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The 2024 NFL Draft is in the books and it’s time to recap all the action. Thursday started off pretty chalky until the Atlanta Falcons sent shockwaves across the internet when they selected Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. eighth overall. We didn’t see a defensive player selected until pick number 15. Late in the first round leading into day two, we saw a big run on wide receivers, which the depth of the class was illustrated by 35 total names coming off the board. Offensive tackle came in close behind that with 27 selected and cornerback actually edged out the WRs by one more taken (36), as the two other quality position groups. The big surprise was that we didn’t just get six quarterbacks inside the top-12 to set a new record, but then it took 138 additional spots before we got to QB7.
In this article, I’m going to break down the biggest winners and losers from the weekend, which can be teams overall in terms of the hauls they put together, individual players, coaches or general managers. After that, we’re getting to the biggest steals and reaches, based my individual rankings, consensus boards and general circumstances. All of this of course comes with a certain level of subjectivity and it’ll be another three years before we can make any definitive statements on these new members of the NFL, but I strongly believe in team-building through the draft, understanding where you can acquire value, how to maneuver around the board and how this piece fits into the puzzle, as you consider the way you’ve positioned yourself coming in and the vision behind the operation.
Let’s get into it:
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Winners:

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Pittsburgh Steelers

We have back-to-back appearances by the Steelers and I thought this year they knocked it out of the park even more so this year. And we saw their draft reflect very well how one term has dictated their entire offseason – patience. It showed in the way they spent a sixth-rounder (who could bump up a couple of rounds based on playing time) for a QB room of Russell Wilson and Justin Fields, who cost them 4.5 million dollars this year. They signed a couple of starters at key spots in linebacker Patrick Queen and safety DeShon Elliott under expected value and while the late-round pick-swap paired with the Diontae Johnson-for-Donte Jackson trade isn’t a net plus, it feels like they had a player there who didn’t fit in with the culture anymore.
As for this draft class, of their first five picks (20, 51, 84, 98 and 119), all of the players they selected were (in some cases significantly) higher on my personal big board compared to where they got them. Washington’s Troy Fautanu became OT6 selected as someone with elite movement skills, projecting well as someone who can offer positional versatility, even if the raw strength isn’t quite up there with the guys ahead of him. Then they came back in the second round and got what arguably was the best pure center in the class, if not for breaking his leg at the end of the college season, in West Virginia’s Zach Frazier, who is a perfect fit for new OC Arthur Smith implementing his outside zone-based run scheme. Michigan’s Roman Wilson at one point was projected to be a potential surprise pick at the end of the first round with how he was routing everybody up during Senior Bowl week, coming from an environment that didn’t lend itself to major production, but he was the guy the Wolverines relied upon when they needed to move the chains (38 of his 48 receptions last season resulted in either a first down or touchdown). I had a late first-round grade purely based on the tape of N.C. State linebacker Payton Wilson, who brings premiere speed, play-making skills and effort, but saw his career marked by injuries until becoming the ACC Defensive Player of the Year in 2023. And while they already had a couple of veteran guards under contract for this year still, South Dakota State’s Mason McCormick was an absolute ass-kicker in the run game for the FCS champion Jackrabbits, then had basically a flawless week of Shrine Bowl practices, especially in one-on-one pass-pro drills, and ultimately finished with a top-ten relative athletic score (9.97) for guards.
Iowa interior D-lineman Logan Lee (178^th overall) and Ryan Watts (195^th overall) also both feel very much like Steelers players in reserve roles. So not only did they probably find a starting receiver and linebacker as rookies, I mentioned this on social media, who a little more than a calendar year ago, Pittsburgh probably had a bottom-three offensive line and now they’ve literally improved all six spots, if including their primary backup.
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Aidan O’Connell & Gardner Minshew

I’ll get to the validity of the six quarterbacks who were ultimately selected in the top-12, but coming into last Thursday night, if you replace the Giants with the surprising Falcons, there were seven teams in the market for a young signal-caller in that range plus the Raiders at pick 13. As it turned out, they were the ones to miss out on the group. Personally, I thought there was a good chance they might trade up, if the Commanders preferred North Carolina’s Drake Maye compared to LSU’s Jayden Daniels, since new head coach Antonio Pierce has the connection with the reigning Heisman Trophy winner from the days of being involved in his recruitment at Arizona State. As it turned out, Las Vegas didn’t end up moving, despite reports on them trying trade up as high as second overall, and with the record-setting six names selected until the Silver and Black were on the clock, they instead got the final one of the four premier pass-catchers in Georgia tight-end/all-purpose weapon Brock Bowers.
However, it didn’t stop there. The Raiders actively passed on possible options with all of their final seven picks (one in each round, other than two in the seventh). In fact, there was a 138-pick gap between QB6 and QB7 – which I’ll get to more later on – and I personally think all five of the remaining guys drafted (even if Tennessee’s Joe Milton III is objectively pretty raw) had starter traits, at least in relation to Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew, who along with Anthony Brown – an undrafted free agent from two years ago – and Carter Bradley (South Carolina) as their own UDFA pickup following Saturday, make up that quarterback room. Instead, along with Bowers 13^th overall, they brought in my personal top-ranked center Jackson Powers-Johnson from Oregon (44^th overall), a long and athletic tackle/guard developmental prospect in Maryland’s Delmar Glaze (77^th overall) and later on what might be the best pass-catching back in this draft in New Hampshire’s Dylan Laube (206^th overall).
So not only did Vegas miss out on the top of the class of signal-callers, but they didn’t even take a shot on anybody else outside of what I look at as a potential QB3 as a UDFA and then they spent their picks in the first three rounds on another offensive weapon and addressed the O-line, along with upgrading their third-down back with Laube, in my opinion. I thought O’Connell showed some real signs last season, even though he may be somewhat limited, and Minshew did nearly lead the Colts to a playoff berth, even if the tape showed obvious flaws. So for the Raiders to come out of this draft with no real competition to those guys has be counted as a massive W for them – although I think they were a perfect candidate to take at least a day-three swing on someone.
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The university of Michigan

