Chewing an op 80
Cook Something New
2011.11.20 22:27 h3ather Cook Something New
Each week, we give you an ingredient, technique, cuisine, or inspiration. Each week, you cook a dish in that theme and share the results. Each week, your culinary repertoire gets a little bigger.
2020.05.13 21:32 Liggliluff USdefaultism
When someone communicates to the world, but only considers the US and doesn't consider the different nuances around the world; or is treating the US as the default and the only region to cater to in an international setting; or assumes everyone and everything is from the US unless otherwise stated. Official Discord server: https://discord.gg/BcczCtAxgw.
2014.04.02 21:10 Aegisfate117 FFXIVGlamours
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2024.05.13 23:28 AlfrescoDog The Great Wall and Wall Street: Become a Better Trader by Understanding the Perils of šØš³ Chinese Companies on šŗšø U.S. Exchanges
| ā ļø Attention all traders and holders of Chinese stocks: You should read this if you donāt know what a VIE is. Sure, most of you will be repelled by the great wall of text here (so many words!), but you might want to keep this post nearby. Hello. You are aware that Wall Streetās bustling bazaar hosts a veritable Forbidden City of Chinese companies draped in ticker tape rather than silk. Today, I will provide background and data on all allowed Chinese companies listed on three of the largest U.S. stock exchanges: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nasdaq, and NYSE American. I should note that a bustling troupe of 26 national securities exchanges are registered with the SEC in the United States. Most are owned by the Nasdaq, NYSE, or the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Nonetheless, based on data from the World Federation of Exchanges as of August 2023, the NYSE and Nasdaq were the top two exchanges behemoths of the global financial stage, accounting for 42.4% of the total $110.2 trillion in valuation traded across 80 major global exchanges. š¼ļø I had a photo of Wall Street to add here, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. 2022 vs. 2023 According to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, as of January 8, 2024, there were 265 Chinese companies listed on the three U.S. exchanges, with a total market capitalization of $848 billion. That valuation is down from a year priorāJanuary 9, 2023āwhen a slightly lower 252 Chinese companies were tracked, but they represented a total market capitalization of $1.03 trillion. Since January 2023, 24 Chinese companies have entered the spotlight of the three U.S. exchanges, raising $656 million in combined initial public offerings (IPOs). On the other hand, eleven Chinese companies have folded their tents and delisted. China Securities Regulatory Commission The American stock exchanges witnessed a springtime bloom of Chinese IPOs in the first quarter of 2023. However, this listing activity came to an abrupt halt as the clock struck March 31, 2023. Why? The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) implemented a revised approval process for companies going public overseas. I wonāt get into the details, but China has rules to cap foreign investment and ownership in sectors deemed strategic, such as technology. In the past, those regulations have driven several Chinese firms to the legal gymnastics of a Variable Interest Entity (VIE) structureāa clever contrivance that allowed them to leapfrog domestic constraints. However, under the revised review mechanism, every company, regardless of its corporate ownership structure, must now bow before the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) to register its intent to list overseas. š¼ļø I had a photo of the CSRC building to add here, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. The gatekeeper Therefore, although the CSRC touted this regulation as a necessary measure for enforcing regulatory compliance and preventing fraud (which is true), it also helps regulators act as gatekeepers poised to block any proposed listing they deem poses a risk to their national security or jeopardizes China's national interests. This process is wide-ranging. For instance, it includes an evaluation of the companyās safeguards against disclosing what the Chinese Communist Party considers potential state secrets. But weāre not talking about top-secret black-ops projects meant to be hidden from international oversight committees. Noā¦ any company that collects personal information on more than one million users requires stern data security review mechanisms for its cross-border data flows. For perspective, TikTok has over 150 million users in the U.S. alone and is not subject to the same scrutiny from the Western nations. Currently, the CSRC approval process is reportedly taking upward of six months. Audit inspections and investigations in China Youāre probably unaware of the HFCAA, so letās start there. The Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act of 2020 (HFCAA) is a law that requires companies publicly listed on stock exchanges in the U.S. to disclose to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) information on foreign jurisdictions that prevent the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) from conducting inspections. That law laid down a stern ultimatum: If Chinese authorities kept obstructing the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) from inspecting audit firms in China or Hong Kong for three consecutive years, the companies audited by these entities would face a ban from the bustling arenas of the U.S. exchanges. Basically, either China allowed the PCAOB to inspect the audit firms, or the companies had to change to another auditing firm within three years. Then, as 2022 waned to its final days (literally, on December 29), President Joe Biden signed a Consolidated Appropriations Act, which contained a provision that will tighten the noose, shortening future timelines from three consecutive years to only two. Once they looked under the rock Finally allowed to conduct full investigations of audit firms in mainland China and Hong Kong after over a decade of obstruction, the PCAOB announced the findings of its first round of inspections in May 2023, identifying deficiencies in seven of eight audits conducted by the auditing firms KPMG Huazhen and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) Hong Kong. Audits of Chinese Companies Are Highly Deficient, U.S. Regulator Says On November 30, 2023, the PCAOB announced fines against three audit firms in China, totaling $7.9 million for misconduct. For perspective, that number included the second and third-largest fines ever doled out by the PCAOB. Why were the fines so bad? Those sneaky Chinese accountants Imagine a gaggle of accountants in the far reaches of PwC China and Hong Kong applying for a U.S. auditing curriculum. But alas, these foreign accountants find the U.S. auditing training tests a trifle tedious, so someone came up with the answers and decided to pass them around like a secret note in a schoolroom. From 2018 to 2020, over 1,000 of these busy bees completed their U.S. auditing online exams by copying the answers from two unauthorized apps with a fervor that would make a gossip columnist blush. When confronted with the evidence, PwC China and PwC Hong Kong response: š¤·āāļø And let me remind you, this happened late last year. Both firms are expected to provide reasonable assurance that their personnel will act with integrity in connection with internal training and to report their compliance to the PCAOB within 150 daysāApril 2024. š¼ļø I was planning on using an AI-generated image of Chinese accountants cheating, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. State-owned enterprises According to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, this graph represents the total market capitalization of Chinese companies listed in the three U.S. exchanges. Market Capitalization of Listed Chinese Companies The number of listed companies has stayed at around 260. However, all Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have delisted themselves from U.S. exchanges, most of them soon after the PCAOB announced it had secured complete access to Chinese auditorsā records. Variable Interest Entities (VIEs) Most tradersāand that means youāare unaware that 166 Chinese companies currently listed on the three major U.S. exchanges use a VIE structure. As of January 8, 2024, these companies have a market capitalization of $772 billion. For perspective, that represents 91% of the total market capitalization of all the Chinese firms listed on the three major U.S. exchanges. What the hell is a VIE? It is a complex corporate structure that grants shareholders contractual claims to control via an offshore shell company without transferring actual ownership in the company. A Variable Interest Entity (VIE) is a bit like a riverboat casinoās cleverest trick, allowing a company to sell its chips on a foreign table without ever letting the players hold the cards directly. A VIE is a structure used primarily by companies that wish to partake in the financial streams of another country (the U.S. exchanges) without breaking local laws (Chinese laws) that prevent full ownership. Remember, Chinese companies structured themselves as VIEs to circumvent Chinaās restrictionsānot U.S. restrictionsāon foreign ownership in industries the CCP deems sensitive. Therefore, when you hold stock in one of these Chinese companies, youāre not officially holding any actual ownership in the company. Because if you did, then that company could be breaking Chinese restrictive caps on foreign investment and ownership. Thatās why they set up a faƧade, or a legal entity, that controls the business on paper, but the true power and profits are funneled back to the company pulling the strings. Granted, itās not as shaky as asking a random stranger to hold your shares, but it is crafty, and you should be aware of the risks. Wait. What are the risks? You need to understand that thereās a shadow of potential risk looming. Potential. Now, don't mistake me for the town crier of doom; I'm not proclaiming that the sky is falling on these shares. Nor am I declaring that disaster is certain for Chinese stocks. What I am pointing out, however, is the presence of a riskāa subtle beast that might just catch you off guard if you remain unaware. And letās face it: Most of you are completely oblivious to these issues. There are two sides here: šŗšø & šØš³ šŗšø Since July 2021, the SEC has imposed additional disclosure requirements for Chinese companies using a VIE to sell shares in the U.S. These requirements include greater transparency about the relationship between the VIE and its Chinese operating companies. In summary, the SEC aims to push VIEs toward the company behind them to offer more clarity on U.S. investor ownership in the Chinese operating company. šØš³ On the other side, Chinese companies that list overseas using a VIE were not required to register their listings with the CSRC, as the VIE is not considered a Chinese company under Chinaās law. This is the reason VIEs were used in the first place. However, as I mentioned earlier, after March 31, 2023, the CSRC established requirements for all new Chinese companies to register and receive permission before going public overseasāeven those planning to use VIE structures. Thatās why there was a boom of Chinese IPOs before that deadline. Granted, on September 14, 2023, a Chinese auto insurance platform became the first company that received the elusive blessing of the CSRC to list, and it did so using a VIE arrangement, breaking the long, dry spell that had plagued Chinese IPOs when she listed on the Nasdaq four days later. However, even though VIEs received some sort of recognition from the CSRC, the VIE corporate structures still hold dubious legal status under Chinaās laws. Remember, VIEs purpose is to avoid being considered a Chinese company under Chinaās laws. Soā¦ do you see the potential risk here? Ummā¦ No, I donāt get it. Think about it. Either country could potentially increase regulations for VIEs, but if the SEC forces them to be more transparent, the VIE would not be able to circumvent Chinaās restrictions. Thatās one risk. Also, at some point, Chinaās CSRC might question whether itās appropriate to recognize a corporate structure that was created to circumvent its laws. Which leads me to this: Whatās keeping the CCP from deciding to start reigning in those VIEs? The answer is simple: Theyāre not in a hurry to do so because if misfortune should befall, itāll be the foreign investors whoāll see their assets deflated like a punctured balloon. š¼ļø I would've added a nice image or two by now, to balance all the text and make this more appealing, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. If a VIE-listed company goes private at a lower valuation, businesses fail, or thereās a valuation discrepancy, the enforceability of a VIEās contractual arrangements is unproven in Chinese courts. With VIE-listed companies, foreign investorsā recourse in the Chinese legal system is as elusive as a catfishās whisper. Yeah, but thatās unlikelyā¦ Sure. Of course, Iām not saying every Chinese stock will have these issues. But it can happen. And it has happened. The unlucky case of Luckin Coffee Due to the lack of compliance with international audit inspections, Chinese corporate financial statementsā reliability for valuation and investment is not assured. Such is the case of Luckin Coffee. In a bold bid to capture Wall Streetās hearts and wallets, Luckin Coffee showed up dressed in finery, flaunting alluring figures of revenue, operations, and bustling customer traffic. At her grand debut, the stock sashayed onto the Nasdaq at $17, swirling up a storm of interested buyers to the tune of $561 million in capital. For a fleeting moment, Luckin shimmered like a star over the financial firmament, boasting a market capitalization that soared to a heady $12 billion, with shares peaking just over $50. Ah, but as the adage goes, āTruth will out.ā And out it cameāthe revelation of those embroidered numbers caused the company's stock to plummet like a stone tossed from a bridge, leaving a wake of investor losses and culminating in a disgraceful delisting from Nasdaq 13 months after her debut. Luckin Coffee Drops Nasdaq Appeal; Shares to Be Delisted š¼ļø I would've added an AI-generated image of a cup of Luckin Coffee jumping from a bridge, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. Wellā¦ but that wonāt happen to meā¦ Uh-huh. On April 2, 2020, after announcing that employeesāincluding its chief operating officerāfalsified 2.2 billion yuan (about $310 million) in sales throughout 2019, Luckin's shares nosedived -80%. This is from one of you unluckin bastards: I've lost 240k on Luckin Coffee, all my life savings. Now I'm broke af. Iām sure many of you might reckon yourselves immune to a similar debacle since you think youāre smart enough to use stops to escape any runaway losses. It's time to wake up and smell the Luckin coffee. Chinese news catalysts often strike like lightning at night, and the stops you set under the sun cannot shield you from storms that explode in the moonlight. Dumbass. Chinese regulators can be mercurial Even though the PCAOB is currently able to perform its oversight responsibilities, concerns remain around the possibility that Chinese regulators might backtrack, potentially clamping down once again on the PCAOB's ability to access audit firms and personnel across mainland China and Hong Kong. If that happens, the PCAOB can quickly declare a negative determination. HOWEVER, this action would only start the countdown under the HFCAA, giving U.S.-listed Chinese companies a window of TWO years to secure services from an auditor in a compliant jurisdiction or face a trading ban. Thatās it. Of course, within that time, Chinese regulators could agree once again to allow access to the PCAOB, thus resetting the two-year countdown without significant consequences. What lurks in the shadows Although the risk of PCAOB non-compliance looms over these financial engagements, it is the ghost of potentially misconstruedāor, let's say, creatively presentedāearnings reports coming to light that should scare you most. Or, on the flip side, present the biggest opportunity. I believe it is possible that there are several ghosts out thereāghastly financial figures dressed up a tad too finelyālingering in the shadows, unchecked and unchallenged. If theyāre found and unveiled under the harsh spotlight of scrutiny, the fallout would be immediate and severe, leaving investors scrambling. And if that happens, itās not about diamond-holding through the plunge since the company might opt (or be forced) to delist from the U.S. exchanges. š¼ļø I would've added an AI-generated image of an attractive young Chinese ghost woman, implying both the allure of Chinese stocks, but also the risk of getting closer. However, I'm only allowed to include one attachment. You need to understand a crucial concept. Many traders believe that if a company messes up, plunges, and gets delisted, it means the company is basically overādead. But thatās not the case here. A delisting does not equal death. I mean, Luckin Coffee is still out there, alive and kicking. 16,218 stores and counting, covering 240+ cities across China. You would think that a company like that would not be able to cheat on its balance sheet. Yeah, just like you would think PwC China would notice 1,000 accountants cheated their way through the U.S. auditing curriculum. š¼ļø I would've added an AI-generated image of a Chinese accountant dabbing like a boss for getting his cheated accounting diploma, but I'm only allowed to include one attachment. Soā¦ is it too far-fetched to believe more ghosts might come to light, now that the PCAOB can supervise the numbers? I mentioned a flip side since you could specialize in tracking everything the PCAOB does. If you can get a whiff about increased auditing on a certain company, you might decide to play a short position in anticipation of a potential ghost coming to light. Be warned, though, that itās not as if they tweet out which companies theyāre auditing. If I were to do it, I would research and join whatever digital saloon young Chinese ledger-keepers convene in. Perhaps Iād stumble upon a post by SumYungGuy or another pleading for advice on how to parley with the PCAOB Laowai making a fuss over his figures. The poor lad's in a pickle, you see, since he cheated the exam and doesnāt know squat. Methodology For the purposes of this table, a company is considered Chinese if: - It has been identified as being from the PRC (the People's Republic of China) by the relevant stock exchange;
- It lists a PRC address as its principal executive office in filings with the SEC; or
- It has a majority of operations in the PRC, including a company structured offshore but whose value is ultimately tied through a relationship in the PRC.
ā ļø Some Chinese companies that use offshore corporate entities hide or do not identify their primary Chinese corporate domicile in their listing information. This complicates tracing, making it difficult to guarantee that this list captures all Chinese companies registered offshore. I should also point out that this list does not include companies domiciled exclusively in Hong Kong or Macau. ā ļø Remember, this list only considers Chinese companies listed on three of the largest U.S. stock exchanges: New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nasdaq, and NYSE American. Oh, and btw, this isnāt a list I came up with. This info was compiled by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. Itās their methodology and list. Since the majority is a VIE, Iāve marked the ones that are not registered as a VIE with an asterisk (*). This is determined using the most recent annual report filed with the SEC. A company is judged to have a VIE if: - It explicitly describes using a VIE to conduct all or part of its business operations in China, or
- It describes a subsidiary in which it has no direct equity interest but relies on contractual arrangements to exercise control and receive economic benefits from its operations in China.
ā ļø For companies that have been listed for less than a year, information contained in the companyās most recently updated investment prospectus, as filed with the SEC, is used instead. Chinese companies listed on U.S. exchanges Companies are arranged by the size of their current market capitalization. All companies utilize a VIE corporate structure, except those marked with an asterisk (*). BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited PDD Pinduoduo Inc. NTES NetEase, Inc. JD JD.com, Inc. BIDU Baidu, Inc TCOM Trip.com International, Ltd. TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group LI Li Auto BEKE KE Holdings BGNE BeiGene * ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. YUMC Yum China Holdings Inc. EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. HTHT H World Group Limited * NIO NIO Inc. YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited TAL TAL Education Group LEGN Legend Biotech * MNSO Miniso * BZ Kanzhun Limited XPEV Xpeng BILI Bilibili Inc. IQ iQIYI, Inc. HCM HUTCHMED (China) Limited * ATHM Autohome Inc. QFIN Qifu Technology RLX RLX Technology LU Lufax ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings * WB Weibo Corporation ZLAB Zai Lab Limited * ZKH ZKH Group Ltd * YY JOYY Inc. GOTU Gaotu Techedu, Inc. MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited * GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc GDS GDS Holdings Limited ACMR ACM Research, Inc. * HOLI Hollysys Automation Technologies, Ltd. * FINV FinVolution Group JKS JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. * DQ Daqo New Energy Corp. * MOMO Hello Group Inc. CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. * EH Ehang TUYA Tuya Inc. NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd. HUYA HUYA Inc. KC Kingsoft Cloud YALA Yalla * These are only 51 of the 261 Chinese companies currently listed on the major U.S. exchanges to comply with rule three. I kept the market cap minimum at $750M to allow for some wiggle room. I mentioned earlier that the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission had 265 tickers, but that was on January 8, 2024. Since then, three companies have been acquired, and the other one has voluntarily delisted. As you can confirm, the vast majority is structured as a VIE. I was going to include charts to illustrate how several Chinese stocksāaside from the ones with the biggest market capsātend to display sudden rallies, followed by after-hours reversals. It is important to recognize them, whether you want to capitalize on them, or avoid them entirely. But I can't add any more attachments, so... Besides, it's unlikely that many of you have even read this far without images. Have a good day. submitted by AlfrescoDog to wallstreetbets [link] [comments] |
2024.05.13 22:51 Jobtrees Do you know what RevOps is?
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2024.05.13 20:54 Competitive-Dinner61 not sure if I want to end my poly relationship over recent incident
have other posts in this subreddit for overall relationship context. LONG post.
on Saturday night (Sunday morning) I (25F) woke up out of my sleep and me and Ace (28M) sleepily kissed for a while. Our partner Spade (28F) was sleep in the bed next to us given we all had passed out maybe an hour or two prior together. Long story short, we ended up starting to have sex in the other room because I didnāt want to wake her. Me and Ace were both admittedly sleepy as well and just wanted to be intimate for a few, then just go back to sleep.
I wasnāt feeling like it a lot but the foreplay from kissing helped the recent personal anxiety Iāve been having behind sex. She woke up and things got really awkward when she inserted herself in our session. I stopped and went to the bathroom because I instantly began to feel anxious with being perceived more than I already was, and I also expressed to him it was neither of their faults just my own anxiety (I will literally throw up, not feel good, have panic attacks with some of the trauma Iāve dealt with if I donāt have a safe space).
I sit in there for a minute just trying to calm down and stim in different ways to be able to go back to sleep. I think everything is good, and I come out to both of them arguing.
This turned into a 3-5 hour long screaming match argument where Spade continuously put me on a pedestal compared to Ace because Iāve been tending to her a bit more in the ways she needs. The whole basis of the argument is that he pays her no mind when Iām around, which isnāt true.
She says stuff like āyou like OP a lot more than me, just go be with her insteadā āI feel like you just settled with me until you could get the dream girl you wantedā āYou have narcissistic tendencies stemming from your childhoodā Doing anything to get an emotional reaction.
She said I wasnāt a problem for 80% of the argument, then accused me of being a unicorn solely entering the relationship to steal him from her. Mind you, Iāve known them both for years and have had individual relationships with both of them outside of our triad. That especially hurt my feelings knowing how far I would (and have) go for her.
She hammered in on both of us and got upset when we both stopped trying to be receptive because she was just screaming, telling us the worst about ourselves, then taking 0 accountability for anything not even a sorry. I sucked up how I personally have been feeling, and apologized for my wrongs so we could all have a good Motherās Day at her parents despite her being the person to set the tone for the day. She swears nothing is wrong and everything is resolved now, but the next time she attacks me or my other partner for nothing, I donāt think I can react that calmly. I was already biting my tongue solely because I was tired and kept up all night for a fight with no basis.
Am I wrong for wanting to stop with both of them? I think the situation is too far off the deep end and my emotions are hurt deeply. The pretending like nothing happened and everything is peachy thing triggers me as well. Iām sick of arguing over nothing every two business days and trying to figure it out when I could just be solo poly. The only thing that stops me is my true love I have for both of them but last time I promised myself the next time would be the last.
TLDR: should I leave my emotionally unregulated partner for intentionally arguing with and harassing me and my other partner for ālack of attentionā caused by my partner withdrawing after she triggered/bashed him with no apology?
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2024.05.13 20:40 Pimasterjimmy Boomer coworker tried to get me fired (?) it goes badly for her.
Alright, this happened yesterday, I'm going to refer to this person by her nickname, Zippy the Methhead. Or zippy for short.
Now, I also want to clarify that I don't actually hate zippy, she's tried to get me fired in the past, and she's been really really really ugly towards me, but at this point our fights and her attempts to backstab me have been documented well enough that nobody in management takes her seriously. She is like a Chihuahua who chews on your ankles and pisses on the carpet, but it's just so cute how it thinks it's a real dog.
Anyway, storytime!
So I work in a deli at a truck stop that is famous for their ice cream. Zippy is a janitor.
Yesterday, we were incredibly short staffed, with just me and one other person. All together I made 324 ice cream cones in an 8 hour shift. When it was time to close, I told my crew, the guy I was working with and someone who came over to help us close, that I just wanted to close, and that if anyone asked for ice cream to send them to the 24 hour deli in the 18 wheeler section. This isn't appropriate for a normal day, but we're all physically exhausted and I made an exception.
Ten minutes later a customer comes up, and I explain that we're closed, and can't do ice cream, but if they head next door then they can get some.
Zippy overheard me, and immediately jumps in. "The ice cream machine is working fine, you can do it here."
"No zippy, I can't, the ice cream machine is down and we need to focus on cleaning"
"You've got 20 fucking minutes left in the goddamn shift, you can make some fucking ice cream. Stop being fucking lazy. I'm not dealing with your bullshit tonight."
"Zippy. I'm not making ice cream, that's final."
I told the customer they needed to go next door, and then called our night manager.
I explained what happened, that I made the decision and why I did that, and her reaction to it. I also explained that zippy is not a manager, and is in janitorial, so she also has no say in this department.
She wasn't thrilled to hear any of this, and had a talk with zippy.
Ok, great, get back to work. Ten minutes later the manager for janitorial, a really good friend of mine, walks in.
