Troggs - Wild Thing
- Led Zeppelin - Good Times Bad Times
- The Byrds - Turn! Turn! Turn! (To Everything There Is a Season)
- Cream - Sunshine Of Your Love
- Justin Timberlake - SexyBack (feat. Timbaland)
- David Bowie - Suffragette City
- Ludwig van Beethoven - Sonata No. 14 in C-Sharp Minor, Op. 27, No. 2 "Moonlight"
- Avicii - Wake Me Up
- The Who - La-La-La-Lies
- The Spinners - The Rubberband Man
- MGMT - Time to Pretend
- Hootie & The Blowfish - Only Wanna Be With You
- Sheck Wes - Mo Bamba
- Claire Rosinkranz - 123
- Ringo Starr - Photograph
- The Proclaimers - I'm Gonna Be (500 Miles)
- Duran Duran - Rio
2024.05.13 02:15 nomorelandfills No, You Beg - 2021 article from The Cut about the difficulty in adopting in the COVID era
 | Another copied article to keep in reserve. It's an odd article from the pandemic, recounting the boom in rescue adoptions. It is a fairly pointless article in that it uses some really shifty rescuers, including Pixies and Paws, as sources, brightly highlights a bioethicist who uses her own foolish adoption of two pit bull mixes as evidence that most people shouldn't own dogs, and chronicles but fails to understand the loathing rescuers have for adopters. It does, however, wonderfully illustrate how rapidly the good times ended in rescue. Anyone reading the the current "we've never been so overwhelmed with dogs" rescue laments should know that there's a link between today's problems and yesterday's reckless opportunism. submitted by nomorelandfills to PetRescueExposed [link] [comments] The "bioethicist" “I think it’s probably true that the majority of people who want to adopt a dog should not,” Jessica Pierce, a bioethicist who studies human-animal relationships, tells me. “They don’t have the wherewithal and don’t have what they need to give the animal a good life.” She herself ended up with two pets that didn’t get along at all — a herding mix and a pointer mix whose constant fighting made the idea of hosting a dinner party both perhaps “bloody” and definitely “scary and miserable.” She says shelters shouldn’t “drive away potentially loving and appropriate adopters because they don’t meet predetermined criteria,” but she also sees the importance of a thorough application process that prepares humans for the pitfalls of pet parenthood. “You need to be ready to have a dog who doesn’t like people very much,” says Pierce. When Bella, the 11-year-old she got from the Humane Society, dies, she’s not sure she will get a replacement, noting that the pandemic puppy boom is “driven by a reflection of human narcissism and neurosis.” However, this is a fantastic truth long overdue for the telling. “I started to talk to shelter leaders across the country,” Cushing says. “And one by one, they said any adoptable dog without a medical issue is gone by noon on Saturday. But the public didn’t know that. Only the dog seekers and the experts did.” https://preview.redd.it/v2owlquz230d1.png?width=1139&format=png&auto=webp&s=a95a7983b4f018f043125a0819a16941cec1e6aa Jack, adopted by Tori and Paris through In Our Hands Rescue. It was a rainy Sunday in June, and Danielle had fallen in love. The 23-year-old paralegal spent the first part of her afternoon in McCarren Park, envying the happy dog owners with their furry companions. Then she stumbled upon an adoption event in a North Brooklyn beer garden, where a beagle mix being paraded out of the rescue van reminded her of the dog she grew up with, Snickers. It all felt like fate, so she filled out an application on the spot. She was then joined by her best friend and roommate, Alexa, in sitting across from a serious-looking young woman with a ponytail who was searching for a reason to break her heart. Danielle and Alexa were confident they would be leaving with Millie that day: After all, they had a 1,000-square-foot apartment within blocks of McCarren and full-time employment with the ability to work from home for the foreseeable future. But the volunteer kept posing questions that they hadn’t prepared for. What if they stopped living together? What if Danielle’s girlfriend’s collie mix didn’t get along with her new family member? What would be the solution if the dog needed expensive training for behavioral issues? Which vet were they planning to use? All of which, upon reflection, were reasonable questions. But when it came to the diet they planned for the dog, they realized they were out of their depth. Danielle recalled that Snickers had lived to 16 and a half on a diet of Blue Buffalo Wilderness, the most expensive stuff that was available at her parents’ Bay Area pet store. “Would you want to live on the best version of Lean Cuisine for the rest of your life?” sniffed the volunteer with a frown. She would instead recommend a small-batch, raw-food brand that cost, when they looked it up later, up to $240 a bag. “If you were approved, you’d need to get the necessary supplies and take time off from work starting now,” the dog gatekeeper said. “And the first 120 days would be considered a trial period, meaning we would reserve the right to take your dog back at any time.” The would-be adopters nodded solemnly. The friends rose from the bench and thanked the volunteer for her time. Believing they were out of earshot, the volunteer summed up the interview to a colleague: “You just walked by, and you’re fixated on this one dog, and it’s because you had a beagle growing up, but you want to make your roommate the legal adopter?” When Danielle and Alexa were young, one could still show up at a shelter, pick out an unhoused dog that just wanted to have someone to love, and take it home that same day. Today, much of the process has moved online — to Petfinder, a.k.a. Tinder for dogs, and various animal-shelter Instagram accounts that send cute puppy pics with heartrending stories of need into your feed and compel you to fill out an adoption application as you sit on the toilet. Posts describing the dogs drip with euphemisms: A dog that might freak out and tear your house up if left alone is a “Velcro dog”; one that might knock down your children is “overly exuberant”; a skittish, neglected dog with trust issues is just a “shy party girl.” Certain shelters have become influencers in their own right, like the L.A.-based Labelle Foundation, which has almost 250,000 Instagram followers and counts Dua Lipa and Cara Delevingne among its A-list clients. Rescue agencies abound, many with missions so specific that you could theoretically find one that deals in any niche breed you desire, from affenpinschers to Yorkshire terriers. This deluge of rescue-puppy content has arrived, not coincidentally, during a time of growing awareness of puppy mills as so morally indefensible that even Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could draw fire for seemingly buying a purebred French bulldog in early 2020. Then came the pandemic puppy boom, a lonely, claustrophobic year in which thousands of white-collar workers, sitting at home scrolling through their phones, seemed simultaneously to decide they were finally ready to adopt a dog. The corresponding demand spike in certain markets has simply overwhelmed the agencies: New York shelters that were used to receiving 20 applications a week were now receiving hundreds, with as many as 50 people vying for a single pup. The rescue dog is now, indisputably, a luxury good, without a market pricing system at work to manage demand. A better analogy might be an Ivy League admissions office. But even Harvard isn’t forced to be as picky as, say, Korean K9 Rescue, whose average monthly applications tripled in 2020. And yet someone has to pick the winners — often an unpaid millennial Miss Hannigan doling out a precious number of wet-nosed Orphan Annies to wannabe Daddy Warbuckses and thus empowered to judge the intentions and poop-scooping abilities of otherwise accomplished urban professionals, some of whom actually did go to Harvard. This has led to some hard feelings. Every once in a while, someone will complain on Twitter about being rejected by a rescue agency, and it will reliably set off a cascade of attacks on “entitled rich white millennials assuming they can have whatever they want,” followed by counter-attacks on those who “appoint themselves the holy sainted guardian of all animals.” Danielle was ultimately deemed unworthy, not even receiving a generic rejection letter over email. After all, there isn’t really that much incentive for the rescue agencies to be polite these days. The modern animal-rescue movement grew alongside the child-welfare movement in the mid-19th century. It got another boost in the years following World War II, when Americans were moving out to the suburbs in droves, according to Stephen Zawistowski, a professor of animal behavior at Hunter College. Suddenly, there were highways, yards, and space. Walt Disney was making movies about children and dogs that promoted the idea that no new home was complete without a loyal animal companion. (Zawistowski said that one might call this the Old Yeller Effect, but there were various riffs on the same theme over the ensuing decades. Essentially, Flipper was “Let’s put Lassie in the water.”) In the early ’80s, University of Pennsylvania researchers confirmed the effects that animal companionship has on everything from blood pressure to heart conditions to anxiety. Pets were no longer just how you taught Junior to be responsible; they might be critical to maintaining adults’ physical and mental health. The way people spoke about animals started changing. The idea that “homeless” dogs were sent to the “pound” because they were “bad” went out of fashion. “Suddenly, you had ‘rescue’ dogs brightly lit in the mall,” says Ed Sayres, a former president of the ASPCA who now works as a pet-industry consultant. “Basically, we gave animals a promotion.” Meanwhile, in the late ’80s, spay and neuter procedures had been streamlined and were being recommended by vets as well as by Bob Barker on The Price Is Right. Then came The Ad. Released in 2007, it featured close-ups of three-legged dogs and one-eyed cats rescued by the ASPCA over a wrenching rendition of Sarah McLachlan’s “Angel.” The commercial warned that “for hundreds of others, help came too late.” In just a year, the ad raised 60 percent of the ASPCA’s annual $50 million budget. The organization was reportedly able to increase the grant money it gave to other animal-welfare organizations by 900 percent in ten years. It is difficult to overstate the emotional hangover The Ad inflicted on millennials and members of Gen Z. Janet M. Davis is a historian at the University of Texas at Austin, where she lectures on animal rights to a demographically diverse body of students — everyone from cattle ranchers to vegan punks — most of whom cry when she shows The Ad in class. “It absolutely brings down the house,” she says. “Every time.” Theoretically, the point of dog adoption is that there are more dogs born into the world than there are humans lined up to care for them. But as interest grew, the supply problem became less acute. Thanks to widespread spay and neuter policies, there are simply too few unwanted litters for what the adoption market wants. National chains like PetSmart partnered with local shelters to supply its animals for sale. Savvy rescues in dog deserts like New York hooked up with shelters in the Deep South, where cultural attitudes toward spaying and neutering pets are much more lax. While there is no official registry of how many shelter dogs are available in the U.S., in 2017, researchers at the College of Veterinary Medicine for Mississippi State University published a study reporting that the availability of dogs in animal shelters was at an all-time low. “That is,” says Sayres, “an environment that leads to a kind of irrational, competitive behavior.” The rescue mutt had become not just a virtue signal but a virtue test. Who was a good enough human being to deserve a dog in need of rescuing? Heather remembers the old easy days. “I went on Craigslist and an hour later, I had a puggle,” she says of her first dog-getting experience with her boyfriend in college. George the puggle humped everything in sight, shed everywhere, and chewed through furniture until the end of his life, but she loved him all the same. Flash-forward 16 years: She and that boyfriend are married, have two kids, and can’t seem to get a new dog no matter what they try. Yes, she could find a breeder easily online (currently for sale on Craigslist: a Yorkie-poo puppy from a breeder asking $350 and just a few screening questions). But instead, in the middle of the pandemic, “I was sending ten to 12 emails a night and willing to travel anywhere, and no one would give us any sort of animal,” she remembers. Shelters would send snappy emails about how her family wasn’t suited for a puppy, even though they made good money and had clearly cared for their dearly departed George — they once drove three hours to get the dog a specially made knee brace. “I was trying to be really up front with people and would say that my daughter has autism and that I have a 3-year-old, and they would say no. It felt like they were saying, ‘We don’t give dogs to people who have disabilities.’ ” It didn’t matter what kind of dog she applied for — older, younger, bigger, smaller — there was always an official-sounding excuse as to why her family wasn’t suitable. (“Pups this age bite and jump and scratch and while they are cute to look at, they are worse than a bratty ADHD toddler, without diapers,” one rescue wrote. “Sorry.”) She considered looking at emotional-support animals that work specifically with autistic youth but found out they could cost 18 grand and require a two-year waiting period. She couldn’t stomach the idea of setting up a GoFundMe, as other people in the community had. “It got to the point of me wondering, Okay, so what dogs do children get?” she recalls. “I always thought that dogs and children go together.” By the fall of 2020, Heather had turned back to breeders. “People get a little spicy when you say you paid for a dog. You want to scream that you tried your hardest, but it wasn’t possible,” she says. Others, like Zainab, figured out ways to work the system. She blanketed agencies with applications in the early months of the pandemic, applying for 60 dogs. (The ease of applying online might also explain the statistics.) She thought the fact that she had a leadership role in public education would demonstrate that she was both successful and nurturing. “I’m a professional, I make good money, and I have a master’s degree,” she tells me. She was rejected all the same. Finally, a co-worker suggested Zainab make a résumé in order to stand out. The multipage document — which features testimonials from high-powered friends, including local elected officials — is what got her an exclusive meeting with Penny the pug in a parking lot. She was handed over with a leash tied around her neck and vomited in the front seat of Zainab’s car about three blocks later. Success! Or take Lauren, who’d had dogs all her life and found living solo during COVID lonely. “You can’t be without an animal at this particular time,” she told herself. So she started applying for dogs on Petfinder and boutique-rescue websites. “I would look up at my clock, and it would be two in the morning,” she says. Her hopes were high when she got a meeting with a Chihuahua mix in the suburbs named Mary Shelley. Lauren thought the meeting went well, but it ultimately didn’t result in the interviewer granting the adoption. “Then I was in conspiracy-theory mode, thinking she doesn’t like gay people, or single people, or people who live in the city,” she says. “It was a crazy-making experience. It’s a pandemic, so your world is already turned upside down, but I became psychotic. “The people who run rescue organizations — this was their moment to shine,” she adds. “Even though they were totally bogged down with requests, they got to feel the power. They got to make someone’s dreams come true or smash them to the ground.” The inquiries can get extremely personal. “I found the questions very offensive,” says Joanna, a Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center nurse who tried to adopt last year with her architect husband. “I was like, ‘What does this have to do with getting a dog?’ ” Her husband didn’t even want to put the thought out into the universe, but he was forced to admit that he’d probably be the one to take a shared pet in the event of a divorce. The two also had to grapple with what would happen if one or both of them died of COVID during the pandemic. And would both of them be able to take three days off at a moment’s notice to help the dog acclimate to its new home? “I was frank with her and said, ‘I take care of cancer patients,’ ” says Joanna. “She was very unsatisfied with our answer.” “The more popular the rescue is on the internet, the more clout they have,” says Molly, a writer in New York. “If you have a really good social-media presence, you can throw your weight around.” (The clout goes both ways: Posting about your rescue dog on Instagram is an indirect way of broadcasting that someone out there deemed you morally worthy enough to be chosen.) She inquired about eight dogs in six weeks from about five different rescues, only to be continually rejected. She finally got an interview with a rescue agency whose cute dogs she had seen on social media. They asked to tour her apartment over Zoom. Fine. They asked for her references. Great. But then they asked if she would pay for an expensive trainer. She asked if she could wait — not only was it during the height of COVID, but the cost of the sessions with the trainer could be close to $1,000. The person she was dealing with said over email that dogs were investments and suggested she look elsewhere. “I was like, This is so Brooklyn,” she says. Still, others wished the warning about trainers had been more explicit. At the height of the pandemic, Steven remembers scrolling through social-media post after social-media post saying things like “URGENT: NEED TO FIND THIS GUY A HOME” while “picturing this dog on a conveyor belt going toward this whirring saw. And meanwhile I am screaming at my phone, ‘I applied and you turned me down!’ ” But after securing a dog, he came to believe the process, while tough on the human applicants, wasn’t tough enough when it came to the dog’s needs. Right off the bat, Cooper was very hyper and mouthy when playing. “We were doing the thing that everyone does, like, posting pics: ‘We’re at the park, isn’t this fun, hahaha,’ ” he says. But the reality was much less Instagram-worthy. Cooper became difficult to handle, especially in a small New York apartment; mouthiness escalated to gnashing his teeth and guarding food. “It’s embarrassing, and I hate having to tell people we had to give the dog back,” he says. (So much so that Steven requested a pseudonym for himself and for Cooper.) “To be frank, the experience we had with the dog was pretty traumatic. If this volunteer had felt so powerful, I wish that they had said we wouldn’t be able to handle this dog.” Although Steven’sInstagram is replete with photos of other friends’ dogs, evidence of Cooper’s existence has disappeared from the account. The rescue-dog demand has also been stressful for the overwhelmed (and overwhelmingly volunteer) workforce that keeps the supply chain running. On a recent Saturday, Jason was speeding toward JFK airport in a windowless white van covered in graffiti. Though he was on his way to help rescue dogs, he is the first to admit he’s not the biggest fan of the animals. “I just need something to do,” he says. “I was going crazy sitting around the house.” His friend, who was employed at a rescue, recommended him for an unpaid gig. Prior to the pandemic, he managed an Off Broadway play in the city. The 34-year-old, who is athletically built with a shaved head, has a compulsive need to be coordinating a production, and getting dogs to New York City from a different continent is definitely that. Many of the city’s rescue dogs come from other parts of the world these days, brought over by volunteers who take them through a complicated Customs process. This is part of what Pet Nation author Mark Cushing calls the “canine freedom train.” A former corporate trial attorney, Cushing had thought that American shelters were filled with dogs with a figurative hatchet outside their kennel; that was until his daughter, a shelter volunteer, said that, in fact, scores of people were lined up around the block every weekend in hopes of adopting a handful of dogs. “I started to talk to shelter leaders across the country,” Cushing says. “And one by one, they said any adoptable dog without a medical issue is gone by noon on Saturday. But the public didn’t know that. Only the dog seekers and the experts did.” Jason waited in arrivals, ready to stop anyone who walked by with dog crates. When he saw some, he swooped in. It turned out that he had ended up with an extra animal — one that was yowling like it needed to get out and pee. He couldn’t figure out to whom it belonged, and after about 40 minutes of drama in the pickup area, two large men jumped out of a truck with out-of-state plates. They handed Jason $20 before he knew what was happening, loaded the dog into their Silverado, and sped off toward North Carolina. It was unclear if they were adopters themselves or worked for a shelter. With that out of the way, Jason tried to carefully maneuver a luggage cart full of the remaining dog crates to the lot where he was parked. When one fell, the animal inside didn’t make a sound, presumably zonked from its long journey across the ocean. More volunteers were waiting at the shelter with food, water, and an enormous number of puppy pads when he arrived. After the animals decompressed from their long flight, they would be taken to an adoption event, where they would hopefully meet their new humans. Emily Wells hasn’t taken a vacation in years. She works full time on Wall Street but is also the coordinator for Pixies & Paws Rescue — a job that she does in between calls and meetings and emails. That means responding to DMs on Instagram about available dogs, attending adoption events on weekends, and getting on the phone with a vet at 10 p.m. because one of her fosters got sick. That also means screening applications, which more than doubled during the height of the pandemic. Typically, she denies about one-third. This part of her job might not be the most physically demanding, but it does take a psychic toll. “What I’ve found is a lot of people are very entitled,” she says. “They send nasty emails. I’ve been called every name in the book. But there are reasons we deny. We are entrusted with placing a living, breathing thing in someone’s home for the rest of its life.” She wishes people would understand that the rescue is just her and one other person trying their best to deal with off-the-charts levels of demand. “I know rescues that don’t even reply,” she says. “So the fact that we do and still get shit for that is annoying.” And explaining why someone was rejected can create its own problems: What if they use that information to fib on their next application? Rescues like Wells’s are largely dependent on foster parents to house the dogs they import. Foster-to-adopt is one way that people adopt pets, a means of testing out compatibility and increasing one’s chances of adopting in a hypercompetitive city. But demand for dogs was so high last year that even proven volunteers couldn’t get their hands on a foster. Take Suchita, an animal lover who moved from India to New Jersey for her husband’s VP job with a big bank in 2019. Unable to work owing to visa issues, she became a prolific dog fosterer for a rescue in Queens. She also worked with a program that pairs volunteers with elderly animal owners who need help taking their pets out on walks. That program was suspended during COVID, which left Suchita desperate for more dog time. Figuring that online volunteer work might fill the void, she started helping another organization wade through its massive backlog of applications by calling references. She offered to foster more dogs but didn’t hear back, nor did her attempts to adopt pan out. When she went ahead and adopted Sasha, a Pomeranian, through another rescue agency, the first organization was not happy. “After I posted Sasha on Instagram, they called me saying it was a conflict of interest to have worked with another agency,” Suchita says. “I was not at all prepared for that. Then they unfollowed me. It really hurt, but no hard feelings.” She is humbly aware of the fact that in New York, there is always someone who has a nicer apartment, a better job, and more experience than you. If everything else is equal, why shouldn’t a shelter try to give a dog to someone who can afford to give it the best life possible? “They don’t treat humans nicely, but at least they treat dogs nicely,” she says. In some corners of the rescue world, a reckoning is taking place. Rachael Ziering, the executive director of Muddy Paws Rescue, which found homes for around 1,000 dogs last year, got her start volunteering at other nonprofits whose adoption processes she found abhorrent. She saw, for instance, people look at adoption applications and say, “Oh, that’s a terrible Zip Code. I’m not adopting to them.” Or they would judge people based on their appearance. “I know a lot of groups that will ask for your firstborn along with your application,” she says. “I think it’s well intentioned, but I think it just took a turn at some point. It’s morphed into sort of an unhealthy view that no one’s ever gonna be good enough. Nobody’s ever perfect — the dog or the person.” Muddy Paws is instead embracing what is known as “open adoption,” a philosophy that allows for rescue volunteers to be more open-minded about what a good dog home might look like. It has started gaining traction among groups like the ASPCA in recent years, in part because the organization’s current president was denied a dog — twice. Instead of rejecting applicants outright based on their giving the “wrong” answers, Ziering’s team speaks with hopeful dog owners at length, learning about their lifestyles and histories to match them with the pet best for their family. Still, even a more inclusive philosophy toward profiling adoption applicants comes up against the intractable math: There are only so many dogs that need homes. Though Muddy Paws rejects less than one percent of applicants, some decide to adopt elsewhere if it means getting a dog faster. Is any of this good for the dogs? Depends on whom you ask. If the intense questions involved in securing the dog cause someone to reflect before making a decision they’ll regret — sure. Others note that the average dog’s life span has hovered around 11 years for decades. “I think it’s probably true that the majority of people who want to adopt a dog should not,” Jessica Pierce, a bioethicist who studies human-animal relationships, tells me. “They don’t have the wherewithal and don’t have what they need to give the animal a good life.” She herself ended up with two pets that didn’t get along at all — a herding mix and a pointer mix whose constant fighting made the idea of hosting a dinner party both perhaps “bloody” and definitely “scary and miserable.” She says shelters shouldn’t “drive away potentially loving and appropriate adopters because they don’t meet predetermined criteria,” but she also sees the importance of a thorough application process that prepares humans for the pitfalls of pet parenthood. “You need to be ready to have a dog who doesn’t like people very much,” says Pierce. When Bella, the 11-year-old she got from the Humane Society, dies, she’s not sure she will get a replacement, noting that the pandemic puppy boom is “driven by a reflection of human narcissism and neurosis.” “A lot of this is driven by Instagram,” she says. “We have this expectation that dogs are not really dogs; they’re toys or fashion accessories.” I’m not pushing you, but it seems like you want to bring him home,” the Badass Animal Rescue volunteer said with the controlled energy of a used-car salesperson. Bill and Sherrie, a middle-aged couple who had lost their English bulldog three years ago, were looking for a replacement. The dog with a bright-red boner jumped on Bill, and everyone pretended not to notice. “He definitely has energy,” Bill said brightly. The couple were on the fence, and the volunteer could sense the close slipping away. Although this organization saw applications rise 200 percent during the pandemic, things are now recalibrating back to normalcy. We are, it seems, witnessing the cooling of the puppy boom. The unbearable loneliness of the pandemic has abated, replaced with anxiety about how to possibly do all the things all of us used to do every day. New Yorkers are being summoned back to the office or planning vacations. Many young professionals are finding that, when given the option between scrolling through rescue websites until 2 a.m. or doing drunken karaoke in a room full of friends, Dog Tinder is losing its appeal. Local shelters are seeing application numbers slip — many say they have returned to pre-COVID levels — which, in turn, has made it slightly more of an adopter’s market. Bill and Sherrie went to the hallway to talk it over. He was definitely a puller like their old dog, Xena. And he was also a hell of a shedder. The volunteer kept talking about something called a “love match,” but was this really one? “We’re just gonna need a little more time,” Sherrie confessed when they came back inside. No one was making eye contact. As they prepared to leave, the dog jumped up on Bill again, his tongue flopping sideways and his wagging tail spraying white fur. He was clearly not aware that the tenor of the room had shifted. “We might be back,” Bill said with an obvious twinge of guilt. “Don’t worry!” We will probably look back on the class of pandemic dogs adopted in 2020 as the most desirable unwanted dogs of all time — the ultimate market-scarcity score for a slice of virtuous, privileged New York City. People like Danielle will see them paraded around places like McCarren Park, the living, breathing trophies for self-satisfied owners who made it through the gauntlet. At least for the next 11 years or so. |
2024.05.12 22:32 bestassinthewest Shattering「Reflections」of You
Stand Name: 「Reflections」 Namesake: Reflections by MisterWives Stand User: Joanna Joestar
Appearance: 「Reflections」is a feminine, light purple and orange, humanoid stand with a notable muscular figure. Translucent white bandage patterns run up its arms and legs to the elbows and knees respectively. It wears black shades and a rainbow facemask and has white shoulder pads. Its entire body is lined with silver studding.
Stats: Strength: D (Ability: B) Speed: A Range: C Durability: C Precision: A Potential: A
Main Ability: Color Destruction. By introducing something to something else of the same color,「Reflections」can inflict massive amounts of damage, usually destroying the target. This is usually accomplished by attacking with spray paint or throwing crayons. The destruction is powerful enough to to shatter walls or severely wound people. It starts from the point of contact outwards.
Evolved Ability: Color Stacking. Activated by punching something with its arms, 「Reflections」can gradually imbue an object all colors, taking about 5 punches to fill something like a shirt, or 20 punches for something like a car. The object then becomes a volatile rainbow of colors, that will eventually destroy itself. The only way to stop it is to leave the range of 「Reflections」.
The User: Joanna Joestar is a high schooler who's described her life as being 'colorless' ever since her father and sister were killed 2 years ago by a mysterious man after her mother. Ever since, she's been able to properly get past their deaths. On top of that, her mother has refused to tell her why the murderer was after her, leaving her unable to reconcile. She's turned to skipping school and general delinquency ever since.
If this wins, I'd like the next theme to be stands that are accessories.
submitted by bestassinthewest to fanStands [link] [comments]
Appearance: 「Reflections」is a feminine, light purple and orange, humanoid stand with a notable muscular figure. Translucent white bandage patterns run up its arms and legs to the elbows and knees respectively. It wears black shades and a rainbow facemask and has white shoulder pads. Its entire body is lined with silver studding.
Stats: Strength: D (Ability: B) Speed: A Range: C Durability: C Precision: A Potential: A
Main Ability: Color Destruction. By introducing something to something else of the same color,「Reflections」can inflict massive amounts of damage, usually destroying the target. This is usually accomplished by attacking with spray paint or throwing crayons. The destruction is powerful enough to to shatter walls or severely wound people. It starts from the point of contact outwards.
Evolved Ability: Color Stacking. Activated by punching something with its arms, 「Reflections」can gradually imbue an object all colors, taking about 5 punches to fill something like a shirt, or 20 punches for something like a car. The object then becomes a volatile rainbow of colors, that will eventually destroy itself. The only way to stop it is to leave the range of 「Reflections」.
The User: Joanna Joestar is a high schooler who's described her life as being 'colorless' ever since her father and sister were killed 2 years ago by a mysterious man after her mother. Ever since, she's been able to properly get past their deaths. On top of that, her mother has refused to tell her why the murderer was after her, leaving her unable to reconcile. She's turned to skipping school and general delinquency ever since.
