Solar panels are marvels of modern engineering, silently transforming sunlight into usable electricity. But what exactly is the power output of a solar panel? How much energy can you realistically expect from these sleek, sun-soaking rectangles?
This comprehensive guide will demystify solar panel power output, explaining the key concepts, influencing factors, and how it translates to meeting your energy demands.

Watts and Kilowatts: The Language of Solar Power

Like light bulbs, solar panels are rated in watts (W). This measurement indicates their maximum power production under ideal conditions, known as peak sun.
​

• Watt: A single unit of power. Think of it as the "brightness" of a solar panel.
• Kilowatt (kW): A thousand watts. Most residential solar panel systems range from 4 kW to 10 kW.

Standard Solar Panel Wattage

Modern residential solar panelstypically range from 250 to 450 watts per panel. This means a single panel could power several small appliances or a significant portion of a larger one. However, most homes need multiple panels to cover their entire energy needs.

Factors Affecting Solar Panel Output

The power output of a solar panel isn't static; it's influenced by several factors:
​

• Sunlight Intensity: The more intense the sunlight, the more power your panels will generate. This varies throughout the day and seasonally.
• Panel Efficiency: Not all panels are created equal. Some convert sunlight to electricity more efficiently than others. Look for panels with higher efficiency ratings for optimal output.
• Temperature: Ironically, solar panels become less efficient as temperatures rise. This is why proper ventilation and mounting practices are crucial.
• Shading: Any obstruction, even partial, reduces a panel's output significantly. Proper placement and orientation are vital to maximize sunlight exposure.
• Angle and Orientation: In the Northern Hemisphere, panels facing south at a tilt angle roughly equal to your latitude typically produce the most energy.

From Watts to Kilowatt-Hours: Your Solar Energy Production

The amount of electricity your solar panels generate over time is measured in kilowatt-hours (kWh). This is the unit you see on your electricity bill.
To estimate your annual production, consider:
​

1. Your System Size: The total wattage of all your panels combined (e.g., a 6 kW system has 6,000 watts).
2. Peak Sun Hours: The average daily hours of direct sunlight in your location.
3. Panel Efficiency: This will vary based on the specific model.

A solar professional can provide a more accurate estimate tailored to your location and system.

Matching Output to Your Needs

The goal is to match your solar panel system's output to your home's energy consumption. Factors to consider include:
​

• Your Electricity Usage: Analyze your past bills to determine your average monthly kWh usage.
• Future Energy Needs: Are you planning to add electric appliances or vehicles? This may increase your energy needs.
• Financial Goals: Do you want to offset your entire bill or just a portion?

FAQs

• What is the average solar panel output per day? This varies greatly depending on location, panel efficiency, and weather conditions. A rough estimate is 1.5 to 2.5 kWh per day for a standard panel.
• How do I calculate how much solar power I need? A solar professional can help you accurately size your system based on your energy usage and goals.
• Can I add more solar panels later? Yes, most systems can be expanded if your energy needs increase.

Read more: The Best Time to Install Solar Panels: A Strategic Guide for Savings and Sunshine

​

Conclusion

Understanding solar panel power output is key to making informed decisions about your renewable energy journey. With the right knowledge and guidance, you can harness the sun's power to significantly reduce or eliminate your reliance on the grid, save money, and contribute to a cleaner environment.

If you are unable to Handle your online Exam, Assignments and full courses, get paid help from Online Helpers at Hiraedu!
Contact Details for Hiraedu Helper:
WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657
Call: +1 727 456 9641
Website: hiraedu. com
Email: info@hiraedu. com
ASSESSMENTS I CAN COMPLETE:

• Online Courses (1 - 20 Weeks Long)
• Homework Assignments
• Exams Quizzes Tests
• Excel Projects
• Discussion Forum Posts
• Research Papers Term Papers Essays
• Employment Assessments

MY MATH SUBJECTS OF EXPERTISE:
I am very knowledgeable and proficient in assisting students in a wide range of mathematics classes. I can help students complete their homework assignments and other projects get an A on quizzes, tests, and exams (including proctored assessments) answer online discussion posts write essays & papers in MLA APA Chicago format and provide general overall academic help in each math course listed below:

• Advanced Placement Honors High School Level Math
• AP Calculus AB A.P. Calculus BC
• AP Statistics
• Biostatistics Bio-Statistics
• College Algebra Intermediate Algebra
• Business Calculus
• Business Statistics
• Business Math
• Calculus I Calculus II Calculus III (Calc)
• Geometry
• International Baccalaureate (IB) Maths
• Liberal Arts Math
• Logic & Reasoning
• Multivariable Calculus Multi variable Calculus
• Precalculus Pre-calculus
• Probability & Statistics
• Psychology Statistics Psych Stats
• Quantitative Reasoning Quantitative Methods Quantitative Literacy (Quant)
• Statistics (Stats)
• Statistics for Social Sciences
• Trigonometry (Trig)

STATISTICS HELP (MY BEST SUBJECT):

• I have a master's degree in Applied Statistics from a university in New Jersey, USA. As a result, I am very proficient in helping students with various types of Statistics courses including Biostatistics Business Statistics Elementary Statistics Probability & Statistics Psychology Statistics.
• I have extensive knowledge and skill with helping students get through various statistical concepts including all of the following in alphabetical order:
• ANOVA Bar Graph, Boxplot, Dot Plot, Histogram, Pie Chart Bias Binomial, Exponential, Poisson, Gamma, Uniform Distribution Central Limit Theorem Chi-Square Test Coefficient of Determination (R^2) Conditional & Relative Probability Confidence Interval Correlation Coefficient (r) Critical Region Critical Value Descriptive & Inferential Statistics Effect Size Expected Value Experiment vs Observation Goodness of Fit Test Hypothesis Testing Interpolation & Extrapolation Interquartile Range (IQR) Kurtosis Left, Negative, Right, Positive Skewed Distribution Logistic Regression Mean, Median, Mode, Midrange Multiple Regression Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, Ratio I Population Parameter Normal, Symmetric & Bell Shaped Distribution Null & Alternate Hypothesis One & Two Sample T-Test One & Two Sample Z-Test Ordinary Least Squares Outliers P-Value Pooled Variance (Equal Variances) Proportion R^2 Range Regression Regression Line Reject & Fail to Reject Ho Relative & Cumulative Frequency Distributions Relativity & Reliability Right, Left, One, Two Tailed Tailed Hypothesis Test Sample Statistics Sampling Methods (Convenience, Stratified, Simple, Cluster, Systematic) Significance Level (1%, 5%, 10%) Skewness Standard Deviation& Variance T-Score Test Statistic Time Series Type I & Type II Errors Unbiased Estimators Z-Score

ALGEBRA HELP:

• I am well-versed in helping students do well in Algebra 1 & 2 College Algebra Intermediate Algebra Pre-Algebra and I am very knowledgeable and proficient in the following algebra topics in alphabetical order:
• Absolute Values Circle Equation Domain Exponents Graphing Horizontal & Vertical Asymptotes Inequalities, Equations & Functions Inverse Functions Linear, Exponential, Logarithmic, Quadratic Equations Logarithms Maximum & Minimum Values of a Graph Number Lines One-to-One Functions Parallel & Perpendicular Lines Plotting Points & Ordered Pairs Point-Slope Form Polynomial Division Polynomials Radicals Range Rational & Irrational Expressions Rational Functions Real Roots Real Zeros Relations & Functions Slope Slope-Intercept Form Square Roots Standard Form of a Line System of Equations System of Inequalities Variables X and Y Intercepts

CALCULUS HELP:

• I am well-versed in helping students do well in Calculus I, II & III, Calculus 1, 2 & 3, Business Calculus, Multivariable Calculus, Vector Calculus and I am very knowledgeable and proficient in the following calculus topics in alphabetical order:
• Absolute & Local Maximum and Minimum Antiderivative Area & Volume Chain Rule Concavity Continuity Convergence Test Critical Points Curvature Curve of Rotation Curve Sketching Derivatives Divergence Test First & Second Derivative Test Fourier Series Implicit Differentiation Increasing / Decreasing Functions Infinite Series Integrals Integration by Parts Jacobian Matrix Limits L’Hopital’s Rule Maclaurin Series Mean Value Theorem Partial Derivative Product & Quotient Rule Reiman Sum Related Rates Simpson’s Rule Solid of Revolution Substitution Rule Taylor Series

I CAN AID STUDENTS TAKING PROCTORED ASSESSMENTS:

• Proficient in CollegeBoard AP Calculus AB, AP Calculus BC & AP Statistics exams.
• Skilled with International Baccalaureate Math Exams: IB Maths HL & IB Maths SL
• Can intentionally answer a few problems incorrectly at the student's request.
• Can text solutions to the student while they are taking a proctored exam.
• Upon request, can purposely obtain grades below an A (ex: B+, B, C+, C-).
• I can stretch out the time to a plausible length for timed exams and assignments before submitting them.
• Have reliable software that can change my IP address to match the closest major city near the student.
• I have exceptional multiple-choice exam-taking skills. I have mastered the various techniques to make calculated guesses for the correct option in standardized exams such as the SAT & GRE.

I CAN VERIFY MY ACADEMIC KNOWLEDGE & SKILLS:

• I have no problem with requests to solve sample problems upfront to prove my knowledge & proficiency of the course concepts.
• I can provide glowing references & strong examples of work done for past clients to verify my academic skills.
• I can also provide, upon request, complete detailed calculations with explanations for solutions to the problems worked on.
• I am quite skilled and adept in using multiple modernized educational platforms and software, including but not limited to: Brightspace MyStatLab D2L WebAssign Canvas MyMathLab Blackboard ALEKS
• Can format term papers and discussion posts in APA MLA Harvard Chicago Vancouver OSCOLA IEEE format.

I HAVE PAID ACCESS TO OVER 15 STUDY-HELP WEBSITES AND MATHEMATICAL SOFTWARE:

• I have multiple paid subscriptions to a wide range of academic tutoring resources, including Chegg, Quizlet, CourseHero, Brainly, Grammarly, Study. com, Bartleby, Slader, Transtutors, Slideshare, StudocU, Turnitin, Academia, SymboLab, WolframAlpha, and Scribd to help guide to solve exam & homework questions that I may not immediately know.
• However, I am smart enough not to blatantly plagiarize solutions online but instead write them in my own unique words, formatting, & mathematical terminology.
• I have access to a very sophisticated graphing calculator and various mathematical software that provides step-by-step solutions to complex mathematical problems within seconds, allowing me to provide exact solutions to the student in a timely manner.
• I have impeccable handwriting and a high-quality mobile scanner app that allows me to scan written solutions in very legible high-definition JPG, PNG, or PDF formats.

MY AVAILABILITY & RELIABILITY:

• Depending on my availability, I can accommodate immediate tutoring requests, 1-24 hour, and 1-30-day deadlines.
• I can schedule live real-time online sessions and meet deadlines in an impressively timely fashion.
• I can provide quick notifications and updates of progress made in the student's class via email text phone calls.
• I can also be available to tutor students for Fall 2021 Spring 2022 Summer 2022 semesters.

MY EDUCATIONAL SOFTWARE OF EXPERTISE:

• I am very knowledgeable and well-versed in a wide range of educational software to tutor students in including but not limited to: Acellus ALEKS APEX Learning Aplia Blackboard Brightspace Canvas Cengage CengageNow Connect ConnectMath Connexus CPM D2L Discord Edmentum Eviews Examity Excel Hawkes Learning Honorlock Khan Academy Knewton LimeSpring Lumen Maple MasteringChemistry MasteringPhysics MathXL (XL) MATLAB McGraw-Hill Microsoft Word Minitab Moodle MyAccountingLab MyEconLab MyITLab MyLab My Lab MyMathLab My Math Lab MyOpenMath MyPsychLab MySocLab MyStatLab My Stat Lab NCSS Open Source Software Pearson PERT PlatoWeb PowerPoint Prezi R Respondus Lockdown Browser with Webcam Sapling SPSS Stata StraighterLine Straighter Line WebAssign Web Assign Webex (Cisco) WebWork Wiley WileyPlus Wonderlic Zoom

SCHOOLS FROM WHICH I'VE HELPED STUDENTS IN :
As of 2021, I have tutored and helped students enrolled at the following U.S. universities community colleges county & city colleges schools for-profit institutions listed below in alphabetical order:

• A - C: American Public University System (APUS) Arizona State Ashford Brigham Young Brown Broward California State (Fullerton) Capella Chamberlain (Illinois) Colorado Technical Columbia Columbia Southern Cornell
• D - K: Dallas College Dartmouth DeVry Excelsior College Florida International Florida State Full Sail Georgia State Grand Canyon Harvard Houston Community College Ivy Tech Community College Kaplan Kennesaw State Kent State
• L - T: Liberty Lone Star College System Kaplan Miami Dade Michigan State CUNY State University of New York (SUNY) Northern Virginia Ohio State University of Phoenix (UOP) Penn State Princeton Purdue (Davenport) San Diego State San Francisco State San Jose State Southern New Hampshire Southern Nevada Stanford St. Petersburg Strayer Texas Tech
• UNIVERSITY OF: Alabama Arizona California (UC) Central Florida Chicago Cincinnati Florida Houston Illinois (Urbana-Champaign) Iowa Maryland Minnesota Michigan North Texas Pennsylvania Southern Florida Texas Toronto
• U - Z: UCLA Extension Utah State Utah Valley Valencia Walden U Wake Technical Western Governors Wilmington Yale

I OFFER FLEXIBLE PAYMENT PLANS:

• I offer several unique payment plans, including a weekly plan, a discounted monthly plan, a discounted half-now / half-later plan, and highly discounted up-front rates.
• I can accept the following payment methods for my services: PayPal Debit Cards Square Cash Credit Cards Cash App Venmo.
• Only people located in North America have access to Venmo Cash App Zelle.
• This is an excellent way to determine if the person you're dealing with is from the United States.
• Within reason, I offer a partial or full money-Back guarantee if the student is very unsatisfied with my academic services.

TUTORING AVAILABLE FOR OTHER SUBJECTS:

• For other subjects, you can reach out to me, and I can connect you with one of my tutoring partners who can provide general academic assistance for the following subjects:
• Art & Design: Art History Design Film Studies
• Business: Accounting (Acc) Biz Courses Business Administration (Biz Admn) Business Calculus Business Law Business Statistics Corporate Finance Economics (Econ) Finance (Fin) Financial Accounting Intermediate Accounting Intermediate Microeconomics (Micro) Macroeconomics (Macro) Management (Mgmt) Managerial Accounting Marketing MBA
• Computer Science: C C++ Computer Programming (Comp) Java Python R (Introduction & Intermediate Level Only)
• Humanities: Communications (Comm) English Literature Essay & Term Paper Writing, Editing, Proofreading Essays History Papers Philosophy (Phil) Religious Studies Theology (Theo)
• Mathematics: A.P. Calculus AB & BC Psychology Statistics AP Statistics Bio statistics Calculus I (1) Calculus II (2) Calculus III (3) College Algebra Differential Equations Discrete Math Finite Math Functions General Math Geometry Liberal Arts Math Linear Algebra Multi-variable Calculus Partial Differential Equations Precalculus Probability Quantitative Reasoning Real Analysis Statistics Trigonometry (Trig) Vector Calculus
• Science & Medicine: Anatomy & Physiology (A & P) Biochemistry Biology (Bio) Biostatistics Earth Science Environmental Science General Chemistry (Chem) Healthcare Medicine Nursing Nutrition Organic Chemistry Physics (Phys)
• Social Sciences: Anthropology Economics (Econ) Geology Law & Justice Liberal Arts Liberal Studies Political Science Psychology Sociology

THE OBLIGATORY "IS THIS A SCAM?" QUESTION:
Considering the fact that you found my contact information online, it’s understandable to be skeptical regarding the legitimacy of my services. Therefore, I’m willing to do all of the following to help you feel more secure in trusting me with your academic needs:

• 1) Speak with you on the phone and answer any questions you may have so that you have the opportunity to assess and analyze my tone, articulation, accent, diction, dialect, regionalisms, pitch, vocabulary, word choice, intonations, and inflections.
• NOTE: I’m a New Jersey-born Irish/Italian-American, but I have been told that I speak in an erudite & articulate suburban American accent with a “professor style” voice somewhat resembling the voice of actor: Ben Stein.
• 2) Agree to do some homework questions of yours upfront with the work fully shown in real-time to prove my mastery of the course content.
• 3) Send you screenshots of at least five past scores I attained from completing exams & homework assignments for other students in the same type of class you need help with.
• 4) Send you full screenshots of written exam solutions I wrote up by hand for students in the past in the same course that you need help with so that you can see my neat handwriting.
• 5) Provide you with the contact information of students who have utilized my services in the past who would be more than willing to vouch for my skills.

MY TEAM'S CLASSES OF EXPERTISE:

• Statistics: AP Statistics Biostatistics Business Statistics Elementary Statistics Intro to Statistics Psychology Statistics Social Science Statistics Statistics & Probability Statistical Methods Statistical & Probability Models
• Math: Advanced Functions Algebra Calculus 1, 2, 3 (and 4 in some schools) Vector Calculus Differential Calculus Integral Calculus Multivariable Calculus Differential Equations Discrete Math Discrete Structures Finite Mathematics Functions Geometry Linear Algebra Precalculus Probability Real Analysis Statistics Trigonometry Quantitative Methods & Reasoning
• Science: Anatomy & Physiology Astronomy Biochemistry Biology Chemistry (General, Inorganic & Organic) Dental / Pre-Dental Earth Science Engineering (Almost All Types) Environmental Science Epidemiology Fluid & Mechanics Geology Geophysics Medicine / Pre-Med Microbiology Neuroscience Physics Physical Science
• Business: Accounting Auditing Banking Business Administration Business Law Corporate Finance Cost Accounting Econometrics Economics Finance Financial Institutions Financial Reporting Global Economics Governance International Economics Macroeconomics Management Marketing MBA Courses Mergers and Acquisitions Microeconomics Operations Management Principles of Accounting Real Estate Taxation
• English: Business Writing Creative Writing Critical Reading Digital Media Eastern Literature English Literature Essays Expository & Persuasive Writing Fiction Writing Greek and Roman Philosophy Grammar Poetry
• Humanities & Social Sciences: Architecture Anthropology Art History Communication Criminal Justice Forestry Ethnic Studies Film History Law Pre-Law Music Philosophy Political Science Psychology Psychiatry Religious Studies Sociology Theology Women Studies
• Computer Science & Programming: Android AWS Azure Blockchain Cryptocurrency Smart Contracts C C# C++ Cloud Computer Organization and Assembly Languages CSS Data Science Data Structures and Algorithms Deep Learning Design Patterns Game Design and Development iOS Java Javascript Machine Learning MATLAB MySQL Networking NoSQL Object Oriented Programming Operating Systems PHP Principles of Computer Science Programming for Virtual Reality Programming Languages Python R Robotics Ruby Software Engineering SQL Swift Web Development

MY EDUCATIONAL SOFTWARE OF EXPERTISE:

• Acellus ALEKS Aplia APEX Learning Badgr Blackboard Blink Learning Brightspace / D2L Canvas Cengage CengageNow Childsmath Cisco ConnectMath Connexus CPM Crowdmark EViews Edmentum Examity Excel Garch Google Classroom Google Education Gradescope Hawkes Learning Honorlock iClicker InQuizitive (Norton) Java Kaltura Khan Academy Knewton Kryterion LaunchPad MATLAB Maple MasteringChemistry MasteringPhysics MathXL Mathematica McGraw-Hill Connect MegaStat Microsoft Teams Microsoft Access, Word, Excel, PowerPoint Mindtap Minitab MonitorEDU Moodle MyAccountingLab MyEconLab MyFinanceLab MyITLab MyMathLab MyOpenMath MyPsychLab MySocLab MyStatLab NCSS Outlier Pearson MyLab and Mastering Piazza PlatoWeb Prezi Proctor360 Proctorio Proctortrack Python R Respondus Lockdown Browser with Webcam SAM Sapling SAS SPSS Socrative Stata StraighterLine Turnitin VoiceThread WebAssign WebEx WebWork Wiley WileyPlus Zoom

MY REBUTTAL TO THE OBLIGATORY “IS THIS A SCAM?” QUESTION:
At the risk of sounding arrogant, I consider myself to be at least marginally more intelligent (both academically & socially) than the average person. Therefore, if I ever decided to suddenly risk prison time, risk my reputation, and risk enduring the wrath of modern-day “cancel culture” by scamming people out of their money:

• I certainly wouldn’t do it for such paltry amounts of money. (i.e., anything less than $1,000 per victim.)
• I certainly wouldn’t choose high school & college students as my “target audience” to scam, considering that most people without college degrees have abysmally low annual incomes. Why choose low-income victims when it would be much more profitable to target high-income, high-net-worth individuals earning at least six figures a year? I have knowledge in business consulting, and I promise you that a business owner would be a MUCH more lucrative mark than a low-income college student.
• I wouldn’t choose such a time & energy-draining method of scamming people. Also, communicating back and forth with potential clients is an absurdly long time sink since only less than 10% of all potential clients who reach out to me actually become paying clients of mine. This means that 90% of my time communicating with potential clients ultimately proves to be a colossal waste of my irretrievable time & energy.
• If you pay me to provide academic services and I don’t deliver, you can always dispute the payment with the payment app and easily get your money refunded. If I were in the habit of swindling money from people, then all of my payment accounts would have been investigated and be completely shut down by now. And I would have been permanently banned from opening new accounts. Therefore, the fact that all my payment apps have been fully active for years should be sufficient proof that I haven’t had people consistently disputing payments sent to me.