""Op, I need to talk with you right now, this is serious. I know you like to mix chemicals, but zippy just told me she saw you mixing alcohol with our cleaning solution, and that's a huge no no, we've had this talk before."
"What? That never happened, like I was there when we discovered the tainted chemicals, but I never mixed them."
"Zippy said she saw you get into the supply and mix it up.... Why would she lie about that?"
"Oh! That's easy. I reported her to the night manager for trying to tell me how to run my kitchen and cussing me out in front of customers."
"WHAT!?!"
the ice cream story was retold, and she was.... Unhappy, to say the least. . "So.... I'm not in trouble, but my weirdly psychotic coworker might be getting a write up, or at the very least a severe ass ripping.
As I said before, I'm not even mad at her she pulls this shit but is so incompetent that she just fucks it up on the execution. It's cute in it's own fucking retarded way. I've worked with her for four years now, and she's an acquired taste to be sure.
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2024.05.13 19:06 DTG_Bot [D2] Daily Reset Thread [2024-05-13]
Daily Modifiers
Vanguard Ops
- Heavyweight: Power weapons deal more damage, and more ammo is available.
- Void Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Void damage.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Power Level Disabled: Combatant difficulty is set at a fixed level.
Dares of Eternity
- Daodan Surge: Melee abilities deal more damage and recharge much faster.
- Champion Foes: You will face [Shield-Piercing] Barrier, [Disruption] Overload, and [Stagger] Unstoppable Champions. Visit the Character or Mod Customization screen to view your active anti-Champion perks.
Onslaught: Playlist
- Onslaught Rules: Defend and repair the ADU against waves of combatants. There are 10 waves to a set. ADU: If the ADU is destroyed, the activity ends. Scraps: An in-activity currency. They are earned by scoring and used to purchase and upgrade defenses at the start of every set and after waves 3 and 6. Rewards: Paid out after every set upon defeating the boss wave. Subsequent sets pay out better rewards. Legend increases rewards. Bonus Objectives: Rewards resources, vendor reputation, and armaments.
- Power Level Disabled: Combatant difficulty is set at a fixed level.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Void Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Void damage.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Champion Foes: You will face [Shield-Piercing] Barrier, [Disruption] Overload, and [Stagger] Unstoppable Champions. Visit the Character or Mod Customization screen to view your active anti-Champion perks.
Riven's Lair
- Mettle: Power Level: All combatants in this activity will be at least 5 points over the player's current Power level.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Blackout: Enemy melee attacks are significantly more powerful, and radar is disabled.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Solar Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Solar damage.
The Coil
- The Coil Rules: Successfully complete four pathways inside Riven's Lair. Escalating Difficulty: Player's Power levels are fixed. Starting at 0 each subsequent pathway increases all combatants' Power level over the player's by 5. Wishing Glass: Wishing Glass is an in-activity currency. They drop from combatants, Glass Collectors, and pots. Wishing Glass comes in multiple rarities equating to their worth. Wishing Glass is used to purchase Dragon's Gifts from Riven. Dragon's Gifts: A set of buffs are randomly chosen, once per run. Between pathways, players can purchase buffs from Riven via Wishing Glass. Buffs are separated into three price point tiers. Rewards: After each pathway, players will return to Riven for their rewards. Subsequent pathways pay out better rewards. Breaking through score thresholds unlock secret chests. Finishing The Coil with a platinum score rewards players with access to the lustrous and lucrative Chamber of Wishes.
- Multiplicity: Combatant difficulty scales with fireteam size.
- Limited Revives: Limited fireteam revives. Purchase additional revives from Riven with Wishing Glass. Small chance to drop from destroying pots.
- Full Extinguish: If all your fireteam members fall with 0 Revive Tokens, everyone is returned to orbit.
- Famine: All ammunition drops are significantly reduced.
- Galvanized: Combatants have more health and are more difficult to stun.
- The Pathways: Riven's wish magic stirs. The following are the pathways and their order in The Coil: -Divining Hall -First Steps (Temple of the Queen's Wrath) -Sensorium (Reaver's Orison) -First Steps (Cell of the Sycophant)
- Arc Threat: 25% increase to incoming Arc damage.
- Denial: Taken Vandals summon their shields significantly more often.
- Overcharged Trace Rifle: 25% bonus to Trace Rifle damage.
- Overcharged Rocket Launcher: 25% bonus to Rocket Launcher damage.
Seasonal
Legend/Master Lost Sector
Exotic armor drop (if solo): Arms
- Legend Difficulty: Locked Equipment, Extra Shields
- Champions: [Disruption] Overload, [Stagger] Unstoppable
- Threat: [Solar] Solar
- Shields: [Solar] Solar, [Void] Void
- Modifiers: Epitaph
- Legend Difficulty: Locked Equipment, Extra Shields
- Champions: [Disruption] Overload, [Stagger] Unstoppable
- Threat: [Solar] Solar
- Shields: [Solar] Solar, [Void] Void
- Modifiers: Epitaph
Misc
Guns & Materials
Banshee's Featured Weapons
Name | Type | Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 | Column 4 | Masterwork |
Whispering Slab | Kinetic Combat Bow | Tactile String // Natural String | Helical Fletching // Straight Fletching | Quickdraw | Unrelenting | Tier 2: Draw Time |
Iota Draconis | Energy Fusion Rifle | Fluted Barrel // Hammer-Forged Rifling | Ionized Battery // Projection Fuse | Ensemble | Adagio | Tier 2: Range |
Vulpecula | Kinetic Hand Cannon | Full Bore // Polygonal Rifling | Extended Mag // Alloy Magazine | Ensemble | Explosive Payload | Tier 2: Reload Speed |
Piece of Mind | Kinetic Pulse Rifle | Extended Barrel // Fluted Barrel | Ricochet Rounds // Light Mag | Auto-Loading Holster | Vorpal Weapon | Tier 2: Range |
Bump in the Night | Heavy Rocket Launcher | Volatile Launch // Hard Launch | Alloy Casing // Black Powder | Stats for All | Chain Reaction | |
Note: Fixed perks on weapons are not displayed
Master Rahool's Material Exchange
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Legendary Shards)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Dark Fragment)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Phantasmal Fragment)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 25 Herealways Piece)
- Enhancement Prism (1 for 10 Enhancement Core & 10000 Glimmer)
- Ascendant Shard (1 for 10 Enhancement Prism & 50000 Glimmer)
- Ascendant Alloy (1 for 10 Enhancement Prism & 50000 Glimmer)
Bounties
Commander Zavala, Vanguard
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Horseshoes and Hand Grenades | Defeat combatants with grenades. Defeating them in Vanguard playlists grants additional progress. | 20 [Grenade] Grenade | XP+ |
Fast and True | Defeat combatants with Primary ammo. Bow final blows in Vanguard playlists grant additional progress. | 75 [Bow] Bow | XP+ |
Finish Them | Defeat combatants with your finisher in Vanguard playlists. | 5 Finisher | XP+ |
Most Meticulous | Complete Vanguard playlists. | 2 Vanguard Ops | XP+ |
Lord Shaxx, Crucible
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Sparring Grounds | Complete matches in any Crucible playlist. | 2 Crucible matches | XP+ |
Scorched Earth | Defeat opponents with Solar scorch damage. | 6 [Solar] Solar scorch | XP+ |
On the Mark | Defeat opponents with precision final blows. | 3 [Headshot] Precision | XP+ |
Scorcher | In Scorched, defeat opponents using the Scorch Cannon. | 7 ī¶ Scorch Cannon | XP+ |
The Drifter, Gambit
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Blockade | Send Blockers; medium and large Blockers contribute more progress. | 30 Blockers | XP+ |
Envoy While It Lasts | Defeat Primeval envoys during Gambit matches. | 2 Envoys | XP+ |
Sweltering Heat | Use Solar scorch to defeat targets in Gambit. Defeating Guardians grants more progress. | 30 [Solar] Solar scorch | XP+ |
Like Kindling | Use Solar ignition to defeat targets in Gambit. Defeating Guardians grants more progress. | 10 [Solar] Solar ignition | XP+ |
Banshee-44, Gunsmith
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Auto Rifle Calibration | Calibrate Auto Rifles against any target. Earn bonus progress with precision final blows and against opposing Guardians. | 100 [Auto Rifle] Auto Rifle | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Hand Cannon Calibration | Calibrate Hand Cannons against any target. Earn bonus progress with precision and against opposing Guardians. | 100 [Hand Cannon] Hand Cannon | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Rocket Launcher Calibration | Calibrate Rocket Launchers against any target. Earn bonus progress against opposing Guardians and for additional targets defeated with each shot. | 100 [Rocket Launcher] Rocket Launcher | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Stasis Calibration | Calibrate Stasis weapons against any target. Earn bonus progress against opposing Guardians. | 80 [Stasis] Stasis weapon | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Nimbus, Neomuna
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
The Old Standby | In Neomuna, defeat combatants. Vex combatants grant additional progress. | 90 Targets | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Cryogenic Hardening | In Neomuna, defeat combatants affected by Stasis. Vex combatants grant additional progress. | 60 [Stasis] Stasis | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Distant Doom | In a single life, defeat combatants in Neomuna using Sniper Rifles, Linear Fusion Rifles, Scout Rifles, or Rocket Launchers. | 20 Targets | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Terminal Rewards | Open chests after completing Terminal Overload. | 3 Chests opened | 1 Terminal Overload Key & 50 Neomuna Rank & XP+ |
Lord Shaxx, Hall of Champions
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Onslaught Defender | Deploy and upgrade defenses in Onslaught. | 30 Defenses completed | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Spire Looter | Open a Witch's Chest in Savathƻn's Spire using a Witch's Key. | 1 Chests opened | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Close Quarters | Defeat targets with melee abilities. Combatants in Onslaught and Guardians are worth more. | 100 [Melee] Melee | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Big Shocker | Defeat targets with Arc weapons and abilities. | 100 [Arc] Arc | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Spirit of Riven, H.E.L.M.
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Will of the People | Complete public events in the Dreaming City. Heroic completions are worth more. | 6 Public events | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Rapid Lair Defense | Rapidly defeat combatants. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil are worth more. | 60 Rapidly defeated | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Dragon's Fang | Defeat targets with Auto Rifles, Pulse Rifles, or Trace Rifles. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil and Guardians are worth more. | 30 [Auto Rifle], [Pulse Rifle], or [Trace Rifle] defeats | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Dragonthread | Defeat targets with Solar or Strand damage. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil and Guardians are worth more. | 100 [Solar] or [Strand] defeats | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Never forget what has been lost. While the API protests have concluded, Reddit remains hostile to its users as their IPO looms in the horizon. More information can be found here.
submitted by
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2024.05.13 19:06 DTG_Bot [D2] Daily Reset Thread [2024-05-13]
Daily Modifiers
Vanguard Ops
- Heavyweight: Power weapons deal more damage, and more ammo is available.
- Void Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Void damage.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Power Level Disabled: Combatant difficulty is set at a fixed level.
Dares of Eternity
- Daodan Surge: Melee abilities deal more damage and recharge much faster.
- Champion Foes: You will face [Shield-Piercing] Barrier, [Disruption] Overload, and [Stagger] Unstoppable Champions. Visit the Character or Mod Customization screen to view your active anti-Champion perks.
Onslaught: Playlist
- Onslaught Rules: Defend and repair the ADU against waves of combatants. There are 10 waves to a set. ADU: If the ADU is destroyed, the activity ends. Scraps: An in-activity currency. They are earned by scoring and used to purchase and upgrade defenses at the start of every set and after waves 3 and 6. Rewards: Paid out after every set upon defeating the boss wave. Subsequent sets pay out better rewards. Legend increases rewards. Bonus Objectives: Rewards resources, vendor reputation, and armaments.
- Power Level Disabled: Combatant difficulty is set at a fixed level.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Void Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Void damage.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Champion Foes: You will face [Shield-Piercing] Barrier, [Disruption] Overload, and [Stagger] Unstoppable Champions. Visit the Character or Mod Customization screen to view your active anti-Champion perks.
Riven's Lair
- Mettle: Power Level: All combatants in this activity will be at least 5 points over the player's current Power level.
- Void Threat: 25% increase to incoming Void damage.
- Blackout: Enemy melee attacks are significantly more powerful, and radar is disabled.
- Strand Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Strand damage.
- Solar Surge: 25% bonus to outgoing Solar damage.
The Coil
- The Coil Rules: Successfully complete four pathways inside Riven's Lair. Escalating Difficulty: Player's Power levels are fixed. Starting at 0 each subsequent pathway increases all combatants' Power level over the player's by 5. Wishing Glass: Wishing Glass is an in-activity currency. They drop from combatants, Glass Collectors, and pots. Wishing Glass comes in multiple rarities equating to their worth. Wishing Glass is used to purchase Dragon's Gifts from Riven. Dragon's Gifts: A set of buffs are randomly chosen, once per run. Between pathways, players can purchase buffs from Riven via Wishing Glass. Buffs are separated into three price point tiers. Rewards: After each pathway, players will return to Riven for their rewards. Subsequent pathways pay out better rewards. Breaking through score thresholds unlock secret chests. Finishing The Coil with a platinum score rewards players with access to the lustrous and lucrative Chamber of Wishes.
- Multiplicity: Combatant difficulty scales with fireteam size.
- Limited Revives: Limited fireteam revives. Purchase additional revives from Riven with Wishing Glass. Small chance to drop from destroying pots.
- Full Extinguish: If all your fireteam members fall with 0 Revive Tokens, everyone is returned to orbit.
- Famine: All ammunition drops are significantly reduced.
- Galvanized: Combatants have more health and are more difficult to stun.
- The Pathways: Riven's wish magic stirs. The following are the pathways and their order in The Coil: -Divining Hall -First Steps (Temple of the Queen's Wrath) -Sensorium (Reaver's Orison) -First Steps (Cell of the Sycophant)
- Arc Threat: 25% increase to incoming Arc damage.
- Denial: Taken Vandals summon their shields significantly more often.
- Overcharged Trace Rifle: 25% bonus to Trace Rifle damage.
- Overcharged Rocket Launcher: 25% bonus to Rocket Launcher damage.
Seasonal
Legend/Master Lost Sector
Exotic armor drop (if solo): Arms
- Legend Difficulty: Locked Equipment, Extra Shields
- Champions: [Disruption] Overload, [Stagger] Unstoppable
- Threat: [Solar] Solar
- Shields: [Solar] Solar, [Void] Void
- Modifiers: Epitaph
- Legend Difficulty: Locked Equipment, Extra Shields
- Champions: [Disruption] Overload, [Stagger] Unstoppable
- Threat: [Solar] Solar
- Shields: [Solar] Solar, [Void] Void
- Modifiers: Epitaph
Misc
Guns & Materials
Banshee's Featured Weapons
Name | Type | Column 1 | Column 2 | Column 3 | Column 4 | Masterwork |
Whispering Slab | Kinetic Combat Bow | Tactile String // Natural String | Helical Fletching // Straight Fletching | Quickdraw | Unrelenting | Tier 2: Draw Time |
Iota Draconis | Energy Fusion Rifle | Fluted Barrel // Hammer-Forged Rifling | Ionized Battery // Projection Fuse | Ensemble | Adagio | Tier 2: Range |
Vulpecula | Kinetic Hand Cannon | Full Bore // Polygonal Rifling | Extended Mag // Alloy Magazine | Ensemble | Explosive Payload | Tier 2: Reload Speed |
Piece of Mind | Kinetic Pulse Rifle | Extended Barrel // Fluted Barrel | Ricochet Rounds // Light Mag | Auto-Loading Holster | Vorpal Weapon | Tier 2: Range |
Bump in the Night | Heavy Rocket Launcher | Volatile Launch // Hard Launch | Alloy Casing // Black Powder | Stats for All | Chain Reaction | |
Note: Fixed perks on weapons are not displayed
Master Rahool's Material Exchange
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Legendary Shards)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Dark Fragment)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 10 Phantasmal Fragment)
- Purchase Glimmer (10000 for 25 Herealways Piece)
- Enhancement Prism (1 for 10 Enhancement Core & 10000 Glimmer)
- Ascendant Shard (1 for 10 Enhancement Prism & 50000 Glimmer)
- Ascendant Alloy (1 for 10 Enhancement Prism & 50000 Glimmer)
Bounties
Commander Zavala, Vanguard
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Horseshoes and Hand Grenades | Defeat combatants with grenades. Defeating them in Vanguard playlists grants additional progress. | 20 [Grenade] Grenade | XP+ |
Fast and True | Defeat combatants with Primary ammo. Bow final blows in Vanguard playlists grant additional progress. | 75 [Bow] Bow | XP+ |
Finish Them | Defeat combatants with your finisher in Vanguard playlists. | 5 Finisher | XP+ |
Most Meticulous | Complete Vanguard playlists. | 2 Vanguard Ops | XP+ |
Lord Shaxx, Crucible
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Sparring Grounds | Complete matches in any Crucible playlist. | 2 Crucible matches | XP+ |
Scorched Earth | Defeat opponents with Solar scorch damage. | 6 [Solar] Solar scorch | XP+ |
On the Mark | Defeat opponents with precision final blows. | 3 [Headshot] Precision | XP+ |
Scorcher | In Scorched, defeat opponents using the Scorch Cannon. | 7 ī¶ Scorch Cannon | XP+ |
The Drifter, Gambit
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Blockade | Send Blockers; medium and large Blockers contribute more progress. | 30 Blockers | XP+ |
Envoy While It Lasts | Defeat Primeval envoys during Gambit matches. | 2 Envoys | XP+ |
Sweltering Heat | Use Solar scorch to defeat targets in Gambit. Defeating Guardians grants more progress. | 30 [Solar] Solar scorch | XP+ |
Like Kindling | Use Solar ignition to defeat targets in Gambit. Defeating Guardians grants more progress. | 10 [Solar] Solar ignition | XP+ |
Banshee-44, Gunsmith
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Auto Rifle Calibration | Calibrate Auto Rifles against any target. Earn bonus progress with precision final blows and against opposing Guardians. | 100 [Auto Rifle] Auto Rifle | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Hand Cannon Calibration | Calibrate Hand Cannons against any target. Earn bonus progress with precision and against opposing Guardians. | 100 [Hand Cannon] Hand Cannon | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Rocket Launcher Calibration | Calibrate Rocket Launchers against any target. Earn bonus progress against opposing Guardians and for additional targets defeated with each shot. | 100 [Rocket Launcher] Rocket Launcher | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Stasis Calibration | Calibrate Stasis weapons against any target. Earn bonus progress against opposing Guardians. | 80 [Stasis] Stasis weapon | XP+ & Enhancement Core & Gunsmith Rank Progress |
Nimbus, Neomuna
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
The Old Standby | In Neomuna, defeat combatants. Vex combatants grant additional progress. | 90 Targets | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Cryogenic Hardening | In Neomuna, defeat combatants affected by Stasis. Vex combatants grant additional progress. | 60 [Stasis] Stasis | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Distant Doom | In a single life, defeat combatants in Neomuna using Sniper Rifles, Linear Fusion Rifles, Scout Rifles, or Rocket Launchers. | 20 Targets | XP+ & 50 Neomuna Rank |
Terminal Rewards | Open chests after completing Terminal Overload. | 3 Chests opened | 1 Terminal Overload Key & 50 Neomuna Rank & XP+ |
Lord Shaxx, Hall of Champions
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Onslaught Defender | Deploy and upgrade defenses in Onslaught. | 30 Defenses completed | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Spire Looter | Open a Witch's Chest in Savathƻn's Spire using a Witch's Key. | 1 Chests opened | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Close Quarters | Defeat targets with melee abilities. Combatants in Onslaught and Guardians are worth more. | 100 [Melee] Melee | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Big Shocker | Defeat targets with Arc weapons and abilities. | 100 [Arc] Arc | 1 XP+ & 25 Lord Shaxx Reputation & 50 Lord Shaxx Reputation |
Spirit of Riven, H.E.L.M.
Name | Description | Requirement | Reward |
Will of the People | Complete public events in the Dreaming City. Heroic completions are worth more. | 6 Public events | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Rapid Lair Defense | Rapidly defeat combatants. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil are worth more. | 60 Rapidly defeated | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Dragon's Fang | Defeat targets with Auto Rifles, Pulse Rifles, or Trace Rifles. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil and Guardians are worth more. | 30 [Auto Rifle], [Pulse Rifle], or [Trace Rifle] defeats | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Dragonthread | Defeat targets with Solar or Strand damage. Combatants in Riven's Lair or The Coil and Guardians are worth more. | 100 [Solar] or [Strand] defeats | XP+ & 25 Spirit of Riven Reputation |
Never forget what has been lost. While the API protests have concluded, Reddit remains hostile to its users as their IPO looms in the horizon. More information can be found here.
submitted by
DTG_Bot to
DestinyTheGame [link] [comments]
2024.05.13 17:55 LexiJones219 I'm posting my "rant" anywhere lol. My work SUCKS and I need to see what others think
I cant post photos of my "rant", so im going to copy and paste it.
My "rant" that my manager will hear if she listens unlike my supervisors.
Week of 5/16 SHIFTS WITHOUT BREAKS Thurs 2:30pm-9:15pm Fri 9:30am-9:00pm Sat 9:30am-9:30pm Sun 9:30am-9:00pm Mon 10:30am-6:00pm Tues10:30am-6:00pm Wens 10:30am-6:00pm
TOTAL HOURS WITHOUT BREAKS: 64.25 Hours
Total overtime: 24.25 Hours
Week of 5/23 SHIFTS WITHOUT BREAKS Thurs 10:30am-5:30pm Fri 9:30am-5:30pm Sat OFF Sun OFF Mon 9:30am-5:30pm Tues 10:30am-5:30pm Weds 10:30am-5:30pm
TOTAL HOURS WITHOUT BREAKS: 49 Hours
Total overtime: 9 Hours
If I were to work all 12 shifts, that would be 113.25 hours worked. For both weeks, 80 hours total, I would be owed approximately $1,040. Now let's factor in the overtime. I have a total of 33.25 hours of overtime. That would be 13Ć1.5 for time and a half, I would have to be paid $19.5. Now that we have the time and a half pay figured out, we would multiply 19.5Ć33.25, which is $648.375, or $648.38 due to rounding. Now we add how much I would be paid for 80 hours (1,040) to the 33.25 over time hours (648.38). 1,040+648.38 is $1,688.38.
Federal law is 40 hours a week. This excludes overtime. Federal law also states any hours OVER 40 hours in ONE WEEK is time and a half (1.5) of the employees normal pay.