If this wins, I'd like the next theme to be stands that are accessories.
2024.05.11 21:13 SanderSo47 Directors at the Box Office: Wes Craven
 | https://preview.redd.it/5jhcjegtjuzc1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=71a26f361e87730152e07e12f1bc76322db0b023 submitted by SanderSo47 to boxoffice [link] [comments] Here's a new edition of "Directors at the Box Office", which seeks to explore the directors' trajectory at the box office and analyze their hits and bombs. I already talked about a few, and as I promised, it's Wes Craven's turn. Craven earned a master's degree in philosophy and writing from Johns Hopkins University. He subsequently bought a 16mm film camera and began making short movies. His friend Steve Chapin informed him of a messenger position at a New York City film production co, where his brother, future folk-rock star Harry Chapin worked. He started in the industry as a sound editor, before transitioning as a porn director. He said he made "many hardcore X-rated films" under pseudonyms. And then he transitioned into directing for the big screen. From a box office perspective, how reliable was he to deliver a box office hit? That's the point of this post. To analyze his career. It should be noted that as he started his career in the 1970s, some of the domestic grosses here will be adjusted by inflation. The table with his highest grossing films, however, will be left in its unadjusted form, as the worldwide grosses are more difficult to adjust.The Last House on the Left (1972)"Mari, seventeen, is dying. Even for her, the worst is yet to come."His directorial debut. The film stars Sandra Peabody, Lucy Grantham, David Hess, Fred J. Lincoln, Jeramie Rain, and Marc Sheffler. The plot follows Mari Collingwood, a teenager who is abducted, raped, and tortured by a family of violent fugitives led by Krug Stillo on her seventeenth birthday. When her parents discover what happened to her, they seek vengeance against the family, who have taken shelter at their home. Craven, who had no money at the time, was put on the job of synchronizing dailies for Sean S. Cunningham's Together. They became friends, and Hallmark Releasing gave them $90,000 to make another film. Craven considered a hardcore film, but decided to tone it down a bit. The idea for this film came from Ingmar Bergman's The Virgin Spring, and Craven wanted to make a film in which the violence would be shown in detail onscreen, as he felt that many popular films of the era, such as Westerns, glamorized violence and the "vigilante hero", and gave the public a misleading representation of death in the wake of the Vietnam War. The film attracted negative media attention for its heavy graphic content, and there were calls for some theaters to drop the film. But you know, bad buzz is still buzz and that translated to a pretty good run in theaters, earning up to $3 million in its initial run. Even to this day, the film is polarizing due to its violence and themes. But Craven just made his name well known.
The Hills Have Eyes (1977)"A nice American family. They didn't want to kill. But they didn't want to die."His second film. The film stars Susan Lanier, Michael Berryman and Dee Wallace. The film follows the Carters, a suburban family targeted by a family of cannibal savages after becoming stranded in the Nevada desert. Craven wanted to make a non-horror, but he found that his investors only wanted films with graphic content. At the New York Public Library, Craven checked the library's forensics department, and learned of the legend of Sawney Bean - the alleged head of a 48-person Scottish clan responsible for the murder and cannibalization of more than one thousand people. He drew influences from this, The Texas Chain Saw Massacre and The Grapes of Wrath. Craven also had to cut a lot of scenes to avoid getting an X rating. The film once again drew negative attention for its violence. But it made over $25 million at the box office, which was an even bigger success than House. It subsequently earned a cult following.
Deadly Blessing (1981)"Pray you're not blessed."His third film. It stars Ernest Borgnine, Maren Jensen, Susan Buckner, and Sharon Stone, and tells the story of a strange figure committing murder in a contemporary community that is not far from another community that believes in ancient evil and curses. It received negative reviews, but it was another box office success for Craven.
Swamp Thing (1982)"Science transformed him into a monster. Love changed him even more!"His fourth film. Based on the DC Comics character created by Len Wein and Bernie Wrightson, it stars Louis Jourdan and Adrienne Barbeau. It tells the story of scientist Alec Holland who is transformed into the monster known as Swamp Thing through laboratory sabotage orchestrated by the evil Anton Arcane. Later, he helps a woman named Alice Cable and battles the man responsible for it all, the ruthless Arcane. The film made $2.5 million domestically, despite mixed reviews.
A Nightmare on Elm Street (1984)"If Nancy doesn't wake up screaming, she won't wake up at all."His fifth film. It stars Heather Langenkamp, John Saxon, Ronee Blakley, Johnny Depp, and Robert Englund. The film's plot concerns a group of teenagers who are targeted by Freddy Krueger, an undead child killer who can murder people through their dreams, as retribution against their parents who burned him alive. The film was inspired by several newspaper articles printed in the Los Angeles Times in the 1970s about Hmong refugees, who, after fleeing to the United States because of war and genocide in Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam, suffered disturbing nightmares and refused to sleep. Some of the men died in their sleep soon after. This, along with the song "Dream Weaver" by Gary Wright, motivated Craven to craft a horror film focused on people dying through their sleep. The film's villain, Freddy Krueger, is drawn from Craven's early life. One night, a young Craven saw an elderly man walking on the sidepath outside the window of his home. The man stopped to glance at a startled Craven and walked off. This served as the inspiration for Krueger. Initially, Fred Krueger was intended to be a child molester, but Craven eventually characterized him as a child murderer to avoid being accused of exploiting a spate of highly publicized child molestation cases that occurred in California around the time of the film's production. He settled on the name Freddy Krueger, which was based on a childhood bully of his. The process of writing the film went smoothly, the real problem was finding a studio. Craven sent it to most studios, and all rejected it. The first studio to show interest was Disney, but Craven declined their offer as they wanted a more toned-down kid-friendly PG-13 flick. When Paramount and Universal also turned it down, Craven decided to go to the independent studio New Line Cinema. The studio only distributed films, but they agreed in financing the film. As they lacked the financial resources for the production, New Line had to turn to external financiers. Despite opening in just 165 theaters, the film earned $1.2 million in its opening weekend, making it clear that it would be an immediate box office success. It eventually closed with $25 million domestically, and $57 million worldwide. It received critical acclaim, and has been referred as one of the best and most influential slashers ever made. Freddy Krueger would soon be hailed as one of the most emblematic figures of horror, and Craven quickly earned a reputation as a horror legend. But most importantly, it was the beginning of New Line Cinema as a studio, which is why it's referred as "the house that Freddy built." The film would later spawn a franchise, although Craven wouldn't direct any of the "sequels." Why the quotation marks? We'll get to that later on.
The Hills Have Eyes Part II (1985)"So you think you're lucky to be alive."His sixth film. The sequel to The Hills Have Eyes, it stars Tamara Stafford, Kevin Spirtas, John Bloom, Michael Berryman, Penny Johnson, Janus Blythe, John Laughlin, Willard E. Pugh, Peter Frechette and Robert Houston. It follows a group of bikers who become stranded in the desert and find themselves fighting off a family of inbred cannibals who live off the land. The film was shot on a very low budget, and it simply ended prematurely because they ran out of funds. There are no box office numbers available, but it received awful reviews. Deadly Friend (1986)"There's no one alive who'll play with the girl next door."His seventh film. Based on the novel Friend by Diana Henstell, it stars Matthew Laborteaux, Kristy Swanson, Michael Sharrett, Anne Twomey, Richard Marcus, and Anne Ramsey. Its plot follows a teenage computer prodigy who implants a robot's processor into the brain of his teenage neighbor after she is pronounced brain dead; the experiment proves successful, but she swiftly begins a killing spree in their neighborhood. Craven wanted to make a PG-rated science fiction film, with a similar tone to Starman, hoping to prove that he could make something that wasn't horror-themed. An unfinished version of the film was screened to a test audience of Craven's fanbase, and it was poorly received for its lack of violence and gore like his previous films. So WB decided to rewrite the film, adding more scenes with tons of gore. This made the final film appear tonally jumbled, and it went from easy PG to struggling to not get an X rating. The film was poorly received for its story and inconsistent tone. It also marked a huge flop at the box office, not even hitting $10 million. Craven lost interest in the film after WB inserted their own version, and he has since disowned the film.
The Serpent and the Rainbow (1988)"Don't bury me, I'm not dead!"His eighth film. It stars Bill Pullman, and is loosely based on the life of ethnobotanist Wade Davis, recounting his experiences in Haiti investigating the story of Clairvius Narcisse, who was allegedly poisoned, buried alive, and revived with a herbal brew which produced what was called a zombie. The film received mixed reactions, but it was a much needed box office success for Craven.
Shocker (1989)"No more Mr. Nice Guy."His ninth film. It stars Michael Murphy, Peter Berg, Cami Cooper, and Mitch Pileggi, and follows a serial killer who uses electricity to come back from the dead and carry out his vengeance on the football player who turned him in to the police. Another mixed bag for Craven, but it was still profitable.
The People Under the Stairs (1991)"In every neighborhood, there's one house that adults whisper about and children cross the street to avoid."His tenth film. It stars Brandon Adams, Everett McGill, Wendy Robie, and A. J. Langer. The plot follows a young boy and two adult robbers who become trapped in a house belonging to a neighborhood's crooked landlords after breaking in to steal their collection of gold coins as the boy learns a dark secret about them and what also lurks in their house. After a slate of mixed performers, the film received Craven's best reviews since Elm Street. To the surprise of Universal, it was also a box office success.
Wes Craven's New Nightmare (1994)"This time, the terror doesn't stop at the screen."His 11th film. The installment in the A Nightmare on Elm Street franchise, it stars Robert Englund, Heather Langenkamp, Miko Hughes and John Saxon. The film is not part of the same continuity as previous films, and it portrays Freddy Krueger as a fictional movie villain who invades the real world and haunts the cast and crew involved in the making of the films about him. While Craven co-wrote the franchise's third installment, Dream Warriors, he wasn't that involved with the rest of the franchise. He wanted to make a deliberately more cerebral film than recent entries to the franchise, as he considered them as being cartoonish, and not faithful to his original themes. Specifically, he wanted Freddy to resemble his original vision: far darker and less comical. To reinforce this, the character's make-up and outfit were enhanced, with one of the most prominent differences being that he now wears a long blue/black trenchcoat. In addition, the signature glove was redesigned for a more organic look, with the fingers resembling bones and having muscle textures in between. The film received high praise, and was considered as the best film in the franchise since the original (it was Englund's favorite). But the franchise has been bleeding interest at the box office, and New Nightmare unfortunately had to suffer. It was profitable, but it became the lowest grossing film in the franchise.
Vampire in Brooklyn (1995)"A comic tale of horror and seduction."His 12th film. It stars Eddie Murphy, Angela Bassett, Allen Payne, Kadeem Hardison, John Witherspoon, Zakes Mokae, and Joanna Cassidy. It follows a Caribbean vampire who seduces a Brooklyn police officer who has no idea that she is half-vampire. The film had awful reviews, and despite the presence of a huge star like Eddie Murphy, it disappointed at the box office. Craven really needed a hit.
Scream (1996)"Someone has taken their love of scary movies one step too far."His 13th film. It stars David Arquette, Neve Campbell, Courteney Cox, Matthew Lillard, Rose McGowan, Skeet Ulrich and Drew Barrymore. Set in the fictional town of Woodsboro, California, Scream's plot follows high school student Sidney Prescott and her friends, who, on the anniversary of her mother's murder, become the targets of a costumed serial killer known as Ghostface. As he was trying to make it in the industry, Kevin Williamson watched a Turning Point documentary about serial killer Danny Rolling which he said left him unsettled. Williamson later noticed an open window, armed himself with a knife, and called his friend for support. The pair began discussing horror characters that had resonated with them such as Freddy Krueger and Jason Voorhees. This experience prompted Williamson to start developing a concept wherein a girl is haunted by a caller. He started writing a film titled Scary Movie, and even left an outline for possible sequels. The concept was part of an era where there was debate over the influence of cinematic violence on audience, with Williamson coming up with a brilliant line "movies don't create psychos, movies make psychos more creative." It was inspired by many 1980s slashers, even though the genre was on decline by that point. His characters were intentionally designed to be knowledgeable about these horror films and their typical elements, with the intention of creating a unique killer who was not only aware of horror film clichés but also exploited them for his own advantage. While Williamson struggled with his previous films, this script was part of a bidding war with the studios, to the point that Oliver Stone himself wanted to direct it. Miramax (through Dimension Films) bought the script, and Williamson made some rewrites to scale back the violence. Bob Weinstein also wanted to change the name, as he believed the audiences would think the film is a comedy. The studio considered Danny Boyle, Tom McLoughlin, Sam Raimi, Robert Rodriguez, George A. Romero, Quentin Tarantino, and Anthony Waller as prime candidates to direct the film, but they all preferred to view the film as a comedy. Wes Craven was considered, but the studio believed he couldn't direct a satire. Craven also wasn't planning on directing it, as he wanted to focus on more mainstream films to salvage his career. Craven's assistant Julie Plec (who would collaborate with Williamson on The Vampire Diaries) convinced him in helming the project. By signing, Craven decided to get back some of the gore that was missing in the previous drafts. A huge contrast to the horror films of the era was that the film had established actors as the leads, as Craven and Williamson wanted to prove that no character was safe. Drew Barrymore had already starred in a few recognizable names, Neve Campbell was on the hit show Party of Five, Rose McGowan was known for Encino Man and The Doom Generation, David Arquette, Matthew Lillard and Skeet Ulrich were recognizable supporting characters, and Courteney Cox obviously was known for Friends. Vince Vaughn and Natasha Lyonne were the preferred choices for Billy and Tatum, but external problems caused them to drop out. After viewing the dailies raw footage, the Weinsteins criticized the quality of Craven's work as "workmanlike at best", believing it lacked tension and had an inconsistent tone. The Weinsteins also disliked the mask design, and said Barrymore lacked sex appeal because of the pageboy hairstyle she had chosen. While filming the final fight, Campbell's stuntwoman accidentally stabbed Ulrich with an umbrella tip, missing the protective vest he was wearing and hitting the site of an open heart surgery Ulrich had as a child. During post-production, Harvey Weinstein decided to name the film as Scream based on the Michael and Janet Jackson song. In a surprising move, the Weinsteins decided to release the film during the holiday season as counter-programming, offering teenagers an alternative to more traditional holiday fare. The decision was unpopular with the cast and crew, with Williamson expecting the film to fail. The film opened with $6.4 million and finishing in fourth place, leading analysts to consider the film as a bomb. But the film just kept growing. Buoyed by positive word of mouth, the Weinsteins increased marketing and the film managed to increase in its second and third weekends. It closed with $103 million domestically and $173 million worldwide, becoming the highest grossing slasher film ever and Craven's highest grossing film ever. The film received critical acclaim for its characters and writing, and has since been deemed as one of the most influential horror films of all time. It rekindled interest in horror, resurrected Craven's career and launched the careers of Williamson and the cast.
Scream 2 (1997)"Someone has taken their love of sequels one step too far."His 14th film. The sequel to Scream, it stars David Arquette, Neve Campbell, Courteney Cox, Sarah Michelle Gellar, Jamie Kennedy, Laurie Metcalf, Jerry O'Connell, Elise Neal, Timothy Olyphant, Jada Pinkett, and Liev Schreiber. The film takes place two years after the first film and again follows the character of Sidney Prescott, along with other survivors of the Woodsboro massacre, at the fictional Windsor College in Ohio where they are targeted by a copycat killer using the guise of Ghostface. As Williamson already had plans for sequels, the idea was for Sidney to attend college while being stalked by a copycat Ghostface killer. As filming began, Williamson's script had four killers: Derek, Hallie, Cotton Weary, and Nancy Loomis. But after Williamson transferred his script to the production, it was leaked onto the Internet in full, revealing the identity of the killers and a large amount of the involved plot. This resulted in the production continuing to film with only a partial script while Williamson conducted extensive rewrites, changing much of the film's finale, the identities of the film's killers and drastically altering the roles of other characters such as Randy Meeks and Joel. With a short deadline, Williamson couldn't fully compromise on the final script, forcing Craven to fill in the gaps himself. So the film was one of the very first cases where the Internet leaked major aspects of a film. As the Weinsteins wanted the film ready for December, it was able to capitalize on the audience's word of mouth to the original. It opened with $32 million in its first weekend, almost five times as big as the original, and the biggest December debut. It didn't hold as great as the original due to the competition, such as Titanic, but it still made $172.3 million worldwide, almost matching the original's gross. It also received very positive reviews, and so a profitable franchise was already underway.
Music of the Heart (1999)"She gave them a gift they could never imagine. They gave the system a fight it would never forget."His 15th film. The film stars Meryl Streep, Aidan Quinn, Angela Bassett, Gloria Estefan, Jane Leeves, Kieran Culkin and Jay O. Sanders. The film is a dramatization of the true story of Roberta Guaspari, who co-founded the Opus 118 Harlem School of Music and fought for music education funding in New York City public schools. After seeing the documentary Small Wonders, Craven was inspired to make a full-length film about Guaspari. Madonna was originally signed to play the role of Guaspari, but left the project before filming began, citing "creative differences" with Craven. When she left, Madonna had already studied for many months to play the violin. Streep learned to play Bach's Concerto for 2 Violins for the film. The project marked a huge departure for Craven; it was his first and only film to be rated PG, and his only one to not be horror or thriller. It received generally positive reviews, but it bombed at the box office. It received 2 Oscar nominations for Best Actress and Best Original Song, the only Craven film to get any noms.
Scream 3 (2000)"The most terrifying scream is always the last."His 16th film. The third installment in the Scream franchise, it stars David Arquette, Neve Campbell, Courteney Cox Arquette, Parker Posey, Patrick Dempsey, Scott Foley, Lance Henriksen, Matt Keeslar, Jenny McCarthy, Emily Mortimer, Deon Richmond, and Patrick Warburton. The film's story takes place one year after the previous film's events and follows Sidney Prescott, who has gone into self-imposed isolation following the events of the previous two films but is drawn to Hollywood after a new Ghostface begins killing the cast of the film within a film Stab 3. The plans for a sequel were already underway since Williamson sold the script, although Williamson still didn't write a script yet. When the Weinsteins approached him to write the film, Williamson was already busy with many projects (including his directorial debut), and was unavailable to perform his duties. He only made a 20-page outline wherein Ghostface would return just as production on a fictional film Stab 3 would be filmed. His plan was to show the killers were part of a Stab fan club (this idea would later be adapted into his show, The Following). With Williamson not available, Ehren Kruger was tasked in writing. Shortly before production began on the film, the Columbine High School massacre took place, and many parties began looking for reasoning behind the shooters' actions and there came an increased scrutiny on the role of the media in society, including video games and film, and the influence it could have on an audience. With production of Scream 3 not yet underway, there were considerations about whether the film should be made at that time, aware of the potential for negative attention but the studio decided to press forward, albeit with changes. The Weinsteins demanded to scale back on the gore and emphasize its satiric humor, as well as moving the setting to Hollywood. At one point in the production, the studio went as far as demanding that the film feature no blood or on-screen violence at all, a drastic departure for the series, but Craven directly intervened. One of the aspects changed was that the killer would be revealed to be Stu Macher, having survived the original film. The Weinsteins changed it after Columbine, as they didn't want to associate violence and murder with a high school setting. The film opened with $34.7 million, a franchise record and the biggest February debut ever. But it had weak legs, although it still made a very profitable $161.8 million worldwide. While the previous films were well-received, this film received negative reviews, who lambasted the film for becoming the very own thing it satirizes.
Cursed (2005)"What doesn't kill you makes you stronger."His 17th film. It stars Christina Ricci, Joshua Jackson, Jesse Eisenberg, Judy Greer, Scott Baio, Milo Ventimiglia, Shannon Elizabeth and Mýa, and follows two orphaned siblings attacked by a werewolf loose in Los Angeles. Kevin Williamson started working on a script that followed the exploits of a New York City serial killer who discovers that his lethal tendencies are due to his lycanthrope nature. When one of his projects was scrapped, Craven decided to direct, teaming them up again for another Scream reunion. But it wasn't planned like that. Craven was making a film, Pulse, when Bob Weinstein abruptly pulled the movie from the schedule ten days before shooting and cut through all the slow lanes, wanting Craven to get to Cursed as soon as possible. Craven was reportedly not pleased so Weinstein doubled his pay in order for him to direct the film. The director deemed the script too tonally similar to his film Vampire in Brooklyn, but felt pressured by the studio, leading him to ultimately sign on. The film started filming in January 2003, hoping to get the film released in August. In June, they only had six days left for filming. Suddenly, Dimension Films decided to put the movie on hold because top executives at the company weren't happy with the film's ending or how the special effects were progressing, specifically the look of the film's lead lupine. Rick Baker was preparing the final transformation effects when production stopped and asked Weinstein to let his team finish the work in order for it to be ready for the reshoot, but he refused. Patrick Lussier was brought in for massive rewrites, and the film didn't return to production until November. Baker was fired, and the prosthetic make-up was replaced with CGI. Skeet Ulrich filmed his scene as one of the leads, but chose to drop out following the reshoots as he disliked the new direction. It was also heavily edited to get the R rating down to PG-13. The budget was originally $35 million, yet some reports suggest it ballooned all the way to $100 million, making it one of the most expensive horror films ever. With that budget, it was clear it was not going to be a box office success. It flopped with just $29 million worldwide, and was panned by critics. Craven himself dislikes the final product, and a director's cut was never an option because his original ending was never filmed.
Red Eye (2005)"Fear takes flight."His 18th film. It stars Rachel McAdams, Cillian Murphy, and Brian Cox. The story follows a hotel manager ensnared in an assassination plot by a terrorist while aboard a red-eye flight to Miami. The film received Craven's best reviews in years, and was a box office success, earning almost $100 million. While he is fine with people loving it, Cillian Murphy is not really fond of the film, "I love Rachel McAdams and we had fun making it but I don’t think it's a good movie. It’s a good B movie."
My Soul to Take (2010)"Only one has the power to save their souls."His 19th film. It stars Max Thieriot, Denzel Whitaker, Raul Esparza, and Shareeka Epps. It follows Adam "Bug" Hellerman, who is one of seven teenagers chosen to die following the anniversary of a serial killer's death. This was Craven's first film in almost two decades where he would be directing, producing and writing. But that didn't pan out to a success: it was a critical and commercial dud.
Scream 4 (2011)"New decade. New rules."His 20th and final film. The fourth installment in the Scream franchise, it stars David Arquette, Neve Campbell, Courteney Cox, Emma Roberts, Hayden Panettiere, Anthony Anderson, Alison Brie, Adam Brody, Rory Culkin, Marielle Jaffe, Erik Knudsen, Mary McDonnell, Marley Shelton, Nico Tortorella, and Roger L. Jackson. The film takes place on the fifteenth anniversary of the original Woodsboro murders from Scream and involves Sidney Prescott returning to the town after ten years, where Ghostface once again begins killing students from Woodsboro High. In 2010, Williamson and Craven confirmed their plans for a new film. Craven said that endless sequels, the modern spew of remakes, film studios, and directors are the butts of parodies in the film. The main characters have to figure out where the horror genre is in current days to figure out the modern events happening to and around them. This was the first film in the franchise to use CGI, with the knife's blade added in post-production. Even though the franchise was profitable, it seemed like its glory days were long behind it by the time it hit theaters. The film disappointed in its opening weekend with just $18 million, and closed with a weak $97 million worlwide, far less than the previous films. It also received mixed reviews, particularly for its writing and new characters. It was the last film directed by Craven before his death in 2015.
MOVIES (FROM HIGHEST GROSSING TO LEAST GROSSING)
The VerdictQuite inconsistent, but a very iconic figure in the horror genre. You know you made it big when your creations include Elm Street and Scream. Craven often struggled with difficult productions (you can blame the Weinsteins for that), but he still managed to make competent and scary films, even if some are better than others. Some even see critical re-appraisal as time passes; even Scream 3 and Scream 4 have their fans. We don't know what he would've done with the franchise after the fourth film, but he made it clear he was exhausted by having to film without finished scripts. Rest in Peace to a horror legend.Hope you liked this edition. You can find this and more in the wiki for this section. The next director will be Clint Eastwood. I think I'll have to make two posts, given that he directed 42 films. I asked you to choose who else should be in the run and the comment with the most upvotes would be chosen. Well, we'll later talk about... Ang Lee. A legendary Asian director. This is the schedule for the following four:
And that theme is: controversial directors. I'm talking directors who have attained a polarizing response to their films (like Zack Snyder), or the directors themselves are also controversial figures in real life (like Oliver Stone). Basically, a director that has as many fans as haters. |
2024.05.11 19:37 PDXB-Side The Fall Guy Seeks Box Office Redemption As Ryan Gosling's Action Movie Passes Major Milestone (Fall Guy was considered a flop because of how much it cost to produce. It made more money than Civil War's opening. It didn't cost AMC anything to produce and it also looks like it has some legs)
The Fall Guy is projected to earn $14.4 million at the domestic box office in its second weekend.
This total has pushed the movie past the $50 million milestone in North America.
The movie also showed strong week-over-week hold after a disappointing opening weekend.
Although the new movie opened at No. 1, it only earned $27.7 million, which was considerably below expectations and barely made a dent in its reported budget of roughly $150 million.
Per Deadline, the Fall Guy box office is projected to take in a 3-day total of $14.4 million at the domestic box office during its second weekend in theaters. This means the movie will have only dropped 48% from its opening weekend, which is an unusually solid week-on-week hold.
Full Article: https://screenrant.com/fall-guy-box-office-domestic-50-million-week-2/
submitted by PDXB-Side to AMCSTOCKS [link] [comments]
This total has pushed the movie past the $50 million milestone in North America.
The movie also showed strong week-over-week hold after a disappointing opening weekend.
Although the new movie opened at No. 1, it only earned $27.7 million, which was considerably below expectations and barely made a dent in its reported budget of roughly $150 million.
Per Deadline, the Fall Guy box office is projected to take in a 3-day total of $14.4 million at the domestic box office during its second weekend in theaters. This means the movie will have only dropped 48% from its opening weekend, which is an unusually solid week-on-week hold.
