Doubling rule worksheet

Hysteria 51 Podcast

2017.11.13 16:03 Hysteria51 Hysteria 51 Podcast

Hysteria 51 is your offbeat weekly podcast destination for all things weird and wonderful! We navigate the cosmic highways of UFOs, the alien-infested landscapes, and the enigmatic frontiers of the paranormal. With your hosts, Brent Hand and David Flora, alongside our cantankerous tin man, Conspiracy Bot (with a not-so-subtle desire to rule the world, doubling as our chief inquisitor into the unknown), we delve into unique mysteries, the inexplicable, and the downright unusual.

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2019.10.23 07:54 shadow-pop RandomActsofHappyMail

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2012.07.20 18:02 My Little Nomic

A nomic is essentially a game with self-written rules. The starting rules usually involve the ability to add new rules. The goal is to have lots of fun! It's like politics, only better!

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2024.05.14 16:42 rayshinsan How I wanted SEED Destiny to end (Spoiler alert)

Man can't believe it was 18 years ago. I feel so old but somehow I am relieved how SEED Freedom fixed a lot of its mistakes made in Destiny. Now that I think about it here is how I wanted Destiny to end as compared to how it ended.
The fix would start at the end of Shin handing back Stella to Neo. Neo would be forced by Blue Cosmos to be put in the Destroy gundam and she would go on a rampage in Berlin.
But here Kira/Freedom would be forced to fight her but Shin/Impulse being there and pleading to not kill her, Kira being Kira would go all out to destroy the gundam but save the girl. But as he gets out of Freedom to grab her because they both know she would not be safe in BC of ZAFTs hand and as Shinn watches Durandals henchmens would show up and start a fight and Kira not proficient in a physical fight would get hit hard but last minute saved by Shinn who after being Stella executed by those man loses it and escapes with a wounded Kira in Freedom.
Kira is now out of commission, put in a long coma to recover and Shinn is made a deserter. Shinn joins AA crew because he wants to redeem himself and for what Durandal and Co did to Stella. With Kira out Shinn pilots Freedom without ZAFT knowledge but he has tell tale signs and Rey knowing him figures out that its Shinn in Freedom. So after 1 or 2 skirmishes where Shinn barely escapes because not only Freedom hard for him to master but it makes him realize how OP Kira is to manage piloting it flawlessly while him a very good pilot can barely hold it but he is getting used to it.
We then have a 3rd battle where Rey via Impulse triple changes the tactic they used vs Kira/Freedom defeats Shinn and Freedom is lost to save AA with Shinn almost dying. Meanwhile Athrun catches on that Freedom isn't piloted by Kira but Shinn and also discovers Durandal is the baddy. Durandal in recognition of Freedom's defeat gives DestinyF (the Destiny from SEED Freedom not the POS of SEED Destiny; lets call it DestinyF) to Athrun and Legend to Rey and promotes them further but Athrun has enough and escapes with DestinyF. Rey attempts stop him but since both a Nuke powered Athrun escapes. This causes headache for Durandal as none supposed to know they are nuke powered as well and Legend is equivalent in power to Providence.
Athrun escapes back to AA with Destiny. He finds Shinn and Kira. Kira is still out. Athrun decides he has to go to Terminal to Lacus and start fixing shit up. He leaves Destiny to Shinn and points out his flaws to be fixed so that Rey can't figure out that it's Shinn who will be piloting Destiny from now on and act like he is Athrun. Shinn trains hard like he nenver did before to become prolificent in DestinyF.
Meanwhile Durandal fearing that he must not let this golden opportunity to escape starts his Logos wars and on to Destiny project. He also activates the Black Knights his elite core (they would be same as in SEED Freedom just no mind control but having Newtype Flash) who are all Faith members and nearly unstoppable as a group. In short, anywhere they go they cannot be stopped. Mean while he puts Minerva on the hunt for DestinyF that he labels as a terrorist. Shinn starts protecting people but always narrowly escaping the Black Knights and also builds a solid rivalry vs Rey. They basically even themselves out. Oh and the reason Shinn can escape them is because his mirage colloroid allows him to go invisible like Blitz. In one of the fights he captures/rescues Neo and Mew returns to the story like in Destiny. He has to fight Luna, now on Impulse, a few instances and regrets keeping her in the dark.
Kira finally recovers and heads to space to save Lacus who is targeted by Black Knights. Here we have Athrun dealing with them in the Infinite Justice but they are too many for him so Kira launches in Strike Freedom and the appearance of the 2 new MS pushes Black Knights to retreat. Kira whoops ass of the ZAFT fleet following them like before takes Lacus with him and both he and Athrun head to Orb as the battle of Orb starts.
Eventually, we get to ZAFT versus Orb fight. AA reveals itself shocking Minerva to top it off with DestinyF on it and later joined by Strike Freedom and Infinite Justice. The ZAFT fleet on earth gets their ass whooped and Jibril whom they claimed was in Orb actually shows up at Requiem. He was always there. He just used a double to toy with everyone while he prepared Requiem. Lacus showing up at Orb also messes up Durandal's plan and he is forced to reveal all his cards, including the Black Kights that even most ZAFT officers like Izack were unaware.
We now have the final battle. Here Kira and Athrun face and take out the Black Knights. Shinn finally ends Rey via his berserker DestinyF shillouette attack (midless kage bunshin ala Naruto?). Shinn also rescues Luna who on Impulse is used like a pawn by Rey to get upper hand. Akatsuki and Mu get their revenge on Blue Cosmos and Jibril.
Finally we have a confrontation between Lacus Kira Athrun and Durandal a live broadcast of their conversation that entire world gets to view where they uncover all the deceptions. Durandal asks them who is going to take over the throne and responsibilities of ruling the world to which each responds that they are the children of parents who put their burden on them Athrun via Patrick Zala, Lacus via Durandal (a former Clyne factionist who did not follow the ideals of her father, but that her father ignored) and Kira being the Ultimate Coordinator. They won't take power because they never wanted power. They wanted to live in peace and they will work towards that and that's their destiny. Of course Durandal will try a last minute suicidal move only to be shot by Talia who accepts their answer and accepts her own responsibility of letting Durandal's ambition get out of hand.
There is will be one last attempt and Genesis and Shinn will prevent it with DestinyF combining its power with Strike Freedom, Infinite Justice, Akatsuki, even Impulse. In the end the world treats them as heros they are with the truth and not the propagandas that been used since the beginning in their name. The conclusion being that ones Destiny is not determined but one has to take responsibilities for it. Lacus has to lead Plant, Kira has to lead ZAFT with Athrun, Cagali Orb and Mu the Earth Allaince. Shinn goes back to Orb with Luna to lead its military. They all retire from their positions in 5 years after putting structural organizations in place and get to live their lives as they choose.
Not as cheezy I know but I think this would be a better Destiny ending. You get Shinn still as the hero of the story. You get Kira, Athrun, Lacus etc all end their roles without overtaking the lead. You get good capable fights and good MS battles and finally a proper world peace.
What do you think?

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2024.05.14 16:41 mahlalie 17/20 Paid Dynasty startup 20tm 1 Copy IDP Empire-ish Rolling bankroll Fantrax $30

1QB/1RB/3W1TE/2FLEX/2iDL/2LB/2EDGE/3CB/2S/1DB/2DFLX/1K/1P/26BENCH/6TAXI
All TEs are also QB eligible.
I've been commishing both redraft and dynasty for about a decade (my longest-running dynasty is going into its 10th season), and this is my first auction-only, rolling bankroll league. Please read the charter if you think you may want in. It's long, but the league has a lot of quirks you should be aware of before joining. Very custom scoring and lots of way to earn, spend, or lose bankroll (FAAB/auction) dollars.
We've got weekly bankroll payouts, lump sum bankroll payouts, a mulligan rule, taxi raiding, taxes, public trade counters, bankroll payouts for snitching on roster violations, bankroll bets on NFL win totals/Super Bowl winners, DFS bankroll wagers, postseason DFS contests for additional bankroll dollars, additional bankroll dollars for beating teams with better records, and a flex-scheduled double-header week.
Let me know if you're game after reading through or if you have any questions. $30 through Fantrax Treasurer.
Startup slow auction will begin around 24 hours after everyone is set up/paid. It will be held on League Tycoon because they do such a great job with their slow auction setup on mobile app, but the league will be played out on Fantrax.
Charter: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cZ9keNhW1CXUl5CchBWC-uBMwXlE6h4WZl7loA00SLk/edit?usp=drivesdk

submitted by mahlalie to FFIDP [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 16:25 Mophandel Archaeotherium, the King of the White River Badlands