Two years ago, I talked about Kirby Smart and the Georgia Bulldogs, when they set a new record for most players selected off one team in a year with 15. After them, there are two college programs with 14 each (2004 Ohio State and 2020 LSU), before the Wolverines come in at 13 total names. As you look at that list, the big difference between them and the other groups in that range, is that they’re the only one of 14 teams with 11+ guys drafted, who didn’t have multiple first-round picks. That speaks to the kind of infrastructure they’ve built, where they don’t rely on individual star players, have guys coming back for their senior years in order to compete for a championship and still set themselves up for a future in the pros.
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy went 10^th overall to the Vikings, which was slightly lower than betting services had it, but like two rounds higher than where many people considered him when Michigan won the National Championship in early January. So that speaks to the fact their style of play offensively, which makes the quarterback more of a complementary piece, doesn’t necessarily hurt more potential high recruits at that position, while not as much is put on their plate. They quickly turned Mike Sainristil from a wide receiver into arguably the top pure nickelback in the class and the 50^th overall selection (Commanders), interior D-lineman Kris Jenkins Jr. went a pick earlier (Bengals) despite limited production in more of a read-and-react style of front, Jim Harbaugh himself (Chargers) grabbed Junior Colson as LB2 off the board, A.J. Barner was a fourth-round pick as somewhat of a one-dimensional player because they turned himself into the top blocking tight-end in the class and even guard Zak Zinter was a third-rounder despite breaking his tibia and fibula.
The two guys that went a little later than I might’ve expected were running back Blake Corum (83^rd overall), who was recovering from a torn ACL but will be sharing the Rams backfield with who many comped him to in Kyren Williams, and Roman Wilson (84^th overall), who landed in the pre-eminent spot for mid-round wide receiver production in Pittsburgh. The only prospects I had draftable grades on who didn’t get selected were center Drake Nugent and edge defender Braiden McGregor. And even with those two, you see a path why they wouldn’t hear their names called, due to size and injury concerns respectively. So the Wolverines check the three key factors for high school recruits – a top-ten university in terms of education according to Time Magazine, a proven winner (40-3 record over the past three seasons combined) and now also an NFL machinery, under the leadership of former offensive coordinator Sherrone Moore taking over for Jim.
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Green Bay Packers

Looking through some draft grades out there, just for fun, I couldn’t that they were middle of the road at best, when I think you can make a strong case that the only class you should put above theirs is the already discussed Steelers. Simply from a process perspective, they came into Thursday with one pick in the first round, two in the second, two in the third, one in the fourth and fifth each, plus two in the sixth and seventh each. Ultimately, they moved back four spots in the second round (from 41 to 45) and in return – through multiple other trades – they moved up 11 spots in the fourth round and 56 spots from the sixth to the fifth round (from 219 to 163). Based on that alone, the accrued value, before we even get to the names they used that capital on.
Now, the first round is where some people may arguably they slightly reached on Arizona’s Jordan Morgan, who is argued to be moving inside to guard because his arms came in an eighth of an inch short of the general 33-benchmark, but he has some of the best mirror skills and ability to block on the move in this entire class, was a first-team all-conference performer in the loaded Pac-12 in a season coming off a torn ACL and was 31^st on my personal big board, compared pick 25, where they ended up selecting him, as the seventh of nine offensive taken in the first round. In the second, they addressed their two biggest defensive needs, with Texas A&M’s Edgerrin Cooper (45^th overall), as an uber-athletic, long linebacker to pair up with a former first-rounder in Quay Walker, and a teammate of the second-year breakout from Georgia in Javon Bullard (58^th overall), who has plenty of quality experience as a nickel and deep safety, as a potential upgrade over Darnell Savage, who left in free agency. In the third round, they selected what I believe is the most talented all-around running back in Marshawn Lloyd (88^th overall), in terms of short-area explosiveness, start-stop ability and power, if he can fix his ball-security issues, and what I consider their only questionable selection in Missouri linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, who brings a lot of speed and violence to the table, but still needs to learn how to read blocking schemes and clean up his massive missed tackle rate.
Day three is where they really won be over however. They got a couple of my personal favorites at the safety position in Oregon’s Evan Williams (111^th overall) and Oregon State’s Kitan Oladapo (169^th), who I personally had 11^th and fourth(!) in my rankings at the position. They played in fairly similar systems and it might give us some insight into what new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley has planned, as they’re both excellent in two-high structures, where they can read and drive on what’s in front of them, but can also drop down into the slot against bigger bodies. Duke’s Jacob Monk (163^rd overall) I got to late in the process, but really liked his physicality and experience at both guard and center. Georgia State tackle Travis Glover (202^nd overall) is a lot rawer, but has some developmental qualities. And then their two seventh-rounders are definitely worth taking shots on – I’ll go into more detail about Tulane QB Michael Pratt in the “steals” segment and Penn State corner Kalen King was still projected to be a potential first-rounder a year ago, before plummeting since then.
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Bryce Young