Full Article: https://screenrant.com/fall-guy-box-office-domestic-50-million-week-2/
2024.05.09 05:52 Magnetarix Will an orphaned gosling take to a new family?
 | Hello and thanks in advance for ANY advice you can give me here. submitted by Magnetarix to Ornithology [link] [comments] We found a lone gosling limping down the street near the off ramp of the freeway this evening, didn’t see any other geese around, it’s a miracle he even made it across the street. He’s got a relatively small, albeit deep cut on his left leg that we gauzed up that’s causing the limp, no other disfiguration or broken bones that we can see. He immediately drank water when given from a small bowl and has been nibbling on some small pieces of grass we hand him, overall he seems pretty relaxed now that he’s calmed down and is in the comfort of a box with a heating pad underneath (no heat lamp). I’ve got some chick starter feed coming first thing in the AM so we can get him some nutrition until this foot heals. I’ve contacted a couple bird rescues nearby but they don’t take waterfowl unfortunately, but my hope is to help this guy heal up and then take him to the nature preserve right up the street and introduce him to one of the many families of geese there. My primary question is, how do I go about introducing him to an existing family and are adult geese accepting of orphans? |
2024.05.06 23:01 SanderSo47 Weekend Actuals for May 3-5 – 'The Fall Guy' Fails to Kick Off the Summer Season
 | https://preview.redd.it/b81agqafevyc1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=6be70593e41d677d95ae41e554d3825e2869be86 submitted by SanderSo47 to boxoffice [link] [comments] It's the first weekend of May, which means that the summer season is officially starting. And it started in a huge whimper, as The Fall Guy failed to build interest among moviegoers. Disney's re-release of Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace performed solidly, while Tarot had one of the worst debuts in 3,000 theaters. The Top 10 earned a combined $68.3 million this weekend. This represents a massive 56.2% drop from last year, when Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 opened with $118 million. Excluding 2021 and 2020 for the pandemic, this was the worst first weekend of May since 1998. That's a horrible way to kick off the summer season, and it guarantees that this will be one of the worst summers in recent memory. Debuting in 4,002 theaters, Universal's The Fall Guy disappointed with just $27.7 million this weekend. That's less than what David Leitch's previous film, Bullet Train, made back in August 2022 ($30 million). That makes the numbers so disappointing, especially as The Fall Guy was the first high budget blockbuster in one month. In fact, this debut is even worse than you can imagine for the summer kick-off. The first weekend of May marks the beginning of the summer season, and studios often put the most anticipated title here (mostly Marvel). This was the worst debut in this weekend since Kingdom of Heaven flopped back in 2005 with just $19 million. But it doesn't stop just there; adjusted for inflation, it was the worst debut since He Got Game back in 1998 ($7.6 million unadjusted, $14.5 million adjusted). So it opened lower than other titles like The Mummy films ($43.3 million and $68.1 million), Gladiator ($34.8 million), Van Helsing ($51.7 million), and Mission: Impossible III ($47.7 million). Even if we want to downplay that it's not fair to compare it to the previous films, that doesn't change the fact that it's a very poor start. Even Universal was confident that it seemed appropriate for this to open the summer season, they gave it a $130 million budget after all. Films about Hollywood are always a tough sell, just look at how badly Babylon did back in 2022. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is an exception, and that's because Quentin Tarantino, Leonardo DiCaprio and Brad Pitt are far bigger names than anyone in The Fall Guy. So Universal wanted to highlight action and comedy in the trailers, emphasizing the roles of stuntmen in the film. It's not uncommon to adapt TV shows as films, but it's likely a lot of people are unaware that the film is based on an 1980s TV show (to the point that the TV lead Lee Majors appears in a cameo). A familiarity with the show could help in building nostalgia, but the original Fall Guy is not as fondly remembered as other classic shows like Charlie's Angels or Miami Vice. Last week, we addressed the topic of star power with Zendaya and Challengers, and it feels like we gotta re-adress it here. Ryan Gosling and Emily Blunt are known stars and have been part of some successful films. Yet it looks like they have been struggling in opening films based on their names alone. Gosling has starred in many flops in the past years, which included The Nice Guys, Blade Runner 2049 and First Man, with La La Land and Barbie marking exceptions. Blunt hasn't had many flops, and she can be credited for the box office success of A Quiet Place, The Girl on the Train and Sicario. It simply wasn't enough. If you're curious on how much impact their presence had: Deadline said that 50% came for Ryan Gosling, while 35% came for Emily Blunt. And that makes you wonder, if this is what they can bring, then imagine how low it would be with lesser known stars. According to Universal, 54% of the audience was male. It failed to attract interest among young audiences; a massive 71% was 25 and over. In some good news, the film has very good reviews and the audience also appears to like it: they gave it a solid "A–" on CinemaScore. The hope is that it can leg out like Bullet Train, but that will be tough considering that film had a very weak August, while The Fall Guy will face a blockbuster each week. If the film fails to hit $100 million, that would be very bad news for the summer season. Second place belonged to another newcomer, Disney's re-release of Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace for its 25th anniversary. Debuting in 2,700 theaters, it earned $8 million this weekend. That's far off from its numbers back in 2012 when it re-released with $22 million, but this is still a very solid debut considering re-releases don't make this much in the past years. For comparison, the re-release of Return of the Jedi last year debuted with $5.1 million. With this, its lifetime gross is now $482.6 million in North America. This is only for a limited time, and it also includes a preview for The Acolyte. In third place, MGM's Challengers added $7.6 million this weekend. That represents a 49% drop, which is fine, but not fantastic considering its low debut. Through ten days, the film has earned $29.4 million. In fourth place, Sony's horror film Tarot earned just $6.5 million in 3,104 theaters. That's one of the worst debuts for a film playing at 3,000+ theaters. Even with a low $8 million budget, this is not anything to write home about. With horrible reviews and poor word of mouth ("C–" on CinemaScore), expect this to fade away quickly. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire is still trying to hit the $200 million milestone. This weekend, it dipped 37% and added $4.5 million. That takes its domestic total to $188.1 million. A24's Civil War wound up in fifth place, easing just 48% and adding $3.5 million. The film has already made $62 million, and it looks like it might hit $70 million. In seventh place, Lionsgate's Unsung Hero added $2.9 million. That represents an awful 61% drop, which is quite steep considering its "A+" on CinemaScore. With $13.1 million in the bank, it will now finish below $20 million. Kung Fu Panda 4 continued holding well, dropping just 30% and adding $2.5 million. Its domestic total is now $188.4 million, and it has one last week before IF takes its family demo. In ninth place, Universal's Abigail is on its last legs and it was just its third weekend. The film collapsed 55% and made $2.3 million this weekend. Its domestic total stands at $22.8 million and now will finish below $30 million, and it might finish below Radio Silence's Ready or Not ($28.7 million). Rounding up the Top 10 was Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire. It added $1.8 million after dropping 43%, which takes its domestic total to $109.9 million. A24 released I Saw the TV Glow in 4 theaters, debuting with $116,340. That translates to a fine but not great $29,085 per-theater average. It will continue expanding in the coming weeks. OVERSEASThe Fall Guy also led the overseas numbers, yet it wasn't anything memorable either. It expanded to 78 markets, and added $25.4 million. Adding last week's previews and its domestic performance, its worldwide total stands at $64.4 million. That's quite underwhelming, considering its $130 million budget. It had soft-to-mediocre debuts in the UK ($4.4M), Mexico ($2.5M), France ($2.3M), Germany ($1.9M), Italy ($1.4M), and South Korea ($1.1M). With competition on its way with Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes this week, the film will probably fail to break even, which is a very way to start the summer season. 3 weeks ahead of its debut in North America, The Garfield Movie debuted with $22 million in 18 markets. It had a strong debut in Mexico, earning $8.4 million in its first six days, followed by Spain with $3.2 million over five days, Brazil at $2.2 million, Italy with $1.6 million and Peru at $1.3 million. We'll see how it goes as it continues expanding. Godzilla x Kong added another $9.8 million, taking its worldwide total to $547 million. Its best markets are China ($131.3M), Mexico ($33.2M), UK ($17.5M), India ($15.2M) and Australia ($12M). Kung Fu Panda 4 added another $7.7 million for a $520 million worldwide total. After its disappointing start, Challengers appears to have some minimal power overseas. It eased just 24% and added $7.5 million, taking its worldwide total to $50 million. Its best new market was Netherlands, but it opened to just $485K. Its best markets are the UK ($4.4M), Italy ($3.3M), France ($2.3M), Australia ($2M) and Mexico ($1.6M). It's still got a long way to go before breaking even. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace also re-released in a few markets, adding $6.4 million. With these numbers, its worldwide total now stands at $1.035 billion. MOVIES THAT ENDED THEIR RUN THIS WEEK
THIS WEEKENDThe good news is that we'll have an uptick from this weekend. 20th Century Studios is releasing Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, the next chapter in the reboot franchise. Set 300 years after the events of War, it follows an ape who challenges the beliefs of the new ape king, Proximus Caesar, with the help of a young human girl. The Apes franchise has been one of the studio's most prized properties, and all (even the reviled Tim Burton reboot) have been successful. The previous film earned $490 million worldwide, so it will be interesting to see how much it earns in proximity. We're also getting another release, albeit smaller. That's Not Another Church Movie, a parody of Christian films starring Jamie Foxx, Kevin Daniels and Mickey Rourke. Don't expect much from here; Briarcliff is not a big studio, and the parody genre has been dead for years. |
2024.05.06 05:32 rdk67 Spring Day 47: Strike School and Gaggles v. Graduates
Once the leaves have opened on the bigger trees and the ground begins to flicker with various shades of green – the leaves, at the moment, are like oceans hatching – the light passing through seems the wiser for finding the ground. I am walking to a presentation by labor activists called Strike School – when labor uses a strategic work stoppage to get negotiations moving. Workers have resorted to this a few times around campus, and I’ve been adjacent to some of them. I was a grad student when the first talks began about forming the graduate employees organization. My partner in the 1990s started the education support person’s union, and union conversations were an important part of our relationship. Before then, in the mid-1980s, I was the editor of a college newspaper that covered the longest college faculty strike in state history – about 2 weeks
during which time, my staff and I met at a local fast food place for editorial meetings, refusing of course to cross the picket lines. The strike was extremely effective at stopping the place cold, but before then even, we published the shock headline after the faculty declared their intent to strike – the largest font we could reasonably paste up. The newspaper was composed on light boards, with exact-o knives used to trim the pieces to size and arrange them on sheets shaped like the pages of the newspaper. These were the final days of paste-up newspaper production, and I was there to smell the hot wax, which is what we used to affix the copy to the page. The pages were then photographed and made into the plates used to print the newspaper. Not long after the issue hit the stands, the president of the college called me into his office and threatened
to defund the newspaper and, I guess this went without saying, fire me as editor – he thought our content was biased. When I was growing up, agro adults routinely threatened me in various ways, and this seemed like the norm for a certain subset of kids whose parents hadn’t attended college and whose family didn’t know anyone else who did – working class kids. Adults would know they could blow a fuse in front of you, and it would seem normal, so they did. I made a little money being the editor but not a lot – I could have walked away from it – but the guy was wrong, and I was right, and that really didn’t matter at all. I had four jobs at that point in my life: newspaper editor, grocery store do-it-all, weekend shelf stocker of cookies, and weekend shelf stocker of bread – the latter two being private deals between me and a couple of venders.
There was so much wisdom on the stage, talking about the purpose of strikes, I stopped taking notes and just listened. The 1930s saw the rise of the militant industrial labor unions – possibly the closest the county would come to harboring a capacity for broad-based insurrection – four million people in the general population participated in work stoppages, thereby forcing the nation to refine a civil response to the needs of labor, which humanizing legacy is still with us today. I recall an historic study that showed how the plea agreement became a legal practice to work around the phenomenon of jury revolts – juries with industrial laborers would refuse to find guilt when one of their number was being railroaded by the state. Railroaded is an idiom suggesting the relentlessness of modernity. It is a reference to the assertion: force over fairness.
Walking to and from the venue, and recounting other moments during the past week, I have identified what might be a new phenomenological rivalry – between those who make videos of goslings with their Canadian geese parents and those who take photos of cap-and-gown college graduates. Yes, I know – very different populations – but in each, the happiness on display is so abundant, I fantasize about growing things with it. The graduation photographers use camera rigs that remind one of large animal horns – they point the horn at the college graduate, and so they pose and smile. I watch a mom and dad, both in their own caps-and-gowns, take a photo of their son leaping in the air, legs pointed sideways at the knee. He does it four or five times in a row, take after take, and I imagine them to be the kind of family that enjoys that sort of thing.
Earlier in the season, I watched a group of six goslings and their two parents congregate around a section of boneyard creek. The parents leapt off the bank and flew into the water, and the little peeps danced along the top, cheeping anxiously about the great heights they were abandoned to. The goslings followed the two adults downstream, right in front of me, sitting cross legged on a low stone wall, and I watch the chicks work up the nerve to fling themselves over the edge. They don’t really have wings yet – their wings come out like someone signaling with flashlights or flags, and they hit the water like ping pong balls. One of the adults demonstrates a technique for plucking weeds off the shore, shaking the muddy roots in the water, then swallowing them. A little one does the same thing, but then it forgets to eat, keeps splashing the water with its bill.
When the goslings show up, they are outside the boundaries of expectation – the dignity of their posture, the blend of yellow and gray feathers, like they’re half-bird half-cloud, the perfect way the bill meets the face – everything about them pries cellphones out of pockets, sends clips with cute captions soaring out across social media even before the goslings have finished crossing the road. The videographers are all smiling – for the goslings, for the likes, for the friendliness with which goose and gander so casually share space with their categorically helpless offspring, the fuzziness of which inspires an urge to cradle one in cupped hands while imagining that none of them really weighs anything yet. Cradling a pleasant thought in one’s hands. Cradling cheers for the new day in one’s hands. Dipping from the well of remembering, lifting it up to your lips.
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during which time, my staff and I met at a local fast food place for editorial meetings, refusing of course to cross the picket lines. The strike was extremely effective at stopping the place cold, but before then even, we published the shock headline after the faculty declared their intent to strike – the largest font we could reasonably paste up. The newspaper was composed on light boards, with exact-o knives used to trim the pieces to size and arrange them on sheets shaped like the pages of the newspaper. These were the final days of paste-up newspaper production, and I was there to smell the hot wax, which is what we used to affix the copy to the page. The pages were then photographed and made into the plates used to print the newspaper. Not long after the issue hit the stands, the president of the college called me into his office and threatened
to defund the newspaper and, I guess this went without saying, fire me as editor – he thought our content was biased. When I was growing up, agro adults routinely threatened me in various ways, and this seemed like the norm for a certain subset of kids whose parents hadn’t attended college and whose family didn’t know anyone else who did – working class kids. Adults would know they could blow a fuse in front of you, and it would seem normal, so they did. I made a little money being the editor but not a lot – I could have walked away from it – but the guy was wrong, and I was right, and that really didn’t matter at all. I had four jobs at that point in my life: newspaper editor, grocery store do-it-all, weekend shelf stocker of cookies, and weekend shelf stocker of bread – the latter two being private deals between me and a couple of venders.
There was so much wisdom on the stage, talking about the purpose of strikes, I stopped taking notes and just listened. The 1930s saw the rise of the militant industrial labor unions – possibly the closest the county would come to harboring a capacity for broad-based insurrection – four million people in the general population participated in work stoppages, thereby forcing the nation to refine a civil response to the needs of labor, which humanizing legacy is still with us today. I recall an historic study that showed how the plea agreement became a legal practice to work around the phenomenon of jury revolts – juries with industrial laborers would refuse to find guilt when one of their number was being railroaded by the state. Railroaded is an idiom suggesting the relentlessness of modernity. It is a reference to the assertion: force over fairness.
Walking to and from the venue, and recounting other moments during the past week, I have identified what might be a new phenomenological rivalry – between those who make videos of goslings with their Canadian geese parents and those who take photos of cap-and-gown college graduates. Yes, I know – very different populations – but in each, the happiness on display is so abundant, I fantasize about growing things with it. The graduation photographers use camera rigs that remind one of large animal horns – they point the horn at the college graduate, and so they pose and smile. I watch a mom and dad, both in their own caps-and-gowns, take a photo of their son leaping in the air, legs pointed sideways at the knee. He does it four or five times in a row, take after take, and I imagine them to be the kind of family that enjoys that sort of thing.
Earlier in the season, I watched a group of six goslings and their two parents congregate around a section of boneyard creek. The parents leapt off the bank and flew into the water, and the little peeps danced along the top, cheeping anxiously about the great heights they were abandoned to. The goslings followed the two adults downstream, right in front of me, sitting cross legged on a low stone wall, and I watch the chicks work up the nerve to fling themselves over the edge. They don’t really have wings yet – their wings come out like someone signaling with flashlights or flags, and they hit the water like ping pong balls. One of the adults demonstrates a technique for plucking weeds off the shore, shaking the muddy roots in the water, then swallowing them. A little one does the same thing, but then it forgets to eat, keeps splashing the water with its bill.
When the goslings show up, they are outside the boundaries of expectation – the dignity of their posture, the blend of yellow and gray feathers, like they’re half-bird half-cloud, the perfect way the bill meets the face – everything about them pries cellphones out of pockets, sends clips with cute captions soaring out across social media even before the goslings have finished crossing the road. The videographers are all smiling – for the goslings, for the likes, for the friendliness with which goose and gander so casually share space with their categorically helpless offspring, the fuzziness of which inspires an urge to cradle one in cupped hands while imagining that none of them really weighs anything yet. Cradling a pleasant thought in one’s hands. Cradling cheers for the new day in one’s hands. Dipping from the well of remembering, lifting it up to your lips.
2024.05.06 00:22 sideswipe781 UFC St. Louis: Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Betting Preview Sideswipe MMA
Lifetime - Staked: 876.65u, Profit/Loss: +27.79u, ROI: 3.17%, Parlay Suggestions: 168-64 Dog of the Week: 13-15
2024 - Staked: 229.55u, Profit/Loss: -5.57u
As always, scroll down for UFC St. Louis Breakdowns. The following is just a recap of last event’s results.
~UFC 301 (PREVIOUS CARD)~
Staked: 10.75u
Profit/Loss: -0.29u
Parlay Suggestions: 4-1
It may be chalked up as the slightest loss, but the Pereira/Rebecki parlay rolling on means this one could end up in the green in hindsight, so I’m happy with how things went really. Shoutout to Joanderson Brito for a great gameplan, he never let Shore into that fight and I don’t think it really mattered that it ended under strange circumstances. Borralho dominated as expected. Lucindo could have been more live for a submission if she’d had more time in round 1, but her striking was too superior. Drakkar Klose did what he does best. On to the next one.
✅ 5u Caio Borralho to Win at -275 (won +1.8u)
✅ 2u Michel Pereira + Mateusz Rebecki to Win at -105 (rolls on to upcoming event)
✅ 2u Drakkar Klose to Win at -137 (won +1.46u)
❌ 2u Jack Shore to Win at +140
❌ 1u Iasmin Lucindo to Win by Submission at +350
✅ Arb on Martinez/Aldo (won +0.2u)
❌ 0.25u Parlay Pieces
❌ 0.5u Trixie
~UFC St. Louis~
From a fan perspective this card is a bit dry, but from a betting perspective I think it’s got a lot of opportunities and it’s one I’m really looking forward to. At the time of writing, the event is in nine days and I’ve already placed five moneyline bets! It’s nice that there will be a crowd too, the Apex is boring.
Lots to say, so let’s get into it!
~Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento~
Very surprised by the betting line here. Derrick Lewis cannot be trusted to defend a takedown at this stage in his career, and that really isn’t a secret at all.
In my opinion, unless Derrick Lewis is facing a pure striker with equally low output, or a massively inferior level of competition, he shouldn’t be the betting favourite against anyone in the UFC. Of course he’s the most prolific knockout artist the UFC has ever seen so he cannot be too much of a dog either, but he’s literally KO or bust in every single fight. Betting is a game of probabilities, and I think it’s difficult to really argue that Lewis should be favoured to find the KO 50% of the time in a five-round fight. Especially when he faces an opponent that has the capabilities to put him on his back. look how easily Serghei Spivac justified a -225 pricetag against Derrick Lewis! No significant strikes absorbed, and a submission win inside three minutes. How Jailton Almeida didn’t manage to do the same, I’ll never know…but it still was very dominant.
Rodrigo Nascimento may not come to the Octagon with a singlet on, but he’s quite reliable to shoot takedowns when necessary – Such as against Tanner Boser, another heavyweight with notoriously bad takedown defence. Another important facet to his style is his BJJ. It’s been some time since we’ve seen him win by submission, but a heavyweight that looks to finish the fight on the mat will always be better than one who just lays and prays once they set up a dominant position (such as a Curtis Blaydes or a Carl Williams). Lewis is surprisingly durable on the mat, which gives him the opportunity to have another crack at the KO when the next round starts, but a submission threat like a Spivac or perhaps a Nascimento can look to get the fight stopped before that happens.
Nascimento isn’t a bad striker either, and whilst I certainly don’t recommend it, I don’t think it’s super crazy to imagine him possibly winning a striking battle here by playing the range game and out-voluming Lewis – at the very least he will keep it competitive whilst he’s conscious. This isn’t going even going to be as binary as the Spivac fight, where extended periods on the feet are so clearly in favour of Lewis.
Lewis has faced a lot of grapplers recently. He was +370 against Jailton, +180 against De Lima, +190 against Spivac, +300 against Blaydes…so why is he a favourite against an opponent that can also land takedowns against him? And also one who is probably the second best striker amongst those aforementioned names!? I know that Nascimento isn’t a pure grappler like some of them…but surely it would take about 30 seconds of gameplanning to realise that grappling is definitely the route to take here? We’ve seen him go 15 minutes and have control time for more than half a fight before. I also know that Nascimento hasn’t fought a level of opposition anywhere near this experienced or ‘high level’, but given the gap in skills I think there are regional
I’m not saying Nascimento is a vastly superior UFC fighter or someone destined for great things, but he’s well-rounded and capable of executing a very obvious gameplan. I will therefore be playing him for 2u at +140 or better. This is purely a bet based on number I’m getting on Nascimento, and I think everyone should be on it. Perhaps I am putting too much stock into the intelligence of a fighter (something I never like to do), but this really is a must bet. I do not believe you can mathematically justify Derrick Lewis being expected to win more than 50% of the time against an opponent that is better than him at everything except pure power.
I decided to pull the trigger as the more I think about this, the more I think this betting angle is obvious. There’s a risk in going early as Lewis is obviously a popular name, but I think the +137 is clear value, so I took it for 2u.
How I line this fight: Derrick Lewis +125 (45%), Rodrigo Nascimento -125 (55%)
Bet or pass: 2u Rodrigo Nascimento to Win (+137)
Prop leans: None, though Nascimento Submission is the very obvious lean
~Joaquin Buckley v Nursulton Ruziboev~
Late notice fight announcement but glad to see Buckley got himself a co-main spot on a home card. Buckley’s slowly growing into a decent fighter, and has proven to be much more than just the hard-hitting muscle-man that he was originally thought to be. Seeing him get a win over Vicente Luque is pretty mad, I even thought he’d struggle with Alex Morono.
Nursulton Ruziboev’s brief UFC career has seen him win by KO early in round one both times. Yeah, he hits hard. What else? I don’t really know. Buckley can live and die by the sword if you want to go full rabies with him (plenty of KO wins but also KO losses to Di Chirico, Holland and Curtis).
I’m sure this one will be fireworks, but I don’t really know how you could approach betting this one, other than targeting the clearly juiced FDGTD. We got Guskov/Spann at -20000 a few weeks ago, so I wouldn’t hold your breath. Onto the next one. Excited to see the fireworks though.
How I line this fight: No idea
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Terrance McKinney vs Esteban Ribovics~
Terrance McKinney is always an interesting fighter to look at from a betting perspective, because he’s got that unique 5 minutes of danger before falling off a cliff. It’s kind of funny to me how the UFC had to clearly cut back on the level of competition they’d been feeding McKinney, because he hit his ceiling pretty hard in the Sadykhov and Bonfim fights.
The front-runner style therefore makes his fights easy to get creative with, props wise. Basically, you go McKinney R1, or Ribovics R2/3. So which one do you go for? Well, that’s unfortunately where the confident opinions start to run out. McKinney should definitely be live for that R1 finish though, because I think Ribovics will struggle to contend with his power and physicality whilst they’re both fresh. His takedown defence against Radzhabov was not up to par either, and the scrambles could see him get caught in a submission against the opportunistic McKinney all the same.
However, if the fight does make it past that opening round, Ribovics certainly looks spirited and gritty enough to turn up the heat and force McKinney to capitulate like he usually does. It’s one of those weird capitulations where he doesn’t seem gassed or mentally checked out – it feels like he swaps places with his twin brother that’s not a fighter whilst on the stool. Kind of like Alex Hernandez.
So yeah, I’ll do what I usually do in these spots and see what kind of price I can get by building a McKinney R1 or Ribovics R2/3 prop for myself…but other than that I don’t think we’ll be finding any sort of value anywhere here. The McKinney prop narrative is pretty well documented at this stage. Though the live-betting angle will always exist because the 3rd party people have no idea what they’re watching.
In terms of a moneyline, Esteban obviously has to be favoured due to the higher finishing potential across the available 15 minutes (he could win in R1,2, or 3). Definitely not interested in playing anything than that McKinney 1 or Ribovics 2/3 combination.
How I line this fight: Terrance McKinney +175 (36%), Esteban Ribovics -175 (64%)
Bet or pass: Potential single bet on McKinney R1 or Ribovics R2/3
Prop leans: See above
~Alonzo Menifield vs Carlos Ulberg~
Zo Menifield is a better fighter than many give him credit for, but I think this might be a terrible stylistic fight for him. He’s going up against the much more technical and quick striker, who can also hit pretty hard. For Zo to do the work he wants to do on the feet, he’s going to need to get inside, and for every moment he’s not there he’s going to be on the end of Ulberg’s superior straight shots. He’s basically going to have to get hit twice, to land one himself.
Before I started looking into this fight I was intrigued by Menifield’s potential path to victory via wrestling, but the stats he’s currently averaging 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, and just beat a kickboxer across 15 minutes in Dustin Jacoby without landing one. Not sure why I had it in my head that he looks to grapple.
That Jacoby fight does give some credit to Alonzo and indicate that he’s not as outmatched as you’d expect a less technical tank to be. The same logic I used in the opening paragraph really should also have applied to Dustin Jacoby, but DJ’s not a particularly reliable striker and is prone to some moments of stupidity.
So yeah…I think Zo’s got a chance, but it’s going to be an uphill battle that he loses more often than not. The line’s a bit too wide for my liking as Ulberg is flavour of the month at LHW, but either way I see no value to bet either guy here.
How I line this fight: Alonzo Menifield +200 (33%), Carlos Ulberg -200 (67%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Tabatha Ricci v Tecia Torres-Pennington~
Another fight where I am very confused by the betting line. Yes, Tecia Torres has been out of competition whilst having a baby with Raquel Pennington, but it looks like she’s already back in ridiculous shape and I think the narrative of doubting/fading mothers is pretty overblown. Enough WMMA fighters have come back having given birth and looked fine. I asked a few mothers I know who work out and they didn’t think they suffered much of a set back once they shifted the initial weight. I take my research very seriously, you see, and if this bet loses it’s all their fault.
So I’m going to (perhaps foolishly) assume that the Tecia Torres we get for this fight is the same as the one from tape…and that woman absolutely should not be the underdog to Tabatha Ricci. She’s got a great mixture of speed and volume on the feet, and is more than capable of keeping herself safe in the grappling department. There are very few fighters outside the top five that I’d think should be a favourite against Tecia. And that’s even before considering that this fight is a decent matchup for her.
Comparatively, Tabatha Ricci has struggled whenever she’s faced an opponent that she can’t out-grapple. She put together a great run against Gillian Robertson, Jessica Penne, Polyana Viana and Maria Oliveira, but landed between 3-5 takedowns in all of those fights and either had a significant amount of subsequent top control time, or was the superior striker anyway. After that run, she faced Loopy Godinez in her most recent fight, where her takedowns were shut down and she was forced to strike against an okay-ish striker. It went to a split, but the majority of media scorecards were were in favour of Godinez for her superior striking. Not being able to differentiate yourself in the striking department against Godinez isn’t a very good sign really.
When it comes to decision heavy WMMA fighters, I think the statistics are at their most reliable (and I’m not much of a statistics guy usually). The stats here clearly paint the picture that Tecia Torres is the superior martial artist on the feet. She lands more, she gets hit way less. She has much better accuracy, and she defends more. And she got all of those superior stats from going 15 minutes against Marina, Namajunas (x2) Andrade, Joanna and Weili, whereas Ricci has padded hers by teeing off on Gillian Robertson and Jessica Penne.
If Torres-Pennington is able to get back to anywhere near the same level as she was before the pregnancy, I think the betting line is massively wrong here. God bless Alayah Torres-Pennington for this betting line! 2u on Torres-Pennington. I moved in when it was +137, but the line has shifted since. It’s always a good idea to consider playing WMMA underdogs, so this one was a no brainer to me.