Art by Bob Nicholls
Nowadays, when we envision the words “prey,” among modern mammalian fauna, few taxa come to mind as quickly as the hoofed mammals, better known as the ungulates. Indeed, for the better part of their entire evolutionary history, the ungulates have become entirely indistinguishable from the term “prey.” Across their two major modern branches, the artiodactyls (the “even-toed ungulates,” such as bovids, pigs, deer, hippos and giraffes) and the perissodactyls (the “odd-toed ungulates,” including horses, rhinos and tapir), the ungulates too have created an empire spanning nearly every continent, establishing themselves as the the dominant herbivores throughout their entire range. However, as a price for such success, their lot as herbivores have forced them into an unenviable position: being the food for the predators. Indeed, throughout the diets of most modern predators, ungulates make up the majority, if not the entirety, of their diet, becoming their counterparts in this evolutionary dance of theirs. They have become the lamb to their wolf, the zebra to their lion, the stag to their tiger. If there is a predator in need of lunch, chances are that there is an ungulate there to provide it. Of course, such a dynamic is not necessarily a recent innovation. For the last 15-20 million years, across much of the world, both new and old, the ungulates have served as prey for these predators through it all. Over the course of whole epochs, these two groups have played into these roles for millions of years, coevolving with each other in an eons-long game of cat-and-mouse. The shoes they fill are not new, but have existed for ages, and within their niches they have cultivated their roles to perfection. Indeed, with such a tenured history, it seems hardly surprising the ungulates are wholly inseparable from the terms “prey,” itself.
However, while this is the case now, as it has been for the last 15-20 million years, go back far enough, and we see that this dynamic is not as set in stone as we would think. Indeed, back during the Eocene and Oligocene, during the very earliest days of age of mammals, things were very different for the ungulates. While today they are considered little more than food for modern predators, during these olden days, the ungulates weren’t quite so benign. In fact, far from being fodder for top predators, the ungulates had turned the tables, instead becoming top predators themselves. Indeed, though nearly unheard of today, throughout much of the Eocene and Oligocene, carnivorous ungulates thrived in abundance, developing specializations for catching large prey and establishing themselves as top predators that competed alongside the more traditional carnivores, and even dominating them in some instances. Given such success, it’s no wonder that multiple such clades had arisen during this time. Such predators included the arctocyonids, a lineage of (ironically) hoof-less ungulates with large jaws and sharp teeth for capturing large prey. There were also the mesonychians, a lineage of dog-like ungulates with massive skulls and jaws that allowed them to reign as the top predator across much of the Eocene.
However, among these various lineages, one stands stands out among the rest, by far. Arising during the Eocene, this lineage, though superficially resembling modern pigs, hailed from one an ancient lineage of artiodactyls far removed from swine or most other ungulates in general, with few close relatives alive today. Through perhaps not the most predatory of the bunch, it was among the most formidable, as their superficially pig-like appearance came with giant predatory jaws and teeth unlike anything from the modern era. And of course, as if all of that wasn’t enough, this lineage also went on to earn arguably one of the most badass nicknames of any lineage of mammals, period. These predators, of course, were the entelodonts, a.k.a the “hell-pigs.” More so than any other predatory ungulate lineage, these formidable ungulates were the ones to turn the current paradigm upside down, becoming some of the largest and most dominant carnivores in their landscape, even with (and often in spite of) the presence of more traditional predators. Through impressive size, fearsome teeth and sheer tenacity, these animals became the top dogs of their time, ruling as behemoth-kings of their Paleogene kingdoms, domineering all comers, and throughout the ranks, one entelodont in particular demonstrated such dominance the best. Though not the largest or most powerful of their kind, it is one of the most iconic, being among the most well-known members of its lineage to date. Moreover, this enteledont also has some of the most complete life histories ever seen out of this clade, with its brutality and predatory prowess being displayed in the fossil record in a way seen in no other member of its kind. More than anything else, however, it was this predator that best turned the notion of “ungulates being prey” on its head, living in an environment that bore some of the largest carnivoran hypercarnivores to date and still reigning as the undisputed top predator of its domain. This fearsome beast was none other than Archaeotherium, icon of the entelodonts, terror of the Oligocene American west and undisputed king of the White River badlands.
The rise of Archaeotherium (and of entelodonts in general) is closely tied to the ascendancy of carnivorous ungulates as a whole, one of the earliest evolutionary success stories of the entire Cenozoic. Having become their own derived clade since the late Cretaceous, the ungulates were remarkably successful during the early Paleogene, as they were among the first mammalian clades to reach large sizes during those early days after the non-avian dinosaurs had gone extinct. As such, it was with incredible swiftness that, as the Paleogene progressed, the ungulates swooped upon the various niches left empty by the K-Pg mass extinction that killed the dinosaurs. This of course included the herbivorous niches we would know them for today, but this also included other, much more carnivore roles. Indeed, early on during the Paleogene, it was the ungulates that first seized the roles of large mammalian predators, becoming some the earliest large mammalian carnivores to ever live, well before even the carnivorans. Such predators included the arctocyonids, a lineage of vaguely dog-like, hoof-less ungulates with robust jaws and sharpened teeth that acted as some of earliest large carnivores of the Paleocene, with genera such as Arctocyon mumak getting up to the size of big cats. Even more prolific were the mesonychids. More so than what pretty much any other lineage of predator, it was the mesonychids that would stand out as the earliest dominant predators of the early Cenozoic. Growing up to the size of bears and with enormous, bone-crushing jaws, the mesonychids were among the most powerful and successful predators on the market at that time, with a near-global range and being capable of subjugating just about any other predator in their environments. Indeed, they, along with other carnivorous ungulates (as well as ungulates in general), were experiencing a golden age during this time, easily being the most prolific predators of the age. Given such prevalence, it should be no surprise that there would be yet another lineage of predatory ungulates would throw their hat into the ring, and by early Eocene, that contender would none other than the entelodonts.
The very first entelodonts had arisen from artiodactyl ancestors during the Eocene epoch, at a time when artiodactyls were far more diverse and bizarre than they are now. Through today known from their modern herbivorous representatives such as bovines, deer, and antelope, during the Paleocene and Eocene, the artiodacyls, as with most ungulates of that time, were stronger and far more predaceous, particularly when it came to one such clade of artiodactyls, the cetacodontamorphs. Only known today from hippos and another group of artiodactyls (one which will become relevant later), the cetacodantomorphs emerged out of Asia around 55 million years ago, at around the same time that artiodactyls themselves had made their debut. These animals included the first truly predatory artiodactyls, with many of them possessing large skulls with powerful jaws and sharp, predatory teeth. Among their ranks included animals as puny as Indohyus, a piscivorous artiodactyl the size of a cat, to as formidable as Andrewsarchus, a giant, bison-sized predator often touted as one of the largest predatory mammals to ever live. Given such a predatory disposition, it wouldn’t be long until this clade produced a lineage of truly diverse, truly successful predators, and by around 40 million years ago, that is exactly what they did, as it was at that time that the entelodonts themselves first emerged. From their Asian homeland, the entelodonts spread across the world, spreading through not only most of Eurasia but also colonizing North America as well, with genera such as Brachyhyops being found across both continents. Here, in this North American frontier, the entelodonts began to diversify further, turning into their most successful and formidable forms yet, and it was around the late Eocene and early Oligocene that Archaeotherium itself had entered the scene.
Just from a passing glance at Archaeotherium, it is clear how exactly it (as well as the other entelodonts) earned the nickname of “hell-pigs.” It was a bruiser for starters; its body bore a robust, pig-like physique, with prominent neural spines and their associated musculature forming a hump around the shoulder region, similar to the hump of a bison. With such a bulky physique came with it impressive size; the average A. mortoni had a head-body length of roughly 1.6-2.0 m (5.3-6.6 ft), a shoulder height of 1.2 m (4 ft) and a body mass of around 180 kg (396 lb) in weight (Boardman & Secord, 2013; Joeckel, 1990). At such sizes, an adult Archaeotherium the size of a large male black bear. However, they had the potential to get even bigger. While most Archaeotherium specimens were around the size described above, a select few specimens, labeled under the synonymous genus “Megachoerus,” are found to be much larger, with skulls getting up to 66% longer than average A. mortoni specimens (Foss, 2001; Joeckel, 1990). At such sizes and using isometric scaling, such massive Archaeotherium specimens would attained body lengths over 2.5 m (8.2 ft) and would have reached weighs well over 500 kg (1100 lb), or as big as a mature male polar bear. Indeed, at such sizes, it is already abundantly evident that Archaeotherium is a force to be recorded with.
However, there was more to these formidable animals than sheer size alone. Behind all that bulk was an astoundingly swift and graceful predator, especially in terms of locomotion. Indeed, the hoofed feet of Archaeotherium, along with other entelodonts, sported several adaptations that gave it incredible locomotive efficiency, essentially turning it into a speed demon of the badlands. Such adaptations include longer distal leg elements (e.g. the radius and tibia) than their proximal counterparts (e.g. the humerus and femur), fusion of the radius and ulna for increased running efficiency, the loss of the clavicle (collar-bone) to allow for greater leg length, the loss of the acromion to enhance leg movement along the fore-and-aft plane, the loss of digits to reduce the mass of the forelimb, the fusion of the ectocuneiform and the mesocuneiform wrist-bones, among many other such traits (Theodore, 1996) . Perhaps most significant of these adaptations is the evolution of the “double-pulley astragalus (ankle-bone),” a specialized modification of the ankle that, while restricting rotation and side-to-side movement at the ankle-joint, allows for greater rotation in the fore-and-aft direction, thus allowing for more more powerful propulsion from the limbs, faster extension and retraction of the limbs and overall greater locomotive efficiency (Foss, 2001). Of course, such a trait was not only found in entelodonts but in artiodactyls as a whole, likely being a response to predatory pressures from incumbent predatory clades arising at the same time as the artiodactyls (Foss, 2001). However, in the case of the entelodonts, such adaptations were not used for merely escaping predators. Rather, they were used to for another, much more lethal effect…
Such notions are further reinforced by the entelodonts most formidable aspect, none either than their fearsome jaws, and in this respect, Archaeotherium excelled. Both for its size and in general, the head of Archaeotherium was massive, measuring 40-50 cm (1.3-1.6 ft) in length among average A. mortoni specimens, to up to 78 cm (~2.6 ft) in the larger “Megachoerus” specimens (Joeckel, 1990). Such massive skulls were supported and supplemented by equally massive neck muscles and ligaments, which attached to massive neural spines on the anterior thoracic vertebrae akin to a bisons hump as well as to the sternum, allowing Archaeotherium to keep its head aloft despite the skulls massive size (Effinger, 1998). Of course, with such a massive skull, it should come as no surprise that such skulls housed exceptionally formidable jaws as well, and indeed, the bite of Archaeotherium was an especially deadly one. Its zygomatic arches (cheek-bones) and its temporal fossa were enlarged and expanded, indicative of massive temporalis muscles that afforded Archaeotherium astoundingly powerful bites (Joeckel, 1990). This is further augmented by Archaeotherium’s massive jugal flanges (bony projections of the cheek), which supported powerful masseter muscles which enhanced chewing and mastication, as well as an enlarged postorbital bar that reinforced the skull against torsional stresses (Foss, 2001). Last but not least, powerful jaws are supplemented by an enlarged gape, facilitated by a low coronoid process and enlarged posterior mandibular tubercles (bony projections originating from the lower jaw), which provided an insertion site for sternum-to-mandible jaw abduction muscles, allowing for a more forceful opening of the jaw (Foss, 2001). All together, such traits suggest a massive and incredibly fearsome bite, perhaps the most formidable of any animal in its environment.
Of course, none of such traits are especially indicative of a predatory lifestyle. Indeed, many modern non-predatory ungulates, like hippos, pigs and peccaries, also possess large, formidable skulls and jaws. However, in peeling back the layers, it is found there was more to the skull of Archaeotherium that lies in store. Indeed, when inspecting the animal closely, a unique mosaic of features is revealed; traits that make it out to be much more lethal than the average artiodactyl. On one hand, Archaeotherium possessed many traits similar to those of herbivores animals, as is expected of ungulates. For instance, its jaw musculature that allowed the lower jaw of Archaeotherium a full side-to-side chewing motion as in herbivores (whereas most carnivores can only move their lower jaw up and down)(Effinger, 1998). On the other hand, Archaeotherium wielded many other traits far more lethal in their morphology, less akin to a herbivore and far more akin to a bonafide predator. For instance, the aforementioned enlarged gape of Archaeotherium is a bizarre trait on a supposed herbivore, as such animals do not need large gapes to eat vegetation and thus have smaller, more restricted gapes. Conversely, many predatory lineages have comparatively large gapes, as larger gapes allow for the the jaws to grab on to more effectively larger objects, namely large prey animals (Joeckel, 1990).