While I already discussed Raiders quarterbacks Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew as big winners, based on strengthened job security and opportunity to start for their team, that was never a discussion with last year’s first overall pick Bryce Young. However, even though Panthers owner David Tepper had another infamous moment hours before the draft actually started and I have questions about the class they acquired overall, in terms of helping their guy under center, I’d argue nobody has had a better offseason than Bryce. Before we even got to the actual draft, they hired former Bucs offensive coordinator Dave Canales as their new head coach, after helping resurrect the career of another former number one pick in Baker Mayfield. In free agency, they spent an average of 33.25 million dollars on a new guard tandem with Robert Hunt and Damien Lewis, to slow down the interior pass-rush that was seemingly omnipresent this past season, and then they trade cornerback Donte Jackson for former Steeler Diontae Johnson (combine with a late-round pick swap), who has been a low-end WR1 when healthy.
Heading into Thursday night, the Panthers weren’t even slated to pick due to trading up for Young a year ago, but they moved up one spot – which once again can be questioned in terms of their process behind it – in order to get South Carolina’s Xavier Legette with the final selection of round one. At 6’1”, 220 pounds, he can own the catch-point thanks to his physicality paired with 32-inch arms and a 40-inch vertical. Yet, he also becomes a locomotive with the ball in his hands capable of dragging defensive backs along, if he doesn’t just turn on the jets with that 4.39 speed. You don’t love the late breakout profile and he still needs some refinement as a route-runner, but understanding his background and why it took him a little longer, you at least like to bet on that of skill-set. Once again, I’m not sure if I love the idea of trading up for a running back in the second round, at least not ten spots ahead of the Cowboys as the one team where their owner was also yapping too much that they were “high, high, high” on Texas’ Jonathon Brooks (46^th overall), but aside from the torn ACL he suffered in November, he was the top RB on many teams’ boards. He brings that gliding running style with excellent balance that should make him a better pure rusher than any of the guys they already had on the roster, plus then you really like his receiving profile, having caught 25 passes for nearly 300 yards in 11 games last season. And then, with the first pick of day three they selected another former Longhorn in tight-end/H-back Ja’Tavion Sanders. Similarly to teammate Adonai Mitchell falling, there were some unnamed character concerns that led to him being available at least a full round later where he was projected to go, because he was my 42^nd overall prospect purely based on tape and will once again be discussed more extensively in the “steals” segment, as someone who can threaten the seams and be a run-after-catch specialist.
So now all of a sudden, Adam Thielen in year 34 season won’t be the number one option but potentially all the way down at fourth. Canales will bring more creativity compared to the elementary passing concepts they relied upon during Bryce’s rookie campaign, they now have guys that can stretch the field horizontally as well as vertically, and their QB can actually stand in the pocket and see over the line instead of having the integrity of the pocket disrupted constantly.
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~Other drafts I liked:~
Arizona Cardinals
Buffalo Bills
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
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Losers:

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Atlanta Falcons

This of course has to start with the pick that lit the NFL world on fire, as they shocked everybody by drafting Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. eighth overall. I will go more into detail on most of these quarterbacks in the “reaches” segment, but for the context of this, I had the runner-up for the Heisman Trophy 40 spots lower on my personal big board. So I think you could make a case for him to be a late first-rounder at least based on the benefit of a potential fifth-year option, but that’s the smallest issue here. Just 45 days before the draft kicked off, they signed free agent Kirk Cousins to a four-year, 180-million-dollar contract. That’s coming off a torn Achilles he suffered mid-season and while I’ve heard some people argue that this can be looked at as quarterback insurance, if they didn’t think the veteran would be ready by week one, how can you justify handed out a deal like that? And you’re actually facing disciplinary action from openly tampering with the guy!
I had high expectations for Atlanta’s offense going into this past season, but when they struggled to consistently move the ball, I thought Penix’s aggressive downfield passing could elevate them. That doesn’t however match with a situation where neither the rookie nor the veteran will be particularly comfortable under these circumstances. From all the people Cousins has close connections with, the words “trust” and “security” are up there at the top of the list, and don’t tell me that this is just like the Jordan Love situation – Sure, it was also surprising, but a disconnect between Rodgers and Packers was already developing and they drafted his eventual replacement 26^th overall while making clear that this was a future investment into the 22-year-old. Cousins had barely settled in yet, there’s a real chance he may not be ready until the late parts of the offseason – when everybody in the organization has watched Penix sling it around at practice – and they used a premium pick on Penix just over a week before he turns 24. And the statement by general manager Terry Fontenot on Penix potentially “sitting him four or five year being a great thing” is just asinine, because that would entirely defeat the benefit or a rookie quarterback – which is already limited even if they take the earliest exit on Cousins two years from now, which still comes with 100 million dollars guaranteed – and that you still might have very limited tape on a top-ten pick in live action, aside from the fact of course this comes with opportunity cost of having selected their choice of the top defender in the draft or maybe having traded down. I could have listed easily listed Cousins here as well or the rest of that roster now having to deal with that distraction.
Now, while that’s the main crux here, I was also scratching my head when they traded up eight spots in the second round for Clemson interior D-lineman Ruke Orhorhoro (35^th overall) in exchange for moving down 107 spots from the third to the sixth round. He could turn into a really useful player with alignment versatility, thanks to how low he plays, his combination of length, short-area quickness and play demeanor, but how he counters double-teams and approaches the initial phase of pass-rush reps still clearly need work. I actually had him slightly higher than consensus boards, but that was still 23 spots later than where he was ultimately selected. The rest of the prospects they picked came at appropriate value I thought, even though I didn’t have draftable grades on the final two, but they also didn’t draft one of their two main needs on defense – corner. When asked about it Fontenot ironically responded by saying “you don't want to reach in the draft”, when the pick they traded up from in the second round ended up being Rutgers DB Max Melton, who I and consensus boards had higher than Ruke for example.
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Miles Sanders