HOW TO CONTACT ME:

• If you are interested in my services and would like to learn more info, please feel free to reach out to me.
• Text messages and email are the fastest and easiest ways to get in touch with me. However, I gladly accept phone calls.
• If I don't respond right away, I am most likely helping a student at the time and not currently available to speak on the phone. But I always make a solid effort to reply to texts, emails, and phone calls within an hour.

Contact Details for Hiraedu Helper:
WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657
Call: +1 727 456 9641
Website: hiraedu. com
Email: info@hiraedu. com
TAGS:
^{Accounting Exam Help Reddit, Best Online Test Takers Reddit, Best Ways to Cheat on a Test Reddit, Best Website to Pay for Homework Reddit, Bypass Respondus Lockdown Browser Reddit, Calculus Test Taker Reddit, Canvas Cheating Reddit, Cheating in Online Exam Reddit, Cheating on Pearson Mymathlab Reddit, Cheating on Proctortrack Reddit, Cheating on Zoom Proctored Exams Reddit, Cheating on a Test Reddit, College Algebra Mymathlab Reddit, Do Homework for Money Reddit, Do My Assignment Reddit, Do My Exam for Me Reddit, Do My Homework for Me Reddit, Do My Math Homework Reddit, Do My Math Homework for Me Reddit, Do My Test for Me Reddit, Doing Homework Reddit, Domyhomework Reddit, Exam Cheating Reddit, Exam Help Online Reddit, Examity Reddit, Finance Homework Help Reddit, Fiverr Exam Cheating Reddit, Gradeseekers Reddit, Hire Someone to Take My Online Exam Reddit, Hire Test Taker Reddit, Homework Help Reddit, Homework Sites Reddit, Homeworkdoer.org Reddit, Homeworkhelp Reddit, Honorlock Reddit, How Much Should I Pay Someone to Take My Exam Reddit, How to Beat Honorlock Reddit, How to Beat Lockdown Browser Reddit, How to Cheat Examity Reddit 2022, How to Cheat Honorlock Reddit, How to Cheat and Not Get Caught Reddit, How to Cheat in School Reddit, How to Cheat on Canvas Tests Reddit, How to Cheat on Examity Reddit, How to Cheat on Honorlock Reddit, How to Cheat on Math Test Reddit, How to Cheat on Mymathlab Reddit, How to Cheat on Online Exams Reddit, How to Cheat on Online Proctored Exams Reddit, How to Cheat on Zoom Exam Reddit, How to Cheat on Zoom Exams Reddit, How to Cheat on a Proctored Exam Reddit, How to Cheat with Proctorio 2020 Reddit, How to Cheat with Proctorio Reddit, How to Cheat with Respondus Monitor Reddit, How to Get Past Lockdown Browser Reddit, Hwforcash Discord, I Paid Someone to Write My Essay Reddit, Is Hwforcash Legit, Lockdown Browser Hack Reddit, Lockdown Browser How to Cheat Reddit, Math Homework Reddit, Monitoredu Reddit, Mymathlab Answer Key Reddit, Mymathlab Answers Reddit, Mymathlab Cheat Reddit, Mymathlab Proctored Test Reddit, Online Exam Help Reddit, Online Exam Proctor Reddit, Online Proctored Exam Reddit, Organic Chemistry Exam Help Reddit, Organic Chemistry Test Taker Reddit, Paper Writers Reddit, Pay Me to Do Your Homework Reddit, Pay Me to Do Your Homework Reviews Reddit, Pay Someone to Do Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Assignment Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My College Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Math Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Online Class Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Online Math Class Reddit, Pay Someone to Do My Programming Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Do Statistics Homework Reddit, Pay Someone to Take Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take Exam for Me Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Calculus Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Chemistry Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Online Class Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Online Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Proctored Exam Reddit, Pay Someone to Take My Test in Person Reddit, Pay Someone to Take Online Class for Me Reddit, Pay Someone to Take Online Test Reddit, Pay Someone to Take Your Online Class Reddit, Pay Someone to Write My Paper Reddit, Pay for Homework Reddit, Pay to Do Homework Reddit, Paying Someone to Do Your Homework Reddit, Paying Someone to Take My Online Class Reddit, Paying Someone to Take Online Class Reddit, Paysomeonetodo Reddit, Physics Test Taker Reddit, Proctored Exam Reddit, Reddit Do My Homework for Me, Reddit Domyhomework, Reddit Homework Cheat, Reddit Homework Help, Reddit Homework for Money, Reddit Honorlock Cheating, Reddit Mymathlab Hack, Reddit Mymathlab Homework Answers, Reddit Paid Homework, Reddit Pay Someone to Do Your Homework, Reddit Pay Someone to Take Online Test, Reddit Pay for Homework, Reddit Pay to Do Homework, Reddit Test Takers for Hire, Reddit Tutors, Should I Pay Someone to Take My Exam Reddit, Statistics Test Taker Reddit, Take My Calculus Exam Reddit, Take My Class Pro Reddit, Take My Class Pro Reviews Reddit, Take My Exam for Me Reddit, Take My Math Test for Me Reddit, Take My Online Class Reddit, Take My Online Class for Me Reddit, Take My Online Exam for Me Reddit, Take My Online Exams Reddit, Take My Online Exams Review Reddit, Take My Online Exams Reviews Reddit, Take My Online Test Reddit, Take My Online Test for Me Reddit, Take My Physics Exam for Me Reddit, Take My Proctored Exam for Me Reddit, Take My Statistics Exam for Me Reddit, Take My Test for Me Reddit, Takemyonlineexams Reddit, Test Taker Reddit, We Take Classes Reddit, Write My Exam for Me Reddit}

I just wanted to share a tip for eating out that I found very useful. To calculate the calories and macros for food while eating out, I enter a description of the food (I generally copy and paste the description from the restaurant’s online menu, but you can make it up yourself) into ChatGPT-4 to give me an estimated range, then I take the higher end of the range it generates to be safe, and enter all the values into a ‘Quick Add’ entry in MF.
My current goal is weight loss, so that’s why I err on the side of using the higher end of the estimated range.
All this being said, I don’t eat out very often, so I’m not sure how accurate this method would be on a daily basis. But I think it is a great way to be able to eat out or eat food made by other people without having to have a partially logged day.
P.S. Some might wonder if the same can be achieved with the “AI Describe” feature in MF, but I found that it frequently makes mistakes even when putting in an exact list of measured ingredients, so I think it needs to be improved a lot more before it can be reliably used.

When I found this forum about a month ago I was reading the back posts and weeping the whole time.
Background:
I have processed this in therapy, made my peace, and have empathy for the situations that made her who she is.
I don't want to cause her harm, and fortunately I am really bad at relationships, and do not have children. Because it would be very painful if she had grandchildren that she has no access to. My sister and BIL can't have kids. (Details omitted for TW)
I work in the MH field, I'm an Nurse Practitioner. I worked as part of a DBT team. I am not DBT trained or certified but I got really good at boundaries, and sensing manipulation, without having an emotional response.
Before I went NC I would directly and clearly set limits. I stopped her when she would try to split my Sister and I, or gossip about her. There were several times every visit where I would stop her, and explain how I would not engage, did not want to hear, or set a reasonable expectation. Her reply a few times was "Don't analyze me."
Which is amusing because after the last estrangement, I asked her to go to therapy.... never happened.
​
Current Situation:
My Mother visited my Uncle who is dying of cancer and has by his estimation about 2 months to live.
My Mother sent me a text that I should visit him that she was down there and he does not have much time to live. I forgot I hadn't blocked her number on the new phone.
I have been NC for 9 years other then sending her a 9th Step (AA) letter. I intend to be NC for the rest of her life or mine whichever ends first.
I asked if she was present in the room. She left the morning of him calling me. I said I appreciated him not doing "One of those Ophra type interventions" as it's usually destructive.
I asked about visiting. Everyone has been invited down but me. He says he would like a visit.
He wants me "As a personal favor" to reconcile with her. I should mention he's a retired corporate attorney. Yes it's not amateur hour on either side of the phone. He said she was "Distraught that I would not talk with her."
I said let's address the second item, as you may not want me to visit depending on how I answer.
I would prefer having this conversation in person and to not have this conversation on a 2 sided Cell phone call either.
I said "no."
He pushed back and said this was not normal. I explained how it's more common then you would think both from people I know and also from being in clinical practice for almost 20 years.
He said "I can hear it in your voice that you want to reconcile." (Defining my feelings) I said I am speaking to you in the same tone I use with my patients.
I said that I will not be interacting with her for the rest of our lives. That this was a carefully made and considered decision.
I said we can discuss my reasons if you would like.
He said that was not his concern that it was between my Mother and I.
My mind formulates, "So no matter what happened, there is no reason that would cause you to find estrangement acceptable." Secondly you are implicating that I am being unreasonable, or worse yet cruel.
This goes in circles.
He bounces off a few boundaries, answer stays the same.
​
I figure I am going to let him know some of the situation. Because he's dying and I don't want him to think I am just being unreasonable and stubborn.
I then explain a little of how our childhood was. The abuse that my mother and I got. I also said I suspect my sister getting other abuse. Left that one hanging out there... Remember this is what I do for a living so that should have significant weight.
The things I did that I regret, and have made amends, as well as going to therapy, stopped drinking, worked the steps, and so forth.
I mentioned my sister goes to Trauma therapy, partially because of me.
Which also puts out there "Has your Sister ever had any therapy for all the stuff she has been through?"
​
He says "I can hear you are angry at your mother.." (defining feelings again) "
"Help me understand why do you feel that way."
"Based on what you said (above)" I said back, I am not angry at her. I have accepted and made my peace with this situation. I only listed my part in it, and what I have done to become a better person."
Which floats the unsaid question "What is her part in this?"
​
I said the offer is on the table to talk about this, or not talk about it. That is up to him. If you do want to have this conversation then it needs to be scheduled so I can have my notes.
The offer of a visit is "We shall see, and depends on how I am doing, check back in a week." I know the answer already. I also explained if I visit I will be getting a hotel room and a rental car, and that it's probably better if we do 2-3 hour visits so I don't tire him out.
The unsaid part is I want to be able to leave if I need to immediately, I want to be able to go to daily AA meetings, I want my own space process this coming loss. I
wrote a poem about this situation and read it in at my AA homegroup (The meeting you go to most and help keep it going.) I haven't written a poem since HS writing class. I've been weepy about the whole situation on and off.
​
I have a letter penned to my cousins, who I am in contact with explaining that he is a father figure in my life, that this is a very painful situation for me anticipating his passing, and that I apologize for not attending major life events in their lives and their children's lives because of this estrangement. That I won't be attending his service because it's the place for my Mother to mourn her last living sibling.
​
​
Conclusion:

1. That firstly he feels that there is nothing that would justify estrangement.
2. That my Mother probably said she has no insight into why I estranged her.
3. Based on #2 I am guessing that she has had no therapy. A good therapist would turn that around and use certain questions to help her develop insight.
4. That he feels I am angry and I want to reconcile.
5. Defining my feelings is a huge red flag for me.
6. I bet he didn't expect me to be calm, collected and give a rational and consistent dialogue.
7. Having to hear about his Sister's home life probably hurts. The fact that he probably had no clue until my father passed, he has a lot of guilt.
8. He's formally trained and skilled in negotiation tactics.
9. He's dying so he has a huge ability to guilt me.
10. I gave him the option to understand, that I would visit if asked, that I would limit exposure, and that we did not have to address this, or we can look at photos and tell stories, etc. What is not on the table is reconciliation with my Mother.

​
​
​
​
​
​
​
​
​
​

got auto-modded here from hvac so posting here as well just in case it's better forum:
A little bit of background, we're new to New England so never dealt with oil until now. The current oil furnace and whole house AC are super old (we've been told like 80s/90s) and each have their own problem. Super weak cooling and it trips the breaker each time, heater needs a new control module of sorts every season since it burns out or something. So we DO want to replace.

1. I was pushing for a heat pump after all the reading I've done how they're better. So check me if I'm wrong, is a heat pump in this climate (CT) okay nowadays? I would love to ditch oil completely if the heat pumps are efficient (especially compared to this old stuff)
2. I was told that the BTUs we need for heat don't work with the size of heat pump system (I thin it was 7 ton needed) and our existing duct work. Is this BS or an actual thing?
3. I do think we need new a furnance and heat pump and was told could get the heat pump to cover the cooling 100% at a good efficiency, then it would also work for heating up until a certain point then we'd kick over to oil when it got too cold. So saving in oil use in that case (maybe like a few months). Reading around this seems like the truth.
   1. Problem being here they priced us at this system which sounded great (Heat pump worked to -5, but since the heat it was rated at (I think it was 3 ton) it would really only heat to about like ~20s is what the guy estimated for us) before oil would kick on fully. Which sounded okay to me.
   2. Apparently though the guy just called day of installed and the furnace and heat pump he configured don't actually work with each other. This of course drops my confidence in them (they did have good reviews on our local facebook group, he said it was a new system and sorry that the tech didn't catch that, but still I just feel like he was trying to upsell now. Definitely want to call another company now as well, we already have the deposit in, but I assume since the system I had signed for isn't possible I could get that back if I wanted.

I'll post the system we got quoted at (no prices unless asked in case that breaks rules) for context:
Remove existing oil, furnace
Rem remove existing condenser and AC coil
Install Amana Horizontal Discharge Heat Pump 16.2 SEER2, Single-Phase, Variable-Speed, 3 Ton
Evaporator Coil CAPE Series - Cased, Upflow/Downflow, with EEV
Furnace Spirit Oil 106K BTU 85% Low Profile Highboy Front Flue ECM 1600 CFM 4 Ton
Thanks for the long read, let me know if any other questions, but my main concern is should we be getting the heat pump in this climate (from what I was reading they are now pretty reliable in the cold, but I don't want to be had). Thanks. We also don't have solar to offshoot some of what I've read about the electric cost during winter, but if we kept just partial oil that's okay since we also have an oil water heater. Any thoughts? Thank you

I’ve shared my story on how I started, ran for 10 years, and remotely sold my 3dp business HERE.
Now I would like to speculate on How I would start it if I had to do it again. Why? 2 reasons:

1. When it was time to sell, I discovered, that the most valuable assets of my business were NOT the printers or production base and that I could've significantly grown and therefore increased business value if I did certain things a certain way.

Knowing that and other things - I would've tried to do "the right things" from the beginning, and I hope it would help those who are thinking about or starting it right now.
I concentrate on the business side since the 3dp business is first of all a business, and I go through with it as I would’ve done it (not just some average avatar model).
This article doesn’t cover everything and simplifies some parts, but I tried to make it as real and in-depth as possible since the devil is in the details.

1. I am starting new business projects right now, and the path I am taking is almost the same (minus printers basically) path;

Vision

First I need to ask myself: what kind of 3dp business would I like to start? It may be hard to answer right at the start, but I do know 4 things:

1. I want it to be service-based (at least in the beginning, then I may consider a hybrid: service+product model);
2. I want it to be B2B (higher check, less transactional costs);
3. I want to gravitate towards big/complicated models;
4. I will offer some post-processing (get hand dirty, mot many others willing to do that);

Here I may also need to identify, who my target audience is. But It is hard, and may sometimes be harmful in the beginning, so I will stick with 4 general assumptions listed above, and see where keywords lead me.
But I will revisit this very important question (let's call it a “vision”) as soon as I have a meaningful chunk of data and experience.

Research

Then I will conduct research.
For that, I need to pick a place (3dp business is place-bound to a certain degree). Let's say a city - Austin - TX.
Note here - the bigger city, the better.
Now I need 3 lists:

1. First is a List of keywords with average monthly searches and cost of clicks for different areas:
   
   1. Austin;
   2. Other big cities nearby;
   3. State of Texas;
   4. Nearby states;
   5. The whole of the US.

One tab for each. You can pick as many areas as you see fit, and the logic behind it is that you want to know the demand in places you may be able to serve.
I need general high-frequency keywords as well as Google suggestions and low-frequency keywords. The broader the scope, the better. There is a free tool called Keyword Planner (it also provides a click cost estimation for Google ads) inside a Google Ads account. If you don’t use Google ads, you can pick any keyword search tool out there.
Now I need to sort it, vet out unneeded ones, and separate them into groups based on intent (informational or commercial). I will also create a list of “minus” words (will use them later).
When it is all done, I need to assemble a “core”: a few groups of keywords united by intention.
If I don’t use keys/groups for commercial purposes, I may use them for info articles (SEO). The most visited (by a long shot) page on the site, which I sold as a part of the business was “The History of 3d printing”.
📜 Research should also include many other “places”, basically one should identify where potential customers hang out, what they need (their problems), and how one can reach them, and as a result will have some potential acquisition channels, and a list of “problems” to form an offer with.
I will only cover the fastest and the one I know best - Google ads (+ a bit of SEO for the long game). This channel corresponds rather well, with my understanding, of where my “target audience” may be (more on that below).

1. Second is a List of competitors. I will only need ones’ that will compete with me for my target demographic. Specifically, I would like to know:
   
   1. Domain name;
   2. Their offer (range of services, materials, unique propositions);
   3. Their main (and all significant pages) Title, H1, description, “subtitle”, unique selling propositions, and maybe a screenshot of HERO;
   4. Their CTAs (calls to action - do they use online calculators, contact form…).

The list can go on, but those are the most important (probably), the logic behind it - I want to know what has been offered so far, compare it to the demand from list 1, and identify where I can “squeeze in”.

1. Third list - competitor’s prices. Based on my initial ”vision” (what/for whom I will try to do) I prepare a couple of inquiries, which I send to competitors to quote.

I would like to know:

• Price;
• Fulfillment time;
• Conditions;
• How competitors interact with prospects.

Inquiries may be:

1. A somewhat complicated “technical” model of a middle size;
2. Small-to-mid batch of parts (up to 100-300);
3. A somewhat big (that will probably require printing in parts and assembly) model + separately I would inquire about painting;

As a result, I understand how I may price my services. I prefer to start somewhere in the lower middle of a price range and slowly go up.
I know what I won't do - I won't try to go for the cheapest price - it is a road to nowhere. I may go for it once or twice to snatch an order, which will be beneficial to my portfolio, but that is it!
Now I also understand how my competitors interact with their customers and what I can offer in this regard.