Such a juxtaposition, however, is most evident when discussing the real killing instruments of Archaeotherium — the teeth. More so than any facet of this animal, the teeth of Archaeotherium are the real stars of the show, showing both how alike it was compared to its herbivores counterparts and more importantly, how it couldn’t be more different. For instance, the molars of Archaeotherium were quite similar to modern herbivores ungulates, in that they were robust, bunodont, and were designed for crushing and grinding, similar in form and function to modern ungulates like peccaries (Joeckel, 1990). However, while the molars give the impression that Archaeotherium was a herbivore, the other teeth tell a very different story. The incisors, for example, were enlarged, sharpened, and fully interlocked (as opposed to the flat-topped incisors seen in herbivores ungulates), creating an incisor array that was seemingly ill-suited for cropping vegetation and much more adept at for gripping, puncturing and cutting (Joeckel, 1990). Even more formidable were the canines. Like the modern pigs from which entelodonts derived their nicknames, the canines of Archaeotherium were sharp and enlarged to form prominent tusk-like teeth, but unlike pigs, they were rounded in cross-section (similar to modern carnivores like big cats, indicating more durable canines that can absorb and resist torsional forces, such as those from struggling prey) and were serrated to form a distinct cutting edge (Effinger, 1998; Joeckel, 1990; Ruff & Van Valkenburgh, 1987). These canines, along with the incisors, interlock to stabilize the jaws while biting and dismantling in a carnivore-like fashion. More strikingly, the canines also seem to act as “occlusal guides,” wherein the canines help align the movement and position of the rear teeth as they come together, allowing for a more efficient shearing action by the rear teeth. This function is seen most prevalently modern carnivores mammals, and is evidenced by the canine tooth-wear, which is also analogous to modern predators like bears and canids (Joeckel, 1990). Indeed, going off such teeth alone, it is clear that Archaeotherium is far more predatory than expected of an ungulate. However, the real stars of the show, the teeth that truly betray the predatory nature of these ungulates, are the premolars. Perhaps the most carnivore-like teeth in the entelodont’s entire tooth row, the premolars of Archaeotherium, particularly the anterior premolars, are laterally compressed, somewhat conical in shape, and are weakly serrated to bear a cutting edge, giving them a somewhat carnivorous form and function of shearing and slicing (Effinger, 1998). Most strikingly of all, the premolars of Archaeotherium bear unique features similar not to modern herbivores, but to durophagous carnivores like hyenas, particularly apical wear patterns, highly thickened enamel, “zigzag-shaped” enamel prism layers (Hunter-Schraeger bands) on the premolars which is also seen in osteophagous animals like hyenas, and an interlocking premolar interface wherein linear objects (such as bones) inserted into jaws from the side would be pinned between the premolars and crushed (Foss, 2001). Taken together, these features do not suggest a diet of grass or vegetation like other ungulates. Rather, they suggest a far more violent diet, one including flesh as well as hard, durable foods, particularly bone. All in all, the evidence is clear. Archaeotherium and other entelodonts, unlike the rest of their artiodactyl kin, were not the passive herbivores as we envision ungulates today. Rather, they were willing, unrepentant meat-eaters that had a taste for flesh as well as foliage.
Of course, even with such lines of evidence, its hard to conclude that Archaeotherium was a true predator. After all, its wide gape and durophagous teeth could have just as easily been used for scavenging or even to eat tough plant matter such as seeds or nuts, as in peccaries and pigs, which themselves share many of the same adaptations as Archaeotherium, include the more carnivorous ones (e.g. the wide gape, using the canines as an occlusal guide, etc.). How exactly do we know that these things were veritable predators and not pretenders to the title. To this end, there is yet one last piece of evidence, one that puts on full display the predatory prowess of Archaeotherium —evidence of a kill itself. Found within oligocene-aged sediment in what is now Wyoming, a collection of various fossil remains was found, each belonging to the ancient sheep-sized camel Poebrotherium, with many of the skeletal remains being disarticulated and even missing whole hindlimbs or even entire rear halves of their body. Tellingly, many of the remains bear extensive bite marks and puncture wounds across their surface. Upon close examination, the spacing and size of the punctures leave only one culprit: Archaeotherium. Of course, such an event could still have been scavenging; the entelodonts were consuming the remains of already dead, decomposed camels, explaining the bite marks. What was far more telling, however, was where the bite marks were found. In addition bite marks being found on the torso and lumbar regions of the camels, various puncture wounds were found on the skull and neck, which were otherwise uneaten. Scavengers rarely feast on the head to begin with; there is very little worthwhile meat on it besides the brain, cheek-muscles and eyes, and even if they did feed on the skull and neck, they would still eat it wholesale, not merely bite it and then leave it otherwise untouched. Indeed, it was clear that this was no mere scavenging event. Rather than merely consuming these camels, Archaeotherium was actively preying upon and killing them, dispatching them via a crushing bite to the skull or neck before dismembering and even bisecting the hapless camels with their powerful jaws to preferentially feast on their hindquarters (likely by swallowing the hindquarters whole, as the pelvis of Poebrotherium was coincidentally the perfect width for Archaeotherium to devour whole), eventually discarding the leftovers in meat caches for later consumption (Sundell, 1999). With this finding, such a feat of brutality leaves no doubt in ones mind as to what the true nature of Archaeotherium was. This was no herbivore, nor was it a simple scavenger. This was an active, rapacious predator, the most powerful in its entire ecosystem.
Indeed, with such brutal evidence of predation frozen in time, combined with various dental, cranial, and post cranial adaptations of this formidable animal, it’s possible to paint a picture of how this formidable creature lived. Though an omnivore by trade, willing and able to feast on plant matter such as grass, roots and tubers, Archaeotherium was also a wanton predator that took just about any prey it wanted. Upon detecting its prey, it approached its vicim from ambush before launching itself at blazing speed. From there, its cursorial, hoofed legs, used by other ungulates for escape predation, were here employed to capture prey, carrying it at great speeds as it caught up to its quarry. Having closed the distance with its target, it was then that the entelodont brought its jaws to bear, grabbing hold of the victim with powerful jaws and gripping teeth to bring it to a screeching halt. If the victim is lucky, Archaeotherium will then kill it quickly with a crushing bite to the skull or neck, puncturing the brain or spinal cord and killing its target instantly. If not, the victim is eaten alive, torn apart while it’s still kicking, as modern boars will do today. In any case, incapacitated prey are subsequently dismantled, with the entelodont using its entire head and heavily-muscled necks to bite into and pull apart its victim in devastating “puncture-and pull’ bites (Foss, 2001). Prey would then finally be consumed starting at the hindquarters, with not even the bones of its prey being spared. Such brutality, though far from clean, drove home a singular truth: that during this time, ungulates were not just prey, that they were not the mere “predator-fodder” we know them as today. rather, they themselves were the predators themselves, dominating as superb hunters within their domain and even suppressing clades we know as predators today, least of all the carnivorans. Indeed, during this point in time, the age of the carnivorous ungulates had hit their stride, and more specifically, the age of entelodonts had begun.
Of course, more so than any other ettelodont, Archaeotherium took to this new age with gusto. Archaeotherium lived from 35-28 million years ago during the late Eocene and early Oligocene in a locality known today as the White River Badlands, a fossil locality nestled along the Great Plains and Rocky Mountains. Though a chalky, barren landscape today, during the time of Archaeotherium, the White River Badlands was a swamp-like floodplain crisscrossed with rivers and interspersed with by a mosaic of forests concentrated around waterways, open woodlands and open plains. As with most ecosystems with such a lush disposition, this locale teemed with life, with ancient hornless rhinos, small horse-like hyracodonts and early camels roaming the open habitats while giant brontotheres, small early horses and strange, sheep-like ungulates called merycoidodonts (also known as “oreodonts”) dwelled within the dense forests. Within this locale, Archaeotherium stalked the open woodlands and riparian forests of its domain. Here, it acted as a dominant predator and scavenger across is territory, filling a niche similar to modern grizzly bears but far more predatory. Among its preferred food items would be plant matter such as roots, foliage and nuts, but also meat in the form of carrion or freshly caught prey. In this respect, smaller ungulates such as the fleet-footed camel Poebrotherium, a known prey item of Archaeotherium, would have made a for choice prey, as its small size would make it easy for Archaeotherium to dispatch with its powerful jaws, while the entelodonts swift legs gave it the speed necessary to keep pace with its agile prey.
However, the entelodont didn’t have such a feast all to itself. Just as the badlands teemed with herbivores, so too did it teem with rival predators. Among their ranks included fearsome predators such as Hyaenodon, a powerful, vaguely dog-like predator up to the size of wolves (as in H. horridus) or even lions (as in the Eocene-aged H. megaloides, which was replaced by H. horridus during the Oligocene). Armed with a massive head, fierce jaws and a set of knife-like teeth that could cut down even large prey in seconds, these were some of the most formidable predators on the landscape. There were also the nimravids, cat-like carnivorans that bore saber-teeth to kill large prey in seconds, and included the likes of the lynx-sized Dinictis, the leopard-sized Hoplophoneus and even the jaguar-sized Eusmilus. Furthermore, there were amphicyonids, better known as the bear-dogs. Though known from much larger forms later on in their existence, during the late Eocene and Oligocene, they were much smaller and acted as the “canid-analogues” of the ecosystem, filling a role similar to wolves or coyotes. Last but not least, there were the bathornithid birds, huge cariamiform birds related to modern seriemas but much larger, which filled a niche similar to modern seriemas or secretary birds, albeit on a much larger scale. Given such competition, it would seem that Archaeotherium would have its hands full. However, things are not as they appear. For starters, habitat differences would mitigate high amounts of competition, as both Hyaenodon and the various nimravids occupy more specialized ecological roles (being a plains-specialist and forest-specialist, respectively) than did Archaeotherium, providing a buffer to stave off competition: More importantly, however, none of the aforementioned predators were simply big enough to take Archaeotherium on. During the roughly 7 million years existence of Archaeotherium, the only carnivore that matched it in size was H. megaloides, and even that would have an only applied to average A. mortoni individuals, not to the much larger, bison-sized “Megachoerus” individuals. The next largest predator at that point would be the jaguars-sized Eusmilus (specifically E. adelos) which would have only been a bit more than half the size of even an average A. mortoni. Besides that, virtually every other predator on the landscape was simply outclassed by the much larger entelodont in terms of size and brute strength. As such, within its domain, Archaeotherium had total, unquestioned authority, dominating the other predators in the landscape and likely stealing their kills as well. In fact, just about the only threat Archaeotherium had was other Archaeotherium, as fossil bite marks suggest that this animal regularly and fraglantly engaged in intraspecific combat, usually through face-biting and possibly even jaw-wrestling (Effinger, 1998; Tanke & Currie, 1998). Nevertheless, it was clear that Archaeotherium was the undisputed king of the badlands; in a landscape of hyaenodonts and carnivorans galore, it was a hoofed ungulate that reigned supreme.
However, such a reign would not last. As the Eocene transitioned into the Eocene, the planet underwent an abrupt cooling and drying phase known as Eocene-Oligocene Transition or more simply the Grande Coupure. This change in climate would eliminate the sprawling wetlands and river systems that Archaeotherium had been depending on, gradually replacing it with drier and more open habitats. To its credit, Archaeotherium did manage to hang on, persisting well after the Grand-Coupure had taken place, but in the end the damage had been done; Archaeotherium was a dead-man-walking. Eventually, by around 28 million years ago, Archaeotherium would go extinct, perishing due to this change in global climate (Gillham, 2019). Entelodonts as a whole would persist into the Miocene, producing some of their largest forms ever known in the form of the bison-sized Daeodon (which was itself even more carnivorous than Archaeotherium), however they too would meet the same fate as their earlier cousins. By around 15-20 million years ago, entelodonts as a whole would go extinct. However, while the entelodonts may have perished, this was not the end of carnivorous ungulates as a whole. Recall that the cetacodontamorphs, the lineage of artiodactyls that produced the entelodonts, left behind two living descendants. The first among them were the hippos, themselves fairly frequent herbivores. The second of such lineage, however, was a different story. Emerging out of South Asia, this lineage of piscivorous cetacodontamorphs, in a an attempt to further specialize for the fish-hunting lifestyle, began to delve further and further into the water, becoming more and more aquatic and the millennia passed by. At a certain point, these carnivorous artiodactlys had become something completely unrecognizable from their original hoofed forms. Their skin became hairless and their bodies became streamlined for life in water. Their hoofed limbs grew into giant flippers for steering in the water and their previously tiny tails became massive and sported giant tail flukes for aquatic propulsion. Their noses even moved to the tip of their head, becoming a blowhole that would be signature to this clade as a whole. Indeed, this clade was none other than the modern whales, themselves derived, carnivorous ungulates that had specialized for a life in the water, and in doing so, became the some of the most dominant aquatic predators across the globe for millions of years. Indeed, though long gone, the legacy of the entelodonts and of predatory ungulates as a whole, a legacy Archaeotherium itself had helped foster, lives on in these paragons of predatory prowess, showing that the ungulates are more than just the mere “prey” that they are often made out to be. Moreover, given the success that carnivorous ungulates had enjoyed in the past and given how modern omnivorous ungulates like boar dabble in predation themselves, perhaps, in the distant future, this planet may see the rise of carnivorous ungulates once again, following in the footsteps left behind by Archaeotherium and the other predatory ungulates all those millions of years ago.