In terms of more specific NFL veteran players, there aren’t a lot of guys who have seen a bigger fall from grace over the last calendar year than Miles Sanders. Now, this by no means is writing off his career entirely and I’m not going to act like he was set up for success under Frank Reich and Thomas Brown bouncing play-calling duties back and forth last season. However, after rushing for well over 1200 yards and 11 touchdowns behind the tremendous Eagles offensive line and being part of their run at a Super Bowl the year prior, Sanders went for just 432 yards on the ground and found the end-zone once, whilst averaging an abysmal 3.3 yards per carry. That was after the Panthers handed a four-year, 25.4-million-dollar deal and the only real competition on the roster being Chuba Hubbard. With what new head coach Dave Canales was able to get out of Rachaad White in Tampa Bay last season, there’s still a chance that Sanders can earn trust as the lead-back for this offense that added a bunch of other pieces, as I already mentioned, but that’s not the message this operation is currently sending and competition just got a lot stiffer.
It’s not just that Carolina selected Texas running back Jonathon Brooks in the second round, but they actually moved up six spots 46^th overall to make sure they’d get RB1 off the board, jumping the Giants who might’ve been in the market for the position – they ultimately waited until the fifth round. Personally, I had Florida State’s Trey Benson as the top player at the position, but if Brooks wasn’t coming off a torn ACL, he would’ve been inside the 50 highest-ranked players overall for me. He may not an elite top gear, but he gets up to speed very quickly, is an efficient mover in his transitions, navigates well through condensed space as well as around bodies in the open field, with the contact balance to pull through loose wraps. In terms of the pass game, he wasn’t asked to run an overly complex route-tree, but he can be deceptive in his body-language, he has natural hands and consistently made the first man miss after the catch. So while some of the limitations that Sanders showed with the Eagles showed in terms of not being able to turn 10-15 yard runs into long touchdowns, I see more from him in terms of working in foot-fakes and pulling his legs out of the grasp of would-be tacklers as individual qualities. And watching how he made use of double-teams and pullers as part of Texas’ GT power plays, I like his projection into more of a gap-scheme run game which Canales will emphasize.
Along with Brooks, I also like the big-play potential Jaden Shirden from Monmouth provides as an undrafted free agent. It’ll be a long road to make the actual final 53, but I could see him getting elevated from the practice squad on a few occasions and demand a handful of touches, to go along with the rest of the bodies they had in Carolina last year already.
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Kalen King & Leonard Taylor

There are two players in this draft who were projected to be likely first-round picks heading into the 2023 college football season and now actually both declared as true juniors. Penn State’s Kalen King was up there with Iowa’s Cooper DeJean and Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, who ultimately went back-to-back at the 40^th and 41^st overall selection, as the top corner prospects. Meanwhile, Miami’s Leonard Taylor was much more of a projection guy, but in terms of movement skills and flashes of dominance he showed on the interior defensive line, there was a lot to like, if he had continued on his developmental track. Yet, King barely squeezed in on day three as the third-to-last pick of the entire event (255^th overall), while Taylor didn’t get a call until Mr. Irrelevant had already been announced, and he has since signed with the Jets. Let’s talk about how they got here individually.
During summer scouting, I had landed on King as my CB2 heading into the year and really appreciated his scrappy style of play. While he obviously didn’t come in with the same kind of length or NFL bloodlines as Joey Porter Jr. (33^rd overall pick by the Steelers in 2023), watching Penn State tape, he was the better all-around corner. On 59 targets his way, he only allowed 27 completions on 5.8 yards pass thrown his way and one touchdown compared to three interceptions plus 18(!) PBUs, without getting penalized once. The numbers weren’t remarkably worse on fewer looks, but the ball-production dropped off dramatically, without any picks and just two PBUs. More importantly however, I thought the competitiveness toughness and aggressiveness he put on display was sub-par, highlighted by getting roasted by Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr. for a second straight year, but approaching the matchup with more disinterest I felt. Then came the pre-draft process and I’m not sure if I’ve ever seen a prospect tank his stock as much as King. King lost pretty much every single rep during Senior Bowl practices, where he just showed no confidence in his technique and regularly got blown by. Then he went to the combine and ran a 4.61, which reinforced concerns about his long-speed considering his 10-yard split was at least average.
As for Taylor, I was somewhat indifferent on his projection to the NFL, because he was so all over the place technically, his play-recognition and overall consistency. Nevertheless, I did see the potential and high-level moments on his tape. I’m not going to act like he was put in position to succeed all the time, in terms of alignment, what he was asked to do and to some degree probably his player developmental. With that being said, I saw basically no progression in 2023 or things that translate to the next level, with the flashes of dominance became less frequent. Both his number of sacks and tackles for loss were cut down to a third of their ’22 totals (3.5 and one respectively), while his PFF pass-rush productivity was nearly cut in half, down from 9.4 to 5.8. You see him just shoot into the backfield and blow plays up every once in a while when he was allow to attack upfield and you see him ride offensive linemen into the quarterback a few times, but he just doesn’t seem to really know what he’s doing out there yet. Then he went to the combine and for a supposedly freaky athlete, Taylor finished in the 40^th percentile or worse in all the combine drills he participated in (excluding short-shuttle and bench press).
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The old Eagles corner room

I’ll leave it up to you here if you want to look at the word “old” as in the former or their actual age, but considering how long those guys have been in the league by now, both are very fair. Looking at the personnel moves by Eagles general manager Howie Roseman, the two they would definitely like to take back in retrospect were veteran cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry, who both received three-year contracts last offseason worth a combined 80 million dollars, with more than half of that number fully guaranteed. By the time this season rolls around, they’ll be 33 and 31 years old respectively and you saw them show their age this past year, as they went from both being Pro Bowlers to below-average starters, which particularly in Bradberry’s case can be considered a mild description. Yet, understanding where this franchise is, with a lot of cap hits of younger plays they’ve built the foundation around about to hit in future years, they didn’t let those financial implications affect their draft investments too much. They took the first corner off the board in Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell (22^nd overall), without having to move up ten spots potentially, which was about where he was projected to be taken, and then they did actually move up ten spots in round two with their division rival Commanders to take advantage of the falling Cooper DeJean from Iowa (40^th overall), who was considered a consensus day one guy, even if there was discussion about his ultimate position fit.
Mitchell was CB1 for me and the majority of people in the industry, finishing as the 12^th overall prospect on consensus boards. Yet, with the first defensive player not coming off the board until pick 15 (UCLA edge defender Laiatu Latu to the Colts), in large part due to teams wanting to get their hands on the top wide receivers and tackles, along with the six QBs inside the top-12, this pushed everybody else down the board. You can read more about Mitchell as a steal in the next segment, but he was a superstar in the MAC who absolutely rocked this pre-draft process and if he played at a major program, he would’ve most likely been a top-ten pick in the majority of drafts. Meanwhile, DeJean was a bit more of a divisive name, because there was no consensus on where his best spot in the secondary may ultimately be. He almost exclusively lined up at outside corner this past season, but operated out of the slot regularly the year and at a little over six-foot, 205 pounds with his type of football IQ and spatial awareness as a zone defender, you could also project him to play some safety at the next level. With how well he tested and moved around during the Iowa pro day however, it felt like he secured himself a spot in the first round, which he was always projected to go in anyway, even coming off a leg injury.
Both of them project really well into a match-zone scheme under new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, where they play off and trigger on what happens in front of them, since that’s what they were mainly asked to do in college as well. That’s why both of Philly’s veteran corners are put on notice, while DeJean could also push starting nickel Avonte Maddox, who they brought back for this season at a two-million-dollar price tag.
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Alec Pierce & Juju Smith-Schuster

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The rest of the analysis can be found here!