How I line this fight: Tecia Torres-Pennington -150 (60%), Tabatha Ricci +150 (40%)
Bet or pass: 2u Tecia Torres-Pennington to Win (+137), perhaps an extra 0.5u on Torres Decision
Prop leans: Torres by Decision is a very reliable MoV
~Sean Woodson vs Alex Caceres~
Alex Caceres is a really tricky one. He has improved so, so much in the last few years, and I’d never have believed he’d make it this far. He was a contestant on TUF 12, the show most recent to when I started watching MMA (which also brought us Michael Johnson). Those who have been watching prelims for many years will remember when Alex was nothing more than a veteran that couldn’t wrestle for shit, and was constantly being used to further the careers of submission based fighters (Kron Gracie, for example). Somehow, during the lockdown break, he managed to sharpen the takedown defence and completely re-invented himself as a fighter. He’s 7-2 in his last nine, and the losses have come against Sodiq Yusuff and Giga Chikadze. A very respectable body of work.
Sean Woodson’s career has also had its ups and downs. He was touted as a prospect to look out for back in the day of Glory MMA & Fitness and everyone’s favourite UFC gambler, James Krause. Unfortunately for the gangly and unorthodox Woodson, he couldn’t handle the pressure and ended up having all of his hype destroyed by Julian Erosa. He won a few more fights, but then drew with Luis Saldana, and by that point everyone thought he was a busted prospect that couldn’t be trusted to win against anyone. Then he pulled off an upset against Charles Jourdain recently, and now we don’t know what to think.
So this is basically a bout between two guys who have blown hot and cold in different stages of their career, and they’re therefore guys I often look to gloss over when I see that they’re fighting because I know they can easily oveunder perform in relation to expectations. Woodson should be the more diverse and unorthodox fighter of the two to be able to win minutes against Bruce Leroy, but the power that Caceres has on the return very much could turn the tide in an instant. Woodson isn’t defensively sound and relies on his length too much, and we have seen him fumble winnable fights before.
I don’t have much confidence in this one at all, but I understand why Woodson’s the slight favourite, given his tricky style and frame, and the fact he’s a bit younger. The books have lined this one correctly though, using their vig to price either side out of being an appealing price. I’m not really sure how someone has a strong opinion on this one really.
How I line this fight: Sean Woodson -137 (58%), Alex Caceres +137 (42%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Jake Hadley vs Charles Johnson~
Another Charles Johnson fight, another anti-grappling gameplan. I’m getting a bit bored of seeing the exact same fight really, it would be cool to see Johnson stand and trade with someone for 15 minutes.
In fairness to Hadley he’s hardly one-dimensional, but he’s definitely best as a grappler that uses striking as a means to an end. We have seen what he looks like when he can’t have significant top control time, or when he goes up against a guy that can put him on his back. And it shows him to be a great hammer but a bad nail.
Charles Johnson’s resurgence has been a very interesting turn of events! If you’re a regular UFC bettor, you’ll know Johnson as one of the most untrustworthy guys on the roster, who fails to put his stamp on rounds and only seems to be able to produce a maximum of 55% of superiority per round. That was, until he fought Azat Maksum last time, where his tenacity was enough for him to turn the fight on its head in the latter half, finally providing a Charles Johnson fight where we had confidence on what the judges’ scorecards were going to look like!
Johnson is a very hard guy to finish though, because he doesn’t have any actual major weaknesses that aren’t based on self-sabotage. That is going to turn into his biggest strength here against Hadley, whose 2-2 decision record paints a clear picture. In a fight where a finish is going to be hard to come by, I think this one is going to run very close, in typical Charles Johnson fashion. In short, Johnson’s skills nullify Hadley’s greatest skill, so this one should run closer than it might look on the wikicap.
Therefore, your only options are probably to hold your breath and bet Johnson as the +130 underdog for a bit of value, or pass completely. A bet on Hadley is definitely not adviseable at – money.
I was lining up to play the overs/FGTD, but I’ve seen that the Over 2.5 Rounds sits at -250…which is far too steep for me to entertain. Those bookies are sharp!
How I line this fight: Jake Hadley +100 (50%), Charles Johnson +100 (50%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: Either man’s decision prop could be an interesting way to bet this one.
~Jared Gooden vs Kevin Jousset~
Kevin Jousset makes his third appearance for the UFC, having impressed in two victories against Kiefer Crosbie (can) and Song Kenan (decent enough fighter). His output and diversity in the latter fight was really what caught my attention, as I was personally unsure he would be able to hang with UFC calibre opposition. I did bet him in his debut against Crosbie because his opponent that day has no business being in the UFC, but even the way he looked in that one had me questioning if he was up to the challenge.
On the subject of having ‘no business being in the UFC’, Jousset faces Jared Gooden. I know Gooden is a long time friend and associate of Dan Levy (HalfTheBattle) so I’m always hoping he does well, but honestly he’s proven countless times that he’s not good enough to be here. Of course, he’s a powerful guy, and in a cagefight that attribute is going to result in a couple of upsets…but Gooden has been competently outgrappled and outstruck on too many occasions for me to believe in him. Plus, he finally hit that KO path to victory against Wellington Turman, who is notoriously untrustworthy and shocking on the feet. If I remember correctly I was very adamant that people shouldn’t bet him there.
Jousset is a well-rounded guy as well. He’s not the most devastating striker but he does good defensive work (which is key here). He’s also more than happy to mix in takedowns and grappling when he deems it necessary, which is another advantageous asset here.
In short, whilst I’m still kind of suspicious of Jousset’s overally capabilities and whether or not he’s going to make anything of himself in the UFC, I can definitely see this one being an advantageous stylistic fight for him as the more well-rounded man. If Jousset can stay safe from Gooden’s power, he should have an easy enough victory on his hands.
In terms of the betting line, I would have put Jousset anywhere from the -200 to -250 range, which is pretty much where he’s landed. Makes sense to me. I’m glad I don’t have to consider betting this fight, because trusting either man with my money doesn’t feel good.
How I line this fight: Jared Gooden +225 (31%), Kevin Jousset -225 (69%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Chase Hooper vs Viacheslav Borshchev~
Probably the most binary and therefore divisive fight on the card, which makes it possibly the most exciting one. Hooper’s a great grappler that can’t strike. Borshchev is a great striker that can’t defend takedowns.
I always land on the same conclusion when it comes to this kind of conundrum, and it’s because of our good friend Mackenzie Dern. Your BJJ doesn’t really mean shit if you have no wrestling (aside from pulling guard or catching submissions whilst standing, both of which don’t really happen often at all), and Chase Hooper doesn’t really have much wrestling. Of course, Slava Claus has bad wrestling defence…but I’d rate Hooper’s wrestling as clearly inferior to that of Mike Davis, Marc Diakiese or Nazim Sadykhov, so there aren’t actually strong guarantees that Chase can even consistently land takedowns here.
Obviously I think you have to make Borshchev the favourite here, as all fights start standing and his grappling defence seems solid enough that he shouldn’t get instantly submitted if he does get forced to the floor anyway. If that’s the case, I think he can clearly do damage and win fights off the scoring criteria. Hooper’s a tough kid, but when he eats shots they all look like fight enders with the amount his head snaps back. I genuinely think cutting his hair was a good strategic move for him. Also, this fight will have a live audience, and that plays ever so slightly into the metrics of the KO threat, not the grappler (because people still boo takedowns sometimes).
The books have it lined pretty where I would expect, with a small to moderate lean in Slava’s favour, so I don’t really think there’s any point in forcing a bet here. Both men have legitimate paths, it’s just that the Russian’s is slightly easier to land and will be more definitive. A win for Hooper likely sees him outgrapple his opponent for 15, whereas Borshchev can do it with one punch. Betting Slava KO would probably be the smartest play available, because that’s most of his win condition, whereas Hooper could win by all three methods.
I have noticed since writing that Slava may be moving down to -150, which is where I grade him without vig. If that price does solidify market wide, I may be interested in playing him to win by KO, or perhaps KO/DEC Double Chance. It would only be a 1u thing, but watch this space.
How I line this fight: Chase Hooper +150 (40%), Viacheslav Borshchev -150 (60%)
Bet or pass: 1u Slava KO or Slava KO/Dec…we will see.
Prop leans: None
~Trey Waters vs Billy Goff~
I honestly can’t remember a thing about either guy, I was surprised to see this wasn’t a double debut. From looking at Tapology I vaguely remember their last fights, with Goff steamrolling that Japanese guy on the South Korea card and Waters styling on Josh Quinlan.
I need a lot more info than that to be able to decipher this one. Info I honestly cannot be bothered to go and find, considering the most I could get would be a low-confidence opinion. I’mma pass on this one and admit I just couldn’t be arsed. I’m quite confident I wouldn’t have felt comfortable betting it anyway, so that’s probably some time saved. Check out Slayer’s breakdown on Wednesday/Thursday, he’ll have the goods.
How I line this fight: Didn’t do tape
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne~
I’ve been a consistent Waldo hater since he came to the UFC. He’s a fat guy who strikes, but his power actually looks to be severely lacking. In fact, the only thing he actually does well is a leg kick. Seriously, how can you be that size, that young, and still not KO 2024 Andrei Arlovski? Don’Tale Mayes did it. Waldo also lost a round to Chase Sherman and Jared Vanderaa ffs. I have every reason not to understand why he’s looked at favorably.
Robelis Despaigne’s UFC debut was short lived but impressive all the same. That stuff doesn’t tell us much at all, but he’s a very credentialed combat sports athlete (Lonon 2012 Olympic Bronze Medalist). I can’t really say it with super confidence, but this does feel like it should be a very winnable fight for him.
A lot of people are immediately quoting Despaigne’s MMA record and highlighting his inexperience, but my counter to that would be to consider what experience and tools he is actually going to need here?
I don’t think Cortes-Acosta will have any interest in grappling or attempting takedowns, and I also think he’s the inferior fighter from a power perspective. In a fight like this, what more do you really need?
I’m surprised Despaigne is only around -170 here. I get that he’s inexperienced in MMA but he’s far more experienced than Waldo in professional competition. Maybe I’m being too basic with my analysis here and Waldo actually has something for him, but I was expecting -250 at least. I did initially hesitate on whether or not I wanted to play Despaigne here, given I’ve not got a whole lot to offer in my analysis other than Olympian vs fat boi….but I don’t think Waldo brings anything uniquely MMA to the table that Despaigne is going to struggle with?
I scoffed at that Jhonata Diniz guy making his debut -250 to Austen Lane few weeks ago because I saw a clear angle for an MMA based opponent to capitalise on a skillset that the vastly more credentialed striker wouldn’t be well versed in dealing with. Given what we saw there, I’d say I was absolutely right. Diniz still got the job done, but Lane was able to weaponise MMA experience. Waldo probably won’t. Honestly it wouldn’t even surprise me to see Robelis try and show off some of his MMA improvements and shoot a takedown on fat boi.
2u Robelis Despaigne to win at -163. This could age terribly because I know I’m going against my principles here…but this betting line could look like an absolute gift in hindsight.
How I line this fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta +250 (29%), Robelis Despaigne -250 (71%)
Bet or pass: 2u Robelis Despaigne to Win (-163)
Prop leans: None
~Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Rebecki~
Very simple fight to break down, I think. Rebecki’s a very dominant wrestler with the topside grappling ability to keep you there once he grounds you. We haven’t seen him fight a super high level of competition yet, but I think we’ve seen enough to be excited by him as a prospect.
The above description of Rebecki’s style sounds a lot like a fella called Gregor Gillespie. We saw him face Carlos Diego Ferreira back in 2021 and ultimately force a stoppage by using his style to overwhelm CDF until the ref showed mercy. Mateusz Gamrot, an equally impressive grappler (but with worse top control time than Rebecki and Gillespie) also managed to get CDF to tap to strikes (which is a big, big red flag). Beneil Dariush, though not a pressure wrestler or big ground striker, was able to ground CDF and ride out top position to win comfortably against the Brazilian on two separate occasions. In short, CDF is a prime victim for Rebecki’s style.
And to make matters worse, all of those three aforementioned fights of CDFs happened three years ago. The Brazilian is now 39 years old, and we’ve only seen him compete once since the trio of losses. That was against Michael Johnson, in a fight he was quite clearly losing and was looking terrible in before his power and Johnson’s A+ capitulation managed to gift him a win. Sad for me as I was on the underdog there and felt it was a great bet, but really anyone who bets on a flake like Michael Johnson gets what they pay for.
I felt that -250 was just not a steep enough price tag for Rebecki here, so I bet him heavy a week ago. I fully believe in the guy’s abilities as a grappler, and CDF is ripe for the picking when looking to execute that kind of style. That’s not to mention CDF looks fucking old and clearly on his way out, and is being fed to a 19-1, 31-year-old beast that can get another dominant win on his record against a veteran with a recognisable name (if you don’t recognise CDF’s name, you a casual). I played Rebecki for 3u at -250, then parlay’d him for 2u more with Michel Pereira against Ihor Poteiria last week. That’s 5u in total riding on Rebecki.
I’ve noticed that the betting line has now moved into the -300s since then. I’m a bit sick of harping on about how much of an edge you get by working ahead, but there’s yet another example.
How I line this fight: Carlos Diego Ferreira +400 (20%), Mateusz Rebecki -400 (80%)
Bet or pass: 3u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-250), 2u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-105, parlay’d with Michel Pereira last week)
Prop leans: None, but CDF’s ability to wilt on bottom would make me believe Rebecki can finish him here, most likely via KO
~JJ Aldrich vs Veronica Hardy~
JJ Aldrich has historically been a bit of a money train for me, because she doesn’t get the respect she deserves for her skillset. I arb’d out of a bet on Aldrich when I confidently bet her at the opener against Montana De La Rosa (admittedly I got spooked by the line movement and the face I was on an island with that one). I also bet her against Na Liang (she underperformed there, in fairness), Gillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos too.
Her style ain’t pretty, and it doesn’t blow your hair back…but Aldrich is a very competent striker that also has very good takedown defence. If you aren’t an above average striker, you’re therefore likely to struggle against her. Look what she did against Erin Blanchfield – she competently won most of the minutes in that fight and could have easily gone on to beat Erin were it not for that very lucky guillotine (not to discredit a good win from Erin, but it was fortuitous). Yes it’s easy to say that in hindsight, but it’s a testament to the skills Aldrich has, and the fact she’s not really faced too many steps up in competition over the years actually makes her quite underrated.
Veronica Hardy has been a bit of a strange one since she came back to competition. Everyone faded her (myself included) against Juliana Miller, which was possibly the squarest bet I have ever placed in my life. She looked good there, but I think her performance that day was flattered by how awful her opponent was and how much she overcame the betting odds and the lay-off. It felt like the perfect storm for Veronica, so the fact she overcame it kind of bolsters that win when in reality she beat a non-UFC calibre fighter. Miller is also purely a grappler and couldn’t get her takedowns going, so there isn’t really a whole lot of comparison to make for that fight anyway because that’s not JJ’s style.
Hardy’s last appearance came against Jamey-Lyn Horth, a then 6-0 Canadian fighter who hadn’t done anything remarkable in her career, other than beat the equally average and non-UFC calibre Hailey Cowan. The fight was razor close, with both women incidentally landing the exact same number of significant strikes and takedowns. A split decision was understandable there, it was a hard one to score. Wasn’t impressive.
Back to this fight, and I am once again very confused by the betting line, because I think the market is massively underrating JJ Aldrich, as always. She’s faced the much better level of competition in recent years, and the only fighter that’s gotten the better of her in the striking is Ariane Lipski.
Even if you’re just wiki-capping this fight, you should conclude that Aldrich deserves to be favoured. So what does Veronica Hardy have that bridges that gap and pushes her to be the slight favourite? Is it popularity? The fact that she’s hot? Her affiliations to Dan Hardy? The fact she’s a personality outside of MMA? I don’t know but I genuinely think it’s more likely to be any of those things than anything we see on tape! Because I didn’t see anything.
Honestly I think it’s quite likely that those are the factors. A fight like this isn’t going to get a lot of action, and any casual making a 12-fold parlay is more likely to recognise Hardy’s name? Idk, it’s a weird one but either way I’m betting Aldrich for 2u here at +125. I think she should be -150 at least.
How I line this fight: JJ Aldrich -150 (60%), Veronica Hardy +150 (36%)
Bet or pass: 2u JJ Aldrich to Win (+125), 0.5u JJ Aldrich to Win by Decision (+175 or better)
Prop leans: Likely an Aldrich decision
Bets (Bold = been placed)
1u Rodrigo Nascimento to Win (+137) (cashed out of a unit as Nascimento didn't take his Tshirt off at scale and that a huge red flag for me lol)
2u Tecia Torres to Win (+137)
0.25u Tecia Torres to Win by Decision (+170)
1u Terrance McKinney to Win in Round 1 or Esteban Ribovics to Win in Round 2 or 3 (+130)
2u Viacheslav Borshchev to Win (-137)
3u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-250)
2u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-105) (parlay with Michel Pereira from last week)
2u JJ Aldrich to Win (+125)
0.25u JJ Aldrich to Win by Decision (+170)
2u Robelis Despaigne to Win (-163)
0.25u Parlay Pieces (+420)
Parlay Pieces: McKinney/Ribovics Under 2.5 Rounds, Ricci/Pennington Over 2.5 Rounds, Aldrich/Hardy Over 2.5 Rounds, Viacheslav Borshchev, Mateusz Rebecki, Robelis Despaigne
Dog of the Week: JJ Aldrich
FUTURE BETS
2u Edson Barboza to Win (+125 or better)
2u Angela Hill to Win (-137)
2u Piera Rodriguez to Win (-120)
2u Kleydson Rodrigues to Win (-175 or better)
1u Abus Magomedov to Win & Under 1.5 Rounds (+100 or better)
submitted by sideswipe781 to MMAbetting [link] [comments]
2024 - Staked: 229.55u, Profit/Loss: -5.57u
As always, scroll down for UFC St. Louis Breakdowns. The following is just a recap of last event’s results.
~UFC 301 (PREVIOUS CARD)~
Staked: 10.75u
Profit/Loss: -0.29u
Parlay Suggestions: 4-1
It may be chalked up as the slightest loss, but the Pereira/Rebecki parlay rolling on means this one could end up in the green in hindsight, so I’m happy with how things went really. Shoutout to Joanderson Brito for a great gameplan, he never let Shore into that fight and I don’t think it really mattered that it ended under strange circumstances. Borralho dominated as expected. Lucindo could have been more live for a submission if she’d had more time in round 1, but her striking was too superior. Drakkar Klose did what he does best. On to the next one.
✅ 5u Caio Borralho to Win at -275 (won +1.8u)
✅ 2u Michel Pereira + Mateusz Rebecki to Win at -105 (rolls on to upcoming event)
✅ 2u Drakkar Klose to Win at -137 (won +1.46u)
❌ 2u Jack Shore to Win at +140
❌ 1u Iasmin Lucindo to Win by Submission at +350
✅ Arb on Martinez/Aldo (won +0.2u)
❌ 0.25u Parlay Pieces
❌ 0.5u Trixie
~UFC St. Louis~
From a fan perspective this card is a bit dry, but from a betting perspective I think it’s got a lot of opportunities and it’s one I’m really looking forward to. At the time of writing, the event is in nine days and I’ve already placed five moneyline bets! It’s nice that there will be a crowd too, the Apex is boring.
Lots to say, so let’s get into it!
~Derrick Lewis vs Rodrigo Nascimento~
Very surprised by the betting line here. Derrick Lewis cannot be trusted to defend a takedown at this stage in his career, and that really isn’t a secret at all.
In my opinion, unless Derrick Lewis is facing a pure striker with equally low output, or a massively inferior level of competition, he shouldn’t be the betting favourite against anyone in the UFC. Of course he’s the most prolific knockout artist the UFC has ever seen so he cannot be too much of a dog either, but he’s literally KO or bust in every single fight. Betting is a game of probabilities, and I think it’s difficult to really argue that Lewis should be favoured to find the KO 50% of the time in a five-round fight. Especially when he faces an opponent that has the capabilities to put him on his back. look how easily Serghei Spivac justified a -225 pricetag against Derrick Lewis! No significant strikes absorbed, and a submission win inside three minutes. How Jailton Almeida didn’t manage to do the same, I’ll never know…but it still was very dominant.
Rodrigo Nascimento may not come to the Octagon with a singlet on, but he’s quite reliable to shoot takedowns when necessary – Such as against Tanner Boser, another heavyweight with notoriously bad takedown defence. Another important facet to his style is his BJJ. It’s been some time since we’ve seen him win by submission, but a heavyweight that looks to finish the fight on the mat will always be better than one who just lays and prays once they set up a dominant position (such as a Curtis Blaydes or a Carl Williams). Lewis is surprisingly durable on the mat, which gives him the opportunity to have another crack at the KO when the next round starts, but a submission threat like a Spivac or perhaps a Nascimento can look to get the fight stopped before that happens.
Nascimento isn’t a bad striker either, and whilst I certainly don’t recommend it, I don’t think it’s super crazy to imagine him possibly winning a striking battle here by playing the range game and out-voluming Lewis – at the very least he will keep it competitive whilst he’s conscious. This isn’t going even going to be as binary as the Spivac fight, where extended periods on the feet are so clearly in favour of Lewis.
Lewis has faced a lot of grapplers recently. He was +370 against Jailton, +180 against De Lima, +190 against Spivac, +300 against Blaydes…so why is he a favourite against an opponent that can also land takedowns against him? And also one who is probably the second best striker amongst those aforementioned names!? I know that Nascimento isn’t a pure grappler like some of them…but surely it would take about 30 seconds of gameplanning to realise that grappling is definitely the route to take here? We’ve seen him go 15 minutes and have control time for more than half a fight before. I also know that Nascimento hasn’t fought a level of opposition anywhere near this experienced or ‘high level’, but given the gap in skills I think there are regional
I’m not saying Nascimento is a vastly superior UFC fighter or someone destined for great things, but he’s well-rounded and capable of executing a very obvious gameplan. I will therefore be playing him for 2u at +140 or better. This is purely a bet based on number I’m getting on Nascimento, and I think everyone should be on it. Perhaps I am putting too much stock into the intelligence of a fighter (something I never like to do), but this really is a must bet. I do not believe you can mathematically justify Derrick Lewis being expected to win more than 50% of the time against an opponent that is better than him at everything except pure power.
I decided to pull the trigger as the more I think about this, the more I think this betting angle is obvious. There’s a risk in going early as Lewis is obviously a popular name, but I think the +137 is clear value, so I took it for 2u.
How I line this fight: Derrick Lewis +125 (45%), Rodrigo Nascimento -125 (55%)
Bet or pass: 2u Rodrigo Nascimento to Win (+137)
Prop leans: None, though Nascimento Submission is the very obvious lean
~Joaquin Buckley v Nursulton Ruziboev~
Late notice fight announcement but glad to see Buckley got himself a co-main spot on a home card. Buckley’s slowly growing into a decent fighter, and has proven to be much more than just the hard-hitting muscle-man that he was originally thought to be. Seeing him get a win over Vicente Luque is pretty mad, I even thought he’d struggle with Alex Morono.
Nursulton Ruziboev’s brief UFC career has seen him win by KO early in round one both times. Yeah, he hits hard. What else? I don’t really know. Buckley can live and die by the sword if you want to go full rabies with him (plenty of KO wins but also KO losses to Di Chirico, Holland and Curtis).
I’m sure this one will be fireworks, but I don’t really know how you could approach betting this one, other than targeting the clearly juiced FDGTD. We got Guskov/Spann at -20000 a few weeks ago, so I wouldn’t hold your breath. Onto the next one. Excited to see the fireworks though.
How I line this fight: No idea
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Terrance McKinney vs Esteban Ribovics~
Terrance McKinney is always an interesting fighter to look at from a betting perspective, because he’s got that unique 5 minutes of danger before falling off a cliff. It’s kind of funny to me how the UFC had to clearly cut back on the level of competition they’d been feeding McKinney, because he hit his ceiling pretty hard in the Sadykhov and Bonfim fights.
The front-runner style therefore makes his fights easy to get creative with, props wise. Basically, you go McKinney R1, or Ribovics R2/3. So which one do you go for? Well, that’s unfortunately where the confident opinions start to run out. McKinney should definitely be live for that R1 finish though, because I think Ribovics will struggle to contend with his power and physicality whilst they’re both fresh. His takedown defence against Radzhabov was not up to par either, and the scrambles could see him get caught in a submission against the opportunistic McKinney all the same.
However, if the fight does make it past that opening round, Ribovics certainly looks spirited and gritty enough to turn up the heat and force McKinney to capitulate like he usually does. It’s one of those weird capitulations where he doesn’t seem gassed or mentally checked out – it feels like he swaps places with his twin brother that’s not a fighter whilst on the stool. Kind of like Alex Hernandez.
So yeah, I’ll do what I usually do in these spots and see what kind of price I can get by building a McKinney R1 or Ribovics R2/3 prop for myself…but other than that I don’t think we’ll be finding any sort of value anywhere here. The McKinney prop narrative is pretty well documented at this stage. Though the live-betting angle will always exist because the 3rd party people have no idea what they’re watching.
In terms of a moneyline, Esteban obviously has to be favoured due to the higher finishing potential across the available 15 minutes (he could win in R1,2, or 3). Definitely not interested in playing anything than that McKinney 1 or Ribovics 2/3 combination.
How I line this fight: Terrance McKinney +175 (36%), Esteban Ribovics -175 (64%)
Bet or pass: Potential single bet on McKinney R1 or Ribovics R2/3
Prop leans: See above
~Alonzo Menifield vs Carlos Ulberg~
Zo Menifield is a better fighter than many give him credit for, but I think this might be a terrible stylistic fight for him. He’s going up against the much more technical and quick striker, who can also hit pretty hard. For Zo to do the work he wants to do on the feet, he’s going to need to get inside, and for every moment he’s not there he’s going to be on the end of Ulberg’s superior straight shots. He’s basically going to have to get hit twice, to land one himself.
Before I started looking into this fight I was intrigued by Menifield’s potential path to victory via wrestling, but the stats he’s currently averaging 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, and just beat a kickboxer across 15 minutes in Dustin Jacoby without landing one. Not sure why I had it in my head that he looks to grapple.
That Jacoby fight does give some credit to Alonzo and indicate that he’s not as outmatched as you’d expect a less technical tank to be. The same logic I used in the opening paragraph really should also have applied to Dustin Jacoby, but DJ’s not a particularly reliable striker and is prone to some moments of stupidity.
So yeah…I think Zo’s got a chance, but it’s going to be an uphill battle that he loses more often than not. The line’s a bit too wide for my liking as Ulberg is flavour of the month at LHW, but either way I see no value to bet either guy here.
How I line this fight: Alonzo Menifield +200 (33%), Carlos Ulberg -200 (67%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Tabatha Ricci v Tecia Torres-Pennington~
Another fight where I am very confused by the betting line. Yes, Tecia Torres has been out of competition whilst having a baby with Raquel Pennington, but it looks like she’s already back in ridiculous shape and I think the narrative of doubting/fading mothers is pretty overblown. Enough WMMA fighters have come back having given birth and looked fine. I asked a few mothers I know who work out and they didn’t think they suffered much of a set back once they shifted the initial weight. I take my research very seriously, you see, and if this bet loses it’s all their fault.
So I’m going to (perhaps foolishly) assume that the Tecia Torres we get for this fight is the same as the one from tape…and that woman absolutely should not be the underdog to Tabatha Ricci. She’s got a great mixture of speed and volume on the feet, and is more than capable of keeping herself safe in the grappling department. There are very few fighters outside the top five that I’d think should be a favourite against Tecia. And that’s even before considering that this fight is a decent matchup for her.