Let's set pay aside and talk about the 2 work weeks. 5/16 is a 7 day work week. State nor federal law state how many hours an employee is legally allowed to work, but ethically, you would want an employee to NOT get burned out working everyday open to close, especially those who work the rides, food, merchandise, entertainment, etc. On top of the 7 day work load, following into 5/23, I am scheduled 2 days before I get even one day off. That is 9 consecutive work days. No employee should have to work 9 consecutive days and be the face the guests see. Guests should not have to see an overworked, burnt out, and exhausted employee. This needs to be fixed immediately. I have 6 hours a day, 20 hours a week, 3 days a week set for my shift preferences as to not burn myself out, but as you can see by my work schedule above, my area part-time AND full time supervisors do not follow shift preferences. I was also injured on the job the 28th of April in 2024, which is still ongoing. Not to mention, when I got injured on 4/28/2024, I had to work the rest of my shift despite being in pain because the supervisors would rather hang out at other rides than take over for an employee who is sick or injured. I have noticed they hang out at Escape from Pompeii when I go on my breaks and head to Italy EBA since England EBA is not opened yet and way past its scheduled opening.
I had one shift in the week of 5/9, and had to call out due to being in an immobilized sling for my shoulder. At what point does an absence get excused? You would think the supervisors would care about the well-being, physically and mentally, of their co-workers. Area 1 needs an overhaul and/or retraining of their part-time and full-time supervisors as they do not care nor understand how to properly take care of the people who work the rides while they walk around or hang out at different rides in the area.
Below is the breakdown of the math.
Equations: 64.25+49=113.25 - Total Hours Scheduled 40Ć13=520 - normal 40 hour week with hourly pay 520Ć2=1,040 - 2 weeks worth 64.25-40=24.25 - total overtime for 5/16 49-40=9 - total overtime for 5/23 24.25+9=33.25 - total overtime for the 2 weeks 13Ć1.5=19.5 overtime pay 19.5Ć33.25=648.375 - pay total for 33.25 overtime 648.38 - rounding to the nearest cent 1,040+648.38=1,688.38 - total for 80 hours and 33.25 overtime pay
In total, if you want an injured, overworked, and burned out employee, it would be a grand total of $1,688.38. Please take this into consideration with all ambassadors (injured or not) working $13 an hour and considered "part-time employees" when this is a full time schedule with overtime. It is not worth it. I would like my schedule fixed to my shift preferences. Thank you.
The things that caused me to due this are 1. Lack of care from my area supervisors 2. Scheduling me on days that I don't want to work 3. Scheduling me without checking up on the injury or wanting to know what is going on (goes into number 1) 4. Being scheduled for 7 days, open to close (we come in 30 minutes early to try to open on time) 5. Having 2 more days scheduled on top of the 7 days already there (total of 9 days without a day off) 6. Being fed up with how I'm treated by my supervisors. 7. Being burned out since the injury (I keep saying injury. It's a shoulder injury that is classified as a sprain, but to follow up with a doctor if the pain doesn't get better. I don't have insurance, so it's been put off for too long) 8. Hoping the manager will listen, get the park ops president involved and see if we can settle before I go to file workers comp (not implied in the notes, but mentioning injury and them seeing me in a sling should scare them enough)
Just a rant, but I don't know what else to do.
I don't want to have comments saying they work mote than what I'm scheduled or that I should be grateful for the shifts. I'm tired, in pain, and tired of the bull my supervisors put me through.
If your wondering, yes, this is an amusement park in Virginia. You can name it because it will be very obvious.
submitted by
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2024.05.13 17:51 LexiJones219 My "rant" about my job
I cant post photos of my "rant", so im going to copy and paste it.
My "rant" that my manager will hear if she listens unlike my supervisors.
Week of 5/16 SHIFTS WITHOUT BREAKS Thurs 2:30pm-9:15pm Fri 9:30am-9:00pm Sat 9:30am-9:30pm Sun 9:30am-9:00pm Mon 10:30am-6:00pm Tues10:30am-6:00pm Wens 10:30am-6:00pm
TOTAL HOURS WITHOUT BREAKS: 64.25 Hours
Total overtime: 24.25 Hours
Week of 5/23 SHIFTS WITHOUT BREAKS Thurs 10:30am-5:30pm Fri 9:30am-5:30pm Sat OFF Sun OFF Mon 9:30am-5:30pm Tues 10:30am-5:30pm Weds 10:30am-5:30pm
TOTAL HOURS WITHOUT BREAKS: 49 Hours
Total overtime: 9 Hours
If I were to work all 12 shifts, that would be 113.25 hours worked. For both weeks, 80 hours total, I would be owed approximately $1,040. Now let's factor in the overtime. I have a total of 33.25 hours of overtime. That would be 13Ć1.5 for time and a half, I would have to be paid $19.5. Now that we have the time and a half pay figured out, we would multiply 19.5Ć33.25, which is $648.375, or $648.38 due to rounding. Now we add how much I would be paid for 80 hours (1,040) to the 33.25 over time hours (648.38). 1,040+648.38 is $1,688.38.
Federal law is 40 hours a week. This excludes overtime. Federal law also states any hours OVER 40 hours in ONE WEEK is time and a half (1.5) of the employees normal pay.
Let's set pay aside and talk about the 2 work weeks. 5/16 is a 7 day work week. State nor federal law state how many hours an employee is legally allowed to work, but ethically, you would want an employee to NOT get burned out working everyday open to close, especially those who work the rides, food, merchandise, entertainment, etc. On top of the 7 day work load, following into 5/23, I am scheduled 2 days before I get even one day off. That is 9 consecutive work days. No employee should have to work 9 consecutive days and be the face the guests see. Guests should not have to see an overworked, burnt out, and exhausted employee. This needs to be fixed immediately. I have 6 hours a day, 20 hours a week, 3 days a week set for my shift preferences as to not burn myself out, but as you can see by my work schedule above, my area part-time AND full time supervisors do not follow shift preferences. I was also injured on the job the 28th of April in 2024, which is still ongoing. Not to mention, when I got injured on 4/28/2024, I had to work the rest of my shift despite being in pain because the supervisors would rather hang out at other rides than take over for an employee who is sick or injured. I have noticed they hang out at Escape from Pompeii when I go on my breaks and head to Italy EBA since England EBA is not opened yet and way past its scheduled opening.
I had one shift in the week of 5/9, and had to call out due to being in an immobilized sling for my shoulder. At what point does an absence get excused? You would think the supervisors would care about the well-being, physically and mentally, of their co-workers. Area 1 needs an overhaul and/or retraining of their part-time and full-time supervisors as they do not care nor understand how to properly take care of the people who work the rides while they walk around or hang out at different rides in the area.
Below is the breakdown of the math.
Equations: 64.25+49=113.25 - Total Hours Scheduled 40Ć13=520 - normal 40 hour week with hourly pay 520Ć2=1,040 - 2 weeks worth 64.25-40=24.25 - total overtime for 5/16 49-40=9 - total overtime for 5/23 24.25+9=33.25 - total overtime for the 2 weeks 13Ć1.5=19.5 overtime pay 19.5Ć33.25=648.375 - pay total for 33.25 overtime 648.38 - rounding to the nearest cent 1,040+648.38=1,688.38 - total for 80 hours and 33.25 overtime pay
In total, if you want an injured, overworked, and burned out employee, it would be a grand total of $1,688.38. Please take this into consideration with all ambassadors (injured or not) working $13 an hour and considered "part-time employees" when this is a full time schedule with overtime. It is not worth it. I would like my schedule fixed to my shift preferences. Thank you.
The things that caused me to due this are 1. Lack of care from my area supervisors 2. Scheduling me on days that I don't want to work 3. Scheduling me without checking up on the injury or wanting to know what is going on (goes into number 1) 4. Being scheduled for 7 days, open to close (we come in 30 minutes early to try to open on time) 5. Having 2 more days scheduled on top of the 7 days already there (total of 9 days without a day off) 6. Being fed up with how I'm treated by my supervisors. 7. Being burned out since the injury (I keep saying injury. It's a shoulder injury that is classified as a sprain, but to follow up with a doctor if the pain doesn't get better. I don't have insurance, so it's been put off for too long) 8. Hoping the manager will listen, get the park ops president involved and see if we can settle before I go to file workers comp (not implied in the notes, but mentioning injury and them seeing me in a sling should scare them enough)
Just a rant, but I don't know what else to do.
I don't want to have comments saying they work mote than what I'm scheduled or that I should be grateful for the shifts. I'm tired, in pain, and tired of the bull my supervisors put me through.
If your wondering, yes, this is an amusement park in Virginia. You can name it because it will be very obvious.
submitted by
LexiJones219 to
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2024.05.13 16:26 Processter How would I start a 3d printing business, if I had to restart after 10 years. 15 āthingsā I would need.
Iāve shared my story on how I started, ran for 10 years, and remotely sold my 3dp business
HERE.
Now I would like to speculate on How I would start it if I had to do it again. Why? 2 reasons:
- When it was time to sell, I discovered, that the most valuable assets of my business were NOT the printers or production base and that I could've significantly grown and therefore increased business value if I did certain things a certain way.
Knowing that and other things - I would've tried to do "the right things" from the beginning, and I hope it would help those who are thinking about or starting it right now.
I concentrate on the business side since the 3dp business is first of all a business, and I go through with it as I wouldāve done it (not just some average avatar model).
This article doesnāt cover everything and simplifies some parts, but I tried to make it as real and in-depth as possible since the devil is in the details.
- I am starting new business projects right now, and the path I am taking is almost the same (minus printers basically) path;
Vision
First I need to ask myself: what kind of 3dp business would I like to start? It may be hard to answer right at the start, but I do know 4 things:
- I want it to be service-based (at least in the beginning, then I may consider a hybrid: service+product model);
- I want it to be B2B (higher check, less transactional costs);
- I want to gravitate towards big/complicated models;
- I will offer some post-processing (get hand dirty, mot many others willing to do that);
Here I may also need to identify, who my target audience is. But It is hard, and may sometimes be harmful in the beginning, so I will stick with 4 general assumptions listed above, and see where keywords lead me.
But I will revisit this very important question (let's call it a āvisionā) as soon as I have a meaningful chunk of data and experience.
Research
Then I will conduct research.
For that, I need to pick a place (3dp business is place-bound to a certain degree). Let's say a city - Austin - TX.
Note here - the bigger city, the better.
Now I need 3 lists:
- First is a List of keywords with average monthly searches and cost of clicks for different areas:
- Austin;
- Other big cities nearby;
- State of Texas;
- Nearby states;
- The whole of the US.
One tab for each. You can pick as many areas as you see fit, and the logic behind it is that you want to know the demand in places you may be able to serve.
I need general high-frequency keywords as well as Google suggestions and low-frequency keywords. The broader the scope, the better. There is a free tool called Keyword Planner (it also provides a click cost estimation for Google ads) inside a Google Ads account. If you donāt use Google ads, you can pick any keyword search tool out there.
Now I need to sort it, vet out unneeded ones, and separate them into groups based on intent (informational or commercial). I will also create a list of āminusā words (will use them later).
When it is all done, I need to assemble a ācoreā: a few groups of keywords united by intention.
If I donāt use keys/groups for commercial purposes, I may use them for info articles (SEO). The most visited (by a long shot) page on the site, which I sold as a part of the business was āThe History of 3d printingā.
š Research should also include many other āplacesā, basically one should identify where potential customers hang out, what they need (their problems), and how one can reach them, and as a result will have some potential acquisition channels, and a list of āproblemsā to form an offer with.
I will only cover the fastest and the one I know best - Google ads (+ a bit of SEO for the long game). This channel corresponds rather well, with my understanding, of where my ātarget audienceā may be (more on that below).
- Second is a List of competitors. I will only need onesā that will compete with me for my target demographic. Specifically, I would like to know:
- Domain name;
- Their offer (range of services, materials, unique propositions);
- Their main (and all significant pages) Title, H1, description, āsubtitleā, unique selling propositions, and maybe a screenshot of HERO;
- Their CTAs (calls to action - do they use online calculators, contact formā¦).
The list can go on, but those are the most important (probably), the logic behind it - I want to know what has been offered so far, compare it to the demand from list 1, and identify where I can āsqueeze inā.
- Third list - competitorās prices. Based on my initial āvisionā (what/for whom I will try to do) I prepare a couple of inquiries, which I send to competitors to quote.
I would like to know:
- Price;
- Fulfillment time;
- Conditions;
- How competitors interact with prospects.
Inquiries may be:
- A somewhat complicated ātechnicalā model of a middle size;
- Small-to-mid batch of parts (up to 100-300);
- A somewhat big (that will probably require printing in parts and assembly) model + separately I would inquire about painting;
As a result, I understand how I may price my services. I prefer to start somewhere in the lower middle of a price range and slowly go up.
I know what I won't do - I won't try to go for the cheapest price - it is a road to nowhere. I may go for it once or twice to snatch an order, which will be beneficial to my portfolio, but that is it!
Now I also understand how my competitors interact with their customers and what I can offer in this regard.
Plan
With that data gathered I am now ready to compose a ābusiness planā /set up business goals for 1-3 years, and lay out a tactical (more detailed) plan for a quarter or so.
Usually, the latter shall be detailed like: I need to reach X revenue/per day, to get Y rev per month, and for that, I will need Z inquiries and so on... But as I am just starting, it may not make a lot of sense, since there are no "base" numbers. But I will use that type of planning as soon as I have those numbers (after 6-12 months).
I also will align the plan with my vision, and maybe add some details to it, based on the data Iāve gathered.
I will have a somewhat united note/doc with actionable tasks, equipped with due dates (those are very important), and an overall plan.
I like to unify all of the above (lists, vision, tasksā¦) as a project in a project management software (later about that). Much easier to manage and keep track of.
Offer and Site creation
Now I can form my offer.
This offer will be presented on my site, in my ads, and everywhere else.
I need to describe CLEARLY what do I do exactly, for whom, and why those people should take their business to me (competitive advantages).
I pick a name, and domain name and make a logo. I keep in mind that they are a part of the offer (everything is), and I keep them as short, direct, and close to the point as possible. I squeeze a relevant keyword in if I can.
Before I decide I type the name into the search and see what pops up (donāt skip that part).
Now I can make a site. I pick one of the No-code options to create it myself or delegate it. Keep in mind that you will need to correct and change the site: an offer (text. headings), portfolio, blog (for SEO purposes), services, etc. The no-code solution will allow you to do that yourself.
It will be a landing page (in the beginning), and it will include:
- Title (shown as a first string in search);
- Description (shown as a second string in the search);
HERO SECTION (first screen basically - 80% of people wonāt go below it)
- H1 (main ātitleā shown on the top of the page)
- Subtitle (text below the H1, usually supports the H1 and includes unique selling points);
- Clear CTA (Call to action);
- Foto or video of what Iāve done (the visual representation of services works really well);
- Unique selling points (not included in the subtitle, or supporting/elaborating on them);
END OF THE HERO SECTION
- Unique selling points;
- All other headers;
- All other text;
- Examples (what Iāve done) and/or testimonials - if I truly just starting I may need to make some examples of objects I would like to make (as close to desired nich as possible) and take GOOD photos of them (It can be powerful, that is what I did and people told me many times, that they ācameā because of ābeautifulā thing that weāve done (ābeautifulā is mostly attribute off a picture, then a thing);
- FAQ (those shall be questions that your customers ask you the most, I mean REAL questions - they work rather well as objection handlers);
- Clear CTA (Call to action);
As there is just one page, it should target the most relevant oand big commercial keyword group.
The āartā of creating a Title, H1, and the rest of the text, headings, and attributes is a delicate dance between the need to be different from competitors, the need to incorporate the right keywords, basic SEO guidelines, and most importantly - to present a compelling offer.
š An important thing to keep in mind - your first screen should tell, straight and clearly - what services you provide, for whom, and why a visitor should click your CTA, or continue reading.
Last thing - make sure that it looks fine and loads quickly on mobile. More than half of the traffic will be from there.
Research says, that If it loads more than 3 seconds - more than 70% of people bounce.
Check your speed here - https://pagespeed.web.dev/
There is A LOT more to that, but it is beyond the scope of this article.
Traffic: Ads and SEO
Now I need traffic:
Google ads. As I just starting, I need to be as targeted as possible. So I will:
- Vet keywords carefully, avoid high-frequency ones, and compose them into groups.
- Start with one or two groups, with a limited number of keywords with clear commercial intent.
- Limit the location to the city I am in.
- Add a minus keywords list. If a search query includes one of the words from the list (like FREE, or CHEAP) - ads won't be shown.
Google pushes everyone really hard to use responsive search ads + broad match + AI-suggested keywords (performance MAX they call it), but I won't.
Why?
- It will greatly disperse the focus, and therefore results of my campaign.
- It is still not working properly, especially for small and/or ācomplicatedā niches. In other words, it will waste my money, (relocate it to Google), without bringing back results (or at least as many).
And I don't want that.
I will use exact match, fix (pin) headings and descriptions, and practically make "an old school" text ad from a responsive search ad. I will have to do different ads for different keywords (if the keyword or phrase is matched in the title, conversion is higher); Yes, it will be more work, but results will be better, and controllable.
Just how I like them.
Now I will compose my "SEO plan", I will:
- Plan to add new "commercial" pages to the site (one page per meaningful keyword group) as I go.
- Create a schedule: after the main page is up, I will try to ādeployā them in 2-4 week intervals, starting with the most meaningful/impactful.
- Make Google index it through its search console after the first publishable version of the site is done. I will repeat the operation with every meaningful page I add, including info SEO pages (below).
- Form a few groups from keywords with informational intent, vet groups that align with my direction, and plan an article for each vetted group - a separate page on the site with a personal set of SEO attributes.
- Publish them with the same or longer intervals as for the "commercial" pages.
- Try to make those articles as valuable for the reader as possible. Everything I do shall be client-oriented (bring value), and user behavior is more and more important for SEO.
This āarticleā is an example of such a page.
I won't cover social media here, since its plenty of info on that topic.
From my experience, if I plan (and I do) to offer 3d printing services to businesses (B2B), social media (with the exception of LinkedIn maybe, not sure nowadays what is what) is not exactly a place for āfishingā (I might be wrong).
Legal+
Moving along to the legal land.
I will not go deep into the business structure (LLCs or sole proprietorships), just say that you need one. Figure out what works best in your case, but note: if you are planning (envisioning) to sell your business one day (or a part of it) - you will need it to be at least an LLC.
This structure (as stated in the name), also limits your liability, which is not a bad thing. One more thing that does that, and at times viewed as a formality - is a contract.
Iāve learned to appreciate contracts and pay attention to their "design". The contract sets expectations, protects both you and your client, and serves as an extension to your offer - a clear, correct, and honest contract, that picks up on promises youāve made will reassure your client that you are a trustworthy professional.
Create a clear, correct contract template (or templates), seek professional help/advice if needed, and try not to overcomplicate it (easier-smaller the better).
š Before the contract, expectations are set during all interactions with a client: nuances, limitations, examples, samples, etc. As the number of interactions with clients starts to grow you will notice repetitive patterns in questions and answers. Create a base with answer templates - those saved me a ton of time and improved the quality of my communication.
3d printers and a space (finally here they are)
Well, and yeah, I need 3d printers to start a 3d printing business.
If you plan to start such a business, you may already have some, and/or possess the needed knowledge in the matter, but I still going to say a few things. No specific models, or vendors though, since there is a lot of printer-related content out there, and the scene is rapidly (wink) changing.
I would try to pick one type of printer (or at least a vendor) and stick to it. Benefits:
- Somewhat stable overall quality;
- Same spare parts;
- Same repair and maintenance routine;
- Same working protocols;
- Same slicingā¦
I also will (at least in the beginning) look for stable machines, that would not require a ton of maintenance.
Note here: your choice shall also be based on your perceived goal (niche you want to end up with/customers you want to serve), and you may need different types of printers for that.
Depending on my situation, I may not need an office/working space right from the start (at least not until the idea has been validated). If I do, I would get something with a space to grow (aligned with my plan/goals), but I would try not to jump over my head with it.
One software to control it all
There is one more thing that I will need right from the start (because I donāt want to replicate my own mistakes) - a software suite to manage the business. Getting it from the start will provide the most leverage and set me up on the right path.
I will need:
- CRM - all work with a client: pricing, offers, deals, followups, deadlines, docsā¦ +
- ERP - control and management of all resources: materials, printers, teamā¦ +
- Production scheduling +
- Maintenance, Repairs, Spare parts, and materials control +
- Team + Docs + Files storage + Contractors + Spending + everything else.
I couldn't find one that incorporates all of it, so Iāve made my own (there is a Free version, try it out, let me know what you think).
Management software and CRM might not be obvious must-haves, but they are if I want to make it into a controllable and growing business (and I do).
There is no other way, look at any business that made it - they all without exception use such systems.
One more thing - all business decisions shall be based on data: how would I know, for example, if my ads campaign is making (and how much) or losing money, without knowing what my average check, margin, or LTV is for any type of service for a needed time period?
Summary and Q&A
There is a lot more to that, but it is already too long.
So Iāve got:
- List of keywords;
- List of competitors;
- Price research (and base price level as a result);
- A plan;
- An offer;
- Name and logo;
- Website (with offer and good photos of done jobs on it);
- Google ads campaign (or other acquisition channel, start from one you know best/where your customers are);
- SEO plan;
- Legal entity;
- Contract templates;
- āSales templatesā base (those collected on the go, but you may already have something since you talked to people before);
- Printers;
- Some physical space;
- Management system/software (like this one)
3 BONUS reminders for myself:
- To get paid in advance. ALWAYS, at least partially;
- To do extra for customers. If I can, when I can;
- To be patient- business is a marathon, not a sprint;
Some Q&A:
- Is the 3d printing business a good business to start?
It is not a get-rich-quick scheme, and it is not particularly easy, but all things that are worth doing are hard (that is what they say).
If you like it/are passionate about it/good at it (the most important factor in my opinion.) - it certainly might be.
Iāve planned to go with the B2B service model (on-demand manufacturing), and that trend will only grow over time.
Since we talked about the US, let's take a look at this article and specifically the chart of Construction spending on US manufacturing https://www.businessinsider.com/us-building-factories-census-data-chips-act-inflation-reduction-act-2023-6?op=1 + big new āinfrastructure rebuild projectsā might be somewhere around the corner.
What does it all have to do with a small 3dp service? The economy is an interconnected system. All of those ābig projectsā will require a lot of smaller contractors/suppliers, and they will need smaller onesā¦and that is where I come in.
2 reasons:
- I know how to do it (done it for 10 years), the data above backs the idea up, and I still see a lot of upsides and opportunities there (aside from the data).
- It is a lot easier to āsearchā for product ideas - they come to you (for that you will have to have a B2C ādepartmentā though). Iāve recently talked to a few 3dp business owners (and read a few stories over the years), and almost all of them had their product ideas brought to them by clients.
If you create a system (management software can help with that) with processes in place, create and maintain customer acquisition channels, and price correctly - it will be.
I hope you got some value out of it.
Thanks for reading.
submitted by
Processter to
Entrepreneur [link] [comments]
2024.05.13 14:38 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 13/05 including positioning analysis going into the week so you know how market makers are positioned for your daytrades
ANALYSIS
- What can we say about the market scenario right now, going into a very important CPI week?
- Liquidity is high in the market, and is showing very little signs of stress right now. Traders remain long the market, and are short on volatility. This is ensuring that pullbacks get bought as liquidity is high.