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~Other drafts I have questions about:~
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
Tennessee Titans
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Steals:

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Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo – 22^nd overall to the Eagles
There are obviously draft picks who went several spots later than where they were projected to come off the board and present better net-plus in terms of value, but when we can all agree that Quinyon was a steal in the first round even, we have to outline him here. This was my as well as the number one corner across and tenth overall prospect, while sitting two spots lower on consensus board. If you take into account the medical history UCLA edge defender Laiatu Latu (15^th to the Colts), a strong case be made that Mitchell was the top defensive player on the board, yet with the rest of the league going offense only until the middle of the round and then focusing on the defensive front, he somehow makes it down to Philly. Some people actually had GM Howie Roseman trading up by around ten spots in order to get him, because they really needed to inject some youth into that corner room – as I already went over earlier – yet they stay patient and address their biggest need at great value without having to invest additional resources. He’s a perfect fit for Vic Fangio with his ability to click-and-close on routes from off-alignment and I think he has All-Pro potential.
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The rest of the analysis can be found here!

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Jer’Zhan Newton, IDL, Illinois – 36^th overall to the Commanders
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Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas – 52^nd overall to the Colts
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Christian Haynes, IOL, UConn – 81^st overall to the Seahawks
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Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE, Texas – 101^st overall to the Panthers
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T.J. Tampa, CB, Iowa State – 130^th overall to the Ravens
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Spencer Rattler, QB, South Carolina – 150^th overall to the Saints
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Jeremiah Trotter Jr., LB, Clemson – 155^th overall to the Eagles
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Kitan Oladapo, SAF, Oregon State – 169^th overall to the Packers
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Johnny Wilson, WR, Florida State – 185^th overall to the Eagles
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Mekhi Wingo, IDL, LSU – 189^th overall to the Lions
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Michael Pratt, QB, Tulane – 245^th overall to the Packers
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~Other value picks:~
Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama – 41^st overall to the Saints
Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL, Oregon – 44^th overall to the Raiders
Ennis Rakestraw Jr., CB, Missouri – 61^st overall to the Lions
Trey Benson, RB, Florida State – 66^th overall to the Cardinals
Roman Wilson, WR, Michigan – 84^th overall to the Steelers
Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon – 102^nd overall to the Broncos
Khyree Jackson, CB, Oregon – 108^th overall to the Vikings
Javon Baker, WR, UCF – 110^th overall to the Patriots
Jaden Hicks, SAF, Washington State – 133^rd overall to the Chiefs
Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, IOL, Georgia – 141^st overall to the Bills
Tommy Eichenberg, LB, Ohio State – 148^th overall to the Raiders
Mohamed Kamara, EDGE, Colorado State – 158^th overall to the Dolphins
Christian Jones, OT, Texas – 162^nd overall to the Cardinals
Tyrone Tracy, RB, Purdue – 166^th overall to the Giants
Walter Rouse, OT, Oklahoma – 177^th overall to the Vikings
Malik Washington, WR, Virginia – 184^th overall to the Dolphins
D.J. James, CB, Auburn – 192^nd overall to the Seahawks
Tanner McLachlan, TE, Arizona – 194^th overall to the Bengals
Khristian Boyd, IDL, Northern Iowa – 199^th overall to the Saints
Nathaniel Watson, LB, Mississippi State – 206^th overall to the Browns
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Reaches:

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All the first-round quarterbacks not named Caleb Williams and Drake Maye
I could have talked individually about at least three and you can make a case for all four other first-round quarterbacks here. This was a pretty unique year, because not only did we have three juniors in Caleb who won a Heisman at USC in 2022, Drake who was a quality starter for three years at North Carolina and J.J. McCarthy just helped Michigan win a national championship, with all three being top-six QBs in that recruiting class, but that was paired with three of these super seniors, who have changed schools across their six years in college and left their respective schools at the top of their games, as the top three in this past Heisman voting. Jayden Daniels (LSU) went second overall to the Commanders – over Drake Maye – when I thought he was a late first-round prospect. Michael Penix Jr. (Washington) was the big shocker at eighth overall, when I had him just inside my top-50 overall prospects. And even though the Vikings ultimately only moved up one spot for McCarthy, they did give up a fourth- and fifth-rounder for a six, in order to secure my QB6 and 64^th player on the big board. They all have their warts, which I discussed extensively in my quarterback rankings, but what’s important here is that they got pushed up due to the amount of desperate teams inside the top-12, as they set a new NFL record for how early those guys came off the board. To some degree that also includes Oregon’s Bo Nix, who I’d typically be very critical of taking QB6 at 12^th overall as the Broncos, but I did have him in a tier with Jayden Daniels as number 28 on my board, and they didn’t actually have to move up.
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The rest of the analysis can be found here!