Comparatively, Tabatha Ricci has struggled whenever she’s faced an opponent that she can’t out-grapple. She put together a great run against Gillian Robertson, Jessica Penne, Polyana Viana and Maria Oliveira, but landed between 3-5 takedowns in all of those fights and either had a significant amount of subsequent top control time, or was the superior striker anyway. After that run, she faced Loopy Godinez in her most recent fight, where her takedowns were shut down and she was forced to strike against an okay-ish striker. It went to a split, but the majority of media scorecards were were in favour of Godinez for her superior striking. Not being able to differentiate yourself in the striking department against Godinez isn’t a very good sign really.
When it comes to decision heavy WMMA fighters, I think the statistics are at their most reliable (and I’m not much of a statistics guy usually). The stats here clearly paint the picture that Tecia Torres is the superior martial artist on the feet. She lands more, she gets hit way less. She has much better accuracy, and she defends more. And she got all of those superior stats from going 15 minutes against Marina, Namajunas (x2) Andrade, Joanna and Weili, whereas Ricci has padded hers by teeing off on Gillian Robertson and Jessica Penne.
If Torres-Pennington is able to get back to anywhere near the same level as she was before the pregnancy, I think the betting line is massively wrong here. God bless Alayah Torres-Pennington for this betting line! 2u on Torres-Pennington. I moved in when it was +137, but the line has shifted since. It’s always a good idea to consider playing WMMA underdogs, so this one was a no brainer to me.
How I line this fight: Tecia Torres-Pennington -150 (60%), Tabatha Ricci +150 (40%)
Bet or pass: 2u Tecia Torres-Pennington to Win (+137), perhaps an extra 0.5u on Torres Decision
Prop leans: Torres by Decision is a very reliable MoV
~Sean Woodson vs Alex Caceres~
Alex Caceres is a really tricky one. He has improved so, so much in the last few years, and I’d never have believed he’d make it this far. He was a contestant on TUF 12, the show most recent to when I started watching MMA (which also brought us Michael Johnson). Those who have been watching prelims for many years will remember when Alex was nothing more than a veteran that couldn’t wrestle for shit, and was constantly being used to further the careers of submission based fighters (Kron Gracie, for example). Somehow, during the lockdown break, he managed to sharpen the takedown defence and completely re-invented himself as a fighter. He’s 7-2 in his last nine, and the losses have come against Sodiq Yusuff and Giga Chikadze. A very respectable body of work.
Sean Woodson’s career has also had its ups and downs. He was touted as a prospect to look out for back in the day of Glory MMA & Fitness and everyone’s favourite UFC gambler, James Krause. Unfortunately for the gangly and unorthodox Woodson, he couldn’t handle the pressure and ended up having all of his hype destroyed by Julian Erosa. He won a few more fights, but then drew with Luis Saldana, and by that point everyone thought he was a busted prospect that couldn’t be trusted to win against anyone. Then he pulled off an upset against Charles Jourdain recently, and now we don’t know what to think.
So this is basically a bout between two guys who have blown hot and cold in different stages of their career, and they’re therefore guys I often look to gloss over when I see that they’re fighting because I know they can easily oveunder perform in relation to expectations. Woodson should be the more diverse and unorthodox fighter of the two to be able to win minutes against Bruce Leroy, but the power that Caceres has on the return very much could turn the tide in an instant. Woodson isn’t defensively sound and relies on his length too much, and we have seen him fumble winnable fights before.
I don’t have much confidence in this one at all, but I understand why Woodson’s the slight favourite, given his tricky style and frame, and the fact he’s a bit younger. The books have lined this one correctly though, using their vig to price either side out of being an appealing price. I’m not really sure how someone has a strong opinion on this one really.
How I line this fight: Sean Woodson -137 (58%), Alex Caceres +137 (42%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Jake Hadley vs Charles Johnson~
Another Charles Johnson fight, another anti-grappling gameplan. I’m getting a bit bored of seeing the exact same fight really, it would be cool to see Johnson stand and trade with someone for 15 minutes.
In fairness to Hadley he’s hardly one-dimensional, but he’s definitely best as a grappler that uses striking as a means to an end. We have seen what he looks like when he can’t have significant top control time, or when he goes up against a guy that can put him on his back. And it shows him to be a great hammer but a bad nail.
Charles Johnson’s resurgence has been a very interesting turn of events! If you’re a regular UFC bettor, you’ll know Johnson as one of the most untrustworthy guys on the roster, who fails to put his stamp on rounds and only seems to be able to produce a maximum of 55% of superiority per round. That was, until he fought Azat Maksum last time, where his tenacity was enough for him to turn the fight on its head in the latter half, finally providing a Charles Johnson fight where we had confidence on what the judges’ scorecards were going to look like!
Johnson is a very hard guy to finish though, because he doesn’t have any actual major weaknesses that aren’t based on self-sabotage. That is going to turn into his biggest strength here against Hadley, whose 2-2 decision record paints a clear picture. In a fight where a finish is going to be hard to come by, I think this one is going to run very close, in typical Charles Johnson fashion. In short, Johnson’s skills nullify Hadley’s greatest skill, so this one should run closer than it might look on the wikicap.
Therefore, your only options are probably to hold your breath and bet Johnson as the +130 underdog for a bit of value, or pass completely. A bet on Hadley is definitely not adviseable at – money.
I was lining up to play the overs/FGTD, but I’ve seen that the Over 2.5 Rounds sits at -250…which is far too steep for me to entertain. Those bookies are sharp!
How I line this fight: Jake Hadley +100 (50%), Charles Johnson +100 (50%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: Either man’s decision prop could be an interesting way to bet this one.
~Jared Gooden vs Kevin Jousset~
Kevin Jousset makes his third appearance for the UFC, having impressed in two victories against Kiefer Crosbie (can) and Song Kenan (decent enough fighter). His output and diversity in the latter fight was really what caught my attention, as I was personally unsure he would be able to hang with UFC calibre opposition. I did bet him in his debut against Crosbie because his opponent that day has no business being in the UFC, but even the way he looked in that one had me questioning if he was up to the challenge.
On the subject of having ‘no business being in the UFC’, Jousset faces Jared Gooden. I know Gooden is a long time friend and associate of Dan Levy (HalfTheBattle) so I’m always hoping he does well, but honestly he’s proven countless times that he’s not good enough to be here. Of course, he’s a powerful guy, and in a cagefight that attribute is going to result in a couple of upsets…but Gooden has been competently outgrappled and outstruck on too many occasions for me to believe in him. Plus, he finally hit that KO path to victory against Wellington Turman, who is notoriously untrustworthy and shocking on the feet. If I remember correctly I was very adamant that people shouldn’t bet him there.
Jousset is a well-rounded guy as well. He’s not the most devastating striker but he does good defensive work (which is key here). He’s also more than happy to mix in takedowns and grappling when he deems it necessary, which is another advantageous asset here.
In short, whilst I’m still kind of suspicious of Jousset’s overally capabilities and whether or not he’s going to make anything of himself in the UFC, I can definitely see this one being an advantageous stylistic fight for him as the more well-rounded man. If Jousset can stay safe from Gooden’s power, he should have an easy enough victory on his hands.
In terms of the betting line, I would have put Jousset anywhere from the -200 to -250 range, which is pretty much where he’s landed. Makes sense to me. I’m glad I don’t have to consider betting this fight, because trusting either man with my money doesn’t feel good.
How I line this fight: Jared Gooden +225 (31%), Kevin Jousset -225 (69%)
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Chase Hooper vs Viacheslav Borshchev~
Probably the most binary and therefore divisive fight on the card, which makes it possibly the most exciting one. Hooper’s a great grappler that can’t strike. Borshchev is a great striker that can’t defend takedowns.
I always land on the same conclusion when it comes to this kind of conundrum, and it’s because of our good friend Mackenzie Dern. Your BJJ doesn’t really mean shit if you have no wrestling (aside from pulling guard or catching submissions whilst standing, both of which don’t really happen often at all), and Chase Hooper doesn’t really have much wrestling. Of course, Slava Claus has bad wrestling defence…but I’d rate Hooper’s wrestling as clearly inferior to that of Mike Davis, Marc Diakiese or Nazim Sadykhov, so there aren’t actually strong guarantees that Chase can even consistently land takedowns here.
Obviously I think you have to make Borshchev the favourite here, as all fights start standing and his grappling defence seems solid enough that he shouldn’t get instantly submitted if he does get forced to the floor anyway. If that’s the case, I think he can clearly do damage and win fights off the scoring criteria. Hooper’s a tough kid, but when he eats shots they all look like fight enders with the amount his head snaps back. I genuinely think cutting his hair was a good strategic move for him. Also, this fight will have a live audience, and that plays ever so slightly into the metrics of the KO threat, not the grappler (because people still boo takedowns sometimes).
The books have it lined pretty where I would expect, with a small to moderate lean in Slava’s favour, so I don’t really think there’s any point in forcing a bet here. Both men have legitimate paths, it’s just that the Russian’s is slightly easier to land and will be more definitive. A win for Hooper likely sees him outgrapple his opponent for 15, whereas Borshchev can do it with one punch. Betting Slava KO would probably be the smartest play available, because that’s most of his win condition, whereas Hooper could win by all three methods.
I have noticed since writing that Slava may be moving down to -150, which is where I grade him without vig. If that price does solidify market wide, I may be interested in playing him to win by KO, or perhaps KO/DEC Double Chance. It would only be a 1u thing, but watch this space.
How I line this fight: Chase Hooper +150 (40%), Viacheslav Borshchev -150 (60%)
Bet or pass: 1u Slava KO or Slava KO/Dec…we will see.
Prop leans: None
~Trey Waters vs Billy Goff~
I honestly can’t remember a thing about either guy, I was surprised to see this wasn’t a double debut. From looking at Tapology I vaguely remember their last fights, with Goff steamrolling that Japanese guy on the South Korea card and Waters styling on Josh Quinlan.
I need a lot more info than that to be able to decipher this one. Info I honestly cannot be bothered to go and find, considering the most I could get would be a low-confidence opinion. I’mma pass on this one and admit I just couldn’t be arsed. I’m quite confident I wouldn’t have felt comfortable betting it anyway, so that’s probably some time saved. Check out Slayer’s breakdown on Wednesday/Thursday, he’ll have the goods.
How I line this fight: Didn’t do tape
Bet or pass: Pass
Prop leans: None
~Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Robelis Despaigne~
I’ve been a consistent Waldo hater since he came to the UFC. He’s a fat guy who strikes, but his power actually looks to be severely lacking. In fact, the only thing he actually does well is a leg kick. Seriously, how can you be that size, that young, and still not KO 2024 Andrei Arlovski? Don’Tale Mayes did it. Waldo also lost a round to Chase Sherman and Jared Vanderaa ffs. I have every reason not to understand why he’s looked at favorably.
Robelis Despaigne’s UFC debut was short lived but impressive all the same. That stuff doesn’t tell us much at all, but he’s a very credentialed combat sports athlete (Lonon 2012 Olympic Bronze Medalist). I can’t really say it with super confidence, but this does feel like it should be a very winnable fight for him.
A lot of people are immediately quoting Despaigne’s MMA record and highlighting his inexperience, but my counter to that would be to consider what experience and tools he is actually going to need here?
I don’t think Cortes-Acosta will have any interest in grappling or attempting takedowns, and I also think he’s the inferior fighter from a power perspective. In a fight like this, what more do you really need?
I’m surprised Despaigne is only around -170 here. I get that he’s inexperienced in MMA but he’s far more experienced than Waldo in professional competition. Maybe I’m being too basic with my analysis here and Waldo actually has something for him, but I was expecting -250 at least. I did initially hesitate on whether or not I wanted to play Despaigne here, given I’ve not got a whole lot to offer in my analysis other than Olympian vs fat boi….but I don’t think Waldo brings anything uniquely MMA to the table that Despaigne is going to struggle with?
I scoffed at that Jhonata Diniz guy making his debut -250 to Austen Lane few weeks ago because I saw a clear angle for an MMA based opponent to capitalise on a skillset that the vastly more credentialed striker wouldn’t be well versed in dealing with. Given what we saw there, I’d say I was absolutely right. Diniz still got the job done, but Lane was able to weaponise MMA experience. Waldo probably won’t. Honestly it wouldn’t even surprise me to see Robelis try and show off some of his MMA improvements and shoot a takedown on fat boi.
2u Robelis Despaigne to win at -163. This could age terribly because I know I’m going against my principles here…but this betting line could look like an absolute gift in hindsight.
How I line this fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta +250 (29%), Robelis Despaigne -250 (71%)
Bet or pass: 2u Robelis Despaigne to Win (-163)
Prop leans: None
~Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Rebecki~
Very simple fight to break down, I think. Rebecki’s a very dominant wrestler with the topside grappling ability to keep you there once he grounds you. We haven’t seen him fight a super high level of competition yet, but I think we’ve seen enough to be excited by him as a prospect.
The above description of Rebecki’s style sounds a lot like a fella called Gregor Gillespie. We saw him face Carlos Diego Ferreira back in 2021 and ultimately force a stoppage by using his style to overwhelm CDF until the ref showed mercy. Mateusz Gamrot, an equally impressive grappler (but with worse top control time than Rebecki and Gillespie) also managed to get CDF to tap to strikes (which is a big, big red flag). Beneil Dariush, though not a pressure wrestler or big ground striker, was able to ground CDF and ride out top position to win comfortably against the Brazilian on two separate occasions. In short, CDF is a prime victim for Rebecki’s style.
And to make matters worse, all of those three aforementioned fights of CDFs happened three years ago. The Brazilian is now 39 years old, and we’ve only seen him compete once since the trio of losses. That was against Michael Johnson, in a fight he was quite clearly losing and was looking terrible in before his power and Johnson’s A+ capitulation managed to gift him a win. Sad for me as I was on the underdog there and felt it was a great bet, but really anyone who bets on a flake like Michael Johnson gets what they pay for.
I felt that -250 was just not a steep enough price tag for Rebecki here, so I bet him heavy a week ago. I fully believe in the guy’s abilities as a grappler, and CDF is ripe for the picking when looking to execute that kind of style. That’s not to mention CDF looks fucking old and clearly on his way out, and is being fed to a 19-1, 31-year-old beast that can get another dominant win on his record against a veteran with a recognisable name (if you don’t recognise CDF’s name, you a casual). I played Rebecki for 3u at -250, then parlay’d him for 2u more with Michel Pereira against Ihor Poteiria last week. That’s 5u in total riding on Rebecki.
I’ve noticed that the betting line has now moved into the -300s since then. I’m a bit sick of harping on about how much of an edge you get by working ahead, but there’s yet another example.
How I line this fight: Carlos Diego Ferreira +400 (20%), Mateusz Rebecki -400 (80%)
Bet or pass: 3u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-250), 2u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-105, parlay’d with Michel Pereira last week)
Prop leans: None, but CDF’s ability to wilt on bottom would make me believe Rebecki can finish him here, most likely via KO
~JJ Aldrich vs Veronica Hardy~
JJ Aldrich has historically been a bit of a money train for me, because she doesn’t get the respect she deserves for her skillset. I arb’d out of a bet on Aldrich when I confidently bet her at the opener against Montana De La Rosa (admittedly I got spooked by the line movement and the face I was on an island with that one). I also bet her against Na Liang (she underperformed there, in fairness), Gillian Robertson and Vanessa Demopoulos too.
Her style ain’t pretty, and it doesn’t blow your hair back…but Aldrich is a very competent striker that also has very good takedown defence. If you aren’t an above average striker, you’re therefore likely to struggle against her. Look what she did against Erin Blanchfield – she competently won most of the minutes in that fight and could have easily gone on to beat Erin were it not for that very lucky guillotine (not to discredit a good win from Erin, but it was fortuitous). Yes it’s easy to say that in hindsight, but it’s a testament to the skills Aldrich has, and the fact she’s not really faced too many steps up in competition over the years actually makes her quite underrated.
Veronica Hardy has been a bit of a strange one since she came back to competition. Everyone faded her (myself included) against Juliana Miller, which was possibly the squarest bet I have ever placed in my life. She looked good there, but I think her performance that day was flattered by how awful her opponent was and how much she overcame the betting odds and the lay-off. It felt like the perfect storm for Veronica, so the fact she overcame it kind of bolsters that win when in reality she beat a non-UFC calibre fighter. Miller is also purely a grappler and couldn’t get her takedowns going, so there isn’t really a whole lot of comparison to make for that fight anyway because that’s not JJ’s style.
Hardy’s last appearance came against Jamey-Lyn Horth, a then 6-0 Canadian fighter who hadn’t done anything remarkable in her career, other than beat the equally average and non-UFC calibre Hailey Cowan. The fight was razor close, with both women incidentally landing the exact same number of significant strikes and takedowns. A split decision was understandable there, it was a hard one to score. Wasn’t impressive.
Back to this fight, and I am once again very confused by the betting line, because I think the market is massively underrating JJ Aldrich, as always. She’s faced the much better level of competition in recent years, and the only fighter that’s gotten the better of her in the striking is Ariane Lipski.
Even if you’re just wiki-capping this fight, you should conclude that Aldrich deserves to be favoured. So what does Veronica Hardy have that bridges that gap and pushes her to be the slight favourite? Is it popularity? The fact that she’s hot? Her affiliations to Dan Hardy? The fact she’s a personality outside of MMA? I don’t know but I genuinely think it’s more likely to be any of those things than anything we see on tape! Because I didn’t see anything.
Honestly I think it’s quite likely that those are the factors. A fight like this isn’t going to get a lot of action, and any casual making a 12-fold parlay is more likely to recognise Hardy’s name? Idk, it’s a weird one but either way I’m betting Aldrich for 2u here at +125. I think she should be -150 at least.
How I line this fight: JJ Aldrich -150 (60%), Veronica Hardy +150 (36%)
Bet or pass: 2u JJ Aldrich to Win (+125), 0.5u JJ Aldrich to Win by Decision (+175 or better)
Prop leans: Likely an Aldrich decision
Bets (Bold = been placed)
1u Rodrigo Nascimento to Win (+137) (cashed out of a unit as Nascimento didn't take his Tshirt off at scale and that a huge red flag for me lol)
2u Tecia Torres to Win (+137)
0.25u Tecia Torres to Win by Decision (+170)
1u Terrance McKinney to Win in Round 1 or Esteban Ribovics to Win in Round 2 or 3 (+130)
2u Viacheslav Borshchev to Win (-137)
3u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-250)
2u Mateusz Rebecki to Win (-105) (parlay with Michel Pereira from last week)
2u JJ Aldrich to Win (+125)
0.25u JJ Aldrich to Win by Decision (+170)
2u Robelis Despaigne to Win (-163)
0.25u Parlay Pieces (+420)
Parlay Pieces: McKinney/Ribovics Under 2.5 Rounds, Ricci/Pennington Over 2.5 Rounds, Aldrich/Hardy Over 2.5 Rounds, Viacheslav Borshchev, Mateusz Rebecki, Robelis Despaigne
Dog of the Week: JJ Aldrich
FUTURE BETS
2u Edson Barboza to Win (+125 or better)
2u Angela Hill to Win (-137)
2u Piera Rodriguez to Win (-120)
2u Kleydson Rodrigues to Win (-175 or better)
1u Abus Magomedov to Win & Under 1.5 Rounds (+100 or better)
2024.05.05 04:51 Admirable_Raisin76 Nooo! Not Aunt Joanna!
submitted by Admirable_Raisin76 to scambaiting [link] [comments]
2024.05.05 04:03 sugar_skull_love2846 Uneven feet.
One of my geese has a limp and we're pretty sure her left leg is longer than her right. She seems fine and can get around just fine. I've come across this with pullet chickens, but I've never heard of it happening with geese. I was wondering how often this happens in goslings. It happens pretty often in chickens, depending on the breed and when I tried looking it up on Google I didn't get an answer. Any one else have a wobbly goose or just me? lol.
submitted by sugar_skull_love2846 to geese [link] [comments]
2024.05.04 05:16 Admirable_Raisin76 Nooooooo! Not Aunt Joanna!
 | submitted by Admirable_Raisin76 to ScammerPayback [link] [comments] |
2024.05.01 17:01 NeedleworkerMotor100 Columbus Shows - May 2024
 | submitted by NeedleworkerMotor100 to Columbus [link] [comments] |
2024.04.29 23:42 SanderSo47 Weekend Actuals for April 26-28 – 'Challengers' Wins, But Is No Champion
 | https://preview.redd.it/quk35rj9nhxc1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=7ebeb14ef30c92aee04f497f3efb580d2cd230f2 submitted by SanderSo47 to boxoffice [link] [comments] And so a weak April ends with a whimper. With very little competition, MGM's Challengers topped the box office, yet the numbers fell far short from what its budget and marketing were hoping for. Unsung Hero had a solid start, while Boy Kills World flopped. The weekend also saw the re-release of Alien and The Mummy, both celebrating their 45th anniversary and 25th anniversary respectively. The Top 10 earned a combined $56 million this weekend. That represents a rough 36.2% drop from last year, when The Super Mario Bros. Movie was on its fourth weekend. Debuting in 3,477 theaters, MGM's Challengers debuted with $15 million. That's the biggest debut for any film starring Luca Guadagnino, although it was a very low bar; he never had a single weekend above $3 million. The debut would be solid, if it wasn't for its $55 million budget and extensive marketing campaign. It's tough to ask for a better debut here; tennis is not a popular genre and it's tough to find comparisons. Match Point may be the highest grossing tennis-related at $85 million worldwide, but it's not really a tennis film. The only ones that could be part of the genre would be Wimbledon ($41.6 million) and King Richard ($39.4 million). So even tough there are some sports drama films that gained traction in the past years, tennis was never something that could find an audience in theaters. Amazon MGM operates quite different from other studios. But even in that case, it's unlikely they weren't expecting the film to open higher. After all, they gave this a sizeable budget and an extensive marketing campaign. They relied solely on their star, Zendaya. Which brings up the following point. Does this number mean that Zendaya is a box office draw or not? Well, yes but also no. Deadline reported that 55% of the audience watched the film because Zendaya starred, so if she wasn't the lead, the film wouldn't get this high. At the same time, however, it means that her name can carry a film to this level. While she built a reputation with Spider-Man, Dune and Euphoria, this was her first test as a movie star. And the results were simply underwhelming at best. According to MGM, 58% of the audience was female and a massive 76% was in the 18-34 demographic. They gave it a "B+" on CinemaScore, which is fine for this kind of film. The big question, now, is how it will hold up. The summer season is upon us and the film might get lost in the shuffle, or it could serve as some counter-programming. Perhaps Amazon expects this film to blow up in Prime Video just like Saltburn, although it doesn't make this debut any better. In second place, Lionsgate's Unsung Hero debuted with $7.7 million in 2,832 theaters. This is a solid start, as the film already matched its $6 million budget. The film could also hold extremely well in the coming weeks, as it received a rare "A+" on CinemaScore. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire stayed in the Top 3, easing just 25% and adding $7.2 million this weekend. That takes its domestic total to $181.7 million. After leading the box office for two weekends, A24's Civil War fell to fourth place, although it still eased just 38% and added $7 million. With $56.1 million in the bank, it's already A24's second highest grossing film ever. Universal's Abigail dropped 49% and earned $5.2 million. That's a solid drop for a horror title, although its small debut helped it. Through ten days, it has made $18.7 million. The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare dropped 57% and grossed $3.8 million. That's quite rough, especially considering its solid reception and weak debut. Through ten days, the film has earned a meager $15.4 million. With no animated competition, Kung Fu Panda 4 continued holding well. It eased 23% and added $3.5 million. That takes its domestic total at $185 million. Ghostbusters: Afterlife recovered after its initial poor drops. It eased 27% and added $3.2 million, taking its domestic total to $107.9 million. Nine weeks in, Dune: Part Two is still in the Top 10. It dropped a light 31% and made $2 million. Its domestic total stands at $279.8 million. We had another newcomer this week, and it wound up in tenth place. That was Lionsgate's Boy Kills World, and we can't blame you if you didn't hear of it, as the film flopped with just $1.6 million in 1,993 theaters. With a poor "B–" on CinemaScore, expect this to fade out quickly. Disney and 20th Century Studios re-released Alien in 1,750 theaters for its 45th anniversary. It earned $1.5 million, which takes its lifetime gross to $83 million. Universal also re-released The Mummy for its 25th anniversary. It made $1 million in 1,236 theaters, which takes its lifetime gross to $156.5 million. OVERSEASGodzilla x Kong added $14 million this weekend, taking its worldwide total to $521 million worldwide. It debuted in Japan, although the film was #2 behind ***Detective Conan: The Million-Dollar Pentagram***. The Top 5 markets to date: China ($125.9M), Mexico ($32.1M), UK ($16.9M), India ($14.6M) and Australia ($11.7M). With $11.7 million this weekend, Kung Fu Panda 4 crossed the $500 million milestone worldwide. Another milestone was Dune: Part Two, which finally crossed $700 million worldwide. If Challengers had a soft domestic start, it was even worse overseas. It debuted in 51 markets, but the film made just $9 million this weekend. With last week's early roll-out and its domestic debut, the film has amassed just $25 million. That indicates very weak or poor debuts in big markets, with the United Kingdom being its biggest market with $1.8 million. The only big market left for the film is Japan, which will get the film in June. It might be too early, but it's looking unlikely that the film recovers its budget. One week ahead of its domestic start, The Fall Guy debuted in 38 markets and earned $8.7 million. It had some soft debuts across the world, although there were very few big markets. The biggest debuts were in Australia ($2.9M), Spain ($1M), Netherlands ($556K), New Zealand ($435K) and Hong Kong ($381K). We'll see how it performs next week. Civil War added $8.1 million this weekend, which takes its worldwide total to a pretty good $86.2 million. It should hit $100 million soon. MOVIES THAT ENDED THEIR RUN THIS WEEK
THIS WEEKENDAnd the summer season will finally begin. But we're heading for a steep year-to-year drop. The biggest film will be Universal's The Fall Guy, an adaptation of the 1980s TV series. It stars Ryan Gosling and Emily Blunt, and follows a stuntman working on his ex-girlfriend's directorial debut action film, only to find himself involved in a conspiracy surrounding the film's lead actor. The trailers have sold it as an action comedy that could appeal to both men and women, and David Leitch has proved to be a very reliable director at the box office. It also has strong reviews, but the film will really need some help to recoup its $125 million budget. And as mentioned, the first weekend of May is a pivotal weekend to kick off the summer season. Sony is releasing the latest horror film, Tarot, which centers on a group of college friends who start dying in ways that are related to their fortunes after having their tarot cards read. It's easy to say that horror is a reliable genre at the box office, but the past months have seen very underwhelming results for the genre, with not a single one earning higher than Night Swim ($54 million). And it's unlikely Tarot becomes the film that surpasses that mark. A24 is also releasing one of the buzziest indie films of the season, I Saw the TV Glow. The film has earned rave reviews since its debut in Sundance, and it will get a wide expansion two weeks later. Can this surprise? |
2024.04.29 22:29 sadpug12 Activists, helpe save the lives of waterfowls
 | Hello fellow vegans, I'm desperately in need of help on an important project I'm working on. First of all, please take a look at these photos before I elaborate. submitted by sadpug12 to VeganActivism [link] [comments] Wetlands and Wildlife, a (my) local animal rescue organization avers the topmost reason for people bringing them injured birds is due to improper disposal of fishing gear. Be it fishing lines, lured hooks/ baited hooks etc. Birds tied to tree branches by fishing lines dangling from their legs, which end up winding around the trees they land on. Some with entanglement so tight, the flesh starts to rot due to loss of circulation. Mere goslings with legs that swell up to 3-4 times their actual size having walked into someone's littered lines. No exaggeration. I could go on, but the photos above will suffice to paint a clear image of the horrors the animals are forced to endure at my local pond. Please note that the cases (described & photographed) are not the totality but only a few out of the dozens I've witnessed. There are 2 fishing ponds within the perimeter of this park. I've been coming here for about half a year now to pick up after fishers. It isn't my responsibility, but fishers here are irresponsible. The park goers ignorant to the dangers of fishing gear on wildlife, and couldn't be bothered to help with proper disposal. (Fyi no, they dont belong in the trash). And the park rangers... well let me not get started on them 🤦♀️ Worst of all however, nowhere is there even 1 sign to educate the public on this pressing issue. So fishers continue to litter, park goers continue in their ignorant bliss hence the need I feel to do what I do. Just how do entanglements happen? All that's needed is for them to walk into a loop, get wrapped up in it, yank with their beaks in an effort to rid themselves of this foreign object. Unfortunately, the more they yank, the tighter the fishing line gets. I'm currently trying to get signs put up, in order to do so I'm trying to put together a video do that I can persuade my local authorities. But alas, I don't know the first thing about video editing/production hence this post. I would like to make this a team effort. Anyone who is knowledgeable on video editing or anyone at all who wants to be involved in this project, please get in touch with me. As I'm typing this, I'm currently trying to catch a female mallard with a hook pulling on her tongue, from the hook dangles a long fishing line... the line wraps around her body, but in a way where she can still flap her wings. So despite my best efforts I haven't been able to catch her. Poor thing is an obvious distress. This is getting long-winded, I'll stop here. But it goes without saying that time is of the essence. This issue cannot wait, now is the time act. |
2024.04.27 23:30 SanderSo47 Directors at the Box Office: John Carpenter
 | https://preview.redd.it/k0thuahib3xc1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=8dfac14686afc735da4676b66d658b928f34c2d4 submitted by SanderSo47 to boxoffice [link] [comments] Here's a new edition of "Directors at the Box Office", which seeks to explore the directors' trajectory at the box office and analyze their hits and bombs. I already talked about a few, and as I promised, it's John Carpenter's turn. Carpenter grew up affected and bothered by the highly religious Bible culture of the deep south, and found cinema as an escape from the racism and politics around him. He began making short horror films with an 8mm camera when his father gifted him a camera and a projector before he had even started high school. He enrolled in USC School of Cinematic Arts, but would drop out during the last semester to make his first film. From a box office perspective, how reliable was he to deliver a box office hit? That's the point of this post. To analyze his career. It should be noted that as he started his career in the 1970s, some of the domestic grosses here will be adjusted by inflation. The table with his highest grossing films, however, will be left in its unadjusted form, as the worldwide grosses are more difficult to adjust.Dark Star (1974)"The spaced out odyssey."His directorial debut. It stars Dan O'Bannon, Brian Narelle, Cal Kuniholm and Dre Pahich, and follows the crew of the deteriorating starship Dark Star, twenty years into their mission to destroy unstable planets that might threaten future colonization of other planets. Carpenter and O'Bannon started writing a script for USC. The film began as a 45-minute 16mm student project with a final budget of $6,000. To achieve feature film length, an additional 50 minutes were shot in 1973, with the support of Canadian distributor Jack Murphy (credited as "Production Associate"). O'Bannon's friend, John Landis, got them in contact with producer-distributor Jack H. Harris for distribution. However, Harris demanded 30 minutes of cuts. This is something that O'Bannon and Carpenter disliked, as "We had what would have been the world's most impressive student film and it became the world's least impressive professional film." The film had a very limited theatrical run, and there are no box office numbers available. Carpenter and O'Bannon were unhappy that there were empty screenings and the audience not laughing with the jokes. But it found a cult following after they got famous for their later works. At the very least, their careers were starting. Assault on Precinct 13 (1976)"A white-hot night of hate!"His second film. It stars Austin Stoker, Darwin Joston, Laurie Zimmer, Tony Burton, Martin West, and Nancy Kyes. It follows a police officer who defends a defunct precinct against a relentless criminal gang, with the help of a death row-bound convict. Carpenter had hoped to make a Howard Hawks-style Western like El Dorado or Rio Lobo, but when the $100,000 budget prohibited it, Carpenter refashioned the basic scenario of Rio Bravo into a modern setting. He wrote the script in just 8 days, and it included many references to Hawks' works. He filmed the movie in just 20 days, and he referred to this film as the most fun he has ever had directing. There are no box office numbers available, although it was reported that it had poor sales. While it received initial mixed reviews, its reputation grew and it would become one of his best films. But he needed a hit if he wanted to continue in the business. Halloween (1978)"The night he came home!"His third film. It stars Donald Pleasence, Jamie Lee Curtis, P. J. Soles and Nancy Loomis. The plot centers on a mental patient, Michael Myers, who was committed to a sanitarium for murdering his teenage sister on Halloween night when he was a child. Fifteen years later, having escaped and returned to his hometown, he stalks teenage babysitter Laurie Strode and her friends while under pursuit by his psychiatrist Dr. Samuel Loomis. After watching Assault on Precinct 13 at the Milan Film Festival, independent film producer Irwin Yablans and financier Moustapha Akkad sought out Carpenter to direct a film for them about a psychotic killer that stalked babysitters. He agreed on the $10,000 salary under the condition that he would write, direct and compose with complete creative freedom and asked his then-girlfriend Debra Hill to co-write it with him. They wrote it in just 10 days, with Hill writing most of the dialogue for the female characters. The low budget meant that no big stars would appear in the film. Carpenter wanted Peter Cushing to play Dr. Loomis, but his agent refused with the low salary. Christopher Lee would turn down the role, although he would later deem this as the biggest mistake of his career. Yablans then suggested Pleasence. For Laurie, Carpenter wanted Anne Lockhart, but she was busy. He decided to get Curtis, feeling that publicity would sell itself by casting the daughter of Janet Leigh from Psycho. The film enjoyed a huge success in theaters. It quickly became a word-of-mouth sensation, and earned $70 million worldwide, becoming one of the most profitable horror films ever. It received acclaim, and has been named as a huge influence on the slasher genre. It would spawn a franchise, although Carpenter would not direct another installment ever again.