Plan

With that data gathered I am now ready to compose a “business plan” /set up business goals for 1-3 years, and lay out a tactical (more detailed) plan for a quarter or so.
Usually, the latter shall be detailed like: I need to reach X revenue/per day, to get Y rev per month, and for that, I will need Z inquiries and so on... But as I am just starting, it may not make a lot of sense, since there are no "base" numbers. But I will use that type of planning as soon as I have those numbers (after 6-12 months).
I also will align the plan with my vision, and maybe add some details to it, based on the data I’ve gathered.
I will have a somewhat united note/doc with actionable tasks, equipped with due dates (those are very important), and an overall plan.
I like to unify all of the above (lists, vision, tasks…) as a project in a project management software (later about that). Much easier to manage and keep track of.

Offer and Site creation

Now I can form my offer.
This offer will be presented on my site, in my ads, and everywhere else.
I need to describe CLEARLY what do I do exactly, for whom, and why those people should take their business to me (competitive advantages).
I pick a name, and domain name and make a logo. I keep in mind that they are a part of the offer (everything is), and I keep them as short, direct, and close to the point as possible. I squeeze a relevant keyword in if I can.
Before I decide I type the name into the search and see what pops up (don’t skip that part).
Now I can make a site. I pick one of the No-code options to create it myself or delegate it. Keep in mind that you will need to correct and change the site: an offer (text. headings), portfolio, blog (for SEO purposes), services, etc. The no-code solution will allow you to do that yourself.
It will be a landing page (in the beginning), and it will include:

• Title (shown as a first string in search);
• Description (shown as a second string in the search);

HERO SECTION (first screen basically - 80% of people won’t go below it)

• H1 (main “title” shown on the top of the page)
• Subtitle (text below the H1, usually supports the H1 and includes unique selling points);
• Clear CTA (Call to action);
• Foto or video of what I’ve done (the visual representation of services works really well);
• Unique selling points (not included in the subtitle, or supporting/elaborating on them);

END OF THE HERO SECTION

• Unique selling points;
• All other headers;
• All other text;
• Examples (what I’ve done) and/or testimonials - if I truly just starting I may need to make some examples of objects I would like to make (as close to desired nich as possible) and take GOOD photos of them (It can be powerful, that is what I did and people told me many times, that they “came” because of “beautiful” thing that we’ve done (“beautiful” is mostly attribute off a picture, then a thing);
• FAQ (those shall be questions that your customers ask you the most, I mean REAL questions - they work rather well as objection handlers);
• Clear CTA (Call to action);

As there is just one page, it should target the most relevant oand big commercial keyword group.
The “art” of creating a Title, H1, and the rest of the text, headings, and attributes is a delicate dance between the need to be different from competitors, the need to incorporate the right keywords, basic SEO guidelines, and most importantly - to present a compelling offer.
📜 An important thing to keep in mind - your first screen should tell, straight and clearly - what services you provide, for whom, and why a visitor should click your CTA, or continue reading.
Last thing - make sure that it looks fine and loads quickly on mobile. More than half of the traffic will be from there.
Research says, that If it loads more than 3 seconds - more than 70% of people bounce.
Check your speed here - https://pagespeed.web.dev/
There is A LOT more to that, but it is beyond the scope of this article.

Traffic: Ads and SEO

Now I need traffic:
Google ads. As I just starting, I need to be as targeted as possible. So I will:

• Vet keywords carefully, avoid high-frequency ones, and compose them into groups.
• Start with one or two groups, with a limited number of keywords with clear commercial intent.
• Limit the location to the city I am in.
• Add a minus keywords list. If a search query includes one of the words from the list (like FREE, or CHEAP) - ads won't be shown.

Google pushes everyone really hard to use responsive search ads + broad match + AI-suggested keywords (performance MAX they call it), but I won't.
Why?

1. It will greatly disperse the focus, and therefore results of my campaign.
2. It is still not working properly, especially for small and/or “complicated” niches. In other words, it will waste my money, (relocate it to Google), without bringing back results (or at least as many).

And I don't want that.
I will use exact match, fix (pin) headings and descriptions, and practically make "an old school" text ad from a responsive search ad. I will have to do different ads for different keywords (if the keyword or phrase is matched in the title, conversion is higher); Yes, it will be more work, but results will be better, and controllable.
Just how I like them.
Now I will compose my "SEO plan", I will:

• Plan to add new "commercial" pages to the site (one page per meaningful keyword group) as I go.
• Create a schedule: after the main page is up, I will try to “deploy” them in 2-4 week intervals, starting with the most meaningful/impactful.
• Make Google index it through its search console after the first publishable version of the site is done. I will repeat the operation with every meaningful page I add, including info SEO pages (below).
• Form a few groups from keywords with informational intent, vet groups that align with my direction, and plan an article for each vetted group - a separate page on the site with a personal set of SEO attributes.
• Publish them with the same or longer intervals as for the "commercial" pages.
• Try to make those articles as valuable for the reader as possible. Everything I do shall be client-oriented (bring value), and user behavior is more and more important for SEO.

This “article” is an example of such a page.
I won't cover social media here, since its plenty of info on that topic.
From my experience, if I plan (and I do) to offer 3d printing services to businesses (B2B), social media (with the exception of LinkedIn maybe, not sure nowadays what is what) is not exactly a place for “fishing” (I might be wrong).

Legal+

Moving along to the legal land.
I will not go deep into the business structure (LLCs or sole proprietorships), just say that you need one. Figure out what works best in your case, but note: if you are planning (envisioning) to sell your business one day (or a part of it) - you will need it to be at least an LLC.
This structure (as stated in the name), also limits your liability, which is not a bad thing. One more thing that does that, and at times viewed as a formality - is a contract.
I’ve learned to appreciate contracts and pay attention to their "design". The contract sets expectations, protects both you and your client, and serves as an extension to your offer - a clear, correct, and honest contract, that picks up on promises you’ve made will reassure your client that you are a trustworthy professional.
Create a clear, correct contract template (or templates), seek professional help/advice if needed, and try not to overcomplicate it (easier-smaller the better).
📜 Before the contract, expectations are set during all interactions with a client: nuances, limitations, examples, samples, etc. As the number of interactions with clients starts to grow you will notice repetitive patterns in questions and answers. Create a base with answer templates - those saved me a ton of time and improved the quality of my communication.

3d printers and a space (finally here they are)

Well, and yeah, I need 3d printers to start a 3d printing business.
If you plan to start such a business, you may already have some, and/or possess the needed knowledge in the matter, but I still going to say a few things. No specific models, or vendors though, since there is a lot of printer-related content out there, and the scene is rapidly (wink) changing.
I would try to pick one type of printer (or at least a vendor) and stick to it. Benefits:

• Somewhat stable overall quality;
• Same spare parts;
• Same repair and maintenance routine;
• Same working protocols;
• Same slicing…

I also will (at least in the beginning) look for stable machines, that would not require a ton of maintenance.
Note here: your choice shall also be based on your perceived goal (niche you want to end up with/customers you want to serve), and you may need different types of printers for that.
Depending on my situation, I may not need an office/working space right from the start (at least not until the idea has been validated). If I do, I would get something with a space to grow (aligned with my plan/goals), but I would try not to jump over my head with it.

One software to control it all

There is one more thing that I will need right from the start (because I don’t want to replicate my own mistakes) - a software suite to manage the business. Getting it from the start will provide the most leverage and set me up on the right path.
I will need:

• CRM - all work with a client: pricing, offers, deals, followups, deadlines, docs… +
• ERP - control and management of all resources: materials, printers, team… +
• Production scheduling +
• Maintenance, Repairs, Spare parts, and materials control +
• Team + Docs + Files storage + Contractors + Spending + everything else.

I couldn't find one that incorporates all of it, so I’ve made my own (there is a Free version, try it out, let me know what you think).
Management software and CRM might not be obvious must-haves, but they are if I want to make it into a controllable and growing business (and I do).
There is no other way, look at any business that made it - they all without exception use such systems.
One more thing - all business decisions shall be based on data: how would I know, for example, if my ads campaign is making (and how much) or losing money, without knowing what my average check, margin, or LTV is for any type of service for a needed time period?

Summary and Q&A

There is a lot more to that, but it is already too long.
So I’ve got:

1. List of keywords;
2. List of competitors;
3. Price research (and base price level as a result);
4. A plan;
5. An offer;
6. Name and logo;
7. Website (with offer and good photos of done jobs on it);
8. Google ads campaign (or other acquisition channel, start from one you know best/where your customers are);
9. SEO plan;
10. Legal entity;
11. Contract templates;
12. “Sales templates” base (those collected on the go, but you may already have something since you talked to people before);
13. Printers;
14. Some physical space;
15. Management system/software (like this one)

3 BONUS reminders for myself:

• To get paid in advance. ALWAYS, at least partially;
• To do extra for customers. If I can, when I can;
• To be patient- business is a marathon, not a sprint;

Some Q&A:

• Is the 3d printing business a good business to start?

It is not a get-rich-quick scheme, and it is not particularly easy, but all things that are worth doing are hard (that is what they say).
If you like it/are passionate about it/good at it (the most important factor in my opinion.) - it certainly might be.
I’ve planned to go with the B2B service model (on-demand manufacturing), and that trend will only grow over time.
Since we talked about the US, let's take a look at this article and specifically the chart of Construction spending on US manufacturing https://www.businessinsider.com/us-building-factories-census-data-chips-act-inflation-reduction-act-2023-6?op=1 + big new “infrastructure rebuild projects” might be somewhere around the corner.
What does it all have to do with a small 3dp service? The economy is an interconnected system. All of those “big projects” will require a lot of smaller contractors/suppliers, and they will need smaller ones…and that is where I come in.

• Why the service model?

2 reasons:

1. I know how to do it (done it for 10 years), the data above backs the idea up, and I still see a lot of upsides and opportunities there (aside from the data).
2. It is a lot easier to “search” for product ideas - they come to you (for that you will have to have a B2C “department” though). I’ve recently talked to a few 3dp business owners (and read a few stories over the years), and almost all of them had their product ideas brought to them by clients.

• Is it profitable?

If you create a system (management software can help with that) with processes in place, create and maintain customer acquisition channels, and price correctly - it will be.
I hope you got some value out of it.
Thanks for reading.

If You're struggling to handle your Online Exams, Assignments or any other coursework, get help from Hiraedu and pay after the exam. Contact details for Hiraedu is: WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657 OR Call: +1 727 456 9641
ASSESSMENTS I CAN COMPLETE:

• Online Courses (1 - 20 Weeks Long)
• Homework Assignments
• Exams Quizzes Tests
• Excel Projects
• Discussion Forum Posts
• Research Papers Term Papers Essays
• Employment Assessments

MY MATH SUBJECTS OF EXPERTISE:
I am very knowledgeable and proficient in assisting students in a wide range of mathematics classes. I can help students complete their homework assignments and other projects get an A on quizzes, tests, and exams (including proctored assessments) answer online discussion posts write essays & papers in MLA APA Chicago format and provide general overall academic help in each math course listed below:

• Advanced Placement Honors High School Level Math
• AP Calculus AB A.P. Calculus BC
• AP Statistics
• Biostatistics Bio-Statistics
• College Algebra Intermediate Algebra
• Business Calculus
• Business Statistics
• Business Math
• Calculus I Calculus II Calculus III (Calc)
• Geometry
• International Baccalaureate (IB) Maths
• Liberal Arts Math
• Logic & Reasoning
• Multivariable Calculus Multi variable Calculus
• Precalculus Pre-calculus
• Probability & Statistics
• Psychology Statistics Psych Stats
• Quantitative Reasoning Quantitative Methods Quantitative Literacy (Quant)
• Statistics (Stats)
• Statistics for Social Sciences
• Trigonometry (Trig)

STATISTICS HELP (MY BEST SUBJECT):

• I have a master's degree in Applied Statistics from a university in New Jersey, USA. As a result, I am very proficient in helping students with various types of Statistics courses including Biostatistics Business Statistics Elementary Statistics Probability & Statistics Psychology Statistics.
• I have extensive knowledge and skill with helping students get through various statistical concepts including all of the following in alphabetical order:
• ANOVA Bar Graph, Boxplot, Dot Plot, Histogram, Pie Chart Bias Binomial, Exponential, Poisson, Gamma, Uniform Distribution Central Limit Theorem Chi-Square Test Coefficient of Determination (R^2) Conditional & Relative Probability Confidence Interval Correlation Coefficient (r) Critical Region Critical Value Descriptive & Inferential Statistics Effect Size Expected Value Experiment vs Observation Goodness of Fit Test Hypothesis Testing Interpolation & Extrapolation Interquartile Range (IQR) Kurtosis Left, Negative, Right, Positive Skewed Distribution Logistic Regression Mean, Median, Mode, Midrange Multiple Regression Nominal, Ordinal, Interval, Ratio I Population Parameter Normal, Symmetric & Bell Shaped Distribution Null & Alternate Hypothesis One & Two Sample T-Test One & Two Sample Z-Test Ordinary Least Squares Outliers P-Value Pooled Variance (Equal Variances) Proportion R^2 Range Regression Regression Line Reject & Fail to Reject Ho Relative & Cumulative Frequency Distributions Relativity & Reliability Right, Left, One, Two Tailed Tailed Hypothesis Test Sample Statistics Sampling Methods (Convenience, Stratified, Simple, Cluster, Systematic) Significance Level (1%, 5%, 10%) Skewness Standard Deviation& Variance T-Score Test Statistic Time Series Type I & Type II Errors Unbiased Estimators Z-Score

ALGEBRA HELP:

• I am well-versed in helping students do well in Algebra 1 & 2 College Algebra Intermediate Algebra Pre-Algebra and I am very knowledgeable and proficient in the following algebra topics in alphabetical order:
• Absolute Values Circle Equation Domain Exponents Graphing Horizontal & Vertical Asymptotes Inequalities, Equations & Functions Inverse Functions Linear, Exponential, Logarithmic, Quadratic Equations Logarithms Maximum & Minimum Values of a Graph Number Lines One-to-One Functions Parallel & Perpendicular Lines Plotting Points & Ordered Pairs Point-Slope Form Polynomial Division Polynomials Radicals Range Rational & Irrational Expressions Rational Functions Real Roots Real Zeros Relations & Functions Slope Slope-Intercept Form Square Roots Standard Form of a Line System of Equations System of Inequalities Variables X and Y Intercepts

CALCULUS HELP:

• I am well-versed in helping students do well in Calculus I, II & III, Calculus 1, 2 & 3, Business Calculus, Multivariable Calculus, Vector Calculus and I am very knowledgeable and proficient in the following calculus topics in alphabetical order:
• Absolute & Local Maximum and Minimum Antiderivative Area & Volume Chain Rule Concavity Continuity Convergence Test Critical Points Curvature Curve of Rotation Curve Sketching Derivatives Divergence Test First & Second Derivative Test Fourier Series Implicit Differentiation Increasing / Decreasing Functions Infinite Series Integrals Integration by Parts Jacobian Matrix Limits L’Hopital’s Rule Maclaurin Series Mean Value Theorem Partial Derivative Product & Quotient Rule Reiman Sum Related Rates Simpson’s Rule Solid of Revolution Substitution Rule Taylor Series

Paid Help from Hiraedu: If You're struggling to handle your Online Exams, Assignments or any other coursework, get help from Hiraedu and pay after the exam. Contact details for Hiraedu is: WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657 OR Call: +1 727 456 9641
ATTRIBUTES THAT SET ME APART FROM OTHER TUTORS:

• I firmly believe that I have many attributes and skills that set me apart from other tutors. Below is a list of qualities that makes me an ideal fit to help you master your coursework:

I CAN AID STUDENTS TAKING PROCTORED ASSESSMENTS:

• Proficient in CollegeBoard AP Calculus AB, AP Calculus BC & AP Statistics exams.
• Skilled with International Baccalaureate Math Exams: IB Maths HL & IB Maths SL
• Can intentionally answer a few problems incorrectly at the student's request.
• Can text solutions to the student while they are taking a proctored exam.
• Upon request, can purposely obtain grades below an A (ex: B+, B, C+, C-).
• I can stretch out the time to a plausible length for timed exams and assignments before submitting them.
• Have reliable software that can change my IP address to match the closest major city near the student.
• I have exceptional multiple-choice exam-taking skills. I have mastered the various techniques to make calculated guesses for the correct option in standardized exams such as the SAT & GRE.

I CAN VERIFY MY ACADEMIC KNOWLEDGE & SKILLS:

• I have no problem with requests to solve sample problems upfront to prove my knowledge & proficiency of the course concepts.
• I can provide glowing references & strong examples of work done for past clients to verify my academic skills.
• I can also provide, upon request, complete detailed calculations with explanations for solutions to the problems worked on.
• I am quite skilled and adept in using multiple modernized educational platforms and software, including but not limited to: Brightspace MyStatLab D2L WebAssign Canvas MyMathLab Blackboard ALEKS
• Can format term papers and discussion posts in APA MLA Harvard Chicago Vancouver OSCOLA IEEE format.

I HAVE PAID ACCESS TO OVER 15 STUDY-HELP WEBSITES AND MATHEMATICAL SOFTWARE:

• I have multiple paid subscriptions to a wide range of academic tutoring resources, including Chegg, Quizlet, CourseHero, Brainly, Grammarly, Study. com, Bartleby, Slader, Transtutors, Slideshare, StudocU, Turnitin, Academia, SymboLab, WolframAlpha, and Scribd to help guide to solve exam & homework questions that I may not immediately know.
• However, I am smart enough not to blatantly plagiarize solutions online but instead write them in my own unique words, formatting, & mathematical terminology.
• I have access to a very sophisticated graphing calculator and various mathematical software that provides step-by-step solutions to complex mathematical problems within seconds, allowing me to provide exact solutions to the student in a timely manner.
• I have impeccable handwriting and a high-quality mobile scanner app that allows me to scan written solutions in very legible high-definition JPG, PNG, or PDF formats.

MY AVAILABILITY & RELIABILITY:

• Depending on my availability, I can accommodate immediate tutoring requests, 1-24 hour, and 1-30-day deadlines.
• I can schedule live real-time online sessions and meet deadlines in an impressively timely fashion.
• I can provide quick notifications and updates of progress made in the student's class via email text phone calls.
• I can also be available to tutor students for Fall 2021 Spring 2022 Summer 2022 semesters.

MY EDUCATIONAL SOFTWARE OF EXPERTISE:

• I am very knowledgeable and well-versed in a wide range of educational software to tutor students in including but not limited to: Acellus ALEKS APEX Learning Aplia Blackboard Brightspace Canvas Cengage CengageNow Connect ConnectMath Connexus CPM D2L Discord Edmentum Eviews Examity Excel Hawkes Learning Honorlock Khan Academy Knewton LimeSpring Lumen Maple MasteringChemistry MasteringPhysics MathXL (XL) MATLAB McGraw-Hill Microsoft Word Minitab Moodle MyAccountingLab MyEconLab MyITLab MyLab My Lab MyMathLab My Math Lab MyOpenMath MyPsychLab MySocLab MyStatLab My Stat Lab NCSS Open Source Software Pearson PERT PlatoWeb PowerPoint Prezi R Respondus Lockdown Browser with Webcam Sapling SPSS Stata StraighterLine Straighter Line WebAssign Web Assign Webex (Cisco) WebWork Wiley WileyPlus Wonderlic Zoom

SCHOOLS FROM WHICH I'VE HELPED STUDENTS IN :
As of 2021, I have tutored and helped students enrolled at the following U.S. universities community colleges county & city colleges schools for-profit institutions listed below in alphabetical order:

• A - C: American Public University System (APUS) Arizona State Ashford Brigham Young Brown Broward California State (Fullerton) Capella Chamberlain (Illinois) Colorado Technical Columbia Columbia Southern Cornell
• D - K: Dallas College Dartmouth DeVry Excelsior College Florida International Florida State Full Sail Georgia State Grand Canyon Harvard Houston Community College Ivy Tech Community College Kaplan Kennesaw State Kent State
• L - T: Liberty Lone Star College System Kaplan Miami Dade Michigan State CUNY State University of New York (SUNY) Northern Virginia Ohio State University of Phoenix (UOP) Penn State Princeton Purdue (Davenport) San Diego State San Francisco State San Jose State Southern New Hampshire Southern Nevada Stanford St. Petersburg Strayer Texas Tech
• UNIVERSITY OF: Alabama Arizona California (UC) Central Florida Chicago Cincinnati Florida Houston Illinois (Urbana-Champaign) Iowa Maryland Minnesota Michigan North Texas Pennsylvania Southern Florida Texas Toronto
• U - Z: UCLA Extension Utah State Utah Valley Valencia Walden U Wake Technical Western Governors Wilmington Yale

Paid Help from Hiraedu: If You're struggling to handle your Online Exams, Assignments or any other coursework, get help from Hiraedu and pay after the exam. Contact details for Hiraedu is: WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657 OR Call: +1 727 456 9641
I OFFER FLEXIBLE PAYMENT PLANS:

• I offer several unique payment plans, including a weekly plan, a discounted monthly plan, a discounted half-now / half-later plan, and highly discounted up-front rates.
• I can accept the following payment methods for my services: PayPal Debit Cards Square Cash Credit Cards Cash App Venmo.
• Only people located in North America have access to Venmo Cash App Zelle.
• This is an excellent way to determine if the person you're dealing with is from the United States.
• Within reason, I offer a partial or full money-Back guarantee if the student is very unsatisfied with my academic services.