submitted by Mophandel to Naturewasmetal [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 15:53 shaneka69 CANCER ZODIAC - UNEXPECTED INCOME! TAROT READING MAY 2024

CANCER ZODIAC TAROT READING - UNEXPECTED INCOME MAY 2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJ5mIkLhCyY
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submitted by shaneka69 to mytarotreadings [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 15:43 TransformerMarketing $30k Month Ad Account Snapshot On Roas & Setup

Thought i would share an old school setup thats scaling pretty well right now..
This is just from March 1 - May 14
Spend $60k Tracked Return $211k Facebook Roas 3.5 Shopify Revenue - $290k Actual Roas - 4.2 Google Ads Spend Over The Same Period - $7000
Ad Screenshot - https://ibb.co/HTLBXM2
Shopify Dashboard - https://ibb.co/sHsm07c
Currently working on
Email Backend New Upsells/Cross Sells
We dabbled with TikTok but the cpa was significantly higher so ditched it earlier in the year and will revise soon
Google is active on branded at the moment due to the high spend we have on facebook.
Ad Account Setup
1 x ABO - Testing Single Interest Old School Style 1 x CBO - Winning audiences testing new creatives 1 x Warm Retarget - Web Visitors outperforming everything
following the 80/20 rule - 80% of the budget is in scaling 20% in testing
Ad Creative testing is a bit diff - i'm testing 4-7 per week based on variable isolation - so breaking down the winning ads that are currently scaling and testing different hooks/headlines/lead ins and copy overall
to get good data on ads creative i use - SuperAds - its free and a good tool
Thumbnails are also being split tested here -
The winning audiences are getting 100% budget increase every 6th day - this seems to be holding stable on a lot of accounts i run
I have a retargeting segment running with 3 different variations of creatives explicitly asking for sale -
note the retarget creative is no where else in the ad sets in the funnel, its completely different
I tested ADV+ on this account with the following
20% existing customer cap 30% 40% 50%
split tested them all
CPA was double that off the old school setup i've been running
I know Facebook is causing a shit storm for everyone at the moment but i do think there is light at the end of the tunnel
Nothing fancy about this setup, nor any secret hacks - the difference i think is the quality of ads i'm running is very good
Excellent hooks very good quality UGC Hold & Thumb stop is excellent to

submitted by TransformerMarketing to FacebookAds [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 15:36 ketchup-hair [F4A] "Hey book-lady, are you ready to marry me yet?" (Action-romance set in an alternate universe)

Hello! Just to get some maintenance out of the way: my name is Alice, and I've been rping for upwards of 7 years now. I'd like to think I'm rather experienced and detailed, and I ask potential partners to be okay with writing at least two 'good' paragraphs per reply (I can easily do more and will match your length!). Aside from that, I rp in 3rd person exclusively and am looking for someone interested in heavy worldbuilding and a somewhat cheesy romance! Now, onto the plot!
-
In this alternate universe, Japan did not win World War 2, but they were not bombed. Avoiding this cataclysmic setback in their growth has led it to once again operate as a potential global superpower, however due to their involvement in the war they are essentially cut off from the rest of the world, forcing them to rely on their own power. Nuclear energy runs the city, but thanks to the setbacks endured by losing the war, the already-conservative Japan has fallen back into a futile government, led over by an unseen Emperor ruling with a rumored band of secret police. Most of the buildings have not been updated since the war, and societal gender rolls have been enforced to an almost draconian degree in an attempt to restate Japan with its former glory and life. Rebellions are everywhere, but the Shogun is maintaining order... for now.
None of this matters much to your character though. They're too busy finding books to sell to the pretty young lady who runs the book shop- the one who cares for her young sister and the elderly neighbors next door, the one with a stony face that's so scary it keeps most others away, the one who isn't even married yet! In their eyes she's the perfect wife for them, and so they keep bringing her books with the hopes that one of them will be the one which will melt her heart. She always seems rather reserved, like she's hiding something, but she's so beautiful they have to at least try!
What will happen when this hopeless romantic accidentally gets sucked into her double life she's tried so hard to hide away? With tensions rising and their country on the verge of collapse, will they finally get this scary, pretty girl scary girl agree to get married? Or will they both die without ever being given the chance?

submitted by ketchup-hair to RoleplayPartnerSearch [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 15:04 OtherTwo4686 Sarcoidosis / Histoplasmosis

Hello, December 2023!8 had influenza A. It was a mild flu it really was not that bad. Two days after getting over the flu my vision blurred in bother eyes causing “double vision” and tingling started in my right leg. The tingle lasted for weeks and I went to the hospital where they tested for MS and other neurological issues. All seemingly were fine and they had no explanation as to what happened (made me feel crazy). 3 days after discharge I starting having left side chest pains, cough, and shortness of breath. I pushed it off a couple weeks and it eventually worsened. I made multiple trips to hospitals where they kept saying it was anxiety because of my age (23) and lack of further treating. Finally an ER doctor after multiple visits did a chest CT and confirmed pulmonary nodules with lympenopathy and cavitations. They kept me for a week flushing antibiotics through me and performed a bronchoscopy; both of which were unsuccessful. In a histoplasmosis urine antigen they detected a “positive” result. The normal values are 2.00 ng/ml or less and mine was 3.00 ng/ml; a slight questionable positive. Fast forward two months and I’ve been in treatment for histoplasmosis. However, my chest pain really has not subsided and I’ve developed excruciating shouldeback pain. My vision still has yet to return to normal. I have also developed extreme fatigue through most days. I’ve had multiple echos and EKG, cardiac work to rule out heart issues; waiting on cardiac MRI. My pulmonologist and infectious doctor have refused to refer me to rheumatologist and look further as I’m concerned this is actually sarcoidosis or combo of two. Also in between multiple CT scans of chest the nodules shrunk prior to receiving treatment for histoplasmosis! A lot of symptoms aren’t adding up and would like some opinions. Thanks

submitted by OtherTwo4686 to sarcoidosis [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:55 Eclairefree One Piece Roleplay Search ( OCxCanon Only )

Hey here ! I'm looking for a partner or two to roleplay One Piece with me ! A bit about me,I go by whatever pronouns. Female, Male, They, whichever is all cool. I'm also in my late twenties as well. At the moment im only looking for OC X Canon. Please make sure to read all of this and to message me who you're looking for. Along with who can you play for me.
I can also do OC x OC or Canon x Canon for your side if you wish. But only if we're doubling. I have other fandoms as well pinned if you want to split.
So doubling is a main preference for me. Though if you just want to just play a canon for me that's fine as well ! Though I do prefer doubling so it's equal for my partner too.
Also a fan of OOC Chatting, So if you wish to chat too. That's all good too ! Looking for at least a few partners mainly.
And with that, Here are the canon im looking for my side and what characters I can play for you.
One Piece ( Anime Only )
｡･:*:･ﾟ★,｡･:*:･ﾟ☆ Characters im Seeking ｡･:*:･ﾟ★,｡･:*:･ﾟ☆
Smoothie, Hina, Monet, Alvida, Kalifa, Tashigi, Sadi, Black Maria, Kikunojo, Sandersonia, Amande or Ulti
｡･:*:･ﾟ★,｡･:*:･ﾟ☆ Characters I can Play for you ｡･:*:･ﾟ★,｡･:*:･ﾟ☆
Anyone ! Just ask away.
•❅──────✧❅✦❅✧──────❅•
-Rules -
° Discord Only
• Fluff Romance is a must for me, Always love a good romance story in between action, drama, adventure, angst and all that stuff.
• +20 Only, I don't roleplay with minors at all.
• Please put effort if we're making a story together and on playing other NPC characters. I'll get bored really quickly if im carrying all the work.
• Ghosting, It's life it happens but if your busy or get bored of the rp. Feel free to tell me, I understand.
• Must be able to type at least 2+ Paragraphs at the very least. Overall, Quality over quantity, I wouldn't ask anyone to do Novella since im terrible with that type of writing so Semi Lit to Literature at least.

submitted by Eclairefree to roleplaying [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:54 Eclairefree One Piece Roleplay Search ( OCxCanon Only )

submitted by Eclairefree to Roleplay [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:53 shaneka69 CANCER ZODIAC - UNEXPECTED INCOME! TAROT READING MAY 2024

CANCER ZODIAC TAROT READING - UNEXPECTED INCOME MAY 2024

submitted by shaneka69 to mytarotreadings [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:49 OldKilnOriginal Am I wrong on PSR? (Warning depressing)

I dont want to flat out kill hope… so I hope I am wrong.
heres what i think (sources at bottom) numbers rounded and details overlooked - this is rough but the situation is so dire that we dont need to delve deep to see how fucked we are.
First some background…
———-
We had to submit our financials in January which showed a 90million loss. then we have till 30th of June to “make it right” with psr rules. So we need to show significant profit on transfers by then, or some miraculously arteta money appears.
Our losses doubled compared with the 21/22 figures
We made 45million profit on player sales in 21/22
We still have the horrific figures (120million loss) of covid affected years impacting our 3 year rolling PSR period.
Our debts and therefore interest payments have risen.
———
With the above knowledge its not a huge leap, given we doubled our losses, that we also need to double our profit on player sales. Meaning 90mil profit gets us to within 10-15 million of PSR rules.
So lets say, to be safe, 110 mil of profit on sales are needed to avoid further points deductions.
We already made profit on (sale price vs book value)
iwobi around 20mil, Kean around 20mil, Cannon, simms, gray, nkankou 15 mil
Remembering this isnt what we sold them For… its what we sold them for minus what we still owe on their contracts.
So roughly 55 million profit on sales needed.
Onana cost £30, spreading the cost over 5 years means he is worth in the books 18 million.
So we need to sell him for 73million by the end of June.
If we don’t we need to sell someone else.
Theres a decent argument that selling branthwaite before end of June for 60 mil means that we can keep hold of Onana and sell later in the window for a higher price to reinvest.
We MUST sell by end of June and buying clubs know this. We will not get full market value as we have no choice. the defence of holding out for a higher price at the end of the window(or in this case after euros) did not help Forest (bradley johnson to spurs). It wont help us either.
——-
Other considerations
Have assumed everything else is equal, yes we have high earners contracts coming to an end - gomes/alli. But equally we had Allan/delph/rondon also come off books in the like for like period.
Wages, again like for like - we sold iwobi but replaced his wages with beto’s etc
We cant be sure what addbacks the prem will allow so the actual figures may be a little to a lot different.
And i have totally ignored that we are going to get fucked over regards the still disputed addbacks from the last two independent hearings.
“there remains a dispute between the Premier League and the club as to the status of certain costs that the club says are associated with its stadium construction. The League considers that these costs fall to be considered as a loss for the purposes of the PSRs. The club contends that these costs are not losses, given that they relate to the construction of the stadium and have been capitalised in their audited accounts. This issue, and the question of whether any additional sanction should be applied, will be resolved by the same Commission at a later date”
Sources:-
https://www.evertonfc.com/news/3947487/everton-release-202223-report-accounts#:~:text=A%20statutory%20loss%20of%20£,incurred%20during%20this%20financial%20year.

submitted by OldKilnOriginal to Everton [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:29 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is everything Im watching and analysing in premarket 14/05

ANALYSIS:

FX analysis:
We see looking at EURUSD that skew is v elevated as IV is elevated on calls vs puts.
EURUSD is stuck under 1.08 but traders are looking for a break towards 1.09. Note that traders seem to be pricing in softer inflation data. If PPI comes hot and CPI too tomorrow, we can see strong downward move in EURUSD as traders are seemingly complacent from positioning on soft inflation data
BTC:
BTC positioning shows traders sell calls. Skew points downward. Can see some pressure for this OPEX as a result, but should push up after that. Hence why price is lower in premarket.
https://imgur.com/a/mShRPhn
Oil:
Range bound as traders waiting for US economic data this week. But skew is still pointing higher. Buyer momentum is higher, so it is positioned for a move higher but I suppose traders hold their breath waiting for the data.
Silver:
Looks like can continue higher. Skew is higher, IV change is rising.
Calls on 28 adn 29 are the main options.
https://imgur.com/a/q3KxHuN
USDJPY - gamma wall at 157C. Can get stopped there, before move higher after. Positioning on JPY v bearish.