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Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas – 28^th overall to the Chiefs
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Xavier Legette, WR, South Carolina – 32^nd overall to the Panthers
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Maason Smith, IDL, LSU – 48^th overall to the Jaguars
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Patrick Paul, OT, Houston – 55^th overall to the Dolphins
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Caedan Wallace, OT, Penn State – 68^th overall to the Patriots
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Marist Liufau, LB, Notre Dame – 87^th overall to the Cowboys
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Luke McCaffrey, WR, Rice – 100^th overall to the Commanders
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Jordan Jefferson, IDL, LSU – 116^th overall to the Jaguars
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Tory Taylor, P, Iowa – 122^nd overall to the Bears
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Tarheeb Still, CB, Maryland – 136^th overall to the Chargers
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Keilan Robinson, RB, Texas – 167^th overall to the Jaguars
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~Other questionable picks:~
Ruke Orhrhoro, IDL, Clemson – 35^th overall to the Falcons
Roger Rosengarten, OT, Washington – 62^nd overall to the Ravens
Matt Goncalves, OT, Pittsburgh – 79^th overall to the Colts
Ty’Ron Hopper, LB, Missouri – 91^st overall to the Packers
Devontez Walker, WR, North Carolina – 113^th overall to the Ravens
A.J. Barner, TE, Michigan – 121^st overall to the Seahawks
Giovanni Manu, OT, British Columbia – 126^th overall to the Lions
Nehemiah Pritchett, CB, Auburn – 135^th overall to the Seahawks
Bub Means, WR, Pittsburgh – 170^th overall to the Saints
Jamal Hill, LB, Oregon – 188^th overall to the Texans
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If you enjoyed this article, please visit the original piece & feel free to check out my video content!
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Twitter: @ halilsfbtalk
Instagram: @ halilsrealfootballtalk
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Over the last six-and-a-half weeks, I’ve analyzed the skill-sets of the top ten draft prospects at each position in detail. Now it’s time to put it all together and present my personal big board – numbers one through 100, plus the next 30 names. The way to look at this is thinking of me as a scout for the generic 33^rd NFL team, without taking needs and preferences for the franchise into account.
In retrospect, we already knew wide receiver would be insanely deep, illustrated by 17 guys making the cut, but the counterpart group of the cornerback doesn’t finish too far behind with 13 names on here. Meanwhile, running backs and tight-ends are the least-represented groups, with only five guys each. The quarterbacks have driven the conversation throughout the pre-draft process, but you’ll see here shortly that I’m not as high on the group past the top two names as the general consensus.
Keep in mind, I noted injury or off-field concerns with a star (*) and depending on how well I could actually judge how they should impact rankings, I took them into account. The one prospect I excluded here was Texas interior D-lineman T’Vondre Sweat, who we aren’t sure about exactly what the arrest for DWI means for his draft stock.
You can read extensive scouting reports on basically all of the prospects mentioned here, and his is how the board stacks up for me:
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1. Caleb Williams, QB, USC (QB1)
   
2. Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State (WR1)
   
3. Malik Nabers, WR, LSU (WR2)
   
4. Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina (QB2)
   
5. Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State (OT1)
   
6. Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame (OT2)
   
7. Rome Odunze, WR, Washington (WR3)
   
8. Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia (TE1)
   
9. Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA (EDGE1)*
   
10. Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo (CB1)
    

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1. Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama (EDGE2)
   
2. J.C. Latham, OT, Alabama (OT3)
   
3. Jer’Zhan Newton, IDL, Illinois (IDL1)
   
4. Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State (OT4)
   
5. Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State (EDGE3)
   
6. Byron Murphy II, IDL, Texas (IDL2)
   
7. Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson (CB2)
   
8. Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia (OT5)
   
9. Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington (OT6)
   
10. Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas (WR4)
    

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1. Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL, Oregon (IOL1)
   
2. Graham Barton, IOL, Duke (IOL2)
   
3. Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama (CB3)
   
4. Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU (WR5)
   
5. Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama (CB4)
   
6. Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa (CB5)
   
7. Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State (EDGE4)
   
8. Bo Nix, QB, Oregon (QB3)
   
9. Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU (QB4)
   
10. Tyler Nubin, SAF, Minnesota (SAF1)
    

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1. Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona (OT7)
   
2. Payton Wilson, LB, N.C. State (LB1)*
   
3. Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia (WR6)
   
4. Darius Robinson, EDGE, Missouri (EDGE5)
   
5. Kris Jenkins, IDL, Michigan (IDL3)
   
6. Trey Benson, RB, Florida State (RB1)
   
7. Edgerrin Cooper, LB, Texas A&M (LB2)
   
8. Zach Frazier, IOL, West Virginia (IOL3)*
   
9. Kamari Lassiter, CB, Georgia (CB6)
   
10. Ennis Rakestraw Jr., CB, Missouri (CB7)
    

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1. Javon Bullard, SAF, Georgia (SAF2)
   
2. Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE, Texas (TE2)
   
3. Cooper Beebe, IOL, Kansas State (IOL4)
   
4. Christian Haynes, IOL, UConn (IOL5)
   
5. T.J. Tampa, CB, Iowa State (CB8)
   
6. Jonah Elliss, EDGE, Utah (EDGE6)
   
7. Ricky Pearsall, WR, Florida (WR7)
   
8. Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington (QB5)
   
9. Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma (OT8)
   
10. Max Melton, CB, Rutgers (CB9)
    

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1. Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon (WR8)
   
2. Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State (WR9)
   
3. Jonathon Brooks, RB, Texas (RB2)*
   
4. Jeremiah Trotter Jr., LB, Clemson (LB3)
   
5. Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas (WR10t.)
   
6. Roman Wilson, WR, Michigan (WR10t.)
   
7. Marshawn Kneeland, EDGE, Western Michigan (EDGE7)
   
8. Braden Fiske, IDL, Florida State (IDL5)
   
9. Ruke Orhorhoro, IDL, Clemson (IDL6)
   
10. Xavier Legette, WR, South Carolina (WR12)
    

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1. Kamren Kinchens, SAF, Miami (SAF3)
   
2. Blake Corum, RB, Michigan (RB3)
   
3. Ben Sinnott, TE, Kansas State (TE3)
   
4. J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan (QB6)
   
5. Ja’Lynn Polk, WR, Washington (WR13)
   
6. Kitan Oladapo, SAF, Oregon State (SAF4)
   
7. Bralen Trice, EDGE, Washington (EDGE8)
   
8. Junior Colson, LB, Michigan (LB4)
   
9. Khyree Jackson, CB, Oregon (CB10t.)
   
10. Renardo Green, CB, Florida State (CB10t.)
    

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1. Mike Sainristil, CB, Michigan (CB12)
   