The Fog (1980)"Bolt your doors. Lock your windows. There's something in the fog!"His fourth film. It stars Adrienne Barbeau, Jamie Lee Curtis, Tom Atkins, Janet Leigh and Hal Holbrook. It tells the story of a strange, glowing fog that sweeps over a small coastal town in Northern California, bringing with it the vengeful ghosts of leprous mariners who were killed in a shipwreck there a century before. While visiting England, Carpenter and Debra Hill witnessed an eerie fog rolling over the landscape from a distance. Carpenter decided to tie the fog to a an actual event, the wrecking of the Frolic, that took place in the 19th century near Goleta, California. However, Carpenter hated the film after watching a rough cut, and realized that he needed to reshoot more scenes in order to compete with the increasing horror market. Around one-third of the film was filmed during reshoots. Thanks to its low budget, it was a great box office success, making $21.4 million domestically. While initial reactions were divided, its reputation grew with time.
Escape from New York (1981)"1997. New York City is now a maximum security prison. Breaking out is impossible. Breaking in is insane."His fifth film. It stars Kurt Russell, Lee Van Cleef, Ernest Borgnine, Donald Pleasence, Isaac Hayes, Adrienne Barbeau and Harry Dean Stanton. Set in the near-future world of 1997, it follows a crime-ridden United States, which has converted Manhattan Island in New York City into the country's sole maximum security prison. Air Force One is hijacked by anti-government insurgents who deliberately crash it into the walled borough. Ex-Special Forces and current federal prisoner Snake Plissken is given just 24 hours to go in and rescue the President of the United States, after which, if successful, he will be pardoned. Carpenter started writing the script after the Watergate scandal, inspired by Death Wish. No studio wanted to finance it, but the success of his previous films allowed him to finally make the project happen. The studio wanted a big star, but Carpenter was interested in Kurt Russell. Russell wanted the role to help him avoid being typecast for Disney comedies. Carpenter struggled to film New York within the film's $6 million budget, although he still had cooperation from the city in shutting down 10 blocks. Certain matte paintings were rendered by James Cameron, who was at the time a special-effects artist, and who also served as the director of photography at some points. Carpenter enjoyed another box office success, as the film made $25 million domestically. It also received critical acclaim, and helped elevate Russell's career.
The Thing (1982)"Man is the warmest place to hide."His sixth film. Based on the novella Who Goes There? by John W. Campbell Jr., it stars Kurt Russell, A. Wilford Brimley, T. K. Carter, David Clennon, Keith David, Richard Dysart, Charles Hallahan, Peter Maloney, Richard Masur, Donald Moffat, Joel Polis, and Thomas G. Waites. It tells the story of a group of American researchers in Antarctica who encounter the eponymous "Thing", an extraterrestrial life-form that assimilates, then imitates, other organisms. The group is overcome by paranoia and conflict as they learn that they can no longer trust each other and that any of them could be the Thing. Producers David Foster Lawrence Turman approached Universal over adapting Campbell's novella. While there was an adaptation in 1951, they wanted something that would be more faithful to the source material. While the producers wanted Carpenter in 1976, Universal preferred the veteran Tobe Hooper instead. After Hooper failed to impress, and after the box office success of Halloween, Universal decided to hire Carpenter. This made The Thing his first film made under a big studio. After Carpenter disliked the script drafts, he got Bill Lancaster to write the film. While he struggled in adapting the film, he made some changes. These included reducing the 37 characters to just 12, and choosing to open the film in the middle of the action, instead of using a flashback as in the novella. Lancaster aimed to create an ensemble piece where one person emerged as the hero, instead of having a Doc Savage-type hero from the start. Lancaster's original ending had both MacReady and Childs turn into the Thing. In the spring, the characters are rescued by helicopter, greeting their saviors with "Hey, which way to a hot meal?". Carpenter thought this ending was too shallow. He opted to end the film with the survivors slowly freezing to death to save humanity from infection, believing this to be the ultimate heroic act. While the film was in pre-production, there was still no design on the effects needed for the Thing. Rob Bottin was assigned for the job, and he deduced that the creature had been all over the galaxy. This allowed it to call on different attributes as necessary, such as stomachs that transform into giant mouths and spider legs sprouting from heads. It required so much cooperation from the crew; it took 50 crew members to operate the Blair-Thing puppet. The team wanted the film shot in black-and-white, but Universal refused as they didn't want to risk losing television rights. While Carpenter composed the scores for his films, he decided that the film needed an European musical approach. So he flew to Rome to speak with Ennio Morricone to convince him to take the job. By the time Morricone flew to Los Angeles to record the score, he had already developed a tape filled with an array of synthesizer music because he was unsure what type of score Carpenter wanted. Morricone wrote complete separate orchestral and synthesizer scores and a combined score, which he knew was Carpenter's preference. Carpenter picked a piece, closely resembling his own scores, that became the main theme used throughout the film. 1982 was a very tough time for horror, as Universal discovered that the audience's appeal for the genre declined by over 70%. But Universal was still having hope on the film, especially as they had a few successful test screenings. On top of that, the only competition was the still unrelease E.T., the Extra-Terrestrial, and they expected that film to appeal solely to kids. However, after one market research screening, Carpenter queried the audience on their thoughts, and one audience member asked, "Well what happened in the very end? Which one was the Thing...?" When Carpenter responded that it was up to their imagination, the audience member responded, "Oh, God. I hate that." After returning from a screening of E.T., the audience's silence at a trailer of The Thing caused Foster to remark, "We're dead." And Foster's fears were right. The film disappointed in its opening weekend with just $3.1 million, ranking #8 and behind the fourth weekend of Poltergeist. With a huge amount of competition that summer, it didn't have staying power at the box office, finishing with just $19 million domestically, marking a box office failure. But the bad news didn't stay there. Not only very few people watched it, but nearly everyone who watched it hated it. The film received insanely negative reviews on its release, and hostility for its cynical, anti-authoritarian tone and graphic special effects. Carpenter also saw repercussions to his career. He was attached to direct an adaptation of Stephen King's Firestarter, but Universal fired him after the poor reception of The Thing. His previous success had gained him a multiple-film contract at Universal, but the studio opted to buy him out of it instead. He also said that while he continued making films, he lost confidence. As years passed, however, the film underwent through a re-appraisal. Once derided, the film found a second life as a huge milestone in the horror genre. It's now hailed as one of the greatest horror films ever made, as well as one of the most influential. Carpenter deemed it as his favorite film, although he lamented that it took years for the film to get the attention it deserved. He noted that his career would've been very different if the film was a success at first, although he also states he does not regret anything he made.
Christine (1983)"How do you kill something that can't possibly be alive?"His seventh film. Based on the novel by Stephen King, it stars Keith Gordon, John Stockwell, Alexandra Paul, Robert Prosky and Harry Dean Stanton. It follows the changes in the lives of Arnie Cunningham, his friends, his family, and his teenage enemies after he buys a classic red and white 1958 Plymouth Fury named Christine, a car that seems to have a mind of its own and a jealous, possessive personality, which has a bad influence on Arnie. Carpenter was the first choice to direct the project, although he was working on two projects first. When those projects stalled, he agreed to direct. He said this was not a film he had planned on directing, saying that he directed the film as "a job" as opposed to a "personal project." This was because, after The Thing flopped, he needed something to maintain his career in Hollywood. The film earned $21 million domestically, which was barely enough for the film to break even. It received a favorable response, although it didn't get the acclaim like his previous works.
Starman (1984)"He has traveled from a galaxy far beyond our own. He is 100,000 years ahead of us. He has powers we cannot comprehend. And he is about to face the one force in the universe he has yet to conquer. Love."His eighth film. It stars Jeff Bridges, Karen Allen, Charles Martin Smith, and Richard Jaeckel. It tells the story of a non-corporeal alien who has come to Earth and cloned a human body in response to the invitation found on the gold phonograph record installed on the Voyager 2 space probe. Carpenter was eager to shed his image as a maker of exploitative thrillers and make something new in his filmography. Despite receiving positive reviews, it barely passed its budget.
Big Trouble in Little China (1986)"Jack Burton's is in for some serious trouble and you're in for some serious fun."His ninth film. It stars Kurt Russell, Kim Cattrall, Dennis Dun and James Hong. The film tells the story of truck driver Jack Burton, who helps his friend Wang Chi rescue Wang's green-eyed fiancée from bandits in San Francisco's Chinatown. They go into the mysterious underworld beneath Chinatown, where they face an ancient sorcerer named David Lo Pan, who requires a woman with green eyes to marry him in order to be released from a centuries-old curse. While 20th Century Fox was struggling with the film's tone and script, they decided to hire Carpenter as he could film very quick, giving him 10 weeks of pre-production. It didn't help that the film was competing against The Golden Child, a comedy starring Eddie Murphy with a similar theme. Carpenter made sure to accelerate filming so that the film could open months before The Golden Child. Carpenter envisioned the film as an inverse of traditional scenarios in action films with a Caucasian protagonist helped by a minority sidekick. The film received very positive reviews from critics. But that didn't translate to box office success, as the film made a disastrous $11 million domestically, which was worse than any of Carpenter's films. After the commercial and critical failure of the film, Carpenter became very disillusioned with Hollywood and became an independent filmmaker.
Prince of Darkness (1987)"Before man walked the Earth... it slept for centuries. It is evil. It is real. It is awakening."His tenth film. It stars Donald Pleasence, Victor Wong, Jameson Parker, and Lisa Blount. It follows a group of quantum physics students in Los Angeles who are asked to assist a Catholic priest in investigating an ancient cylinder of liquid discovered in a monastery, which they come to find is a sentient, liquid embodiment of the son of Satan. The film received mixed reviews, with some feeling the film did not accomplish its goals. But it was a much needed success at the box office for Carpenter.
They Live (1988)"You see them on the street. You watch them on TV. You might even vote for one this fall. You think they're people just like you. You're wrong. Dead wrong."His 11th film. Based on the short story Eight O'Clock in the Morning by Ray Nelson, it stars Roddy Piper, Keith David, and Meg Foster. The film follows an unnamed drifter who discovers through special sunglasses that the ruling class are aliens concealing their appearance and manipulating people to consume, breed, and conform to the status quo via subliminal messages in mass media. Carpenter acquired the film rights to both the comic book and short story and wrote the screenplay, using Nelson's story as a basis for the film's structure. Because the screenplay was the product of so many sources, Carpenter decided to use the pseudonym "Frank Armitage", an allusion to one of his favorite writers, H. P. Lovecraft. For the role of Nada, the filmmaker cast professional wrestler Roddy Piper, whom he had met at WrestleMania III earlier in 1987. For Carpenter, it was an easy choice: "Unlike most Hollywood actors, Roddy has life written all over him." The film debuted at #1, although it dropped very quickly, it was still a small box office success for Carpenter. It received negative reviews for its social commentary, writing, and acting. However, its reputation grew with time, and it's now one of Carpenter's greatest films. And for having one of the best quotes in cinema history: "I have come here to chew bubblegum and kick ass. And I'm all out of bubblegum."
Memoirs of an Invisible Man (1992)"Women want him for his wit. The C.I.A. wants him for his body. All Nick wants is his molecules back."His 12th film. Loosely based on the novel by H.F. Saint, it stars Chevy Chase, Daryl Hannah, Sam Neill, Michael McKean and Stephen Tobolowsky. Saint's novel attracted the attention of Chase, who bought the rights even though the novel wasn't finished. William Goldman was assigned to write the screenplay in the mid 1980s, by which time Ivan Reitman was attached to direct. While Reitman liked the script, Chase (who financed it as his passion project) disapproved and he decided to leave. Wanting less comedy, Chase approached Carpenter over directing the film. While Carpenter preferred being independent, he agreed to direct the film, especially after Chase vouched for him to the studio. The film was panned by critics and was another box office dud for Carpenter. Carpenter would go on to say that the production of the film was very troubling and vigorous. While also battling studio executives, Carpenter claimed Chase and Hannah were "the stuff of nightmares" and "impossible to direct". In 2023, he said: "It gave me a chance to make a quasi-serious movie. But Chevy Chase, Sam Neill — who I love and had a longtime friendship with — and Warner Bros. … I worked for them, and it was pleasant. No, it wasn’t pleasant at all. I’m lying to you. It was a horror show. I really wanted to quit the business after that movie. God, I don’t want to talk about why, but let’s just say there were personalities on that film … he shall not be named who needs to be killed. No, no, no, that’s terrible. He needs to be set on fire. No, no, no. Anyway, it’s all fine. I survived it."Mmm, I wonder who is that "he" 🤔
In the Mouth of Madness (1994)"Lived any good books lately?"His 13th film. It stars Sam Neill, Julie Carmen, Jürgen Prochnow, David Warner and Charlton Heston. It follows John Trent, an insurance investigator who visits a small town while looking into the disappearance of a successful author of horror novels, and begins to question his sanity as the lines between reality and fiction seem to blur. The film received mixed reviews and was another bomb for Carpenter. But it has found some fans, who deemed it as an underrated piece of work.
Village of the Damned (1995)"Beware the children."His 14th film. A remake of the 1960 film, it stars starring Christopher Reeve, Linda Kozlowski, Kirstie Alley, Michael Paré, Mark Hamill, and Meredith Salenger. The plot follows a small town's women who give birth to unfriendly alien children posing as humans. The film was another critical and commercial dud for Carpenter. The film also marked the last theatrical performance by Reeve, before his paralysis. Carpenter described the film as a "contractual assignment" that he was "really not passionate about" and stated that it is one of his least favorite films that he's made as a director.
Escape from L.A. (1996)"Snake is back."His 15th film. The sequel to Escape from New York, it stars Kurt Russell, Steve Buscemi, Stacy Keach, Bruce Campbell, Peter Fonda, and Pam Grier. When a terrorist brainwashes Utopia, the daughter of the President, into stealing a detonation device, Snake Plissken is assigned to find the device and the girl in Los Angeles. A sequel was stuck in development hell for years. Unsatisfied with the drafts, Carpenter and Russell decided to write the film themselves, along with Debra Hill. Carpenter insists that Russell's persistence allowed the film to be made, since "Snake Plissken was a character he loved and wanted to play again." Carpenter credited that same enthusiasm with motivating Russell's work on the script, declaring "I used his passion to do the movie to get him to write more". The film received mixed reviews, who deemed it as inferior to the original. While the film made as much as the original in North America and was his highest grossing film in decades, it also carried a higher budget, so it was another flop for Carpenter. Time was kind to the film, and is considered as a worthy follow-up. Carpenter himself says that he is proud of the film, and even says is better than the original.
Vampires (1998)"Prepare for the dawn."His 16th film. Based on the novel Vampire$ by John Steakley, it stars James Woods, Daniel Baldwin, Sheryl Lee, Thomas Ian Griffith, Maximilian Schell, and Tim Guinee. It follows Jack Crow, the leader of a team of vampire hunters. After his parents were murdered by vampires, Crow was raised by the Catholic Church to become their "master slayer". The plot is centered on Crow's efforts to prevent a centuries-old cross from falling into the hands of Jan Valek, the first and most powerful of all vampires. After making Escape from L.A., Carpenter considered quitting as he stopped having fun with filmmaking. However, he was fascinated by the novel and set out to adapt it. After all potential actors turned down the offer to play Crow, he offered it to James Woods. Woods was interested in doing the film because he had never been offered a horror film before and wanted to try something new. The MPAA took issue with the film's over-the-top violence, threatening to give it an NC-17 rating unless some of the gore was cut. Ultimately, about 20 seconds of footage was cut from the film. You can guess how it all went. Surprise surprise, another flop.
Ghost of Mars (2001)His 17th film. It stars Natasha Henstridge, Ice Cube, Jason Statham, Pam Grier, Clea DuVall and Joanna Cassidy. Set on a colonized Mars in the 22nd century, the film follows a squad of police officers and a convicted criminal who fight against the residents of a mining colony who have been possessed by the ghosts of the planet's original inhabitants.Broken record but you are right: another bomb. Carpenter stated he was intentionally trying to make the film as over-the-top and tongue-in-cheek as possible. He claimed he was trying to make a mindless and silly, yet highly entertaining and thrilling, action flick where "the universe allows its characters and plot points to be silly without becoming full-fledged comedies."
The Ward (2010)"Only sanity can keep you alive."His 18th and final film. It stars Amber Heard, Mamie Gummer, Danielle Panabaker, Laura-Leigh, Lyndsy Fonseca and Jared Harris. Set in 1966, the film chronicles a young woman who is institutionalized after setting fire to a house, and who finds herself haunted by the ghost of a former inmate at the psychiatric ward. After Ghosts of Mars, Carpenter simply lost interest in filmmaking. In the meantime he had done two episodes for the anthology TV show Masters of Horror, and he said that the series reminded him of why he fell in love with the craft in the first place. Carpenter said that the script "came along at the right time for me", and he was particularly fascinated by how the film took place within a single location. The film received a very limited run in theaters before hitting digital, so it became another flop and his lowest film ever. It also received poor reviews, and some lamented that this would be his swan song.
Other ProjectsAs mentioned, he is also a composer, having scored nearly all his films. He also scored the recent Halloween trilogy, even though he didn't write nor direct anything.Many of his films have been remade and he doesn't care in the slightest. He has said that they can do whatever they want as long as he gets paid. “I love it, if they are going to pay me money. If they pay me, it’s wonderful. If they don’t pay me, I don’t care. I think it’s unfair if they don’t pay me. I think everyone should pay me. Why not? I’m an old guy now and I need money. Send me money.” The FutureCarpenter has not directed another film ever since. He has said multiple times that he feels burned out by the industry and he is not interested in returning to the director's chair. He said he would only return for a new film under three conditions: it needs a reasonable budget, plenty of time to prepare, and time off for the basketball season and the playoffs.He said he is content with his current lifestyle. What's that lifestyle? In his words, "Get up late, watch a little news, play a video game, watch some basketball, go to bed." Ain't that the dream? MOVIES (FROM HIGHEST GROSSING TO LEAST GROSSING)
The VerdictNot reliable. Not even close.Well, he ain't known as a cult filmmaker for nothing. Carpenter didn't get the respect and appreciation he deserved at first, so he was often struggling to find an audience in theaters. Despite so many bombs, studios continued financing him, which is a welcome surprise. At least, he got to see that his once-reviled works are now an influential and beloved part of cinema. Now, as he puts it, his career would look far more different if The Thing wasn't a commercial and critical dud in its initial release. We can't theorize, for we don't know this kind of what if. But Carpenter built an impressive and memorable filmography, even if his later works represented some of the worst films he made. And look, he is content with retirement. Playing video games and watching the NBA sounds like a good deal for anyone. Hope you liked this edition. You can find this and more in the wiki for this section. The next director will be Danny Boyle. One of Britain's most important directors. I asked you to choose who else should be in the run and the comment with the most upvotes would be chosen. Well, we'll later talk about... Robert Zemeckis. He was one of the biggest filmmakers, now it's a surprise if he makes a hit. This is the schedule for the following four:
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2024.04.24 05:08 JLAFORUMSDOTCOM WATERCOOLER - PICS: Joanna " JoJo" Levesque shows off her LEGS & BOOBS
 | submitted by JLAFORUMSDOTCOM to jlaforums [link] [comments] |
2024.04.22 08:39 sadpug12 Important: help me save the lives of waterfowls!
 | Before I elaborate please view the photos. Wetland and Wildlife avers the topmost reason for people bringing them injured birds is due to improper disposal of fishing gear. Be it fishing lines, hooks attached to lures or baits, etc. submitted by sadpug12 to orangecounty [link] [comments] Birds with hooks lodged in their mouths/throats (too many cases of those). Birds tied to tree branches by fishing lines dangling from their legs, which end up winding around the trees they land on. Some with entanglement so tight, the flesh starts to rot due to loss of circulation. Mere goslings with legs that swell up to 3-4 times their actual size having walked into someone's littered lines. How do entanglements happen? All that's needed is for them to walk into a loop, get wrapped up in it, yank with their beaks in an effort to rid themselves of this foreign object. Unfortunately the more they yank, the tighter the fishing line gets. Those cases (just described & those photographed) are not the totality but only a few out of the dozens I've witnessed. I've been coming to this fishing pond everyday for over half a year now to pick up after fishers. It isn't my responsibility, but fishers here are irresponsible. The park goers ignorant to the dangers of fishing gear on wildlife, and couldn't be bothered to help with proper disposal. (Fyi no, they don't belong in the trash). And the park rangers... well let me not get started on them. 🤦♀️ Lately I'm finding that it's not enough to walk the perimeter of the pond once a day, because fishers here are too irresponsible and entanglements are still occuring. It pains me to see these poor ducks, geese, and even turtles suffer, hence my reason for this post: I NEED VOLUNTEERS to help us with fishing gear disposal. Together we will make our rounds throughout the day. We need people for the morning, afternoon, we will cover evenings as always. We are trying to get signs put up to educate the public but its a laborious process because you have to go through the city, county, etc, bureaucracy man. 🤦♀️ All this requires an immense amount of time, so please spare me a helping hand so that I don't lose my sanity doing everything on my own. Contact me 657-429-3460 if you can help in any way. I prefer texting. Thank you! |
2024.04.21 20:20 sadpug12 Important : The time to act is NOW
 | Hello fellow vegans, I'm desperately in need of help on an important project I'm working on. First of all, please take a look at the photos above before I elaborate. submitted by sadpug12 to rescueandactivism [link] [comments] Wetlands and Wildlife, a (my) local animal rescue organization avers the topmost reason for people bringing them injured birds is due to improper disposal of fishing gear. Be it fishing lines, lured hooks/ baited hooks etc. Birds tied to tree branches by fishing lines dangling from their legs, which end up winding around the trees they land on. Some with entanglement so tight, the flesh starts to rot due to loss of circulation. Mere goslings with legs that swell up to 3-4 times their actual size having walked into someone's littered lines. No exaggeration. I could go on, but the photos above will suffice to paint a clear image of the horrors the animals are forced to endure at my local pond. Please note that the cases (described & photographed) are not the totality but only a few out of the dozens I've witnessed. There are 2 fishing ponds within the perimeter of this park. I've been coming here for about half a year now to pick up after fishers. It isn't my responsibility, but fishers here are irresponsible. The park goers ignorant to the dangers of fishing gear on wildlife, and couldn't be bothered to help with proper disposal. (Fyi no, they dont belong in the trash). And the park rangers... well let me not get started on them 🤦♀️ Worst of all however, nowhere is there even 1 sign to educate the public on this pressing issue. So fishers continue to litter, park goers continue in their ignorant bliss hence the need I feel to do what I do. I'm currently trying to get signs put up, in order to do so I'm trying to put together a video do that I can persuade my local authorities. But alas, I don't know the first thing about video editing/production hence this post. I would like to make this a team effort. Anyone who is knowledgeable on video editing or anyone at all who wants to be involved in this project, please get in touch with me. As I'm typing this, I'm currently trying to catch a female mallard with a hook pulling on her tongue, from the hook dangles a long fishing line... the line wraps around her body, but in a way where she can still flap her wings. So despite my best efforts I haven't been able to catch her. Poor thing is an obvious distress. This is getting long-winded, I'll stop here. But it goes without saying that time is of the essence. This issue cannot wait, now is the time act. |
2024.04.20 11:01 BobbyBIsTheBest (Spoilers Extended) A Ton Of ASOIAF Theories, Not All Of Them Obviously, Maybe Not Even A Quarter
Hope this post doesn't get removed like the others.