DATA LEDE:

Japan PPI:
YOY came 0.9% vs 0.9% forecast, last month was revised to 0.9% YOY too.
So is gradually increasing since November.
German Final inflation revision showed no change to preliminary reading. Confirmed the prelim reading. inflation of 2.2% vs 2.2% last time.
UK EMPLOYMENT DATA
178k people got laid off in the last month, less than the 215k expected.
More than the 156k last month.
So labour market is continuing to weaken.
Unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in line with expectations. Highest reading in over a year.
Average earnings still came hot though, at 5.7% growth YOY vs 5.3% forecasted. Last month was 5.7% YOY.
Average earnings growth has come down a lot though in the last year and is now near yearly lows of growth.
So UK labour market data showed weakening of labour market.
EURO ZEW Economic Sentiment index:
Came 47 vs 46.1 expected.
Highest economic sentiment reading in over a year.
Economic sentiment in Eurozone continues to improve.
German economic sentiment index came 47.1 vs 46 expected. Highest in a year.
US PPI Data
Fed’s Powell is due to speak at 10am, unlikely to say anything in particular.

MARKETS:

Markets are flat, waiting for PPI.
SPX trading flat around the levels it was at yesterday, ahead of PPI. Market waiting for PPI
Nasdaq: 18,200. Trading flat around these levels.
DJI flat at 39.5k
GEr40: Trading flat at the highs, trading at 18,700.
HKG trading lower by 0.8%. Tested close to 19k and held.
OIL trading flat the last week or so around 77-79.
GOLD: trading flat at 2,344.

FX:

GBP down due to weak employment data, which points to firstly, rate cuts being on the horizon, and weakness in UK economy.
Also down because BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Recovered somewhat with EURO which headed higher after ZEW Economic survey
Yen continues weakness after failed intervention
DXY flat ahead of PPI
EURUSD trading t the 1.08 resistance
AUDUSD trading at 0.66. Still stuck under the downtrend trend line.

EARNINGS:
BABA

EPS of 10.14 vs 10.21 expected. Miss by 0.7%
Revenue of 221.8B beat by 1%. Up 6% YOY
Adjusted EBITDA was 30.81B yuan, beat by 1.4%
Segment revenue:
Taobao group was 93B, beat estimates by 1%, down 28% QOQ
Cloud intelligence was down 8% QOQ
Local services group revenue was 15B Yuan
Cainiao Smart logistics network was 20.12B yuan
So mixed segment revenue.
Approved a $4B dividend for Fy 2024.
One time extraordinary cash dividend
Repurchased $12.5B worth of shares in Fy 2024.
They are focusing on enhancing customer experience and growing AI product capabilities
Significant investments in strategic business priorities, particularly in ecomm
CEO comments:
Returning to growth, our china and international commerce business saw double digit GMV growth
Accelerated revenue in cloud computing
NOT GREAT EARNINGS ON THE WHOLE. EPS was dissapoitning, segment revenues were dissapointing.

Down as they say that delayed spring selling is hurting sales.
Weak current quarter, comps were down worse than expected. But they maintained the Full year guide, which was better than many expected imo
Rev $36.4B vs $36.7B est. missed narrowly
Comps -2.8% vs -2.2% est. worse than expected
EPS $3.63 vs $3.60 est. slightly better than expected
Customer transactions were down 1% YOY
Average ticket down 1.3% YOY
Sales per retail square foot were down 3.4% YOY
Maintains FY guide
FY EPS of $15.26
FY sales of 154.2B
The 1Q weakness is in-line with what we highlighted, but FY guide maintained = better than feared by some.
Delayed start to sprint and softness in larger discretionary projects hurt sales.
Still seeing challenges
But are trying to look forward to rest of the fiscal year with robust plans to engage customers.

SONY:

Announced new leadership structure.
Is adopting a new dual CEO structure for their video game Unit.
Net profit was 189B yen , up 34% YOY and beat by 26.8%
Revenue was 3.48T, up 14% YOY, beat by 14%
EPS of 153.6, beat by 34%
Segment performance:
Game Business revenue was 3.481T, up 14% YOY
Game business operating profit was 105.9B, more than double YOY
Moving business operating profit was nearly double YOY
So strong quarter results
GUIDANCE FOR FY2025:
Revenue of 12.31T, down 5.5% YOY
Net profit of 925B down 4% YOY
Planning partial spin off of financial unit
Conducting 5-1 stock split
Announced buyback of 250B shares
Seen strong performance in game and movie business, leading to robust quarter.

MAG 7 NEWS:

MSFT - OPENAI announcements yesterday:
Releases voice assistant, which acts as a translator in real time.
OpenAI GPT 4o which is faster, omnimodel and easier. It will launch on desktop version too. Said this model will be available for free.
Showcased use of AI for tutoring.
Announced they have over 100m+ users using chatGPT worldwide.
TSLA - rehires their key Supercharger Team, reversing recent cuts.
GOOGL, AMZN - Anthropic, which is backed by these companies is launching its GenAI chatbot Claude throughout europe including EU countries Switzerland and Iceland.
GOOGL - has their own IO developer event today. Is expected to showcase its latest AI tools and AI linked enhancements to products.
AAPL - Foxconn reported earnings. Whilst their results jumped a lot YOY, they missed estimates. They said they saw strong server demand due to AI, but consumer electronics sales were down 9%, weakness in iPhone in CHina.
Said they are cautious about near term consumer electronics demand.
AAPL - preparing o sell Vision Pro device outside of US for first time, plans to expand to CHina, Japan and France.

COMPANY SPECIFIC:

SPWR up as part of a short squeeze of meme stocks, and other heavily shorted stocks.
GME - Up 40% in premarket. The squeeze continues.
AMC up 50% too, BB up 15%
The meme stocks are seeing momentum continuing on from yesterday, after coming into focus due to Roaring Kitty’s tweet during weekend.
Chinese EV company, BYD is unveiling Plug in hybrid pickup truck in Mexico. It’s called the shark and will be distributed globally except for US.
RUM - Rumble sues Google for $1B over anticompetitive ad practices. Files lawsuit
WMT - to lay off and relocate hundreds of corporate workers. Remote workers have been asked to move to larger corporate hubs. Small office employees in Dallas, Atlanta and Toronto to relocate
UBER - Willa acquire FoodPanda’s Taiwan business for 950M
ULTA - maintained at hold by Stifel

OTHER NEWS

Meme stock rally this morning continues.
US small business index ahead of expectations, but much below the historically average level. Cost pressures remain the main issue as many small businesses still raise wages to retain workers.Inflation still the main issue for small businesses in US, but less so than before.
Yesterday’s trading saw the lowest volume day since Thanksgiving 2023. This is as traders await the key economic news coming out this week.
Yesterday saw inflation expectations rise for next year to 3.3%, highest since November 2023.
From the data this morning then, we can see that the macro trends are:
UK labour market continues to weaken
Euro economic sentiment improves
Bank of America sees slower growth but still positive spending in the US. People are getting user to higher rate environment.
US administration increases tariffs on $18B of Chinese imports. Including semiconductors, batteries, solars, EVs etc. Trying to bolster domestic manufacturing.
Yesterday, Yellen said that China is not really playing by the rules on trade, said it is unacceptable to be dependent on China in key industries.
B of A fund manager survey shows fund managers are most bullish since 2021. Not seeing signs of big pullback here. Cash allocation decreasing as fund managers INCREASE exposure to the market too. Lowest cash level since 2021.
BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Said we can cut rates and still have restrictive policy.
OPEC sees demand for doc crude in 2024 at 43.2M BPD in 2024, and says they will now only forecast demand for doc crude
OPEC said that despite some downside risks, there is further upside potential for global economic growth in 2024.

submitted by TearRepresentative56 to swingtrading [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:28 TearRepresentative56 I'm a full time trader and this is my total premarket report ahead of PPI so that you know what is going on before you trade today

ANALYSIS:

FX analysis:
We see looking at EURUSD that skew is v elevated as IV is elevated on calls vs puts.
EURUSD is stuck under 1.08 but traders are looking for a break towards 1.09. Note that traders seem to be pricing in softer inflation data. If PPI comes hot and CPI too tomorrow, we can see strong downward move in EURUSD as traders are seemingly complacent from positioning on soft inflation data
BTC:
BTC positioning shows traders sell calls. Skew points downward. Can see some pressure for this OPEX as a result, but should push up after that. Hence why price is lower in premarket.
https://imgur.com/a/mShRPhn
Oil:
Range bound as traders waiting for US economic data this week. But skew is still pointing higher. Buyer momentum is higher, so it is positioned for a move higher but I suppose traders hold their breath waiting for the data.
Silver:
Looks like can continue higher. Skew is higher, IV change is rising.
Calls on 28 adn 29 are the main options.
https://imgur.com/a/q3KxHuN
USDJPY - gamma wall at 157C. Can get stopped there, before move higher after. Positioning on JPY v bearish.

DATA LEDE:

Japan PPI:
YOY came 0.9% vs 0.9% forecast, last month was revised to 0.9% YOY too.
So is gradually increasing since November.
German Final inflation revision showed no change to preliminary reading. Confirmed the prelim reading. inflation of 2.2% vs 2.2% last time.
UK EMPLOYMENT DATA
178k people got laid off in the last month, less than the 215k expected.
More than the 156k last month.
So labour market is continuing to weaken.
Unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in line with expectations. Highest reading in over a year.
Average earnings still came hot though, at 5.7% growth YOY vs 5.3% forecasted. Last month was 5.7% YOY.
Average earnings growth has come down a lot though in the last year and is now near yearly lows of growth.
So UK labour market data showed weakening of labour market.
EURO ZEW Economic Sentiment index:
Came 47 vs 46.1 expected.
Highest economic sentiment reading in over a year.
Economic sentiment in Eurozone continues to improve.
German economic sentiment index came 47.1 vs 46 expected. Highest in a year.
US PPI Data
Fed’s Powell is due to speak at 10am, unlikely to say anything in particular.

MARKETS:

Markets are flat, waiting for PPI.
SPX trading flat around the levels it was at yesterday, ahead of PPI. Market waiting for PPI
Nasdaq: 18,200. Trading flat around these levels.
DJI flat at 39.5k
GEr40: Trading flat at the highs, trading at 18,700.
HKG trading lower by 0.8%. Tested close to 19k and held.
OIL trading flat the last week or so around 77-79.
GOLD: trading flat at 2,344.

FX:

GBP down due to weak employment data, which points to firstly, rate cuts being on the horizon, and weakness in UK economy.
Also down because BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Recovered somewhat with EURO which headed higher after ZEW Economic survey
Yen continues weakness after failed intervention
DXY flat ahead of PPI
EURUSD trading t the 1.08 resistance
AUDUSD trading at 0.66. Still stuck under the downtrend trend line.