2. Cole Bishop, SAF, Utah (SAF5)
   
3. Chris Braswell, EDGE, Alabama (EDGE9)
   
4. Michael Hall Jr., IDL, Ohio State (IDL7)
   
5. Spencer Rattler, South Carolina (QB7)
   
6. Cedric Gray, LB, North Carolina (LB5)
   
7. Johnny Wilson, WR, Florida State (WR14)
   
8. Marshawn Lloyd, RB, USC (RB4)
   
9. Jermaine Burton, WR, Alabama (WR15)
   
10. Javon Baker, WR, UCF (WR16)
    

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1. Kingsley Suamataia, OT, BYU (OT9)
   
2. Malachi Corley, WR, Western Kentucky (WR17)
   
3. Zak Zinter, IOL, Michigan (IOL6)*
   
4. Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, IOL, Georgia (IOL7)
   
5. Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, SAF, Texas Tech (SAF6)
   
6. Christian Jones, OT, Texas (OT10)
   
7. Kiran Amegadjie, OT, Yale (OT11)
   
8. Tommy Eichenberg, LB, Ohio State (LB6)
   
9. Jaden Hicks, SAF, Washington State (SAF7)
   
10. Adisa Isaac, EDGE, Penn State (EDGE10)
    

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1. Cade Stover, TE, Ohio State (TE4)
   
2. Mason McCormick, IOL, South Dakota State (IOL8)
   
3. Ray Davis, RB, Kentucky (RB5)
   
4. Mekhi Wingo, IDL, LSU (IDL8)
   
5. Theo Johnson, TE, Penn State (TE5)
   
6. Andru Phillips, CB, Kentucky (CB13)
   
7. Blake Fisher, OT, Notre Dame (OT12)
   
8. Trevin Wallace, LB, Kentucky (LB7)
   
9. Brandon Dorlus, IDL, Oregon (IDL9)
   

T.-100. Austin Booker, EDGE, Kansas (EDGE11)
T.-100. Mohamed Kamara, EDGE, Colorado State (EDGE12)
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Excluded:
T’Vondre Sweat, IDL, Texas (IDL4)*
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The next 30 names:

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Kris Abrams-Draine, CB, Missouri (CB14)
Malik Washington, WR, Virginia (WR18)
Christian Mahogany, IOL, Boston College (IOL9)
Malik Mustapha, SAF, Wake Forest (SAF8)
Javon Solomon, EDGE, Troy (EDGE13)
Walter Rouse, OT, Oklahoma (OT13)
Beaux Limmer, IOL, Arkansas (IOL10)
Decamerion Richardson, CB, Mississippi State (CB15)
Javon Foster, OT, Missouri (OT14)
D.J. James, CB, Auburn (CB16)
Dominick Puni, IOL, Kansas (IOL11)
Calen Bullock, SAF, USC (SAF9)
Jaylen Wright, RB, Tennessee (RB6)
Gabriel Murphy, EDGE, UCLA (EDGE14)
Patrick Paul, OT, Houston (OT15)
Erick All, TE, Iowa (TE6)
Nathaniel Watson, LB, Mississippi State (LB8)
Bucky Irving, RB, Oregon (RB7)
Tykee Smith, SAF, Georgia (SAF10)
Brandon Coleman, IOL, TCU (IOL12)
Jaheim Bell, TE, Florida State (TE7)
Tyrone Tracy, RB, Purdue (RB8)
J.D. Bertrand, LB, Notre Dame (LB9)
Tyler Davis, IDL, Clemson (IDL10t.)
Fabien Lovett, IDL, Florida State (IDL10t.)
Jordan Magee, LB, Temple (LB10)
Xavier Thomas, EDGE, Clemson (EDGE15)
Cam Hart, CB, Notre Dame (CB17)
Evan Williams, SAF, Oregon (SAF11)
DeWayne Carter, IDL, Duke (IDL12)
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If you enjoyed this article, feel free to check out all my written content and I just released my final mock draft!
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Twitter: @ halilsfbtalk
Instagram: @ halilsrealfootballtalk
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I have spent the last one-and-a-half months going through every position and breaking down the top names at it for the upcoming NFL Draft. Now it’s time to summarize these rankings, adding tiers to throughout each position – indicated by crossing lines.
For the people on here that have followed along for the ride, they understand that I like to go into depth with my analysis, so I hyperlinked the rankings for each position from halilsrealfootballtalk.com, if you want my reasoning on these!
Thank you guys so much for all the kind words and interaction so far - any support or sharing of my work would be greatly appreciated!
At the very bottom, I added a quick question on how I'm going to structure my content going forward. If you had a minute to let me know your thoughts, that would be great!
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Quarterbacks:

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1 Caleb Williams, USC
2 Drake Maye, North Carolina
3 Bo Nix, Oregon
4 Jayden Daniels, LSU
5 Michael Penix Jr., Washington
6 J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
7 Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
8 Jordan Travis, Florida State
9 Michael Pratt, Tulane
10 Devin Leary, Kentucky
HM: Joe Milton (Tennessee)
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Running backs:

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1 Trey Benson, Florida State
2 Jonathon Brooks, Texas
3 Blake Corum, Michigan
4 Marshawn Lloyd, USC
5 Ray Davis, Kentucky
6 Jaylen Wright, Tennessee
7 Bucky Irving, Oregon
8 Tyrone Tracy, Purdue
9 Will Shipley, Clemson
10 Braelon Allen, Wisconsin
HMs: Dillon Johnson (Washington), Audric Estime (Notre Dame) & Jawhar Jordan (Louisville)
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Wide receivers:

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1 Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State
2 Malik Nabers, LSU
3 Rome Odunze, Washington
4 Adonai Mitchell, Texas
5 Brian Thomas Jr., LSU
6 Ladd McConkey, Georgia
7 Ricky Pearsall, Florida
8 Troy Franklin, Oregon
9 Keon Coleman, Florida State
T.-10 Xavier Worthy, Texas
T.-10 Roman Wilson, Michigan
HMs: Xavier Legette (South Carolina), Johnny Wilson (Florida State), Ja’Lynn Polk (Washington), Jermaine Burton (Alabama), Javon Baker (UCF), Malachi Corley (Western Kentucky) & Malik Washington (Virginia)
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Tight-ends:

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1 Brock Bowers, Georgia
2 Ja’Tavion Sanders, Texas
3 Ben Sinnott, Kansas State
4 Cade Stover, Ohio State
5 Theo Johnson, Penn State
6 Erick All, Iowa
7 Jaheim Bell, Florida State
8 Tanner McLachlan, Arizona
9 Dallin Holker, Colorado State
10 Tip Reiman, Illinois
HMs: Jared Wiley (TCU), Jack Westover (Washington), McCallan Castles (Tennessee) & A.J. Barner (Michigan)
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Offensive tackles:

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1 Olu Fashanu, Penn State
2 Joe Alt, Notre Dame
3 L.C. Latham, Alabama
4 Taliese Fuaga, Oregon State
5 Amarius Mims, Georgia
6 Troy Fautanu, Washington
7 Jordan Morgan, Arizona
8 Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
9 Kingsley Suamataia, BYU
10 Christian Jones, Texas
HMs: Kiran Amegadjie (Yale), Blake Fisher (Notre Dame), Walter Rouse (Oklahoma), Javon Foster (Missouri) & Patrick Paul (Houston)
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Interior O-line:

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1 Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon
2 Graham Barton, Duke
3 Zach Frazier, West Virginia
4 Cooper Beebe, Kansas State
5 Christian Haynes, UConn
6 Zak Zinter, Michigan
7 Sedrick Van Pran-Granger, Georgia
8 Mason McCormick, South Dakota State
9 Christian Mahogany, Boston College
10 Beaux Limmer, Arkansas
HMs: Dominick Puni (Kansas), Brandon Coleman (TCU), Tanor Bortolini (Wisconsin) & Hunter Nourzad (Penn State)
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Edge defenders:

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1 Laiatu Latu, UCLA
2 Dallas Turner, Alabama
3 Jared Verse, Florida State
4 Chop Robinson, Penn State
5 Darius Robinson, Missouri
6 Jonah Elliss, Utah
7 Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan
8 Bralen Trice, Washington
9 Chris Braswell, Alabama
10 Adisa Isaac, Penn State
HMs: Austin Booker (Kansas), Mohamed Kamara (Colorado State), Javon Solomon (Troy), Gabriel Murphy (UCLA) & Xavier Thomas (Clemson)
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Interior D-line:

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1 Jer’Zhan Newton, Illinois
2 Byron Murphy II, Texas
3 Kris Jenkins, Michigan
4 T’Vondre Sweat, Texas
5 Braden Fiske, Florida State
6 Ruke Orhorhoro, Clemson
7 Michael Hall Jr., Ohio State
8 Mekhi Wingo, LSU
9 Brandon Dorlus, Oregon
T.-10 Tyler Davis, Clemson
T.-10 Fabien Lovett, Florida State
HMs: Maason Smith (LSU), Leonard Taylor (Miami), DeWayne Carter (Duke), McKinnley Jackson (Texas A&M) & Khristian Boyd (Northern Iowa)
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Linebackers:

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1 Payton Wilson, N.C. State
2 Edgerrin Cooper, Texas A&M
3 Jeremiah Trotter Jr., Clemson
4 Junior Colson, Michigan
5 Cedric Gray, North Carolina
6 Tommy Eichenberg, Ohio State
7 Trevin Wallace, Kentucky
8 Nathaniel Watson, Mississippi State
9 J.D. Bertrand, Notre Dame
10 Jordan Magee, Temple
HMs: Jaylan Ford (Texas), Ty’Ron Hopper (Missouri), Edefuan Ulofoshio (Washington), Marist Liufau (Notre Dame) & Steele Chambers (Ohio State)
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Cornerbacks:

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1 Quinyon Mitchell, Toledo
2 Nate Wiggins, Clemson
3 Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama
4 Terrion Arnold, Alabama
5 Cooper DeJean, Iowa
6 Kamari Lassiter, Georgia
7 Ennis Rakestraw Jr., Missouri
8 T.J. Tampa, Iowa
9 Max Melton, Rutgers
T.-10 Khyree Jackson, Oregon
T.-10 Renardo Green, Florida State
HMs: Mike Sainristil (Michigan), Kris Abrams-Draine (Missouri) & Andru Phillips (Kentucky)
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Safeties:

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1 Tyler Nubin, Minnesota
2 Javon Bullard, Georgia
3 Kamren Kinchens, Miami
4 Kitan Oladapo, Oregon State
5 Cole Bishop, Utah
6 Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, Texas Tech
7 Jaden Hicks, Washington State
8 Malik Mustapha, Wake Forest
9 Calen Bullock, USC
10 Tykee Smith, Georgia
HMs: Evan Williams (Oregon), Sione Vaki (Utah), Jaylon Carlies (Missouri), Trey Taylor (Air Force) & Dominique Hampton (Washington)
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Now, a quick question on the work I do - as you can imagine, watching 350-400 prospects every year and being as detailed with my analysis can be quite demanding along my day job. So I was thinking about doing just two articles next year - the top 10 prospects at each offensive and defensive position respectively with only the blurb at the end that summarizes the player in 180-250 words. That would free up some time to do a few more videos for Youtube, where I actually take the time to break down the film of a couple of guys.
What do you people think about that?
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If you enjoyed this article, feel free to check out all my written content and/or video material!
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Twitter: @ halilsfbtalk
Instagram: @ halilsrealfootballtalk
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Got my Daith pierced about an hour ago at Freaky’s by Kris. (Colorado) I am happy with how it looks it but I’ve heard mixed to negative opinions on curved barbells. Also, I don’t have the knowledge to judge “technically”, so curious to what you guys think of the curved barbell, placement, etc. Thank you!!