TUTORING AVAILABLE FOR OTHER SUBJECTS:

• For other subjects, you can reach out to me, and I can connect you with one of my tutoring partners who can provide general academic assistance for the following subjects:
• Art & Design: Art History Design Film Studies
• Business: Accounting (Acc) Biz Courses Business Administration (Biz Admn) Business Calculus Business Law Business Statistics Corporate Finance Economics (Econ) Finance (Fin) Financial Accounting Intermediate Accounting Intermediate Microeconomics (Micro) Macroeconomics (Macro) Management (Mgmt) Managerial Accounting Marketing MBA
• Computer Science: C C++ Computer Programming (Comp) Java Python R (Introduction & Intermediate Level Only)
• Humanities: Communications (Comm) English Literature Essay & Term Paper Writing, Editing, Proofreading Essays History Papers Philosophy (Phil) Religious Studies Theology (Theo)
• Mathematics: A.P. Calculus AB & BC Psychology Statistics AP Statistics Bio statistics Calculus I (1) Calculus II (2) Calculus III (3) College Algebra Differential Equations Discrete Math Finite Math Functions General Math Geometry Liberal Arts Math Linear Algebra Multi-variable Calculus Partial Differential Equations Precalculus Probability Quantitative Reasoning Real Analysis Statistics Trigonometry (Trig) Vector Calculus
• Science & Medicine: Anatomy & Physiology (A & P) Biochemistry Biology (Bio) Biostatistics Earth Science Environmental Science General Chemistry (Chem) Healthcare Medicine Nursing Nutrition Organic Chemistry Physics (Phys)
• Social Sciences: Anthropology Economics (Econ) Geology Law & Justice Liberal Arts Liberal Studies Political Science Psychology Sociology

THE OBLIGATORY "IS THIS A SCAM?" QUESTION:
Considering the fact that you found my contact information online, it’s understandable to be skeptical regarding the legitimacy of my services. Therefore, I’m willing to do all of the following to help you feel more secure in trusting me with your academic needs:

• 1) Speak with you on the phone and answer any questions you may have so that you have the opportunity to assess and analyze my tone, articulation, accent, diction, dialect, regionalisms, pitch, vocabulary, word choice, intonations, and inflections.
• NOTE: I’m a New Jersey-born Irish/Italian-American, but I have been told that I speak in an erudite & articulate suburban American accent with a “professor style” voice somewhat resembling the voice of actor: Ben Stein.
• 2) Agree to do some homework questions of yours upfront with the work fully shown in real-time to prove my mastery of the course content.
• 3) Send you screenshots of at least five past scores I attained from completing exams & homework assignments for other students in the same type of class you need help with.
• 4) Send you full screenshots of written exam solutions I wrote up by hand for students in the past in the same course that you need help with so that you can see my neat handwriting.
• 5) Provide you with the contact information of students who have utilized my services in the past who would be more than willing to vouch for my skills.

MY REBUTTAL TO THE OBLIGATORY “IS THIS A SCAM?” QUESTION:
At the risk of sounding arrogant, I consider myself to be at least marginally more intelligent (both academically & socially) than the average person. Therefore, if I ever decided to suddenly risk prison time, risk my reputation, and risk enduring the wrath of modern-day “cancel culture” by scamming people out of their money:

• I certainly wouldn’t do it for such paltry amounts of money. (i.e., anything less than $1,000 per victim.)
• I certainly wouldn’t choose high school & college students as my “target audience” to scam, considering that most people without college degrees have abysmally low annual incomes. Why choose low-income victims when it would be much more profitable to target high-income, high-net-worth individuals earning at least six figures a year? I have knowledge in business consulting, and I promise you that a business owner would be a MUCH more lucrative mark than a low-income college student.
• I wouldn’t choose such a time & energy-draining method of scamming people. Also, communicating back and forth with potential clients is an absurdly long time sink since only less than 10% of all potential clients who reach out to me actually become paying clients of mine. This means that 90% of my time communicating with potential clients ultimately proves to be a colossal waste of my irretrievable time & energy.
• If you pay me to provide academic services and I don’t deliver, you can always dispute the payment with the payment app and easily get your money refunded. If I were in the habit of swindling money from people, then all of my payment accounts would have been investigated and be completely shut down by now. And I would have been permanently banned from opening new accounts. Therefore, the fact that all my payment apps have been fully active for years should be sufficient proof that I haven’t had people consistently disputing payments sent to me.

HOW TO CONTACT ME:
Paid Help from Hiraedu: If You're struggling to handle your Online Exams, Assignments or any other coursework, get help from Hiraedu and pay after the exam. Contact details for Hiraedu is: WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657 OR Call: +1 727 456 9641

• I take my work as a tutor very seriously, and I always aim to do my best to help my students excel in school. I have a solid and sincere passion for academic achievement, and with my help, I am positive that I can help students obtain very high grades with minimal stress and effort.
• Please feel free to contact me if you're interested in my services and would like to learn more. I'm available 24/7 via phone call, email, and text. Again, thank you for taking the time to read my Reddit tutoring ad, and I hope to hear from you soon!

My contact details:
WhatsApp: +1 (213) 594-5657
Call: +1 727 456 9641
Website: hiraedu. com
Email: info@hiraedu. com
What are your Thoughts! Write in comments and ask for help if needed
Suggest more topic Ideas
Join this subreddit to help us grow!

Most people avoid saying literally false things, especially if those could be audited, like making up facts or credentials. The reasons for this are both moral and pragmatic — being caught out looks really bad, and sustaining lies is quite hard, especially over time. Let’s call the habit of not saying things you know to be false ‘shallow honesty’.
Often when people are shallowly honest, they still choose what true things they say in a kind of locally act-consequentialist way, to try to bring about some outcome. Maybe something they want for themselves (e.g. convincing their friends to see a particular movie), or something they truly believe is good (e.g. causing their friend to vote for the candidate they think will be better for the country).
Either way, if you think someone is being merely shallowly honest, you can only shallowly trust them: you might be confident that they aren't literally lying, but you still have to do a bit of reverse engineering to figure out what they actually believe or intend.
This post is about an alternative: deep honesty, and the deep trust that can follow. Deep honesty is the opposite of managing the other party’s reactions for them. Deep honesty means explaining what you actually believe, rather than trying to persuade others of some course of action. Instead, you adopt a sincerely cooperative stance in choosing which information to share, and trust them to come to their own responses.
In this post, we've leaned into the things that seem good to us about deep honesty. Writing while being in touch with that makes it seem easier to convey the core idea. We've tried to outline what we see as disadvantages of deep honesty, but we're still probably a bit partial. We would love to see discussion of the idea, including critical takes (either that our concepts are not useful ones, or that this is less something to be emulated than we imply).
The rest of this post will be:

• Some examples of where deep and shallow honesty diverge
• Why and when you might want deep honesty
• Various disclaimers about what deep honesty is not
• A look at some difficult cases for deep honesty
• What deep honesty might look like in practice

Examples of shallow (versus deep) honesty

• Writing a very optimistic funding application which doesn’t mention your personal concerns about the project
  • As opposed to being upfront about what you think the weaknesses are
• Telling an official at border control that you’re visiting America to ‘see some friends’
  • Rather than explaining that you’re also going to some kind of philanthropically funded conference about AI risk
• Searching for and using whichever messaging makes audiences most concerned about AI risk
  • Instead of whatever best explains your concerns
• Saying that you totally disagree with the ideology of an extremist group
  • And not that they are actually right about some important controversial topics, in a way that doesn’t justify their actions
• Reassuring your manager about all the things that are going well and privately trying to fix all the problems before they grow
  • Instead of telling your manager what’s going wrong and giving them an opportunity to make an informed decision about what to do
• Rejecting someone from a programme with a note explaining that it was very competitive
  • Rather than explaining what you perceived to be their weaknesses and shortcomings for the role
• Telling yourself that you’re doing something for utilitarian reasons
  • Instead of acknowledging that you also have a pretty weird kludge of motivations which definitely includes being recognised and appreciated by your peers
• When a friend asks how you are, smoothly changing the topic because you don’t want them worrying about you
  • Rather than opening up about private difficulties, or even just giving a wry smile and saying “well enough” in such a way as to provide a trailhead for a conversation about those difficulties if they want to pursue it
• Sharing the fact that you have some frugal habits (like driving a Corolla), because you think they will make people think well of you
  • And not also mentioning that you frequently spend large amounts of money on luxuries you consider time-saving

Why deep honesty?

In all the above examples, it’s easy to see how deep honesty could go wrong — your boss thinks you’re a moron, your friends don’t care about your feelings, you have a weird existential crisis about whether you’re even a good person, and instead of going straight to a conference you get dragged off for half an hour of interrogation by government officials^.
But what if it went right? It seems like when deep honesty is well-received, it leads to better outcomes, often in ways you can’t foresee. This isn’t a trite or mystical claim: rather, there will always be information you’re lacking that other people have. When you’re deeply honest, you equip them to make best use of their private information as well as yours. Perhaps your manager knows of a clever workaround to the problems you have. Even when they can’t make special use of the information, deep honesty makes it easy for them to rely on your reports, and so strengthens the relationship.
There are good reasons to refrain from deep honesty: it is a risk, and sometimes a large one. In the case of admissions, usually when you reject someone from a programme, you have a pretty clear sense of why, and actually explaining that to the applicant could be very helpful. But as well as being time-consuming, telling someone why they didn’t meet the bar can provoke quite a negative reaction and sometimes even reprisal. Deep honesty is an act of trust in the recipient.
However, it’s also sometimes quite hard to realize how much you’re missing when you stick to shallow honesty, and is easy to overestimate how successfully you’re crafting your message. Shallow honesty involves some amount of optimization, and so it falls prey to all of optimization's classic failures.
To take the example of public messaging, particularly smart and capable people are especially likely to spot disingenuous sales pitches, and when they do, they have basically no reason to tell you that you seem manipulative to them, and so there’s no feedback loop. From their perspective, there’s a chance you might be provoked to switch to deeper honesty, but you also might just optimize more carefully. So you learn nothing, and you end up missing out on some of the best people without even noticing.
Shallow honesty works well enough in cases where, in some sense, the other person wants it. The border patrol official would be happy to accept that you're here to see friends and wave you through, without working their head around the subject of the conference. But in domains where people are actively trying to resist adversarial optimization, they can catch on pretty fast.
Indeed, people with experience running admissions rounds generally learn how to spot applications that are shallow, because so many people do it. Likewise with funding applications. It is very natural to want to put your best foot forward and pitch people on why you’re so shiny and polished and great, but often it is a mistake. Sometimes the person reading your application wants to understand what you’re actually like, and if you clearly only give them half the picture then they still have to figure out the other half, only now they’re much less certain.

What deep honesty is not

Having made the case for deep honesty, it’s worth laying out some pitfalls, both in the application, and in how you might interpret the concept.

It is not a universal stance

Deep honesty is not a property of a person that you need to adopt wholesale. It’s something you can do more or less of, at different times, in different domains.

It is not independent of the listener

The words which will help a young child to understand what’s going on will be different from the words which will help an expert. Deep honesty is attuned to the situation, and the audience.

It is not telling people everything

Deep honesty doesn’t mean you have to share every detail that might be relevant. Deep honesty is in touch with what the listener cares about, and is in touch with your and their rights to choose where to spend time communicating. If the cashier at the grocery store asks how you’re doing, it’s not deeply honest to give the same answer you’d give to a therapist — it’s just inappropriate.

It does not relieve you of a responsibility to be kind

Deep honesty means you don’t take responsibility for how others respond to your words. Your responsibility is to make your words good — speaking with truth, relevance, and kindness. Their responsibility is to act well given that. But blunt truths can be hurtful. It is often compatible with deep honesty to refrain from sharing things where it seems kinder to do so (although be honest with yourself about whether it would be a deeper kindness to share). And it’s of course important, if sharing something that might be difficult to hear, to think about how it can be delivered in a gentle way.

It is not incompatible with consequentialism

A pure act-consequentialist, choosing the words that they predict will have the best outcomes, might sometimes lie. Many consequentialists would reject that as naïve and demand at least shallow honesty as a side constraint.
However, this may still be too naïve. The winner’s curse is that whoever wins an auction is liable to have overestimated the value of the object. The same dynamic applies when you’re optimizing for what to say. You have noisy estimates of how good each option will be, and it’s likely that the one that looks best to you will be an overestimate — perhaps because it interacts with some kind of blindspot you have. If you’re optimizing under shallow honesty, you’re stuck with this problem. With deep honesty, you can hope that you may reveal useful information to people who don’t share your blindspots (even if you don’t know what that information is). And especially when you’re interacting with very competent people, you may not be so good at telling how they will receive any particular message.
So deep honesty as a heuristic for action for boundedly rational actors looks pretty good on consequentialist grounds. It’s very compatible with taking the low-hanging fruit of consequentialism — thinking through possible bad effects of communication, and taking steps to mitigate those. (Deep honesty also looks generally very good from non-consequentialist perspectives on ethics.)

Challenging cases for deep honesty

It’s not always the wise or moral choice to be deeply honest. Deep honesty is a risk, and it’s a bigger risk in some cases than others.
Even when you’re not being deeply honest about everything, it’s often worth remaining deeply honest at the meta level. Warn people that you’re biased and may argue for one side. Tell them that you’re simplifying things, or steering around a topic you don’t want to get into.

Large inferential gaps

Sometimes you have a very different worldview from your audience.
If you have a good understanding of their perspective (e.g. imagine explaining something to your own small child), you may be able to predict that they might draw inferences you’d consider inaccurate from things you share. It isn’t deeply honest to knowingly let them draw important false inferences, at least without warning them about this issue. But when bandwidth is limited, you may well not be able to bottom out all of the differences in perspective. In this case, deep honesty means improving their understanding of relevant topics in ways they’d endorse with moderately more context (you don’t get to assume they come to endorse your whole worldview). Sometimes this means (transparently) steering around a topic that’s more likely to cause inaccurate inferences; sometimes it means going out of your way to cancel possible implications.
Sometimes you don’t even know what inferences they might draw. Then it’s especially easy for attempts at communication to go wrong, and you might want to be correspondingly cautious about it. Deep honesty may take you into a zone of sharing things you might not otherwise share and are vulnerable. On the other hand, it’s hard to optimize in a shallowly honest way when you don’t understand the audience, so the unforeseen benefits of deep honesty can be especially helpful in these cases.

Audiences you don’t want to cooperate with

Sometimes people will want information so that they can cause harm, and it is reasonable to not help them. Sometimes you will meet people who actively want to twist your words, and it is reasonable to not give them ammunition.

Multiple audiences

It can be harder to be deeply honest when delivering a single message to multiple audiences that have different contexts and background assumptions. What’s most useful to one audience may not be most useful to another.
We can distinguish between active deep honesty, where you are trying to share whatever information the listener would most want (to reach an informed independent view), and passive deep honesty, where you’re at least not aiming to persuade the listener of something. With multiple audiences, you may only get to choose one to be actively deeply honest with in any moment, but you can always be passively deeply honest with all of them.
Sometimes you have some audiences you’d like to be deeply honest with, and others you wouldn’t. Now you have to make a judgment call about how much you value deep trust with the first group, versus how worried you are about the risks of deep honesty with the second.
Here’s a very rough sketch of the concepts we’re using

What being deeply honest might look like

Deep honesty is about empowering your listeners. In principle this could involve conscious optimization for what seems like it might be most useful for them. But as a practical matter, the best guide is often asking yourself, as you say something, “did it feel honest to say that?”. Anecdotally, it seems like this can lead to a qualitatively different mode of expression — where you don’t allow your communication to be steered by ulterior motives — and that some people are pretty good at intuiting when people are or aren’t in this mode. This is a very helpful skill to develop.
Deep honesty is often a bit scary, because you don’t know how others will react to it. This is why engaging in it can require something like faith, that striving after virtue will lead to good things, even if you’re not in a position to be able to say what those are.
Fortunately, although deep honesty has been described here as some kind of intuitive act of faith, it is still just an action you can take with consequences you can observe. So rather than diving in wholesale, you can just try to pay a bit more attention to where you’re already doing it or not doing it, whether it seems like others are doing it, and experiment with doing it a bit more in cases where that seems like it might work out.
Seriously, skipping to 100% deep honesty all the time would be a mistake, and also probably impossible. But it seems like maybe deep honesty is underrated right now.
So ask yourself more often, when thinking about how to communicate, “what is kind, true, and useful?” and “what is the heart of the matter?” rather than “what will have good effects?”. Take a moment to appreciate the people who seem to actually consistently say what they really believe, even if it means revealing that they're wrong or ignorant or have silly reasoning about something, and especially if it's not politically expedient..
Often when people are shallowly honest, they still choose what true things they say in a kind of locally act-consequentialist way, to try to bring about some outcome. Maybe something they want for themselves (e.g. convincing their friends to see a particular movie), or something they truly believe is good (e.g. causing their friend to vote for the candidate they think will be better for the country).
Either way, if you think someone is being merely shallowly honest, you can only shallowly trust them: you might be confident that they aren't literally lying, but you still have to do a bit of reverse engineering to figure out what they actually believe or intend.
This post is about an alternative: deep honesty, and the deep trust that can follow. Deep honesty is the opposite of managing the other party’s reactions for them. Deep honesty means explaining what you actually believe, rather than trying to persuade others of some course of action. Instead, you adopt a sincerely cooperative stance in choosing which information to share, and trust them to come to their own responses.
In this post, we've leaned into the things that seem good to us about deep honesty. Writing while being in touch with that makes it seem easier to convey the core idea. We've tried to outline what we see as disadvantages of deep honesty, but we're still probably a bit partial. We would love to see discussion of the idea, including critical takes (either that our concepts are not useful ones, or that this is less something to be emulated than we imply).
The rest of this post will be:

• Some examples of where deep and shallow honesty diverge
• Why and when you might want deep honesty
• Various disclaimers about what deep honesty is not
• A look at some difficult cases for deep honesty
• What deep honesty might look like in practice

Examples of shallow (versus deep) honesty

• Writing a very optimistic funding application which doesn’t mention your personal concerns about the project
  • As opposed to being upfront about what you think the weaknesses are
• Telling an official at border control that you’re visiting America to ‘see some friends’
  • Rather than explaining that you’re also going to some kind of philanthropically funded conference about AI risk
• Searching for and using whichever messaging makes audiences most concerned about AI risk
  • Instead of whatever best explains your concerns
• Saying that you totally disagree with the ideology of an extremist group
  • And not that they are actually right about some important controversial topics, in a way that doesn’t justify their actions
• Reassuring your manager about all the things that are going well and privately trying to fix all the problems before they grow
  • Instead of telling your manager what’s going wrong and giving them an opportunity to make an informed decision about what to do
• Rejecting someone from a programme with a note explaining that it was very competitive
  • Rather than explaining what you perceived to be their weaknesses and shortcomings for the role
• Telling yourself that you’re doing something for utilitarian reasons
  • Instead of acknowledging that you also have a pretty weird kludge of motivations which definitely includes being recognised and appreciated by your peers
• When a friend asks how you are, smoothly changing the topic because you don’t want them worrying about you
  • Rather than opening up about private difficulties, or even just giving a wry smile and saying “well enough” in such a way as to provide a trailhead for a conversation about those difficulties if they want to pursue it
• Sharing the fact that you have some frugal habits (like driving a Corolla), because you think they will make people think well of you
  • And not also mentioning that you frequently spend large amounts of money on luxuries you consider time-saving

Why deep honesty?