EVERY ASOIAF THEORY:
submitted by BobbyBIsTheBest to asoiaf [link] [comments]
EVERY ASOIAF THEORY:
- Alleras = Sarella
- Brienne is descended from Ser Duncan the Tall (Confirmed by GRRM)
- Brynden Rivers is the Three-Eyed-Crow
- Cersei killed Melara Heatherspoon
- Cersei will burn King’s Landing
- Cleganebowl
- Daenerys is Azor Ahai
- Daenerys is the Younger, more beautiful Queen
- Euron killed Balon
- Euron molested Aeron
- Euron will use a Kraken in the Battle of Blood
- Hold the Door
- fAegon
- Grand Northern Conspiracy
- Frey Pies
- Hodor is the great-grandson of Ser Duncan the Tall
- Jaecerys, Lucerys, and Joffrey are Strong bastards
- Jamie is the Valonqar
- Robb warged into Grey Wind
- Joffrey abused Tommen
- Jon Connington will burn King’s Landing
- Jon is Robb’s heir
- Jon is Azor Ahai
- Jon Snow will be resurrected
- Littlefinger-Varys shadow war
- Lyanna Stark is the Knight of the Laughing Tree
- Maynard Plumm is Bloodraven
- Mormont’s Raven is being warged
- Ramsay castrated Theon Greyjoy
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Jon
- Robb was given a love potion
- Sandor Clegane is the Gravedigger
- Ser Robert Strong is Gregor Clegane
- The Night Lamp
- Inflation
- The Night’s King is Colhands
- The Tyrells poisoned Joffrey
- Theon’s Myraham heir
- Blackwood-Bracken love story
- Bloodraven will steal Bran’s body
- Edmure and Jeyne will escape
- Euron’s eldritch apocalypse
- Euron is the Dusky Women
- Euron will summon a Sea Dragon
- Fake Jeyne
- Fisher King theory/Bran the Broken
- Frey Civil War
- Grand Maester Conspiracy
- Ghost will die to bring back Jon
- Jojen Paste
- Jon Connington will start a greyscale pandemic
- Cersei will blow up the Sept of Baelor
- Lemongate
- Maergery is the Younger, more Beautiful Queen
- Melisandre will sacrifice Shireen to save Jon
- Oberyn poisoned Tywin
- Patchface can predict the future
- Pycelle is faking his feebleness
- Ramsay didn’t write the Pink Letter
- Red Wedding 2.0
- Robert Strong has Robb Stark’s head
- Septa Lemore is Tyene’s mother
- Ser Robert Strong is a Frankenstein’s Monster
- Southron Ambitions
- Wyman Manderly wrote the Pink Letter
- The Hooded Man is a figment of Theon’s imagination
- The Myraham carries Robb’s Will
- Trugon
- Jon, Daenerys, and fAegon are the Three Heads of the Dragon
- Tywin built the tunnel to Chataya’s
- Cersei's Master Plan
- The Polar Expedition
- Varys is a Targaryen/Blackfyre
- The Martell Masterplan
- Brandon + Ashara = Jon
- Jon, Daenerys, and Tyrion are the Three Heads of the Dragon
- Jon, Daenerys, and Bran are the Three Heads of the Dragon
- Aegon’s friends in the Reach
- Aemond + Haelana = Jaehaerys + Jaehaera + Maelor
- Arbor Gold = Deception
- Arianna is the Younger, more beautiful Queen
- Balerion the Cat is a Harbinger of Death
- Dunk's foot
- Barbrey Dustin wrote the Pink Letter
- Bastardbowl
- Bran warged into Aerys, causing him to go insane
- Big Walder killed Little Walder
- Bolt On
- The Three-Eyed-Crow is the reason Jon heard Ghost
- Dance of the Dragons 2.0/Targbowl
- Bran the Puppetmaster
- Butcher’s Boys were Theon’s kids
- Euron will summon/kill the Drowned God
- Evil Bran
- Gerion Lannister is the Shrouded Lord
- Harrenbowl
- Jamie is Azor Ahai
- Loras Tyrell is the Valonqar
- Loras Tyrell isn’t really injured
- Brienne is a Tarbeck
- Lysa + Petyr = Robert
- Jon + Daenerys + Tyrion love triangle
- Mance has a deeper purpose at Winterfell
- Mirri Maz Durr’s prophecy is fulfilled
- Ser Duncan the Kingslayer
- Ned Stark warged into Pigeons
- Gendry is Stannis' son
- The Mad King had greyscale
- Ned + Ashara = Jon
- Penny is Tyrion’s daughter
- Rhaegar was a Dragon Dreamer
- fAegon is a Brightflame
- Sansa will kill Littlefinger
- Sansa will marry Aegon
- Septa Lemore is Ashara Dayne
- Shae was Varys’ spy
- The Faceless Men caused the Doom of Valyria
- The Hightowers poisoned Viserys I
- The Night’s King was a Stark
- Tyrion will burn Winterfell
- The Night’s Watch sacrificed babies to the Others
- The Secrets in the Crypts
- The Tattered Prince, Pretty Merys, Gerold Dayne, and Caggo the Corpeskiller of the Windblown represent aged up Jamie, Brienne, Sandor, and Edric back when there was a 5 year timeskip
- The Three-Eyed-Crow is the Great Other
- The Tragedy at Summerhall was an inside job
- Tyrion is the Valonqar
- The Wall makes the Others
- Tysha is the Sailor’s Wife
- We will see one of the POV characters get warged into mid-chapter
- Ajorah Ahai
- Arya is Azor Ahai
- Benjen is Colhands
- Coldhands is Durran Godsgrief
- Patchface is Steffon Baratheon
- Coldhands is one of the 79 Sentinels
- Dornish Master Plan
- Dragon under Winterfell
- The Cannibal is alive on Skagos
- Euron the fraud
- Euron was Bloodraven’s student
- Daeron Targaryen is the Tattered Prince
- Gendry will reforge Ice
- Old Nan = Leaf + The Ghost of High Heart
- Jeyne Pool will die without her true identity being found out
- Jon stays dead
- Jamie’s story will mirror Aemon the Dragonknight
- Laenor of Hull
- Leyton Hightower will defeat and kill Euron
- The Daynes know about Jon
- Marwyn the Grandmaester
- Mace is faking his idiocy
- Margaery Tyrell will win the Game of Thrones and marry Jon Snow
- Melisandre interprets everything wrong
- Greyjoybowl
- Ned + Cersei = Jon
- Pycelle Molested Sansa
- Rhaella + Steffon = Robert
- Quaithe = Shiera Seastar
- Rhaegar was gay
- Rhaegar was Azor Ahai and his death doomed Westeros
- Ser Duncan the Tall is still alive
- Rhaenys warged into a cat
- Tormund + Melisandre = Mycah
- Daenerys is a sleeper agent for Varys and Illyrio
- Robert is Renly’s father
- Robert Strong is Robert Baratheon
- Sansa is the Younger, more beautiful Queen
- Ser Robert Strong has Joffrey’s head
- Rhaegar and Arthur Dayne were gay
- Sam will slay Euron
- Stannis is the Valonqar
- LONG Long Night
- The Night’s Queen is under Winterfell
- Tyrion Targaryen
- The Others killed Waymar Royce because they thought he was Jon Snow
- Tywin is descended from Bloodraven
- Rickon will ride The Cannibal
- Tywin knew Joffrey was going to be poisoned
- Daario + Daenerys = time travelling fAegon fetus
- Varys is a descendent of Aerion Brightflame
- Zombie Tommen
- Vaegon Targaryen created the Maester Conspiracy
- Victarion will kill Barristan the Bold in combat
- Westeros and Essos are connected
- All the great houses will go extinct by the end of the series
- Brienne is Azor Ahai
- Petyr + Catelyn = Robb
- Euron = Daario
- Melisandre wrote the Pink Letter
- Howland Reed was the Knight of the Laughing Tree
- Jaecerys, Lucerys, and Joffrey were Laenor’s legitimate children
- Jon, Daenerys, and Bran are dead
- Maegor Targaryen, son of Aerion Brightflame, is the Tattered Prince
- Mance Rayder is Rhaegar Targaryen
- Balerion hates the Lannisters because his lover was the cat that Joffrey killed as a child
- Missandei is a Faceless Man
- Myrcella is the Younger, more beautiful Queen
- Ned Stark is still alive
- Patchface eats Shireen
- The Exodus Theory
- Quentyn is alive
- Stannis wrote the Pink Letter
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Aegon + Jon
- Tyrion is a genetic chimera
- Tormund fucked Maege Mormont (a "She-Bear")
- Tyrion poisoned Joffrey
- Jon is an allegory/based on King Arthur
- Petyr gave Sansa tansy tea
- Gilly wrote the Pink Letter
- Aerys + Joanna = Jamie + Cersei
- Arya is schizophrenic
- Bloodraven had Robert Baratheon killed
- Brynden and Shiera never had sex
- Cersei has gender dysphoria
- Dragonglass is dragon poop
- Brienne has a claim to the Iron Throne (Targaryen blood)
- Aerys + Cassana Estermont = Robert
- Jaqen was originally hired to kill Ned
- Littlefinger and Illyrio are working to bring down the Iron Bank
- Roger Reyne is the Shrouded Lord
- Ser Duncan the Tall was never knighted
- Mushroom never existed
- Ned Stark warged into Ser Pounce
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Daenerys
- Rhaella + Arthur Dayne = Gerold Dayne
- Robb Stark is still alive
- Salt repels the Others
- Aegon the Conqueror was infertile
- Aegon V was going to sacrifice Rhaegar to bring the dragons back, causing Summerhall
- Arya is the Valonqar
- Daemon Targaryen is Coldhands
- Jon Snow is the Great Other
- Alysanne + Alaric = Baelon
- Tommen can warg into cats
- Mance is a Stark
- Ned warged into Ice
- Robert Strong is the headless horseman
- Nettles was Daemon Targaryen’s daughter and lover
- Old Nan is Shiera Seastar
- Rhaella + Benjen = Jon
- Tommen will kill the Sand Snakes
- Good Jonsa (Jon x Satin)
- Tywin was plotting to have Joffrey raped by Tyrion
- Robert Strong has Ned Stark’s head
- Tyrion will blow up the Sept of Baelor
- Bran eats Jojen AND Meera
- Aegon is the Valonqar
- Benjen=Daario
- All of the Aegons are the same Aegon
- Brandon Stark was the Knight of the Laughing Tree
- Cersei ordered the murder of Elia Martell
- Robert + Cersei = Gendry
- Eddard Stark was the Night of the Laughing Tree
- Ser Robert is Ser Duncan the Tall
- Matthos survived the Battle of Blackwater and became a pirate under Salladhor Saan
- Longclaw is Blackfyre
- The Blackfish is North of the Wall
- Euron raped Theon and Rodrick Greyjoy
- Starks have White Walker blood
- Varys is a women, and fAegon is his son with Illyrio Mopatis
- Ashara Dayne was the Knight of the Laughing Tree
- Bonifer + Rhaella = Rhaegar
- Euron will drown in Aeron’s urine
- Gerion is the Valonqar
- Bran will rape Hodohas already raped Hodor through warging
- Greywater Watch doesn’t exist
- The 100 Kingdoms
- Howland Reed is the High Sparrow
- fAegon + Arianne + Margaery = Aegon + Rhaenys + Visenya
- Jamie will become King
- Ned and Robert were gay
- Pentos was actually founded by Andals
- Sam actually has the dragonbinder and Euron has the Horn of Winter
- Ser Robert Strong has Jamie’s hand, thus making him the Valonqar
- Syrio Forel is alive
- Joanna was evil
- Tywin and Aerys were gay
- Varys is a mermaid
- Catelyn is working against the Starks
- Ned + Ashara = Edric
- Jamie and Rhaegar were gay
- Elia Martell is Septa Lemore
- Jaqen=Syrio
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Meera + Jon
- Robert Baratheon = Strong Belwas
- Stannis actually is Azor Ahai
- Brandon + Ashara = fAegon
- Stay Too Long Where You Don't Belong
- The Moon will blow up
- The Others and Azor Ahai are faked by Bloodraven
- Theon is a bastard
- Euron already has a kraken
- Visenya organized Rhaenys' death
- Nettles is Leaf
- The Blackfish is gay
- It's literally the War of the Roses
- Littlefinger is Azor Ahai
- Daenerys is the Night's Queen
- Rhaegar was the one who dishonored Ashara
- The glass candles are Lightbringer
- The Red Waste was the Garden of Eden
- Val is an Other
- Valyrians destroyed Hardhome
- Victarion Greyjoy is Azor Ahai
- Lyanna = Lucretia
- The guest right curse
- Bloodraven is NOT the Three Eyed Crow
- Catelyn+Euron = Sansa
- Ned Stark is a Weirwood
- Nymeria + Nymeria = Nymeria
- Parallels between the Others and the Kingsguard
- Patchface is the Drowned God and is warging Euron
- Rhaegar is the Great Other
- Robert Baratheon = Patrick Bateman
- The Weirwoods and the Old Gods are evil
- Varys and the Antler Men
- Aerys + Ashara = Daenerys
- Ash Williams is Azor Ahai
- ASOIAF is set on a Concave Earth
- Bran used his powers to impregnate Lyanna in the past
- Brotherhood without Banners will execute Jeyne
- Ned Stark is Jaqen H'ghar
- The Florents killed Renly by rigging his armor
- Varys is Theon from the future
- Aerys + Steffon = Robert
- Jaehaerys I sexually abused his daughters
- A Faceless Man was executed in Ned Stark's stead, with the real Ned Stark in hiding in Sothoryos
- ASOIAF is set after a Nuclear War
- Bloodraven caused Bran to fall
- George R.R. Martin lied about the plot to D&D
- Hot Pie is Azor Ahai
- Benjen is the Night's King
- Stannis will burn the Sept of Baelor
- Jaqen = Daario
- Lady Stoneheart supports Jon Snow
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Samwell
- The Blackfish will impregnate Jeyne and pass the kid off as Robb's
- Benjen + Lyanna = Jon
- Dany is Schizophrenic
- Gerold Hightower = Tormund
- Ned + Lyanna = Jon
- Qyburn is a Martell Plant
- Ramsay is Azor Ahai
- Robert Strong is an entirely new character
- Oberyn Martell = Robert Strong
- The Others are not the ones raising the wights
- Tyrion the Timetravelling Fetus
- Howland Reed = Ghost
- Lyanna is the Night's Queen
- Lyanna warged into Catelyn
- Rhaegar Targaryen is Ghost
- Roose Bolton sent an E-Mail
- Ser Pounce is Azor Ahai
- The three-eyed crow in Bran's dreams was a different three-eyed crow from Bloodraven
- This will be the Third Long Night
- "Euron" is a Faceless Man being paid by the real Euron to impersonate him
- Cersei had Joanna poisoned for seperating her from Jaime
- Cersei will rape Tommen
- Joanna Lannister is Qaithe
- Joffrey was trying to rape Sansa in AGOT
- Ned = Brienne
- The War for the Dawn ended in a Stalemate
- Brandon was forced to eat the charred remains of Rickard and died choking on the corpse
- There must literally always be a Stark in Winterfell
- Bran + Ashara = Jon
- Daenerys is the Mummer's Dragon
- Jon = Maegor
- Gerion Lannister is one of Euron's Mutes
- Hardhome was nuked by the Faceless Men
- Mance = Benjen
- Ned = Ilyn
- Rhaegar + Jon Connington = Jon Snow
- The Horn of Winter will resurrect all the dead Starks in the Crypts
- The Others are Aliens
- Young Griff is FAegon, but the actual Aegon is still alive somewhere under Varys' protection
- Jon Snow is a parallel of Jesus Christ
- Braavos destroyed Valyria with a meteor
- COTF have warged Robert Arryn
- The current evens mirror Robert's Rebellion
- Daenerys + Jon = Jon
- Dany is a fire wight
- Howland warged Arthur Dayne
- Jojen Paste is Jojen's Semen
- Quaithe is Rhaella Targaryen
- Ramsay is not Roose's son
- Rhaegar is Rhaegal
- The Azor Ahai Prophecy is an allegory for sex and childbirth
- Tormund will give Theon his penis
- Davos is actually dead
- Mya Stone + Gendry = Time travelling Jon Snow fetus
- Tunnel between Red Keep and Winterfell Crypts
- A Blood Magic ritual took place at the Tower of Joy
- Brienne is the Younger, More Beautiful Queen
- Corn Code
- Durran Godsgrief and Bran the Builder were the same person
- Euron has Greyscale
- B Bowl
- Jon will marry Arya
- Robert + Catelyn = Robb
- Every Tall Character is descended from Ser Duncan the Tall
- Mance Rayder hired the Catspaw
- Podrick is a Reyne
- Ned ate Lyanna
- Qaithe is Dany from the future
- Ser Brynden is working with Littlefinger
- All the prophesized heroes are evil
- Euron Greyjoy is a demon
- ASOIAF is an allegory for Ragnarok
- Jeyne Poole is Arya and Arya is Jeyne Poole
- Jon Snow is fake
- Catelyn + Hodor = Rickon
- Jon + Ashara = Jon
- Lyanna + an Other = Jon
- Magic doesn't exist
- Maegor The Cruel = Maegor Brightflame
- Sandor will not be the Faith's champion
- fAegon is Robert's bastard
- Parallels between Stannis and Maekar
- Tommen is the Valonqar
- Littlefinger orchastrated Robert's Rebellion
- Old Nan is Arya from the Future
- Podrick Payne is Azor Ahai
- Lyanna Stark = Lyanna Mormont
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Jon + Margaery
- Robb warged into Cat
- Robb warged into Wyman Manderly
- Roose Bolton is the Rat Cook
- Varys = Littlefinger = Ned
- Arthur Dayne = Syrio Forel
- Joffrey Velaryon = Joffrey Baratheon
- Bran will rape Meera through Hodor
- Elia + Oberyn = Rhaenys
- Jon Snow will go mad
- Tyrion will burn King's Landing
- Kevan Lannister is a Pedophile
- Quentyn is the Tattered Prince
- Robin Arryn is a Greenseer and Euron is working for him
- Tywin is the Dusky Woman
- Maester Pycelle is a Lannister
- Rhaego = Time travelling fetus of Maegor's stillborn child
- Brienne=Rhaenys
- Steffon = The Drowned God
- Bronn is a Reyne, and will take revenge on the Lannisters
- Daario is Gerion
- Rhaegar warged into Lyanna
- Hodor is Aegon
- Jon Snow is Lightbringer
- Sandor Clegane is the Valonqar
- Stannis is the Younger, More Beautiful Queen
- Stannis uses the Titan of Braavos
- There is a Second Wall
- Tyrion was the real target of the Purple Wedding
- Varys = Lyanna
- Darkstar is Maegor Brightflame's Son
- Ashara accidently strangled Brandon, so Aerys burnt Rickard to cover it up
- Rhaegar + Rhaella = Viserys + Daenerys
- Battle of the Trident never happened
- Big Walder is the hooded man
- Bran is the Night's King
- Wyman Manderly = GRRM's excuse to have Sweeney Todd/Ms. Lovette as a guest star
- Dany will not return to Westeros
- The sticky black stone is shadow magic
- Melisandre is a Fire Wight
- Ned + Fisherman's Daughter = Jon
- Sansa is killing Robert Arryn
- Cersei + Lancel = Tommen
- The Black Gate is a Portal
- The Dothraki serve their soup at 1500 Degrees
- The Titan of Braavos is a Mech
- Bloodraven + Shiera Seastar = Melisandre
- Brandon + Ashara = Daenerys
- Cersei had Jon Snow killed
- Jamie + Cersei = Tyrion
- Cersei's kids actually are Robert's
- Half the characters are secretly Arthur Dayne, the rest are secretly Benjen Stark, except for Benjen Stark who is secretly Ashara Dayne. And everyone is a secret Targaryen, except for Dany who isn't Targaryen at all.
- Jon will marry a White Walker
- Ser Duncan the Tall survived Summerhall
- The White Walkers built the Wall
- Tormund Giantsbane was the one killed, not Jon Snow
- ASOIAF is part of the Lovecraft Mythos
- Catelyn + Squirrel = Bran
- Craster Targaryen
- Jon Wargs Wun Wun
- Barristan = The Tattered Prince
- Jorah = Daario
- Khal Drogo is a Horse
- Daenerys is a Brightflame
- Ned Killed Lyanna
- Nymeria's Pack will kill the Freys
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Jon + Darkstar
- The breastplate stretcher really exists
- Hot Pie is the Great Other
- Jon + Dany = Azor Ahai
- Jon Snow is Rhaegar Targaryen
- Jon Snow wrote the Pink Letter
- Long Night Cycle
- Lyanna Stark is alive and is Podrick Payne's lover
- Petyr Baelish is a skinchanger who modified the dreams of Ned and Joffrey
- Rhaegar + Lyanna = Jon + Val
- Storm's End is a Nuclear Power Plant
- The Others are a Hoax by the Merlings
- Zombie Lyanna
- Lyanna is a Zebra
- Cersei will behead Barristan
- Ashara Dayne is the Waif
- Bran will warg his Legs to walk again
- Daemon I Blackfyre was not the son of Aegon IV
- Others = Weirwood shadow babies
- Hodor is the name of the Great Other
- Lyanna Stark is a Horse
- There were 3 Walls
- Davos is the Stranger
- Ned Stark is Rhaegar Targaryen
- Robert Baratheon is Daario Naharis
- Robert knew Lyanna loved Rhaegar
- Kevan Lannister is fake
- RoboDrogo
- The High Sparrow is Tywin's Half-Brother
- Val = Lyanna
- Varys is just 3 kids standing on top of each other
- Gregor Clegane is a nice guy
- Maegor + Cassana = Robert
- Joffrey had an allergic reaction
- Jonsa / Jonrya will happen
- Littlefinger is the Mage that gelded Varys
- Ned = Khal Drogo
- Old Nan is Jaqen H'gar
- Rickon and Sansa will marry
- Robb will become a Werewolf
- Robert Baratheon + Lysa Arryn = Robert Arryn
- Roose Bolton was Robb's Heir
- Sansa is the Night's Queen
- Sarella Sand = Shae
- Tyrek Lannister is a Horse
- Varys is Joffrey's Mother
- Varys is the Younger, More Beautiful Queen
- Beric Dondarrion is the real Aegon Targaryen
- Bran warged Dany
- Cersei's younger self is the Younger, More Beautiful Queen
- Edmure Tully is Azor Ahai
- Varys is the Drowned God
- Jon Snow = Jon Connington
- Everything after Bran falls is a figment of Bran's Imagination while he is comatose
- If you die in Westeros, you wake up as an other.
- Jaqen H'gar is Daemon Targaryen
- Joffrey wasn't poisoned, he simply choked to death
- Ned is a Faceless Man
- Ned Stark is Eddard Stark
- Rhaego is Jon Snow
- Sandor and Gregor Clegane are Brothers
- Sandor is a Horse
- Storm's End is a Spaceship
- Daenerys Targaryen = Daenerys Targaryen
- The Great Other is Santa Claus, the Others are his Elves
- The Hightower is a Spaceship
- The Others are the Good Guys
- Cersei + Rhaegar = Daenerys
- Varys is Rhaegar
- Aboar Ahai
- Arya=Jon
- ASOIAF and Thousand Worlds are set in the same universe
- ASOIAF is linked to the Book of Revelation
- Every Brandon Stark is Bran traveling in time
- Everyone is Jaqen in disguise
- Hodor is R'hllor
- Planetos = Middle Earth
- Jar Jar Binks is the Night's King
- Arianne Martell is a Horse
- Joffrey Poisoned Himself
- Trystane Martell is the sun's son
- Jon Snow is Aegon the Conquerer
- Jon/Arya, Ghost/Nymeria incest
- Lancel Lannister is Azor Ahai, Robert Baratheon is Nissa Nissa, and the Breastplate Stretcher is Lightbringer
- Lysa Arryn warged a falcon
- Ned + Catelyn = Robb + Jon
- Ned + Howland = Cersei
- Omni-Walder
- Each god has a character that represents them
- Patchface is the Younger, More Beautiful Queen
- Rhaego = Frodo Baggins
- Robert + Rhaegar = Jon
- Stannis is a praying mantis
- The Blackfish is Preston Jacobs
- Tyrion is Aegon
- Varys = Tyana of the Tower
- Omni-Horse
- EVERYONE IS AZOR AHAI
2024.04.19 01:52 nowhereman136 All Guild Awards Nominees and Winners 2024
(NOTE: Only feature film categories are listed. Certain nominations omit teams of nominees and only list the film and/or certain individuals. Winners highlighted)
submitted by nowhereman136 to oscarrace [link] [comments]
Producers Guild of America
Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures- American Fiction (MGM)
- Anatomy of a Fall (Neon)
- Barbie (Warner Bros.)