- Right now, we see very little cause for much concern. I had the question recently about some speculation from some X users saying they are seeing put gamma building in the option chain to suggest there are signs of a downturn coming. This is not the correct interpretation of the put gamma we see. This whole rally up, since November, and especially around the time of Israel Iran scenario, we have seen put gamma remain on the option chain because traders have been trying to call an eventual pullback. Trying to get ahead of it, thinking that the market is overextended. To be honest, yes, the market has had a crazy run. But these people trying to get ahead of the pullback, has just caused more squeeze higher as data and market moves havenāt followed. E.g. If CPI comes soft this week, all of this put gamma will have to be closed or will expire worthless, which means that it will fuel a more extreme push higher. This will probably move us to ATH soon. This is the type of scenario that has got us to near 5300 on SPX. So the put gamma is nothing o be looked into in terms of bearish signal.
- Skew for MAG7 stocks remains at ATH. Default Swaps remain very low. Right now we are not seeing positioning for a market ready for a sustained pullback, but in fact are showing signs of a market ready for new ATH.
- If we see a pullback from CPI coming hot, it likely will not last unless it is extremely hot. This is because Powell has already mentioned that there is basically no chance of another hike. Traders remain very short vol. If CPI comes hot, its probable we see a short term spike in VIX, and a jump in dollar, but then the VIX spike will get faded as traders sell into the volatility, which will trigger a buy the dip.
- Right now traders are hedging, but are not positioned for a sustained pullback. Skew is elevated but pointing downwards. This means traders are overall bullish but are seeing short term risks Skew on short term is pointing lower but on 3m points to new highs. Traders may see potential a short term dip from CPI, but for it to not disrupt the bullishness of the market beyond the ver immediate term as they suspect any dip will be bought.
- This hedging is particularly on IWM as it is more interest rate sensitive as we see skew point lower. Traders are lowering call options but this is normal ahead of key data. It is just hedging it is not sign of a change in positioning.
- 200 will probably be the supportive wall on IWM on pullback.
- Here we see the positioning for delta
- https://imgur.com/a/zXV6eL6
- We see a lot of put delta at 200 which will make it supportive, then again at 196 which will probs mark max low incase of v hot print.
- Traders are still v bullish in this market, as are institutions. They just hedge.
- A hot CPI will probably lead to a short term pullback, and I will suspect many people will overestimate the magnitude of this and will turn bearish. They will then get fucked again in the buy the dip just like last time. I will update you nearer the time, but this seems the scenario.
- If CPI comes in line, or soft, we probably rip to ATH, as this will fuel more rate cut sentiment.
- We will then have CPI soft, as well as jobs numbers softening.
- I think that the CPI numbers are actually less important right now. We are still yet to see the inflation trend necessary to give the Fed the confidence required to get to cuts. This will likely take many months to get to that point. SO a hot print doesnt change too much in that way, and a soft print still needs a lot more to follow to increase confidence beyond that.
- However, Powell also laid out the other path to rate cuts, which is that the job market will weaken.
- Right now, we are seeing many signs of a weaker job market, although it is not weak enough to be at recessionary levels. This is actually right now then in a. Sweet spot. May be weakening enough to push the Fed to still consider cuts, but not weak enough to be recessionary.
- If we look at the indeed wage growth numbers, Indeed being a private job listing site, we see wage growth over 2023 and into 2024 has continued to move lower. JOLTS is showing a direct Correlation with this. The Indeed data is leading JOLTS lower, so we should expect to see further weakening in the labour market.
- A look at NVDA positioning: just below the key level of 900.
- We are seeing positive gex across the board really, not much put gex. Gamma is building on 1000 again. Traders probably look for more upside here.
- Reaction to PPI probably be limited as traders await CPI. IF good, can see short term jump before faded intraday into CPI.
- Headline CPI and PPI should get benefit from the fact that oil prices are lower into May from start of April. Used cars should come light on CPI, and we still hope for the shelter prices to reflect real time rents that we see from Zillow data. I think its possible CPI can beat expectations.
DATA LEDE:
- China Inflation rate: comes 0.3% YOY vs expectations of 0.1%. Previous reading was 0.1%
- As such, China inflation rate was higher than expected. This is bullish for Chinese market as represents another step away from disinflation. 3rd month in a row, out of disinflation.
- MOM was 0.1% vs estimate of -0.1%
- Fedās Jefferson speaks as well as Fedās Mester
- Tomorrow is PPI, WEed
MARKETS:
- SPX - Trading at 5234. Is up 0.34% today, Closed friday at 5220. Looks like recovery of ATH at 5272 is on the horizon soon, if CPI can support.
- nasdaq: Trading at 18,222, up 0.5% in premarket. Strong resistance at around 18,340. That is more or less where ATH is. So again, will be targeting ATH.
- Dow: ATH is just shy of 40k. Right now, Dow is trading at 39,580. So ATH is target again. 9th green day in a row now.
- GER40: Flat around 18,750. Lack of any real negative catalyst nor fear in the market. Target still looks like 19k.
- UK100: Trading totally flat at 8430. Has squeezed significantly higher. Up 9% in the last month.
- HKG50: is higher by 1%, back above 19,135, due to the China CPI coming in ahead of expectations, confirming move away from Deflation, and also the fact that China will be embarking on more stimulus.
- CHINA50: Flat really, around 12,700.
- OIL - slightly higher as China might intensify efforts to stimulate economic growth with launch of ultra long sovereign bonds. Will be trying to target the 80 level For WTI if CPI can support.
- GOLD - Trading at 2350. Again will be targeting 2400 this week with CPI.
FX:
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase earlier in session, but since pared the gains.
- Dollar flat/moving slightly lower this morning ahead of PPI tomorrow. Trading at 105.1
- GBP moves higher. Positioning is bullish, as does EURO.
- EURUSD is trading just below 1.08. Is up 0.21% this morning.
- GBPUSD at 1.2547. Will be trying to get close to 100d MA this week, above 1.26
- USDJPy continues weakness, trading at 156 level now again.
MAG 7:
- AAPL - Jeffries believes Apple may launch aggressive iPhone promotional discounts during the 618 online shopping festival in China. Currently Pindudoduo is offering 21% discounts on iPhone, most on any platform. JD second with 16% discounts
- AAPL - Finanlising deal with openAI to use chatgpt AI features on iPhone!!!
- So they will be overhauling Siri and integrating advanced generative AI to enhance user experience
- TSLA - Shanghai Megapack plant has received a construction permit and construction will start in may. Will reach mass production in Q1 of next year.
- TSLA - launches a below market financing rate for Model Y EV purchases. Brought the rate down to 0.99% annual percentage. Quoted rate a week ago was 6.5%. They are trying to stimulate more sales of Model Y to clear inventory
- NVDA - Jefferies raises Nvda PT to 1,200 from 780. Said NVDA is their favourite in the AI basket.
- NVDA - HSBC raises price target to 1350 from 1050.
- NVDA - says they are embarking on a new era of supercomputing, as it announces that 9 new supercomputers globally are using NVDA Grace Hopper super chips, and that the company is accelerating quantum computing efforts
- GOOGL - Sam Altman says that openAI is not working on a search engine. Good for Googel.
- Nonetheless, Google is down in premarket on the Apple partnership with OpenAI. That makes android phones less attractive.
- MSFT - OpEnAI will announce ChatGPT product improvements today
OTHER COMPANIES:
- With BTC trading higher, Crypto stocks are seeing volume today, all higher. CSLK most up after strong earnings on Friday.
- Chinese stocks generally higher on China market higher on better than expected CPI and stimulus measures.
- ARM - developing its own AI chips with the first prototype expected by Spring 2025. Company plans to establish. Dedicated AI chip division, aiming for mass production in Fall 2025.
- INTC - Apollo is in exclusive talks to invest $11B+ in intel chip factory in Ireland.
- MCD - Friday news that they are seeking approval from franchisees to introduce a new $5 meal deal aimed at attracting more customers.
- SQSP - Squarespace going private at $44/shares cash
- GME - up 37% in response to meme posted on twitter by Roaring Kitty
- BABA - earnings tomorrow morning.
- PFE - Pfizer and Astra Zeneca commit nearly $1B to French expansion.
- Ford - Reduces battery orders, amid soaring EV losses, rethinking strategy.
- PENN - Bank of A securities downgrades to neutral from buy, Price target 17.50, due to EPSN bet losses.
- JNJ will exit Kenvue in debt-for-equity deal, a year after spin off.
- UBER, LYFT - Massachusetts takes Uber and Lyft to trial over status of gig workers
- TME up on earnings
- Solar stocks higher after US tariffs on China solar producers
- LAC earnings today
OTHER NEWS:
- BTC trading at 62,733. So is up 2.6% this morning.
- France secures major investments from US companies at Choose France summit. E.g. MSFT said to invest $4B in AI and datacenter, AMZN to invest $1.2B in AI capabilities and delivery services etc
- China will launch ultra long sovereign bonds to boost economy. Will issue first batch of ultra long special central bonds on Friday. Will sell trillions of yuan in bonds to stimulate economic growth amid challenges like housing crisis and weak consumer confidence.
- US administration will quadruple tariffs on China EVs and offer solar exclusions.
- US say that their technology protection policies are not up for negotiation in AI talks with China.
- US and China set up a meeting in Geneva to discuss perils of AI.
- Stifel argues that the next 500 points for the S&P will likely be down. They argue that core PCE remaining higher means interest rates will be pushed back.
- Meme stock is gaining popularity again, with GME rallying over 70%. Now Roaring kitty made first social media post in 3 years.
- South Korea announces a $7B support for Chip industry to boost global competitiveness
- FXPro trader, Alex Kuptsikevich says that Bitcoin could see a panic sell off if it closes under 60k level in the coming days.
- Sirens sound in Israelās North region.
- US say there is still no credible plan to protect civilians inRafah
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase. Purchases fewer bonds in this operation compared to previous one.
- UK PM Rishi Sunak warns that Britain faces its most dangerous years in history.
- Softbankās Vision Fund posts its first annual gain in over 3 years, up $4.6B.
submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
Daytrading [link] [comments]
2024.05.13 14:35 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing from premarket 13/05
ANALYSIS
Will be posting more positioning analysis charts for various instruments on my subreddit
Tradingedge during the day. Please check back, as it will give you more indication on how markets are positioned.
- What can we say about the market scenario right now, going into a very important CPI week?
- Liquidity is high in the market, and is showing very little signs of stress right now. Traders remain long the market, and are short on volatility. This is ensuring that pullbacks get bought as liquidity is high.
- Right now, we see very little cause for much concern. I had the question recently about some speculation from some X users saying they are seeing put gamma building in the option chain to suggest there are signs of a downturn coming. This is not the correct interpretation of the put gamma we see. This whole rally up, since November, and especially around the time of Israel Iran scenario, we have seen put gamma remain on the option chain because traders have been trying to call an eventual pullback. Trying to get ahead of it, thinking that the market is overextended. To be honest, yes, the market has had a crazy run. But these people trying to get ahead of the pullback, has just caused more squeeze higher as data and market moves havenāt followed. E.g. If CPI comes soft this week, all of this put gamma will have to be closed or will expire worthless, which means that it will fuel a more extreme push higher. This will probably move us to ATH soon. This is the type of scenario that has got us to near 5300 on SPX. So the put gamma is nothing o be looked into in terms of bearish signal.
- Skew for MAG7 stocks remains at ATH. Default Swaps remain very low. Right now we are not seeing positioning for a market ready for a sustained pullback, but in fact are showing signs of a market ready for new ATH.
- If we see a pullback from CPI coming hot, it likely will not last unless it is extremely hot. This is because Powell has already mentioned that there is basically no chance of another hike. Traders remain very short vol. If CPI comes hot, its probable we see a short term spike in VIX, and a jump in dollar, but then the VIX spike will get faded as traders sell into the volatility, which will trigger a buy the dip.
- Right now traders are hedging, but are not positioned for a sustained pullback. Skew is elevated but pointing downwards. This means traders are overall bullish but are seeing short term risks Skew on short term is pointing lower but on 3m points to new highs. Traders may see potential a short term dip from CPI, but for it to not disrupt the bullishness of the market beyond the ver immediate term as they suspect any dip will be bought.
- This hedging is particularly on IWM as it is more interest rate sensitive as we see skew point lower. Traders are lowering call options but this is normal ahead of key data. It is just hedging it is not sign of a change in positioning.
- 200 will probably be the supportive wall on IWM on pullback.
- Here we see the positioning for delta
- https://imgur.com/a/zXV6eL6
- We see a lot of put delta at 200 which will make it supportive, then again at 196 which will probs mark max low incase of v hot print.
- Traders are still v bullish in this market, as are institutions. They just hedge.
- A hot CPI will probably lead to a short term pullback, and I will suspect many people will overestimate the magnitude of this and will turn bearish. They will then get fucked again in the buy the dip just like last time. I will update you nearer the time, but this seems the scenario.
- If CPI comes in line, or soft, we probably rip to ATH, as this will fuel more rate cut sentiment.
- We will then have CPI soft, as well as jobs numbers softening.
- I think that the CPI numbers are actually less important right now. We are still yet to see the inflation trend necessary to give the Fed the confidence required to get to cuts. This will likely take many months to get to that point. SO a hot print doesnt change too much in that way, and a soft print still needs a lot more to follow to increase confidence beyond that.
- However, Powell also laid out the other path to rate cuts, which is that the job market will weaken.
- Right now, we are seeing many signs of a weaker job market, although it is not weak enough to be at recessionary levels. This is actually right now then in a. Sweet spot. May be weakening enough to push the Fed to still consider cuts, but not weak enough to be recessionary.
- If we look at the indeed wage growth numbers, Indeed being a private job listing site, we see wage growth over 2023 and into 2024 has continued to move lower. JOLTS is showing a direct Correlation with this. The Indeed data is leading JOLTS lower, so we should expect to see further weakening in the labour market.
- A look at NVDA positioning: just below the key level of 900.
- We are seeing positive gex across the board really, not much put gex. Gamma is building on 1000 again. Traders probably look for more upside here.
- Reaction to PPI probably be limited as traders await CPI. IF good, can see short term jump before faded intraday into CPI.
- Headline CPI and PPI should get benefit from the fact that oil prices are lower into May from start of April. Used cars should come light on CPI, and we still hope for the shelter prices to reflect real time rents that we see from Zillow data. I think its possible CPI can beat expectations.
DATA LEDE:
- China Inflation rate: comes 0.3% YOY vs expectations of 0.1%. Previous reading was 0.1%
- As such, China inflation rate was higher than expected. This is bullish for Chinese market as represents another step away from disinflation. 3rd month in a row, out of disinflation.
- MOM was 0.1% vs estimate of -0.1%
- Fedās Jefferson speaks as well as Fedās Mester
- Tomorrow is PPI, WEed
MARKETS:
- SPX - Trading at 5234. Is up 0.34% today, Closed friday at 5220. Looks like recovery of ATH at 5272 is on the horizon soon, if CPI can support.
- nasdaq: Trading at 18,222, up 0.5% in premarket. Strong resistance at around 18,340. That is more or less where ATH is. So again, will be targeting ATH.
- Dow: ATH is just shy of 40k. Right now, Dow is trading at 39,580. So ATH is target again. 9th green day in a row now.
- GER40: Flat around 18,750. Lack of any real negative catalyst nor fear in the market. Target still looks like 19k.
- UK100: Trading totally flat at 8430. Has squeezed significantly higher. Up 9% in the last month.
- HKG50: is higher by 1%, back above 19,135, due to the China CPI coming in ahead of expectations, confirming move away from Deflation, and also the fact that China will be embarking on more stimulus.
- CHINA50: Flat really, around 12,700.
- OIL - slightly higher as China might intensify efforts to stimulate economic growth with launch of ultra long sovereign bonds. Will be trying to target the 80 level For WTI if CPI can support.
- GOLD - Trading at 2350. Again will be targeting 2400 this week with CPI.
FX:
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase earlier in session, but since pared the gains.
- Dollar flat/moving slightly lower this morning ahead of PPI tomorrow. Trading at 105.1
- GBP moves higher. Positioning is bullish, as does EURO.
- EURUSD is trading just below 1.08. Is up 0.21% this morning.
- GBPUSD at 1.2547. Will be trying to get close to 100d MA this week, above 1.26
- USDJPy continues weakness, trading at 156 level now again.
MAG 7:
- AAPL - Jeffries believes Apple may launch aggressive iPhone promotional discounts during the 618 online shopping festival in China. Currently Pindudoduo is offering 21% discounts on iPhone, most on any platform. JD second with 16% discounts
- AAPL - Finanlising deal with openAI to use chatgpt AI features on iPhone!!!
- So they will be overhauling Siri and integrating advanced generative AI to enhance user experience
- TSLA - Shanghai Megapack plant has received a construction permit and construction will start in may. Will reach mass production in Q1 of next year.
- TSLA - launches a below market financing rate for Model Y EV purchases. Brought the rate down to 0.99% annual percentage. Quoted rate a week ago was 6.5%. They are trying to stimulate more sales of Model Y to clear inventory
- NVDA - Jefferies raises Nvda PT to 1,200 from 780. Said NVDA is their favourite in the AI basket.
- NVDA - HSBC raises price target to 1350 from 1050.
- NVDA - says they are embarking on a new era of supercomputing, as it announces that 9 new supercomputers globally are using NVDA Grace Hopper super chips, and that the company is accelerating quantum computing efforts
- GOOGL - Sam Altman says that openAI is not working on a search engine. Good for Googel.
- Nonetheless, Google is down in premarket on the Apple partnership with OpenAI. That makes android phones less attractive.
- MSFT - OpEnAI will announce ChatGPT product improvements today
OTHER COMPANIES:
- With BTC trading higher, Crypto stocks are seeing volume today, all higher. CSLK most up after strong earnings on Friday.
- Chinese stocks generally higher on China market higher on better than expected CPI and stimulus measures.
- ARM - developing its own AI chips with the first prototype expected by Spring 2025. Company plans to establish. Dedicated AI chip division, aiming for mass production in Fall 2025.
- INTC - Apollo is in exclusive talks to invest $11B+ in intel chip factory in Ireland.
- MCD - Friday news that they are seeking approval from franchisees to introduce a new $5 meal deal aimed at attracting more customers.
- SQSP - Squarespace going private at $44/shares cash
- GME - up 37% in response to meme posted on twitter by Roaring Kitty
- BABA - earnings tomorrow morning.
- PFE - Pfizer and Astra Zeneca commit nearly $1B to French expansion.
- Ford - Reduces battery orders, amid soaring EV losses, rethinking strategy.
- PENN - Bank of A securities downgrades to neutral from buy, Price target 17.50, due to EPSN bet losses.
- JNJ will exit Kenvue in debt-for-equity deal, a year after spin off.
- UBER, LYFT - Massachusetts takes Uber and Lyft to trial over status of gig workers
- TME up on earnings
- Solar stocks higher after US tariffs on China solar producers
- LAC earnings today
OTHER NEWS:
- BTC trading at 62,733. So is up 2.6% this morning.
- France secures major investments from US companies at Choose France summit. E.g. MSFT said to invest $4B in AI and datacenter, AMZN to invest $1.2B in AI capabilities and delivery services etc
- China will launch ultra long sovereign bonds to boost economy. Will issue first batch of ultra long special central bonds on Friday. Will sell trillions of yuan in bonds to stimulate economic growth amid challenges like housing crisis and weak consumer confidence.
- US administration will quadruple tariffs on China EVs and offer solar exclusions.
- US say that their technology protection policies are not up for negotiation in AI talks with China.
- US and China set up a meeting in Geneva to discuss perils of AI.
- Stifel argues that the next 500 points for the S&P will likely be down. They argue that core PCE remaining higher means interest rates will be pushed back.
- Meme stock is gaining popularity again, with GME rallying over 70%. Now Roaring kitty made first social media post in 3 years.
- South Korea announces a $7B support for Chip industry to boost global competitiveness
- FXPro trader, Alex Kuptsikevich says that Bitcoin could see a panic sell off if it closes under 60k level in the coming days.
- Sirens sound in Israelās North region.
- US say there is still no credible plan to protect civilians inRafah
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase. Purchases fewer bonds in this operation compared to previous one.
- UK PM Rishi Sunak warns that Britain faces its most dangerous years in history.
- Softbankās Vision Fund posts its first annual gain in over 3 years, up $4.6B.
For more of my daily updates and reports, please join
Tradingedge submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
swingtrading [link] [comments]
2024.05.13 14:34 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 13/05 going into a big week for inflation data.
- ANALYSIS
- With QQQ above 440 and SPX above 5200, vol structure is supportive.
- These are now key levels of support
- We probably see some choppiness, likely with upward pressure as positioning supportive. The choppiness will come from amrket makers tryingt o hedge their volatility surpression.
- Vix is at 13.37, likely to remain between 13 and 14.
- We see basically bullihs positioning on indices.
- However, skew on SPX and QQQ, whilst elevated (indicating bulishness) is pointing lower as traders start to hedge. Meanwhile, skew on VIX is supressed, pointing to lack of fear in market, but points higher. This is due to traders hedging for CPI and PPI.
- As such, traders hedge a bit,due to the data, but positioning overall bullish.
- Top options being bought are 5400 and QQQ 450. both are v much OTM but it shows traders positioning is bullish. Just with hedging for possible short term vol.
Will be posting more positioning analysis charts for various instruments on my subreddit
Tradingedge during the day. Please check back, as it will give you more indication on how markets are positioned.
- What can we say about the market scenario right now, going into a very important CPI week?
- Liquidity is high in the market, and is showing very little signs of stress right now. Traders remain long the market, and are short on volatility. This is ensuring that pullbacks get bought as liquidity is high.
- Right now, we see very little cause for much concern. I had the question recently about some speculation from some X users saying they are seeing put gamma building in the option chain to suggest there are signs of a downturn coming. This is not the correct interpretation of the put gamma we see. This whole rally up, since November, and especially around the time of Israel Iran scenario, we have seen put gamma remain on the option chain because traders have been trying to call an eventual pullback. Trying to get ahead of it, thinking that the market is overextended. To be honest, yes, the market has had a crazy run. But these people trying to get ahead of the pullback, has just caused more squeeze higher as data and market moves havenāt followed. E.g. If CPI comes soft this week, all of this put gamma will have to be closed or will expire worthless, which means that it will fuel a more extreme push higher. This will probably move us to ATH soon. This is the type of scenario that has got us to near 5300 on SPX. So the put gamma is nothing o be looked into in terms of bearish signal.
- Skew for MAG7 stocks remains at ATH. Default Swaps remain very low. Right now we are not seeing positioning for a market ready for a sustained pullback, but in fact are showing signs of a market ready for new ATH.
- If we see a pullback from CPI coming hot, it likely will not last unless it is extremely hot. This is because Powell has already mentioned that there is basically no chance of another hike. Traders remain very short vol. If CPI comes hot, its probable we see a short term spike in VIX, and a jump in dollar, but then the VIX spike will get faded as traders sell into the volatility, which will trigger a buy the dip.