In all the above examples, it’s easy to see how deep honesty could go wrong — your boss thinks you’re a moron, your friends don’t care about your feelings, you have a weird existential crisis about whether you’re even a good person, and instead of going straight to a conference you get dragged off for half an hour of interrogation by government officials.
But what if it went right? It seems like when deep honesty is well-received, it leads to better outcomes, often in ways you can’t foresee. This isn’t a trite or mystical claim: rather, there will always be information you’re lacking that other people have. When you’re deeply honest, you equip them to make best use of their private information as well as yours. Perhaps your manager knows of a clever workaround to the problems you have. Even when they can’t make special use of the information, deep honesty makes it easy for them to rely on your reports, and so strengthens the relationship.
There are good reasons to refrain from deep honesty: it is a risk, and sometimes a large one. In the case of admissions, usually when you reject someone from a programme, you have a pretty clear sense of why, and actually explaining that to the applicant could be very helpful. But as well as being time-consuming, telling someone why they didn’t meet the bar can provoke quite a negative reaction and sometimes even reprisal. Deep honesty is an act of trust in the recipient.
However, it’s also sometimes quite hard to realize how much you’re missing when you stick to shallow honesty, and is easy to overestimate how successfully you’re crafting your message. Shallow honesty involves some amount of optimization, and so it falls prey to all of optimization's classic failures.
To take the example of public messaging, particularly smart and capable people are especially likely to spot disingenuous sales pitches, and when they do, they have basically no reason to tell you that you seem manipulative to them, and so there’s no feedback loop. From their perspective, there’s a chance you might be provoked to switch to deeper honesty, but you also might just optimize more carefully. So you learn nothing, and you end up missing out on some of the best people without even noticing.
Shallow honesty works well enough in cases where, in some sense, the other person wants it. The border patrol official would be happy to accept that you're here to see friends and wave you through, without working their head around the subject of the conference. But in domains where people are actively trying to resist adversarial optimization, they can catch on pretty fast.
Indeed, people with experience running admissions rounds generally learn how to spot applications that are shallow, because so many people do it. Likewise with funding applications. It is very natural to want to put your best foot forward and pitch people on why you’re so shiny and polished and great, but often it is a mistake. Sometimes the person reading your application wants to understand what you’re actually like, and if you clearly only give them half the picture then they still have to figure out the other half, only now they’re much less certain.

What deep honesty is not

Having made the case for deep honesty, it’s worth laying out some pitfalls, both in the application, and in how you might interpret the concept.

It is not a universal stance

Deep honesty is not a property of a person that you need to adopt wholesale. It’s something you can do more or less of, at different times, in different domains.

It is not independent of the listener

The words which will help a young child to understand what’s going on will be different from the words which will help an expert. Deep honesty is attuned to the situation, and the audience.

It is not telling people everything

Deep honesty doesn’t mean you have to share every detail that might be relevant. Deep honesty is in touch with what the listener cares about, and is in touch with your and their rights to choose where to spend time communicating. If the cashier at the grocery store asks how you’re doing, it’s not deeply honest to give the same answer you’d give to a therapist — it’s just inappropriate.

It does not relieve you of a responsibility to be kind

Deep honesty means you don’t take responsibility for how others respond to your words. Your responsibility is to make your words good — speaking with truth, relevance, and kindness. Their responsibility is to act well given that. But blunt truths can be hurtful. It is often compatible with deep honesty to refrain from sharing things where it seems kinder to do so (although be honest with yourself about whether it would be a deeper kindness to share). And it’s of course important, if sharing something that might be difficult to hear, to think about how it can be delivered in a gentle way.

It is not incompatible with consequentialism

A pure act-consequentialist, choosing the words that they predict will have the best outcomes, might sometimes lie. Many consequentialists would reject that as naïve and demand at least shallow honesty as a side constraint.
However, this may still be too naïve. The winner’s curse is that whoever wins an auction is liable to have overestimated the value of the object. The same dynamic applies when you’re optimizing for what to say. You have noisy estimates of how good each option will be, and it’s likely that the one that looks best to you will be an overestimate — perhaps because it interacts with some kind of blindspot you have. If you’re optimizing under shallow honesty, you’re stuck with this problem. With deep honesty, you can hope that you may reveal useful information to people who don’t share your blindspots (even if you don’t know what that information is). And especially when you’re interacting with very competent people, you may not be so good at telling how they will receive any particular message.
So deep honesty as a heuristic for action for boundedly rational actors looks pretty good on consequentialist grounds. It’s very compatible with taking the low-hanging fruit of consequentialism — thinking through possible bad effects of communication, and taking steps to mitigate those. (Deep honesty also looks generally very good from non-consequentialist perspectives on ethics.)

Challenging cases for deep honesty

It’s not always the wise or moral choice to be deeply honest. Deep honesty is a risk, and it’s a bigger risk in some cases than others.
Even when you’re not being deeply honest about everything, it’s often worth remaining deeply honest at the meta level. Warn people that you’re biased and may argue for one side. Tell them that you’re simplifying things, or steering around a topic you don’t want to get into.

Large inferential gaps

Sometimes you have a very different worldview from your audience.
If you have a good understanding of their perspective (e.g. imagine explaining something to your own small child), you may be able to predict that they might draw inferences you’d consider inaccurate from things you share. It isn’t deeply honest to knowingly let them draw important false inferences, at least without warning them about this issue. But when bandwidth is limited, you may well not be able to bottom out all of the differences in perspective. In this case, deep honesty means improving their understanding of relevant topics in ways they’d endorse with moderately more context (you don’t get to assume they come to endorse your whole worldview). Sometimes this means (transparently) steering around a topic that’s more likely to cause inaccurate inferences; sometimes it means going out of your way to cancel possible implications.
Sometimes you don’t even know what inferences they might draw. Then it’s especially easy for attempts at communication to go wrong, and you might want to be correspondingly cautious about it. Deep honesty may take you into a zone of sharing things you might not otherwise share and are vulnerable. On the other hand, it’s hard to optimize in a shallowly honest way when you don’t understand the audience, so the unforeseen benefits of deep honesty can be especially helpful in these cases.

Audiences you don’t want to cooperate with

Sometimes people will want information so that they can cause harm, and it is reasonable to not help them. Sometimes you will meet people who actively want to twist your words, and it is reasonable to not give them ammunition.

Multiple audiences

It can be harder to be deeply honest when delivering a single message to multiple audiences that have different contexts and background assumptions. What’s most useful to one audience may not be most useful to another.
We can distinguish between active deep honesty, where you are trying to share whatever information the listener would most want (to reach an informed independent view), and passive deep honesty, where you’re at least not aiming to persuade the listener of something. With multiple audiences, you may only get to choose one to be actively deeply honest with in any moment but you can always be passively deeply honest with all of them.
Sometimes you have some audiences you’d like to be deeply honest with, and others you wouldn’t. Now you have to make a judgment call about how much you value deep trust with the first group, versus how worried you are about the risks of deep honesty with the second.

Intro

Almost four years ago, BryndenBFish released a post and tried to figure out how many Winds chapters are already written. However, many years have passed and we have more information, so in this post I'll try to extend his post with the new chapters that George has talked about! I'll give both the pessimist and the optimist possible estimates.

Arya Stark: 3 - 7 Chapters.

• Mercy (Arya I): original draft written 2000-2001, released as a sample in 2014
• At least one more complete Arya chapter that GRRM sent to The Lands of Ice and Fire artist Jonathan Roberts in 2012. George sent this "batch" of chapters to Jonathan Roberts in order for the artist to develop the map of Braavos more fully. (Original reddit post by ). Perhaps the Mercy chapter and two more, since two wouldn't make sense describing as "a batch".
• GRRM was working on an Arya chapter in 2013
• In 2018, GRRM was asked which POV he was working on, and he answered cryptically "Smudge.", which could mean an Arya chapter.
• GRRM was returning to Westeros to write an Arya Chapter where she killed someone in June 2020
• GRRM talks about writing "a girl with no name" in August 2020. Perhaps the same chapter he was writing in June, but maybe a new one.

Tyrion Lannister: 5 - 7 Chapters.

• Tyrion I was read by GRRM at Eastercon and Miscon in 2012. He also read it again at Stockholm in 2015. One chapter.
• Tyrion II was read by GRRM at Worldcon 2013 released in the World of Ice and Fire app in 2014. One more.
• GRRM was "visiting" Tyrion Lannister in June 2020. One more.
• GRRM was writing "Ty" in August 2020. Perhaps the same that he was writing in June, but maybe another one.
• GRRM talks about spending a "lot of time" writing the Lannister, particularly Tyrion and Cersei in November 2020. At least one more, probably two.
• GRRM talks about writing Tyrion "the past week" in June 2022. One more chapter.
• GRRM talks about writing Tyrion in July 2022. Probably the same chapter he talked about in June, but maybe one more. In the same month, in an interview to the "Game of Owns" podcast, GRRM said he was struggling with a Tyrion chapter a few days ago (probably the one he talked about in July) thinks that after this one he needs only one more Tyrion chapter to finish his storyline. So one more.

Barristan Selmy: 3 - 4 Chapters

• Barristan I was released in the paperback version of ADWD. One chapter
• Barristan II was read at BosKone 2013 and Worldcon 2013. One more
• GRRM was "visiting" Ser Barristan in June 2020. One more
• Since the Tyrion storyline was almost finished, and since his storyline is tightly closed to the Meereen characters - and he said that he was close or even done with some others storylines beyond Tyrion - Barristan has probably more chapters done.

Arianne Martell: 3 Chapters

• Arianne I was written for ADWD in February 2010, cut to TWOW in July 2010 and released as a TWOW sample in 2012. One chapter
• Arianne II was written in February 2010, cut to TWOW in July 2010 and released as a sample in 2016. One more
• Arianne III was a "completely unwritten chapter" by 2010, but GRRM planned to write it. One more

Melisandre of Asshai: 1 Chapter

• GRRM talks about writing "Mel" in August 2020.

Theon Greyjoy: 2 Chapters

• Theon I was written during the timeline of A Dance with Dragons and released as a sample in December 2011
• GRRM was revising a Theon chapter in January 2016

Aeron Greyjoy and Samwell Tarly: 3 - 4 Chapters

• I'm joining both of these characters since they are both currently either on or heading to Oldtown.
• "The Forsaken" (Aeron I) was read at Balticon in 2016
• When asked if "The Forsaken" would be Damphair's only chapter, GRRM answered "No."
• GRRM talks about writing Sam in August 2020
• GRRM talks about paying a visit to Oldtown "a time or three" in November 2020. This would sign that he's written at least one chapter, maybe it being Aeron's second, but probably more.

Areo Hotah: 2 - 3 Chapters

• We know that two of the Dornish chapters GRRM moved from ADWD to TWOW were Arianne I and II. He also stated in 2016 that he wasn't planning to add more Dornish POV characters besides Areo and Arianne for TWOW. The third chapter is probably an Areo Hotah chapter as he stated in 2010 that he wouldn't have to write Arianne's third TWOW chapter "not yet anyways".
  
• GRRM was also "visiting" Areo Hotah in June 2020
  
• GRRM talks about "visiting" Dorne in November 2020.
  

Cersei Lannister: 4 - 6 Chapters

• GRRM was working on a Cersei POV chapter at Balticon in 2016
• GRRM was "visiting" Cersei in June 2020. Again, this could be him revising the Cersei chapter he was working on in 2016, but I think it's more likely that it's a different chapter than the one from four years ago.
• GRRM talks about spending a "lot of time" writing the Lannister, particularly Tyrion and Cersei in November 2020
• GRRM talks about finishing a "clutch" of Cersei chapters that were "giving him the fits" in June 2022. From what I've searched, a clutch could mean at least two or three.

Asha Greyjoy: 2 Chapters

• GRRM was working on an Asha chapter in June 2014
• In June 2020, he was "visiting" Asha. GRRM could be working on the same Asha chapter he was writing back in June 2014, but I think that's unlikely.

Jon Connington: 2 Chapters

• GRRM had a partially-written "complementary chapter" between Arianne II and Arianne III written by 2010. Given that Arianne II ends with her declaring her intent to sail to Storm's End, this is probably a Jon Connington chapter.
• At WorldCon 2011, GRRM said he originally wasn't going to feature the Battle of Storm's End in TWOW, but he decided he was going to write it. This Battle of Storm's End chapter would almost certainly be from the POV of Jon Connington. Here's the original quote by from 2011.

Sansa Stark: 1 Chapter

• Alayne I was released as a sample in 2015

Victarion Greyjoy: 2 - 3 Chapters

• Victarion I was read by GRRM at Tiff Bell Lightbox and EasterCon in 2012
• GRRM talks about spending time with "Vic" in August 2020
• Since the Tyrion storyline was almost finished, and since his storyline is tightly closed to the Meereen characters - and he said that he was close or even done with some others storylines beyond Tyrion - Victarion has probably more chapters done.

Bran Stark: 1 Chapter

• GRRM planned for a Bran chapter to be included at the end of ADWD, but it didn't make the final cut. It's likely this chapter was cut to TWOW

Daenerys Targaryen: 1 - 2 Chapters

• GRRM was working on the Dothraki in 2012. This is likely a Dany chapter
• Since the Tyrion storyline was almost finished, and since his storyline is tightly closed to the Meereen characters - and he said that he was close or even done with some others storylines beyond Tyrion, and that Tyrion and Dany would intersect in a way - Daenerys has probably more chapters done.

Davos Seaworth: 1 - 2 Chapters

• GRRM has indicated that Rickon will "appear" in TWOW. Also, Osha will return as a character and will be influenced by Natalia Tena's portrayal of her in Game of Thrones. Additionally, GRRM has said that TWOW will have unicorns in it. Davos Seaworth is on his way to Skagos by ADWD -- where Osha and the unicorns are. So, GRRM is probably referring to at least one Davos chapter where he meets Rickon, Osha and the unicorns.

Jaime Lannister and Brienne of Tarth: 1 - 2 Chapters

• GRRM talks about spending a "lot of time" writing the Lannister, particularly Tyrion and Cersei in November 2020, which doesn't mean he hadn't written some Jaime too.
• GRRM was "wrestling" with Jaime and Brienne in June 2022

Prologue:

• At ComicCon 2014, GRRM stated that Jeyne Westerling would make an appearance in the TWOW Prologue

Unknown TWOW Chapters GRRM Has Written or Was Writing

• In April 2011, GRRM cut three chapters from ADWD to TWOW. It's unclear the identity of those chapters, but I think it's likely that these three chapters have been been released as samples in the years since and accounted for in this post. (My guess on the chapter identities are Tyrion I, Victarion I and Barristan I as Tyrion and Victarion's chapters were read as samples in early 2012 right after GRRM finished his ADWD tour, and Barristan's chapters were reportedly "new to us, but not to him, implying he had written them a long time ago.")
• In 2013, GRRM's editor Anne Groell reported receiving a batch of 168 manuscript pages from TWOW. This translates to about seven to nine chapters. Additionally, she stated: "I know more [chapters] exist, because he keeps talking about chapters he hasn’t yet sent me."
• In the midst of the 2015 Hugo Awards Sad Puppy controversy, GRRM was returning to a TWOW chapter.
• In his January 2016 Winds post, GRRM reported having "dozens" of completed chapters from TWOW complete. So, that's at least twenty-four chapters.
• In December 2016, when asked about “The Forsaken”, GRRM reported that there were a lot of dark chapters in TWOW.
• In June 2020 and July 2020, GRRM stated that he finished "six" total chapters. The identity of these POV chapters are unclear, but I would note that GRRM mentioned visiting Areo Hotah, Asha Greyjoy, Ser Barristan, Tyrion Lannister, Cersei Lannister and Arya Stark (Six POVs) and has reported completing three chapters in June 2020 and three chapters in July 2020 (Six chapters). It's possible that the number of POV he's been "visiting" and the number of chapters he's finished correspond. Or it could be coincidental! Either way, we're taking the extreme pessimistic view and saying that the numbers align. Six POVs mentioned = six chapters he's completed in June/July 2020.
• In a notablog post from July 2020, GRRM indicated making good progress on several other chapters. Standard definition of several is "at least three." So, three more known TWOW chapters.
• In the Game of Owns interview, he talked about a few characters more being done or close to be done other than Tyrion.

Conclusion

Here's our grand tally for confirmed chapters that George was writing or wrote from TWOW:
Minimum Number of Confirmed TWOW Chapters: <46 (38 Known POV chapters + 5 Unknown POV Chapters (Spring 2015 TWOW Chapter, "Smudge" in 2018 and the 3+ chapters he was making good progress on in July 2020).
Maximum Number of Confirmed TWOW Chapters: 64>
GRRM expects The Winds of Winter to be about 300 pages longer than A Storm of Swords and A Dance with Dragons. The books had respectively 82 and 73 chapters in it, meaning that at the pessimistic floor of 46+ chapters he's working on/has completed for TWOW, GRRM would be about 3/4 complete, which does in fact factor that he has already said that Winds is around 3/4 or 75% done in the Stephen Colbert interview.
Again, that's the statistical floor, the most pessimistic possible take for where George is at. The statistical ceiling is higher, but even then, the reality is that GRRM has more finished, drafted or fragmentary chapters than the ones I've been able to find in my research. It only seems that each time he writes, the book becomes bigger.
The storylines that seem closer to conclusion are Cersei, Areo, Arya and Meereen, while the Northern storyline seems to be very far from being finished.
Now, we should bear in mind that GRRM has recently stated he still has a "long ways to go" and "not to get too excited." At the very least, we can celebrate GRRM making progress and see some hard data behind his stated progress, but get depressed because he seems to not have written anything in 2023, since he estimates 1.100 pages done both in the end of 2022 and in the end of 2023.
Ultimately, I hope this post both provides hard data and also links to the sample chapters/recounts of chapters read at conventions and links to places where George has talked about other TWOW chapters. If I've missed anything, feel free to let me know!
Thanks for reading!