EARNINGS:
BABA

EPS of 10.14 vs 10.21 expected. Miss by 0.7%
Revenue of 221.8B beat by 1%. Up 6% YOY
Adjusted EBITDA was 30.81B yuan, beat by 1.4%
Segment revenue:
Taobao group was 93B, beat estimates by 1%, down 28% QOQ
Cloud intelligence was down 8% QOQ
Local services group revenue was 15B Yuan
Cainiao Smart logistics network was 20.12B yuan
So mixed segment revenue.
Approved a $4B dividend for Fy 2024.
One time extraordinary cash dividend
Repurchased $12.5B worth of shares in Fy 2024.
They are focusing on enhancing customer experience and growing AI product capabilities
Significant investments in strategic business priorities, particularly in ecomm
CEO comments:
Returning to growth, our china and international commerce business saw double digit GMV growth
Accelerated revenue in cloud computing
NOT GREAT EARNINGS ON THE WHOLE. EPS was dissapoitning, segment revenues were dissapointing.

Down as they say that delayed spring selling is hurting sales.
Weak current quarter, comps were down worse than expected. But they maintained the Full year guide, which was better than many expected imo
Rev $36.4B vs $36.7B est. missed narrowly
Comps -2.8% vs -2.2% est. worse than expected
EPS $3.63 vs $3.60 est. slightly better than expected
Customer transactions were down 1% YOY
Average ticket down 1.3% YOY
Sales per retail square foot were down 3.4% YOY
Maintains FY guide
FY EPS of $15.26
FY sales of 154.2B
The 1Q weakness is in-line with what we highlighted, but FY guide maintained = better than feared by some.
Delayed start to sprint and softness in larger discretionary projects hurt sales.
Still seeing challenges
But are trying to look forward to rest of the fiscal year with robust plans to engage customers.

SONY:

Announced new leadership structure.
Is adopting a new dual CEO structure for their video game Unit.
Net profit was 189B yen , up 34% YOY and beat by 26.8%
Revenue was 3.48T, up 14% YOY, beat by 14%
EPS of 153.6, beat by 34%
Segment performance:
Game Business revenue was 3.481T, up 14% YOY
Game business operating profit was 105.9B, more than double YOY
Moving business operating profit was nearly double YOY
So strong quarter results
GUIDANCE FOR FY2025:
Revenue of 12.31T, down 5.5% YOY
Net profit of 925B down 4% YOY
Planning partial spin off of financial unit
Conducting 5-1 stock split
Announced buyback of 250B shares
Seen strong performance in game and movie business, leading to robust quarter.

MAG 7 NEWS:

MSFT - OPENAI announcements yesterday:
Releases voice assistant, which acts as a translator in real time.
OpenAI GPT 4o which is faster, omnimodel and easier. It will launch on desktop version too. Said this model will be available for free.
Showcased use of AI for tutoring.
Announced they have over 100m+ users using chatGPT worldwide.
TSLA - rehires their key Supercharger Team, reversing recent cuts.
GOOGL, AMZN - Anthropic, which is backed by these companies is launching its GenAI chatbot Claude throughout europe including EU countries Switzerland and Iceland.
GOOGL - has their own IO developer event today. Is expected to showcase its latest AI tools and AI linked enhancements to products.
AAPL - Foxconn reported earnings. Whilst their results jumped a lot YOY, they missed estimates. They said they saw strong server demand due to AI, but consumer electronics sales were down 9%, weakness in iPhone in CHina.
Said they are cautious about near term consumer electronics demand.
AAPL - preparing o sell Vision Pro device outside of US for first time, plans to expand to CHina, Japan and France.

COMPANY SPECIFIC:

SPWR up as part of a short squeeze of meme stocks, and other heavily shorted stocks.
GME - Up 40% in premarket. The squeeze continues.
AMC up 50% too, BB up 15%
The meme stocks are seeing momentum continuing on from yesterday, after coming into focus due to Roaring Kitty’s tweet during weekend.
Chinese EV company, BYD is unveiling Plug in hybrid pickup truck in Mexico. It’s called the shark and will be distributed globally except for US.
RUM - Rumble sues Google for $1B over anticompetitive ad practices. Files lawsuit
WMT - to lay off and relocate hundreds of corporate workers. Remote workers have been asked to move to larger corporate hubs. Small office employees in Dallas, Atlanta and Toronto to relocate
UBER - Willa acquire FoodPanda’s Taiwan business for 950M
ULTA - maintained at hold by Stifel

OTHER NEWS

Meme stock rally this morning continues.
US small business index ahead of expectations, but much below the historically average level. Cost pressures remain the main issue as many small businesses still raise wages to retain workers.Inflation still the main issue for small businesses in US, but less so than before.
Yesterday’s trading saw the lowest volume day since Thanksgiving 2023. This is as traders await the key economic news coming out this week.
Yesterday saw inflation expectations rise for next year to 3.3%, highest since November 2023.
From the data this morning then, we can see that the macro trends are:
UK labour market continues to weaken
Euro economic sentiment improves
Bank of America sees slower growth but still positive spending in the US. People are getting user to higher rate environment.
US administration increases tariffs on $18B of Chinese imports. Including semiconductors, batteries, solars, EVs etc. Trying to bolster domestic manufacturing.
Yesterday, Yellen said that China is not really playing by the rules on trade, said it is unacceptable to be dependent on China in key industries.
B of A fund manager survey shows fund managers are most bullish since 2021. Not seeing signs of big pullback here. Cash allocation decreasing as fund managers INCREASE exposure to the market too. Lowest cash level since 2021.
BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Said we can cut rates and still have restrictive policy.
OPEC sees demand for doc crude in 2024 at 43.2M BPD in 2024, and says they will now only forecast demand for doc crude
OPEC said that despite some downside risks, there is further upside potential for global economic growth in 2024.

submitted by TearRepresentative56 to Daytrading [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:27 Rhendricks Over/Under May 14th - At Angels, 8:38 CT - Sonny Gray Vs Reid Detmers

Hey Everyone! Welcome to the Cardinals Reddit Daily OveUnder Contest! I’ll post these daily as long as I’m able to, but I’m sure real life will get in the way here and there. This is all for fun. No prizes other than bragging rights.

Rules:

Each question must be answered, including the tie breaker.
Entries must be submitted before 1st pitch (I’ll do my best to turn off accepting responses at game time).
Editing is turned off for the form entry. Duplicate entries will all be disregarded.
At least 5 entries must be made for points to be earned for the day.
All questions regarding the named probable pitcher will default to the starting pitcher for that team in the event that the probable pitcher does not make the start.

Scoring:

1st Place: 3 Points
2nd Place: 2 Points
3rd Place: 1 Point
Correct Tie-Breaker: 1 Point
10/10 Correct: 1 Point
0/10 Correct: 1 Point

I'll keep a tally and post the results as a comment in that day's post and link it in the next day's contest thread. Points will keep accumulating throughout the season. I will be using MLB GameDay and ESPN for official scoring.
Good luck, everyone! I hope you enjoy! I'm also always open to feedback on how to improve or suggestions for questions (it can be tough trying to get enough variety!).

Not required for entry, but I’d appreciate leaving a comment/vote for visibility on the page

OveUnder Contest: May 14th

At Angels, 8:38 CT

Sonny Gray Vs Reid Detmers

OveUnder Form Link

May 13th Results

May Standings

Reddit Username	Points
u/DSchibler	6
u/Flimsy-animator756	6
u/dan81989	5
u/SomethingAvid	5
u/Weezy2337yadude	5
u/fujiesque	4
u/Kevindoesnotcare	4
u/more_whales	4
u/dquizzle	3
u/gonelikecommonsense	3
u/jmikesyo	3
u/newtickled	3
u/PCBangHero	3
u/SGT_Apone	3
u/InternetGoodGuy	2
u/jacksonfake	2
u/ski_mom	2
u/StrangerFront	2
u/Xerowaltz	2

Overall Standings

Reddit Username	Points
u/DSchibler	21
u/InternetGoodGuy	12
u/more_whales	10
u/Dan81989	9
u/gonelikecommonsense	9
u/NotGordan	9
u/StrangerFront	9
u/zap_the_frank	9
u/PCBangHero	8
u/Flimsy_animator756	7
u/jacksonfake	7
u/MVPBaseball2069	7
u/SomethingAvid	7
u/jmikesyo	6
u/Paulspike	6
u/SGT_Apone	6
u/theredd636	6
u/seattle_lib	5
u/Weezy2337yadude	5
u/fujiesque	4
u/Kevindoesnotcare	4
u/Nerp_Rufflez	4
u/Nurlitik	4
u/aga1397	3
u/dquizzle	3
u/EE89	3
u/iamfluffhead	3
u/JayBSmith	3
u/kyla__ren	3
u/LookitstheMeta	3
u/newtickled	3
u/No_communication101	3
u/ohforschern	3
u/Pizzayolo96	3
u/tehmeat	3
u/TronaldDumpsLogs	3
u/Vasego1	3
u/Actually_Actuarially	2
u/Bigdaddyice69	2
u/Clueless_in_Florida	2
u/Da_Choppa	2
u/defiant_edge	2
u/jabbernut56	2
u/PhaedrusThaSquatch	2
u/PTF_Voidwalker	2
u/Redflanehot	2
u/rjaspa	2
u/ski_mom	2
u/thachiefking47	2
u/untitled5a1	2
u/Waystonebb	2
u/Xerowaltz	2
u/7thton	1
u/Abyss_in_Motion	1
u/Da_Munchy76	1
u/FrogsOfWar14	1
u/jessner88	1
u/Lefty808	1
u/MissouriOzarker	1
u/UnlikelyCheddar	1

OveUnder Questions for later reference:

1) Innings Pitched by Both Starting Pitchers Combined - O/U 12.5 2) ESPN/Bill James Game Score for Reid Detmers - 50.5 3) Walks Allowed by Sonny Gray - O/U 1.5 4) Hard Hit (95 MPH+) Allowed by Sonny Gray - O/U 5.5 5) Total Runs Scored by Cardinals - O/U 4.5 6) Total Walks Plus Strikeouts for Angels Batters - O/U 11.5 7) Cardinals Team Batting Average with Runners in Scoring Position - O/U .2355 8) Doubles Hit by Cardinals Infielders (1B, 2B, 3B, SS) - O/U 1.5 9) Total Wild Pitches Thrown by Both Teams Combined - 0/U 0.5 10) Fastest Pitch Thrown in the Game - O/U 99.99
Tie Breaker: Official Attendance at Angels Stadium

submitted by Rhendricks to Cardinals [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:27 TearRepresentative56 Everything Im watching and anlaysing in premarket ahead of PPI. more updates to come during the day. 14/05

For more of my daily analysis please join Tradingedge
ANALYSIS:

FX analysis:
We see looking at EURUSD that skew is v elevated as IV is elevated on calls vs puts.
EURUSD is stuck under 1.08 but traders are looking for a break towards 1.09. Note that traders seem to be pricing in softer inflation data. If PPI comes hot and CPI too tomorrow, we can see strong downward move in EURUSD as traders are seemingly complacent from positioning on soft inflation data
BTC:
BTC positioning shows traders sell calls. Skew points downward. Can see some pressure for this OPEX as a result, but should push up after that. Hence why price is lower in premarket.
https://imgur.com/a/mShRPhn
Oil:
Range bound as traders waiting for US economic data this week. But skew is still pointing higher. Buyer momentum is higher, so it is positioned for a move higher but I suppose traders hold their breath waiting for the data.
Silver:
Looks like can continue higher. Skew is higher, IV change is rising.
Calls on 28 adn 29 are the main options.
https://imgur.com/a/q3KxHuN
USDJPY - gamma wall at 157C. Can get stopped there, before move higher after. Positioning on JPY v bearish.