- Right now traders are hedging, but are not positioned for a sustained pullback. Skew is elevated but pointing downwards. This means traders are overall bullish but are seeing short term risks Skew on short term is pointing lower but on 3m points to new highs. Traders may see potential a short term dip from CPI, but for it to not disrupt the bullishness of the market beyond the ver immediate term as they suspect any dip will be bought.
- This hedging is particularly on IWM as it is more interest rate sensitive as we see skew point lower. Traders are lowering call options but this is normal ahead of key data. It is just hedging it is not sign of a change in positioning.
- 200 will probably be the supportive wall on IWM on pullback.
- Here we see the positioning for delta
- https://imgur.com/a/zXV6eL6
- We see a lot of put delta at 200 which will make it supportive, then again at 196 which will probs mark max low incase of v hot print.
- Traders are still v bullish in this market, as are institutions. They just hedge.
- A hot CPI will probably lead to a short term pullback, and I will suspect many people will overestimate the magnitude of this and will turn bearish. They will then get fucked again in the buy the dip just like last time. I will update you nearer the time, but this seems the scenario.
- If CPI comes in line, or soft, we probably rip to ATH, as this will fuel more rate cut sentiment.
- We will then have CPI soft, as well as jobs numbers softening.
- I think that the CPI numbers are actually less important right now. We are still yet to see the inflation trend necessary to give the Fed the confidence required to get to cuts. This will likely take many months to get to that point. SO a hot print doesnt change too much in that way, and a soft print still needs a lot more to follow to increase confidence beyond that.
- However, Powell also laid out the other path to rate cuts, which is that the job market will weaken.
- Right now, we are seeing many signs of a weaker job market, although it is not weak enough to be at recessionary levels. This is actually right now then in a. Sweet spot. May be weakening enough to push the Fed to still consider cuts, but not weak enough to be recessionary.
- If we look at the indeed wage growth numbers, Indeed being a private job listing site, we see wage growth over 2023 and into 2024 has continued to move lower. JOLTS is showing a direct Correlation with this. The Indeed data is leading JOLTS lower, so we should expect to see further weakening in the labour market.
- A look at NVDA positioning: just below the key level of 900.
- We are seeing positive gex across the board really, not much put gex. Gamma is building on 1000 again. Traders probably look for more upside here.
- Reaction to PPI probably be limited as traders await CPI. IF good, can see short term jump before faded intraday into CPI.
- Headline CPI and PPI should get benefit from the fact that oil prices are lower into May from start of April. Used cars should come light on CPI, and we still hope for the shelter prices to reflect real time rents that we see from Zillow data. I think its possible CPI can beat expectations.
DATA LEDE:
- China Inflation rate: comes 0.3% YOY vs expectations of 0.1%. Previous reading was 0.1%
- As such, China inflation rate was higher than expected. This is bullish for Chinese market as represents another step away from disinflation. 3rd month in a row, out of disinflation.
- MOM was 0.1% vs estimate of -0.1%
- Fedās Jefferson speaks as well as Fedās Mester
- Tomorrow is PPI, WEed
MARKETS:
- SPX - Trading at 5234. Is up 0.34% today, Closed friday at 5220. Looks like recovery of ATH at 5272 is on the horizon soon, if CPI can support.
- nasdaq: Trading at 18,222, up 0.5% in premarket. Strong resistance at around 18,340. That is more or less where ATH is. So again, will be targeting ATH.
- Dow: ATH is just shy of 40k. Right now, Dow is trading at 39,580. So ATH is target again. 9th green day in a row now.
- GER40: Flat around 18,750. Lack of any real negative catalyst nor fear in the market. Target still looks like 19k.
- UK100: Trading totally flat at 8430. Has squeezed significantly higher. Up 9% in the last month.
- HKG50: is higher by 1%, back above 19,135, due to the China CPI coming in ahead of expectations, confirming move away from Deflation, and also the fact that China will be embarking on more stimulus.
- CHINA50: Flat really, around 12,700.
- OIL - slightly higher as China might intensify efforts to stimulate economic growth with launch of ultra long sovereign bonds. Will be trying to target the 80 level For WTI if CPI can support.
- GOLD - Trading at 2350. Again will be targeting 2400 this week with CPI.
FX:
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase earlier in session, but since pared the gains.
- Dollar flat/moving slightly lower this morning ahead of PPI tomorrow. Trading at 105.1
- GBP moves higher. Positioning is bullish, as does EURO.
- EURUSD is trading just below 1.08. Is up 0.21% this morning.
- GBPUSD at 1.2547. Will be trying to get close to 100d MA this week, above 1.26
- USDJPy continues weakness, trading at 156 level now again.
MAG 7:
- AAPL - Jeffries believes Apple may launch aggressive iPhone promotional discounts during the 618 online shopping festival in China. Currently Pindudoduo is offering 21% discounts on iPhone, most on any platform. JD second with 16% discounts
- AAPL - Finanlising deal with openAI to use chatgpt AI features on iPhone!!!
- So they will be overhauling Siri and integrating advanced generative AI to enhance user experience
- TSLA - Shanghai Megapack plant has received a construction permit and construction will start in may. Will reach mass production in Q1 of next year.
- TSLA - launches a below market financing rate for Model Y EV purchases. Brought the rate down to 0.99% annual percentage. Quoted rate a week ago was 6.5%. They are trying to stimulate more sales of Model Y to clear inventory
- NVDA - Jefferies raises Nvda PT to 1,200 from 780. Said NVDA is their favourite in the AI basket.
- NVDA - HSBC raises price target to 1350 from 1050.
- NVDA - says they are embarking on a new era of supercomputing, as it announces that 9 new supercomputers globally are using NVDA Grace Hopper super chips, and that the company is accelerating quantum computing efforts
- GOOGL - Sam Altman says that openAI is not working on a search engine. Good for Googel.
- Nonetheless, Google is down in premarket on the Apple partnership with OpenAI. That makes android phones less attractive.
- MSFT - OpEnAI will announce ChatGPT product improvements today
OTHER COMPANIES:
- With BTC trading higher, Crypto stocks are seeing volume today, all higher. CSLK most up after strong earnings on Friday.
- Chinese stocks generally higher on China market higher on better than expected CPI and stimulus measures.
- ARM - developing its own AI chips with the first prototype expected by Spring 2025. Company plans to establish. Dedicated AI chip division, aiming for mass production in Fall 2025.
- INTC - Apollo is in exclusive talks to invest $11B+ in intel chip factory in Ireland.
- MCD - Friday news that they are seeking approval from franchisees to introduce a new $5 meal deal aimed at attracting more customers.
- SQSP - Squarespace going private at $44/shares cash
- GME - up 37% in response to meme posted on twitter by Roaring Kitty
- BABA - earnings tomorrow morning.
- PFE - Pfizer and Astra Zeneca commit nearly $1B to French expansion.
- Ford - Reduces battery orders, amid soaring EV losses, rethinking strategy.
- PENN - Bank of A securities downgrades to neutral from buy, Price target 17.50, due to EPSN bet losses.
- JNJ will exit Kenvue in debt-for-equity deal, a year after spin off.
- UBER, LYFT - Massachusetts takes Uber and Lyft to trial over status of gig workers
- TME up on earnings
- Solar stocks higher after US tariffs on China solar producers
- LAC earnings today
OTHER NEWS:
- BTC trading at 62,733. So is up 2.6% this morning.
- France secures major investments from US companies at Choose France summit. E.g. MSFT said to invest $4B in AI and datacenter, AMZN to invest $1.2B in AI capabilities and delivery services etc
- China will launch ultra long sovereign bonds to boost economy. Will issue first batch of ultra long special central bonds on Friday. Will sell trillions of yuan in bonds to stimulate economic growth amid challenges like housing crisis and weak consumer confidence.
- US administration will quadruple tariffs on China EVs and offer solar exclusions.
- US say that their technology protection policies are not up for negotiation in AI talks with China.
- US and China set up a meeting in Geneva to discuss perils of AI.
- Stifel argues that the next 500 points for the S&P will likely be down. They argue that core PCE remaining higher means interest rates will be pushed back.
- Meme stock is gaining popularity again, with GME rallying over 70%. Now Roaring kitty made first social media post in 3 years.
- South Korea announces a $7B support for Chip industry to boost global competitiveness
- FXPro trader, Alex Kuptsikevich says that Bitcoin could see a panic sell off if it closes under 60k level in the coming days.
- Sirens sound in Israelās North region.
- US say there is still no credible plan to protect civilians inRafah
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase. Purchases fewer bonds in this operation compared to previous one.
- UK PM Rishi Sunak warns that Britain faces its most dangerous years in history.
- Softbankās Vision Fund posts its first annual gain in over 3 years, up $4.6B.
For more of my daily updates and reports, please join
Tradingedge submitted by
TearRepresentative56 to
u/TearRepresentative56 [link] [comments]
2024.05.13 14:33 TearRepresentative56 Everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket 13/05 including positioning analysis going into a big data week.
ANALYSIS
Positioning for Today:
- With QQQ above 440 and SPX above 5200, vol structure is supportive.
- These are now key levels of support
- We probably see some choppiness, likely with upward pressure as positioning supportive. The choppiness will come from amrket makers tryingt o hedge their volatility surpression.
- Vix is at 13.37, likely to remain between 13 and 14.
- We see basically bullihs positioning on indices.
- However, skew on SPX and QQQ, whilst elevated (indicating bulishness) is pointing lower as traders start to hedge. Meanwhile, skew on VIX is supressed, pointing to lack of fear in market, but points higher. This is due to traders hedging for CPI and PPI.
- As such, traders hedge a bit,due to the data, but positioning overall bullish.
- Top options being bought are 5400 and QQQ 450. both are v much OTM but it shows traders positioning is bullish. Just with hedging for possible short term vol.
Will be posting more positioning analysis charts for various instruments on my subreddit
Tradingedge during the day. Please check back, as it will give you more indication on how markets are positioned.
- What can we say about the market scenario right now, going into a very important CPI week?
- Liquidity is high in the market, and is showing very little signs of stress right now. Traders remain long the market, and are short on volatility. This is ensuring that pullbacks get bought as liquidity is high.
- Right now, we see very little cause for much concern. I had the question recently about some speculation from some X users saying they are seeing put gamma building in the option chain to suggest there are signs of a downturn coming. This is not the correct interpretation of the put gamma we see. This whole rally up, since November, and especially around the time of Israel Iran scenario, we have seen put gamma remain on the option chain because traders have been trying to call an eventual pullback. Trying to get ahead of it, thinking that the market is overextended. To be honest, yes, the market has had a crazy run. But these people trying to get ahead of the pullback, has just caused more squeeze higher as data and market moves havenāt followed. E.g. If CPI comes soft this week, all of this put gamma will have to be closed or will expire worthless, which means that it will fuel a more extreme push higher. This will probably move us to ATH soon. This is the type of scenario that has got us to near 5300 on SPX. So the put gamma is nothing o be looked into in terms of bearish signal.
- Skew for MAG7 stocks remains at ATH. Default Swaps remain very low. Right now we are not seeing positioning for a market ready for a sustained pullback, but in fact are showing signs of a market ready for new ATH.
- If we see a pullback from CPI coming hot, it likely will not last unless it is extremely hot. This is because Powell has already mentioned that there is basically no chance of another hike. Traders remain very short vol. If CPI comes hot, its probable we see a short term spike in VIX, and a jump in dollar, but then the VIX spike will get faded as traders sell into the volatility, which will trigger a buy the dip.
- Right now traders are hedging, but are not positioned for a sustained pullback. Skew is elevated but pointing downwards. This means traders are overall bullish but are seeing short term risks Skew on short term is pointing lower but on 3m points to new highs. Traders may see potential a short term dip from CPI, but for it to not disrupt the bullishness of the market beyond the ver immediate term as they suspect any dip will be bought.
- This hedging is particularly on IWM as it is more interest rate sensitive as we see skew point lower. Traders are lowering call options but this is normal ahead of key data. It is just hedging it is not sign of a change in positioning.
- 200 will probably be the supportive wall on IWM on pullback.
- Here we see the positioning for delta
- https://imgur.com/a/zXV6eL6
- We see a lot of put delta at 200 which will make it supportive, then again at 196 which will probs mark max low incase of v hot print.
- Traders are still v bullish in this market, as are institutions. They just hedge.
- A hot CPI will probably lead to a short term pullback, and I will suspect many people will overestimate the magnitude of this and will turn bearish. They will then get fucked again in the buy the dip just like last time. I will update you nearer the time, but this seems the scenario.
- If CPI comes in line, or soft, we probably rip to ATH, as this will fuel more rate cut sentiment.
- We will then have CPI soft, as well as jobs numbers softening.
- I think that the CPI numbers are actually less important right now. We are still yet to see the inflation trend necessary to give the Fed the confidence required to get to cuts. This will likely take many months to get to that point. SO a hot print doesnt change too much in that way, and a soft print still needs a lot more to follow to increase confidence beyond that.
- However, Powell also laid out the other path to rate cuts, which is that the job market will weaken.
- Right now, we are seeing many signs of a weaker job market, although it is not weak enough to be at recessionary levels. This is actually right now then in a. Sweet spot. May be weakening enough to push the Fed to still consider cuts, but not weak enough to be recessionary.
- If we look at the indeed wage growth numbers, Indeed being a private job listing site, we see wage growth over 2023 and into 2024 has continued to move lower. JOLTS is showing a direct Correlation with this. The Indeed data is leading JOLTS lower, so we should expect to see further weakening in the labour market.
- A look at NVDA positioning: just below the key level of 900.
- We are seeing positive gex across the board really, not much put gex. Gamma is building on 1000 again. Traders probably look for more upside here.
- Reaction to PPI probably be limited as traders await CPI. IF good, can see short term jump before faded intraday into CPI.
- Headline CPI and PPI should get benefit from the fact that oil prices are lower into May from start of April. Used cars should come light on CPI, and we still hope for the shelter prices to reflect real time rents that we see from Zillow data. I think its possible CPI can beat expectations.
DATA LEDE:
- China Inflation rate: comes 0.3% YOY vs expectations of 0.1%. Previous reading was 0.1%
- As such, China inflation rate was higher than expected. This is bullish for Chinese market as represents another step away from disinflation. 3rd month in a row, out of disinflation.
- MOM was 0.1% vs estimate of -0.1%
- Fedās Jefferson speaks as well as Fedās Mester
- Tomorrow is PPI, WEed
MARKETS:
- SPX - Trading at 5234. Is up 0.34% today, Closed friday at 5220. Looks like recovery of ATH at 5272 is on the horizon soon, if CPI can support.
- nasdaq: Trading at 18,222, up 0.5% in premarket. Strong resistance at around 18,340. That is more or less where ATH is. So again, will be targeting ATH.
- Dow: ATH is just shy of 40k. Right now, Dow is trading at 39,580. So ATH is target again. 9th green day in a row now.
- GER40: Flat around 18,750. Lack of any real negative catalyst nor fear in the market. Target still looks like 19k.
- UK100: Trading totally flat at 8430. Has squeezed significantly higher. Up 9% in the last month.
- HKG50: is higher by 1%, back above 19,135, due to the China CPI coming in ahead of expectations, confirming move away from Deflation, and also the fact that China will be embarking on more stimulus.
- CHINA50: Flat really, around 12,700.
- OIL - slightly higher as China might intensify efforts to stimulate economic growth with launch of ultra long sovereign bonds. Will be trying to target the 80 level For WTI if CPI can support.
- GOLD - Trading at 2350. Again will be targeting 2400 this week with CPI.
FX:
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase earlier in session, but since pared the gains.
- Dollar flat/moving slightly lower this morning ahead of PPI tomorrow. Trading at 105.1
- GBP moves higher. Positioning is bullish, as does EURO.
- EURUSD is trading just below 1.08. Is up 0.21% this morning.
- GBPUSD at 1.2547. Will be trying to get close to 100d MA this week, above 1.26
- USDJPy continues weakness, trading at 156 level now again.
MAG 7:
- AAPL - Jeffries believes Apple may launch aggressive iPhone promotional discounts during the 618 online shopping festival in China. Currently Pindudoduo is offering 21% discounts on iPhone, most on any platform. JD second with 16% discounts
- AAPL - Finanlising deal with openAI to use chatgpt AI features on iPhone!!!
- So they will be overhauling Siri and integrating advanced generative AI to enhance user experience
- TSLA - Shanghai Megapack plant has received a construction permit and construction will start in may. Will reach mass production in Q1 of next year.
- TSLA - launches a below market financing rate for Model Y EV purchases. Brought the rate down to 0.99% annual percentage. Quoted rate a week ago was 6.5%. They are trying to stimulate more sales of Model Y to clear inventory
- NVDA - Jefferies raises Nvda PT to 1,200 from 780. Said NVDA is their favourite in the AI basket.
- NVDA - HSBC raises price target to 1350 from 1050.
- NVDA - says they are embarking on a new era of supercomputing, as it announces that 9 new supercomputers globally are using NVDA Grace Hopper super chips, and that the company is accelerating quantum computing efforts
- GOOGL - Sam Altman says that openAI is not working on a search engine. Good for Googel.
- Nonetheless, Google is down in premarket on the Apple partnership with OpenAI. That makes android phones less attractive.
- MSFT - OpEnAI will announce ChatGPT product improvements today
OTHER COMPANIES:
- With BTC trading higher, Crypto stocks are seeing volume today, all higher. CSLK most up after strong earnings on Friday.
- Chinese stocks generally higher on China market higher on better than expected CPI and stimulus measures.
- ARM - developing its own AI chips with the first prototype expected by Spring 2025. Company plans to establish. Dedicated AI chip division, aiming for mass production in Fall 2025.
- INTC - Apollo is in exclusive talks to invest $11B+ in intel chip factory in Ireland.
- MCD - Friday news that they are seeking approval from franchisees to introduce a new $5 meal deal aimed at attracting more customers.
- SQSP - Squarespace going private at $44/shares cash
- GME - up 37% in response to meme posted on twitter by Roaring Kitty
- BABA - earnings tomorrow morning.
- PFE - Pfizer and Astra Zeneca commit nearly $1B to French expansion.
- Ford - Reduces battery orders, amid soaring EV losses, rethinking strategy.
- PENN - Bank of A securities downgrades to neutral from buy, Price target 17.50, due to EPSN bet losses.
- JNJ will exit Kenvue in debt-for-equity deal, a year after spin off.
- UBER, LYFT - Massachusetts takes Uber and Lyft to trial over status of gig workers
- TME up on earnings
- Solar stocks higher after US tariffs on China solar producers
- LAC earnings today
OTHER NEWS:
- BTC trading at 62,733. So is up 2.6% this morning.
- France secures major investments from US companies at Choose France summit. E.g. MSFT said to invest $4B in AI and datacenter, AMZN to invest $1.2B in AI capabilities and delivery services etc
- China will launch ultra long sovereign bonds to boost economy. Will issue first batch of ultra long special central bonds on Friday. Will sell trillions of yuan in bonds to stimulate economic growth amid challenges like housing crisis and weak consumer confidence.
- US administration will quadruple tariffs on China EVs and offer solar exclusions.
- US say that their technology protection policies are not up for negotiation in AI talks with China.
- US and China set up a meeting in Geneva to discuss perils of AI.
- Stifel argues that the next 500 points for the S&P will likely be down. They argue that core PCE remaining higher means interest rates will be pushed back.
- Meme stock is gaining popularity again, with GME rallying over 70%. Now Roaring kitty made first social media post in 3 years.
- South Korea announces a $7B support for Chip industry to boost global competitiveness
- FXPro trader, Alex Kuptsikevich says that Bitcoin could see a panic sell off if it closes under 60k level in the coming days.
- Sirens sound in Israelās North region.
- US say there is still no credible plan to protect civilians inRafah
- BOJ reduces bond buying in latest operation, causing yen to increase. Purchases fewer bonds in this operation compared to previous one.
- UK PM Rishi Sunak warns that Britain faces its most dangerous years in history.
- Softbankās Vision Fund posts its first annual gain in over 3 years, up $4.6B.
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2024.05.13 14:26 sonofabutch No game today, so let's remember a forgotten Yankee: Horace Clarke
"I played major league baseball for parts of 10 years, and I played in the magnificent city of New York, and as a child in St. Croix that was beyond dreams. Yes, I am a happy man." --
Horace Clarke The worst stretch of Yankee baseball since the Highlander days, the mid 60s to the mid 70s, is remembered by those who lived through it as
the Horace Clarke Era. Unfairly or not, the bespectacled switch-hitting middle infielder from the U.S. Virgin Islands came to symbolize all that was wrong with the Yankees in those sad years.
Horace Meredith Clarke grew up on the island of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands. He was just the fifth player from the U.S. Virgin Islands to play in the majors, and the first Yankee. His father had grown up playing cricket, and because there were no youth baseball leagues on the island, young Horace played softball. He said he didn't see his first baseball game until around age 13, when he saw some U.S. Navy sailors playing.
āWe were poor kids in St. Croix. We played on a field which was right on the ocean and had no fences. We couldnāt afford baseballs. So the coach made the lefthanded batters hit righthanded and the righthanded batters hit lefthanded. This was so they couldnāt hit the ball so far. It saved us from losing the baseballs in the ocean.ā
Clarke was spotted by a Yankee scout in the Caribbean and assigned to the lowest run of the Yankee farm system -- the Kearney Yankees in Class D ball. Imagine being an 18-year-old kid from St. Croix in the Caribbean, and arriving in Kearney, Nebraska in the spring of 1958. The culture shock must have been overwhelming. Maybe not surprisingly, Clarke hit a disappointing .225/.322/.283 in 187 at-bats. He said the biggest adjustment wasn't the cold weather, but night games played under the lights, something he'd never done before.
The following year Horace was in the Florida State League, and he thrived in the warmer weather, hitting .293/.375/.366 in 571 at-bats. He also stole 34 bases that year. The year after that, he was back up north, playing for Fargo in the Northern League, and hit .307/.389/.369 in 537 at-bats. The following year was Amarillo in the Texas League, where he hit .300/.364/.429.
Then the next three years in the International League, where he hit .281/.345/.352 in 1,494 at-bats while playing shortstop and second base.
But despite Clarke's promise, he was blocked by Bobby Richardson. By the time Clarke had reached Triple-A at age 24 in 1963, the 27-year-old Richardson had already been a four-time All-Star, a two-time Gold Glove winner, and had won three World Series rings... plus the MVP for the 1960 World Series, the only time in baseball history a player for the losing team won the award!
But the Yankees knew Richardson was planning on retiring, so they kept Clarke waiting in the wings. He opened the year with the Toledo Mud Hens, then the Yankees' Triple-A team, and then after a month he finally got the call to the show.
Fifty-nine years ago today, on
May 13, 1965, Clarke was sent up to the plate in the 7th inning as a pinch hitter to make his major league debut in a game the Yankees were losing, 4-1, to the Boston Red Sox in Fenway Park.