*Serhii breaks out into a deep coughing fit. He apologizes and we continue\*
Ostap was now starting to get on my nerves. The Captain had sent him to retrieve me, he was raving mad, threatening me with all sorts of disciplinary action. Apparently I didn’t hear him yelling for me from the sidewalk outside. It was already getting dark at this point, and the Captain was extra paranoid about spending a night this far deep in The Zone.
Ostap already had the container in his hands. He opened it, and I carefully placed The Cue inside its four lead-lined walls. The container was heavy, but a necessary piece of equipment. Without it, the radiation from the artifact would kill us all.
The Captain wanted an immediate report. I delayed for as long as possible, trying to think of how I should articulate what the hell I just saw in a way that would also gain the Captain’s cooperation. You see, the Captain had full command over our mission's transportation. I knew that I needed our vehicle if I had any hope of getting the artifact back to the laboratory. This also means that the Captain could at any point deny me this transportation if he felt that the risk of transporting the artifact was too dangerous. This was standard protocol, standard life-saving protocol. I knew it was important, but I also knew that The Cue needed to get back, at any cost.
So what did you do?
I carefully downplayed the situation.
I instructed Ostap not to say a word to anyone about what he saw. I told the Captain directly, in private. I told him that The Cue had been disarmed, and that Stanislavs injuries were a result of his sloppy handling of the artifact. I told the Captain that I had conducted thorough tests and determined that The Cue was now safe. I threw some random numbers and measurements at the Captain that I knew would just cause him confusion, but would help to make my findings seem legitimate and trustworthy.
Without giving the Captain time to think, I told him as confidently as I could that we needed to secure the container inside of the BTR, as far from the driver as possible. We would secure the container with straps and I would personally sit next to it, to ensure it’s safe transport. With the container in hand, I then started marching towards the BTR.
The Captain bought every word, and began giving orders to his men to hurry up and help me. I felt glorious, and for that brief moment everything seemed like it was going to be okay.
The container was secured with straps to the floor, under my seat. When no one was looking, I carefully slipped off my soft kevlar vest and placed it over the container. I had to be careful not to get caught, because I knew this would raise suspicion. I didn’t want it known that I still had legitimate concerns of The Cue exploding during transport. I was nervous, I kept running the tests through my head over and over. Telling myself that if it was going to explode here, it would have exploded during the tests. As long as the artifact remains in the container, we are safe, we will be fine.
Stanislav was then loaded up. He was sedated heavily and coming in and out of consciousness. I could see now that his injuries extended up past his left hand, and that most of his left forearm was also wrapped in a deeply-soaked bloodied bandage. I pitied him, if he survives the radiation, surely his arm will need to be amputated. The medical officer had applied a tourniquet above the elbow, dating the time of application in the little white rectangle at the top of the apparatus. I remember looking at the time on the tourniquet, then checking my watch. It had been four hours. Four hours.
*Serhii breaks into a sudden and uncomfortable laugh, broken quickly by another coughing fit\*
My heart sank into my chest, and I could feel my anxiety spiking. I thought that was impossible, surely I misread his writing. I thought to myself, I had only been in the department store for forty minutes, perhaps fifty at most. I then checked my test records to confirm. The first three tests were conducted at 4:05pm, 4:11pm, and 4:18pm. Then I knew that I had to wait thirty minutes before conducting my second set of tests. I checked the log, expecting the times to be around the 5pm mark. The three times read: 6:46pm, 6:51pm, 6:56pm. How is that even possible? I was stumped, baffled. I looked down at my feet, at the container beneath me, and I swear on my life, I felt the thing inside breathing. By the time the true horror set in, the vehicle was already set in motion and we were on our way home.
We traveled for a brief while, uninterrupted. I didn’t know where exactly we were, I couldn’t keep my eye or mind off the container. I just remember being suddenly alerted by Stanislav. He had suddenly regained full consciousness. The medical officer was holding him down, I didn’t know why at first but then I saw that Stanislav kept trying to sit up. He appeared to be confused - like he awoke from a deep sleep, I didn’t know how long he had been unconscious for. My concept of time was gone to say the least.
Ostap went to assist the medical officer, they were holding Stanislav down to the stretcher. He was panicking and started calling out for us to let him go. He tried to forcefully push Ostap off of him, first with his good arm, and then afterwards with his injured arm. Stanislav pushed until his bandages started to unravel, revealing his open wound for the rest of us. I could see his injured arm bending, twisting, muscles tearing. It didn’t phase him. It didn’t seem like he had any concept of his injuries. The pushing turned into punching, which turned into biting. Ostap had to yank his hand away quickly to stop Stanislav from taking a chunk out of his wrist. This in turn freed Stanislav’s right arm, and he reached across the stretcher for the medical officer. The young officer started to squeal, and yelled for help, “he’s choking me, he’s choking me!” Stanislav had his hand around the poor boy's throat, and was squeezing with ferocious strength. I grabbed Stanislav’s arm with both of my hands and jerked it back into place on the stretcher. I felt his wrist break in my hands. Stanislav hadn’t noticed, he was still trying to pull away. The medical officer then got on top of the stretcher, placing his knee over Stanislavs chest, pinning him down. Stanislav was gasping for air, not really screaming, just gasping and strange animalistic grunting. Ostap started yelling this time, screaming at Stanislav to stop, to please stop. There was blood everywhere. I saw that Stanislav was bleeding again, and I noticed that the tourniquet had come undone. I switched off with Ostap and went around to the other side of the stretcher to reapply it. I think the medical officer noticed at the same time because he promptly ordered the BTR to halt. The Captain wasn’t in the back with us, he was at the front and could only hear what was going on.
He opened the rear door with a mighty fury, unleashing all his built up anger on poor Stanislav. The Captain stood with one foot on his chest, long enough to leave his boot impressions on the front of Stanislav’s blood soaked hazardous material suit. We each then took an arm, and Ostap held Stanislav’s head to the back of the stretcher. His mouth continued to open and close, and he was still trying to bite. The medical officer gave an injection and we re-tightened the tourniquet. We held on for another short while, until the medication kicked in and we felt Stanislav’s grip loosen up.
The Captain then roared in anger, the loudest I have ever heard him, “everybody out! I am calling a helicopter and we are being evacuated!”.
At that point was your mission completely abandoned?
Oh yes, and there was nothing I could do this time. After our fight with Stanislav, morale on the team was very low. Everyone was scared and just wanted to go home, and I didn’t blame them. Our driver, a young boy whom I learned was named Stepan, drove us to a nearby soviet-era gas station. There was a parking lot, big enough for the helicopter and we could take shelter inside of the derelict structure. The Captain didn’t want anyone inside the BTR, he was starting to become superstitious about the artifact. Now that he made it clear that we would be leaving it behind, he strictly ordered nobody to go near it.
There were issues we had with getting an air-evacuation. The Air Force was getting readings of an isolated emission way south of our location and refused to fly over it to come and get us. We were advised to take shelter at our current location and that a team would get to us as soon as they could.
Stanislav was on the floor of the gas station, tied to the stretcher with a rope. The medical officer was ordered to keep a rifle pointed at him until our rescue could arrive. Ostap was instructed to remove all the scientific equipment from the BTR and prepare it for flight. Stepan and I were instructed to take guard positions outside, watching over the BTR and securing our landing zone. I was especially given strict instructions not to go anywhere near The Cue. I think the Captain had come to his senses and I felt that I had lost his trust. I agreed with him, I knew that pushing him further would only result in irrational decision making and I just wanted to get back safely. I thought that maybe once the helicopter arrived, I could see exactly where we were and return another day with a field kit and conduct further testing here. I held hope, but barely.
We held that position for close to four hours, and I made sure to check my watch every thirty minutes to make sure. It was 3am and the Captain was growing obsessive. He would try the radio every fifteen minutes, seeing if the flight team had left the hangar. He was met with the same automated message each time, “Negative, continue to hold your position”. It was clear that we would be holding at that gas station until morning.
I had relieved Stepan of his duties and replaced him with Ostap. Stepan was obviously tired and I felt like Ostap kept better company anyways. The Captain didn’t care, I think his mind was preoccupied with other thoughts. I asked Ostap innocently how long he thought the collection took. He shrugged his shoulders, and provided an estimation of about an hour, maybe less. I then explained what I saw in my log book. Ostap hadn’t noticed until now. We both agreed to not say a word. No one but us appeared to notice, and we had no explanation for the rest of the team. We didn’t want to cause any further concern. Stanislav continued to rest, motionless on his stretcher. Ostap and I debriefed the situation further and decided on what we would write in our reports when we got back to The Institute. We were agreeable on what to put in our notes, as to avoid discrepancies and any unwanted attention. Our conversations then turned elsewhere, and then to nothing at all.
At 4:30am, I awoke to Stepan kicking me in the shoulder. I was sitting on my ass, leaning up against the wall. I didn’t remember falling asleep, or even sitting down. I don’t remember if I even felt tired. My adrenaline had been going non-stop since we first arrived at the department store. Stepan asked me how long I was asleep for, and I couldn’t give him an answer. I was waiting for some reprimand, some sort of punishment. I fell asleep on guard duty, even the most loose-headed recruit knew not to do that. But the punishment never came, Stepan didn’t have time to alert the Captain. He was transfixed on Ostap’s position. This alerted my attention and I looked as well. We both saw at the same time that Ostap wasn’t at his post.
Stepan gave me a brief look, I couldn’t tell if his face resembled anger towards me or fear towards the situation, then he went into the building to alert the Captain. I grabbed my rifle, and shouldered it. I then looked towards the BTR, and my heart stopped beating.
The rear hatch was open, and I saw a faint white light emanating from within. Every survival instinct I had left was screaming for me to just turn around and run away, let the military deal with this, my job is over. But I found myself actually walking towards the opened hatch. One step after the other, rifle down range. I felt so heavy, so tired. I was terrified. The faint moonlight illuminated the path in front of me and the asphalt I walked on glowed with a slight bluish hue. I could barely make out a shape on the asphalt. Rectangular and misshapen, but as I got closer, I saw that it was actually my kevlar vest. It had been tossed out of the hatch and onto the ground outside. I rounded the back of the BTR, staring now into the open hatch, and the source of that faint white light.
I found Ostap. He was on his knees on the floor of the cabin, with his back facing me. His elbows were bent at a 90 degree angle and held inwards. I couldn’t see his hands. I saw that he had partially undone his hazardous material suit, which was now tied sloppily around his waist like a sweatshirt. The lead-lined container was at his feet, closed, but resting on its side. I stared blankly at Ostap for what felt like two minutes, but in reality was only a couple seconds. He wasn’t moving. At first I thought he might have been dead but then I saw his sides expanding and I knew he was breathing. Ostap had not been alerted to my presence and I felt that I had the jump on him. I slowly reached for the container, I had to know. I opened it slightly, revealing a hollow, empty interior. Ostap must have heard me, because when I looked up again we were staring at each other. I still couldn’t see his hands, but I knew, and he knew that I knew. I greeted him as gently as I could, trying to mask my excitement. I asked him what he was doing. He looked at me with a puzzling expression, “I'm doing what you told me to do”. He then turned his shoulders to face me and raised his hands up slightly and I saw what I already knew. Gripped in both of his bare hands was The Cue. I gently put the container on the floor of the cabin and pushed it towards him. I opened my mouth to speak but I could not get a clear word out. I stuttered relentlessly, and questioned Ostap about what I had told him to do. Ostap was catching on and replied to me, “you ordered me to take out the artifact”. I didn’t say anything and we just stared at each other. He repeated again, “you ordered me”. “I did not do such a thing Ostap”, I replied as calmly as I could, “it is not possible, I had fallen asleep”. I thought about lying at first, to tell him that Stepan had relieved me so I could sleep. I was still embarrassed about my neglection, but I thought, what was the point?
Ostap looked down at his hands in puzzling confusion. He tried to reason with me, to justify what he had done. I believed that he had heard something, but it certainly wasn’t from me. I could see that Ostap was starting to panic. He was finally starting to realize the danger that he was in. I tried to calm him, I told him that it was okay, that he just needed to put the artifact back in the container. I only met his blank stare, I could tell that he was thinking, his mind was spinning. I slid the container closer to him, “Ostap, the container”, I told him. He instinctively and quickly pulled back, pulling his hands away from the container and up over his head. I cringed and stepped back instinctually. I could see his hands vibrating, The Cue was changing its density. He needed to stop shaking it, but I didn’t know how to tell him. “Ostap, listen, it’s going to be okay, I believe you, okay? I just need you to put the artifact in the container right now, okay?” I managed to catch him, he looked to me and then to the container. I stepped forwards towards the open hatch, sliding the container closer and rotating the opening towards him. I then retreated back to my position, and gave the same instructions I did before. Ostap slowly leaned forward, now over the open container. He reached for it with his left hand, his right still holding the artifact. I continued to coach him, “Slow Ostap, slow. You can’t rush”.
Ostap was in full panic now and he started hyperventilating. He had his left hand now on the opening. His right hand was moving towards the container. I saw that Stepan was approaching me from my left, followed by Cpt. Lytvyn. The Captain was angry, he stomped towards us, shouting all sorts of profanities. Ostap now had his right hand at the mouth of the opening, he was set to put it in the container. The Captain was closer now and he pushed Stepan to the side and overtook him, he started to yell towards me. Ordering me to get away from the vehicle and back to my post. I tried telling him to stop, to stand back. We almost have it, I yelled. Ostap had heard him also, he was now staring towards the sound of his voice, his mouth was agape and I could see that he was crying. Ostap had now stopped, holding the artifact just above the container. I was inpatient now with Ostap, “Ostap, put the artifact in the container, do it, please”. He wasn’t listening to me anymore. The Captain was coming. The Captain was coming and he was going to doom us all.
In an instant he was standing behind me, and raised his Makarov at Ostap. He commanded, “Son, put that down right now, or I will shoot you!”. Ostap screamed, pulled his hands away from the container, and threw The Cue against the floor.
There was a blinding flash, and that is all I remember.

The US public school system and the public consciousness in general would have us remember that Harriet Tubman only snuck around in the darkness and freed an undetermined amount of slaves. And didn't do much else.
First of all, "Harriet Tubman" is only her second name, her pre Civil War name. She was born as a slave in Maryland, as Araminta Ross, she escaped and changed her name to Harriet Tubman, but immediately before the Civil War she was known colloquially as "Moses" and during the war itself she became known as "General Moses."
She was both the first African American and the first woman to lead US military forces into combat, and she personally freed about ten times more slaves violently than she did in person through the Underground Railroad. She also never lost a military engagement, showing a skill for leading and directing fighting men that was way above the norm.
I'll go into it a little more chronologically.
She was born and enslaved in Dorchester County, Maryland. As a young woman, she was hit in the head by a heavy object thrown by an overseer, giving her narcolepsy and vivid dreams for the rest of her life. These dreams led her to believe that God put her on Earth to free slaves and end the institution of slavery. And although the dreams themselves were likely triggered by the brain injury she received when she was young, she met that mission with a determination, efficiency, and ruthlessness that completely overcame her limitations of being a black, former slave, and woman in the 1850s.
In 1849, when she escaped herself, she almost immediately worked odd jobs and gathered funds and support in Philadelphia to go back to Maryland and free her immediate family and friends.
On personal trips she took to free slaves, she only rescued about 70 people total. Which seems low, and people often feel underwhelmed at that number. Even though that's actually a massive number for smuggling easily identified fugitives through hostile territory.
But what Tubman actually did was build a bigger network. She became a fundraiser, and the semi-public face of the Underground Railroad. She interfaced with Frederick Douglas, and other Northern abolitionists. She helped build a network for escaped slaves to escape all the way to Ontario, due to fears of the Fugitive Slave Act forcing Northern states to capture and return freed slaves.
Harriet Tubman did not invent nor control the Underground Railroad. Indeed, it had been a decentralized organization for decades before her birth. But she did flush it with cash and recognition in the 1850s and she energized it to the point that Maryland and Virginia slaveholders were holding meetings about the spike in escaped slaves during that period.
The Underground Railroad is estimated to have freed roughly 100,000 slaves during this period. The margin for error for that is massive, as for obvious reasons records were not kept, but out of a population of roughly 4 million slaves, it was a statistically significant number of people freed.
People started referring to Tubman as "Moses" since she was instrumental in guiding people to a "promised land."
During this period, she met and became allies with John Brown. Brown immediately recognized her as an equal and started calling her "General Tubman," and Tubman immediately started working with him to provide funding and manpower support for his goals on the East Coast. Brown was already known for being a violent slaver-slaughtering insurgent during Bleeding Kansas (another fascinating and important part of history ignored by people in the modern day), and he was not really all that subtle about his reason for being on the East Coast being armed insurrection.
Over several years, Tubman and Brown worked together on the Harper's Ferry armory raid, Tubman soliciting funding from Northern abolitionists and looking for manpower. To put it into context, the Harper's Ferry US Army armory was one of the only two Federal armories in the United States, and one of the only two places the Federal government had the precise machining tools needed to produce firearms directly. Trying to take it and capture it and control it was ambitious, to put it mildly, and massively significant. A modern equivalent would be like trying to take Lockheed Martin's F-35 production line.
However, when the actual raid happened, Tubman was not present. It is unknown if she was never meant to be present, if she was ill and unable to make it, or if she elected not to show up due to her knowing exactly how many people were not coming. Regardless, to the end of her life, Tubman had nothing but praise and admiration for Brown, and she tried to name a building on her 1880s property after him, and undoubtedly would have named a child after Brown if she had been able to have children. Her nephew was also named John, and I highly suspect John Brown was the reason.
Directly before the war broke out, after Lincoln was elected and it became clear that the US federal military would not side with the south in the coming war, she traveled with General Benjamin Butler where he used federal troops to physically occupy Annapolis, Maryland and threatened to arrest any Maryland legislators who voted for secession. Butler is another fascinating historical figure, and pretty damn chaoticgood.
In 1861, the war broke out. Tubman continued to be informally attached to Butler's unit, until Massachusetts Governor John Andrew asked for her assistance in administrating Union occupied areas of South Carolina, and she moved to Port Royal (which is now, incidentally, the famous Parris Island Marine Corps boot camp).
In South Carolina, she worked with a good dozen Northern abolitionists who she had known before the war started, who were now all military leaders. When General David Hunter tried to raise an all black military unit comprised of freed slaves, Lincoln actually pushed back, at which case Tubman penned a scathing criticism of Lincoln that was published in Northern newspapers demanding that slaves be freed.
They soon were, and although Tubman probably can't be directly credited, Lincoln freed slaves for much the same reasons she penned out in her letter.
Before black people were allowed to make their own military unit, Tubman was put in charge of an off the record scouting/spy unit. Tubman was in charge of the budget, giving orders, reporting to superiors, and was treated as a military officer by the men around her. In addition, once freed slaves were allowed to form military units, Col Thomas Higginson with the 1st South Carolina Volunteers and Col James Montgomery of the 2nd South Carolina Volunteers started interfacing with Tubman and Tubman would be in operational control during some missions. These units were almost entirely composed of freed slaves, and the men of both white units and black units started calling Tubman "General Moses."
After Tubman devised and led several clandestine raids that freed more slaves, she was put in charge of the 2nd South Carolina Volunteers. Legally, James Montgomery was in charge, but in his private letters he confirms that General Moses was the true leader of the men. According to the men themselves, it was both, as Montgomery was also an ally of John Brown during Bleeding Kansas and was no stranger to leading freed slaves to slaughter slavers even prewar. The men of the 2nd Carolina loved both General Moses and Col Montgomery, but it should be noted that a general outranks a colonel.
In the raid of Combahee Ferry, Tubman personally directed Union gunboats past Confederate mines that her spy network had mapped the locations of, and then she landed on shore with a force of 150 men and raided three Southern plantations. These plantations were known as the "cradle of secession" and were owned and ran by dynastic old money Southern families who were well known and politically significant in the South.
More than 750 slaves were freed in this raid, with only one death of a slave due to a Confederate shooting her when she was fleeing.
The small Confederate contingent present was annihilated.
At one point in the battle, Confederate troops were firing on one of the ships, and they were destroyed by a full broadside of canons.
One source actually has Tubman's troops literally scalping and then killing any overseers they found, and it is true that zero prisoners were taken in this raid, partially because there was simply no space left after all of the freed slaves they were transporting to safety.
Tubman fought and led in battles as far south as Florida, including the Massachusetts's 54th assault on Fort Wagner (popularized by the movie Glory) and eventually was sent back to the North and hospitalized for sickness until the end of the war.
Unfortunately, after the war, because she was never actually legally in command or even paid by the US Army, her allies fought with Southern politicians for decades to get her paid or even a pension. She was eventually given a widow's pension as a compromise. During the war itself, she was only paid 200 dollars, equivalent to roughly 4 thousand dollars for four years of work in modern terms.
For the rest of her life, Tubman was plagued by money issues. Part of the reason for that is she immediately pivoted to women's suffrage, and even newspapers and allies friendly to black people didn't necessarily agree with her, and she lost some support and funding.
A white woman once interviewed her and asked if women deserved suffrage, as in the right to vote. Tubman replied with "I've suffered enough to believe it."
In 1897, she was invited to a speaking tour and a bunch of celebratory receptions to honor her life, but she was so poor and destitute she had to sell the cow on her upstate New York farm to afford the train tickets to make it.
Tubman's later life is difficult to watch because she basically was absolutely right on everything, and served the United States and humanity well, and basically was never rewarded. She never compromised on her beliefs even once her entire life. She died proud, surrounded by family, but also poor and in relative obscurity.