- The Holdovers (Focus Features)
- Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
- Maestro (Netflix)
- Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures)
- Past Lives (A24)
- Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures)
- The Zone of Interest (A24)
- The Boy and the Heron (GKids)
- Elemental (Pixar)
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Sony Pictures)
- The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Illumination/Universal Pictures)
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Paramount Pictures)**
- 20 Days in Mariupol
- American Symphony
- Beyond Utopia
- The Disappearance of Shere Hite
- The Mother of All Lies
- Smoke Sauna Sisterhood Squaring the Circle (The Story of Hipgnosis)
Directors Guild of America
Feature Film- Greta Gerwig – Barbie
- Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things
- Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer
- Alexander Payne – The Holdovers
- Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon
- Moses Bwayo and Christopher Sharp – Bobi Wine: The People's President
- Mstyslav Chernov – 20 Days in Mariupol
- Madeleine Gavin – Beyond Utopia
- Davis Guggenheim – Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
- D. Smith – Kokomo City
- Cord Jefferson – American Fiction
- Manuela Martelli – Chile '76
- Noora Niasari – Shayda
- A. V. Rockwell – A Thousand and One
- Celine Song – Past Lives
Screen Actors Guild
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role- Bradley Cooper – Maestro as Leonard Bernstein
- Colman Domingo – Rustin as Bayard Rustin
- Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers as Paul Hunham
- Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer as J. Robert Oppenheimer
- Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction as Thelonious "Monk" Ellison
- Annette Bening – Nyad as Diana Nyad
- Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon as Mollie Burkhart
- Carey Mulligan – Maestro as Felicia Montealegre
- Margot Robbie – Barbie as Barbie
- Emma Stone – Poor Things as Bella Baxter
- Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction as Clifford "Cliff" Ellison
- Willem Dafoe – Poor Things as Dr. Godwin Baxter
- Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon as William King Hale
- Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer as Lewis Strauss
- Ryan Gosling – Barbie as Ken
- Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer as Katherine "Kitty" Oppenheimer
- Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple as Sofia
- Penélope Cruz – Ferrari as Laura Ferrari
- Jodie Foster – Nyad as Bonnie Stoll
- Da'Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers as Mary Lamb
- American Fiction – Erika Alexander, Adam Brody, Sterling K. Brown, Keith David, John Ortiz, Issa Rae, Tracee Ellis Ross, Leslie Uggams, and Jeffrey Wright
- Barbie – Michael Cera, Will Ferrell, America Ferrera, Ryan Gosling, Ariana Greenblatt, Kate McKinnon, Helen Mirren, Rhea Perlman, Issa Rae, and Margot Robbie
- The Color Purple – Halle Bailey, Fantasia Barrino, Jon Batiste, Danielle Brooks, Ciara, Colman Domingo, Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Louis Gossett Jr., Corey Hawkins, Taraji P. Henson, Phylicia Pearl Mpasi, and Gabriella Wilson "H.E.R."
- Killers of the Flower Moon – Tantoo Cardinal, Robert De Niro, Leonardo DiCaprio, Brendan Fraser, Lily Gladstone, John Lithgow, and Jesse Plemons
- Oppenheimer – Casey Affleck, Emily Blunt, Kenneth Branagh, Matt Damon, Robert Downey Jr., Josh Hartnett, Rami Malek, Cillian Murphy, and Florence Pugh
- Barbie
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
- John Wick: Chapter 4
- Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One
Writers Guild of America
Best Original Screenplay- Air – Alex Convery
- Barbie – Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach
- The Holdovers - David Hemingson
- May December – Samy Burch; story by Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik
- Past Lives – Celine Song
- American Fiction – Cord Jefferson; based on the novel Erasure by Percival Everett
- Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret. – Kelly Fremon Craig; based on the book by Judy Blume
- Killers of the Flower Moon – Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese; based on the book by David Grann
- Nyad – Julia Cox; based on the book Find a Way by Diana Nyad
- Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan; based on the book American Prometheus by Kai Bird and Martin J. Sherwin
- Bella! – Jeff L. Lieberman
- It Ain't Over – Sean Mullin
- The Pigeon Tunnel – Errol Morris
- Stamped from the Beginning – David Teague; based on the book Stamped from the Beginning by Ibram X. Kendi
- What the Hell Happened to Blood, Sweat & Tears? – John Scheinfeld
American Society of Cinematographers
Winners Announced March 5
Theatrical Feature Film Nominees- Edward Lachman, ASC for El Conde
- Matthew Libatique, ASC, LPS for Maestro
- Rodrigo Prieto, ASC, AMC for Killers of the Flower Moon
- Robbie Ryan, ISC for Poor Things
- Hoyte van Hoytema, ASC, FSF, NSC for Oppenheimer
- Eric Branco for Story Ave.
- Krum Rodriguez for Citizen Saint
- Warwick Thornton for The New Boy
- Jeff Hutchens for Murder in Big Horn "Episode 1"
- Curren Sheldon for King Coal
- D. Smith for Kokomo City
American Cinema Editors
Best Edited Feature Film (Drama, Theatrical)- Anatomy of a Fall – Laurent Sénéchal
- Killers of the Flower Moon – Thelma Schoonmaker
- Maestro – Michelle Tesoro
- Oppenheimer – Jennifer Lame
- Past Lives – Keith Fraase
- Air – William Goldenberg
- American Fiction – Hilda Rasula
- Barbie – Nick Houy
- The Holdovers – Kevin Tent
- Poor Things – Yorgos Mavropsaridis
- 20 Days in Mariupol – Michelle Mizner
- American Symphony – Sammy Dane, Matthew Heineman, Jim Hession, and Fernando Villegas
- Joan Baez: I Am a Noise – Maeve O'Boyle
- Little Richard: I Am Everything – Nyneve Minnear and Jake Hostetter
- Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie – Michael Harte
- Elemental – Stephen Schaffer
- Nimona – Randy Trager and Erin Crackel
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – Michael Andrews
- The Super Mario Bros. Movie – Eric Osmond
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem – Greg Levitan
Visual Effects Society
Outstanding Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature- Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves: Ben Snow, Diana Giorgiutti, Khalid Almeerani, Scott Benza, and Sam Conway
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: Stephane Ceretti, Susan Pickett, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams, and Dan Sudick
- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: Andrew Whitehurst, Kathy Siegel, Robert Weaver, Julian Hutchens, and Alistair Williams
- Oppenheimer: Andrew Jackson, Mike Chambers (VES), Giacomo Mineo, Dave Drzewiecki, and Scot Fisher
- The Creator: Jay Cooper, Julian Levi, Ian Comley, Charmaine Chan, Neil Corbould (VES)
- John Wick: Chapter 4: Janelle Croshaw Ralla, Reina Sparks, Jonathan Rothbart, Javier Roca, and Gerd Nefzer
- Killers of the Flower Moon: Pablo Helman, Brian Barlettani, Sam Bassett , and Brandon Keys McLaughlin
- Napoleon: Charley Henley, Sarah Tulloch, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet, Simone Coco, and Neil Corbould (VES)
- Nyad: Jake Braver, Fiona Campbell Westgate, R. Christopher White, and Mohsen Mousavi
- Society of the Snow: Félix Bergés, Micaela Gagliano, Laura Pedro, Ezequiel Larrú, and Pau Costa
- Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget: Jon Biggins, Jim Lewis, Charles Copping, and Matthew Perry
- Elemental: Peter Sohn, Denise Ream, Sanjay Bakshi, and Stephen Marshall
- Nimona: Archie Donato, Yancy Lindquist, Theodore Ty, and Anthony Kemp
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Alan Hawkins, Christian Hejnal, Michael Lasker, and Matt Hausman
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem: Matthieu Rouxel, Marie Balland, Jacques Daigle, and Vincent Leroy
- Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (Topo the Octopus): Thomas Ward, Andrew Butler, Felix Slinger-Thompson, and Jacob Burstein
- Godzilla Minus One (Godzilla): Kosuke Taguchi and Takashi Yamazaki
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Rocket): Nathan McConnel, Andrea De Martis, Antony Magdalinidis,and Rachel Williams
- Wonka (Oompa Loompa), Dale Newton, Kunal Ayer, Valentina Ercolani, and Gabor Foner
- Elemental (Ember): Gwendelyn Enderoglu, Jared Fong, Jonathan Hoffman, and Patrick Witting
- Elemental (Wade): Max Gilbert, Jacob Kuenzel, Dave Strick, and Benjamin Su
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Spot): Christopher Mangnall, Craig Feifarek, Humberto Rosa, and Nideep Varghese
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Superfly): Gregory Coelho, Anne-Claire Leroux, Simon Cuisinier, and Olivier Pierre
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Knowhere): Omar Alejandro Lavrador Ibanez, Fabien Julvecourt, Klaudio Ladavac, and Benjamin Patterson
- Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (Underwater Wreck Environment): Johan Gabrielsson, Adrian Tsang, Stefan Andersson, and Martin Eneroth
- John Wick: Chapter 4 (Place de L’Étoile): Manuel Gaudreau, Fabrice Vienne, Vignesh Ravi, and Laurent Makowski
- The Creator (Floating Village): John Seru, Guy Williams, Vincent Techer, and Timothée Maron
- Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (Chicken Island): Charles Copping, Matthew Perry, Jim Lewis, and Jon Biggins
- Elemental (Element City): Chris Bernardi, Brandon Montell, David Shavers, and Ting Zhang
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Mumbattan City): Taehyun Park, YJ Lee, Pepe Orozco, and Kelly Han
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Midtown Manhattan): Olivier Mitonneau, Eddy Frechou, Guillaume Chevet, and Arnaud Philippe-Giraux
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: Joanna Davison, Cheyana Wilkinson, Michael Cozens, and Jason Desjarlais
- Migration: Guylo Homsy, Damien Bapst, Antoine Collet, and David Dangin
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Rich Turner, Randolph Lizarda, Daniela Campos Little, and Thomas Campos
- The Creator: Roel Coucke, Christopher Potter, Amanda Johnstone-Batt, and Jeremy Bloch
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (The Arête): Kenneth Johansson, Jason Galeon, Tim Civil, and Artur Vil
- Peter Pan & Wendy (Jolly Roger): Patrick Comtois, Thomas Gallardo, Harrison Stark, and David Thibodeau
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Spider HQ): Dongick David Sheen, Mark JeongWoong Lee, Mikaela Bantog, and René Völker
- The Creator (Nomad): Oliver Kane, Mat Monro, Florence Green, and Serban Ungureanu
- Napoleon: Koen Hofmeester, Gianmichele Mariani, Clair Bellens, and Hernan Llano Duque
- Nyad (Stormy Waters) Korbinian Meier, Sindy Saalfeld, David Michielsen, and Andreas Vrhovsek
- The Creator: Ludovic Ramisandraina, Raul Essig, Mathieu Chardonnet, and Lewis Taylor
- The Nun 2: Laurent Creusot, Sebastien Podsiadlo, Michael Moercant, and Benjamin Saurine
- Elemental: Kristopher Campbell, Greg Gladstone, Jon Reisch, and Kylie Wijsmuller
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Pav Grochola, Filippo Maccari, Naoki Kato, and Nicola Finizio
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem: Louis Marsaud, Paul-Etienne Bourde, Serge Martin, and Marine Pommereul
- The Super Mario Bros. Movie: Simon Pate, Christophe Vazquez, and Milo Riccarand
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: Indah Maretha, Beck Veitch, Nathan Abbot, and Steve McGillen
- John Wick: Chapter 4 (Apartment Massacre Videogame Style): Javier Roca, Julien Forest, Thomas Bourdis, and Dominik Kirouac
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Bret St.Clair, Kieron Cheuk-Chi Lo, Kelly Christophers, and Rowan Young
- The Creator (Bar): Phil Prates, Min Kim, Nisarg Suthar, and Toshiko Miura
- The Creator (Spaceships): Ben O-Brien, Juan Espigares Enriquez, Wesley Roberts, and Hayes Brien
- I’m a Virgo: John McLeod, Scott Kirvan, Alec Gillis, and Carl Miller
- Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One: Neil Corbould (VES), Ray Ferguson, Keith Dawson, and Chris Motjuoadi
- Oppenheimer: Scott Fisher, James Rollins, and Mario Vanillo
- Society of the Snow: Pau Costa, Carlos Laguna, Guillermo F. Aldunate, and Eloy Cervera
- Blue Beetle (Machine Learning Cloth): JohnMark Gibbons, Allen Ruilova, Momme Carl, and David Minor
- Elemental (Volumetric Neural Style Transfer): Vinicius C. Azevedo, Byungsoo Kim, Raphael Ortiz, and Paul Kanyuk
- The Flash (Volumetric Capture): Stephan Trojansky, Thomas Ganshorn, Oliver Pilarski, and Lukas Lepicovsky
- Wish (Dynamic Screen Space Textures for Coherent Stylization): Brent Burley, Daniel Teece, and Brian J. Green
Motion Pictures Sound Editors
Outstanding Achievement in Sound Editing - Feature Animation- Elemental
- Migration
- Spiderman: Across the Spiderverse
- The Super Mario Bros. Movie
- 32 Sounds
- American Symphony
- Mourning in Lod
- Still: A Michael J Fox Movie
- Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour
- Anatomy of a Fall
- The Zone of Interest
- Godzilla Minus One
- Society of the Snow
- Barbie
- Killers of the Flower Moon
- Maestro
- Napoleon
- Oppenheimer
- Poor Things
- Gran Turismo
- Ferarri
- John Wick Chapter Four
- Napoleon
- Oppenheimer
- The Killer
- American Symphony
- Pianoforte
- Still: A Michael J Fox Story
- WHAM!
- Barbie
- Creed III
- Maestro
- Oppenheimer
- Spiderman: Across the Spiderverse
- Wonka
Cinema Audio Society
Motion Picture: Live Action- Barbie - Nina Rice (Production Mixer), Kevin O’Connell (Re-Recording Mixer), Ai-Ling Lee (Re-Recording Mixer), Peter Cobbin (Scoring Mixer), Kirsty Whalley (Scoring Mixer), Bobby Johanson (ADR Mixer), Kevin Schultz (Foley Mixer)
- Ferrari - Lee Orloff (Production Mixer), Andy Nelson (Production Mixer), Tony Lamberti (Re-Recording Mixer), Luke Schwarzweller (Re-Recording Mixer), Andrew Dudman (Scoring Mixer), Matthew Wood (ADR Mixer), Giorgi Lekishvili (Foley Mixer)
- Killers of the Flower Moon - Mark Ulano (Production Mixer), Tom Fleischman (Re-Recording Mixer), Eugene Gearty (Re-Recording Mixer), George A. Lara (Foley Mixer)
- Maestro - Steven A. Morrow (Production Mixer), Tom Ozanich (Re-Recording Mixer), Dean A. Zupancic (Re-Recording Mixer), Nick Baxter (Scoring Mixer), Bobby Johanson (ADR Mixer), Walter Spencer (Foley Mixer)
- Oppenheimer Willie D. Burton (Production Mixer), Gary A. Rizzo (Re-Recording Mixer), Kevin O’Connell (Re-Recording Mixer), Chris Fogel (Scoring Mixer), Tavish Grade (Foley Mixer), Jack Cucci (Foley Mixer), Mikel Parraga-Wills (Foley Mixer)
- Elemental - Vince Caro (Original Dialogue Mixer), Paul McGrath (Original Dialogue Mixer), Stephen Urata (Re-Recording Mixer), Ren Klyce (Re-Recording Mixer), Thomas Vicari (Scoring Mixer), Scott Curtis (Foley Mixer)
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse - Brian Smith (Original Dialogue Mixer), Aaron Hasson (Original Dialogue Mixer), Howard London (Original Dialogue Mixer), Michael Semanick (Re-Recording Mixer), Juan Peralta (Re-Recording Mixer), Sam Okell (Scoring Mixer), Randy K. Singer (Foley Mixer)
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem - Doc Kane (Original Dialogue Mixer), Michael Semanick (Re-Recording Mixer), Mark Mangini (Re-Recording Mixer), Trent Reznor (Scoring Mixer), Atticus Ross (Scoring Mixer), Chris Cirino (ADR Mixer), Chelsea Body(Foley Mixer)
- The Boy and the Heron – Kôji Kasamatsu (Original Dialogue & Re-Recording Mixer)
- The Super Mario Brothers Movie - Carlos Sotolongo (Original Dialogue Mixer), Pete Horner (Re-Recording Mixer), Juan Peralta (Re-Recording Mixer), Casey Stone (Scoring Mixer), Doc Kane (ADR Mixer), Richard Durante (Foley Mixer)
- 32 Sounds - Laura Cunningham (Production Mixer), Mark Mangini (Re-Recording Mixer), Ben Greenberg (Scoring Mixer), Bobby Johanson (ADR Mixer), Blake Collins (Foley Mixer)
- American Symphony - Tom Paul (Re-Recording Mixer), Tristan Baylis (Re-Recording Mixer), Ryan Collison (Foley Mixer),
- Little Richard: I Am Everything - Tom Paul (Re-Recording Mixer)
- Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie - Skip Lievsay (Re-Recording Mixer), Paul Urmson (Re-Recording Mixer), Joel Dougherty (Re-Recording Mixer), John Michael Caldwell (Scoring Mixer), Micah Blaichman (Foley Mixer
- Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour - Jacob Farron Smith (Production Mixer), John Ross (Re-Recording Mixer), David Payne (Re-Recording Mixer), Christopher Rowe (Re-Recording Mixer)
Casting Society of America
Feature Animation- Elemental (Disney): Natalie Lyon, Kevin Reher, Kate Hansen-Birnbaum (Associate Casting Director)
- Leo (Netflix): Danielle Aufiero, Amber Horn
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Sony): Mary Hidalgo
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem (Paramount): Rich Delia, Adam Richards (Associate Casting Director)
- Wish (Disney): Grace C. Kim
- Air (Amazon Studios): Mary Vernieu, Lindsay Graham Ahanonu, Sydney Shircliff (Associate Casting Director)
- Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (Searchlight): Francine Maisler, Melissa Kostenbauder, Betsy Fippinger (Location Casting), Tara Feldstein (Location Casting), Chase Paris (Location Casting), Molly Rose (Associate Casting Director)
- Asteroid City (Focus Features): Douglas Aibel, Jina Jay (Location Casting), Matthew Glasner (Associate Casting Director)
- Cocaine Bear (Paramount): Debra Zane, Dylan Jury, Alli Coffey (Location Casting)
- Wonka (Warner Bros.): Nina Gold
- The Color Purple (Warner Bros.): Bernard Telsey, Tiffany Little Canfield, Destiny Lilly
- Maestro (Netflix): Shayna Markowitz, Dayna Katz (Associate Casting Director)
- Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple): Ellen Lewis, Rene Haynes, Kate Sprance (Associate Casting Director)
- Oppenheimer (Universal): John Papsidera
- Saltburn (Amazon Studios): Kharmel Cochrane
- American Fiction (Amazon Studios): Jennifer Euston, Lisa Lobel (Location Casting), Angela Peri (Location Casting), Melissa Morris (Associate Casting Director)
- Bottoms (Amazon Studios): Laura Rosenthal, Maribeth Fox, Meagan Lewis (Location Casting), Kimberly Ostroy (Associate Casting Director)
- The Holdovers (Focus Features): Susan Shopmaker, Lisa Lobel (Location Casting), Angela Peri (Location Casting), Melissa Morris (Associate Casting Director)
- Joy Ride (Lionsgate): Rich Delia, Kara Eide (Location Casting), Kris Woznesensky (Location Casting), Adam Richards (Associate Casting Director)
- Theater Camp (Searchlight): Kristian Charbonier, Bernard Telsey
- The Iron Claw (A24): Susan Shopmaker, Brent Caballero (Location Casting)
- May December (Netflix): Laura Rosenthal, Meagan Lewis (Location Casting), Rebecca Carfagna (Location Casting), Kimberly Ostroy (Associate Casting Director)
- Past Lives (A24): Ellen Chenoweth, Susanne Scheel
- Priscilla (A24): Nicole Daniels, Courtney Bright, John Buchan, Jason Knight
- Rustin (Netflix): Avy Kaufman, Donna Belajac (Location Casting), Missy Finnell (Location Casting), Scotty Anderson (Associate Casting Director)
- Birth/Rebirth (IFC Films): Allison Twardziak, Danielle Pretsfelder Demchick
- Emily (Warner Bros.): Fiona Weir
- Jules (Bleecker Street): Avy Kaufman
- Memory (Ketchup Entertainment): Susan Shopmaker
- Monica (IFC Films): Emily Schweber, D. Lynn Meyers (Location Casting)
- The Donor Party (Vertical): Anthony J. Kraus
- How I Learned to Fly (Film Movement): Jessica Sherman
- Summoning Sylvia (The Horror Collective): Steven Tylor O’Connor
- What Comes Around (IFC Films): Eyde Belasco, Jeff Johnson (Location Casting)
- Your Lucky Day (Well Go USA Entertainment): Jessica Sherman
- Barbie (Warner Bros.): Lucy Bevan, Olivia Grant (Associate Casting Director)
- The Flash (Warner Bros.): Rich Delia, Kate Ringsell, Adam Richards (Associate Casting Director)
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes (Lionsgate): Debra Zane, Dylan Jury, Simone Bär (Location Casting)
- Rebel Moon: Part One – A Child of Fire (Netflix): Kristy Carlson, Jeanette Benzie (Associate Casting Director)
- Transformers: Rise of the Beasts (Paramount Pictures): Wittney Horton, additional voice casting by Ruth Lambert and Robert McGee, Eve Streger (Associate Casting Director)
Art Directors Guild
Excellence in Production Design for a Contemporary Film- Beau Is Afraid – Fiona Crombie
- John Wick: Chapter 4 – Kevin Kavanaugh
- The Killer – Donald Graham Burt
- Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One – Gary Freeman
- Saltburn – Suzie Davies
- Asteroid City – Adam Stockhausen
- Killers of the Flower Moon – Jack Fisk
- Maestro – Kevin Thompson
- Napoleon – Arthur Max
- Oppenheimer – Ruth De Jong
- Barbie – Sarah Greenwood
- The Creator – James Clyne
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 – Beth Mickle
- Poor Things – James Price and Shona Heath
- Wonka – Nathan Crowley
- The Boy and the Heron – Yôji Takeshige
- Elemental – Don Shank
- Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – Patrick O'Keefe
- The Super Mario Bros. Movie – Guillaume Aretos
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem – Yashar Kassai
Guild of Music Supervisors
Best Music Supervision for Film Budgeted Over $25 Million- The Holdovers
- My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3
- They Cloned Tyrone
- Barbie
- Maestro
- Saltburn
- Spiderman: Across the Spiderverse
- Are You There God? Its Me, Margaret
- Wonka
- Air
- The Iron Claw
- Jesus Revolution
- All of Us Strangers
- Polite Society
- Flamin' Hot
- Joy Ride
- Aristotle and Dante Discover the Secrets of the Universe
- Brother
- Past Lives
- Somewhere in Queens
- Eileen
- War Pony
- Paint
- Theater Camp
- Change Can Dunk (TIE)
- Please Don’t Destroy: The Treasure of Foggy Mountain
- Rye Lane
- Sitting in Bars With Cake
- Family Switch
- Totally Killer (TIE)
- A Million Miles Away
- Heist 88
- Praise This
- Spiderman: Across the Spiderverse (Am I Dreaming) - Mike Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Rakim Mayers, Roisee, Leland Wayne, and Landon Wayne
- Theater Camp (Camp Isn't Home) - Noah Galvin, Molly Gordon, Nick Lieberman, Ben Platt, and Mark Sonnenblick
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes (Can't Catch Me Now) - Dan Nigro and Olivia Rodrigo
- Barbie (I'm Just Ken) - Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
- American Symphony (It Never Went Away) - Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson
- Joy Ride (Juicy) - Isak Alvedahl, Kirubel Swedin, and Sandra Wikstrom
- Totally Killer (Little Bit 'O Soul) - John Carter and Kenneth Hawker
- Past Lives (Quiet Eyes) - Zachary Dawes and Sharon Van Etten
- Rustin (Road to Freedom) - Lenny Kravitz
- Barbie (What I Was Made For) - Billie Eilish O’Connell, Finneas O’Connell*
Costume Designers Guild
Excellence in Contemporary Film- American Fiction – Rudy Mance
- May December – April Napier
- Nyad – Kelli Jones
- Renfield – Lisa Lovaas
- Saltburn – Sophie Canale
- Killers of the Flower Moon – Jacqueline West
- Maestro – Mark Bridges
- Napoleon – Janty Yates & Dave Crossman
- Oppenheimer – Ellen Mirojnick
- Poor Things – Holly Waddington
- Barbie – Jacqueline Durran
- Haunted Mansion – Jeffrey Kurland
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes – Trish Summerville
- The Little Mermaid – Colleen Atwood & Christine Cantella
- Rebel Moon – Part One: A Child of Fire – Stephanie Porter
- 1923: War and the Turquoise Tide – Maggie S. Chan
- Haunted Mansion – Barbra Araujo
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Song Songbirds & Snakes – Oksana Nedavniaya
- Loki: 1893 – Felipe Sanchez
- Rebel Moon – Part One: A Child of Fire – Jason Pastrana
Make-Up Artists and Hair Stylists Guild
Best Contemporary Make-up- Candy Cane Lane - Tym Shutchai Buacharern, Michele Lewis, Jennifer Zide-Essex, Yvettra Grantham
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 - Jane Galli, Personal
- The Haunted Mansion - Kimberly Jones, Dionne Wynn, Bridgit Crider, Carla VanNessa Wallace
- NYAD - Felicity Bowring, Ann Maree Hurley, Julie Hewett, Mahar Lessner
- Saltburn - Siân Miller, Laura Allen
- Barbie - Ivana Primorac, Victoria Down, Maha Mimo
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 - Alexei Dmitriew, Nicole Sortillon, Amos Samantha Ward, LuAndra Whitehurs
- Maestro - Siann Grigg, Jackie Risotto, Elisa Tallerico, Nicky Pattison-Illum
- Oppenheimer - Luisa Abel, Jason Hamer, Kerrin Jackson, Jamie Loree Hess
- Poor Things - Nadia Stacey
- Golda - Karen Thomas, Eva Susanna Johnson Theodosiou
- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 - Alexei Dmitriew, Lindsay MacGowen, Shane Mahan, Scott Stoddard
- Maestro - Kazu Hiro, Sian Grigg, Duncan Jarman, Mike Mekash
- Poor Things - Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier
- Rebel Moon: Part One – A Child of Fire - Ozzy Alvarez, Justin Raleigh, Kelsey Berk, Jonathan Shroyer
- Candy Cane Lane - Yvette Shelton, Shian Banks, Stacey Morris, Maisha Oliver
- Joyride - Jeannie Chow, Kim Lee
- NYAD - Daniel Curet, Vanessa Columbo, Enzo Angileri, Darlene Brumfeld
- Pain Hustlers - Michelle Johnson, Dennis Bailey
- Saltburn - Siân Miller, Laura Allen
- Barbie - Ivana Primorac, Marie Larkin, Clare Corsick
- Chevalier - Roo Maurice, Francesco Pegoretti
- The Color Purple - Lawrence Davis, Andrea Mona Bowman, Tym Wallace
- Guardians of The Galaxy Vol. 3 - Cassandra Lyn Russek, Stephanie Fenner, Peter Tothpal, Connie Criswell
- Maestro - Kay Georgiou, Lori McCoy-Bell, Jameson Eaton, Amanda Duffy-Evans
Society of Composers and Lyricists
Outstanding Original Score For a Studio Film- Anthony Willis - Saltburn
- Joe Hisaishi - The Boy and the Heron
- Ludwig Göransson - Oppenheimer
- Laura Karpman - American Fiction
- Robbie Robertson - Killers of the Flower Moon
- Jon Batiste - American Symphony
- John Powell - Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
- Daniel Pemberton - Ferrari
- Mica Levi - The Zone of Interest
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Set Decorators Society of America
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2024.04.18 17:38 Randomvids78 Gosling falling back on legs?
 | I know this isn’t a duck but if anyone can help me I would appreciate it. Yesterday 3 goslings arrived from cackle hatchery, I noticed one of them was falling back on her legs as shown in the pictures every once in a while. She seems to be walking, running , and swimming ok and seems to be doing better today possibly because she now has food and water which she didn’t have when they were shipped. The other goslings seem to be doing fine but is there anything I need to do? submitted by Randomvids78 to duck [link] [comments] |