Clarke, facing Dave Morehead, beat out an infield single. It was a promising beginning. But, as if scripted to be symbolic of his career, Clarke's success was short-lived as the next batter bounced into a fielder's choice. Forced out at second base, Clarke watched the rest of the game from the dugout. The next day he'd get the start and go 0-for-4.
Hitting .250/.298/.269 at the end of June as a utility infielder, Clarke was sent back down to Toledo for two months to get more regular playing time. It helped. When he returned on
September 3 -- coincidentally, also against the Red Sox -- he went 3-for-5 with an RBI. Overall that month, Clarke hit .273/.298/.327, and for the season, .262/.298/.299 in 115 plate appearances. But the Yankees, the reigning A.L. champions for the past five seasons, finished a shocking 77-85, all the way in sixth place.
That off-season, Phil Linz --
the harmonica playing utility infielder -- was traded to the Phillies, opening up a roster spot for Clarke. Richardson, though only 31, had told the Yankees he would retire at the end of the 1966 season, and the Yankees wanted him to mentor Clarke as his successor.
Clarke started just seven games over the first half, but a series of injuries forced him into regular service. Over the second half, he played almost every day, hitting .276/.334/.404 in 300 plate appearances. He was mostly used at shortstop, where his defense wasn't great, but in 16 games at second base he looked good enough that the Yankees were confident he could be a regular there. Yankee fans were no doubt a little sad when Richardson officially announced to the press on August 31 that it was his last season, but at least we knew who would be playing second base the following year.
Indeed, second base was the least of the Yankees' problems. New York finished dead last at 70-89 in 1966, the team's worst performance since 1925, as injuries fell Mickey Mantle, Roger Maris, Elston Howard, and Whitey Ford.
Entering 1967 as the starting second baseman, Clarke hit a solid .272/.321/.316 (94 OPS+) in 633 plate appearances while leading the league in fielding percentage, assists, and range factor as a second baseman. He also stole 21 bases in 25 tries, a second-best .840 SB%. His 3.7 bWAR that year was better than any season Richardson ever had -- his career high was 3.2 bWAR in 1962.
The following year, the Yankees finished 83-79 -- above .500 for the first time in four seasons -- but a whopping 34.5 games out. Clarke had one of the worst years of his career, hitting .230/.258/.254 (60 OPS+) as he played through injuries all year.
He rebounded in 1969 to .285/.339/.467 (101 OPS+), with 33 stolen bases. It was, statistically, the best season of his career (3.9 bWAR). But once again the Yankees were terrible -- 28.5 games out.
In 1970, Clarke again disappointed, hitting .251/.286/.309 (68 OPS+). The Yankees won 93 games that year, but it amounted to naught as the Orioles ran away with the pennant, going 108-54 to win it by 15 games. In fact, it was pretty much over by July, with the Yankees 7 games out at the All-Star break.
It was around this time that Yankee fans began focusing their frustration on Clarke. One New York sportswriter routinely referred to him as "Horrible Horace". Miscast as a leadoff man -- he had a career .308 OBP -- and criticized for "bailing out" on double plays, manager Ralph Houk years later offered a tepid defense of his second baseman:
āI know I got a lot of criticism for playing Horace Clarke as much as I did, but he was a lot better ballplayer than anyone gave him credit for. He did a lot of things good but nothing great, and that was his problem. Besides, I didnāt have anyone else.ā
The lack of a replacement was certainly an issue. In 1971, there was talk in
The Sporting News about a prospect named Fred Frazier being the heir apparent to Clarke at second base. That year, Frazier hit a disappointing .261/.316/.313 in Triple-A; the next year, .216/.302/.281. The year after that, he was in the Orioles organization. He never made it out of the minors.
In fact, Clarke was the only constant in the Yankee infield in the late 1960s and early 1970s. The Yankees during the, ahem, Horace Clarke Era had holes everywhere, with a revolving door at first base, third base, and shortstop. For five years, from 1967 to 1971, Clarke was the Opening Day starter at second base; during that same stretch, there were five different third basemen, five different third basemen, and three different shortstops. Between 1967 and 1973, he started 1,017 games at second base, or 90% of all Yankee games.
But that, explained Yankees PR man Marty Appel, was kind of the problem. "Fans especially didnāt like the second baseman, the beleaguered Horace Clarke, whose major flaw seemed to be longevity. It wasnāt his fault that no one better came along, and he was a better player than the fans gave him credit for. But because he was out there, year after year, he came to stand for this disappointing run by the club."
"I always did my best. I always played as hard as I could. I never was concerned about how the fans reacted to me." -- Horace Clarke
The following year Clarke hit .250/.321/.318 in 696 plate appearances, but the Yankees again were out of it, finishing 82-80 in 1971.
Yankee fans had been miserable since 1965, but frustration with the team in general -- and Clarke in particular -- reached a boiling point in 1972. It had been seven years since the Yankees had been in the post-season, and 1972 was the first year the Yankees had the playoffs within our grasp since winning the pennant in 1964. (The "closest and latest" the Yankees had been since the 1965 season was 9 games out of 1st place on September 8, 1970.)
On September 12, 1972, the Yankees were a half-game out of 1st place at 74-64, with 17 games left to go in the season. The Red Sox were in 1st at 73-62, the Orioles tied with New York at 74-64, and the Tigers a half-game behind at 73-64. Over the rest of the season, the Yankees went a heartbreaking 5-12, while the Tigers won 13 out of 19 to win the A.L. East.
There was plenty of blame to go around for that collapse, but Yankee fans were particularly irate at Clarke, who hit .225/.267/.296 during those final 17 games.
To his credit, Clarke never complained about the boos from fans or the criticism in the press. As quoted by Dick Young in the
New York Daily News in 1972:
"Sure, I would feel bad when I saw in the papers that, 'the Yankees can never win the pennant with that guy at second base.' But why get mad. I figure that's his opinion, and he's entitled to it. I must have been able to do something. Don't tell me a ballplayer can fool a manager for seven years."
Years later, Thurman Munson said his adversarial relationship with the media was based on how Horace Clarke was treated.
In 1973, the 34-year-old Clarke hit .263/.317/.308 (80 OPS+), his defense was no longer among the league leaders, and the Yankees were once again double-digit games behind by Labor Day.
It was finally time to move on. That off season, the Yankees acquired 23-year-old utility infielder Jim Mason from the Texas Rangers and installed him as the starting shortstop for the upcoming 1974 season; Gene Michael, the Yankees' on-again, off-again shortstop since 1968, was moved to second base; and Clarke to the bench. It wasn't exactly an earth-shattering move -- Mason was coming off a season in which he hit .206/.273/.290, and Michael .225/.270/.278. If anything, the two represented a substantial downgrade from Clarke's numbers. (By bWAR the previous season, Clarke was still the best option of the three, 0.6 compared to Mason's -0.7 and Michael's -0.9.)
After hitting .234/.294/.255 in 53 plate appearances as a pinch hitter and spot starter, on May 31, 1974, the Yankees finally ended the Horace Clarke Era by selling his contract to the San Diego Padres along with minor league pitcher Lowell Palmer for $25,000. At the time of the deal, Clarke was
still the Yankees' best option at second base as Mason was hitting .214/.287/.307 and Michael a putrid .134/.224/.179!
Six weeks later, the Yankees tried to address their second base problem again by acquiring former All-Star Sandy Alomar from the Angels. Alomar, who fathered major leaguers Sandy Jr. and Roberto, played for the Yankees for the next two and a half seasons, hitting .248/.287/.302... again, worse than Horace's career average of .256/.308/.313.
And yet getting rid of Horace Clarke immediately turned around the Yankees' fortunes. With Horace, the Yankees were 23-27, the worst record in the American League; without him, a second-best 66-46. New York finished 89-73, just two games behind the Baltimore Orioles.
The Yankees finally found a solution to the second base problem on December 11, 1975, trading
previously forgotten Yankee Doc Medich to the Pirates for Dock Ellis, Ken Brett, and a 20-year-old prospect named Willie Randolph.
Meanwhile, Clarke went to San Diego and hit .189/.255/.200 in 99 plate appearances. He was released at the end of the season and retired. He was a frequent attendee at Yankee Old Timers' Games, and promoted baseball in the U.S. Virgin Islands. He died at age 81 on August 5, 2020, from complications due to Alzheimer's disease.
The Clarke Side - Horace's nickname was "Hoss". Yankee play-by-play man Bill White loved to draw out the "s" sound.
- Clarke had a reputation of being timid on double plays -- the team's pitchers thought he was apt to hold onto the ball and hop aside rather than try to get off a throw if it meant getting barreled over by the runner. (And in those days, runners came in hard -- just ask Willie Randolph!) Yankee pitchers complained to the press about it, and fans started watching for such plays. Any time the 175-pound Clarke didn't complete a double play, the boo birds came out. To be fair, despite his reputation as being afraid of contact, Clarke led the league in double plays turned as a second baseman in 1969 and again in 1971, and finished in the top five every year he was a regular.
- Clarke was the last Yankee to live within walking distance of Yankee Stadium, at the Grand Concourse Hotel. His commute to work was a three-block walk... which could be a problem sometimes. Sportswriter Dick Young reported Clarke had an awkward moment when a fan, "this kid, maybe 11 or 12," walked up and asked: "Hey Hoss, how come you can't make the double play?" Clarke replied: "Well, we can't all be stars. I guess I'm just a lousy ballplayer."
- Clarke had an unusual batting stance, a throwback to the Deadball Era. He stood with his legs far apart and he choked up high on the bat. Not surprisingly, he had just 27 home runs in 5,243 career plate appearances... but apparently all of them were of the over-the-fence variety.
- The first of those 27 home runs was a grand slam! It was off Floyd Weaver of the Cleveland Indians on September 21, 1965. The two-out grand slam in the 4th inning helped power the Yankees to a 9-4 win.
- And Clarke's second career home run? Another grand slam! It came on July 16, 1966. Clarke came up with the bases loaded and one out in the top of the 10th of a 5-5 game. Clarke crushed Jack Aker's offering to deep right to clear the bases and give the Yankees a 9-5 lead; Pedro Ramos pitched a perfect 9th to preserve the victory. Whitey Ford, who had entered the game in the 9th inning in relief, got the win. Clarke's first and second home runs were the only grand slams of his career!
- Aker was later Clarke's teammate with the Yankees from 1969 to 1972, and the sinkerballing reliever was one of the pitchers who criticized Horace about bailing out on double plays.
- Long before John Olerud made it cool, Horace sometimes wore a batting helmet while playing the field. He never explained why; some speculated it was because he'd once been hit in the head by a thrown ball.
- Clarke said he grew up listening to Yankee games on the radio, and Phil Rizzuto -- a similarly undersized infielder -- was his favorite player. Horace was 11 years old when the Scooter won the A.L. MVP in 1950.
- Mickey Mantle, his knees shot, moved to first base for the final two years of his career. Clarke, the regular second baseman both of those seasons, said that Mantle told him to get every ball he could. Horace led the league in range factor as a second baseman both of those seasons.
- The Sporting News reported on March 14, 1970, that Clarke had a "novel twist" during salary negotiations for the upcoming 1970 season. He told the Yankees he'd take less money in salary if they helped him secure a $1 million loan for a construction project in the Virgin Islands. Sportswriter Dick Young speculated: "It's a very simple gimmick. First you get the Yankees to lend you $1 million for an investment. You bank it at seven percent. That brings in $70,000 a year. Then you negotiate your contract with the independent feeling that you don't have to play baseball for a living." Clarke and the Yankees eventually agreed on a more conventional contract at $32,000 -- and no loan.
- Check out Horace Clarke's leadoff single on Opening Day in 1970, called by Phil Rizzuto! #23 playing first base for the Yankees is not Don Mattingly, but previously forgotten Yankee John Ellis.
- Clarke set the major league career record -- since tied by Joe Mauer -- of most no-hitters broken up in the 9th inning. Both players did it three times in their career... but Clarke did it three times in the same season! He had 9th inning singles to break up no-no's by Kansas City's Jim Rooker on June 4, 1970, Boston's Sonny Siebert on June 19, 1970, and Detroit's Joe Niekro on July 2, 1970. No other hitter has broken up more than two no-hitters in the 9th inning in his career, according to the book Baseball's No-Hit Wonders by Dirk Lammers, but Clarke amazingly did it three times in 24 games spread over 28 days. Mauer's 9th inning heartbreakers came over a six-year stretch.
- Clarke went 5-for-6 with an RBI in the second game of a doubleheader on April 19, 1970 -- and had 11 other games where he had four hits. In terms of fantasy scoring, his best day was either May 21, 1969, when he went 4-for-6 with three runs scored and three stolen bases, or July 22, 1971, when he was 4-for-5 with three runs scored and three RBIs.
- Clarke was involved in one of the most surreal moments of baseball history on the final day of the 1971 season. The Yankees were playing the Washington Senators -- not the original Senators, who had moved to Minnesota to become the Twins in 1961, but the expansion team founded that same year to replace them. Rangers owner Bob Short, who had bought the team three years earlier, announced he was moving the team to Arlington, Texas, to become the Rangers. (Coincidentally, in 1957, Short had bought the Minneapolis Lakers and, three years later, moved them to Los Angeles.) The final home game of the Senators at RFK Stadium in Washington, D.C., was on September 30, 1971 against the Yankees. The game was tied, 5-5, but the soon-to-be Rangers scored a pair in the bottom of the 8th to take a 7-5 lead. In the top of the 9th, Felipe Alou and Bobby Murcer grounded out to bring up Horace Clarke. Before he could get to the plate, however, a fan ran onto the field and pulled up first base, prompting hundreds more fans to run onto the field in search of their own souvenirs. Clarke and the Senators ran off the field and the umpires called it a forfeit in favor of the Yankees.
- Horace wore #20 all 10 seasons he was with the Yankees. It was never a particularly popular number before him, as the only player who wore it more than a few seasons was Tiny Bonham (1940-1946). Bucky Dent wore #20 from 1977 to 1982, and previously forgotten Yankee Bobby Meacham from 1983 to 1988. Another previously forgotten Yankee, Mike Stanley, wore it from 1992 to 1995, then Jorge Posada had it until Stanley returned in 1997 and reclaimed it. After Stanley left the Yankees, he asked Posada to take it back, saying that number should belong to a catcher. And now it always will, as it was retired for Posada in 2015.
- His obituary in The New York Times noted that among major leaguers from the Virgin Islands -- "a relatively small roster" -- Clarke still holds the records for games played, hits, runs, RBIs, and stolen bases.
- After he retired, Clarke helped promote youth baseball in the U.S. Virgin Islands. One of the players he mentored was Jerry Browne, who played 10 years in the majors between 1986 and 1995 with the Rangers, Indians, A's, and Marlins. In his SABR biography, Browne credits Clarke with teaching him baseball fundamentals.
- According to the book Where Have All Our Yankees Gone? by Brian Jensen, Clarke played a uniquely Caribbean instrument called "the vibes." "The vibes is like a xylophone, marimba-related type sound. It's a keyboard-type related instrument." Clarke said he played the instrument during his Yankee days, but -- unlike Bernie Williams, who frequently strummed on his guitar in the clubhouse -- only during the off-season. "When I was with the Yankees, ya know, the instrument that I had, the vibes, I was doing it, ya know, but never in the clubhouse, though. Once you are in the clubhouse, it is all work, ya know. That was never so much allowed. I had the instrument all the years that I was a Yankee but I was involved with baseball. That was my full time and I didn't have full time to play music but, ya know, in the off-season I would have a vibe and try to learn a song by hearing from a tape or a record and that's what it was." After retiring, Clarke played the instrument with a local band called Out of Nowhere.
- Of the 15 major leaguers to have been born in the U.S. Virgin Islands, the only other Yankee was Elrod Hendricks, a backup catcher for the Bombers from 1976 to 1977. Jabari Blash, born in St. Thomas, gets an honorable mention for the three months he spent as a Yankee during the 2017-2018 off-season. Blash was acquired from the Padres for Chase Headley on December 12, then traded to the Angels for a PTBNL or cash considerations. I guess we got the cash, because apparently no player was ever named.
- There's a Horace Clarke High School in Jamaica, but it's not named after the Yankee. It's named after the Horace Clarke who was a member of parliament in Jamaica from 1972 to 2002.
- Also not him: Horace Clarke, a teenager shot and seriously wounded by a Blackfeet Indian named Owl Child on August 17, 1869. Clarke's father, Malcolm, was killed in the same attack, which was purportedly revenge for Malcolm Clarke having attacked him two years earlier... which Malcolm claimed he'd done because Owl Child had stolen horses from him... which Owl Child said he'd done in revenge for yet an earlier dispute. The pursuit of Owl Child resulted in a massacre of at least 170 people, mostly elderly men, women, and children. As for Owl Child, he escaped to Canada and was never seen again.
"I remember the first game I played in Yankee Stadium in 1965. There were more than 40,000 people in the stands. I had just come from my country where there are 30,000 people in the entire country. That was some adjustment." -- Horace Clarke
Overall, Horace Clarke hit .257/.309/.315 in 5,144 plate appearances as a Yankee. His numbers aren't quite as bad as they appear, as he played during one of the lowest offense eras since deadball... an 84 OPS+. That ranks him ahead of fondly-remembered Yankees like Shelley Duncan (81 OPS+), Rick Cerone (80 OPS+), Miguel Cairo (80 OPS+), Bucky Dent (72 OPS+), and... Bobby Richardson (77 OPS+). And while many complained about his defense, his defensive metrics -- such as we have for his era -- indicate he was at least an average defender. He led the league in range factor three times, in fielding percentage once, in assists six times, and in double plays twice.
People tend to think about Clarke -- if they think about him at all -- as either a terrible player, representative of the teams he played on, or a good player who was wasted on bad teams. The truth is somewhere in the middle. As sportswriter Maury Allen said, he was "an average big-leaguer on below-average Yankee teams."
And in fact, Clarke's 16.0 career bWAR as a Yankee is
twice as much value as the player he replaced, Bobby Richardson (8.0 bWAR). But Richardson was a fan favorite, while Clarke was scorned. But of course... Richardson won three rings. And Yankee fans love a winner!
"New York is New York. You donāt win, youāre going to hear about it. I was in the middle." -- Horace Clarke
Had Clarke come along a few years earlier and been part of the early 1960s dynasty, he might be remembered fondly as a scrappy infielder, a Tony Kubek or a Bucky Dent or a Scott Brosius -- a good but not great player who had some memorable moments.
Instead, Horace Clarke defines an era of futility.
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2024.05.13 12:35 BranzorFlakes Enemy Armor And Loadout Freedom
Welcome to my Ted talk, today we will be extensively covering how the current armor system limits player freedom of choice in the higher levels of play. And freedom should never be limited.
The decision to use armor in its current form instead of beefier health for tougher units is extremely restrictive when it comes to the player's freedom for selecting loadouts, especially because of how common their spawns are on higher difficulties. You can pretty much run anything you want in difficulties 1 to 5 as the number of armored enemies is relatively low but around 6, contact with heavily armored enemies becomes basically constant, you're pretty much required to bring anti armor weaponry to help your team deal with them, with each difficulty higher requiring you to use more strategem slots with anti armor capabilities to counter the ever increasing number of armored units taking the field, as they are the most difficult to eliminate due to their ability to negate incoming damage with the deflection mechanic. This is compounded by the fact that AH seems intent on requiring support weapons and strategems to deal with heavy armor, indicating that they have no intention to release primary or secondary weapons with heavy anti armor capability, so you have two out of three weapon slots that are likely to always be near useless versus heavy armor.
The worst offender of restricting your choice in loadout are Automaton Helldive missions. There are a total of 22 out of 45 strategems that I would never bring to such a mission due to their poor performance versus armor. That's almost half of the list of strategems that are severely limited in usefulness on the highest difficulties simply because of how common armored enemies are. You already have a primary and a secondary that have apparantly been permanently designated as the chaff cleaners, no point in bringing more chaff cleaners when you've got two tanks and four hulks to clean up. That really doesn't feel good, being restricted to half of your total armament that you fought for, bled for, and died many many times to buy simply because you've advanced to the highest levels of play. Having one part of your game's design cause another part of the game's design to become worse the further the player progresses is a bad design choice.
One can lower the difficulty to free up strategem slots, this is true. But that shouldnt be required considering the strategems intended design. The strategems are meant to each fill a specific role to provide ground support to helldivers. This indicates that that AH would like for all the strategems to have their own specific niche in the game, to have each one as a sidegrade rather than an upgrade, regardless of difficulty. But the reality is, due to all of the aforementioned reasons, only the strategems that have a high armor penetration fulfill the desired design of filling a specific tactical niche from the lowest level of play to the highest. Which means anti armor strategems are only sidegrades to each other, and upgrades to light penetrating strategems.
As I said before, Automatons are the worse offender for the amount of armored units they field. But it's also how they are armored that makes them more difficult than terminids. Automaton's are well armored both in front and back, requiring anti armor, or shots to specific weak points. The body of devastators is only medium armor so you can do half damage with those weapons, the heads are something you can hit from the front, but requires accurate fire, which can be difficult while under their suppressive fire, and because your weapon scopes are misaligned (AH PLEASE FIX REEE). Scout strikers require a well placed grenade or a full side flank to shoot their bodies. The Hulk and tank require flanking maneuvers to get behind them to shoot their vulnerable radiator, but both are able to turn towards a single player quickly enough to prevent them from getting an angle on it, requiring two players to work together to get a successful flank (Or you can slap them with an EMS grenade point blank and dunk on them with the 180 diving noscope). Then there's the factory strider as one giant armored beast (havent gotten to have a full fight with one due to all three other players throwing 500kgs on sight, so i dunno about any weakpoints.)
Compare this to how terminids are armored. Hive guards and brood commanders only really have armor that covers their direct front and its not heavy armor, so you can shoot them in their large head and do half damage through it, far better than zero damage, plus a hell diver only has to take a few steps to the side to fire at their unarmored sides, or you can go prone and fire at their unarmored belly. Chargers are covered in chitinous plates, but due to how they engage the player (by charging, doi), they expose their unarmored rear as they pass the player on a successful dodge, again requiring no flanking shenanigans to get at the meat. Then there's the bile titan, covered in chitin except for its bile sac, which can be shot from pretty much any direction as long as you aren't on a higher inclination. This makes the terminids quite a bit easier to deal with when you don't have heavy anti armor weaponry available at the moment, due to how much easier it is to successfully land shots that actually do damage. All this and the fact that terminids have fewer heavy armor units means that the player has more freedom in choosing their strategems when facing the terminids compared to the automatons.
It is my personal belief that everything aforementioned is the reason why there has been about 35% of the total player population that has stuck with playing on the terminid side of the map compared to the roughly 10% that stick to the automaton side, with 55% simply following orders (a rough estimate by a redditor I know, but the values seem to be about right from my own observations). This indicates that others feel what ive been trying to make a point of through this whole post. Players don't enjoy having their gaming freedom of choice becoming restricted due to the games mechanics, spawn rates, and enemy design, and if given a choice, will always choose the option which allows them more freedom of choice.
So, how can we fix this state of affairs? There's a few options available.