Background:
I am 33 yo Male. I've been told I have a 7-8mm overjet and a near 100% overbite, it's deep. I have narrow arches. I apparently have a recessed lower jaw, how severe I am unsure but that's primarily the reason of overbite I'm told. I do mouth breath/snore at times loudly I've been told. I used to smoke/vape weed habitually, but have stopped over the past year. I want to say my breathing has gotten better and snoring has improved. However, I'm not sure if it was that or due to my anatomy, or even both. Now, I've had braces before and the treatment obviously wasn't completed in my youth. Things have shifted all around after several years.
Dental Imaging:
https://imgchest.com/p/ne7bpbd8g45
https://imgchest.com/p/ne7bpbd8g45
Speech:
I have do have some trouble enunciating some words and always had. Words like "STRengthening" and "THRough". I would have to compensate by moving my lower jaw forward in attempt to get the words out right. Always made me self-conscious to do this. Sometimes, I'm just quiet because I fear I'm going to screw up my speech.
Bite:
My bite is off due to the position of the upper and lower teeth/jaw. I would have to move my lower jaw forward for example to bite an apple correctly. Due to that, I don't think I have a full strength front-bite I would've normally had if things were in their correct position. I've lived with it so long but I know it's compensation and always wondered how I would feel if I didn't have to do that.
Smile:
Finally, of course, my smile....I absolutely hate my smile. My goal would be correct the bite issues mentioned above, including widening my narrow arches a bit. If someone is sitting down and looking up at me I don't smile for fear they will see the huge overbite I have. I only smile if everyone is at eye level and I could adjust my jaw to mask my deep overbite. I strain to do this because it's an unnatural positioning of the jaw.
Consulting Orthodontist:
I am consulting with a orthodontist and after seeing several I finally found the right guy. He seems quite intelligent and confident in his knowledge/abilities. My orthodontist is not forcing me to do jaw surgery, but he did mention it as an option. He said my case would be quite the project. I told him I wanted Invisalign. He said with a combination of aligners, partial lower braces, and rubber bands and maybe TADs (if needed) he can reduce my overbite from near 100% to a 50%-40% overlap. He estimates my overjet could be reduced from 8mm down to 3mm-4mm.
My Questions for the Community:
Am I candidate for LJS? Would LJS benefit me? Could I only get away with LJS to remedy my issues? Would Invisalign/rubber bands/TADs be able to not only improve my bite but my speech issues as well?
Thank you all for reading, I really do appreciate honest, sincere insights.

Background:
I am 33 yo Male. I've been told I have a 7-8mm overjet and a near 100% overbite, it's deep. I have narrow arches. I apparently have a recessed lower jaw, how severe I am unsure but that's primarily the reason of overbite I'm told. I do mouth breath/snore at times loudly I've been told. I used to smoke/vape weed habitually, but have stopped over the past year. I want to say my breathing has gotten better and snoring has improved. However, I'm not sure if it was that or due to my anatomy, or even both. Now, I've had braces before and the treatment obviously wasn't completed in my youth. Things have shifted all around after several years.
Dental Imaging:
https://imgchest.com/p/ne7bpbd8g45
https://imgchest.com/p/ne7bpbd8g45
Speech:
I have do have some trouble enunciating some words and always had. Words like "STRengthening" and "THRough". I would have to compensate by moving my lower jaw forward in attempt to get the words out right. Always made me self-conscious to do this. Sometimes, I'm just quiet because I fear I'm going to screw up my speech.
Bite:
My bite is off due to the position of the upper and lower teeth/jaw. I would have to move my lower jaw forward for example to bite an apple correctly. Due to that, I don't think I have a full strength front-bite I would've normally had if things were in their correct position. I've lived with it so long but I know it's compensation and always wondered how I would feel if I didn't have to do that.
Smile:
Finally, of course, my smile....I absolutely hate my smile. My goal would be correct the bite issues mentioned above, including widening my narrow arches a bit. If someone is sitting down and looking up at me I don't smile for fear they will see the huge overbite I have. I only smile if everyone is at eye level and I could adjust my jaw to mask my deep overbite. I strain to do this because it's an unnatural positioning of the jaw.
Consulting Orthodontist:
I am consulting with a orthodontist and after seeing several I finally found the right guy. He seems quite intelligent and confident in his knowledge/abilities. My orthodontist is not forcing me to do jaw surgery, but he did mention it as an option. He said my case would be quite the project. I told him I wanted Invisalign. He said with a combination of aligners, partial lower braces, and rubber bands and maybe TADs (if needed) he can reduce my overbite from near 100% to a 50%-40% overlap. He estimates my overjet could be reduced from 8mm down to 3mm-4mm.
My Questions for the Community:
Am I candidate for LJS? Would LJS benefit me? Could I only get away with LJS to remedy my issues? Would Invisalign/rubber bands/TADs be able to not only improve my bite but my speech issues as well?
Thank you all for reading, I really do appreciate honest, sincere insights.

If recent events have you seriously considering finally moving to the country and starting a homestead/hobby farm, you probably have a lot of questions. And though learning self-sufficiency skills is key (and fun!), the most important place to start with is learning what type of land to look for. Our experts have you covered in 12 things to look for in a homesteading property.
Homesteading, also known as “hobby farming”, was gaining in popularity before the pandemic. However, once COVID hit and things started shutting down the homesteading movement went from a steady growth to an explosive one!
Suddenly, the ideal of achieving greater self-sufficiency, having more space and securing one’s freedom became a top priority for millions of families across the globe.
In the United States, this was evident by several published migration reports which showed people leaving cities in droves and heading (largely) for the Southeastern United States.
If you’re one of those people who has already relocated and is looking for rural land to start a hobby farm, or you’re considering relocating and becoming a homesteader, this article is for you!
Throughout the years, we’ve featured dozens of families who abandoned conventional urban or suburban life to take up homesteading in the country. We’ve also interviewed a variety of rural land experts on what it takes to find, purchase and develop raw land into the home of your dreams.
This article is a compilation of their real-life tips and advice on the best attributes of a homesteading/hobby farming property.
As you’re reading this, keep in mind that everyone’s vision and goals for their homestead are unique. As are your location, budget, timeline, family needs, lifestyle, etc. Thus, there is not one find-a-perfect-property-formula we can share. There are however, several common considerations that can benefit anyone in finding an ideal property to call their family homestead. We hope this article helps you find yours!
​

#1: The Right Amount of Acreage

If you think you need 50 or 100+ acres to set up a functional homestead, think again. Many hobby farmers set up homesteads on smaller acreage, between 1-10 acres vs. 10-100 acres. The right amount of acreage for you depends entirely on your goals, budget, and objectives.
In How Many Acres Do You Need for a Hobby Farm or Homestead, Ben Faulk of Sand Hill Farms, offered this advice to aspiring homesteaders: “If you were going to have a homestead with 1-2 horses, a family cow, and your gardens, I’d want 10 acres of pasture, 2 acres for produce, maybe a one-acre orchard and the rest of it would be buildings. So 15 acres could hold most of what you want to do.”
However, many homesteading families, including those who make a living off the land, prefer a smaller farm.
Bottom line: do some serious research before committing to a certain amount of acreage---you may need less (or more) than you think.
​
​

#2: A Mixture of Open Land and Forest

A mixture of pasture and wooded land gives you the ability to grow your own food, erect buildings, and raise animals in the open, while having access to shade and the benefits of timber for personal or financial gain.
However, if your budget is tight, inventory is low and/or location is a factor a fully wooded lot can be an excellent investment.
Forested land can often be purchased for less money than cleared land and then cleared to suit. This gives you the opportunity to custom-design your ideal mix of woods and open land while enhancing the value of your property and giving you a potential stream of future income in your timber.
​
​

#3: A Source of Water

Most rural properties require well installation, but it’s also wise to have a creek, river, pond, spring or lake on-site for homesteading purposes. Plus, if you’re interested in going off-grid or partially off-grid, a natural source of water for drinking, bathing, fishing, a spring house, electricity, etc. is a must.
Just be sure to check on any potential flooding/floodplain issues before purchase. This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t purchase a property with some flood plain or wetlands on it. It can actually be a benefit depending on what you want to do with your land. For example, elderberries can be grown on a flood plain and wetlands attract a variety of wildlife. Just make sure you have ample dry space to build your home, outbuildings, etc.
​

#4: Appropriate Site(s) for Your Home(s) and Outbuildings

The best location for your home and building sites should be discussed with a builder before you purchase the land. The reason being: the homesite you have in mind may or may not be feasible based on access, the amount of excavation required, well or septic requirements, flooding potential, proximity to trees or other factors relating to home design (barn, shed, cabin, etc.) off-grid capability, insurance, etc.
Bottom line: walk the property with a licensed contractor before you get dead-set on a piece of property and/or a homesite.
​
​

#5: The Right Location

As the old saying goes, you can change a lot of things about a home...just not it’s location. Thus, where you decide to buy should be heavily considered.
Some people love to be out in the middle of nowhere where they can do whatever they want with the land, homeschool their kids and be surrounded by untouched nature. Others will prefer to be within 20 minutes of a decent-sized town with a nice grocery store, movie theater, top-rated schools, homeschool coops, etc. And if you’re commuting to a job with the potential for traffic, you’ll definitely want to keep the length of that commute in mind.
The purpose of your land will also weigh into the equation, as some rural business ventures, such as retreats, hunting camps, etc. are better suited to very remote areas.
​
​

#6: Access to your property

Access isn’t typically a concern when purchasing a prebuilt home. However, when buying rural land you want to make sure you have rights to access that land easily. Ideally, you’d want a property with road frontage which may be private (meaning it’s up to you and/or your neighbors to maintain) or public/state maintained. If your land does not have road frontage, that could be a hindrance in getting a construction loan. Lack of access can also affect your building efforts since most homes and outbuildings require heavy equipment which must be trucked in on viable roads.
​
​

#7: Flexible Zoning

Rural properties typically have less zoning restrictions than urban or suburban land. But, the only way to know for sure is to check with the county. This is especially important for homesteaders who plan on keeping animals, erecting outbuildings, farming, or using the property for any type of unique purposes, including hunting and fishing. Your land agent can advise you on the best areas for zoning based on your land requirements.
​
​

#8: Clean soil

Soil is super important if you’re planning on growing or raising your own food and/or food for market. At the very least, you’ll want to ensure there is no soil contamination (or potential of) and you may wish to get a soil test to see what you’re working with. More often than not, poor soil can be amended to create a beautiful and fertile garden or farm. However, it’s best to test and not guess---especially if you’re planning on applying for organic certification, installing a pond or lake or suspect any type of contamination from previous owners or tenants.
​

#9: Covenants and Restrictions

One of the biggest perks of buying rural land is the freedom to do what you want with your property, without worrying about HOA rules.
However, many rural properties, especially those within rural neighborhoods, do have what are called Covenants, Conditions and Restrictions (also known as CCRs). These are established to help maintain the value of your land while keeping undesirable developments, like a junkyard or waste facility, away from your property.
CCRs are typically much more flexible than HOA rules as they’re designed to preserve landowner freedom while protecting land values.
​
​

#10: Internet and Cell Service

Yes, becoming a homesteader usually means you have a desire to spend less time on screens. However, most people will still require high speed internet access for working, entertainment, starting or maintaining a business, homeschooling, keeping up with your favorite homesteading podcasts and other communications.
You can inquire about this with your land agent and check with neighbors in the area.
Keep in mind that although high speed internet in the country has come a long way it’s not uncommon for rural places to have poor cell service. Fortunately, this is usually fixable by getting a cell phone signal booster, connecting your phone to your Wi-Fi and/or getting a landline. Or, if you’re into being off-grid, all this may be a benefit!
​
​

#11: Access To The Right Utilities

Raw land typically requires that electricity, water, propone and septic be installed.
The cost to run electricity to your homesite will vary depending on the land’s location, topography, local rates and how far from your road your homesite is. In some areas, power companies will run the first few hundred feet of line above ground for free and underground power typically costs extra (but may be worth it for esthetics and/or if you're in a storm-prone location). The only way to know for sure is to get an estimate from the power company before you buy the land and choose your homesite.
If you’re considering solar, wind power or going off-grid, you’ll also want to factor in the best location for your home and buildings based on orientation and weather patterns.
The cost to install a well also varies depending on the well’s location and depth requirements.
You’ll also need to get a percolation test to ensure your land is suitable for septic system installation. From there, the price will vary based on the size of your home, the number of bathrooms and bedrooms, your soil, the land’s topography, and the tank’s location. For example, if you plan on building near a creek or lake that can increase the price of your septic system by thousands of dollars.
Finally, if you’re interested in having a gas stove or fireplace, you’ll probably need to have a propane tank installed.
Click the links above for detailed articles on wind power, going off-grid, well and septic installation.
​
​

#12: A Supportive Community

Going from a city or suburban lifestyle to homesteading can be made much easier if you’re surrounded by a supportive community. The best way to get a feel for this is to spend time in the area. Attend local festivals, visit the farmer’s markets, check out the schools and/or homeschooling community, if you’re religious, attend some local churches, visit the Chamber of Commerce and scope out the overall homesteading scene.
Once you start actively looking for properties and find one you love, don’t be afraid to introduce yourself to the neighbors and ask some questions. Most people are happy to meet their potential new neighbors and will have valuable information and insight on the neighborhood and your property of interest. Plus, if you end up buying it you’ve already made a connection.
​
Article Source

Crossposting audience: This is the first subreddit with scientific research on economic abuse. Please follow to learn more about the dynamics and damage economic abuse does.
This piece isn’t directly on economic abuse, but it shows a very strong connection of how countries without pure analytical investment (weak bureaucracies) then experience corruption, and from the corruption, then experience little to no human rights due to the money going to the enforcement of human rights being pocketed and no enforcement actually happening. This piece paints a big picture of how places that do not invest but want conservation and human rights literally do not have the ability to see how investment is expensive and necessarily so; they fail to see the whole system.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/258826217_Cheap_and_Nasty_The_Potential_Perils_of_Using_Management_Costs_to_Identify_Global_Conservation_Priorities
Countries that keep their projected costs low often do not calculate all the factors correctly and so as a result suffer political instability. To supplement this, local support often makes up the slack but that is not a sustainable solution to core miscalculations. Moving management around hoping someone pays up is like moving symbols around in an equation hoping they will teach the person who is supposed to do the teaching.
Here we investigate such relationships and first show that countries with low predicted costs are less politically stable. Local support and capacity can mitigate the impacts of such instability, but we also found that these countries have less civil society involvement in conservation.
Low costs usually mean low quality in terms of government. It’s one thing to get a low quality product, it’s another thing to get a low quality government; it hegemonizes itself until all people are trapped, such as the normalization of human commodification over consumer agency.
governments in countries with low predicted costs score poorly on indices of corruption, bureaucratic quality and human rights.
Projects in low cost countries tend to have negative impacts on people because they pay corrupt officials who don’t even use it for what they were hired to use it for. Even high cost countries can collapse into low cost when it becomes clear they can’t handle their money ethically. Then they have to drive down their price to get any business. High value is a delicate balance, much like the ecosystems they are trying to preserve. It is a full circle.
projects in apparently low-cost countries are less likely to succeed and more likely to have negative impacts on people.
Biodiversity is the collateral damage of human’s inability to control themselves around money and fix broken calculations advertising themselves at a price they can’t handle to catch funders, never actually able to grow out of it and accept more funds. No growth, in fact even worse results, happens under this overpaid management.
Biodiversity is declining at a rapid rate [1] but there is little spatial overlap at a global level between conservation need and local funding availability.
Issues with ego and costs drowned out the intended beneficiary which was the conserved environment showing the damage doing business around corruption can do
This work revealed that variation in protected area management costs overwhelmed the effects of biodiversity and threat in determining global conservation priorities, largely because country-level costs ranged by seven orders of magnitude [24,25]
Developing countries may claim lower costs, but they can be very unstable, as seen on the trafficking paper which has huge and massive pockets of irrational behavior due to commodification taking precedence over agency about opportunity cost from rational actors.
Ideally, global conservation cost metrics should reflect the probability of long-term project success because: a) obstacles to implementation decrease the likelihood of attaining conservation objectives, and b) overcoming these obstacles will increase project costs. Many countries with low predicted costs are developing countries [28] where less stable socio-political environments might make conservation investments
risky. Foreign investors often avoid these countries due to their unreliable business environments [29–31], and the same factors that deter economic investments likely present challenges to conservation as well.
Local communities cannot be asked to do the work of governments, and when the government is corrupt and doesn’t bring the money back down to where it was supposed to go but just pads salaries, no investment is possible and ultimately these corrupt officials destroy their environment and the investability.
For example, civil society involvement and support are critical to conservation success [7,33]. When international agencies work in foreign countries but fail to engage local communities, they must rely on national governments to manage funds and implement projects. This reliance on governments can be problematic in countries where political institutions are weak, unstable, or corrupt, as projects will be vulnerable to changes in or failures of national governments or economies [34,35].
Low management costs are underestimations of what is required to effectively conserve ecosystems, given the nebulous and numerous factors involved in so doing. So those that attempt to be liberal while economically conservative see less effective and stable governments and less protection of human rights. Continuing to underestimate the costs seems to lead to an inability to detect the increasing negative costs to people across the board in the poorly managed area. The negative costs again create a cycle of corruption where only low prices will even create any interest, leading to a catch-22.
We hypothesize that countries with low predicted management costs also tend to have lower levels of civil society involvement in conservation, less effective and stable governments, and less protection of human rights. Support of these hypotheses would suggest that the management cost estimates most often used in global conservation prioritization are simplistic and neglect important factors that impact project implementation and outcomes. Therefore, achieving long-term conservation success in countries with low predicted costs, and avoiding unintended negative impacts on people, may be more difficult or more expensive than current cost models predict.
Conservation, quality of governance, and human rights then go hand in hand.
We separately examined the relationships between national- level modeled protected area management costs and each socio-political variable: civil society involvement in conservation (NGO membership, IUCN Organizations, and Agenda 21 Initiatives), quality of governance (bureaucratic effectiveness, control of corruption, and political stability), and human rights (Empowerment Rights Index)
Low-cost conservation almost all had less effective governments, whereas more expensive conservation predictions and costs had the most effective governments, showing not underestimating the commitment required is the sign of a strong government.
(N=184, Spearman ρ=0.6401, p<0.0001; Figure 3a): protected area management
costs in the ten least corrupt countries are 41 times higher than in the 10 most corrupt countries. Governments are also less effective in low-cost countries (N=184, Spearman ρ=0.6729, p<0.0001; Figure 3b): protected area management costs in the ten countries with the most effective governments are 56 times higher than in the ten with the least effective governments.
Low protected area management costs generally have poorer human rights records
countries with low protected area management costs generally have poorer human rights records, so that the seven countries sharing the highest Empowerment Rights Index score are 6.3 times more expensive than the seven countries sharing the lowest score.
The breakdowns in governments that refuse or fail to pay the costs required create tensions between local and government demands that then fail the actual intended beneficiary. Then both crash.
This instability is a recognized problem in conservation, where it is linked with breakdowns in local or national institutional support for projects, threats to project
management and enforcement staff, and biodiversity loss through the impacts of militias and refugees [56]. It is also a prevalent problem, as 81% of violent conflicts between 1950 and 2000 took place completely or partially within biodiversity hotspots [57].
Creating a culture of volunteering and local fundraising is absolutely required; the prevention of this is a really, really bad sign. Engaged civil society has a stronger triad (conservation, excellence of government, and human rights)
This lower involvement of civil society in countries with low predicted management costs highlights another problem with using these cost estimates as a metric for realized conservation costs: volunteering and local fundraising are likely to be higher in countries with an engaged civil society [3].
Misappropriation of conservation benefits leads to project failure when international fundraisers start losing interest in helping a place that already had a federal government that was too corrupt to actually invest already.
However, accounting for the quality of governance in addition to biodiversity and direct costs can change cost-effective investment priorities at a global scale [62], and a number of case studies have shown the impacts of corruption often involve more than an increase in direct costs. For example, the misappropriation of conservation benefits or exposure to rent-seeking officials often results in loss of local support and project failure [63,64].
Bureaucracies are effective when they are analytically rigorous; when things are clearly spelled out, the understanding of the why of the bureaucracy is disseminated throughout the organization. It is ones that do not have disseminated comprehension that are the notorious Kafkaesque nightmares. However, this cannot be asked for in cultures that do not prioritize or even demonize analyticity. Ironically this causes underestimation of costs which leads to a “hemorrhaging” cycle of economic collapse.
We found that countries with low predicted costs score poorly on bureaucratic effectiveness measures (Figure 3b). This is a critical result, given that a wide range of conservation initiatives rely on effective bureaucratic systems for implementation.
Governments that have poor human rights records are more likely to negatively impact people trying to implement what they think they can implement but end up damaging people in so doing because they have not removed core issues in their implementation that stem from the fact they were even capable of human rights abuses. These can actually transition from moral failures to logistical failures as human rights crimes are littered with poor logic.
conservation policy [70]. This is why our final result (Figure 4) –that low-cost countries also have the worst human rights records – is particularly troubling. The implications of this finding are obvious: relying on governments with poor human rights records to achieve action on the ground is more likely to negatively impact people.
Low-cost countries have conservation projects that don’t conserve anything, feed corruption, cause international interests to act as foster parents, and then finally for the entire system, local and federal to collapse, doing nothing for the conserved area at all even though that was the whole point.
Projects in apparently low-cost countries could be less likely to succeed, more expensive to implement than originally expected, and more likely to have negative impacts on local people.
Over time after seeing this, people just completely give up on trying to help the offending country. Russia is a strong case of this.
Some donors already implicitly recognize the importance of accounting for implementation factors when directing funds, by avoiding difficult countries or working where they have historically built long-term collaborations and already have local support [71]