DATA LEDE:

Japan PPI:
YOY came 0.9% vs 0.9% forecast, last month was revised to 0.9% YOY too.
So is gradually increasing since November.
German Final inflation revision showed no change to preliminary reading. Confirmed the prelim reading. inflation of 2.2% vs 2.2% last time.
UK EMPLOYMENT DATA
178k people got laid off in the last month, less than the 215k expected.
More than the 156k last month.
So labour market is continuing to weaken.
Unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in line with expectations. Highest reading in over a year.
Average earnings still came hot though, at 5.7% growth YOY vs 5.3% forecasted. Last month was 5.7% YOY.
Average earnings growth has come down a lot though in the last year and is now near yearly lows of growth.
So UK labour market data showed weakening of labour market.
EURO ZEW Economic Sentiment index:
Came 47 vs 46.1 expected.
Highest economic sentiment reading in over a year.
Economic sentiment in Eurozone continues to improve.
German economic sentiment index came 47.1 vs 46 expected. Highest in a year.
US PPI Data
Fed’s Powell is due to speak at 10am, unlikely to say anything in particular.

MARKETS:

Markets are flat, waiting for PPI.
SPX trading flat around the levels it was at yesterday, ahead of PPI. Market waiting for PPI
Nasdaq: 18,200. Trading flat around these levels.
DJI flat at 39.5k
GEr40: Trading flat at the highs, trading at 18,700.
HKG trading lower by 0.8%. Tested close to 19k and held.
OIL trading flat the last week or so around 77-79.
GOLD: trading flat at 2,344.

FX:

GBP down due to weak employment data, which points to firstly, rate cuts being on the horizon, and weakness in UK economy.
Also down because BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Recovered somewhat with EURO which headed higher after ZEW Economic survey
Yen continues weakness after failed intervention
DXY flat ahead of PPI
EURUSD trading t the 1.08 resistance
AUDUSD trading at 0.66. Still stuck under the downtrend trend line.

EARNINGS:
BABA

EPS of 10.14 vs 10.21 expected. Miss by 0.7%
Revenue of 221.8B beat by 1%. Up 6% YOY
Adjusted EBITDA was 30.81B yuan, beat by 1.4%
Segment revenue:
Taobao group was 93B, beat estimates by 1%, down 28% QOQ
Cloud intelligence was down 8% QOQ
Local services group revenue was 15B Yuan
Cainiao Smart logistics network was 20.12B yuan
So mixed segment revenue.
Approved a $4B dividend for Fy 2024.
One time extraordinary cash dividend
Repurchased $12.5B worth of shares in Fy 2024.
They are focusing on enhancing customer experience and growing AI product capabilities
Significant investments in strategic business priorities, particularly in ecomm
CEO comments:
Returning to growth, our china and international commerce business saw double digit GMV growth
Accelerated revenue in cloud computing
NOT GREAT EARNINGS ON THE WHOLE. EPS was dissapoitning, segment revenues were dissapointing.

Down as they say that delayed spring selling is hurting sales.
Weak current quarter, comps were down worse than expected. But they maintained the Full year guide, which was better than many expected imo
Rev $36.4B vs $36.7B est. missed narrowly
Comps -2.8% vs -2.2% est. worse than expected
EPS $3.63 vs $3.60 est. slightly better than expected
Customer transactions were down 1% YOY
Average ticket down 1.3% YOY
Sales per retail square foot were down 3.4% YOY
Maintains FY guide
FY EPS of $15.26
FY sales of 154.2B
The 1Q weakness is in-line with what we highlighted, but FY guide maintained = better than feared by some.
Delayed start to sprint and softness in larger discretionary projects hurt sales.
Still seeing challenges
But are trying to look forward to rest of the fiscal year with robust plans to engage customers.

SONY:

Announced new leadership structure.
Is adopting a new dual CEO structure for their video game Unit.
Net profit was 189B yen , up 34% YOY and beat by 26.8%
Revenue was 3.48T, up 14% YOY, beat by 14%
EPS of 153.6, beat by 34%
Segment performance:
Game Business revenue was 3.481T, up 14% YOY
Game business operating profit was 105.9B, more than double YOY
Moving business operating profit was nearly double YOY
So strong quarter results
GUIDANCE FOR FY2025:
Revenue of 12.31T, down 5.5% YOY
Net profit of 925B down 4% YOY
Planning partial spin off of financial unit
Conducting 5-1 stock split
Announced buyback of 250B shares
Seen strong performance in game and movie business, leading to robust quarter.

MAG 7 NEWS:

MSFT - OPENAI announcements yesterday:
Releases voice assistant, which acts as a translator in real time.
OpenAI GPT 4o which is faster, omnimodel and easier. It will launch on desktop version too. Said this model will be available for free.
Showcased use of AI for tutoring.
Announced they have over 100m+ users using chatGPT worldwide.
TSLA - rehires their key Supercharger Team, reversing recent cuts.
GOOGL, AMZN - Anthropic, which is backed by these companies is launching its GenAI chatbot Claude throughout europe including EU countries Switzerland and Iceland.
GOOGL - has their own IO developer event today. Is expected to showcase its latest AI tools and AI linked enhancements to products.
AAPL - Foxconn reported earnings. Whilst their results jumped a lot YOY, they missed estimates. They said they saw strong server demand due to AI, but consumer electronics sales were down 9%, weakness in iPhone in CHina.
Said they are cautious about near term consumer electronics demand.
AAPL - preparing o sell Vision Pro device outside of US for first time, plans to expand to CHina, Japan and France.

COMPANY SPECIFIC:

SPWR up as part of a short squeeze of meme stocks, and other heavily shorted stocks.
GME - Up 40% in premarket. The squeeze continues.
AMC up 50% too, BB up 15%
The meme stocks are seeing momentum continuing on from yesterday, after coming into focus due to Roaring Kitty’s tweet during weekend.
Chinese EV company, BYD is unveiling Plug in hybrid pickup truck in Mexico. It’s called the shark and will be distributed globally except for US.
RUM - Rumble sues Google for $1B over anticompetitive ad practices. Files lawsuit
WMT - to lay off and relocate hundreds of corporate workers. Remote workers have been asked to move to larger corporate hubs. Small office employees in Dallas, Atlanta and Toronto to relocate
UBER - Willa acquire FoodPanda’s Taiwan business for 950M
ULTA - maintained at hold by Stifel

OTHER NEWS

Meme stock rally this morning continues.
US small business index ahead of expectations, but much below the historically average level. Cost pressures remain the main issue as many small businesses still raise wages to retain workers.Inflation still the main issue for small businesses in US, but less so than before.
Yesterday’s trading saw the lowest volume day since Thanksgiving 2023. This is as traders await the key economic news coming out this week.
Yesterday saw inflation expectations rise for next year to 3.3%, highest since November 2023.
From the data this morning then, we can see that the macro trends are:
UK labour market continues to weaken
Euro economic sentiment improves
Bank of America sees slower growth but still positive spending in the US. People are getting user to higher rate environment.
US administration increases tariffs on $18B of Chinese imports. Including semiconductors, batteries, solars, EVs etc. Trying to bolster domestic manufacturing.
Yesterday, Yellen said that China is not really playing by the rules on trade, said it is unacceptable to be dependent on China in key industries.
B of A fund manager survey shows fund managers are most bullish since 2021. Not seeing signs of big pullback here. Cash allocation decreasing as fund managers INCREASE exposure to the market too. Lowest cash level since 2021.
BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Said we can cut rates and still have restrictive policy.
OPEC sees demand for doc crude in 2024 at 43.2M BPD in 2024, and says they will now only forecast demand for doc crude
OPEC said that despite some downside risks, there is further upside potential for global economic growth in 2024.

submitted by TearRepresentative56 to u/TearRepresentative56 [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:25 TearRepresentative56 Everything I'm watching and analysing in premarket ahead of PPI more updates to come later. 14/05

For more of my daily analysis please join Tradingedge
ANALYSIS:

FX analysis:
We see looking at EURUSD that skew is v elevated as IV is elevated on calls vs puts.
EURUSD is stuck under 1.08 but traders are looking for a break towards 1.09. Note that traders seem to be pricing in softer inflation data. If PPI comes hot and CPI too tomorrow, we can see strong downward move in EURUSD as traders are seemingly complacent from positioning on soft inflation data
BTC:
BTC positioning shows traders sell calls. Skew points downward. Can see some pressure for this OPEX as a result, but should push up after that. Hence why price is lower in premarket.
https://imgur.com/a/mShRPhn
Oil:
Range bound as traders waiting for US economic data this week. But skew is still pointing higher. Buyer momentum is higher, so it is positioned for a move higher but I suppose traders hold their breath waiting for the data.
Silver:
Looks like can continue higher. Skew is higher, IV change is rising.
Calls on 28 adn 29 are the main options.
https://imgur.com/a/q3KxHuN
USDJPY - gamma wall at 157C. Can get stopped there, before move higher after. Positioning on JPY v bearish.

DATA LEDE:

Japan PPI:
YOY came 0.9% vs 0.9% forecast, last month was revised to 0.9% YOY too.
So is gradually increasing since November.
German Final inflation revision showed no change to preliminary reading. Confirmed the prelim reading. inflation of 2.2% vs 2.2% last time.
UK EMPLOYMENT DATA
178k people got laid off in the last month, less than the 215k expected.
More than the 156k last month.
So labour market is continuing to weaken.
Unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in line with expectations. Highest reading in over a year.
Average earnings still came hot though, at 5.7% growth YOY vs 5.3% forecasted. Last month was 5.7% YOY.
Average earnings growth has come down a lot though in the last year and is now near yearly lows of growth.
So UK labour market data showed weakening of labour market.
EURO ZEW Economic Sentiment index:
Came 47 vs 46.1 expected.
Highest economic sentiment reading in over a year.
Economic sentiment in Eurozone continues to improve.
German economic sentiment index came 47.1 vs 46 expected. Highest in a year.
US PPI Data
Fed’s Powell is due to speak at 10am, unlikely to say anything in particular.

MARKETS:

Markets are flat, waiting for PPI.
SPX trading flat around the levels it was at yesterday, ahead of PPI. Market waiting for PPI
Nasdaq: 18,200. Trading flat around these levels.
DJI flat at 39.5k
GEr40: Trading flat at the highs, trading at 18,700.
HKG trading lower by 0.8%. Tested close to 19k and held.
OIL trading flat the last week or so around 77-79.
GOLD: trading flat at 2,344.

FX:

GBP down due to weak employment data, which points to firstly, rate cuts being on the horizon, and weakness in UK economy.
Also down because BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Recovered somewhat with EURO which headed higher after ZEW Economic survey
Yen continues weakness after failed intervention
DXY flat ahead of PPI
EURUSD trading t the 1.08 resistance
AUDUSD trading at 0.66. Still stuck under the downtrend trend line.

EARNINGS:
BABA

EPS of 10.14 vs 10.21 expected. Miss by 0.7%
Revenue of 221.8B beat by 1%. Up 6% YOY
Adjusted EBITDA was 30.81B yuan, beat by 1.4%
Segment revenue:
Taobao group was 93B, beat estimates by 1%, down 28% QOQ
Cloud intelligence was down 8% QOQ
Local services group revenue was 15B Yuan
Cainiao Smart logistics network was 20.12B yuan
So mixed segment revenue.
Approved a $4B dividend for Fy 2024.
One time extraordinary cash dividend
Repurchased $12.5B worth of shares in Fy 2024.
They are focusing on enhancing customer experience and growing AI product capabilities
Significant investments in strategic business priorities, particularly in ecomm
CEO comments:
Returning to growth, our china and international commerce business saw double digit GMV growth
Accelerated revenue in cloud computing
NOT GREAT EARNINGS ON THE WHOLE. EPS was dissapoitning, segment revenues were dissapointing.