One option would be to buff all strategems to have heavy armor penetration, though this feels a bit clumsy. We wouldn't want a machine gun to chew through heavy armor units faster than a recoilless rifle for example, that would be silly. This could require lowering the damage of some strategems, which would also affect their usefulness against lighter units. Clumsy.
Another option would be to change the units design to include more spots that are lighter than heavy armor. This could help support weapons and primaries, but it doesn't really help out the other strategems, due to the area effect nature of orbitals and airstrikes, as well as the center mass aiming turrets.
Personally, I would suggest the following two changes.
I suggest reducing the spawn rate and unit cap of heavy units, but give them increased stats and more light supporting units. Having 3 tanks, 5 hulks, and a factory strider supporting each other makes it extremely difficult to eliminate them. With fewer armor units on the field you won't have to constantly have Anti armor strategems available, as the time between encounters will be higher allowing your strategems to come off cool down, freeing up slots for other uses. This would also make dealing with a heavy armor unit doable for a team with only light anti armor capabilities by giving them the ability to isolate the heavy unit by clearing out its lighter supporting units, and then focusing all fire on the heavy unit, kinda like clearing the adds of a miniboss before you focus them down.
However my primary suggestion is changing how the armor mechanic works, specifically deflections. Deflections are the primary reason why half of the strategems performance degrades as the player progresses. Those strategems simply can't do any damage to heavy units. If you throw a gatling barrage at a Hulk, you may as well have thrown it into the ocean, at least then maybe you could have tagged some fish. And there are 21 other strategems that are in the same boat. My suggested change is to remove deflections entirely, instead simply giving each level of armor higher than penetration a damage reduction value.
Something like this, if penetration exceeds armor; no damage reduction, if armor=pen; 40% dmg reduction, if armor is 1 lvl higher to pen; 60% dmg reduction, if armor is 2 lvls higher than pen; 80% dmg reduction. You could definitely play around with the exact numbers but I figure those are in the ballpark. This system for armor would allow all strategems and weapons to do at least some of their damage to heavy units. Reducing the loss of strategem effectiveness as the player progresses into higher level play. Now, no longer having the ability to completely negate incoming damage means that these units will be taking damage a lot more often, so they'll need a health boost to keep their average lifetimes from being reduced, as well as to help them shrug off large volumes of small arms fire.
These two changes together would allow more player choice in what strategems they bring in the highest levels of play by allowing more strategems to be soft counters to heavy armor, as well as allowing time for the anti armor strategems that were brought to tick down their cooldown. Perhaps with such changes, that 35% that much prefers the terminid side of the map can be coaxed into joining those who follow the orders, no longer feeling their freedom of choice in strategems is being limited far more by the automaton side. And more Helldivers following Super Earth's will means more freedom and democracy will spread through the stars, like a wildfire of patriotism.
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2024.05.13 12:34 Kind_Stranger_weeb If you are finding Redacted too hard, consider using god mode.
Im seeing a lot of people posting that Chronos is too op. People suggesting methods of nerfing him or adjusting. But as someone who is beating him over and over fairly easily on high fear i have this to say, learn his moves in
god mode. His moves are punishing, dealing large amounts of damage in a single hit as a titan should. To really master him you need to learn him enough to do large sections hitless, learning where his blind spots are and the tells for his moves. If you keep failing at that he doesn't need to be weaker, you just need to learn.
Its situations like this that god mode was made for. A flat damage reduction is not cheating. The mode is there for a reason. It will give you the leeway to lean his moves to the point you don't need it and can then beat him without it. Mel and Zag after all are gods, there is no reason they cant use that birth right.
https://preview.redd.it/7wdldbu9s50d1.png?width=1014&format=png&auto=webp&s=b405015546991404f661961d828eafe12ccbc8f8 For my first few runs of underworld and Olympus i used god mode. Turning it off when i stopped loosing or struggling. It's a great tool for learning movesets and mechanics and if you are ignoring it out of pride i implore you to give it a try. The point of games after all is to have fun and if you are having such a bad time you are begging the devs to make the game easier in reddit, make it easier yourself first with the tools they already gave you.
That to the side, strategies i use to get easy wins. These fall under two categories, add management and burst damage.
Add Management You need a quick mana efficient way to kill the satyrs, hourglasses and other adds he brings to the fight. This is also the reason i always choose the hades boon that kills half of them for you. (though the darkness boon he offers is also amazing, 10 seconds of invulnerability after hitting one of Chronos's orbs is really OP)
The only henchman you need to divert your attention to are the banners, use your main attack to kill them as soon as you see them in phase one, or they will create barriers over the adds that makes them tougher to ignore, but there is a large gap between the banners appearing and them casting their first barrier.
For all other mobs i like to ignore them and focus on Chronos, while i passively kill them.
To do this you want your passive damage to do around 300 hp of damage. This is your aoe cast or your dash.
There are multiple casts that can do it but i recommend Hestia and Demeter.
https://preview.redd.it/kfqerlfcr50d1.png?width=1204&format=png&auto=webp&s=7b09ef75b00b87b60362eaeb2c75db53fd416a6e https://preview.redd.it/yhe9isefr50d1.png?width=1195&format=png&auto=webp&s=66ec3e8cdd10011f7f167f840764537808e30427 https://preview.redd.it/pngxfu93s50d1.png?width=1002&format=png&auto=webp&s=c8a5380ad2eabaaed9653d35376a87a712fcbd96 As their basic cast deals the damage over time not their omega cast. Combined with Zeus or Hestia's casting boon, which either fires a fireball or lightning bolt and lets you target your cast. Aiming at the adds without needing to move near them.
https://preview.redd.it/midkkvsjr50d1.png?width=1196&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6028a6ecbb5fb6e8218f518ae1a151727db5ff8 https://preview.redd.it/a9epj6tmr50d1.png?width=1209&format=png&auto=webp&s=08bb13adaf7bee52b768585e6592c5a3c56f61b5 For this you get a burst (fireball or bolt) of damage and sustained dps by just tapping cast allowing you to focus your attention on chronos. Both dont waste your time charging your attack which is deadly in this encounter as the titan of time is immune to the omega attack charge time slowing.
The second method of dealing with adds passively is a high dps dash attack. The best for this is posidon. Getting his dash to heroic makes it deal 200 plus damage and has knockback cc. Allowing you to dodge chronos and move in to attack him while killing his adds in the process without thinking about it.
https://preview.redd.it/un3obwirr50d1.png?width=1201&format=png&auto=webp&s=900c8f4b2ae1cc838f208565b143541b42e5b418 Heroic Breaker Sprint does 200+ damage with no poms, but this one i got as a trade for another sprint has enough damage to kill all the adds in two hits for just 10 mana This sprint was doing 360 damage per hit. Chronos himself, burst damage and placement Every weapon has a way to deal reliable burst damage, to beat Chronos you want one of your attacks, special or main, to be able to deal a combo of around 1k damage in a few second, the gap you have to punish him when he uses his boomerang or scythe slice attack - but if you are struggling the highest single attack damage belong to the Argent Skull and the Moonstone Axe. Both can very easily get over 300 damage per attack,
The best axe strategy i learnt from a chaos trial in the pitch black stone. The hammer ability Hell Chop which turns your basic attack into a 300+ damage chop is amazing vs bosses with the Mel aspect Axe, as it allows you to dive, do a large burst attack and then dash right out, hopefully dealing some damage in the same time. The basic strategy is to have a good damage skill, like Nova Attack on the axe, lay your cast on top of Chronos for the bonus damage and attack with the axe, using this method ive gotten the axe to 1300 damage per attack with a very wide AOE range. allowing you to take your chance, attack once for a big burst and then bug out of his range.
If you arent lucky enough to get this specific hammer, the axe is a slow but reliable way to deal 5% of Chronos's health in a single attack. Just hit him with its full combo while he uses the two punishable moves, use Mels aspect as it allows the axe to attack fast enough. The spin omega attack is great for dps and picking off adds and is how i got my first win.
The Skull is good in that it deals its damage from a range, doing 80-100 damage with a decent attack boon you can blast chronos with 300 damage per reload, much more if he is in your cast or you have extra damage boons like Hestia, Zeus or Hephestus, then move into one of his safe zones. There are two must have hammers that boost this to the next level. The one which adds two skulls, giving you 500 base damage per wave, and the one which creates the omega attack effect when you collect the skull creating a combo where you hit him for 300, dash into him, then blast him for 300 damage per skull, so another 900 burst, this is a simple 1300 damage combo that keeps you at range and mobile most of the time and will burn the titans health in no time.
https://preview.redd.it/c2naaiwx760d1.png?width=1235&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a5498752237320c01f508e52882f0d994c64b8b Any weapon can have reliable burst added by using Hephaestus's explosion boon, which is a long cool down 300-400 burst, around 5% of his HP, that can be boosted with furnace blast to double the damage- if you are lucky with Poms you can get the cooldown of volcanic strike as low as 2 seconds, which makes this very reliable.
https://preview.redd.it/xn88yrsm360d1.png?width=1192&format=png&auto=webp&s=3ee0e7a5e5b945cc67d8e4a684e97c534934a7eb Through the Poseidon and Hestia duo boon which creates high damage DPS on slipped and burned enemies (Which you may have from the two quick attack methods above)
As well as through Zeus blitz effect, on fast weapons like the sister blades, for example Blitz on the special could be triggered by Hephaestus's attack causing the combo to trigger for 100 damage blitz+200-300 volcanic strike and 300 furnace strike, creating a 600 damage combo by pressing 2 buttons using 3 common boons. The Zeus/Aphrodite duo boon also allows you to instant trigger blitz turning these into very reliable burst damage boons.
There are too many of these combos to mention and part of the fun will be finding ones that work for you
Placement For phase one Chronos is pretty simple to avoid.
His scythe whirlwind attack is slower than your dash, if you are using the dash method to passively kills adds this is a good time to run into them and kill them. Dropping your cast on the big guy as you are behind him
Boomerang scythe move is easy to avoid, its blind spot is right in front of Chronos allowing you to hit with your slowest highest dps moves easily.
His wide swing and dash attack both leave a black scar in the ground, these are the only places that are hit by the attack, you can continue attacking him close up through the swing, as the blind spot is again right in front of him, for the dash, he curls his back and shakes, your signal to dodge to the side
Golden Balls/ Bullet hell attacks, at some point Chronos will start teleporting, and generating a round shield of balls, as well as leaving a time stop barrier where he was, this is clearly signposted by a gold magic circle at his feet so easy to dodge the time freeze and these balls are low DPS for him (dealing just 13 damage for me), and can be soaked if you want, but the best way to deal with them is stand near a wall, when he next teleports the balls will hit the wall and burst. However if you have revenge attacks like Zeus's bolt, maybe 13 damage is worth taking those hits for the revenge effects. a 100 damage bolt in return for a 13 damage ball seems fair to me, though ive not done this strategy it occurred to me while recording the damage it took for this post. He also creates a vortex of balls around him. These, just ignore, they have a low range, dash out of it near the styx, take a moment to recover your mana if you have a wait to regen skill or kill some of his adds.
Thats phase one, dodge around ball and vortex attack, punish his boomerang and scythe swing attack by standing in front of him in the blind spot damaging him. Looking for the arched back and shake that indicates is is about to dash.
Phase 2 - Instant death effects and you The first attack is an instant death or damn near it, whole field wipe. One of the clock numbers will glow, that is your safe zone, you have enough time to get from the other side of the arena if you dash but the second you see a glowing number go for it.
Ticking Clock: A clock hand appears that moves around in order, if hit by the golden hand it will stun you for a second as well as damage you, but this is easy enough to dodge.
Closing circle: If the middle of the clock glows, a circle of damage is about to come, you need to dash outside of the magic circle as it closes in. Sometimes there are two circles.
Time grasp: He will reach at you and slow your time, this is pretty ok, you cant do anything about it but he doesnt do anything to hurt you while slow, just avoid hitting one of the AOE effects already on field. When testing he only ever did this once to me each battle so feels more like a flex than a real attack.
His second instant death attack is creating a black circle on the outside and middle with a range of no colour
Notes provided by Microsoft snipping tool Time bubbles, he creates many gold circles on the ground, getting caught in one when it goes off punishes you by freezing you. For me this catches me when im escaping the closing circle and he goes right in for the freeze, but otherwise easy to dodge
https://preview.redd.it/6b323wjsz50d1.png?width=1209&format=png&auto=webp&s=50c9f00c2e504881cd301dbfa3db1c724c77a72c Bullet hell rings, he creates three rings of low damage golden balls, easy to dodge and position so they dont hurt you. I find my little froggy buddy usually negates an entire ring just sitting there. The warning for this is red circles on the ground. The 3rd ring is too far out to ever damage you, the inner ring is a shield and will probably need to be soaked, the middle ring is far enough away you can wait in the gap and hit him with ranged attacks and still be close enough to dodge boomerang and slice.
https://preview.redd.it/2fyvphlw160d1.png?width=1582&format=png&auto=webp&s=9b88cb489e7e10e5708f266ad8c2c243b854bdfd At half health he summons hourglasses and puts a shield around himself, you dont need to kill the glasses, but since hes shielded and bullet covered himself may as well until he moves back to a normal pattern.
The whole time he is using his three core attacks, the dash, the slice and the boomerang, All three have wider arcs meaning a bigger safe zone for the boomerang and the slice.
After 50% health there is less of a delay between all his attacks, but it stays much the same with golden balls added to the rotation more,
Just keep dodging the AOEs, stay in front of him when hes not casting those and hit hard and often.
https://preview.redd.it/8hekgdn8260d1.png?width=1615&format=png&auto=webp&s=52e6462a71ba9df580cd3ff3276b7dcb8093085a Finally General run advice
Boon rarity, heroic boons are an amazing investment, an increase from 80 to 200 damage on posidons dash attack? insane, there are 3 methods i use.
Rare crop from Demeter, considering that this is the most reliable way taking Demeter's keepsake at the start of a run is a good call. Will take 1-3 of your boons and make them heroic over the next 12 encounters, so if you are going to take it take it early, it also helps to do that so it chooses the core boons you want to boost. Getting this as my 4th boon in order to make my main attack cast and dash heroic is something i will happily waste my hammers onThis can be supplemented by switching to Narcissus's keepsake after first boss to turn one more of your early boons heroic, just make sure to change keepsake before drinking from the fountain.
https://preview.redd.it/d2ztqte4660d1.png?width=1087&format=png&auto=webp&s=e5af945426eb7027b70e37da2b7276c79f14ead9 The opposite of this is Heras skill Bridal Glow, which makes all your boons heroic but slowly downgrades them. Only safe to take right before the final boss, but i did once get it in the final Charon shop and had fun. If not willing to take the risk on this Hera has one of the most powerful skills in the game IMO, Proper Upbringing infusion which makes all your boons rare
https://preview.redd.it/aeqkwoai660d1.png?width=1256&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e95b879774cb458b7136c71baaa8bcd1176c81c And then combos of another of her boons for a flat damage increase to everything
https://preview.redd.it/ceexx3wl660d1.png?width=1186&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a99e6cad714c2e47cd64e19f6683eb2f60f98e0 Hera and Hestia both offer means to trade offerings for higher versions also, so running either of these goddesses will leave you with more rare and heroic than not.
Hope this has helped if anyone has a 1k plus combo not mentioned here let me know :) And before you complain the game is too hard, use god mode.
Update: For fun after this i went back to 34 fear and tried using my least favourite weapon, the torches, i wound up getting 3 hammers this run which boosted my special, an echo double and 2 normal, so my blitz special became my burst damage and my passive damage, as the circling yellow orbs took out the adds, and as i surmised above, having two vengeance effects and soaking the golden balls was an effective way to damage Chronos. I wasnt quite doing enough damage to hurt chronos, but my hex ability came in clutch for bursts of DPSFor more fun the vows i used :)
https://preview.redd.it/flganyf4w70d1.png?width=1333&format=png&auto=webp&s=f69e5ee492134889e967c2a1d5a3eee21f3be196 https://preview.redd.it/uuxeqbz8w70d1.png?width=408&format=png&auto=webp&s=cf4461ef438ce9891ae46790d846a1f437aa2924 https://preview.redd.it/ltsqsg0ts70d1.png?width=696&format=png&auto=webp&s=0649f1024d0803a6b71e2de78de72950e33101ef Vow of blood and dominance - Opponents having more health and damage is standard of increased difficulty
Vow of fury - Honestly a buff, enemies being faster means they move into my attacks faster
Vow of commotion - More mobs isnt a problem as you can see i build up AOE damage for the end battle adds, rather than single target damage
Vow of wandering - never really feel the impact of this one, its three vow points for nothing, am i the only one who finds the zone 1 mobs harder than the zone 2 and 3?
Vow of scars, no healing, this hurts, honestly a run ender - not one to choose lightly
Vow of destitution, this seems bad, but not really, the vow of commotion adds enough mobs that you get enough gold to counter it.
Vow of panic - i leave this on for my low heat runs, it changes the way you play a little 0 mana at start of a round makes you think about and use your gain boons more effectively.
Vow of bitterness - I hate it i hate it i hate it. I lost a Hera boon when i chose her keepsake to get it! I lost a boss Zeus boon! Ah i hate this one. But in the end 3 less boons isnt that bad of a cost.
Vow of arrogance - this costs you primed mana for rare boons, but since i used rare crop and narcissus's keepsake to boost my boons to heroic it didnt have much impact at all on this run.
Vows i hate and will never use -
Rebuke - Just annoying having to chip all enemies before hurting them, it forces fast weapon styles and just annoys me enough to avoid
Haunting - maybe i suck, but battles just go forever and ever with this one
Forsaking - The FOMO of loosing a boon you wanted upsets me a lot so dont pick this one
Desperation - look i think i made good time sub 20 min here, but ive never won a game with this (or the hades equivalent on)
Abandon - 5 fear is a lot, but loosing my arcana cards is way too big a cost.
I think i could have activated vow of suffering and gone for 38 fear here, might try that one some time.
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2024.05.13 10:33 Not_FamousAmos Opinion: Y'all gotta stop with the "if youre xyz, would you move out of Malaysia?" discussion
Its basically a weekly occurence at this point, and just today alone, there's 2 such thread floating about.
I get that its a popular sentiment, and many dream of such a life, but let's be real, half the people that dream of such a life has never spent any considerable time out of Malaysia, let alone work, live and deal with the daily issues that comes with living in a different country.
Its basically an obsession right now, and rarely does it even contribute to any worthwhile discussion and its all just so circular. 'Msia is hopeless, move if you can' ; 'stop grass is greener mentality', etc. etc.
These kind of decision should also be super context based for there to be worthwhile or help to OP, is it for work? whats the pay like? whats the future prospect? visa issue etc. etc.
IMO, 80% of the time, these questions feels a bit childish when detached from all context, akin to asking someone what would they do if they had 1 Billion dollar. Fun to ask as an Ice Breaker, but annoying when asked the hundredth time.
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2024.05.13 07:57 StormyWalter BIDA weil ich keinen Lust auf den JGA meines Bruders habe?
Mein jĆ¼ngerer Bruder heiratet dieses Jahr. Seine zukĆ¼nftige ist in unserer Familie bis auf kleine Ausnahmen nicht gerade beliebt. Man macht eher gute Miene zum bƶsen Spielā¦.
Ich persƶnlich finde schrecklich wie sie u.a. meinen Bruder behandelt (muss er aber am Ende des Tages selbst wissen) und auch sonst finde ich ihre Art sehr Ć¼berheblich.
Beispiel: Er hat mit ihr bereits ein Haus komplett in Eigenleistung gebaut. Er hat ca. 80.000ā¬ einflieĆen lassen (mit 26!), GrundstĆ¼ck kommt von ihren Eltern (sie kommt aus nem sehr wohlhabenden Haus) der GroĆteil der Arbeiten wurde durch ihre Eltern gemacht und bezahlt. Nur Sie steht im Grundbuch. U.a. ābemƤngeltā sie seit dem Baubeginn, dass unsere Mutter ja nicht genug finanziell beim Bau unterstĆ¼tzt. Warum auch? Wir schwimmen nicht im Geld und sind froh wenn die Kosten gedeckt sind!?!
oder
Sie fĆ¼hrt gerade eine massiven Bruch zwischen meinen Bruder und unserem Vater durch. Unsere Eltern sind geschieden. In ihrem Weltbild ist Scheidung eine TodsĆ¼nde und sie sieht die Schuld immer beim Mann. Aus diesem Grund hat sie meinem Bruder verboten ihn zur Hochzeit einzuladen. Auch sonst āverbietetā sie den Kontakt zu ihm. (Liegt im Moment auf Intensivstation nach HerzOP)
Ich hab also alles andere als Bock, da irgendwie zu feiern. Auf die Hochzeit selbst muss ich gehen, sonst wƤr ich das schwarze Schaf in der Familieā¦ BIDA wenn ich (sollte ich Ć¼berhaupt eingeladen werdenā¦) nicht an dem JGA teilnehmen werde und Absage?
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2024.05.13 06:01 Direct-Caterpillar77 I donāt know what to do about my husband not respecting boundaries with a female
I am not The OOP, OOP is u/Environmental_Sale984 I donāt know what to do about my husband not respecting boundaries with a female. Originally posted to TrueOffMyChest TRIGGER WARNING: infidelity, gaslighting Thanks to u/Shelly_895 for finding the original post Original Post July 12, 2023 So, here we go. My husband doesnāt respect my boundaries when it comes to a co worker of his. He works mainly with females, and only treats the one any differently or better than anyone else at his job. I just need to vent/possibly get advice? I sometimes feel crazy or like Iām wrong for asking him to change certain aspects of his relationship with her. Theyāre around the same age. Both married.
So theyāve worked together for years, and I only just noticed an issue probably about a year ago at this point. I got pregnant 10 months ago, and my husband didnāt want children. This spiraled into some very hurtful and horrible things to be said to me by him, and him ultimately telling me he fell out of love with me and hasnāt been happy in the relationship for quite some time and heās been lying to me about him being happy in the relationship.
Those things aside, throughout my pregnancy, I felt very alone and contemplated getting a divorce many times just simply because of his treatment of me. Let alone how he put his co worker on a pedestal and seemingly liked everything that she posted or that was posted about her from their jobās page. He stopped reacting to anything I posted at all, and she added me on social media because I decided before I found out I was pregnant that I would try to become comfortable with their friendship and be friends with her.
I found out these things from doing investigating and being present during certain conversations:
1) he helped her pick out a dress to wear to a wedding, and then she video messaged him while at said wedding stating āthis is her dream weddingā If I ask him his opinion about any article of clothing, I get either nothing from him, or he will say, āwell I wouldnāt wear thatā
2) he bought her 2 Apple Watch bands that were designed specifically for her, that he paid for with his personal credit card so I would not see the transaction, and had the items shipped to his job, so I would not see the package.
3) they went to a convention together for their job, and at said convention, apparently, he got her moms phone number and now he apparently communicates with her mother also.
4) he has had her on Life360 for MONTHS, after I asked him a while ago if he would be willing to sign up with me so we can location share. He told me no. Then I found out from a notification on his phones Lock Screen, that those two share location on the app. He didnāt add me onto the app until 3 weeks later, after I had to hound him to add me.