I wrote this in response to a redditor who seemed confused about how the body uses energy and macronutrients. Responses to this comment have been positive, so I thought it might help others if it didn't sink with that other post.
I'm going to start with a basic explanation of the relationship between calories, protein, fat, and carbohydrate; then, I'll tell you how to estimate how many calories you need and how many grams of each macro. I'll wrap it up with a metaphor for how to think about macros and weight control.
Each macronutrient contributes to the total number of calories you eat throughout the day. Protein has four calories per gram, carbohydrate has four calories per gram, and fat has nine calories per gram. As an aside, alcohol has seven calories per gram, and fiber averages about two calories per gram after it's been partially digested by the bacteria in your gut. You'll sometimes see that some people subtract fiber from total carbohydrate to get "net carbs." This isn't exactly correct, because it's assuming that fiber has no caloric load; but it's not ultimately going to make that big of a difference, because very few people are going to eat more than forty or fifty grams of fiber in a day at most.
As for determining how much of any nutrient you need, we can base it off of your weight (or goal weight, if you're especially overweight) and your height. You can estimate your total caloric need by simply taking your height in centimeters and multiplying by ten. This will give you a good starting point for a diet. Track your weight everyday, under the same conditions (i.e. after waking, before eating or drinking, and after going to the bathroom, ideally with little or no clothing). Take the average of your weight for one week and again for the second week and compare: did you lose weight, gain weight, or stay the same? Depending on the answer, adjust calories to meet your goal.
The amount of protein you need can vary based on whether or not your doing strength training or other intense athletics, but even for sedentary dieters, it's not a bad idea to get about 0.8 grams of protein per pound of bodyweight per day (use your target bodyweight if your overweight). Similarly, try to get about 0.5 grams of fat per pound of bodyweight per day (again, use target bodyweight if needed). Subtract four calories from your daily total for every gram of protein and nine calories for every gram of fat; whatever is left over can be filled with carbs or any mix of macros that suit your tastes. That said, if you have an active lifestyle, you should try to consume those remaining calories as carbohydrate as much as possible. Lastly, try to get 25-40 grams of fiber per day.
A good way to imagine how your body uses these calories is to imagine a bucket. This bucket represents the total amount of calories you can eat in a day without gaining weight. You're going to fill it throughout the day with carbs, fats, and protein; and any that overflows from the bucket is going to be stored as fat. In theory, you could eat nothing but one macronutrient, whether carbs, fat, or protein, and if it overflows the bucket, the extra gets stored in your fat tissue.
Here's where it gets a little tricky. Your body prefers to use carbs for fuel first and store fat as fat, because it doesn't require any conversion. Protein, on the other hand, is costly to convert, so that only gets converted as a last resort.
Now imagine you eat a normally varied diet of some mixture of carbs, fats, and protein. When it goes into the bucket, the protein sinks to the bottom, the carbs sit on top of that, and the fats float on top. If you overeat, the fats overflow first (i.e. get stored as fat). If you continue to overeat, the carbs overflow next. If you continue to overeat, the protein is the last thing to overflow.
Likewise, if you ate nothing but one kind of macronutrient, you'd still have to overflow the bucket to gain weight, which you could do with protein, carbs, or fat. The difference is that it would be most difficult to do with protein because it's so filling.
I hope this makes sense.
P.S. Someone asked whether "per pound" was a typo. The following is my response:

That was not a typo.
The per pound recommendation is the lower recommendation in the context of strength training. The per kilogram recommendation is for sedentary people.
That said, even if a person is sedentary, I recommend the higher intake, especially for people trying to lose weight, because it will satisfy your hunger for longer periods of time. Additionally, when you’re dieting, you will lose some amount of muscle mass, and a higher protein intake limits that loss somewhat. The more muscle you have, the more calories you burn; therefore, for the purpose of weight control, maintaining muscle mass is beneficial.

In August 1891, William T. Lynn, a fellow of the Royal Astronomical Society and member of the British Astronomical Association, wrote a letter to the editors of the Observatory (a journal devoted to astronomy) concerning Assyrian eclipses. In his letter, he related the following:
"But two, if not three, eclipses (of the Sun) do really appear to be recorded in the Assyrian inscriptions. The first of these occurred in B.C. 763 on the 15th of June, and was total in or near Nineveh. There appears no reason to doubt that it is mentioned in the Assyrian so-called 'Eponym Canon,' which was interpreted by Sir Henry Rawlinson in 1862, from the fragments of terra-cotta tablets brought over by Sir A. H. Layard and placed in the British Museum. The inscription in question states (as kindly translated for me by Mr. T. G. Pinches, of the British Museum) that in the "Eponymy of Bur-sagale, governor of Gozan, a revolt in Ashur (the city) took place in the month Sivan and the Sun was eclipsed." This, according to the Canon, was in the eighth year of the reign of Assur-day-an, and the record must be allowed to fix subsequent dates in the Canon with great precision. For although Oppert, by assuming a lacuna of 46 years in it, endeavored to identify the eclipse with the annular one of June 13th, B.C. 809, there seems little ground for this or doubt that the view of George Smith is correct, and the eclipse the total one of June 15th, B.C. 763."
Assigning the solar eclipse in the Eponymy of Bur-sagale to the year 763 B.C.E. established the anchor date for the chronology of the Neo-Assyrian period. Lynn stated the eclipse was then fixed to the eighth year; however, it appears in the canon published by Smith in the ninth year - perhaps a lapse in memory. Professor Julius Oppert maintained that there was a break in the canon because he recognized a conflict with the Biblical records and concluded that the eclipse of 809 B.C.E. was the correct one. That Oppert held this opinion, of 46 missing years, is also confirmed by George Smith on page 75 in his book, "The Assyrian Eponym Canon," which he published 16 years before Lynn wrote his letter to the editors of the Observatory.
Moreover, neither Smith nor Lynn were willing to accept Oppert's opinion that 46 years were missing from the canon. Trying to add back 46 years in a single place in the canon was more than they were willing to attempt. Nevertheless, when the Biblical chronology is aligned to the accepted chronology (using 539 B.C.E.), 46 years are missing from the Assyrian and Babylonian periods, but certainly not in one place. Within the cannon, only 15 years are missing between the reigns of Ashur-nerari V and Tiglath-Pileser III. An additional ten years are missing in the post-canonical period from the reign of Ashurbanipal after the reign of Samas-suma-ukin and before the reign of Kandalanu, during which time Ashurbanipal ruled over Babylon. Another 21 years are missing from the Neo-Babylonian period, after the death of Labashi-Marduk and before the reign of Nabonidus, during which time Belshazzer exercised military control without being officially acknowledged as king. These are the 46 missing years, but not the 46 missing years Oppert thought should have been added back into the canon in one place (for more specific information, see the articles "Interregnum" and "Eponymen").
Therefore, the eclipse of June 13th, 809 B.C.E., is the one that occurred in the Eponymy of Bur-sagale. Oppert was correct but unable to understand where the chronological errors actually were, and Lynn and Smith were right to reject Oppert's opinion, but only because he proposed to add back 46 years in a single place in the canon. Nevertheless, the anchor date of June 15th, 763 B.C.E., for the Neo-Assyrian empire is wrong. Additionally, a lunar eclipse occurred in the eponym of Mutakkil-Marduk (Waterman Vol. 2, 1930:483, Letter 1406) on October 21, 844 B.C.E., 35 years prior to the solar eclipse in the eponym of Bur-Sagale.
Lynn's second reference to an Assyrian eclipse is also recorded in his letter and reads as follows:
"An eclipse is also mentioned in an Assyrian tablet in the British museum, which would seem to have occurred in the reign of Esar-haddon. Mr. Pinches thus translates the portion referring to the eclipse: - 'Since the king my Lord went to Egypt, an eclipse has taken place in the month of Tammuz [corresponding nearly to our own June]. . . . . . When I brought the account of the eclipse of the month Tammuz, I sent it away to the presence of the king.' It is very difficult to identify this eclipse with any resulting from calculation; the only conjecture I can make is that it may have been one which occurred on the 27th of May, B.C. 699, and was annular in India."
The only eclipse that matches the biblical chronology occurred on 8/6/-699 (700 B.C.E.), which was in Esarhaddon's twelfth year. According to the Esarhaddon Chronicle, which states, "The twelfth year: The king of Assyria marched to Egypt but became ill on the way and died on the tenth day of the month of Arahsamna." According to the report, the eclipse occurred in the month of Tammuz (June/July), which would have been after Esarhaddon marched toward Egypt but before he became ill and died on the tenth day of Arahsamna (OctobeNovember). Thus, Esarhaddon died shortly after the eclipse took place.
The accepted chronology assigns Esarhaddon's reign to the years 681-669 B.C.E., which includes his ascension year. In considering Lynn's second eclipse and searching through all the years of Esarhaddon's reign (according to the accepted chronology), the annular eclipse (seen as partial at Nineveh) of 6/17/-678 (679 B.C.E.) would be a candidate, except the eclipse occurs in the second year of his reign, which was five years before his first campaign to Egypt.
Esarhaddon's campaign against Arzâ, located at what is termed the "brook of Egypt," does not imply he campaigned in Egypt in his second year, because Arzâ was a separate city-state kingdom located at the southernmost end of Canaan and not in Egypt (see "The Brook of Egypt and Assyrian Policy on the Border of Egypt," Nadav Na'aman).
Lynn's suggestion for the second eclipse (that of the "27th of May, B.C. 699") must be a mistake for the 27th of May, B.C. 669 because there was no eclipse on the date he provided, in addition to it being displaced 30 years from the last year of Esarhaddon's reign. Nevertheless, the final part of the eclipse of 5/27/-668 (669 B.C.E.) was only visible above the horizon for 15 minutes and was over before reaching three degrees above the horizon. With the mountains partially obstructing the view and the sun being eclipsed only for a small fraction of its diameter at the bottom, it is unlikely to have been visible. Perhaps this was part of the reason Lynn stated, "It is very difficult to identify this eclipse with any resulting from calculation."
At this point, the only other option available for the advocates of the accepted chronology would be to look at the reign of another king who went to Egypt during an eclipse in the month of Tammuz. Ashurbanipal is the only alternative. His reign, according to the biblical chronology, is significantly different from that of the accepted chronology.
Ashurbanipal ruled Assyria from 699-652 B.C.E., with his first regnal year in 669 B.C.E., which is 48 years. The reason for the ten-year difference between the biblical chronology and the accepted chronology is because of the additional ten years (twelve total) he ruled Babylon after the reign of Samas-suma-ukin and before the reign of Kandalanu. Edwin Thiele created a coregency between Hezekiah and Manasseh in an attempt to synchronize the biblical chronology with the accepted chronology because he didn't know Asshurbanipal ruled Babylon for the ten additional years after he defeated Samas-suma-ukin.
The accepted chronology assigns Ashurbanipal's reign to the years 669-631 B.C.E., for a total of 38 years. Concerning the later part of his reign, Wikipedia makes the following statement:
"The end of Ashurbanipal's reign and the beginning of the reign of his son and successor, Ashur-etil-ilani, is shrouded in mystery on account of a lack of available sources."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashurbanipal
Additionally, it must be pointed out that there is a dispute concerning the reign of Ashurbanipal over whether he reigned for longer than 38 years. Wikipedia has concluded that Ashurbanipal's reign could not have exceeded 38 years.
"Inscriptions by Ashur-etil-ilani suggest that his father died a natural death, but do not shed light on when or how this happened. Though his final year is often erroneously given as 627 or even 626, this follows an estimate from an inscription written nearly a century later at Harran by Adad-guppi, the mother of the Neo-Babylonian king Nabonidus (r. 556–539). The final contemporary evidence for Ashurbanipal being alive and reigning as king is a contract from Nippur made in 631. If Ashurbanipal's reign had ended in 627 the inscriptions of his successors Ashur-etil-ilani and Sinsharishkun in Babylon (covering several years) would have been impossible, given that the city was seized by Nabopolassar in 626 and never again fell into Assyrian hands."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashurbanipal
However, the Biblical chronology demonstrates that ten years are missing from the post-canonical period, which reveals that Ashurbanipal ruled Babylon for ten additional years and reigned for 48 years. Because the proponents of the accepted chronology have not considered the Biblical chronology, they are divided among themselves with insuperable difficulties.
According to the accepted chronology, Ashurbanipal secured Egypt by 663 B.C.E., which was in the early part of his reign. He put down the rebellion that began in the last years of Esarhaddon. However, during Ashurbanipal's campaigns in Egypt, there was only one partial eclipse, which was visible at Niniveh on 8/27/-663 (664 B.C.E.), but it occurred in month six (Elul), where the criteria requires month four (Tammuz). The scribe did not provide the day of the month. The best case would place the eclipse 42 days late (relative to the months), and the worst case would be 72 days late, which would be difficult to account for. The eclipse of 8/6/-699 (700 B.C.E.), which agrees with the Biblical chronology for the last year of the reign of Esarhaddon, is only 21 days late in the best case, 51 days late in the worst case, and off nominal (the middle of the month) by 36 days, whereas the eclipse considered for the reign of Ashurbanipal is 57 days off nominal.
It is prudent to keep in mind that looking for an eclipse too far from the actual month stated in the report and attempting to justify it by assuming excess or missed intercalations beyond what is within reason will only increase the probability that the eclipse is the wrong one.
There are no other eclipses that merit consideration while Ashurbanipal campaigned in Egypt. Therefore, only the eclipse of 8/6/-699 (700 B.C.E.), which occurs in the twelveth year of Esarhaddon's reign (according to the biblical chronology), meets the required criteria with the least amount of difficulty, but only so long as the solution is sought within the reign of Esarhaddon.
In consideration of Lynn's statement regarding the eclipse, "which would seem to have occurred in the reign of Esar-haddon," and assuming that the reported eclipse is not firmly fixed to his reign, Ashurbanipal, unlike Esarhaddon, would have occasion to go to Egypt without prosecuting a military campaign. After Ashurbanipal regained control of Egypt, he installed Psammetichus as king and entered into a treaty with him. The eclipse of 6/17/-678 (679 B.C.E.), which took place in Ashurbanipal's 21st year (according to the Biblical chronology), occurred in the first year of his reign in Babylon after he defeated Samas-suma-ukin. This eclipse meets the required criteria, and, under the circumstances, the purpose of his visit could have been to reaffirm the terms of the treaty. The date of the eclipse falls almost exactly in the middle of the month of Tammuz, which is much closer than the eclipse on 8/6/-699 (700 B.C.E.) for the twelveth year of Esarhaddon. For this reason, and assuming the circumstances of the report do not require it to be placed in the reign of Esarhaddon, assigning the eclipse in the report to 6/17/-678 (679 B.C.E.) in the 21st year of Ashurbanipal is preferable because it falls within the middle of the month Tammuz and aligns with the political circumstances associated with the king going to Egypt.
Nevertheless, the report cannot be simultaneously associated with the reigns of both kings. Until there is evidence that the report is limited to the reign of Esarhaddon, the eclipse in the reign of Ashurbanipal is to be preferred. However, it is possible for the proponents of the accepted chronology to choose from several eclipses in the reign of Ashurbanipal (according to the accepted chronology) that would meet the criteria in the report. The eclipses on 6/27/-660 (661 B.C.E.) and 6/7/-650 (651 B.C.E.) are both options.
Lynn's third reference to an Assyrian solar eclipse involved some degree of controversy but was accepted as a valid eclipse after he made an inquiry to Theophilus Pinches, a member of the staff at the British Museum, who confirmed that the text did in fact describe an eclipse. Lynn related this information, in addition to other details, to the editors of the Observatory in his letter, which contained the following statement:
"The immediate successor of Esarhaddon was Asshur-bani-pal. An inscription made in his reign was interpreted by. Fox Talbot (see the Transactions of the Society of Biblical Archeology, vol. i. pp. 13 and 348) to record the occurrence of an eclipse of the Sun, which, at the suggestion of Oppert, was supposed to have been that of the 27th of June, B.C. 661. The inscription, as translated by Talbot, states that it took place whilst the king of Elam was preparing an attack upon Assyria, and that 'for three days the evening Sun was darkened as on that day.' No eclipse of course could produce such an effect as this; but he suggests that 'it is not impossible that, in a very ignorant age, the report of such a wonder having happened in Susiana should be believed in Assyria, at the distance of many hundred miles, and have been chronicled by a superstitious scribe.' Revising, however, a record by a conjectural process of this kind is always a hazardous proceeding, and on reading it I felt doubtful whether an eclipse was really referred to in the inscription. But Mr. Pinches has kindly examined it again, and considers that the eclipse and the three days' darkness at evening are distinct occurrences, forebodings of evil to the king of Elam. He, thus, in fact translates the passage: - 'Te-umman devised evil, and Sin [the moon god] devised against him forebodings of evil. In Tammuz an eclipse at evening - he troubled the lord of light and the setting sun thus also for three days was troubled - it went forth for the end of the reign of the [king] of Elam. This [omen] was the announcement of his [i. e. the god's] decision, which changeth not.' Upon the whole, therefore, we may fairly conclude that the eclipse of June 27, B.C. 661, is really alluded to in this inscription."
Oppert was correct in identifying the eclipse of 6/27/-660 (661 B.C.E.), although he couldn't place it in the 39th year of Ashurbanipal without knowledge of the ten missing years (after the reign of Samas-suma-ukin) and the 21 missing years during the neo-Babylonian period (after the death of Labashi-Marduk).

Hello,
I have had autoimmune encephalitis for three years, and after 8 neurologists have been recently diagnosed. Quite a while ago I received corticosteroids, which helped tremendously. Brought me out of psychosis, but I still had terrible symptoms.
Five months ago I started cellcept, and that has helped as well- albeit only partially.
I am starting cytoxan. My neurologist wants to do a three month trial of cytoxan before committing to a full six month course with infusions monthly totaling 9g of cytoxan for the full six months. 4.5g for the first three.
I am wondering if anyone who has been on cytoxan can give me any estimate on how long it took for them to see improvement.
Best,
Eric