Down as they say that delayed spring selling is hurting sales.
Weak current quarter, comps were down worse than expected. But they maintained the Full year guide, which was better than many expected imo
Rev $36.4B vs $36.7B est. missed narrowly
Comps -2.8% vs -2.2% est. worse than expected
EPS $3.63 vs $3.60 est. slightly better than expected
Customer transactions were down 1% YOY
Average ticket down 1.3% YOY
Sales per retail square foot were down 3.4% YOY
Maintains FY guide
FY EPS of $15.26
FY sales of 154.2B
The 1Q weakness is in-line with what we highlighted, but FY guide maintained = better than feared by some.
Delayed start to sprint and softness in larger discretionary projects hurt sales.
Still seeing challenges
But are trying to look forward to rest of the fiscal year with robust plans to engage customers.

SONY:

Announced new leadership structure.
Is adopting a new dual CEO structure for their video game Unit.
Net profit was 189B yen , up 34% YOY and beat by 26.8%
Revenue was 3.48T, up 14% YOY, beat by 14%
EPS of 153.6, beat by 34%
Segment performance:
Game Business revenue was 3.481T, up 14% YOY
Game business operating profit was 105.9B, more than double YOY
Moving business operating profit was nearly double YOY
So strong quarter results
GUIDANCE FOR FY2025:
Revenue of 12.31T, down 5.5% YOY
Net profit of 925B down 4% YOY
Planning partial spin off of financial unit
Conducting 5-1 stock split
Announced buyback of 250B shares
Seen strong performance in game and movie business, leading to robust quarter.

MAG 7 NEWS:

MSFT - OPENAI announcements yesterday:
Releases voice assistant, which acts as a translator in real time.
OpenAI GPT 4o which is faster, omnimodel and easier. It will launch on desktop version too. Said this model will be available for free.
Showcased use of AI for tutoring.
Announced they have over 100m+ users using chatGPT worldwide.
TSLA - rehires their key Supercharger Team, reversing recent cuts.
GOOGL, AMZN - Anthropic, which is backed by these companies is launching its GenAI chatbot Claude throughout europe including EU countries Switzerland and Iceland.
GOOGL - has their own IO developer event today. Is expected to showcase its latest AI tools and AI linked enhancements to products.
AAPL - Foxconn reported earnings. Whilst their results jumped a lot YOY, they missed estimates. They said they saw strong server demand due to AI, but consumer electronics sales were down 9%, weakness in iPhone in CHina.
Said they are cautious about near term consumer electronics demand.
AAPL - preparing o sell Vision Pro device outside of US for first time, plans to expand to CHina, Japan and France.

COMPANY SPECIFIC:

SPWR up as part of a short squeeze of meme stocks, and other heavily shorted stocks.
GME - Up 40% in premarket. The squeeze continues.
AMC up 50% too, BB up 15%
The meme stocks are seeing momentum continuing on from yesterday, after coming into focus due to Roaring Kitty’s tweet during weekend.
Chinese EV company, BYD is unveiling Plug in hybrid pickup truck in Mexico. It’s called the shark and will be distributed globally except for US.
RUM - Rumble sues Google for $1B over anticompetitive ad practices. Files lawsuit
WMT - to lay off and relocate hundreds of corporate workers. Remote workers have been asked to move to larger corporate hubs. Small office employees in Dallas, Atlanta and Toronto to relocate
UBER - Willa acquire FoodPanda’s Taiwan business for 950M
ULTA - maintained at hold by Stifel

OTHER NEWS

Meme stock rally this morning continues.
US small business index ahead of expectations, but much below the historically average level. Cost pressures remain the main issue as many small businesses still raise wages to retain workers.Inflation still the main issue for small businesses in US, but less so than before.
Yesterday’s trading saw the lowest volume day since Thanksgiving 2023. This is as traders await the key economic news coming out this week.
Yesterday saw inflation expectations rise for next year to 3.3%, highest since November 2023.
From the data this morning then, we can see that the macro trends are:
UK labour market continues to weaken
Euro economic sentiment improves
Bank of America sees slower growth but still positive spending in the US. People are getting user to higher rate environment.
US administration increases tariffs on $18B of Chinese imports. Including semiconductors, batteries, solars, EVs etc. Trying to bolster domestic manufacturing.
Yesterday, Yellen said that China is not really playing by the rules on trade, said it is unacceptable to be dependent on China in key industries.
B of A fund manager survey shows fund managers are most bullish since 2021. Not seeing signs of big pullback here. Cash allocation decreasing as fund managers INCREASE exposure to the market too. Lowest cash level since 2021.
BOE’s Pill says that Rate cut is likely to come under consideration in Summer, after employment data. Gilts are up in UK as a result. V explicit mention of rate cuts to come.
Said we can cut rates and still have restrictive policy.
OPEC sees demand for doc crude in 2024 at 43.2M BPD in 2024, and says they will now only forecast demand for doc crude
OPEC said that despite some downside risks, there is further upside potential for global economic growth in 2024.

submitted by TearRepresentative56 to TradingEdge [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 14:01 Zappingsbrew A post talking about 400 words

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2024.05.14 13:58 shaneka69 CANCER ZODIAC GETS A MYSTERIOUS SURPRISE

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submitted by shaneka69 to mytarotreadings [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 13:53 shaneka69 CANCER ZODIAC - UNEXPECTED INCOME! TAROT READING MAY 2024

CANCER ZODIAC TAROT READING - UNEXPECTED INCOME MAY 2024

submitted by shaneka69 to mytarotreadings [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 13:47 Individual-Many-5784 Building a NAS + Media Server

What will you be doing with this PC? Be as specific as possible, and include specific games or programs you will be using.
It will be used as an onsite copy for personal files (as part of the 3-2-1 backup rule) while also doubling as a media servedigital library for individual use (will not be streaming to devices other than a PC either).
Relevant software: Ubuntu (OS), SnapRAID + mergerfs + ZFS (storage), Docker (container), Jellyfin (media server), Kavita (digital library)
What is your maximum budget before rebates/shipping/taxes?
Ideally around $700-$800, up to $1000
When do you plan on building/buying the PC? Note: beyond a week or two from today means any build you receive will be out of date when you want to buy.
Between two weeks to a month; mostly just want to get an idea of how much can be done with this limited budget (as well as what components I should be focusing on within the given price points)
What, exactly, do you need included in the budget? (ToweOS/monitokeyboard/mouse/etc\)
Common peripherals will not be necessary since I intend to run this build as a server. Am currently thinking in the direction of a GPU not being necessary either (it seems a decent CPU such as the Ryzen 5600G would be sufficient for my needs). Storage drives should be included within the budget as much as possible, but not at the cost of other relevant components (don't mind having spare slots to upgrade my pool in the future).
Which country (and state/province) will you be purchasing the parts in? If you're in US, do you have access to a Microcenter location?
Florida, US - no access to a Microcenter in my location (will be fully purchasing online)
If reusing any parts (including monitor(s)/keyboard/mouse/etc), what parts will you be reusing? Brands and models are appreciated.
Unfortunately, nothing to work with here :(
Will you be overclocking? If yes, are you interested in overclocking right away, or down the line? CPU and/or GPU?
Not for this particular build, perhaps when I build an active-use PC in the future :)
Are there any specific features or items you want/need in the build? (ex: SSD, large amount of storage or a RAID setup, CUDA or OpenCL support, etc)
A RAID setup would be necessary for the purpose of this build, as well as an SSD for use with the OS/aforementioned programs' files (the relevant personal files/media will instead be stored on the HDDs)
Do you have any specific case preferences (Size like ITX/microATX/mid-towefull-tower, styles, colors, window or not, LED lighting, etc), or a particular color theme preference for the components?
Micro-ATX preferred, but can work with an ATX form factor as well. Not particularly keen on aesthetics (RGB included)
Do you need a copy of Windows included in the budget? If you do need one included, do you have a preference?
Nope
Extra info or particulars:
Nothing in particular
Thanks for the help, your advice would be much appreciated!
EDIT: Fixed formatting for better readability

submitted by Individual-Many-5784 to buildapcforme [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 13:43 KeeraD85 1st Dose pzfier Side Effect

I received my 1st dose 9/22. Almost immediate (within 20 minutes after receiving shot) normal effects such as nasal drip, metallic taste, felt a little high and grumpy. A few days later started the arm and leg muscle weakness. Started upper chest soreness. Which I can only describe as "feeling bruised".
When I received my 1st dose I was 1 yr almost exactly to the date post covid. Had blood clot in RL lung & double pneumonia. Three weeks prior to received 1st dose I tested + for antibodies. On 9/28 while relaxing in bed without notice I suddenly started feeling like I was going to passed out. I sat at the end of my bed where it continued as my body kept feeling like I was passing out. There was no blackout or dizziness I went straight into passing out.
It wouldn't stop. I had to call ambulance. ER ruled out heart attack. Since 11/2 I have had 3 similar episodes and now as of yesterday I had a small episode. When this happens my body feels like it's draining circulation, I get warm circles all over body, lower back, arm pits, legs, groin area. After this happens my body gets extremely tired and weak. My arms get shaky. I have had extensive testing done. Seen just about every doctor including ENT. Not one has an explanation of what is happening. According to my doctors I was in perfect health at my physical in May of 2021. I'm just sharing my story in hopes that I can get answers and hopefully help someone who is struggling after getting pzfier vaccine.

submitted by KeeraD85 to CovVaccineSideEffects [link] [comments]

2024.05.14 13:01 Altruistic_Name_992 FIFA CARRER MOD TRACKER BY ME

This table is ready to be used for the top 5 leagues (including lower divisions) + ukrainian premier league, I will update it in the future if you are interested in it.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1be6J0DIM0JwOjBaZh21gI8btar6T6UHQg9i3ubR4tJk/edit#gid=1975226782
Rules for using the tracker table:

Create a copy for yourself to work with the table
Do not edit the cells in which the formula is written, do not delete or create new cells or tables unless you know what it can lead to (the formula is indicated by the = sign in the formula bar).
Most of the cells such as selecting a position, player name, country, club name or competition name work with automatic prompts and drop-down lists. Try double-clicking on a cell or start typing the first characters of a word and the table will help you. Almost all cells with pictures automatically pull in values from DATA, except for the minilines in the PLAYERS table, you will have to insert them manually to get the minilines pulled in automatically in the seasons tables.
the OVERVIEW table is fully automatic, if you need to add your own competition, you can replace the cells with other names, for example VBET LEAGUE, WRITE COMPETITION NAME or other.
PLAYERS table. You only enter position, mini-face, name and nationality by clicking on the arrow, the rest of the columns and cells are automatic.
Season tables 0-15. 0 - This is the initial data of your team, here you enter only the names of the players, you can copy the names from the PLAYERS table or start entering the first characters of the player's name. 1-15 You enter all data except for position, mini-faces, nationality, AVG, GD (goal difference in the table) and PTS (points in the table).

This is my first experience in creating such tables, I will wait for your questions and suggestions.
https://preview.redd.it/vbidl2stid0d1.png?width=1754&format=png&auto=webp&s=9b9eeb22d47432233e2b64dc7280a30f657bf74f
https://preview.redd.it/mfe62srpid0d1.png?width=946&format=png&auto=webp&s=126d5f017ccbf57f24fc0d67c091ac5f066ddd0d

submitted by Altruistic_Name_992 to FifaCareers [link] [comments]

http://rodzice.org/