5) she recently deleted and blocked me on social media, and when I asked him about it, he said itās because I told him I didnāt want her at the hospital after I spent 3 days in labor and hadnāt showered or slept after having our baby.
6) he has her mother on social media as well, and she has his sister on social media. This alone wouldnāt be weird if he didnāt tell me that theyāve only met a handful of times, but he also reacts to her mothers posts frequently as well, also about her.
7) we were outside of church one day when he recognized her from behind and called out to her, we had a short conversation, in which she pretended to not remember our nieces name, when sheās met our niece a handful of times, but also as I said, she follows his sister on social media where his sister obviously posts about her child, AND she wants to go with his sister, his mom, and our niece, to Disney. Obviously she would know our nieces name.
8) they call and text each other every single day, sometimes about work, sometimes not. He has her name saved in his phone as just one letter. He says itās a joke between them. I donāt know.
All of this to say, when I tell him Iām uncomfortable with things between them, he tells me to get over it, to deal with it, to move past it. He swears nothing is happening. But I just canāt help but feel like there might be. Why else would she feel so bitterly towards me enough to block me on social media? Why else hide the Apple Watch purchase? Why else pretend to not know our nieces name? And these are just some of the things I can think of off the top of my head. There has been more. I donāt know what to do. He wonāt do couples therapy. Despite me asking him over and over again. I just feel like Iām being gaslit here.
ADDITIONAL INFO FROM OOP So I guess I should clarify, he knew I wanted children when we got married and before we got married. We've been together for 10 years. He told me he didn't want children 2 months before I ended up getting pregnant. When I found out I was pregnant, I gave him an out. I told him I will leave and get a divorce from him and he can relinquish all parental rights and I will have 0 hard feelings - and he told me he didn't want a divorce, and he wanted me to get an abortion instead. I, for my own personal reasons, did not go through with said abortion. He now is a good dad to our child, but hasn't apologized for any of the horrible things he said to me during my pregnancy.
I deleted my post and hereās why July 13, 2023 **also edited to add, in fear of this post ALSO blowing up too much, I donāt want to give away all of my cards, but steps have been taken by me to fix these issues. Iāll give a better update later on if I happen to discuss this entire thing with my husband.
I deleted my OG post about my husband and his co worker because it kinda blew up way more than I expected. I was solely looking for validation that how I was feeling wasnāt just in my head and that I wasnāt being unreasonable when I asked him to please slow things down with said woman.
What I didnāt expect was for tik tok to pick up my post and over 80 thousand people see said post. I now have to hope that someone my husband knows, or my husband himself, doesnāt end up seeing it somehow before Iām ready to confront him about things.
I also got a message from Reddit this morning stating another reddit user was concerned for me, Iām sure because I deleted the OG post. I promise Iām fine, it just got way bigger than I intended. Thanks everyone for the words of encouragement to take the right steps for my son and I, even if some of it was a little harsh š and the validation. Thatās really all I was wanting, really. Knowing that Iām not crazy for feeling like something is going on is weirdly comforting. So thanks, Reddit people!
The update everyoneās been waiting for. May 6, 2024 Hello all. Iām sure a lot of you may remember when I posted about my husband and his relationship with his co-worker. I then deleted the post (and the account) because it got very big very quickly. Tiktok even picked it up somehow.
Hereās the update: I found proof of the cheating, I now have my 10 month old, and my son, my cats, and I left the house tonight before my husband got home, so he could not talk me into staying home and not leaving as he always does.
I guess the update is that I left. I found the physical proof today. I donāt have even a cent to my own name, Iām thankful for my friends who have graciously let us stay here for the night. My husband finally admit to the affair over the phone when we spoke so he could speak to our son and tell him goodnight, etc.
I am feeling lots of feelings, but the main one is that I have no clue where to go from here. With this sweet smart little boy, and my two cats, I donāt know what happens after tonight. But, I left. It only took me almost a year to do so.
By the way, I already told my therapist what happened, so yes, Iām in therapy to help me work through everything and I have been in therapy for a while due to the past issues weāve had too.
Thanks everyone. If you donāt know about the original post, donāt worry. The gist is I thought my husband had an inappropriate relationship with his co worker and he kept telling me they were nothing but friends. Cherry on top is sheās pregnant ands he tells me it isnāt his, but how do I believe that after he lied to me about everything else?
Iām tired, yāall. Wish me luck going forward.
RELEVANT COMMENTS jimmyb1982 Does the AP's husband know he is married to a cheater? Good luck, OP. Do not let him strong arm you into staying.
OOP My husband says it is a āone sidedā affair, on his end. From what I have seen, I do not see how it could be one sided. Though, I still have not spoken to my husband in full detail about things yet. I am waiting for our baby to be asleep before we have any type of heavy conversation.
When a commenter said OOP was wrong for sneaking away I didnāt sneak off, I very clearly communicated I found out and that I would be back today to speak about everything. Iām not bitter in the slightest. This has been just waiting to happen, and I have been preparing myself to try to leave for a while. I communicated very clearly that my leaving the home is not in any way permanent right now (I literally just found out about the cheating) and I just needed to clear my head. I am going back home today, moving all of my things into our spare room, and keeping everyone in the home until we can decide what happens next.
THIS IS A REPOST SUB - I AM NOT THE OOP DO NOT CONTACT THE OOP's OR COMMENT ON LINKED POSTS, REMEMBER - RULE 7 submitted by
Direct-Caterpillar77 to
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2024.05.13 03:38 DoGsPaWsLoVe Weekly Recap 05/05/24-05/11/24: 102 Posts
This is the weekly recap of the 102 monetized posts from Kylea and Joseph "Joe" Gomez of Kylea G Weight loss Journey from 05/05/24-05/11/24.
They have made 609+ monetized posts in 5 weeks.
Disclaimers: I am not a physician, influencer, or paid content creator. I am not affiliated with WW. I am semi-retired from the healthcare field with multiple college degrees. These opinions are my own based on social media content. I wish no harm to Kylea or Joe Gomez.
āļø If you or someone you know is struggling or in crisis, please call or text 988 for assistance.
š¢ To the perfectionists, Kylea has a habit of heavily editing posts 3+ times and archiving/hiding and deleting posts. I do not have a burner account for Facebook and have not viewed every comment made. She does not post receipts and is secretive about her purchases.
The tagline of Kylea G Weight loss Journey is, "I changed my life with prayer and a playlist of songs. No surgery, no meds. Just Jesus."
Of the 102 monetized posts last week on the topic of faith:
0/102 discussed which version of the Bible she prefers
0/102 revealed her church home, a service she attended online/in person, or how she worships when traveling
0/102 discussed a personal/group Bible study she completes/attends
0/102 were a favorite scripture or Bible verse
Of the 102 monetized posts last week on the topic of music:
2/102 referenced music Kylea prefers= an unnamed Taylor Swift song as a clapback to a comment about pizza crust and a drinking buddy anthem duet with Morgan Wallen + Post Malone
Of the 102 monetized posts last week on the topic of health:
0/102 were about intentional exercise
0/102 shared a food, water, or exercise log
0/102 discussed meditation, deep breathing, attending grief group, or therapy for her mental health. (There were references to a mental health care provider that gave her a letter recommending an emotional support animal.)
0/102 shared reputable medical sources for nutrition or weight loss content. (She mentions WW points but does not list a website or how to access their app.)
0/102 shared a recommendation for another weight loss influencer to follow
1/102 shared a source for her recipe (Joe's deceased mother)
13/102 shared a recipe. Shared recipes below.
- Frozen Pancake Breakfast Sandwiches;
- Banana Puddin' Protein Overnight Oats,
- Smothered Crockpot Pork Chops;
- Trader Joe's Protein Pancakes;
- Snapple Zero Sugar Peach Tea & Splenda Brown Sugar Marinated Chicken;
- Dirty Dr. Pepper Protein Ice Cream,
- Joseph's Lavash Bread Pizza;
- Lemon Blueberry "Muffin" Cupcakes;
- Blueberry Sugar-free Oatmeal Waffles;
- KFC Inspired Bowl;
- Sara Lee 45 cal French Toast;
- G Hughes Smoky Mesquite Raspberry Jam Chicken;
- Lemon Blueberry Greek Baked Yogurt;
ā ļø Disordered Eating- Daily WW Points Consumed (based on monetized content):
Sun 05/05: 10 WW points; Mon 05/06: 11 WW points; Tue 05/07: 7 WW points; Wed 05/08: 7-9 WW points; Thu 05/09: 10-11 WW points; Fri 05/10: 1 WW point; Sat 05/11: 8 WW points;
š¢ To our friends at Meta, Kylea can consume up to 30 WW points per day, roll over 4 unused daily points, and consume 28 weekly points. She is clearly underutilizing her daily points and used zero weekly points. This is dangerous and potentially deadly messaging for those on a weight loss journey. šØ
So what was Kylea's "weight loss content" about? Let's dive into her purchases to find out.
Her subtotal from 05/05/24-05/11/24= $2489.80 est + all applicable taxes, tips, and fees
Her 5-week subtotal from 04/07/24-05/11/24 was $17,133.54 est + all applicable taxes, tips, and fees
šØ Per Missouri public court records, Kylea Gomez has not satisfied her current medical judgment and is only able to pay $25 per month.
This next section is long due to the volume of purchases. You've been warned...
Weekly Takeout Purchases= $71.73 est + tips;
Sunday 05/05/24 Mexican Takeout Salad with chips/salsa= $15 est + tip (no proof she went with friends);
Monday 05/06/24 Iced/Blended coffee: $8 est + tip (no proof she went with a friend);
Tuesday 05/07/24 Carafe of coffee at unknown restaurant= $5 est + tip (no food shown or proof sister was present); Blended Coffee= $8 est + tip;
Wednesday 05/08/24 Htea0 Happy Hour Drink for 2 + fruit upcharge for 1= $3.25 est;
Thursday 05/09/24 Pineapple Bliss for 2= $6.98 est + tip;
Friday 05/10/24 Blended coffee= $8 est + tip; Wendy's Large Sprite Zero= $2.50 est,
Saturday 05/11/24 Unknown breakfast for Joe= $15 est + tip;
šØ These additional shopping/travel expenses do NOT reflect her rent, utilities, phone, 2 car payments, etc.
Additional shopping/travel expenses= $2418.07 + all applicable taxes, tips, and fees
ā ļø CBD aka Shopping Addiction: Most of the purchases were for a future puppy.
Monday 05/06/24 Breeder fee for female Cavapoo puppy= $1000 est + fees (breeder unknown); Outward Hound Multi-color Squeaker Ballz Fetch Toy 4-pack= $4.99 est; Outward Hound Blue Whale Big Mouthz Interactive Plush Toy with Treat Ball= $9.99 est, Outward Hound Chicken Roperz Plush Squeak Dog Toy= $11.81 est; Silicone Collapsible Food & Water Bowl= $8.99 est; Plush Oyster Shell with Pearl Dog Toy= $6.99 est; Peppa Pig Squeak & Crinkle Plush Dog Toy= $19.99 est; Pally Paws Butterfly Squeaker & Crinkle Dog Toy= $14.99 est; Woven Dog Bone-shaped mat= $9.99 est; Woven beach bag with pawprints= $19.99 est; Grey fleece blanket= $19.99 est;
Tuesday 05/07/24 *Possible Target Women's Cowgirl Boot Grid Graphic T-shirt= $12.99; Chaco ZX/2 Women's Cloud Sandal in Candy Sorbet= $105 est; Vibrant Life Playful Buddy Emoticon XS 5 count Dog toys= $5.12; Nylabone Puppy Starter Pack-up to 25lbs= $7.57; Nylabone Power Chew Textured Dental Chew Toy Chicken Medium/Wolf-up to 35lbs= $4.97; Vibrant Life Tug Buddy Rope Multi-color= $1.98; Custom Dog Tag for Birdie= $5.99 est; Two Jessica Simpson Pet Dresses= $30 est; Personalized baby blanket for Birdie (Amazon)= $19.99 est;
Wednesday 05/08/24 Roundtrip Gas Joplin, MO to Tulsa, OK= (224mi/33mpg) x $3.85 est = $26.13 est; Costco Skinny Dipped PB Cups= $25.94 est; Costco Deebee's Freezie Pops= $22.75 est; Trader Joe's Frozen Roasted Corn x 8 bags= $40 est; Additional Costco & Trader Joe's purchases= unknown; *Pawdre T-shirt for Joe= $10.99 est; Dog Treat container= $25 est; Patchwork Pet Snuggler White Claw themed plush dog toys= $9.99 est; Smoochy Pet Pals Cheeseburger & French Fry themed plush dog toys= $15 est; Armor All Hammock Style Back Seat Cover= $10 est; Black Dog Bone Mat= $5.99 est; 3 Dog bath towels= $14 est;
Thursday 05/09/24 Alani Nu 12oz Energy Drink Pink Slush for 2= $4.96 est;
Friday 05/10/24 Approx. 72 cupcakes= $41.91 est (Walmart online price used); Mani/Pedi= $75 est + tip;
Saturday 05/11/24 Coleman SaluSpa Air Jet Inflatable Hot Tub in Grey= $609.00 (Amazon price); iCrate 2-door folding black crate= $36.79 est; Kong Blue Puppy Binkie Pacifier Dog Toy= $8.99 est; Kong Pink Puppy Natural Teething Rubber Toy= $7.49 est; Lamb Chop Puppy Plush Regular 10"= $15.90 est; Remy+Roo Small Spring Dog Bandana 4-pack Kathrine Set= $23.95 est; Hubulk Pink Pet Dog Bowl Set with food scoop and Non-Skid Silicone Mat= $9.99 est; MidWest Homes for Pets Deluxe Dog Bed in Grey= $16.99 est; Beirui Cute Little Girl Dog Collar, Harness, and Leash Set= $27.99 est; 3 pack of Blankets Super Soft Fluffy Premium Fleece= $11.99
š¤ Final Thoughts š¤
Kylea showed her narcissistic greed posting triggering content all week without disclaimers or warnings in clear violation of Meta policy on explicit content and tragedy & conflict. If that is not enough to demonetize and deplatform her, her obvious signs of disordered eating should. Her messaging is dangerous, potentially deadly, and I, for one, ask our friends at Meta to review her content and take action.
All info from Reddit. āļø
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2024.05.13 02:44 Aggressive_Two_3562 First PC Build, Is this a good Parts list for under ā¬1850 (Complete setup)
Part | Model | Price (Amazon) | Link | Notes |
CPU | Intel Core i5-13600K 3.5 GHz 14-Core Processor | ā¬324.23 | Amazon | I could probably get a better gpu with a Ryzen 5 7600 but I only plan on light gaming. The PC's mainly for video editing and Word etc. |
CPU Cooler | DeepCool AK620 DIGITAL CPU Air Cooler Mighty 260w TDP 6 Copper Heatpipes Dual-Tower CPU Cooler | ā¬76.02 | Amazon | |
Motherboard | MSI B760 GAMING PLUS WIFI Motherboard, ATX - Supports Intel 12th & 13th Gen Core Processors, LGA 1700 - 75A DrMOS VRM, DDR5 Memory Boost 6800+MHz/OC, PCIe 4.0 x16, M.2 Gen4, Wi-Fi 6E | ā¬178.86 | Amazon | PC Builder, Amazon and MSI all have inconsistent listings of maximum memory? Some have 64gb, 192gb and MSI says 256gb?? (Shouldn't affect me but why?) |
Memory | Crucial Pro DDR5 RAM 32GB Kit (2x16GB) 6000MHz CL36, Overclocking Gaming Memory, Intel XMP 3.0 / AMD EXPO, Computer Memory (PC) DDR5 32GB RAM, Black - CP2K16G60C36U5B | ā¬116.85 | Amazon | |
Storage | Samsung 970 Evo Plus 1 TB M.2-2280 PCIe 3.0 X4 NVME Solid State Drive | ā¬112.79 | Amazon | I also have a couple 860 EVO SSDs so I don't need that much storage. |
Video Card | XFX SPEEDSTER SWFT 319 RAD RX6800 16GB GAM | ā¬419.99 | Amazon | |
Power Supply | Deepcool PK750D 750W 80+ Bronze Certified ATX Power Supply | ā¬83.45 | Amazon | |
Case | Corsair 4000D Airflow ATX Mid Tower Case | ā¬110.45 | Amazon | |
Thermal Paste | ARCTIC MX-4 (4 g) - Premium Performance Thermal Paste for all processors | ā¬6.76 | Amazon | |
| | | | |
OS | Windows 11 | ā¬145 | Microsoft | (I hate you Microsoft for selling your glorified usb stick for ā¬145) |
Monitor | KOORUI 27 Inch QHD Gaming Monitor 144 Hz, 1ms, DCI-P3 90% Color Gamut, Compatible FreeSync, Ultra Slim Frame, VESA Mountable (2560x1440, HDMI, DisplayPort) Black | ā¬197.77 | Amazon | |
Keyboard and Mouse | KOORUI Wired Gaming Keyboard and Mouse Combo, Full-Sized 104 Keys Machanical Computer Keyboard with Ergonomic Design and Optical Wired Mouse | ā¬42.92 | Amazon | |
Mouse Pad | Mouse Pad (idk) | ā¬10.72 | Amazon | |
| | | | |
TOTAL | | ā¬1825.81 | | WINDOWS IS SO EXPENSIVE AHHHH!!!! (ā¬1680.81 without Windows 11) |
Its mainly a PC for video editing, Word etc and some light gaming (HOI4). I could switch to a 13600KF if I wanted to save money but the integrated graphics can come in handy from what I've heard (discrete GPU issues etc).
Just want to make sure everything is compatible (PC Builder says it is), and also a sanity check if I'm overspending on anything.
submitted by
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2024.05.13 00:59 villainocity 10 Knives. Bro Deals everywhere. Viper, SOS, Becker, TwoSun, etc.ā¦ Singles and Bundles
Some stuff Iāve posted before and some not. Prices slashed all over.
You know the drill. Yolo > Chat and PayPal F&F,
NO NOTES, please. Any note will force me to refund your money. By buying from me, you are asserting that you can legally own the knives you buy from me and are 18 or older.
Make your own bundle by taking $15 off for every single or bundle you buy after the first (if shipped together). Sometimes I accept trades for specific things I may be looking for like these(no black or scratched up blades, please):
Orion Solaris Cold Steel AD15 Ontario Rat II in S35vn
Timestamp: https://imgchest.com/p/agyv6o8qk78
Singles
Twosun TS222 Titan ($50) https://imgchest.com/p/agyv6pznb78 Iāve owned a lot of TwoSuns. I used to have a large collection until I whittled it down to four. Now Iām taking it down to three. The only one that doesnāt have titanium handles, but its freaking awesome. Mean-ass blade shape that reverse-flicks like a champ. Also has a back flipper if youāre into that sort of thing. It had digital camo G10, but I dyed them a dark purple. Believe me, it looks way better this way. 14c28n & G10. Out of production.
Real Steel Huginn ($50) https://imgchest.com/p/9249a9pva7n Really dig this knife but I want to try the Rokot or the Muninn. I could easily see me buying this again. Excellent ergos and the crossbar lock is great. Love the size. Second owner, carried once, never cut. VG-10 & micarta. Retails for $95 on BHQ.
If you have any questions or need more pics, shoot me a chat or message. Thank you for considering my wares!
~Sold Below~
SOS Dagger OTF ā ($80) https://imgchest.com/p/xny8zjkvwyb Before the Neptune, the SOS was the unquestioned king of OTFs around $100 and under. Iāve had both and while I like the Neptune a little better, itās too long for me to carry legally. Unfortunately, Iād rather have the drop point or tanto SOS than the dagger (which you cant buy anymore). I went in to grease the spring due to the knife having some ātwangā on actuation and lost a part, and BladeOps was kind enough to sell me a brand new spring assembly, which I installed and greased. Sounds and works beautifully now. Aluminum body and D2 blade.
Viper Vale ($80) https://imgchest.com/p/lqyevb52z7dWas gonna price this at 100, but I really just want to move stuff. Jesper Voxnaes design. Excellent knife made in Italy. Great action and very ergonomic with the contoured and textured scales. Was sold to me as purple haze fat carbon, but I think itās the Suretouch version, which has layers of G10 and rubber. They feel incredible. Really nice finger choil for choking up. Thumb studs work great for standard actuation or reverse flicking. Magnacut steel.
Becker BK18 ($70) https://imgchest.com/p/m9yxvaxzm4qThe Becker Harpoon. Bought this for my camp bag, but I was gonna strip the coating and give it a mustard patina. Even bought some custom scales (from Carrollās Custom Knife Scales) to go with it afterward, but my old camp knife is still in my bag. Might as well just take the āLā and pass this on to someone that might use it. Custom scales included along with the stock nylon sheath, which has excellent retention. 1095 Cro-Van and stock Ultramid scales. Bought new, never carried, but did unbolt the stock scales to check custom scales fit. Theyāre perfect. Knife retails for $105 on BHQ. Scales were $50 direct from Carrollās Ebay store.
Real Steel Ippon ($40) https://imgchest.com/p/qb4z3r8ev7j Very interesting knife from Real Steel here. Blade disappears completely in the handle. Has a neat top flipper that work well as a front flipper as well. Heard someone say that the top flipper was designed to also function in an impact/attitude adjuster capacity and I can totally see it. Smooth action. Wish the lockbar access was a bit better but it works fine. Bought new by me and carried once, never cut. N690 and G10. Retails for $71 on BHQ.
The āCrossbarā Bundle ($50) https://imgchest.com/p/9249annka7nTwo crossbar lock knives with excellent action.CJRB Prado ā Bought recently here, and really torn on selling this one. Love the knife. Its pretty big and the blade looks fantastic. Crossbar lock action is good and the ergos are really nice. Never carried, never cut. AR-RPM9 and G10.Oknife Rubato ā Picked up in a bundle. Why does Oknife have seemingly 47 different Rubatos? Anyway, this is the tanto crossbar lock one. All blacked out other than some blue accents. Crossbar lock works well and Iām impressed by the knife.I think I like the action even better than the Prado. I donāt do black blades or this kind of tanto unfortunately. Maybe one of the other 46 versions are more my speed. 154CM with G10. Never cut or carried by me. No box.
The āCool Kids 2.0ā Bundle ($50) https://imgchest.com/p/md7olppb97p A couple of awesome budget knives that you donāt see everywhere. Be a cool kid. Buy these knives. Bestech Skirmish ā Love this blade shape, but I just picked up a TwoSun that fills the same kinda niche. Very fidgety and easy to reverse flick. Handle really fills the hand and is very comfortable. First owner and never cut/never carried. D2 & G10 Trivisa Leo ā Bought this for shits and giggles thinking I might dye the scales. I didnāt. Been so busy and I need to cut down on my projects. Reverse flicks well and the back flipper performs like it should. Cool knife. 14c28n & G10 submitted by
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Knife_Swap [link] [comments]
http://rodzice.org/